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SWP-794 Arab Financial Institutions and Developing Countries Naiem A. Sherbiny WORLD BANK STAFFWORKING PAPERS Number 794 SERIES ON INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Number 6 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing

SWP-794

Arab Financial Institutionsand Developing Countries

Naiem A. Sherbiny

WORLD BANK STAFF WORKING PAPERSNumber 794

SERIES ON INTERNATIONAL CAPITALAND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Number 6

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Page 2: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing
Page 3: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing

WORLD BANK STAFF WORKING PAPERSNumber 794

SERIES ON INTERNATIONAL CAPITALAND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Number 6

Arab Financial Institutionsand Developing Countries

Naiem A. Sherbiny

The World BankWashington, D.C., U.S.A.

Page 4: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing

Copyright (© 1986The Intemational Bank for Reconstructionand Development/THE WORLD BANK

18I8 H Street, N.W.Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A.

All rights reservedManufactured in the United States of AmericaFirst printing January 1986

This is a working document published informally by the World Bank. To present theresults of research with the least possible delay, the typescripiL has not been preparedin accordance with the procedures appropriate to formal printed texts, and the WorldBank accepts no responsibility for errors. The publication is supplied at a token chargeto defray part of the cost of manufacture and distribution.

The World Bank does not accept responsibility for the vievws expressed herein, whichare those of the authors and should not be attributed to the World Bank or to itsaffiliated organizations. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions are the resultsof research supported by the Bank; they do not necessarily represent official policy ofthe Bank. The designations employed, the presentation of material, and any maps usedin this document are solely for the convenience of the reader imd do not imply theexpression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Bank or its affiliatesconcerning the legal status of any country, territory, city, area, or of its authorities, orconcerning the delimitation of its boundaries, or national affilation.

The most recent World Bank publications are described in the annual spring and falllists; the continuing research program is described in the annual Abstracts of CurrentStudies. The latest edition of each is available free of charge from the Publications SalesUnit, Department T, The World Bank, 1818 H Street, N.W, Vlashington, D.C. 20433,U.S.A., or from the European Office of the Bank, 66 avenue d'`Ina, 75116 Paris, France.

Naiem A. Sherbiny is a senior economist in the Energy Strategy and PreinvestmentDivision I of the World Bank.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Sherbiny, Naiem A.Arab financial institutions and developing countries.

(World Bank staff working papers ; no. 794. Series oninternational capital and economic development; no. 6)

Bibliography: p.1. Arab countries--Foreign economic relations--

Developing countries. 2. Developing countries--Foreigneconomic relations--Arab countries. 3. Investments,Arab--Developing countries. 4. Economic assistance,Arab--Developing countries. 5. Peroleum industry andtrade--Finance--Arab countries. I. Title. II. Series:World Bank staff working papers; no. 794. III. Series:World Bank staff working papers. Series on internationalcapital and economic development; no. 6.HF3866.Z7D447 1986 337.1'174927 85-31748ISBN 0-8213-0705-3

Page 5: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing

FOREWORD

This paper is one in a special series of World Bank StaffWorking Papers on international capital and economic development.Prepared as background papers for World Development Report 1985,the series provides more detailed treatment and documentation ofthe issues dealt with in the Report. The papers cover a range oftopics including a historical perspective on international capitaland economic development; the effects of policies in industrialand developing countries on international capital flows, externaldebt, and economic development; and the role of officialassistance, commercial bank lending, securities markets, andprivate direct investment in developing countries. Severalstudies of individual developing countries are also included inthe series.

The background papers draw on a large number of publishedand unpublished studies of individual researchers, on World Bankpolicy analysis and research, and on reports of other organ-izations working on these issues. The papers are the work ofindividuals and the views and interpretations expressed in them donot necessarily coincide with the views and interpretations of theReport itself.

I hope these detailed studies will supplement WorldDevelopment Report 1985 in furthering understanding of therelationship between international capital and economic develop-ment. A complete list of the papers appears on the overleaf.

Francis X. ColaqoStaff Director

World Development Report 1985

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Page 6: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing

Papers in the Series

Aliber, Robert. Financial Intermediation and the External Debt Crisis

Batista, Paulo Noguiera, Jr. International Financial Flows to Brazil Since the Late1960s: An Analysis of Debt Expansion and Current Payments Problems

Blanchard, Olivier, and Lawrence H. Sumrs. Perspectives on High Real Interest RatesThroughout the World

Codippily, Hilarian M.A. Ethiopia: International Financial Flows, 1967-83

Dornbusch, Rudiger. The Effects of OECD Macroeconomic Policies on Non-oil DevelopingCountries: A Review

Fishlow, Albert. Capital Markets During the 19th Century and the Interwar Period:Lessons from the Past

Hooper, Peter. The International Repercussions of the U.S. Budget Deficit

Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983

Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to DevelopingCountries

Iqbal, Farrukh. Korea's Debt Accumulation, Use, and Management Strategies

Johnson, John H. The Role of International Finance in Argentine Development, 1965-84

Lessard, Donald. International Financing for Developing Countries: The UnfulfilledPromise

Llewellyn, David. International Financial Intermediation and the Role of Banks in Balanceof Payments Financing

Martone, Celso L. Macroeconomic Policies, Debt Accumulation, and Adjustment in Brazil,1965-84

Muller, Patrice, and Robert Price. Public Sector Indebtedness and Long-Term InterestRates

O'Brien, Richard, and John Calverley. Private Banks and Developing Countries

Pant, Chandrashekar. Yugoslavia: Economic Development and External Capital, 1970-1984

Rybczynski, T. M. Internationalization of Financial Arrangements and the DevelopingCountries: The Evolving Relationship

Sachs, Jeffrey, and Warwick McKibbin. Macroeconomic Policies in OECD Countries andExternal Adjustment in Developing Countries

Saini, Krishan G. Capital Market Innovations and Financial Flows to Developing Countries

Sherbiny, Naiem A. Arab Financial Institutions and Developing Countries

Swoboda, Alexander, and Hans Genberg. The Stages in the Balance of Payments HypothesisRevisited

Weigel, Dale, and Robert R. Miller. Foreign Direct Investment in Economic Development

Wyplosz, Charles. International Aspects of the Policy Mix in Six OECD Countries

Zietz, Joachim, and Alberto Valdes. The Costs of Protectionism to Developing Countries:An Analysis for Selected Agricultural Products

- iv -

Page 7: Public Disclosure Authorized SWP-794Ibrahim, Tigani E. Kenya: Use of External Resources, 1963-1983 Ishiyama, Yoshihide, and Keiko Atsumi. Capital Outflows from Japan to Developing

Abstract

Drawing together hitherto scattered material, the paperattempts to present an integrated picture of the activities ofArab financial institutions in developing countries. Most ofthese activities--whether official aid, commercial credits, ordirect investments--seem to have been triggered by the capitalsurplus in a number of oil exporting countries during the 1970s.The study thus begins by considering the deployment of the capitalsurplus so as to place the activities of Arab financialinstitutions in developing countries in the proper context. Thediscussion then turns to the development of Arab financialinstitutions in the light of Kuwait's experience as the earliestcapital surplus country. The mechanisms and institutions thatKuwait devised during the 1950s and 1960s to manage its capitalsurplus help to explain the international activities of thefinancial institutions from other capital surplus countries duringthe 1970s and 1980s. The study concludes by assessing futureprospects of Arab financial institutions in developing countriesin regard to Arab/OPEC aid, Islamic banks, and participation insyndicated loans, Eurobonds, and direct investments.

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Acknowledgments

The author wishes to thank a number of individuals in the WorldBank, in the Bank of England, and in other institutions for theirsupport, encouragement, assistance, and comments. Within the WorldBank, the author is grateful to Messrs. Ibrahim Shihata, Vice Presidentand General Council; Robert Picciotto, Director of Projects, EMENA;Ismail Serageldin, Director of Programs, West Africa; George Zaidan,Assistant Director of Projects, EMENA; Francis Colaco, Coordinator ofthe 1985 World Development Report; and many colleagues, including MasoodAhmed, Julian Bharier, Alexander Fleming, SheriE Omar Hassan, AbdallahEl Maaroufi, and Ezzedin Shamsedin. In the Bank of England, the authorwishes to thank the staff of External Financial Statistics, especiallyDavid J. Reid, Adviser, Edward Shephard, and Derek J. Chetwin.

Outside these two institutions, the author is most indebted toMessrs. Asaad S. Asaad, Director, Abu Dhabi International Bank; Hazem ElBeblawi, Chairman, Export Development Bank of Egypt; Bourhan Chatti,former Director of Programs, Arab Fund for Economic and SocialDevelopment; Sani El Darwish, Director-General, Dar al Maal al Islami;Sharif Ghalib, Vice-President, Chase Manhattan Bank; Mahmoud El Helw,Governor, Faisal Islamic Bank of Egypt; Robert Mabro, Director, OxfordInstitute for Energy Studies; and Hikmat Nashashibi, Chief Executive,Al-Mal Group of London.

Untiring and excellent research assistance was provided byOliver Adler, Tany Maher, and the staff of Joint IMF-IBRD Library.Patient and careful typing assistance was provided by Sharon Copley andAngelica Fernandes.

The first draft was completed in the Technical Assistance andSpecial Studies Division, EMENA Projects Department. Revised draftswere completed in the Energy Strategy and Pre-Investment Division I,Energy Department.

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Table of Contents

Page

Introduction ...................................................... l

I. Developing Countries and the Capital Surplus . ....... 2

The Accumulation of Surplus . .... . . .. . . 3The Deployment of Surplus ............................. . . ......... 5The Management of Surplus ..... .............................. . 8

II. Kuwait: The Earliest Capital Surplus Country ................... 10

Developments Prior to 1974 ........................ . 11Developments Since 1974 ......................................... 18The Financial Flows (1961-84) . . ................................. 21

III. The International Orientation ofArab Financial Institutions .................................. 24

The Modest Beginning . ....................................... 04.25The Years of Affluence ................ . 28Centers of Arab Banking . . ....................................... 31Islamic Banks . . ................................................. 37Size of Arab Banks ... ... .. . ... ........ . 42

IV. Relations with the Developing Countries:Aid Institutions .... .. .............. . 44

OPEC Aid as a New Concept . ...................................... 45The Overall Profile of OPEC Aid . . . ........... 46Activities of OPEC Aid Institutions . . .... 52Cofinancing Development Projects .. 55

V. Relations with Developing Countries:Commercial Credit and Investment Institutions ................. 58

The Internationally Syndicated Loan Market ...................... 60The International Bond Market .......................... 65Direct Investments and Joint Ventures ................. 70

VI. Future Prospects ........... 81

Annex A - Government Investments .............................. . ...... 89

Annex B - Inter-Arab Private Direct Investments .. 95

Footnotes ..... . .... . 97

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Introduction

Until recently, many observers considered "OPEC capital" a new factor

in international finance, investment, and development. Between 1973 and 1984,

numerous developing countries in particular came to depend increasingly on the

flows of aid, trade, workers' remittances, commercial credits, and direct

investments from OPEC countries. With the current decline in oil revenues and

the associated budgetary constraints on members of the Organization of

Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), however, the growing public opinion

seems to be that OPEC capital is a passing phenomenon. Now that the

prosperity of the OPEC economies is at stake, many developing countries are

beginning to sense potential hazards to their own economies. Their reliance

on OPEC capital is the subject of this paper.

As the OPEC capital surplus has been dominated by Arab countries, the

paper concentrates on the activities of Arab financial institutions in

developing countries. Those institutions were established during a relatively

short period of time and have become active in both developed and developing

countries. As section I points out, the extent of their involvement in

developing countries can be ascertained from the deployment of the total

surplus over time among alternative channels. The section also attempts to

identify the principles of managing the surplus among those alternative

channels.

As a participant in international finance and investment since the

1950s, and aid since the early 1960s, Kuwait was one of the first countries

there to develop a network of financial institutions to manage the flow of

Kuwaiti capital over time, especially to developing countries. The lessons of

the Kuwaiti case are highlighted in section II because of their special

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relevance for the development of financial institutions in other parts of the

Arab region.

Using Kuwait as a model, section III considers the financial

challenges and opportunities of the 1970s and early 1980s that led Arab

financial institutions to establish presence outside their respective home

countries. Of particular interest here are Islamic banks and the spread of

Arab banks outside the Arab region, not only in centers of international

finance but also in many developing countries.

These background details will provide the context for the subsequent

discussion of the activities of Arab financial institutions in developing

countries. Their activities are divided into two types: those concerned with

concessional aid flows, including the cofinancing oE projects (section IV);

and those concerned with direct investments and commercial credits, including

internationally syndicated loans and internationally managed bonds (section

V). The study concludes with an outline of future prospects of Arab financial

institutions with respect to aid flows, Islamic banking, direct investments,

and participation in syndicated Eurocurrency loans and multiple currency

bonds, especially for agencies from developing countries.

I. Developing Countries and the Capital Surplus

Despite the financial revenues that place per capita GNP in some OPEC

countries among the highest in the world, OPEC countries are developing

countries according to other socioeconomic indicators. In fact, most were

faced with financial constraints right up until 1970. Then in 1971-73,

following a period of oil price stability during the 1960s, oil prices rose

moderately. These increments were significant in more ways than one. They

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signaled the increased bargaining power of OPEC as a collective

organization. And, together with expanded oil exports, they increased oil

revenue flows to the oil exporters at hitherto unprecedented rates. These

developments shifted income distribution on a global scale from oil importers

to oil exporters. By 1973, the financial constraints to the development of

the oil-exporting countries had eased considerably, and a surplus began to

appear on the current account balance of several OPEC members. To provide a

perspective for OPEC's financial placements in developing countries, this

section examines the following aspects of this phenomenon: the accumulation of

surplus, its deployment among countries and instruments, investment

strategies, and the principles involved in its management.

The Accumulation of Surplus

By and large, the profile of OPEC's collective oil revenues follows

oil price developments. These can be divided into five periods:

1965-70: oil price stability

1971-73: gradual increases in oil prices

1974-78: the aftermath of the first major oil price increase

1979-81: the aftermath of the second major oil price increase

1982-84: falling oil prices

During 1965-70, total oil revenues for OPEC countries averaged about

US$13 billion per annum. The succession of oil price increases during 1971-73

pushed OPEC's oil revenues to US$40 billion by the end of 1973. Significant

as these increases may have been, they were dwarfed by the increments that

catapulted oil revenues to US$121 billion in 1974, and to a peak of US$295

billion in 1980. By 1984, however oil revenues had declined sharply to US$170

billion. These nominal figures give some idea of the volume of financial

flows involved in the global redistribution of income in favor of OPEC

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countries up until 1980 and the subsequent reversal of that process during the

early 1980s. Developing countries lost the most in the earlier rounds of

redistribution and gained the least in the later rounds.

The earlier flows (1971-81) helped OPEC countries finance major

expansions in their own imports, government consumption, modernization and

upgrading of the armed forces, and development programs. In some OPEC

countries, they also helped initiate or expand major programs of external

assistance and wealth redistribution. Even so, these various expenditures

failed to absorb the incoming funds, with the resalt that national savings

exceeded domestic investments. After 1981 the process began to turn around

among the OPEC countries, though understandably in varying degrees.

Although the surplus accumulation has been reasonably well documented

for OPEC as a whole, the estimates for individual countries are less reliable

and often controversial. One of the institutions to collect data

systematically has been the Bank of England, whose records show a cumulative

OPEC surplus of US$433 billion at the end of 1983. The Bank could only

account for US$378 billion, however, and thus US$55 billion was attributed to

unidentified uses. 11 A recent Brookings study thal: estimated the surplus by

country as it stood in 1982 has distinguished between the so-called low

absorbers and high absorbers. 21 The share of the low absorbers as a group

was 93 percent of the total surplus, whereas the share of the high absorbers

as a group was a mere 7 percent. Among the low absorbers, the largest shares

were those of Saudi Arabia (47 percent of the total) and Kuwait (24

percent). Among the high absorbers, the largest shares were those of Iran (9

percent) and Iraq (6 percent), but there were also large debtors, notably

Algeria, Indonesia, and Nigeria. 31

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The net foreign assets of the OPEC countries changed with the major

changes in oil prices. In 1973, the level of identified surplus was about

US$21 billion. During 1974-78, the cumulative surplus increased by US$198

billion, and during 1979-82 it increased by US$257 billion. The decline of

the collective OPEC surplus for the first time in 1983 by US$7 billion and the

modest increase of less than US$3 billion in 1984 indicate that the peak had

been attained in 1982.

Despite the recent reductions in oil revenues, most OPEC countries

have not managed to institute corresponding reductions in government

expenditures. The high absorbers financed their deficits through

international borrowing. Even Iran and Iraq did so after exhausting their

substantial surpluses--estimated at US$50 billion--partly as a result of their

continued military conflict. By contrast, the low absorbers for the most part

did not resort to international borrowing; instead they relied on withdrawals

from their accumulated surplus. The countries initially identified as low

absorbers have increased their absorption over time, so that the term appears

no longer applicable to their current economic condition.

The Deployment of Surplus

Up to the end of 1984 the industrially advanced countries had

received about 66 percent of the surplus, the largest recipients being the

United States (18 percent) and the United Kingdom (11 percent). The remaining

37 percent was distributed among Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France,

Germany, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and

Switzerland. The developing countries received 27 percent of surplus capital

flows; 16 percent as net disbursements of concessional assistance and the

remaining 11 percent in the form of syndicated Eurocurrency credits,

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Eurobonds, and direct investments. International organizations received about

7 percent of the cumulative surplus.

Annual total surplus fluctuated over time as a net outcome of oil

revenue flows, on the one hand, and total expenditures, on the other.

Following the first major oil price increase, the 1974 surplus alone was more

than 2½ times as much as the cumulative surplus through 1973; this point

marked the first peak. The steady surplus of the next three years was

followed by a trough in 1978. The second major oil price increase pushed the

annual surplus higher; it reached a greater peak in 1980, but then declined

rapidly thereafter. The time pattern of annual surplus placements in the

industrial countries, especially in the United States and the United Kingdom

began to show substantial withdrawals as early as 1932.

In contrast, annual surplus placements in the developing countries

rose steadily until they reached a peak in 1981, then fell thereafter. Yet,

they were significantly higher than the placements in the industrial countries

since 1982 (table 1). Although OPEC countries incurred net drawdowns of funds

in the industrial countries in 1983 and 1984, they continued to place funds in

the developing countries. These changes were most likely the result of the

variant forms of placements in the two groups of countries. The greater

liquidity of OPEC placements in the industrial countries rendered them the

more natural means with which to finance the budgetary deficits in the OPEC

countries that began to increase significantly in 1982.

The composition of cumulative surplus placements at the end of 1984

in some major markets demonstrates the point. In the United States,

placements were mainly portfolio investments: 52 percent in U.S. Treasury

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Table 1 Distribution of Annual OPEC Surplus by Recepients

(billions, U.S. dollars)

Industrially Advanced Countries Developing Countries

United United Net International

Year States Kingdom Other Subtotal Assistance Other Subtotal Institutions Total

Until 1973 3.5 7.3 0.6 11.4 4.9 1.5 6.4 4.8 22.6

1974 11.5 21.2 12.1 44.8 4.6 0.8 5.4 6.1 56.3

1975 7.9 4.1 14.1 26.1 6.2 1.2 7.4 2.1 35.6

1976 11.1 2.8 15.2 29.1 6.1 1.6 7.7 1.8 38.6

1977 7.3 5.0 20.3 32.6 6.1 2.9 9.0 1.1 42.7

1978 0.4 -1.0 12.5 11.9 8.1 4.4 12.5 2.0 26.4

1979 7.0 18.0 22.6 47.6 7.8 4.5 12.3 10.4 70.3

1980 17.1 17.8 48.9 83.8 9.6 5.4 15.0 6.4 105.2

1981 17.8 6.4 21.9 46.1 8.5 9.4 17.9 -4.3 59.71982 12.7 -10.0 -0.6 2.1 5.9 10.1 16.0 4.2 22.31983 -9.5 -13.8 2.5 -20.8 5.5 6.6 12.1 1.5 -7.21984 -3.3 -4.7 3.7 -4.3 4.5 6.3 10.8 -3.8 2.7

Cumulative 83.5 53.1 173.8 310.4 77.8 53.4 131.2 32.3 473.9

Sources: Placements in the industrial countries and with international institutions are from Bank ofEngland, Quarterly Bulletin, March, June, and September 1985. "Other industrial countries" include

bilateral placements in Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Japan,

Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland. They also include offshore centers and

Eurocurrency deposits, not easily identifiable by national borders.

