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STOP THE DECLINE SPARK THE COMEBACK AND RHODE ISLAND

Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

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Presented by Governor Raimondo on Feb. 18, 2015.

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Page 1: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

STOP THE DECLINE

SPARK THE COMEBACKA N DR H O D E

I S L A N D

Page 2: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

OUR ECONOMIC ENGINE IS OUT OF GAS

HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT Currently 47th in the country Highest for 9 consecutive months during 2013 - 2014

POOR GROWTH 48th in short-term job growth 48th in long-term job growth

MORE JOBS IN LOW GROWTH INDUSTRIES Disproportionate share of our jobs are in low growth industries

[SOURCE: BLS, DEC. 2014, US Chamber of Commerce]

Page 3: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

…AND WE’RE RELATIVELY POORER THAN NEIGHBORING STATES

18,667

27,333

36,000

44,667

53,333

62,000$60,658

$57,248

$46,989

PER CAPITA INCOMES

RIMA CT

1 IN 6Rely on food stamps to put food on the table

LOWER PER CAPITA INCOMES

MORE RELIANT ON STATE ASSISTANCE

[SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, PROVIDENCE JOURNAL 1/15, OFFICE OF REVENUE ANALYSIS 2014 Q3]

19.9%of Rhode Islanders’ income is from aid, assistance, benefits, etc.

Page 4: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

WE’RE NOT EQUIPPING OUR STUDENTS WITH THE SKILLS THEY NEED TO COMPETE

RHODE ISLAND HAS FEWER HIGH SKILL JOBS AND WORKERS THAN NEIGHBORING STATES

RI MA CTHigh School Graduation Rate 77% 83% 83%

NAEP Math Scores 283 299 287

NAEP Reading Scores 265 275 275

[SOURCE: National Skills Coalition, 2011 National Center for Education Statistics, Providence Journal]

Percentage of CCRI students requiring remediation courses: 66%

RI MA CTShare of high-skills jobs 32% 39% 36%

Page 5: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

F I S C A L STO R M C LO U DS LO O M W I T H N O AC T I O N

State’s General Revenue budget is growing faster than the rate of inflation

0

125

250

375

500

FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019

$496.30

$382.80

$255.60$190.40

PROJECTED GENERAL REVENUE DEFICIT (IN MILLIONS)

[SOURCE: OMB ANALYSIS BASED ON NOV 2014 REVENUE ESTIMATING CONFERENCE]

Page 6: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

O U R M A N U F A C T U R I N G S E C T O R H A S B E E N C U T I N H A L F

[SOURCE: ECONOMIC POLICY INSTITUTE]

North Carolina

Mississippi

Arkansas

Rhode Island

Michigan

Tennessee

Ohio

South Carolina

New Hampshire

Alabama

0% 3% 5% 8% 10%

STATES HARDEST HIT BY MANUFACTURING JOBS LOST BY SHARE OF STATE EMPLOYMENT

RI is 4th worst in the nation Worst in New England. Loss of 80,000 manufacturing jobs since the 1980s  

Page 7: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

of jobs lost were middle wage jobs

43.5%of jobs created have been lower wage jobs

WE’VE LOST MIDDLE CLASS JOBS

A N DREPLACED THEM WITH LOWER

WAGE JOBS

64.6%

[SOURCE: RHODE ISLAND NOV. 2014 REVENUE ESTIMATING CONFERENCE]

($60,800 & UP) ($40,300 - $60,799)

Page 8: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

WE’VE FAILED TO REPOSITION OURSELVES FOR JOB CREATION IN GROWTH INDUSTRIES

Rhode Island has fewer higher wage jobs and a lower innovation capacity than neighboring states

750,000,000.00 1,500,000,000.00 2,250,000,000.00 3,000,000,000.00

$0 $1B $2B

FEDERAL R&D CONTRACTS IN FY2013

MA

RI

$1.5B

Rhode Island received just $47 million in federal R&D contracts compared to nearly $3 billion for Massachusetts

25th

RHODE ISLAND’S INNOVATION RANKING

BY BLOOMBERG

[SOURCE: BLOOMBERG, STEM REPORT CARD]

