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Prof. (Dr.) S. L. Kothari, Director
Amity Institute of Biotechnology
Amity University Rajasthan Jaipur
Email: [email protected]
International Center for Environment Audit and Sustainable Development,
CAG of India
Jaipur
25-February-2015
Poor Rich
Citizens Immigrants
Urban area Rural area
One country Another country
Your needs Neighbors need
Environment Corporate
Present generation Next generation(s)
In the later half of the twentieth century four
key areas emerged
Peace
Freedom
Development, and
Environment
It was followed by the concept of sustainable
development
“Development that meets the needs of the
present, without compromising the ability of
future generations to meet their own needs”
The World Commission on Environment and Development was initiated
by the General Assembly of the United Nations in 1982, and its report,
Our Common Future, was published in 1987.
As it was chaired by the then–Prime Minister of Norway Gro Harlem
Brundtland, so it is called Brundtland Commission.
Sustainable development
implies linking what is to
be sustained with what is
to be developed.
But here, too, the emphasis has
often differed from extremes of
“sustain only” to “develop
mostly” to various forms of
“and/or.”
Similarly, the time period of
concern, ambiguously
described…for a generation or
forever.
The key indicators of sustainability are the stock of natural,
produced, and human capital.
Thus, a sustainable growth path can be assessed in terms of
extended genuine savings, defined as the traditional savings
minus the depreciation of produced capital and the stock of
natural resources, plus investments in education and health.
Sustainability in the long run will
depend on developing countries'
ability to increase investments in
human and produced capital, and
stabilize their stock of natural
resources.
Strategic Goal A: Address the underlying causes ofbiodiversity loss by mainstreaming biodiversity acrossgovernment and society
Strategic Goal B: Reduce the direct pressures onbiodiversity and promote sustainable use
StrategicGoal C: To improve the status of biodiversity bysafeguarding ecosystems, species and genetic diversity
Strategic Goal D: Strategic Goal D: Enhance the benefits toall from biodiversity and ecosystem services
Strategic Goal E: Enhance implementation throughparticipatory planning, knowledge management andcapacity building
Critical objectives for environment anddevelopment policies that follow the concept ofsustainable development include:
Reviving growth;
Changing the quality of growth;
Meeting essential needs for jobs, food, energy, water, and sanitation;
Ensuring a sustainable level of population;
Conserving and enhancing the resource base:
Reorienting technology and managing risk; and
Merging environment and economics in decision making.
This framework is an elaboration of the idea of “interdependent and
mutually reinforcing pillars of sustainable development - economic
development, social development and environmental protection”, as
recognized by UN Member States since the Johannesburg Declaration
(2002)
Worlds population has reached 7.1 billion in 2012 and increasing.
80 Million people are being added every year.
Most population growth
occurred in poor countries
but the consumption is
concentrated in higher
income countries.
Life expectancy at birth is one of the most objective, broadest
measures of progress.
Life expectancy at birth has been extended by 22 years since
1950, reaching 69 years in 2011, which was primarily due to
reductions in infant and child mortality.
Yet, there continue to be persistent gaps between regions and
a widening gap between men and women.
Global health has improved, due to immunization, improved
water, sanitation, and nutrition.
But with increased life expectancy, the global burden of disease
has shifted from infectious diseases to chronic diseases
The world has made little progress in reducing the absolutenumber of poor.
At any time for the past quarter century, about 3 billionpeople have struggled to survive on a daily basis.
In a world without extreme poverty, their ideas andinnovations could have contributed to build better lives,improve technology performance and economic prosperity.
Not all, but many of the poor suffer from hunger, i.e. they
have less than the minimum level of dietary energy consumption.
Today, 850 million people – 260 million of which in Least Developed Countries (LDCs) - suffer from hunger.
In 2011, 87 per cent of the population used an improvedwater source, up from 70 per cent in 1990. About 740million people still lack access to safe drinking water.
Today, 2.4 billion people lack access to basic sanitation.
Water pollution remains a major problem in rapidlygrowing urban areas in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, andinfectious water-borne diseases continue to claim lives ofmillions, especially children.
Education and literacy
Migration
Human security and human rights
Each and every country growing its economy but most are not taking care of environment
Aid flows
Materials consumption
Technology
The past sixty years have seen extraordinary changes
in developed and developing countries alike, in terms
of values, attitudes, and actual behaviour, in
particular the attitudinal and behavioural shifts, the
role of women, the environment, and human rights.
Biodiversity
CO2 emissions
Oceans
Land use:
The world’s land cover of the ice free earth
is divided into dense settlements (1%),
villages (6%), croplands (21%), 35 rangelands
(30%), forests (19%), and wildlands (23%).
Primary Productivity
Pollution
Culture
There is no agreement on the role of science in policy
making.
It is easier to agree on goals/targets than on policies,
actions or indicators. There is no consensus on limits, but
almost everyone agrees that technology is important.
To date, no scenario exists that would consider the full
range of SD goals suggested by science or by politics.
The broader the set, the more unresolved trade-offs and
synergies remain.
This is a serious challenge and will require significant
resources to resolve.
Reduce consumption
Use renewable sources
Develop technologies to improve efficiency of systems
Reduce loss of energy
Improved crop varieties
Involve agroforestry
IPM
Storage and reduction of post harvest losses
Reduce use of chemicals
Increase land under organic cultivation
Improve rain water harvesting system
Use harvested rain water
Purify underground water with low cost
technologies input for drinking purpose.
Proper use of water
Hydroponics
Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, Volume 47, Number
3, pages 8–21. © Robert W. Kates, Thomas M. Parris, and Anthony A. Leiserowitz,
2005.