Placements in developing countries are from several sources. Net Assistance is total netdisbursements of concessional assistance from OECD, Aid from OPEC Countries (Paris, 1983), p. 20; and

OPEC Fund, OPEC Fund and OPEC Aid Institutions, no.4, 1984. Other placements to developing countries

include the following:

a. Syndicated Eurocurrency Credits: Arab Eurocurrency lending for 1977 to 1982 from Mehran Nakhjavani,Arab Banks and the International Financial Markets, Middle East Economic Survey, 1983, Table 2.1, p. 14;

for 1983 and 1984 compiled from Middle East Economic Survey, several issues during 1984 and 1985.

b. Bonds: Estimated 60 percent of all issues to developing countries applied to figures compiled

annually; and the 1983 and 1984 are guesstimates, calculated from Nakhjavani, Arab Banks, pp. 63-94.

They include U.S. dollar denominated bonds, other international currencies bonds, as well as Arab

currencies bonds: Kuwaiti dinar, Bahraini dinar, Saudi riyal, and Abu Dhabi dirham. Arab currencies

were converted into U.S. dollars at the exchange rates prevailing at end of year shown, as obtained from

IMF, International Financial Statistics, Yearbook 1984.

c. Direct Investments: Private and government investments in Arab and other LDCs are based on the

following sources: John Law, Arab Investors: Who They Are, What They Buy, and Where? Chase World

Information Corporation (New York, 1981); Traute Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and Islamic Banks (Paris: OECD,1983); and M. Abdel Fadil, Alnaft Wal Wihda Alarabia, Annex Tables, Beirut, 1985.

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securities (bills, certificates, bonds, and notes), 13 percent in commercial

bank liabilities, 17 percent in corporate bonds and stocks, 11 percent in

other liabilities, and 7 percent in direct investmenits. Thus, more than 80

percent of these assets were in short-term and medium-term obligations that

involve little or no risk for principal and interest. Similarly, in the

United Kingdom, OPEC's investments at end of 1984 were highly concentrated in

commercial bank liabilities: 78 percent in foreign currency deposits and

about 9 percent in sterling deposits. In other OECI) markets, investments of

OPEC countries were similarly concentrated in short-term investments; bank

deposits alone accounted for 56 percent.

The surplus placements in developing countries were distributed

differently: 59 percent in net disbursements of concessional assistance, 23

percent in syndicated Eurocurrency credits, 4 percent in Eurobonds, and 14

percent in direct investments.

From the structure of surplus placements through 1984 irrespective of

national boundaries, it appears that bank deposi:s (estimated at US$164

billion) represented 35 percent of total identified investments, other short-

and medium-term liquid or semiliquid investments (about US$208 billion)

represented 44 percent of the total, concessional assistance to developing

countries (US$78 billion) represented 16 percent, and direct long-term

investments (US$24 billion) represented 5 percent. 4/

The Management of Surplus

In managing their surplus over time, the OPEC countries were guided

by two sets of factors: those that all investors take into consideration and

those that are unique to OPEC countries. All investors consider return,

liquidity, and the relative risks involved in the well-known tradeoff between

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short-term and long-term investments. Short-term investments provide

generally lower returns but more liquid and less risky options than do long-

term investments. The factors unique to OPEC countries are security, a

realization lag, and a decision lag. Security is probably the most important

factor determining the management of the surplus, and it explains why OPEC

countries have concentrated most of their investments in the industrially

advanced countries. The realization lag pertains to the time that elapses

before an oil country realizes that it will have a sizable new surplus; during

this period it usually prefers to place such funds in short-term claims. This

describes the situation in 1974, shortly after the first major oil price

increase, and late in 1979, shortly after the second major oil price

increase. The decision lag refers to the period necessary to reach decisions

on long-term investments, during which time available funds are placed in

short-term instruments.

The security factor explains the geographic location of funds, while

the two lag factors explain the marked changes in the maturity structure of

investments by OPEC countries over time. Estimates of the annual total

surplus between 1974 and 1984 (table 1) indicate that peaks occurred after the

two major oil price increases in 1974 and 1980, followed by decline, which was

especially sharp after the second peak. Within this total, the share of

short-term investments fluctuated, but generally followed the size of the

incremental surplus itself. 5/

The pronounced general shift toward longer-term investments was more

likely the result of the decision lag, which involved learning by doing on the

part of investment managers in OPEC countries. This suggestion is supported

by the rise in the share of longer maturity and direct investments in OECD

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markets despite the falling annual surplus. The associated decision lags were

long because of the time required to identify projects, assess their financial

and economic viability, negotiate terms and conditionalities with host

countries and/or counterparts, and identify or establish institutions that

could efficiently construct and/or manage projects. This type of careful

attention helps generate attractive returns in the long run, whether the

investment is carried out in a developed or developing country. With the

realization that the days of an increasing surplus are over, the main concern

of Arab investment managers is now to maintain the wealth accumulated

overseas. Conditions permitting, investment managers would prefer to limit

the use of such assets in financing budgetary deficits at home to the annual

investment income. To be sure, most Arab placements will continue to be in

OECD countries. However, the expanded presence of Arab financial institutions

and investment banks in developing countries suggests that the future share of

developing countries in total Arab placements will not decline. It may even

increase.

II. Kuwait: The Earliest Capital Surplus Country

The international deployment of capital on a large scale was a new

experience for the oil countries, apart from Kuwait. Almost overnight they

were called upon to manage a variety of financial activities--from short-term

investments, financial intermediation for medium- or long-term loans or bonds,

official aid and concessional assistance, to direct and portfolio

investments. Only Kuwait was in a somewhat better position to cope with these

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responsibilities since it had already developed some of the mechanisms and

institutions needed to manage a capital surplus.

With reference to relations with developing countries in particular,

the Kuwait experience demonstrates that: (a) growth and prosperity of an oil

economy often produce substantial benefits to neighboring countries in the

form of increased trade, private investments, workers remittances, and

official aid; (b) the substantial expansion of Kuwait's trade was associated

with equally substantial expansion in imports from developing countries; (c)

Kuwait's private investments in developing countries depended not only on the

safety of and returns from investments but also on the social environment and

personal ties in host countries; (d) expatriate workers were major

contributors to the financial growth and prosperity of Kuwait in the form of

consumption expenditures and to their countries of origin in the form of

remittances; and (e) official aid depended on Kuwait's political relations and

status with developing countries as well as on the size of the surplus on the

current account balance. To handle all such flows, Kuwait developed wide-

ranging financial institutions over a long period, during which its modus

operandi was learning by doing.

Developments Prior to 1974

Historically Kuwait's relations with developing countries have been

closely tied to its physical make-up and to the initiatives of its people.

Because of Kuwait's lack of land resources and geographic location, the sea

has been the principal source of employment and livelihood for Kuwaitis for

the last two centuries. Trade, fishing, and pearling were the main economic

activities during the pre-oil era.

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In the eighteenth century Kuwait emerged as a trading center serving

neighboring Arab countries, Africa's East Coast, Persia, and the Indian

Subcontinent. This prompted the British East India Company to move its

headquarters for the northern Gulf from Basrah to Kuwait. 6/ By the beginning

of the nineteenth century, Kuwaiti sailors in their dhows (trade boats) were

becoming prominent in the vast trading area of the Indian Ocean. Complex

relations developed between mariner, shipowner, and merchant. Many notable

Kuwaiti merchant families owned ships and financed the voyages. Sometimes

they found investment opportunities in the source of traded goods; for

example, some purchased date plantations or provided working capital to

growers of dates or other food crops. Furthermore, these merchant families

provided Kuwait with its social and political Leadership, as well as the

financial astuteness that is still prevalent today. 7/

The era of modern banking in Kuwait began with the establishement of

the British Bank of the Middle East (BBME) in 1942, following the discovery of

commercial quantities of oil. As elsewhere in the Gulf, BBME had a banking

monopoly in Kuwait, which continued until 1952. In that year, a group of

businessman established the first Kuwaiti-owned bank, the National bank of

Kuwait (NBK), following the trippling of the country's share of oil

revenues. Throughout the 1950s, all banking activities in Kuwait were handled

only by BBME and NBK. Whereas average annual import financing was less than

US$100 million during 1950-55, it more than doubled during 1956-60.

Substantially increased oil revenues during that period made it possible to

finance a major program of urban land purchase as a means of distributing

income to the general population. With the rapid urban growth, land prices

increased severalfold and thus significantly expanded the liquidity of the

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private sector. The associated commercial and construction boom led to the

establishment in 1960 of two additional private commercial banks: the Gulf

Bank, and the Commercial Bank of Kuwait.

Kuwait's relations with developing countries during the 1950s largely

revolved around its neighbors. Kuwaitis traded heavily with India and Iran,

attracted skilled labor for their growing economy from Arab countries, and

invested private funds in Lebanese real estate. No data are available to

indicate the size of these early flows. The country was still a British

protectorate, and its data base was almost nonexistent.

Much of the recorded data reflect conditions since the country's

independence in 1961. The annual amount of import trade financing, for

example, increased significantly between 1961 and 1973--from an annual average

of about US$300 million in 1961-65 to about US$750 million in 1970-73.

Cumulatively, the volume of financial flows handled by the Kuwaiti banking

system in association with the import trade was about US$7 billion, US$1.7

billion of which was with developing countries. According to fragmentary

data, cumulative flows of workers' remittances during the same period amounted

to about US$1.5 billion. The cumulative value of private sector investments,

according to even more fragmentary data, was about another US$1.5 billion,

about half of which was in developing countries, principally in the Arab

region. 8-

At the same time that these developments were taking place in the

private sector the government was seeking both domestic and international

outlets owing to the substantial accumulation of public resources.

Domestically, the government established its fully owned Credit Bank in 1961

to provide small loans at subsidized interest rates for the development of

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real estate and for industrial and agricultural projects. To extend

activities beyond Kuwait, the government also in 1961 established two major

financial institutions: the Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development (KFAED),

which was to manage the country's official aid program, and the Kuwait

Investment Company (KIC), which was to channel public and private funds to

investment opportunities, especially outside Kuwait:.

For years the Kuwait Fund was the only Arab aid institution for

project assistance. It provided, and continues to provide, loans on

concessional terms for specific projects that have favorable implications for

the borrowers' economic development and a satisfactory rate of economic

return. Up to 1974, the fund's resources were allocated only to Arab League

members; thereafter they were extended to all developing countries. In

addition to project assistance Kuwait's aid eEfort included substantial

general support assistance to Egypt, Syria, and Jordan, following the 1967

Khartown conference. By the end of 1973, Kuwait had contributed a total of

about US$1,100 million to those "confrontation states". 9/

Between 1962 and 1973, the Kuwait Fund processed 45 projects to

twelve Arab countries, for a total commitment of US$370 million, and gross

disbursements of US$230 million. l The sectoraL distribution of loans was

diversified but generally tilted toward infrastructure: 28 percent for

agriculture, 18 percent for industry, and 54 percent for infrastructure, the

lion's share of which was in transport (37 percent). Agricultural loans went

mostly to Morocco, Sudan, and Tunisia. Industrial loans were distributed

throughout recipient countries. Transport loans were similarly distributed

throughout, but a large share went to Egypt; and electricity loans were

concentrated in Bahrain and Tunisia. During this phase (1962-73), Egypt was

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the largest recipient of Kuwait Fund loans (20 percent), followed by Sudan (17

percent), and Tunisia (14 percent).

The Kuwait Fund attached special importance to the overall social

objectives of projects, particularly to improving conditions in rural areas,

in neglected parts of the economy, or in underprivileged segments of the

population. Symptomatic of the fund's dynamism, even in those early years,

was the rapid expansion of its capital. From an initial capital of KD 50

million (US$140 million), the government doubled the fund's capital once in

1963, and once more in 1966 to KD 200 million (US$560 million). Later on,

during the 1970s, the fund continued to expand its capital dramatically, so

that by 1979 it had reached KD2,000 million (US$6900 million).

On the international investment front, the early activities of KIC

(50 percent government participation) were highly concentrated in

international financial instruments with diversified term structure such as

bank deposits, securities, papers and notes, and medium-term loans; they

averaged about 92 percent of the company's assets during 1965-70, none of

which were in developing countries. The remaining 8 percent were in direct

investment activities, which were concentrated in real estate and banking

throughout the Arab countries, Europe, the United States and Latin America.

The expressed policy of KIC for that period was to diversify investments to

assure a reasonable degree of safety, but at the same time maximize income.

In 1967, the KIC started underwriting and syndicating Eurodollar bonds and

convertible debentures for prime OECD borrowing agencies. In subsequent years

these activities expanded to agencies in some of the semi-industrial

developing countries in Latin America, the Middle East, and the Far East. 1I/

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By contrast, the activities of the Kuwait Foreign Trade, Contracting

and Investment Company (KFTCIC)--established in 1964, initially with 80

percent government participation--were more concentrated in direct

investments. At first the company had planned to invest mainly in developing

countries. However, this plan did not materialize because the company found

it much easier to invest in financial papers and securities from OECD

countries. During the 1960s it invested more than 85 percent of its resources

in OECD ventures. In finance activities, KFTCIC was to extend medium- and

long-term loans to companies that allowed conversion privileges, options, or

warrants, and thereby it was eventually to obtain equity positions in

enterprises without initially foregoing interest income. 121 By 1970 it is

estimated that the government has invested about US$4 billion abroad while the

private sector had indeterminate holdings roughly valued at US$1,200

million. 13/

Another important development that must be noted was the initiative

taken in 1964 by the Kuwaiti Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Egypt

to establish in Cairo one of the forerunners of the inter-Arab banks, the Arab

African Bank. Kuwait and Egypt each held 42.4 percent of the shares; Iraq

subscribed later on 10 percent of the bank's capital, and the remaining 5

percent was subscribed by the governments of Algeria, Jordan, and Qatar.

Although the bank was a joint-stock company operating under Egyptian law, it

was granted special status (similar to offshore facilities in other countries)

that made it exempt from taxes and exchange-control regulations and from

banking and credit legislation covering joint-stock companies. In view of the

fierce economic nationalism in Egypt, not to mention the nationalization of

banks less than three years earlier, the exceptions extended to the Arab

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African Bank indicated the esteem that Egyptian policymakers at the time

accorded inter-Arab financial cooperation.

The Arab African Bank was given a mandate to undertake all banking

and commercial operations in Arab and African countries, to participate in

development projects there, and to establish joint venture banks and

companies. By 1970, the Bank had a portfolio of 14 direct investment

projects--six in Africa (37 percent of the value of investments), seven in

Arab countries (49 percent), and one in Paris (14 percent) in a consortium

bank to support the development and trading activities of Arab countries. The

sectoral distribution of projects was balanced among agro-industries,

transport, tourism, housing, mining, and banking. During the 1970s, the Bank

significantly expanded its activities in African and Arab countries and

substantially increased its capital, thus becoming one of the leading finance

institutions in the Middle East. 14/

Another milestone on the road to the internationalization of Kuwaiti

financial institutions was passed in 1966 when several Kuwaiti commercial

banks in cooperation with the two investment houses of KIC and KFTCIC

established the London-based United Bank of Kuwait (UBK). London was chosen

because of the special economic and financial relations Kuwait had hitherto

had with Great Britain. The activities of UBK helped strengthen the position

of Kuwaiti banks in international operations. Furthermore, the success of UBK

and the continued accumulation of Kuwaiti private resources induced Kuwaiti

commercial and investment banks in 1969 to form the first Arab-Occidental

consortium bank with Societe Generale (Banque Franco-Arabe d'Investissements

Internationaux, known as FRAB Bank), which was to be based in Paris. This

international cooperation brought net gains to the principal participants:

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European banks gained access to petrocapital, while Kuwaiti banks acquired

modern banking techniques along with international experience and connections

that helped them develop the capacity to build new financial mechanisms and

service products. This new form of banking not on]y enabled both sides to

reap the benefits of the growing commerce between Europe and Arab countries,

but it also allowed them to share the costs and risks of the new operations.

FRAB's activities paved the way for the consortium banks established later,

such as the Union des Banques Arabes et Francaises (UBAF) in 1970, the

European Arab Bank (EAB) in 1972, and Banque Arabe et Internationale

d'Investissements (BAII) in 1973.

What is significant about these major Arab-Occidental consortium

banks is that they were all formed before 1974; Kuwait was involved in all of

them, sometimes substantially; and they all had European banks as major

partners. On all three points, the question is: Why? The fact that these

consortium banks were formed before 1974 is explained by the marked expansion

of oil revenues in the early 1970s, which took place even before the first

major oil price increase. Kuwait participated in all because of its

pioneering efforts in international financial ventures--both on the government

side (as in the case of KIC, KFTCIC, or the Arab African Bank) and or on the

private business side (as in the cases of UBK and BAII). 151 European banks

came to be the major overseas partners mainly because of their long-standing

interest in and familiarity with commerce and finance of Arab economies in

general and of the then rapidly growing economies of ahe Gulf in particular.

Developments since 1974

Like all the oil exporters, Kuwait saw -its oil revenues expand

remarkably and suddenly following the major increase in oil prices at the end

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of 1973. However, unlike most other oil exporters, Kuwait already had some

capital markets and financial institutions to cope with the resultant capital

flows. The 1970s witnessed major changes in those markets and institutions.

In addition, Kuwaiti institutions assumed an active role in international

financial intermediation and management of international portfolio and direct

investments; they also took a leading role in official aid and concessional

assistance, and in the cofinancing of development projects.

With the growth of a large network of commercial banks and money

exchanges operating domestically and internationally, the short-term capital

market became more firmly established. Better job opportunities and pay

brought waves of expatriate workers from neighboring developing countries to

Kuwait. The needs of those expatriates and their newly established purchasing

power induced a commercial and construction boom, and with it changes in the

scope and size of local credit and financial institutions. Encouraged by the

government's policy of no exchange controls, expatriates remitted significant

amounts of resources to their countries of origin, and local financial

institutions captured the opportunity for profit by accommodating these

important and rapidly growing capital flows. New commercial banks were

established, and old banks expanded into new branches. Increased financial

flows created pressures to use available investment opportunities, both in

Kuwait and abroad. The economy's capacity to absorb short-term funds--

although it had expanded significantly during the early 1970s in comparison

with the 1960s--quickly reached its limits in the mid-1970s, and medium-term

opportunities became more attractive.

As the market for construction materials, intermediate products,

food, and consumer goods expanded, a number of import-substitution industries

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began to appear more economically viable. The Industrial Bank of Kuwait was

thus established in 1974 to extend medium-term loans to those industries at

subsidized rates of interest. Because real estate expansion called for more

than the rollover of short-term credit, the Kuwait Real Estate Investment

Consortium (KREIC) was established in 1975 to respond to such opportunities.

Meanwhile, international outlets became increasingly attractive, and before

long a number of such institutions were establishecd: Kuwait International

Investment Company in 1975, the Financial Group of Kuwait in 1976, and the

Arab European Financial Management Company, also in 1976. These, together

with the already established KIC and KFTCIC, helped develop Kuwait's medium-

term capital market.

The medium-term capital market expanded rapidly as a result of two

factors: the growing opportunities for medium-term credit, especially outside

Kuwait; and the increasing sophistication and experience of some Kuwaiti

financial institutions. Activities now included participation in

international loan syndication; lending to multilateral organizations such as

the World Bank and Asian Development Bank; participation in the IMF oil

facility; and the establishment of the Arab Company for Trading Securities

(ACTS), whose main function was to provide a secondary market for financial

investments. For a while, it appeared that the most significant steps in the

development of Kuwait's medium-term capital market were the denomination in

Kuwaiti dinar (KD) of some international bonds and the participation of

Kuwaiti institutions in managing those bonds. By the end of 1982, Kuwaiti

institutions had participated in the management of 104 KD bond issues totaling

about US$3 billion, equivalent to 40 percent of the total value of bonds

managed by all Arab institutions. Subsequently, Kuwaiti authorities appeared

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to have second thoughts about the internationalization of the dinar, and

argued that the process was nothing more than a borrowers' scheme to obtain

dollars at lower interest rates.