Page 9: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

ND2 HIGHEST MEDICAID SPENDING PER ENROLLEE IN THE COUNTRY

RD3 HIGHEST PUBLIC EMPLOYEE COMPENSATION RATES IN THE COUNTRY

TH8 HIGHEST EDUCATION SPENDING

TH27 IN EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENTBUT

TH4 HIGHEST ROAD COSTS PER MILE

HIGHEST FIRE SAFETY COSTS IN THE COUNTRY PER $1,000 PERSONAL INCOME

ND2

WE HAVE HIGH COSTS IN SEVERAL AREAS

[SOURCES: REASON FOUNDATION, KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION, RIPEC, US CHAMBER OF COMMERCE]

TH

45 IN ROAD QUALITYBUT

Page 10: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

WE HAVEN’T INVESTED STRATEGICALLY IN AREAS THAT SPUR JOB CREATION

Rhode Island’s economic development budget has been slashed by $2 million since the Great Recession, and by more than $4 million since 2001.

RI MA CT NJ NY

Statewide Tourism Spending $0.47M $15M $13M $9M $60M

Economic Development Agency Budgets

$4M $80M $41M $29M $70M

Economic Development Agency Personnel

35 150 99 200 314

[SOURCE: COMMERCE RI, MASS DEVELOPMENT, CT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, EMPIRE STATE DEVELOPMENT, NJ DEVELOPMENT]

Page 11: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

NOT ENOUGH TOOLS IN OUR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT TOOLKIT

RI MA CT NJ NY

State-level Tax Increment Financing NO YES YES YES YES

State-funded Small Business Loan Program NO YES YES YES YES

Refundable/Transferable Tax Credits for Real Estate Development

NO YES YES YES YES

[SOURCE: COMMERCE RI, MASS DEVELOPMENT, CT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, EMPIRE STATE DEVELOPMENT, NJ DEVELOPMENT]

Page 12: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

A N N U A L BUDGET CUTS NO INVESTMENTS IN JOB GROWTH

S T A G N A N T J O B G R O W T H

INCREASED T A X E S & F E E S

CONTINUING ON OUR CURRENT PATH LEADS TO A VICIOUS CYCLE

Page 13: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

TOTAL FY2017 DEFICIT: TOTAL OPERATING COSTS: $212.8 MILLIONRhode Island Higher Education Assistance Authority Governor's Commission on Disabilities Commission on the Deaf & Hard of Hearing Office of the Mental Health Advocate Office of the Child Advocate Rhode Island Atomic Energy Commission Rhode Island Commission for Human Rights Historical Preservation and Heritage Commission Rhode Island Council on the Arts Rhode Island Ethics Commission Rhode Island Emergency Management Agency Military Staff Coastal Resources Management Council Executive Department (Governor’s Office) Board of Elections Department of Business Regulation Department of Labor And Training Office of Public Defender Department of Health Department of Environmental Management Department of Human Services

UNTARGETED CUTS AREN’T THE CURE

$255.6 MILLIONTHE FY2017 DEFICIT EXCEEDS THE ENTIRE GENERAL REVENUE

BUDGETS OF 21 AGENCIES

[SOURCE: OMB ANALYSIS]

Page 14: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

SIGNIFICANT TAX HIKES WOULD ONLY MAKE US LESS COMPETITIVE

8.3%IN FY2016

AN 18% INCREASE

8.8%

IN ORDER TO CLOSE THE DEFICIT, WE’D HAVE TO

R A I S E T H E S TAT E

SALES TAXTO AT LEAST:

IN FY2017 A 25% INCREASE

Currently 7.0%

[SOURCE: OMB, OFFICE OF REVENUE ANALYSIS]

Page 15: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

I N C R E A S E D R E V E N U E S

J O B G R O W T H

I N V E S T M E N T S

Education

Infrastructure

Property tax relief

THE RIGHT CHOICE IS TO REALLOCATE RESOURCES TO INVEST IN JOB GROWTH

A VIRTUOUS CYCLE

Page 16: Raimondo RI Decline PowerPoint 2015

THE CHOICE IS

O U R S T O M A K E