Through the expertise and talent assembled in the Kuwait Fund, Kuwait

took a leading role in establishing and managing a number of multilateral

development organizations: the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development

in 1968; the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa (BADEA) and the

Inter-Arab Investment Guarantee Corporation, both in 1974; the OPEC Fund in

1976; and the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) in

1977. 16/

(These and other contributions of the Kuwait Fund are discussed in section IV.)

The Financial Flows (1961-84)

The volume of financial inflows and outflows managed by Kuwaiti

institutions is not reliably known; it is estimated here from various

sources. The reporting covers the period since Kuwait's independence, that

is, during 1961-84 (see table 2). Even though the discussion emphasizes 1974

as a significant point in the development of Kuwaiti financial institutions,

the pattern of estimated financial flows actually falls into three distinct

periods, in line with oil price movements: 1961-73, preceding the first major

oil price increase; 1974-78, following the first major oil price increase; and

1979-84, following the second major oil price increase.

The quality of the data in table 2 is manifestly uneven, as the

sources ranged from Kuwaiti government statistics in the cases of export

revenues, imports and official aid, to balance of payments estimates modified

by independent findings in the case of workers remittances, to fragmented and

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Table 2 Financial Flows Handled by Kuwaiti Institutions: 1961-84

(billions of U.S. dollars)

Financial Outflows

Total Imports from Official

Export Total Developing Aid Workers' Private Total

Period Revenue Imports Countries Disbursements Remittances Investments Outflows

1961-73 20.2 7.0 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 11.4

1974-78 50.2 16.7 3.9 4.4 1.7 4.1 26.9

1979-84 88.8 42.0 10.2 6.0 4.1 4.3 56.4

Total 159.2 65.7 15.8 11.8 7.3 9.9 94.7

Sources and Notes: For the period 1961-73, see footnote 8 above, Total export revenues

and imports are from International Financial Statistics, annual;; share of imports from

developing countries from Kuwait's Central Statistical Office, Annual Statistical

Abstract. Official aid is from two sources: OECD, Aid from OPEC countries, Paris 1983,

for the period up to 1978 and OPEC Fund, OPEC Aid and OPEC Aid Institutions, no. 4 (1984),

for later years. Workers' remittances are from IMF, Yearbook of Balance of Payments

Statistics, annual, modified by fragmentary data on wage rate, employment and savings of

non-Kuwaitis from family budget studies reported in Kuwait's Annual Statistical

Abstract. Private investments from several sources including Middle East Economic Survey,

various issues; Mahmoud Abdel Fadil, Al Naft Wal Wihda Alarabia (Arabic) (Beirut 1985)Annex tables, Traute Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and Islamic Banks, (Paris: OECD 1983); M.W.

Khouja and P.G. Sadler, The Economy of Kuwait (London: Macmillal, 1979); and John Law,

Arab Investors: Who They are, What they Buy, and Where? (New York: Chase World Information

Corporation, 1981).

occasionally conflicting sources in the case of private investments.

Nonetheless, a number of observations can be made: (a) total export revenues

during the 1961-84 period was about US$159 billion, 56 percent of which

occurred after the second major oil price increase; (b) the total

international financial outflows handled by Kuwaiti institutions during the

1961-84 period was about US$95 billion, 60 percent o:E which occured after the

second major oil price increase; (c) the largest cat:egory by far in Kuwait's

financial outflows was import financing, which accounted for 69 percent of the

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flows; (d) although investment data are not as specific as would be

desirable,it appears that the share of developing countries in private

investments was about one-half; (e) accordingly, the share of developing

countries in total Kuwaiti financial outflows was about US$40 billion, or 42

percent of the total; and (f) the composition of total outflows to developing

countries revealed that trade was more important than aid, and that workers

remittances were more significant than private investments.

Such flows together with the range of financial institutions

established as a result of financial growth have rendered Kuwait a major

financial center in the Arab region, especially in the Gulf. This center did

not develop overnight. It took nearly three decades of trial and error on the

domestic front and patient and prudent management of private and government

capital on the international front. Since the early 1980s, however, Kuwait's

standing as a financial center has been affected in varying degrees by several

crises: the Iran-Iraq war has practically wiped out Kuwait's once-thriving

re-export trade; the continued financial support for Iraq in its war with Iran

has placed increasing burdens on Kuwaiti resources; the collapse of the

parallel stock exchange (Suq al Manakh) has shaken the confidence of the small

tightly knit financial community; the serious decline in oil revenues has

added to the financial strains; the end of the once seemingly endless real

estate boom has put many institutions and individuals in a tight liquidity

squeeze; and the 1984 banking crisis associated with a 15 percent fall in the

collective profits of commercial banks has interrupted the momentum of the

country's leading banking and finance sector.

Despite the damaging effects of these crises, there is no denying

that Kuwait continues to possess a wide range of financial and investment

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institutions that have become especially attuned to the international and

regional economic realities of the 1980s and to the present and future

challenges of the financial markets. Without deliberately setting out to

become a model for other capital surplus countries in the Gulf, Kuwait seems

to have taken on this role. It is a model that offers a number of important

lessons.

III. The International Orientation of Arab Financial Institutions

To reiterate, the internationalization of Kuwait's financial system

did not occur in vacuum, but was a part of an evolving process. Kuwait's

story is one of a domestic financial system that could not fully absorb the

liquidity associated with major oil revenue inflows. About two decades later,

the same situation developed in some of the other oil-exporting countries,

though in varying degrees. Their experience provides the basis for this

discussion of the activities of Arab financial institutions in developing

countries.

This section looks at several aspects of the international

orientation of Arab financial institutions: (a) the role of external financial

and banking interests in the development of short-term capital markets in the

low absorbers; (b) the institutional mechanisms that helped the low absorbers

enter the financial markets in general and the developing countries in

particular; (c) the activities of Arab banks in those markets; (d) the

emergence of centers of Arab banking and finance inside and outside the Arab

region; and (e) the role of Islamic banks in finance, investment, and the

development of some developing countries.

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The Modest Beginning

Commercial banking developed much earlier among the high absorbers

(Algeria and Iraq) than among the low absorbers (the Gulf states). Long

before national interests had reached the point of establishing fully owned

modern Arab banks in the oil countries, commercial banking in those countries

was established and operated by foreign interests: the French in Algeria, the

Italians in Libya, the Dutch in Saudi Arabia, and the British in the rest.

The French established Banque d'Algerie in 1851. The Italians established

Banco di Roma in Libya in 1910. The Dutch established Nederlandsche Handel

Maatschappij as the first commercial bank in Saudi Arabia in 1926. And the

British established the Eastern Bank in Bahrain in 1920, long before the

British Bank of the Middle East became dominant in many Gulf protectorates

during their pre-independence years.

By and large, these banks served the foreign commercial and business

interests, whether of those residing in the oil countries or elsewhere.

Foreign banks derived their main business from financing external trade. In

the Gulf states, however, foreign banks were set up in anticipation of a major

expansion in local business following the successful exploration for oil.

At the same time, the indigenous communities had their own long

traditions and practices in trading, business, and money exchange and thus had

little or no need for modern commercial banking. For example, prominent

merchants collected deposits from acquaintances, financed import trade

transactions themselves, and in some cases acted as lenders to the ruling

families. 171 Financial dualism was thus embedded in the socioeconomic

structure of the oil countries, whose ancient institutions coexisted with

modern institutions, each serving the distinct financial and commercial

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interests and needs of vastly different communities. From such a modest

beginning, some of the local banks managed to establish international presence

and stature.

In most oil countries, social modernization was closely related to

the discovery of oil in commercial quantities. The oil revenues that the

governments received, though initially small, began to finance the most

essential parts of the infrastructure. These rather limited, but continuing,

flows of government expenditures had an unmistakable multiplier effect on the

domestic economy through contracts with local merchants for goods and

services, employment of nationals, the purchasing or leasing of land, renting

of office space, and so on. Especially noticeable was the boom in land

values, which contributed to local prosperity, as it had twenty years earlier

in Kuwait. As incomes in the private sector increased, so did expenditures,

especially on imported consumer goods and durables. The resident foreign

communities profited in two related ways: through increased import trade in

which they actively participated and at times dominated, and through

commercial banks that they owned or controlled to finance imports or domestic

trading. As oil revenues expanded further over time, the consumption and

investment expenditures by government and private entities also expanded. The

corresponding monetary flows increased, as did the need to expand the

institutions managing those flows.

With the establishment of modern banks in the oil countries, the

financial dualism there began to disappear. Among the first to initiate the

trend was Saudi Arabia's family-owned National Commercial Bank, which began

its operations in Jeddah in 1938. Next came Iraq's government-owned Rafidain

Bank in Baghdad in 1941; Tripoli's National Bank of Libya in 1955; the

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National Bank of Bahrain in 1957; the National Bank of Dubai in 1963; the

government-owned National Bank of Abu Dhabi in 1968; and Muscat's National

Bank of Oman in 1973.

However, foreign banking activities in the oil countries did not

cease at that point. In several cases, the rise of modern Arab banks

coincided with the growth and expansion of foreign banks. Both groups

followed the commercial banking practices of the metropolitan countries; in

particular, they concentrated on short-term commercial loans, related for the

most part to external and internal trading. In some countries (such as

Bahrain, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Qatar, and Oman), Arab and foreign banks (fully

owned, or branch offices) have continued to coexist right up to the present.

In other countries, commercial banks were nationalized following Cairo's

example in 1961: Iraq nationalized its entire banking system in 1964, Algeria

in 1965, Libya in 1970, and Kuwait in 1971.

Saudi Arabia followed a middle course, and allowed both national and

fully owned foreign commercial banks to expand until 1974, when they had 12

banks with 72 branches. i8/ Significantly, 10 of the 12 banks operating in

the country at that time were foreign owned and operated. 19/ However, in

1975 the Saudi government launched a "Saudization" campaign, completed in

1981, under which all non-Saudi banks had to accept 60 percent Saudi

ownership.

As already noted in section I, even before the first major oil price

increase, financial flows into the low absorbers increased significantly

following the moves in oil prices in 1971 and 1972, which expanded the

activities of Arab and foreign banks. Up to that point, existing financial

institutions had been able to handle the resultant financial flows. However,

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the economies of the low absorbers as a whole were not prepared to handle the

enormous expansion in oil revenues that followed soon thereafter.

The Years of Affluence

The new reality of surplus capital created the need for more complex

financial systems and more sophisticated banking institutions. The existing

local systems quickly became overloaded and soon both local and international

financial markets were responding to the surplus capital. In the local

markets, entrepreneurs pushed local activities in trade and construction to

record levels. In a short period, large flows of workers came into the oil

countries from neighboring and distant countries seeking better work

opportunities and higher pay. For a few years, expatriate workers' demands

for goods, services, and housing appeared to continue practically unchecked.

The substantial profits that local businessmen, made in a short period

encouraged them to become more aggressive in trading and investing. They

moved from the traditional ways of financing activities with their own capital

to borrowing, sometimes heavily, from the local banks, which were awash in

liquidity. For a while, the supply of funds in most Arab oil-exporting

countries appeared to be virtually unlimited and the question was to what

extent could local entrepreneurs absorb borrowed funds. Under these

conditions, the cost of capital was low and conditions of lending were quite

relaxed. Loans were made not on the basis of feasibility studies or balance

sheets, but on the strength of the individual applicant's family connections

and personal reputation. The short-term capital market was thus pushed into

an environment of unbounded optimism.

On the international front, a large part of the funds generated was

quickly channeled into larger and more diverse marlkets; this move signaled the

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birth of the so-called recycling problem in international financial markets.

The Euromarket, which was emerging in the early 1970s, was given a major boost

from the capital surplus flowing through Arab and non-Arab institutions. The

Euromarket which was relatively free of supervision, inspired innovation and

aggressive banking that not only attracted Arab capital, but eventually

attracted Arab institutions themselves to become participants. 20/

The hitherto Kuwait-dominated consortium banks attracted other Arab

financial institutions after 1974, thereby changing the structure of their

ownership and management. As the size and country composition of Arab

financial flows changed, the functions of the consortium banks evolved beyond

their initial objectives, as will be shown below.

The consortium bank formula appealed to Arab financial institutions

just as it had appealed to Kuwaiti institutions earlier. Few Arab banks had

been exposed to international banking techniques and international financial

and investment know-how, and their connections in international banking and

business circles were rather limited. To break into these new domains the new

Arab banks had to take risks that they were not willing to take on their own,

especially when the stakes were quite high with the markedly increasing

petrocapital flows. The idea of sharing costs and risks with leading European

banks, just as Kuwaiti banks had done before, appeared a particularly

attractive solution. Some Arab banks, in fact, joined in existing Kuwaiti-

European consortium banks. Others preferred to establish new Arab-Occidental

consortium banks. The consortium banking formula was a marriage of

convenience that brought benefits to both the European and Arab banks.

Although FRAB was initially started by Kuwaiti banks and Societe

General, it evolved quickly and soon included other Arab banks from Saudi

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Arabia, UAE, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco and OECD banks from Belgium,

Holland, Switzerland, Spain, Greece, and Japan. Similarly, UBAF became a

consortium of many Arab and OECD institutions. On UBAF's Arab side alone,

there were eleven commercial banks, five central banks, nine government banks,

and a ministry of finance. The pattern was about the same in BAII and EAB.

Although most consortium banks were initially set up to promote Arab-

Occidental business relations, their mandate expanded quickly to cover a wide

range of activities, including commercial banking, trade fin*ncing, fo*eign

exchange, money market, and loan syndication. Some, however, still added

special features to their services. In order to attract the rich individual

Arab investors, BAII, for example, initiated, real estate management,

insurance, and stock market programs. Thus, BAII was acting as a financial

advisor to Arab investors. In addition, the bank became quite active in the

Eurobond market, managing large issues in both OECD and Arab currencies

(including UAE dirham, Kuwaiti dinar, and Bahraini dinar).

The participation of an increasing number of non-Kuwaiti Arab banks

in existing consortium banks accelerated their growth momentum and enabled

them to enter into joint ventures with leading banks in the major financial

centers of London, New York, Rome, Luxembourg, Frankfurt, and Hong Kong. In

addition, consortium banks established Asian branches and/or joint ventures in

Seoul, Tokyo, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and Singapore to

facilitate trade and investment transactions with that vital part of the

world. 21/ The waves of business and financial opportunities involving the

newly created oil-related wealth led to the establishment of specialized

international banks to promote bilateral cooperation between Mediterranean

countries and Arab countries. Thus, the Banco Arab-Espanol (Aresbank) was

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established in Madrid in 1975 with a capital of US$19 million; the Banco

Saudi-Espanol (Saudesbank) was established also in Madrid in 1979 with a

capital of US$53 million; the Arab-Hellenic Bank was established in Athens in

1979 with a capital of US$15 million; and the Arab-Turkish Bank was

established in Istanbul in 1977 with a capital of US$20 million. Some of the

activities of these bilateral banks were short-term oriented; others were

investment oriented, and financed projects in host countries. An example of

short-term activities, was the Arab-Turkish Bank's active involvement in

financing the rapidly growing Arab-Turkish trade, repatriating the increased

flows of Turkish workers remittances especially from Saudi Arabia, and issuing

of international guarantees for Turkish contractors working in Arab countries,

notably Libya and Saudi Arabia.

Arab banks were present not only in international financial centers

and Mediterranean capitals, but also in Latin America. The Arab-Latin

American Bank (Arlabank) was set up in Lima in 1977 as a consortium bank to

promote financial cooperation and industrial and commercial relations between

Arab and Latin American countries. The activities of the Arlabank include

trade financing between the two regions; merchant and commercial banking; and

joint ventures in mining, agriculture, and petrochemicals. It appears that,

by the late 1970s, Arab financial institutions had responded to the new

international business challenges by establishing a global network.

Centers of Arab Banking

The rapid growth of Arab banking was associated with the development

of major clusterings of Arab banks in several cities/states. In the Arab

region, Kuwait, Bahrain, and, to a lesser extent, Cairo emerged as such

centers. Other clusters grew up in London, Paris, New York, Geneva,

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Frankfurt, Singapore, and Hong Kong. Arab regional centers shifted over

time. Up to the late 1960s, Beirut was the zacknowledged center of Arab

banking and finance. Although the focal point of Arab banking shifted from

Lebanon to the Gulf in the early 1970s, no Arab city could entirely replace

Beirut in its diverse financial functions. 221 Within the Gulf, a degree of

specialization was evident by the late 1970s, with Kuwait emerging as an

investment center and Bahrain as a money market center. For a while, Dubai

appeared on its way to becoming a merchant bankinag center, but this has not

transpired. As Kuwait was already covered in section II, this section

presents some detail on Bahrain.

Bahrain became an Arab center of finance through a combination of

factors: the government's need to diversify the domestic economic base, the

adoption of flexible policies to achieve the diversification strategy, the

country's special locational advantages, the traditional orientation of

Bahrainis to private enterprise, and the absence of chauvinistic pressures.

Equally important was the 'community orientation' of other Gulf countries

towards Bahrain; e.g. the early inter-Gulf countries financial institutions

were established in Bahrain (Bank of Bahrain and Kuwait, and the Gulf Bank).

In the early 1970s, Bahrain's oil exports began to decline because of

dwindling oil resources. The government subsequently adopted a three-pronged

diversification strategy to prepare Bahrain for the postoil era: It promoted

energy-intensive industries (aluminum), servicing of oil tanker traffic in the

Gulf (drydock), and financial services. Both the drydock and financial

services derive from Bahrain's advantageous location close to the shores of

Saudi Arabia in the middle of the Gulf. The island thus provides oil tankers

with a desirable repairs and maintenance stop. Moreover, Bahrain's time zone

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allows it to deal with financial centers running from London to New York, San

Francisco, Tokyo, and Singapore since it can conduct foreign exchange business

after Singapore closes, but before the European centers open. In addition,

Bahrain's long association with international commerce has helped it to excel

in finance. Individually, Bahrainis prefer business activities to government

employment. Collectively, they welcome and work quite well with foreign

businessmen, regardless of their national origins. No national sensitivities

are stirred in Bahrain with presence or growth of multinational enterprises,

and the relationships with other Arab states in the Gulf have been excellent.

Foreign banks unable to establish themselves in Kuwait or Saudi

Arabia because of legal barriers have found Bahrain a convenient

alternative. With the 1975 legislation of offshore banking units (OBUs)

modeled along the lines of operations in Singapore and in the Cayman Islands,

Bahrain became a highly attractive banking center. Most major banks

established branch offices, and by 1983 there were 21 commercial banks, 63

representative offices (35 in 1980), 16 investment companies, 6 foreign

exchange brokers, 77 OBUs (51 in 1980), and another 2 OBUs licensed to start.

23/ The rapid expansion of foreign banking is particularly evident in the

numbers of representative offices and OBUs. In fact, "the list of Bahrain

banks reads almost like a roll call of the world's most famous institutions."

24/ In institutional range, Bahrain has begun to rival such international

banking centers as Singapore, Hong Kong, Luxembourg, and Nassau, and its

banking community is growing more and more diverse.

The direction of capital flows into and out of Bahrain is

noteworthy. For the most part, capital flows into Bahrain originate in the

Arab countries and Western Europe. The share of Arab countries as sources of

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funds steadily expanded from 50 percent in 1978 to 66 percent in 1983; that of

Western Europe steadily declined from 30 percent in 1978 to 21 percent in

1983; and that of other sources combined (such as the United States or Asia)

also declined, from 20 percent in 1978 to 14 percent in 1983. Capital from

Bahrain flows to borrowers practically everywhere. IIowever, Bahrain is a net

exporter of funds to the Far East (Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo), Asia, Latin

America, and lately Western Europe. 25/ The fact that 66 percent of the funds

originate in Arab countries while about 50 percent is lent to Arab clients has

led observers to conclude that Bahrain was a center for recycling oil revenues

to the outside world.

Assets of OBUs increased rapidly over a short time span, from US$23.4

billion in 1978 to US$62.7 billion at the end of 1983. Significantly,

however, the pace of growth was not uniform throughout this period. It

accelerated initially, reached a peak of some 35 percent during 1981, then

decelerated to a mere 6 percent during 1983. Although the picture for 1984 is

still incomplete, the volume of OBU assets appears to be declining for the

first time. 26/ This reversal of the growth momentum is the result of several

factors: the serious decline in oil revenues flowing to the oil-exporting

states, the related decline in the volume of shipping maintenance/repairs in

the dry dock, the continued war between neighboring Iraq and Iran, the

accumulation of bad debts, and the related regional banking crisis in recent

years. Overt signs of trouble for OBUs began to appear in 1984 with the

departure of some banks, such as Security Pacific, and early in 1985 with the

distress sale of the Arab Asian Bank to a minority shareholder and the major

reorganization of the United Gulf Bank.

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Before the crisis finally settles, Bahrain's financial environment

seems headed for more shakeouts. Furthermore, the major reforms in banking

policies instituted in neighboring Saudi Arabia and Kuwait may seriously

diminish the short-term excess liquidity that OBUs can absorb from these

countries. Thus, for the forseeable future the Bahraini economy is likely to

be vulnerable to external shocks. Nevertheless, Bahrain continues to be both

a regional center for Arab banks and a link in their international

activities. At the same time, policymakers are concerned about the depth of

the ongoing crisis.

Elsewhere in the Arab region, Cairo has been making an effort to

become a center of Arab banking (though not without difficulty). By 1983, it

was the host to about 30 Arab banks, of which 14 were commercial banks, 9

investment banks, and 7 representative offices. Egypt's special relations

with sister Arab states, its large labor exports to the oil countries and the

resultant substantial remittances, its Infitah policy (open door) and the

associated banking reforms, its large and growing absorptive capacity, its

good location and relative political stability have all induced Arab banks to

establish a presence in Cairo.

The difficulties Cairo has faced in becoming an Arab banking center

stem in part from the vagaries of Middle East politics, examples of which are

the Arab boycott of Egypt following the Camp David accords with Israel and

Sadat's assasination. Even greater constraints have been imposed by

nonpolitical factors, most notably the Egyptian bureaucracy. For this reason,

Cairo's position in Arab banking circles will depend crucially on government

initiative to minimize restrictions on currency transfers, establish

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consistent macro management, and do away with the confused multiple exchange

system.

By and large, the first modern banking institutions in Arab countries

have been branches of either British or French banks, the reason being that

some Arab territories were colonies of Britain or France during the last two

centuries. This long association affected the direction in which Arab banks

expanded during the early 1970s. That is to say, London and Paris naturally

became the first international centers to host Arab financial institutions,

and they still remain the two largest international centers of Arab banking.

It is difficult to determine exactly how many "Arab" banks are located in

London, but a 1983 list shows 60 banks, 3 of which were established before

1970, 12 during 1970-75, 22 during 1976-80, 16 after 1980, and the remaining 7

at an unknown time. 271 Paris, the second largest center of Arab financial

institutions abroad, hosts about 39 Arab banks, 3 of which were established

before 1970, 7 during 1970-75, 26 during 1976-80, and 3 after 1980. 28/ It

should be noted, however, that lately Arab banks in Paris have become

uncertain about their future in face of France's recent program of bank

nationalizations, which have included French share-holdings in Arab consortia.

In the early 1980s, several other centers emerged as international

bases of Arab financial institutions, fundamentally because of their position

in the expanding trade, finance, and investment relations with the oil-

exporting countries. Of these, New York is the world center of dollar

transactions and the base of most U.S. giant banks with which Arab governments

and individuals have deposited large sums; it hosts 19 Arab banks, only 3 of

which were established before 1980. The United States is the largest trading

partner of many oil exporters in the Arab region, and the need for trade

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financing will not diminish. To the private Arab investors, the United States

provides a safe base and the most numerous and diversified investment

opportunities.

Singapore and Hong Kong are key centers of commerce, finance, and

investments in the Far East; Singapore hosts 19 Arab banks, while Hong Kong

hosts 15. With the announcement that Hong Kong will be returned to China,

this center may have lost some of its attractiveness to Arab banks.

Switzerland is another traditional banking center with which the Arabs have

had a long association; it hosts 15 Arab banks. Other centers are mostly

Mediterranean bases with which the Arab countries share their culture,

history, and commerce; these include Cyprus, Rome, Athens, and Madrid. By the

early 1980s, the international network of Arab banks had reached into both the

major and minor finance centers of the world.

Islamic Banks

Any discussion of the international orientation of Arab banks would

be remiss if it failed to mention Islamic banks. Major capital inflows to

OPEC countries, many of which are Moslem countries, created challenges to

establish Islamic financial institutions, first within their own borders then

internationally. This is said to be part of a broader revival of Islam and

its values. To the world's Moslems, an Islamic economic order represents an

alternative to capitalist and socialist systems. The principles of Islamic

economics derive from Shari'a, the legal system based on the Quran (the Holy

Book of Islam) and Sunna (the traditions of the Prophet Muhammad). Instead of

a lender-borrower relationship, Islamic finance relies on the notion of

distributive justice, that of equitable risk sharing by the sources of capital

(banks) and the users of capital (entrepreneurs).

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The first Islamic bank was privately established in Egypt in 1962,

but it was not until 1975 that the concept of Islamic financial institutions

received a major boost with the establishment of the Islamic Development Bank,

which was capitalized at 2 billion SDRs and whose membership consisted of more

than 40 Moslem country governments. About two-thirds of its capital came from

four Arab oil countries: Saudi Arabia (25 percent), Libya (16 percent), the

UAE (14 percent), and Kuwait (13 percent). The Islamic Development Bank is

commissioned to foster economic development and social progress in the member

countries according to Islamic law. To provide technical advice and promote

cooperation among Islamic banks, it helped establish the International

Association of Islamic Banks (IAIB) in 1978. The rapid expansion of Islamic

banks after the late 1970s created substantial demands for staff training,

which could not be adequately met by IAIB. Another agency was thus

established for the specific purpose of training the staff of Islamic banks.

This agency was the International Institute of Islamic Banking and Economics,

established in 1982 in Lefkosa, Cyprus. 29/

Most Islamic banks were established in the late 1970s and early

1980s. At present, some thirty Islamic financial institutions operate in

Arab, Moslem, and other countries. Among the Arab countries they operate in

Egypt, Sudan, Jordan, and the Gulf, and of the other Moslem countries,

Pakistan, Iran, Bangladesh, and Malaysia have Islamic banks. They can also be

found in non-Moslem countries (e.g., the Philippines, South Africa, Nassau,

Luxembourg, Cyprus, and Australia); and some are present in financial centers

such as London and Geneva. For the most part, Islamic banks depend on

private, not governmental, initiative. The most notable exception is Kuwait

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Finance House, established in 1978 with a 49 percent government shareholding,

which was increased to 60 percent in 1984. 30/

The distinction between commercial and investment banks is not quite

applicable to Islamic banks, because their operations are of a different type,

the most common being Morabaha, Mosharaka, Modaraba, and to a lesser extent,

Ijara and Ijara wa Iqtina. Morabaha refers to the resale of goods with the

addition of a fixed surcharge on the original cost, on a deferred payment

basis. Under the Mosharaka principle, an Islamic bank and a client establish

a partnership, sharing profits and losses until the time, normally fixed, when

the client will buy out the bank's holding. The Modaraba contract is a silent

partnership that clearly distinguishes between the capital source (bank) and

the entrepreneur (modareb) who manages the project. Remuneration is based on

a predetermined percentage of profits, whereas losses are to be borne by

capital providers alone; the modareb foregoes remuneration for his work.

Ijara is rental financing where the bank acquires equipment or buildings and

makes them available on a straightforward rental basis. The Ijara wa Iqtina

is hire-purchase financing which works in a similar way to Ijara, except that

the client may acquire the rented assets by paying installments into a savings

account. 31/

The assets of some of the leading Islamic banks have grown rapidly,

averaging about 38 percent per year in 1982 and 1983 (see Table 3). However,

the size of these banks measured in absolute and relative terms is still quite

small. The collective assets of the sample of banks shown in table 3 was

US$1.5 billion in 1981, US$3.9 billion in 1982, and US$5.3 billion in 1983.

Significantly, the Kuwait Finance House alone accounted for about half of the

assets of this group. The assets of the group are dwarfed by those of the

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Table 3 Assets of Selected Islamic Banks

(millions of indicated currencies)

Year Assets

Bank Location Established Denomination 1982 1983

Faisal Islamic Bank Cairo 1977 U.S. dollar 997 1,504

Islamic International Bank Cairo 1980 U.S. dollar 89 412

Dar Almaal Al islami Geneva 1981 U.S. dollar 310 286

Kuwait Finance House Kuwait 1978 Kuwaiti dinar 569 800

Faisal Islamic Bank Khartoum 1977 Sudanese Pound 278 n.a.

Dubai Islamic Bank Dubai 1975 UAE dirham 509 805

Jordan Islamic Bank Amman 1978 Jordanian dinar 45 72

Bahrain Islamic Bank Manama 1978 Arab dinar a! 29 n.a.

Total in million U.S. dollar equivalent 3,872 5,320

Note: n.a. denotes not available.

a. One Arab dinar equals one SDR.

The Islamic Development Bank (IDB) was excluded from the table because its functions

and objectives differ significantly from the rest of the banks shown. Relevant dataon IDB appear instead with other similar development organizations in section IV.

Sources: Annual reports of banks shown, and Middle East Economic Survey, several 1984 issues.

leading Arab banks (see table 4). For example, the collective assets of the

identified sample were less than one-fourth of the assets of the Rafidain Bank

of Baghdad, which, as the largest Arab bank in 1983, ranked 83rd on the

Banker's 500 list. This group's assets were at about the same level as those

of the Credit Populaire d'Algerie, whose rank was 291 on the Banker's 500

list.

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In view of their relative size, Islamic banks thus far have not

offered an alternative banking formula. However, such an assessment is not

fair because Islamic banks have been in existence for no more than a decade

whereas conventional banks as we know them today have evolved over a period of

more than two centuries. What is clear, however, is that the institutional

framework of Islamic banks is in place and that their connections with centers

of international finance and Moslem countries are already firmly established.

Furthermore, it appears that Islamic banks can carve out a specialized role

for themselves in servicing Moslem communities throughout the world. In

particular, Islamic banks are ideally suited to mobilizing resources from the

world's large Moslem communities, which in principle refuse the notion of

'Riba' (interest charging and receiving). In the Islamic view this is the

principal tenet of modern banking. In Saudi Arabia alone, Islamic banks have

considerable potential among households that do not have bank accounts,

estimated to be 35-60 percent of total Saudi households. How Islamic banks

will perform this specific task remains to be seen.

The increased popularity of Islamic banks could not have been due to

especially favorable returns on deposits and equity or to unusually high

dividends on paid-up capital, by comparison with commercial banks. During the

period 1980-82 returns on deposits and equity in Islamic banks have been in

the range of 2-16 percent while those of the nine commercial banks in Saudi

Arabia have been in the range of 27-47 percent. Neither was there a

correlation between returns on deposits/equity and growth of assets, i.e. the

fastest growing Islamic banks were not necessarily the best performers. The

only logical explanation of growth of Islamic banks is their special appeal to

devout Moslems whose numbers are increasing worldwide. 32/ Growth

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differentials in the size of Islamic banks may partly be explained by

differences in the connections of bank chiefs with sources of funds.

Since 1983, both Arab and Islamic banks have experienced setbacks

owing to a number of factors, any one of which they would have been able to

weather under normal business conditions in the Gulf. It is the combination

of all these factors--the decline in oil revenues, the end of the real estate

boom, the fall in precious metal prices, the post-Manakh crisis, and the Iran-

Iraq war--that has reversed the fortunes of many banks, including Islamic

banks, and caught them in a difficult liquidity sctueeze. 33/

Size of Arab Banks

As the preceding sections have shown, Arab banks have recorded rapid

growth in recent years. The list of the largest 500 banks compiled by The

Banker (in terms of assets) contained only seventeen Arab banks in 1980. In

1983 the same list had nearly double that number, thirty-two Arab banks. Even

though oil revenues declined significantly duri.ng that three-year period,

assets of Arab banks expanded faster than averag,s, so that more banks joined

the largest 500 list, replacing others in the process. In terms of assets,

however, Arab banks continue to be small in comparison with the industry

leaders. In 1983, the assets of the largest Arab bank, Rafidain Bank of

Baghdad, were US$22.4 billion, which amounted to only 18 percent of the assets

of Citicorp, the world's largest banking corporation. Nevertheless, the gap

between Arab banks and the industry leaders has been narrowing. In 1980

Citicorp's assets were greater than the combined assets of all 17 Arab banks

on the list, but by 1983 they were 76 percent of the combined assets of the

largest 17 Arab banks, and 57 percent of the combined assets of all 32 Arab

banks appearing on the list.

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Table 4 Largest Arab Banks

(1980 and 1983)

Year Assets (USSbillion) 1983

Bank Headquarters Established 1980 1983 Rank

1. Rafidain Bank Baghdad 1941 8.8 22.4 83

2. National Commercial Bank Jeddah 1983 14.9 14.7 119

3. Bank of Credit & Commerce Luxembourg 1972 5.3 12.3 136

International

4. B. Nationale d'Algerie Algiers 1966 6.3 11.4 146

5. Union de Banques Arabes Paris 1970 4.8 11.2 148

et Francaises

6. Arab Bank Amman 1930 7.1 10.4 157

7. National Bank of Kuwait Kuwait 1952 5.0 9.0 171

8. Arab Banking Corp. Bahrain 1980 1.9 8.8 175

9. Commercial Bank of Syria Damascus 1967 3.3 8.6 178

10. Riyad Bank Jeddah 1957 4.2 7.8 199

11. National Bank of Egypt Cairo 1898 4.4 7.5 208

12. Gulf International Bank Bahrain 1975 2.9 7.4 211

13. Banque Exterieure d'Algerie Aigiers 1967 5.9 7.4 214

14. Gulf Bank Kuwait 1960 4.2 7.1 2-22

15. Commercial Bank of Kuwait Kuwait 1961 5.1 6.6 238

16. National Bank of Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi 1968 4.7 6.1 252

17. Banque Misr Cairo 1920 3.7 6.1 254

18. Alahli Bank of Kuwait Kuwait 1967 4.7 5.8 269

19. Credit Populaire d'Algerie Algiers 1966 3.0 5.2 291

20. Banque du Caire Cairo 1952 2.4 4.6 329

21. Arab African International Cairo 1964 2.7 4.4 333

Bank

22. Suadi International Bank London 1975 2.7 4.0 358

23. Bank of Kuwait & The Kuwait 1971 2.0 3.6 398

Middle East

24. Saudi American Bank Riyadh 1980 2.1 3.5 399

25. National Commercial B.a Tripoli 1970 2.1 3.4 418

26. Compagnie Arabe et Luxembourg 1973 2.4 3.3 427

Internationale

d'Investissement

27. Al Bank Al Saudi Al Jeddah 1977 3.2 3.2 437

Faransi

28. Bank of Alexandria Cairo 1957 1.8 3.2 443

29. Wahda Bank Benghazi 1970 2.5 3.0 459

30. Jamahyria Bank Tripoli 1969 1.3 2.5 489

31. Libyan Arab Foreign Bank Tripoli 1972 3.7 2.5 491

32. Burgan Bank Kuwait 1975 1.5 2.3 500

Sources: The Banker, June 1984; and Alexander E. Fleming, "Survey of Origin and Development of Arab

Banks," IMF Survey (Washington, D.C., February 8, 1982).

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The largest Arab banks were set up before 1973; 25 of the 32

appearing on the Top 500 list fall in this category. Of the remaining 7, 5

were established during 1973-79 (Gulf International Bank, Saudi International

Bank, Compagnie Arabe et Internationale d'Investissement, Al Bank Al Suadi Al

Faransi, and Burgan Bank of Kuwait) and 2 in 1980 (Arab Banking Corp. and

Saudi American Bank) (see table 4). All seven hiave been among the fastest

growing banks. All moved upward on The Banker list between 1980 and 1983.

Significantly, some of the largest Arab banks are based in the

nonoil countries. Appearing on the Top 500 lisl: are five banks from Egypt

(combined assets US$25.8 billion), one from Jordan (US$10.4 billion assets),

and one from Syria (US$8.6 billion assets). However, the oil countries show

more banks and larger assets. For example, Kuwait has the largest number of

banks with the largest combined assets on the list: six, with combined assets

of US$34.4 billion.

IV. Relations with Developing Countries:Aid Institutions

Although the relations between the oil exporters and other developing

countries cover aid, direct investments, commercial credits, trade and labor

remittances, this paper concentrates on the first three activities. Arab aid

to developing countries is discussed in the present section, and Arab

commercial credit and investments in developing countries are discussed in

section V.

As already indicated in section II, Arab aid programs actually

started well before the first major oil price increase. However, it was not

until the early 1970s that several Arab/OPEC countries allocated significant

portions of their national incomes to aid programs. The cumulative size of

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OPEC aid through 1984 was US$79 billion, of which US$73 billion came from Arab

aid sources. Less than 30 percent of those flows were managed by aid

institutions, which distributed the resources roughly equally between African

and Asian developing countries, with a minor share going to Latin America.

Although aid was distributed among many sectors, special emphasis was placed

on infrastructure projects, particularly transport.

As a matter of convenience, Arab/OPEC aid institutions cofinanced

several development projects with international organizations. Through the

cofinancing formula, the latter expanded their sources of funds while the

former overcame staff limitations and established project lending portfolios

in a short period. The formula continues to be operational.

OPEC Aid as A New Concept

The Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development established in 1961 was

the first aid institution set up by a developing country to provide

concessional assistance to other developing countries (see section II,

Developments Prior to 1974). This early Arab aid was motivated by ethical,

religious, and cultural considerations and an enlightened foreign policy, the

goal of which was to establish among Arab countries a vested interest in the

independence and prosperity of Kuwait. The Kuwait aid program marked the

start of what later became a trend among several OPEC member countries. For a

period during the 1960s, the birth of this new world phenomenon was perceived

in some development circles as an anomaly.

The conditions surrounding the establishment of Kuwait's aid program

and of its executing agency, the Kuwait Fund, cannot be fully appreciated

without looking at some economic indicators for the OPEC members. In 1960,

neither Kuwait's total oil revenues nor its GNP were extraordinary in

comparison with those of other OPEC countries. However, when the country's

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then-tiny population of 280,000 is taken into account, Kuwait's per capita oil

revenue was several times that of the other founding members of OPEC the same

year: It was more than 12 times that of Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, more than

50 times that of Iraq, and more than 90 times that of Iran. Even when

compared with per capita GNP in the industrially advanced countries, Kuwait's

was 5 times the median value, corresponding to per capita GNP in France or the

United Kingdom. Most impressive is the fact that Kuwait's 1960 per capita GNP

was twice as much as that of the United States. 34/

The strong participation of practically all OPEC members in the

establishment of a relatively large number of bilateral and multilateral

development agencies during a short period, some even before the first major

oil price increase, was a noteworthy development. For example, the Abu Dhabi

Fund for Arab Economic Development was established as a national aid agency in

July 1971, and the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development was

established as a regional aid agency in December 1971. Over the next five

years, OPEC members established five more bilateral aid agencies and

spearheaded efforts by developing countries to establish seven more

multilateral development agencies (table 5). 35/ By 1984, after less than

eight years of actual operations, the total authorized capital of the ten

major OPEC funds stood at US$28 billion, the paid-in capital at US$19 billion,

cumulative commitments at US$24 billion, and actual disbursements at US$16

billion.

The Overall Profile of OPEC Aid

Significant as the preceding figures appear, they pertain only to aid

flows for project financing, the smaller component of OPEC aid. Other

components include the dominant category of general support assistance, as

well as non-project assistance. Through 1984, the cumulative net

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Table 5 Profile Of OPEC Aid Institutions (as of end 1984)

(As of end of 1984)

Year Capital, US$ Million Cumulative Financing

Institution a/ Base Established Started Authorized Paid-in Commitments Disbursements

Multilateral Institutions

Arab Fund for Economic and Social

Development Kuwait Dec 1971 Jan 1974 2,800 1,822 2,229 1 078

Arab Bank for Economic Development

in Africa (BADEA) Khartoum Nov 1973 Mar 1975 988 985 883 527

Islamic Development Bank Jeddah Oct 1975 Oct 1976 2,010 1,281 4,686 3,771

OPEC Fund for International

Development Vienna Jan 1976 Aug 1976 3,435 2,513 2,034 1,418Arab Authority for Agricultural

Investment and Development (AAAID) Khartoum Nov 1976 May 1978 540 340 67 bl 50 _/

Subtotal 9,773 6,941 9,899 6,844

Bilateral Institutions

Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic

Development Kuwait Dec 1961 Mar 1962 6,900 2,952 4,508 2,682

Abu Dhabi Fund for Arab Economic

Development Abu Dhabi Jul 1971 Sep 1974 544 581 1,065 865

Iraqi Fund for External Development Baghdad Jun 1974 Jan 1977 1,009 723 1,484 694

Venezuelan Investment Fund Caracas Jun 1974 Dec 1974 3,000 3,000 3,046 2,637

Saudi Fund for Development Riyadh Sep 1974 Feb 1975 7,163 5,300 4,510 2,291

Subtotal 18,616 12,556 14,613 9,169

Total 28,389 19,497 24,512 16,031

a. Institutions are listed in chronological order in each category.

b. In addition to AAAID's equity participations, it has guaranteed loans offered to its subsidiary companies in the order

of US$86 million.

Source: The OPEC Fund, OPEC Aid and OPEC Aid Institutions - A Profile, No. 5 (Vienna, 1985).

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disbursements of concessional assistance made by OE'EC member countries totaled

about US$79 billion in economic, not military, aid. Distributed over time in

relation to major oil price increases, these net aid flows may be estimated as

follows: US$5 billion through 1973 (before the first major oil price

increase); US$31 billion during 1974-78 (after the first major oil price

increase but before the second); and US$43 billion during 1979-84 (when the

effects of the second major oil price increase were felt).

To be placed in perspective, these aid fLows should be related both

to the aid flows of other major sources (the Organization for Economic

Cooperation and Development [OECD] and the Council for Mutual Economic

Assistance [CMEA]) and to their collective GNP. During the sub-period 1973-

84, ODA aid flows from OECD sources were US$244 billion and from CMEA US$25

billion; those from OPEC were US$77 billion (i.e., excluding pre-1973 aid),

and thus represented 23 percent of aid given by all major donors. With

respect to group GNP, although the annual average aid flows from OECD were

about one-third of 1 percent, and the corresponding flow from CMEA less than

one-fifth of 1 percent, that of OPEC was about 2 percent (table 6).

The overall average of 2 percent durJing 1973-83 masks several

significant details. The first is the misleading notion that total aid flows

are to be related to the collective GNP of all OPEC members. Given that the

low absorbers were the major sources of OPEC aid, it is more appropriate to

relate aid to the GNP of the low absorbers. In that case, the ratio during

1973-84 becomes 4 percent, double the overall ratio.

For many years, several individual OPEC donors continued to grant aid

at ratios well above 4 percent of GNP, the overall average for the low

absorbers. The highest ratios were recorded in 1975, when they reached 7

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Table 6 OPEC Aid Flows in Relation to GNP, Selected Countries (1973-84)(percentages, except where otherwise noted)

Country 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

Algeria .36 .37 .28 .33 .21 .16 .92 .26 .24 .29 -- --

Iran .02 1.03 1.13 1.13 .27 .33 -- -- -- --

Iraq .21 3.98 1.62 1.44 .33 .76 2.53 2.89 .40 --

Kuwait 8.62 5.33 7.40 3.63 8.10 5.46 3.50 3.40 3.55 4.86Libya 3.33 1.26 2.29 .63 .57 .79 .43 1.18 1.11 .18Nigeria .04 .60 .05 .19 .10 .05 .04 .04 .20 .08Qatar 15.62 9.26 15.58 7.95 7.56 3.38 6.18 4.03 3.75 3.80Saudla Arabia 4.12 9.32 7.76 6.46 5.24 8.39 5.55 5.19 3.58 2.82U.A.E 12.67 7.04 11.68 8.88 7.23 6.35 5.03 3.10 2.88 2.06Venezuela .11 1.93 .11 .34 .07 .22 .22 .21 .10 .32

Overall OPEC

Percentage 1.89 2.53 2.92 2.32 1.96 2.43 1.84 1.80 1.51 1.06 1.05 0.86Total in

USS Billions 1.75 4.60 6.24 6.10 6.10 8.13 7.83 9.59 8.53 5.89 5.47 4.55

OECD-OMA

USS Billion 9.35 11.30 13.90 13.70 14.70 20.00 22.80 27.30 25.60 27.90 23.2 28.6

As Percentage

of GNP .33 .33 .36 .33 .31 .35 .35 .38 .35 .38 .36 .36

CMEA Percentage .13 .10 .14 .13 .13 .12 .15 .17 .21 .21 .21 .21

Sources: World Bank, World Development Report, 1978, table 12, pp. 98-99; and 1984, table 18,pp. 252-253; OECD, Aid from OPEC (Paris, 1983), table 11.1 and 11.2; OPEC Fund, OPEC Aid andOPEC Aid Institutions - A Profile, No. 5; and OPEC Secretariat.

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percent for Kuwait, 8 percent for Saudi Arabia, 12 percent for U.A.E., and 16

percent for Qatar. During the same period, three industrial countries, the

Netherlands, Norway, and Sweden, reached a ratio of about 1 percent. 36/ Even

more significant is the fact that in absolute dollar terms, several OPEC

members ranked ahead of some of the most industrially advanced countries. For

example, since 1976, Saudi Arabia has been the second largest source of

concessionary aid, Kuwait has consistently ranked among the largest ten

donors, and UAE was a major donor during 1974-81.

Compared to the GNP of OECD or CMEA countries, that of the largest

OPEC aid sources is but a minute fraction. In 1984, the combined GNP of the

five low absorbers was US$196 billion, equivalent to 2.3 percent of the

combined GNP of the OECD countries, and 7.3 percent of the combined GNP of the

CMEA countries. 371

Several features characterize OPEC aid flows. First, OPEC aid

originates from the liquidation of exhaustible oil resources. The relative

sacrifice for individual OPEC members is, therefore, much higher than

suggested by the ratios of aid to GNP, already several times higher than those

of OECD countries. Second, unlike most OECD aid, OPEC aid is generally

untied, especially with regard to the procurement of goods and services. In

fact, in all but some insignificant cases, OPEC aid flows financed goods and

services produced in non-OPEC countries. Third, OPEC aid originates primarily

in the Arab countries, especially the so-called low absorbers. Fourth,

despite the high visibility of OPEC aid institutions in international

development circles, the associated aid flows are but a small fraction of

total OPEC aid. Finally, within the OPEC aid institutions, national agencies

often have larger resources than multilateral agencies. 381

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Although some of the aid flows were directed through multilateral

arrangements, most flowed through bilateral channels. About 24 percent of the

cumulative aid flows during 1968-84 went through multilateral channels: About

$12 billion in the government-to-government aid to Egypt, Jordan, and Syria

(15 percent), and $7 billion in project assistance (9 percent). Thus,

bilateral aid has been the dominant factor, representing 76 percent of OPEC

aid flows over time. The preponderance of bilateral aid is to be expected,

since foreign aid is usually an important tool of a country's policy.

Bilateral aid is distributed among three categories: general support

assistance $41 billion (52 percent), non-project assistance $10 billion (13

percent), and project assistance $9 billion (11 percent).

The geographic distribution of the destination of the bilateral flows

is not easily documented, because Saudi Arabia--the leading donor--does not

provide detailed information on its bilateral aid flows. The identified

bilateral disbursements were distributed as follows: Africa, 27 percent;

Asia, 66 percent; and Latin America, 7 percent of the total. To be sure,

figures for Africa and Asia include flows to members of the League of Arab

States. The share of Arab countries in the identified bilateral disbursements

would be about 70 percent.

This concentrated pattern seems to be quite common in bilateral aid

flows worldwide. Typically, sources of concessional aid are tied to selected

recipient countries by factors of culture, politics, or economics. Thus, most

British aid goes to Commonwealth countries; French aid to francophone ex-

colonies; Soviet aid to socialist or quasi-socialist countries; and so on.

For more obvious reasons, the concentration of Arab bilateral aid in the other

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Arab countries is thus a natural reflection of the long established ties among

the countries of the Arab region.

Activities of OPEC Aid Institutions

The first major oil price increase greatly expanded the capital of

existing institutions and enabled OPEC members to establish eleven additional

institutions within a short period thereafter, six of which were

multilateral. Similarly, the second major oil price increase further boosted

the liquidity position of OPEC countries and facilitated the significant

capital expansion of existing aid institutions. Thus, in less than eight

years, the number of OPEC aid institutions expanded from four to fifteen and

their capital resources from US$1.2 billion to more than US$28.4 billion.

This expansion of capital resources helped broaden the scope of

activities of existing aid institutions, both geographically and

functionally. Although the scope of multilateral iregional aid institutions

remained the same, the scope of existing bilateral aid institutions expanded

from the regional to the international domain. Botha the Kuwait Fund and the

Abu Dhabi Fund broadened their scope from Arab coLntries to the developing

world. In addition, from the outset most of the post-1974 OPEC aid

institutions--that is, the Saudi Fund, the Iraqi Fund, the Islamic Development

Bank, and the OPEC Fund--had a mandate that covered all developing countries.

The change in functional scope has been equally substantial. Up to

1973, the activities of OPEC aid institutions were concentrated mainly on

project financing. This form of assistance often ensures that certain

standards are applied in the identification and selection of projects;

moreover, it helps to increase the investment rate in recipient countries and

provides an element of technical assistance to those recipients. At the same

time, this form of assistance is characterized by long administrative

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involvement with feasibility studies, economic appraisals, and the drawing-up

of elaborate contracts, and it takes time to disburse. As a result, the

associated financial flows, whatever the volume of funds allocated or

committed, tend to be constrained. Hence, more and more OPEC donors have

resorted to general support grants and loans.

OPEC aid institutions have also provided investment guarantees.

Direct investments, unlike aid, are based on the long-term mutual interests of

the source and host countries. To build a network of interdependent interests

in the region, the Arab members of OPEC sought to explore mechanisms to

encourage inter-Arab private capital flows. The Inter-Arab Investments

Guarantee Corporation (IAICC) was thus established in 1974 to promote private

capital flows among Arab countries. Although substantial private inter-Arab

investment flows did take place (estimated to have reached at least about US$5

billion), a small portion of these flows (some US$200 million) was channeled

into schemes involving IAIGC. Such limitation was due mainly to the limited

capitalization of IAIGC itself.

The operations of the OPEC aid agencies reveal some interesting

patterns. The geographic distribution of loan commitments made by OPEC

development funds is shown in table 7. These allocations were about the same

as those for Africa and Asia: US$10.6 billion to Africa (representing

43 percent of the total), US$10.7 billion to Asia (representing 44 percent),

and US$3.1 billion to Latin America and other countries (representing

13 percent). Except for the Venezuelan Fund (VIF), Africa's share as a

recipient has not fallen below 41 percent in any OPEC aid institution, and it

has been 100 percent in BADEA. By contrast, the share of Asian countries in

national OPEC agency allocations has been more than 50 percent (again

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Table 7 Geographic Distribution Of OPEC Aid Agency Commitments At End 1984

Percentage Total Allocations

Latin America Number of Number of

Africa Asia and Other US$MiI Percentage Countries Opers.

Multilateral Funds

Arab Fund 60.0 40.0 -- 2,229 9.4 16 163BADEA 100.0 -- -- 883 2.7 37 110

Islamic Bank 44.2 55.8 -- 4,686 16.9 36 359

OPEC Fund 46.2 42.7 11.1 2,034 8.5 82 384

Bilateral FundsKuwait Fund 48.0 51.2 0.8 4,508 19.7 62 286

Abu Dhabi Fund 41.2 58.1 0.7 1,065 4.6 40 84

Iraqi Fund 41.5 53.3 5.2 1,484 7.6 31 69

VenezuelanInvestment Fund -- -- 100.0 3,046 10.9 n.a. n.a.

Saudi Fund 45.9 52.0 2.1 4,510 19.7 53 202

Regional Total

(USS Mil.) 10,585 10,731 3,129 24,445 100.0 99 1657

Percentage of Total

Allocations 43.3 43.9 12.8 100.0

Note: n.a. denotes not available.

Africa includes the following members of the League of Arab States: Algeria, Djibouti, Egypt,

Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Somalia, Sudan, and Tunisia. With the exception of Libya, most

African states were recipients of OPEC aid. Asia includes the following members of the League of

Arab States: Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qal-ar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, United

Arab Emirates, North Yemen, and South Yemen. Except for most OPEC donors, the rest of Arab

states, among others in Asia, were recipients of OPEC aid. The above data do not include theIran Organization or its allocations due to incomplete data coverage since 1978. For data up to

1978 see UNCTAD, Financial Solidarity for Development (New York, 1984), pp. 40-43. According to

the statute of the Venezuelan Investment Fund (VIF), the amounts it dedicates to development

assistance at any given time cannot exceed 15 percent of its assets. At the end of 1983, VIF's

development assistance was equivalent to US$2,498 million, as shown above.

Sources: Coordination Seretariat of Arab National and Regional Development Institutions,

Financing Operations, December 31, 1984, and Middle East Economic Survey (MEES), May 6, 1985;

except for the Venezuelan Investment Fund, figures for which pertain to 1983, obtained from OPEC,

OPEC Aid and OPEC Aid Institutions - A Profile, No. 5.

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excluding VIF), whereas it has been more variable in the multilateral

agencies: 40 percent from the Arab Fund, 43 percent from the OPEC Fund, and

56 percent from the Islamic Bank. If Arab countries in Africa and Asia were

separated as a distinct group from the rest of OPEC aid recipients, their

share would be about US$11.1 billion (or 46 percent of the total).

As for total allocations as they stood at the end of 1984, the

Islamic Bank made the largest contribution (US$4.6 billion) representing 19

percent. Both the Kuwait Fund and the Saudi Fund made the second largest

contributions (US$4.5 billion each), which represented about 18 percent

each. The contribution of the Venezuelan Fund was US$3.0 billion, which was

equivalent to 12 percent of the total. Two funds had roughly the same

relative contribution: the Arab Fund (US$2.2 billion) and the OPEC Fund

(US$2.0 billion), each representing about 9 percent. 39/ The smallest

relative contributions were made by BADEA and the Abu Dhabi Fund (about 5

percent each).

According to the sectoral distribution of loan commitments shown in

table 8, transport receives the largest allocation (31 percent), energy, the

second largest (23 percent), and agriculture, industry, and other roughly

equal shares, about one-sixth each. If transport, energy, and others are

combined in a broader definition of "infrastructure," they end up absorbing

two-thirds of total allocations. This is a perfectly natural corollary of the

relative needs of developing countries, and of the response of OPEC funds to

those needs.

Cofinancing Development Projects

Through 1983 about US$3.3 billion have been committed by Arab/OPEC

aid agencies to the financing of development projects with the World Bank.

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Table 8 Sector Distribution of OPEC AidAgency Commitments At End 1984

PercentageAgriculture/Agro TotalIndustries Industry Transport Energy Other (US$ Million)

Multilateral funds

Arab Fund 16.0 13.3 26.2 19.1 25.4 2,229BADEA 21.1 12.1 40.2 12.2 14.4 883Islamic Bank 11.1 26.2 27.6 8.2 26.9 4,686OPEC Fund 12.5 6.2 15.7 51.0 14.6 2,034

Bilateral funds

Kuwait Fund 20.2 19.3 30.0 25.3 5.2 4,508Abu Dhabi Fund 13.9 47.9 12.4 23.8 2.0 1,065Iraqi Fund 12.2 19.0 56.9 2.8 9.1 1,494Saudi Fund 17.4 7.0 36.4 21.3 17.9 4,510Venezuelan Fund 11.6 1.2 24.6 55.9 6.7 3,046

Percentage of TotalAllocations 17.1 14.7 30.8 23.4 14.0

Sectoral Total(US$ Mil) 4,180 3,593 7,529 5,720 3,422 24,445

Note: The above data do not include the Iran Organization or the Libyan ArabForeign Bank owing to incomplete data coverage. Data on the VIF include oil salescredits with local counterpart funds for project financing. Agriculture includeslivestock and rural development; industry includes mining; transport includescommunications and storage; and other includes education, health, nationaldevelopment banks, water supply, and sewerage.

Sources: The first two columns are derived from UNCTAD, Financial Solidarity forDevelopment, 1984, and the last column from OPEC Fund, OPEC Aid and OPEC AidInstitutions - A Profile, no. 5.

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This sum represents about 14 percent of Arab/OPEC Funds cumulative loan

commitments. It also represents the same portion of total World Bank

cofinancing with official sources (see table 9). Two multilateral Funds, the

Arab Fund and the OPEC Fund, together cofinanced 94 projects with the World

Bank, and their contribution totaled US$1.1 billion. This is equivalent to

about 17 percent of World Bank cofinancing with multilateral official

sources. The three national funds--the Kuwait Fund, the Saudi Fund, and the

Abu Dhabi Fund--together cofinanced 119 projects with a total sum of US$2.2

billion. This is equivalent to about 23 percent of World Bank cofinancing

with national official aid sources.

Table 9 Cofinancing with Official Arab/OPEC Aid Agencies,Cumulative 1974-83 (millions of U.S. dollars)

Number of US$ MillionInstitution Projects Cofinanced Cofinanced

Multinational-Arab Fund 32 611OPEC Fund 62 493

Subtotal 94 1104

National-Kuwait Fund 69 1109Saudi Fund 36 920Abu Dhabi Fund 14 211

Subtotal 119 2240

TOTAL 213 3344

Source: The World Bank, Cofinancing (Washington D.C., 1983), Annex 2,tables 4, 5, and 6.

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The cofinancing formula was found to be mutually attractive to the

World Bank and to the Arab/OPEC aid agencies. The formula assists the World

Bank in mobilizing needed resources on a global scale to finance an increasing

number of larger and more expensive projects. In 1970, the World Bank Group

(IBRD and IDA) made 119 loans for a total of U'S$2.2 billion, at an average

US$18 million per loan. In 1983, the number of loans increased to 243 for a

total of US$14.5 billion, at an average US$60 inillion per loan. 40/ As a

result of the Bank's lending expansion, it has been borrowing increasingly in

the open market. Meanwhile, these activities have coincided with the major

resource inflows to OPEC countries and the establishment of most of their

official aid agencies.

These same agencies saw in the cofinancing formula a useful vehicle

with which to overcome staffing limitations, that is, by quickly establishing

links with highly experienced institutions that could readily provide well-

studied projects. When they were faced with staffing limitations in their

formative years, some Arab/OPEC funds recruited senior staff on secondment

from the World Bank.

V. Relations with Developing Countries:Commercial Credit and Investment Institutions

Although aid has become a major activity of Arab financial

institutions in developing countries, other activities have also grown in

importance since the 1970s. Orders of magnitude of cumulative flows through

1984 suggest that aid constituted 49 percent of the total, syndicated loans 27

percent, bonds 7 percent and direct investments 17 percent (table 10).

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Significantly, 83 percent of those flows were directed to developing

countries, especially in neighboring Arab countries.

Table 10 Selected Flows of Arab Financial Institutions,Cumulative through 1984 (in billions U.S. dollars)

To Developing To ArabActivity Total Flows Countries Countries

Concessionary Aid 73 73 53Syndicated Loans 41 31 18Bonds 11 5 3Direct Investments 24 16 14

TOTAL 149 125 88

Source: Text discussion and tables. Concessionary aid figuresrefer to Arab sources only.

Since 1977, Arab banks have become active in the market for

international loan syndication. One-fourth of these loans have been for

clients from OECD and socialist countries, and the remaining three-fourths for

clients from developing countries. During this time, Arab financial

institutions have begun to assume an increasing share of the total market for

loans and, in the process, some world-class Arab banks have begun to emerge.

Arab financial institutions have been active in public placements in

the bond market since 1974, but private placements started as early as 1968.

For several years, Kuwaiti banks took the lead by issuing Kuwaiti dinar-

denominated bonds. By 1982 more than 500 publicly and privately placed bond

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issues were made, about half of which were Eor clients in developing

countries. However, most bonds issued by Arab barLks were denominated in U.S.

dollars, mainly because oil revenues were in U.S. dollars. Arab banks also

participated in issuing and managing bonds denominated in other OECD

currencies.

The global distribution of Arab direct investments shows a heavy

concentration in OECD and Arab nonoil economies. The share of other

developing countries in Arab direct investments has been in the range of 5-10

percent. Furthermore, government investments appear to have predominated over

private investments. Considerations of size tended to dictate the

organizational framework of new investment projects; larger projects were

generally carried out through multilateral arrangements, whereas smaller

projects were bilaterally organized. What is most significant is that Arab

investors are not different from investors anywhere in their concern for

security, return, and growth potential. This is equally true for private

individuals or agencies as for government investment institutions. Although,

inter-Arab direct investments and joint ventures cover a wide range of

projects and sectors, government institutions have focused more on petroleum

and mining projects, transport, agro-industries, and banking. Similarly,

private investors have wide-ranging interests, but they have tended to focus

on manufacturing, banking, and real estate development.

The Internationally Syndicated Loan Market

Arab banks have participated in loan syndication in two ways: through

consortium banks, which helped to transfer relevant know-how to the staff of

Arab banks, and on their own, without the assistance of European banks. Table

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11 shows the volume of Eurocurrency credits syndicated by Arab banks

distributed over time by the geographic location of recipients.

The participation of Arab banks in syndicated Eurocurrency credits

rapidly expanded from about US$1 billion in 1977, to US$4 billion in 1980, and

US$10 billion in 1982, but it dropped to less than US$6 billion in 1984. On

the average, their annual lending rate during 1977-80 was about US$2 billion;

and during 1981-84 it was about US$8 billion. This shift in the level of

syndicated loans by Arab banks was mainly due to increased exports of Arab

capital following the second major oil price increase.

The geographical distribution of these syndicated loans during 1977-

84 as a whole shows that the share of Arab clients was about 44 percent,

Western Europe 18 percent, Latin America 13 percent, Asia 17 percent, and sub-

Saharan Africa less than 2 percent. The USSR and Eastern Europe also had

clients in the market for Eurocurrency loans syndicated by Arab banks; these

accounted for about 5 percent of the total. A regrouping of these ratios

shows that 76 percent of the Arab syndicated loans went clients in developing

countries. Even though a substantial portion of the loans went to clients in

the non-oil Arab countries, 56 percent of the total went to clients outside

the Arab region.

Significant as these figures are, they need to be placed in the

proper context of the Eurocurrency credit market. The volume of syndicated

loans in this market expanded quickly, from about US$42 billion in 1977 to a

peak of US$133 billion in 1981, fell to US$74 billion in 1983, but increased

to more than US$100 billion in 1984 (table 11). The international debt crisis

that preoccupied international finance and development circles in 1982 played

the decisive role in the substantial contraction of the Eurocurrency credit

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Table 11 Regional Distribution Of Arab Banks in Syndicated Eurocurrency Credits, 1977-84

(US$ Millin and percentages)

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Total 1977-84

Receiving Area US$ % US$ % US$ x us$ % US$ % US$ 7 US$ % us$ % US$

Arab Comtries 668 70.2 1,679 72.4 1,379 55.4 915 25.5 3,009 33.1 4,284 43.7 3,583 51.3 2,577 45.1 18,049 44.2

Western Europe 77 8.1 147 6.3 565 22.7 775 21.6 1,957 21.5 1,4% 15.3 1,527 21.9 951 16.6 7,495 18.3

USSR & East Europe - - 166 7.2 168 6.8 333 9.3 685 7.5 363 3.7 128 1.8 323 5.7 2,166 5.3

Latin Arer-ica 100 10.5 200 8.6 187 7.5 762 21.3 1,944 21.4 1,773 18.1 62 0.9 224 3.9 5,252 12.8

Asian Countries 67 7.1 95 4.1 192 7.7 627 17.5 1,237 13.6 1,626 16.6 1,486 21.3 1,513 26.5 6,843 16.7

Sub-Saharan Africa 26 2.8 - - - - 170 4.7 236 2.6 123 1.3 65 0.9 2 - 622 1.5

Others 13 1.3 33 1.4 - - - - 35 0.4 135 1.4 133 1.9 126 2.2 475 1.2

Arab Eurocurrency 951 100.0 2,320 100.0 2,491 100.0 3,582 10.0 9,103 IOC).0 9,80D 100.0 6,985 10D.0 5,716 100.0 40,948 100.0

LendingEurocurrency Market 41,800 70,200 82,800 77,400 133,400 84,900 74,200 100,70X! 665,400

x .,,A44

Arab Share (%) 2.4% 3.3% 3.0X 4.7Z 6.8% 11.5% 9.47 5.7% 6.2%

a/ Jan. - Nov. 1984 only.

Sources: Arab Eurocurrency lerding for 1977 to 1982 fran Mehran Nakhjavani, Arab Barks and the International Financial Markets, Middle East Econic Survey, 1983, Table 2.1,

p. 14; for 1983 and 1984 fran Middle East Eaxcanic Survey, 14 January 1985. Total Eurocurrency nmrket lending from Morgan Guarantee Trust Comarny, World Financial Markets

(New York, JamLiary 1985).

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market. The average annual share of Arab banks in these flows jumped

significantly from 3.4 percent during 1977-80 to about 8 percent during 1981-

84. This jump was due to two developments that occurred at the same time: the

major expansion in capital exports by Arab financial institutions and the

increased use of syndicated Eurocurrency lending as a vehicle of capital

exports. Significantly, the time profile of Arab Eurocurrency lending

followed the general time profile of the syndicated Eurocurrency Loan market

as a whole. In fact, in 1981-84 Arab lending dropped by 37 percent, while

total market lending dropped by 25 percent. It should be noted, however, that

syndicated Eurocurrency lending is only one part of international lending. In

relation to total international lending, the lending of Arab banks would

account for a much smaller proportion of the total. 41/

Cultural and practical factors also play an important role in Arab-

syndicated Eurocurrency loans. Arab clients have a large share in these loans

because the lead managers of such loans are most familiar with the economic

and financial conditions of that part of the world. The share of European

clients is also substantial because many lead managers have European partners

who are familiar with European countries and the credit worthiness of the

customers.

The totals for 1977-84 as a whole mask some interesting annual

developments. For example, the share of the Arab clients fluctuated

significantly: from 70 percent in 1977 and 1978, to 25 percent in 1980, up to

55 percent in 1983, and down to 45 percent in 1984. They seem to have played

the role of "swing borrowers". The share of clients from the USSR and Eastern

Europe has declined. The share of Latin American clients increased quickly,

but then declined even faster after 1982, when the Latin American debt crisis

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loomed large on the international horizon. The share of Asian clients picked

up significantly after 1979, from an average of 6 percent to an average of

about 19 percent, indicating both increased familiarity of Arab banks with

Asian clients, and expansion in Arab-Asian business ties.

The institutions responsible for the syndicated loans are numerous

and their shares vary widely as seen from a compilation of activities during

1979-83. Largest among these institutions are the Gulf International Bank

(GIB, US$4.8 billion) and the Arab Banking Corporation (ABC, US$4.6

billion). Above the US$2 billion level were the National Commercial Bank of

Saudi Arabia, the Arab Bank Group, the National 13ank of Kuwait, and the UBAF

group. In the US$1 to US$2 billion range were KFTCIC, the BAII Group, the

Saudi International Bank, and the Arab African International Bank.

Significantly, the 20 leading Arab banks accounled for about 88 percent of

total syndicated Eurocurrency loans during 1979-83, while the remaining 12

percent were handled by some 30 smaller banks. 42/

The customers of Arab-syndicated loans include corporations that are

among the largest and best-known throughout the world. The maturity structure

varies from one to ten years, and the size of the loan also varies, from US$3

to US$300 million. The number of loans concluded every year to non-Arab

borrowers is indicative of the tempo of business expansion: 2 loans in 1977,

7 loans in 1978 (the largest, US$70 million, to Yugoslav banks), 10 loans in

1979 (the largest, US$90 million, also to Yugoslav banks), 18 loans in 1980

(the largest, US$300 million, to Bank of China), 27 loans in 1981 (the

largest, US$260 million, to BANADE of Brazil), 24 loans in 1982 (the largest,

US$250 million, to the National Bank of Yugoslavia), and 8 loans in the first

half of 1983 (the largest, US$117.5 million, to Cia. Sevillana de Electricidad

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of Spain). Although most of these loans were denominated in U.S. dollars,

some were in German deutschmark, Japanese yen, and French francs, among

others. 43/

Interestingly, Eurocurrency loan syndication, the most recent

activity of Arab banks, now accounts for a major portion of their cumulative

international financial flows (table 10). Loan syndication started modestly

in 1977, by which time Arab banks had already been engaged in bond issues

(worth a cumulative amount of US$1 billion) for about a decade, and in direct

investments (worth a cumulative US$5.5 billion) for even longer. Eurocurrency

loan syndication has appealed to Arab banks, particularly to newly established

banks, because it has enabled them to expand capital exports from Arab

countries but has not required specialized skills on the part of staff,

because European participants did provide such skills and know-how. For the

newly established Arab banks, eager to show significant results to their

constituencies in a short period, loan syndication was both an effective and

suitable formula. Euroloan syndication appears to have lost some of its

appeal, however, in that the market has contracted substantially since

reaching a peak in 1981.

The International Bond Market

Arab institutions participated in the international bond market for

the first time in 1968 with private placements for World Bank bonds,

denominated in Kuwaiti dinar. Betwen 1968 and 1973, they concluded six such

placements having a total equivalent value of about US$450 million. Most were

carried through the Kuwait Investment Company (KIC). In 1974 four bonds

denominated in Kuwaiti dinar were issued--one was issued privately by KIC to

the Asian Development Bank, and three were lead-managed public issues (one by

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KIIC and two by KFTCIC) to public entities in the l?hilippines, Austria, and

Ireland. From that point on, the KD bond market expanded both in size and

coverage (table 12). In 1976, Arab institutions began to manage bonds

denominated in UAE dirham, Bahrini dinar, and Saudi riyal, among others. Then

in 1977 they started handling a few bonds denominated in U.S. dollars, but the

substantial expansion did not occur until 1980.

Between 1974 and 1982, Kuwaiti institutions placed 98 KD bond issues

totaling KD 694 million, or about US$2.5 billion. These together with the

1968-73 issues added up to 104 issues with a total value of about US$2.9

billion. Of these, 17 (valued at US$850 million) were private placements and

the remaining 87 were public placements. KIIC lead-managed the largest number

of bonds, equivalent in value to the combined issues of KIC and KFTCIC. The

"three K's" dominated the Kuwaiti dinar bond market, leaving only a handful of

bonds to be managed by other smaller investment banks.

The list of borrowers includes banks and public enterprises

throughout the world. The geographical distribution of the KD bonds publicly

issued to foreign entities showed a heavy concentration of borrowers in OECD

countries (25 bonds), followed by Latin America (14 bonds) and East Europe (13

bonds). Arab and Asian borrowers came next, with 10 and 9 bonds,

respectively. Only two bonds were made to African institutions--these were

issued to the African Development Bank in 1977. Thus, about half of the KD

bonds issued to foreign entities were for clients in developing countries, who

were judged like others, on the basis of their credit worthiness and ability

to repay principal and interest.

Arab banks (including Kuwaiti institutions) have been more involved

in lead-managing bonds denominated in other currencies, mostly in U.S. dollars

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Table 12 Arab Banis In TIe Blx Market

Total ArabKD Bonds D Bon SR Bonds IH Bonds arrecy Bods US$ Bonds Otber londs Total

Year No. Mil. US$Eq. No. Mil. US$Eq. No. Mil. US$Eq. No. Mil. US$Eq. No. US%4il. No. US$Mil. No. US$iil. No. USjMl.

1968-73 6 130.0 450.0 - - - - - - - - 6 450.0 - - - - 6 450

1974 4 20.0 68.2 - - - - - - - - - 4 68.2 - - - - 4 68

1975 8 47.5 163.9 - - - - - - - - - 8 163.9 - - - - 8 164

1976 16 85.0 290.7 - - - - - - 1 100.0 25.3 17 316.0 - - - - 17 316

1977 10 46.0 160.5 3 40.0 101.2 3 285.0 80.7 1 150.0 38.5 17 380.9 n.a 150 - - n.a 531

1978 20 153.5 558.7 2 15.0 38.7 2 75.0 22.1 - 24 619.5 n.a 150 - - n.a 770 a

1979 19 148.0 535.8 - - - - - - - - - 19 535.8 22 169 11 35.9 52 741

1980 3 17.0 62.9 - - - - - - - - - 3 62.9 45 500 27 293.6 75 857

1981 10 124.0 445.2 - - - - - - - - - 10 445.2 111 931 36 299.6 157 1676

1982 8 53.0 185.5 - - - - - - - - - 8 185.5 94 1,325 26 107.8 128 1619

Total 104 824.0 2921.4 5 55.0 139.9 5 360.0 102.8 2 250.0 63.8 116 3,227.9 n.a 3,225 100 736.9 n.a 7192

n.a. Not available.

Source: Calaclated fran Nakhjavani, Arab Banks and the Internatianal Financial Markets, 1983, pp. 63-4. Caiersian of Arab currencies into US$ ws dom atexcdange rates prevailing at end of year shin. KD is Klmiti dinar, HD Bahraini dlnar, SR Saudi riyal, and EI Abu fhabi di*n. Total amal Arab currenrcy bondsshln bere differ fran Niahjavani's figure an p. 64.

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because, as already mentioned in the discussion of Euroloan syndication,

payments for oil are typically made in U.S. dollars. Other currency bonds

included issues in French francs, Dutch guilder, German deutschmark, Japanese

yen, Canadian dollars, and British sterling, among many others. Although Arab

banks were involved in managing international bond issues before 1979, that

year marked their first large-scale participation in bonds denominated in a

wide variety of currencies. The large inflows of Eunds following the second

major oil price increase must have emboldened the managing institutions and

boosted their confidence. Although the number and value of bonds issued by

Arab banks in the U.S. dollar sector before 1979 are not known, it is believed

that the total number of bonds issued by Arab banks in all sectors during

1968-82 must have been greater than 500; table 12 identifies 488 that exclude

bonds issued in the U.S. dollar sector in 1977 and 1978. The total value of

all bond issues was equivalent to US$7.2 billion, US$4.9 billion of which were

issued during 1979-82 alone. A total of 412 bonds were issued during this

subperiod, 66 percent of which were in the U.S. dollar sector. In value

terms, the U.S. dollar sector was 60 percent of the total during the 1974-82.

As table 10 has shown, Arab banks have been least active in managing

Eurobonds. The question is: Why? The reasons rest partly with the nature of

the Eurobond market and partly with the Arab banks themselves. Bonds are

inherently difficult to handle because of the complex structure needed to

manage them and the diverse skills required to man such structure, a task that

involves project evaluation, risk assessment and monitoring, legal

documentation, negotiation, disbursements and conditionality, connections for

placements, secondary markets, and so on. Nor has it been easy for new comers

like Arab banks to break into the international bond market, which up to now

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has been dominated by a closely-knit fraternity of underwriters. By and

large, Eurobonds have remained the coveted domain of a select group of finance

houses that pionered the instruments two decades ago and have since developed

lasting ties with the issuers, whether corporate or sovereign.

As newcomers, Arab financial intermediaries have become aware of the

need to develop both a risk-taking approach to the underwriting of new issues

and a wider circle of placements. The reluctance to take risks is

fundamentally due to the shortage of Arab investment bankers with enough

experience, high-level professionalism, and wide connections. The small

circle of securities clients has been the result of Arab banks limiting their

scope of placement to their home governments or to their own account.

However, judging by some partial evidence in 1985, it appars that this circle

has begun tc grow significantly by serving clients from the industrial

countries.

Furthermore, a significant potential exists for greater involvement

in the Eurobond market, primarily through Arab clients who have recently

entered, or might enter, the Eurobond market as borrowers. Arab institutions

that have entered the market include banks such as ABC, Al-Ahli of Kuwait,

FRAB, BAII, and National Commercial Bank of Jeddah; and sovereign entities

such as Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia. Equally significant is the rapid

growth of the Eurobond market from US$55 billion in 1981 to US$100 billion in

1984/85 44/. This growth, which has coincided with the decline in the

syndicated Euroloan market mentioned above, reflects a global trend toward the

"securitization" of borrowings. Ultimately, if Arab banks are to become more

active participants in the Eurobond market and/or the lead-managers of

Eurobond issues for Arab borrowers, they must establish a more solid record of

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experience. Only in this way will they develop a greater degree of

professionalism, innovation, and placement ability. 45/

Direct Investments and Joint Ventures

Investment institutions have special significance because of the

magnified effects they create in host economies and the additional resources

they help mobilize in source countries beyond the confines of their original

size. Compared with the other forms of capital flows to developing countries

from Arab sources, direct investment flows appear to be sizable. Although

such flows are not easy to estimate it is instruc-ive to piece together the

available sketchy information. This makes it possible to at least identify

the major sources, consider their distribution among countries and sectors,

and examine the factors underlying the emerging patterns.

The first indication of the size of Arab clirect investments portrays

the situation in 1975. At that time, total Arab commitments for direct

investment ventures were estimated to be about U'S$5 billion, 23 percent of

which were in OECD countries and 77 percent in deveLoping countries, primarily

in the Arab region. Most of these investments came from Saudi Arabia (54

percent) and Kuwait (29 percent), and to a lesser extent from UAE (8 percent)

and Iraq (7 percent). 46/

The above figures should be treated with caution because they are

estimates of contractual commitments by investors in the oil countries and

have been compiled somewhat randomly from occasional announcements in two

specialized publications on the Middle East: Middle East Economic Digest

(MEED) and Middle East Economic Survey (MEES). Furthermore, it is highly

likely that actual direct investments made through 1975 were smaller than

these contractual commitments, especially if some of the expenditures went to

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new projects, where a lag of several years usually separates contractual

commitments from project completion. Therefore, the US$5 billion cited is

likely to be an exaggerated estimate of actual direct investment flows through

1975.

Several years later, Chase World Information Corporation published a

comprehensive account of direct investments made by Arabs both within and

outside the Arab region. Although the report limits discussion of investment

sources to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and UAE and of investment hosts to the United

States and United Kingdom, it does distinguish between government and private

investors. However, many of the investments in the United States and United

Kingdom are not given a monetary value. For example, the report lists 72

ventures as direct investments in the United States, but cites a monetary

value (adding up to less than US$600 million) for only 42. For the United

Kingdom, it cites 49 ventures but indicates the monetary value (adding up to

less than US$500 million) for only 11. 471 From the other sources of data, it

appears that combined Arab direct investments in the United States and United

Kingdom in the early 1980s were on the order of US$6 billion, and the rest of

OECD accounts for another US$3 billion. 48/ By contrast, Arab direct

investments in developing countries were overwhelmingly concentrated in the

Arab region, to the tune of some US$14 billion, 49/ which represents more than

85 percent of total Arab direct investments in developing countries, as will

be shown below.

Although estimates of direct private investments continue to be

tentative, those for government investments tend to be generally more reliable

because they are a matter of public record. As explained below, it was

possible to trace 57 governmental investment ventures in the Arab region; they

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had a total capitalized value of about US$9.6 billion. By contrast, 99

private or mixed (private/government) inter-Arab direct investment ventures

could be identified; their total value was US$2.5 billion. Only US$1.3

billion of this amount was contributed by private investors from the oil

countries. Another US$3.5 billion is conservatively estimated to be

unidentified inter-Arab private direct investments; this brings the total to

less than US$5 billion. The following discussion distinguishes between

government and private direct investments. It treats all Arab banks as a

special form of direct investment in developing countries.

(a) Inter-Arab Government Investments

Arab governments have made direct investments in the Arab region in

different ways. Some have channeled funds through multilateral investment

consortia to finance and promote the development af specific sectors or of

private enterprise in general. Examples are the consortia set up to finance

and promote investments in petroleum, mining, agribusiness, fisheries,

livestock, drugs, or medical appliance sectors (see annex A, table 1). One of

the institutions set up to promote the development of private enterprise is

the Arab Investment Company, which was modeled along the lines of the

International Finance Corporation, an affiliate oil the World Bank. Arab

governments have also participated in multilateral joint ventures directly

involved in specific sectors, such as industry, services, or banking and

finance. Aside from these multilateral institutions, Arab governments have

set up national or bilateral investment corporations (annex A, table 2) as

well as national/bilateral joint ventures in industry, services, or banking

and finance (annex A, table 3). The structure of (identified) inter-Arab

government direct investments is summarized in table 13.

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Table 13 Inter-Arab Governmental Direct Investments

Millions of Number ofU.S. dollars Enterprises

Investment Institutions:

Investment Consortia 2,096 7(multilateral)

Investment Corporataions 1,765 18(national/bilateral)

Subtotal 3,861 25

Joint Ventures:

MultilateralIndustry and Services 3,875 15Banking and Finance 1,407 7

National/BilateralIndustry and Services 215 2Banking and Finance 202 8

Subtotal 5,699 32

Total 9,560 57

Source: Annex A, tables 1, 2, 3.

Thus, Arab governments collectively or individually have put up

resources close to US$3.8 billion for specialized or general-purpose

investment institutions, and they have put up about US$5.7 billion to expand

the productive capacity in some key sectors in host Arab countries.

Investment institutions are usually instrumental in creating local enterprises

and thus in adding severalfold to their original size. Examples abound, three

of which may be cited from Lebanon, Egypt, and Sudan. The Kuwaiti-Lebanese

Intra Investment Company is a major shareholder of El Mashrek Bank, Port of

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Beirut, and Middle East Airlines. The Kuwait-Egypt Investment Company helped

establish several joint ventures in the manufacturing of shoes, building

materials, marble and granite, and plastic pipe, as well as in tourism and

hotels. The Sudanese-Kuwaiti Investment Company was instrumental in

establishing a number of joint ventures in building and construction, road

transport, and livestock production.

Table 13 also shows the dominant weight of multilateral institutions

(about two-thirds) in total government investments. Most of these

institutions were established shortly after 1973, in response to a new mood

and a peak of inter-Arab economic solidarity never experienced to the same

extent before or after. The rise of multilateral institutions during the mid-

1970s may have reflected in part the desire of other capital surplus

governments not to go through the same experience of learning by doing as

Kuwait had earlier. This suggestion can be supported on two grounds: (a) the

time lag necessary under the circumstances to develop successful international

investment institutions; and (b) the risk-sharing appeal of the multilateral

formula, especially if it brings along Kuwaiti experience and management

skills. The freezing of Egypt's membership in these organizations, following

the Camp David accords with Israel in 1979, shifted the location of some

multilateral institutions from Egypt to other countries (e.g., ACDIMA moved

from Cairo to Amman) and seriously disrupted the activity of others (the Gulf

Organization for Military Industries).

Eleven Arab states, both rich and poor, have hosted multilateral

institutions. Among the rich states, Bahrain has a hosted 5 such

institutions, Kuwait 2, Libya 2, Saudi Arabia 3, and UAE 1. Among the poor

states, Egypt has hosted 4, Jordan 4, Mauritania 1, Sudan 3, Syria 1, and

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North Yemen 1. In addition, ten Arab states have hosted national/bilateral

institutions. Among the rich, Kuwait has hosted 6, Oman 3, Saudi Arabia 1,

and UAE 2. Among the poor, Egypt has hosted 7, Jordan 2, Mauritania 1, Sudan

2, Syria 1, and Tunisia 2 (annex A, tables 1, 2, 3).

If these intergovernmental investments were made to capture a long-

term potential, they were not entirely set up on the basis of financial or

economic criteria. Although political considerations did play a role, both in

their establishment and the location of their headquarters, they were not the

dominant factor; rather, economics played the major role. If it was a mix of

politics and economics that guided inter-Arab government investments, a mix of

culture and economics appears to have motivated inter-Arab private

investments, as noted below.

(b) Inter-Arab Private Investments

Data were available for only 99 inter-Arab private investment

ventures (annex B). Their total value equals about US$2,510 million, of which

US$1,340 million was paid-in capital contribution by private investors in the

oil countries. Observers of direct investment ventures in the Arab region

believe that there must be several hundred inter-Arab private investment

ventures. 50/ If the identified investments are conservatively estimated to

represent about one-fourth of what actually exists, the total contribution of

private investments from the oil-exporting countries rises to about US$5

billion. The group of projects identified in the present study may thus be

construed as a sample, and possibly a biased sample, of inter-Arab private

direct investments. The bias will become clear as the analysis proceeds.

Whereas Kuwaiti private investors dominate inter-Arab direct

investments, investors from Saudi Arabia and UAE generally prefer multilateral

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formats, especially those led by Kuwaiti investors. According to the data,

private Kuwaiti participation is overwhelming. About 67 percent of the

identified joint ventures are exclusively owned or controlled by Kuwaiti

investors. In value terms, the dominance of Kuwaiti investors is even

greater, amounting to about 88 percent. This may in part be due to excess

liquidity in Kuwait and the ban imposed in the mid-1970s on registering

shareholding companies on the Kuwaiti stock exchange. The other ventures that

show exclusive or shared participation by private investors from Saudi Arabia

or UAE appear to be downwardly biased--they account for only 12 percent of the

total contribution of inter-Arab private direct investments.

Private direct investment ventures were identified in several Arab

countries: Bahrain (28.2 percent), Egypt (1.5 percent), Jordan (2.5 percent),

Lebanon (0.2 percent), Mauritania (0.7 percent), Morocco (2.5 percent), Oman

(0.1 percent), Saudi Arabia (0.6 percent), Somalia (0.4 percent), Sudan (4.7

percent), Tunisia (0.7 percent), UAE (56.2 percent), and North Yemen (1.6

percent) (see annex B). Thus, more than 50 percent of inter-Arab private

direct investments are located in one country, and more than 84 percent in

two.

Several factors explain the dominance of Bahrain and UAE as hosts to

private direct investments originating in sister oil states: geographic

proximity; a shared culture and tradition; access to excellent financial

services; conducive local business and social environment; and the absence of

restrictive legislation. Furthermore, as already indicated in Section III

above, Bahrain's oil reserves will be depleted in the not-too-distant future

and its policymakers are looking to Arab direct investments to diversify the

island's economic base and help it continue to grow. In the UAE, some of the

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emirates have no oil (Sharjah, Ajman, Ras al Khaimah) and depend almost

exclusively on nonoil activities for their livelihood. Nevertheless, it

appears that the relative weight of Bahrain and UAE among countries hosting

inter-Arab private direct investments is probably exaggerated, much as the

relative weight of other countries--such as Egypt, Lebanon, and Tunisia--is

downwardly biased.

Some Arab countries are notably absent from the host list, and others

that are themselves the source of large investments are included. Libya,

Syria, Algeria, and South Yemen do not appear on the compiled list of annex B

as hosts of inter-Arab private direct investments, even though it is commonly

known that Syria hosts sizable private investments from the Gulf states in the

real estate sector and that Libya and Syria host government investments. In

general, however, the socialist orientation, public policy, and legislation in

these countries may appear to be in conflict with private direct invest-

ments. By contrast, the liberal market orientation of Saudi Arabia and UAE

places them on the list, even though they are among the major sources of such

investments.

The frequency distribution of identified private direct investment

ventures by sector shows six significant clusterings. With respect to total

paid-in capital, the following relative sectoral weights were calculated:

real estate (12.4 percent); manufacturing (33.8 percent); banking, insurance,

and finance (35.3 percent); mining (6.7 percent); agribusiness (5.3 percent);

and services and other (6.4 percent) (see annex B). Whereas the dominance of

banking and finance was more or less expected, the relatively small share of

real estate and the relatively large share of manufacturing appear to be

somewhat surprising. Countries that are widely known to have major

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investments in the real estate sector--for example, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan,

Lebanon, and Tunisia--do not show up in the talbulations. If real estate

investments had been properly traced, or investors had been willing to provide

more information, the relative share of the real estate sector would

undoubtedly have been adjusted upward, simultaneously reducing the relative

shares of all the other sectors.

The sectoral distribution of investments by country shows that

manufacturing and banking, followed by services, are the most common

activities to attract investors in almost all the countries. The same

distribution also shows that real estate is concentrated mainly in Morocco and

UAE, mining in Bahrain and Morocco, and agribusiness in Sudan and UAE.

Insofar as private investments are concerned, i't seems unusual to find no

agribusiness investment ventures in countries with a natural advantage, such

as Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, or Tunisia. The problem here is that

inter-Arab private investment ventures in general are difficult to trace, and

even when they are properly traced, they do not provide much information.

This spread of inter-Arab private investment activity needs to be

placed in the proper context of the Arab business environment. In most Arab

countries, direct investments face formidable barriers, particularly: (1)

inadequate infrastructure, including transportation, telecommunications, air

and sea ports, business support services, and so on; (2) widespread

bureaucratic red tape, especially in countries withi a social orientation, such

as Egypt, Sudan, Syria, even though the state policy is expressly "open door";

(3) currency restrictions in transferring investment profits to countries of

origin; and (4) a shortage of skilled staff for new investment ventures,

especially in management positions.

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Notwithstanding these barriers, inter-Arab direct investment

ventures, both government and private, have expanded and continue to expand.

Foremost among the factors inducing continued expansion are: (1) the

proximity and easy access to investment sources and investment hosts; (2)

investors' familiarity with the culture and language of the hosts, and vice

versa; (3) weak enforcement of income tax and other relevant business taxes;

and (4) the sizable returns on investments.

(c) Arab Petrocapital Banks in Developing Countries

Although most Arab direct investment ventures in developing countries

are located in the Arab region itself, some exist outside the region, most

notably in the banking and finance sector. The total number of inter-Arab

banking ventures within the Arab region itself is 79, but Arab banks in other

developing countries are not far behind with 60 (table 14).

Table 14 Arab Banks in Developing Countries

Branches/Repre- Joint VenturesRegion sentative Offices Commercial Investment Total

Arab 32 23 24 79Other Africa 9 6 - 15Other Asia 19 9 6 34Latin America 5 4 2 11

Total 65 42 32 139

Source: Calculated from Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and Islamic Banks, AnnexVIII, pp. 152-57.

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Countries that host Arab petrodollar banks, both commercial (C) and

investment (I), in the Arab region are as follows: Djibouti (1C); Egypt

(14C/9I); Jordan (8C/31); Lebanon (14C/2I); Mauritania (2C); Morocco (lC/lI);

Oman (8C); Somalia (1C); Sudan (3C/3I); and Tunisia (3C/6I). In Africa, Arab

banks are only commercial. The following countries have one bank each: Chad,

Gabon, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Liberia, Mauritius, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal,

Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Swaziland, Togo, and Uganda. In Asia, the following

countries host Arab petrocapital banks: Bangladesh (IC); Hong Kong (10C);

India (3C/MI); Indonesia (IC); South Korea (4C); Malaysia (2I); Pakistan

M5C/3M); Singapore (IC); and Sri Lanka (3C). Finally, in Latin America the

host countries are: Brazil (2CM2M); Colombia (1C); Panama (4C); Peru (1C); and

Venezuela (1C).

The commercial banks--whether branches, representative offices, or

joint ventures--are engaged mainly in financing trade flows, either within the

Arab region, or between the Arab region and other countries. These include

petroleum exports from the Arab countries to the rest of developing countries

and exports from those countries to the rapidly expanding Arab markets. In

some cases, commercial banks channel the savings of hundreds of thousands of

workers to their countries of origin, primarily Egypt, Jordan, Yemen, Turkey,

Bangladesh, India, South Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka.

The joint venture Arab investment banks in developing countries

outside the Arab region are comrised of six in Asia and two in Latin

America. These banks have been active "advance posts" for Arab petrocapital,

canvassing the local scenes for attractive investment opportunities in a wide

variety of sectors. They have mobilized resources not only in the host

countries, but also in countries of origin, ;ometimes from sources not

directly involved with parent institutions.

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VI. Future Prospects

This paper concludes with an assessment of the future prospects of

Arab financial institutions in developing countries. The activities of these

institutions during the 1970s and early 1980s were shaped largely by

continuously increasing oil revenues and the associated capital surplus. How

the recent decline in oil revenues and the drawdown of the surplus will affect

these activities in the remainder of 1980s and in the 1990s remains to be

seen.

The first point to note is that oil prices during the 1980s are more

likely to be determined by the free interplay of supply and demand in the

international oil market. By 1985, this market was showing considerable

softening and oil prices were drifting downwards. The associated high supply

elasticity in most OPEC members was caused by idle oil production capacity.

Future increases in oil revenues for the individual oil exporters, if any,

will thus come from increases in the quantity of exported oil.

The drop in OPEC oil revenues since 1981 has been associated with

various changes in government expenditures, which have hitherto been the

engine of growth in member countries. Although government current

expenditures have declined somewhat in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and UAE, they have

continued to expand at modest rates in Kuwait. By contrast, government

investment or development expenditures have declined substantially below their

1981 peak levels, for example, in the UAE by 35 percent and in Saudi Arabia by

37 percent. 51/ All these countries have introduced fiscal discipline after

years of accelerating expansion. At the same time, a recession of major

proportions has begun to develop and has already reduced private incomes and

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expenditures. During the remainder of the 1980s, however, government

expenditures in nearly all OPEC countries are expected to increase owing to

demographic expansion.

In the face of these trends if OPEC oil revenues decline or cease to

increase, OPEC governments will incur budgetary deficits which must be

financed through either external borrowing or drawdown of reserves and

investments abroad. In the latter, maintenance of the principal sums is

possible only if the size of budgetary deficits is limited to the income

generated from financial placements and investments abroad, estimated roughly

at about US$6 billions for Kuwait, US$2 billions for Libya, US$1 billion for

Qatar, US$12 billions for Saudi Arabia, and US$3 billions for UAE. Some of

these countries may have to dip into the principal of their investments, as

was indeed the case in Saudi Arabia during 1983-84 and 1984-85. 52/ Other

OPEC members have already gone beyond their accumulated surpluses: Algeria,

Ecuador, Indonesia, Iraq, Iran, and Nigeria have even accumulated large

debts. The accumulated surplus attained in 1981 was not only a historical

peak for OPEC collectively, but also a peak for most individual member

countries, who started their withdrawals shortly thereafter.

As a result, Arab/OPEC aid has declined steadily since that time.

Although aid disbursements in 1984 were less than one half of their 1980 peak

level, their ratio to GNP in the relevant donor countries continued to exceed

2 percent, which is several times the ratio associated with other sources of

concessional assistance (OECD, CMEA). During the rest of the 1980s, total

Arab/OPEC aid, especially from bilateral sources, may decline further because

the donor countries will most likely continue to bea squeezed by stagnant or

declining oil revenues and rising government exp,snditures. However, the

smaller portion of aid flows managed by Arab/OPEC development funds for

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project financing or program loans may not decline markedly. Recent

statements suggests that the disbursements of some funds may stabilize or

possibly increase somewhat through 1990.

Aside from aid, the present financial crisis in a number of OPEC

countries may tend to cast a shadow on or exagerate the potential damage for

commercial and investment prospects of Arab financial institutions, especially

in regard to their activities in developing countries. For this reason, it is

necessary to assess the business opportunities and challenges which are likely

to face Arab financial institutions during the next few years.

The rapid expansion in the trade flows of OPEC countries boosted the

profits of Arab banks active in trade financing and encouraged those banks to

establish a major presence beyond their national borders (see section III).

In 1971 the imports of OPEC countries totaled about US$11 billion and exports

about US$21 billion. By 1983, these figures had risen to US$139 billion and

US$193 billion, respectively. A decline in the volume of this trade due to

diminished economic activity in the trading countries--such as the one that

has been taking place since the early 1980s--is unlikely to continue

indefinitely into the future. Financing of import trade is likely to

stabilize in the near term to the tune of US$120 billion per year--a sizable

figure by any standard.

The trade flows between OPEC countries and developing countries also

grew rapidly between 1971 and 1983: Imports rose from US$1.2 billion to about

US$27 billion, and exports from US$3.5 billion to US$57 billion. 531 This

expansion was at least partly responsible for the rapid growth of Arab banks

in developing countries. Significantly, the recent contraction in the total

trade flows of OPEC countries was accompanied by a less proportionate

contraction in their trade with developing countries. It is unclear, however,

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whether this outcome was the result of conscious decisions by the trading

partners.

The prospects for international activities of Arab banks, both in

medium- and long-term financial and direct investments, appear to be uneven.

Institutions participating in Euroloan syndication or Eurobond management are

facing a more difficult and uncertain environment than they did during the

affluent years. The international debt crisis, which is looming greater than

ever, has already caused substantial shrinkage ir the syndicated Euroloan

market from 1981 to 1983, the period in which Arab banks increased their share

in that market. Compared to other banks, however, Arab banks have financed

only a small portion of Latin American debts. Although there are some signs

that the syndicated Euroloan market may be revived, Arab banks are reluctant

to participate fully, especially now that oil revenues and investable

surpluses have declined. At the same time, to the extent that the total demand

for medium-term and long-term credit by developed and developing countries is

continuing to grow, the Eurobond market has expanded significantly. This has

been in part a response to the shrinkage in Euroloan syndications and in part

an effort to spread risks by transforming borrowing into securities. During

1983-85 Arab banks have expanded their participation in the Eurobond market.

The prospects for further expansion in the Eurobond market will largely depend

on the present efforts of Arab banks to improve their management and technical

staff, as well as expand their connections and placement capabilities. Their

natural market "niche" is with sovereign and corporate clients from developing

countries in general, and Arab countries in particular.

The relevant question is how can Arab bankLs expand their activities

in the Eurobond market after oil revenues have declined so seriously. The

answer resides in their high capitalization by international standards. The

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ratio of equity plus reserves to assets in most Arab banks exceeds 15 percent,

whereas it is only 3-7 percent for most international bank. 54/

It is this factor which will give Arab banks room for further growth of their

international operations despite the decline in oil revenues.

Prospects of Arab direct investments are mixed. Within the Arab

region, intergovernment investments have performed unevenly. Despite success

stories such as the Sumed pipeline, the Arab Mining Company, some Tunisian

investments, Jordanian joint ventures, and Egyptian real estate investments,

most others are doing poorly. The performance of Arab financial and

industrial investments in Egypt and Sudan, for example, has been severely

handicapped by the bureaucracy, inconsistent macro management, and

restrictions on banks and currency transfers. In addition, the dramatic

devaluations of national currencies in Egypt, Sudan, and Morocco have

adversely affected the profitability of Arab investments in terms of hard

currency. In North Yemen, the government considers international investments

another form of external assistance. For all these reasons, most inter-Arab

investment institutions have had to reassess their operations in the last few

years. Their growth prospects for the near future are rather questionable.

By contrast, private direct investments have been growing steadily.

They are most likely to continue on this course, which has already started to

dominate Arab investment flows. Most of this private capital comes from the

cumulative profits of the affluent years that have moved out of the Gulf

region in the wake of the recession, the Iran-Iraq war, and the Manakh

fallout. These movements have been initiated primarily by wealthy individuals

who either have empires of their own, or who have set up elite investment

clubs comprising a few families each. 55/ Future growth will therefore most

likely come from the less wealthy but more numerous individuals and families

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throughout the Gulf region. Left to their own initiative, those private

capital movements will tend to gravitate toward developing countries with

which investors have special family, ethnic, or cultural ties. For the most

part, managing such investments is a family affair. Tapped into formal

institutions, the geographic allocation of private investments tends to follow

more objective criteria reminiscent of Kuwaiti investment banks in their

formative years. Typically, private direct investments in such cases are made

and monitored by professional managers. Both i-amily and professionally

managed international private direct investments are likely to continue their

growth into the future.

Islamic banks, in addition to facing the risks and difficulties that

all banks must cope with to succeed, have the added challenge of figuring out

how to handle the question of interest and its compounding. Much has been

accomplished in a short period: The domain of Islam;ic banking has been agreed

upon between sources of funds and users of funds; financial instruments have

been created and have produced reasonable results; and Islamic banks have been

accepted by the finance industry because they have expanded their market

without adversely affecting the markets of conventional banking. However, in

a world of growing financial interdependence, more aLnd more Islamic banks face

the challenge of having to conduct business with institutions whose very modus

operandi revolves around receiving and paying interest.

Until Islamic banks can create an alternative self-contained universe

of their own that would perpetually shield them from interaction with

conventional banks in interest-bearing transactions, their difficulties will

continue. Their relatively small size makes that possibility rather remote.

However, it should also be recognized that the potential of Islamic banks to

mobilize funds from clients who strictly adhere to the principles of Islam is

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not minimal, and remains to be realized on a scale larger than has hitherto

been attempted. Although the financial system in most Moslem countries does

not operate in the same way as Islamic banks do, Moslem communities throughout

the world--estimated to be in excess of 750 million--are becoming increasingly

interested in the notion of Islamic banks. To the extent that some sectors of

Moslem communities were not using the modern banking system because they did

not accept the notion of Riba, Islamic banks will be in a position to mobilize

the savings in such communities. In the final analysis, Islamic banks will

most likely complement the services of conventional banks, but will not

provide an alternative.

The prospects for Arab centers of finance are also uncertain. The

recent financial shakeout in both Kuwait and Bharain has diminished their

status as centers for exporting Arab capital. In Kuwait, recently adopted

strict monetary discipline is forcing bank mergers, while in Bharain the

decline in capital flows is forcing the departure of some offshore banking

units. When the crisis is over, banking institutions in the two countries

will have become more attuned to the fickle conditions of financial markets.

Their activities in developing countries will no doubt be based on more

methodical assessments of profitability.

With proper policy reforms, the relative position of Cairo may be

strengthened owing to the financial developments that have been unfolding in

Egypt during the last few years. Among other factors, the substantial

remittances of Egyptian workers have caused changes both in local financial

institutions and in the philosophy of mananging such funds.56/ Contrary to

popular misconceptions, the size of the labor markets in the oil countries has

not declined since 1980, and there is increasing evidence, at least from Saudi

Arabia and Kuwait, that the expatriate workforce may not fall drastically in

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the next few years. If, as seems likely, workers' remittances do not decline

significantly, further changes may take place in Egypt's financial management

and, by implication, in its position as an emerging center of Arab finance.

Now that Arab financial institutions have established a presence in

international financial/development circles and have gained experience in

transferring substantial amounts of resources to developing countries, they

can expect other challenges in the future. The greatest of these challenges

for some will be to survive the vagaries of the international financial

environment, which has changed significantly since the debt crisis broke out

in 1982, leaving financial intermediaries on shakier ground than ever before

and the economies of developing countries more vulnerable. At the same time,

the decline in oil revenues has diminished the natural advantage that many

Arab banks have relied upon to enter the international markets, namely their

ready access to exports of Arab capital. Yet, accompanying such challenges

are opportunities for growth and consolidation. These could be captured if

Arab banks tackled creatively the difficult but necessary tasks of building

their staff capabilities, expanding their investmenl: functions, and extending

their placement contacts. Unimaginative managers will face the most difficult

times ahead.

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Annex A

Government Investments

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Table Al Multilateral Arab Government Investment Consortia

Year AuthorizedInvestment Consortium Established Location Capital

(US$ millions)

Arab Investment Company (TAIC) 1974 Riyadh 291Arab Petroleum InvestmentCorporation (APICORP) 1975 Dhahran 360

Arab Mining Company (ARMICO) 1976 Amman 438Arab Authority for AgriculturalInvestment and Development (AAAID) 1977 Khartoum 547

Arab Company for Fisheries Jeddah 21Arab Company for Livestock Development 1974 Damascus 219Arab Company for Drug Industries a/and Medical Appliances (ACDIMA) 1976 Cairo/Amman a 220

TOTAL 2,096

a/ Location of ACDIMA shifted from Cairo to Amman in 1979, following theEgyptian-Israeli accords.

Sources: Personal communications with secretariat of League of ArabStates; M. Abdel Fadil, Alnaft wal Wihda Alarabia, annex tables; and JohnLaw, Arab Investors, vol. II, ch. 3.

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Table A2 Arab Government Investment Corporations(National and Bilateral)

Capital GovernmentYear Authorized Share

Corporation Established Location (US$ million) (percent)

KFTCIC 1965 Kuwait 100.0 80Kuwait-Egyptian InvestmentCompany (KEIC) 1974 Cairo 25.0 100

Sudanese-Kuwaiti InvestmentCompany (SKIC) 1972 Kuwait 7.5 100

Kuwait Real Estate InvestmentConsortium (KREIC) 1975 Kuwait 110.0 80

Kuwait Investment Company (KIC) 1961 Kuwait 76.0 50Industrial Bank of Kuwait (IBK) 1974 Kuwait 36.5 49Kuwait International PetroleumInvestment Company (KIPIC) 1981 Kuwait 365.0 70

Kuwait Finance House (KFH) 1978 Kuwait 36.0 49Saudi-Egyptian ReconstructionCompany 1975 Cairo 50.0

Saudi-Egyptian Company forInvestment and Finance 1974 Cairo 200.0

Syrian-Saudi Company for Indus-trial and Agricultural Invest. 1976 Damascus 50.0 100

Saudi-Tunisian Investment Company Tuni.s 250.0 100Saudi International bank (SIB) 1975 London 54.0 50Abu Dhabi Investment Authority(ADIA) Abu Dhabi 200.0 100

Abu Dhabi Investment Company (ADIC) 1977 Abu Dhabi 50.0Joint Arab Investment Corporation 1975 Cairo 50.0Emirates and Sudan InvestmentCompany (ESIC) Khartoum 105.0 100

1,765.0Saudi Arabian Basic IndustriesCorporation (SABIC) Riyadh 3,000.0

Sources: Personal communications with secretariat of League of Arab States;M. Abdel Fadil, Alnaft wal Wihda Alarabia, annex tables; John Law, ArabInvestors, vol. II, Chapters 1 and 2; Traute Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and IslamicBanks Annexes X and XII.

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Table A3 Arab Multilateral Government Joint Ventures

CapitalYear Authorized

Company Established Location (US$ million)

(A. Industry and Services)

Arab Maritime PetroleumTransport Company 1973 Kuwait 500

Arab Shipbuilding andRepair Yard Company (ASRY) 1974 Bahrain 340

Arab Petroleum Services Company 1977 Libya 338United Arab Shipping Company Kuwait 995Arab Potash Company Jordan 194Gulf Petrochemicals Industries Bahrain 179Arab Petroleum Pipeline Company(SUMED) 1973 Alexandria 400

Arab Company for EngineeringDesign 1981 Abu Dhabi 20

Arab Drilling and WorkoverCompany Libya 41

Qalb Iron Ore Mines Mauritania 182Arab Hotels Company North Yemen 25Jordanian Fertilizer IndustriesCompany Amman 135

Kenana Sugar Company Sudan 412Syrian-Arab Company for Hotelsand Tourism Damascus 8

Gulf Aluminum Rolling Mill Company Bahrain 1063,875

(B. Banking, Insurance, and Finance)

Year Capital in $mil. 1983Corporation Estab. Location Authorized Paid in Assets

Gulf International Bank (GIB) 1975 Bahrain 500 265 7,400Arab Banking Corporation (ABC) 1980 Bahrain 1,000 745 8,800Arab African InternationalBank (AAIB) 1964 Cairo 100 4,400

Arab International Bank (AIB) 1971 Cairo 100 2,000Arab Jordanian Investment Bank 1978 Amman 15 600UBAF group 1970 Paris 112 11,200CAII 1973 Luxembourg 70 70 3,300

1,407

Source: John Law, Arab Invstors vol. II; Part A from Chapter 5 and Appendix 6,pp. 201-218; and Part B from Chapter 4. Estimates of 1983 assets arefrom The Banker, June 1984.

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Anrex B

Inter-Arab Private Direct Investments(Paid-in Capital, US$ million, as of 1981)

Barkirg ServicesInvest. Real Est. Mwiff. Fin/Ins. Mining Agribus and Others Total

Host Source No. $ No. $ No. $ No. $ No. $ No. $ No. $

Bahrain SA - - - - 1 8.5 - - - - - - 1 8.5Kt - - 1 85.0 7 166.1 1 75.0 - - 3 38.8 12 364.9mlti - - 1 4.4 - - - - - - - - 1 4.4Sub-total - - 2 89.4 8 174.6 1 75.0 - - 3 38.8 14 377.8

Egypt Kt - - 2 7.9 2 3.5 - - - - - - 4 11.4UAE - - - - 1 0.5 - - - - - - 1 0.5Kalti - - 1 1.8 3 6.6 - - - - - - 4 8.4Sub-total - - 3 9.7 6 10.6 - - - - - - 9 20.3

Jordan Kt - - - - 3 10.9 - - - - - - 3 '0.9Multi - - 2 10.7 2 5.8 - - - - 1 5.7 5 22.2Sub-total - - 2 10.7 5 16.7 - - - - 1 5.7 8 33.1

Lebanon Kt - - - - 1 3.0 - - - - - - 1 3.0

Mauritania Kt - - 1 10.0 - - - - - - - - 1 10.0

Mbrocco Kt 6 6.4 4 2.2 - - 2 0.9 - - 4 1.5 16 11.0Kaiiti - - 4 15.1 1 0.7 1 7.2 - - - - 6 23.0Sub-total 6 6.4 8 17.3 1 0.7 3 8.1 - - 4 1.5 22 34.0

Saudi Klti 1 8.6 - - - - - - - - - - 1 8.6Arabia

Snalia Multi - - - - - - 1 5.0 - - - - 1 5.0

Suda Kt - - 1 2.5 - - - - 1 2.2 1 1.0 3 5.7Mutli - - 1 13.8 - - - - 3 43.4 - - 4 57.2Sub-total - - 2 16.3 - - - - 4 45.6 1 1.0 7 62.9

Trnisia Kt - - - - 3 2.3 - - - - - - 3 2.3Multi - - 2 3.5 1 0.7 - - - - 1 2.5 4 6.7Sub-total - - 2 3.5 4 3.0 - - - - 1 2.5 7 9.0

Omn Kt - - - - 1 1.4 - - - - - - 1 1.4

UAE Kt 4 135.7 7 296.5 7 260.6 - - 2 24.5 2 35.5 22 752.8

Yeen, N. Kt - - - - 1 2.2 - - - - - - 1 2.2mlti 1 16.0 - - - - 1 1.5 1 1.5 1 0.6 4 19.6Sub-total 1 16.0 - - 1 2.2 1 1.5 1 1.5 1 0.6 5 21.8

Totals SAL - - - - 1 8.5 - - - - - - 1 8.5Kt 10 142.1 16 404.1 25 450.0 3 75.9 3 26.7 10 76.8 67 1,175.6UAE - - - - 1 0.5 - - - - - - 1 0.5Multi 2 24.6 11 49.3 7 13.8 3 13.7 4 44.9 3 8.8 30 155.1Total 12 166.7 27 453.4 34 472.8 6 89.6 7 71.6 13 85.6 99 1,339.7

Note: Fiixes show paid-in capital, millions US dollars equivalent, in private or dixed joint ventures.

Soarce: Cbmputed from Jdm Law, Arab Investors, vol. II, pp. 135-180, and Appenidices 6 and 7.

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Footnotes

1/ "Oil Exporters' Surpluses and Their Deployment," Bank of EnglandQuarterly Bulletin (March 1985).

2/ The term "low absorbers" refers to Kuwait, Libya, Qatar, SaudiArabia, and United Arab Emirates (UAE), while the term "highabsorbers" refers to the remaining OPEC members.

3/ Richard P. Mattione, OPEC's Investments and the InternationalFinancial System, Washington, D.C.: 1985, Brookings Institution,table 2-4, p.11.

4/ Based on several sources, including, Mattione, OPEC's Investments.Table 2.5; U.S. Department of Treasury, Treasury Bulletin (Summer1984); U.S. Department of Labor, Survey of Current Business (March1984); Bank of England, Quarterly Bulletin, 1984 and 1985 issues; andestimates for direct investments, based partly on section V of thisstudy. Given the nature of data reporting, some direct investmentsin industrial countries continue to be erroneously classified asinvestments in securities, which producers a downwardly biasedestimate of direct investments.

5/ See note 4.

6/ Ragaei El-Mallakh, Economic Development and Regional Cooperation:Kuwait (Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1968), pp. 10-12.

7/ M. W. Khouja and P. G. Sadler, The Economy of Kuwait (London:Macmillan, 1979), pp. 9-14.

8/ Import trade data are from International Financial Statistics,annual, and imports from developing countries from Kuwait's CentralStatistical Office, Annual Statistical Abstract. Figures on workersremittances are estimates based on Kuwait's balance of paymentsstatistics and fragmentary data on wage rate, employment, and savingsof non-Kuwaitis from family budget studies, also reported in theAnnual Statistical Abstract. Private sector investments areestimates based on three sources: El Mallakh, Economic Development,p. 83, Khouja and Sadler, The Economy of Kuwait, pp. 190-208, andFakhri Shehab, "Kuwait: A Super-Affluent Society," Foreign Affairs(April 1964), pp. 461-74.

9/ OECD, Aid from OPEC Countries (Paris, 1983), p. 46.

10/ Kuwait Fund annual reports.

11/ KIC Annual Reports.

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12/ KFTCIC annual reports.

13/ Estimate based on fragmented information about the use of oilrevenues during the 1950s and 1960s from l:wo sources: El Mallakh,Economic Development, and State of Kuwait, Central StatisticalOffice, Annual Statistical Abstract, several, issues.

14/ Arab African Bank, annual reports.

15/ The role of Abdel Latif Al Hamad was significant. He was theDirector-General of Kuwait Fund, the Managing Director of KIC, andthe Chairman of UBK and BAII.

16/ Ibrahim F. I. Shihata, The Other Face of OPEC (New York: Longman,1982), especially Chapters 5 and 13.

17/ Geoffrey Jones "Banking in the Gulf before 1960", London School ofEconomics, 1985 (Mimeographed).

18/ El Mallakh, Saudi Arabia Rush to Development, Baltimore, Md.: JohnsHopkins University Press, 1982), p. 300.

19/ Traute Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and Islamic Banks (Paris: 1983) OECD,p. 19, and Annex I.

20/ Mehran Nakhjavani, "The Role of Arab Banks in the Euromarkets,' ArabBanking and Finance Handbook (Manama, Bahrain: Falcon Publishing,1983), pp. 17-22.

21/ Barun Roy, "Arab-Asian Banking Ties Grow," Arab Banking and FinanceHandbook (Manama, Bahrain: Falcon Publishing, 1983), pp. 29-35.

22/ Rodney Wilson, Banking and Finance in the Arab Middle East (New York:St. Martin's Press, 1983), pp. 99-123.

23/ Bahrain Monetary Agency, Annual Report, 1983.

24/ Wilson, Banking and Finance, pp. 112.

25/ Alan E. Moore, "Bahrain's Offshore Banking Units," Arab Banking andFinance Handbook (Manama, Bahrain: Falcon Publishing, 1983)pp. 89-94.

26/ See for example The Financial Times, July 22, 1985.

27/ Curiously, a 1984 list complied by the Banker showed Arab banks inLondon to have been only 32 banks. Obviously, the variance is due todiffering definitions of what separates a bank from other financialinstitutions. See The Banker, November 1984.

28/ Financial Times, October 3, 1983.

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29/ Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and Islamic Banks, pp. 74-100.

30/ Euromoney August 1984, pp. 170-172.

31/ M. N. Siddiqi, Banking Without Interest, (Leicester: IslamicFoundation, 1983); and Wohlers-Scharf, Arab and Islamic Banks, pp.74-95.

32/ Naiem A. Sherbiny, Oil and the Internationalization of Arab Banks,(Oxford, 1985), Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, F6, pp. 45-47.

33/ Euromoney, August 1984, pp. 170-172; and March 1985, pp. 133-136.

34/ Based on IMF, International Financial Statistics, 1984 Yearbook, andThe World Development Report, 1985, Statistical annexes.

35/ Because of the lack of detailed data and/or the different nature andterms of flows, some OPEC institutions are not shown in table 5. Twoof the bilateral institutions are omitted: the Libyan Arab ForeignBank, and the Organization for Investment, Economic and TechnicalAssistance of Iran (Iran Organization). Three multilateralinstitutions are not shown: the Arab Fund for Technical Assistanceto African and Arab Countries (AFTAAAC), the Arab Gulf Program forUnited Nations Development Organizations (AGFUND), and the IslamicSolidarity Fund (ISF). Information on these institutions may beobtained from three sources: the OPEC Fund, OPEC Aid and OPEC AidInstitutions--A Profile, No. 4 (Vienna, 1985); OECD, Aid From OPECCountries (Paris, 1983); and UNCTAD, Financial Solidarity forDevelopment, 1973-1981 Review (New York, 1984).

37/ OPEC Fund, OPEC Aid and OPEC Aid Institutions - A Profile, No.4.

38/ For a detailed discussion of these and other points, See Ibrahim F.I.Shihata and Naiem A. Sherbiny, "The OPEC Aid Phenomenon inPerspective" OPEC Fund, Pamphlet Series (forthcoming).

39/ Figures for the OPEC Fund are related to its loan operations and donot include contributions to other international agencies made by theFund on behalf of its members or other grants.

40/ Figures combine IBRD loans and IDA credits, computed from the WorldBank, Annual Report, several issues.

41/ Alexander E. Fleming, "Survey of Origin and Development of ArabBanks," IMF Survey (Washington, D.C., February 8, 1982).

42/ Calculated from Naiem A. Sherbiny, Oil and the Internationalizationof Arab Banks, Annex, table A-2.

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43 Mehran Nakhjavani, Arab Banks and the International FinancialMarkets, Middle East Economic Survey (Cyprus, 1983), pp. 25-27.

44/ "Survey of Arab Banking" The Financial Times, Oct. 14, 1985, p. 2.

45/ Hikmat S. Nashashibi, "Arab Involvement in the Eurobond Market"Euromoney Seminar, March 1985, London.

46/ Ragaei El Mallakh, Mihssen Kadhim, Barry Poulson, Capital Investmentin the Middle East (New York: Praeger, 1977), table 4.11, p. 89.

47/ John Law, Arab Investors: Who they Are, What they Buy, and Where(New York: Chase World Information Corporation, 1981). Figures usedare calculated from appendixes 7 and 8 of vol. 1.

48/ Mattione (1985), OPEC's Investment, tables 2-5 and 2-9; Bank ofEngland, Quarterly Bulletin, March 1985.

49/ Compare with the $40 billion estimate of total joint Arab projectsmade by the Financial Times, October 3, 1983, for combined privateand government investments.

50/ See MEED and MEES various issues, 1982-84.

51/ As computed from budget statistics occasionally published in MEES,various 1985 issues.

52/ Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Government Budget, 1403/1404 A.H. and1404/1405 A.H.

53/ Calculated from IMF, Direction of Trade, several issues.

54/ Address by Sheikh Ali Khalifa Al Sabah in September 1984 to the ArabBankers Association in London, as reported in Middle East EconomicSurvey, 24 September 1984.

55/ The Financial Times, October 3, 1983.

56/ The Egyptian government recently established the "Egyptians AbroadInvestment Company" with an authorized capital of $100 million tomobilize workers' remittances into local project financing.

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