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD151/RGSD151
.chap2.pdf
http://www.un-documents.net/ocf-02.htm
https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/1454Prototype%20Glob
al%20SD%20Report.pdf
Climate change and issues related to
biodiversity
Prof. S. L. Kothari
Director
Amity Institute of Biotechnology
Amity University Rajasthan Jaipur
Email: [email protected]
Climate change It refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be
identified (e.g. using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or
the variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended
period, typically decades or longer.
It refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural
variability or as a result of human activity.
Climate in a wider sense also includes not just the mean conditions,
but also the associated statistics (frequency, magnitude, persistence,
trends, etc.), often combining parameters to describe phenomena
such as droughts.
This usage differs from that in the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), where climate change
refers to a change of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly
to human activity that alters the composition of the global
atmosphere and that is in addition to natural climate variability
observed over comparable time periods.
It is different from weather…
Weather describes the conditions of the atmosphere at a certainplace and time with reference to temperature, pressure,humidity, wind, and other key parameters (meteorologicalelements); the presence of clouds, precipitation; and theoccurrence of special phenomena, such as thunderstorms, duststorms, tornados and others.
Climate in a narrow sense is usually defined as the average weather, ormore rigorously, as the statistical description in terms of the meanand variability of relevant quantities over a period of time rangingfrom months to thousands or millions of years.
The relevant quantities are most often surface variables such astemperature, precipitation and wind.
Classically the period for averaging these variables is 30 years, asdefined by the World Meteorological Organization.
Natural causes
Climate is influenced by external natural factors such as changes in
volcanic activity, solar output, and the Earth's orbit around the Sun.
Of these, the two factors relevant on timescales of contemporary
climate change are changes in volcanic activity and changes in solar
radiation.
Volcanic eruptions are episodic and have relatively short-term
effects on climate.
Changes in solar irradiance have contributed to climate trends over
the past century but since the Industrial Revolution, the effect of
additions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere has been about
ten times that of changes in the Sun’s output.
Anthropogenic causes Burning of fossil fuels
Conversion of land for forestry and agriculture.
Agriculture
Industrial Revolution (CFC…)
Greenhouse gases
Livestock: responsible for 18% of the world’s greenhouse gas
emissions as measured in CO2 equivalents and 65% of human-
induced nitrous oxide
GJJ99 3Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
The greenhouse effect
SUNSome solar radiation is
reflected by the earth’s
surface and the atmosphere
ATMOSPHERE
Solar radiation
passes through the
clear atmosphere
EARTHMost solar radiation is absorbed
by the surface, which warms
Some of the infrared
radiation is absorbed
and re-emitted by the
greenhouse gases.
The effect of this is to
warm the surface
and the lower
atmosphere
Infrared radiation
is emitted from the
Earth’s surface
Changes in the
atmosphere,
land, ocean,
biosphere and
cryosphere
(both natural
and
anthropogenic)
can perturb the
Earth’s
radiation
budget,
producing a
radiative forcing
that affects
climate.
Rising temperature
Global average temperatures have increased ~0.6°C (1°F) in last 100 years
Temperatures at poles have increased by up to 9°F
Over last 30 years, annual average Arctic sea ice has decreased 8% (1 million km2)
Global sea level has risen ~10-25cm due to melting glaciers and permafrost and due to thermal expansion of oceans
2006, 2005, 2004, 1998, 2002, 2003, 2001, 1997 are hottest years on record
Global-average surface temperature projected to increase by 1.4 ºC to 5.8 ºC by 2100
Effects of climate change
Increased sea level
Rapid sea ice loss
Increased temperature
Increased extreme events
Ocean Acidification (The average pH of ocean surfacewaters has fallen by about 0.1 units, from about 8.2 to 8.1(total scale) since 1765 )
Hurricane Intensity Increases
Reduced agricultural productivity
Increased threat to biodiversity
What’s about sea level rise?
Source: R. Nicholls, Middlesex University in the U.K. Meteorological
Office. 1997. Climate Change and Its Impacts: A Global Perspective.
So
urc
e: I
PC
C 2
00
1
TEN MILLIONS OF PEOPLE MUST MOVE AWAY WHEN Sea level rise IS
HIGH
Effect on ecosystem
Climate change is projected to occur at a rapid rate relativeto the speed at which forest species grow, reproduce and re-establish themselves (past tree species’ migration rates arebelieved to be on the order of 4–200 km per century). Formid-latitude regions, an average warming of 1–3.5°C over thenext 100 years would be equivalent to a pole-ward shift ofthe present geographic bands of similar temperatures (or“isotherms”) approximately 150–550 km, or an altitude shiftof about 150–550 m.
Therefore, the species composition of forests is likely tochange; in some regions, entire forest types may disappear,while new assemblages of species and hence new ecosystemsmay be established.
(AR5)”
Effect on water sources
Changes in climate could exacerbate periodic and chronic shortfallsof water, particularly in arid and semi-arid areas of the world.
Developing countries are highly vulnerable to climate changebecause many are located in arid and semi-arid regions, and mostderive their water resources from single-point systems such asbore holes or isolated reservoirs.
These systems, by their nature, are vulnerable because there is noredundancy in the system to provide resources, should the primarysupply fail. Also, given the limited technical, financial andmanagement resources possessed by developing countries,adjusting to shortages and/or implementing adaptation measureswill impose a heavy burden on their national economies.
There is evidence that flooding is likely to become a larger problemin many temperate and humid regions, requiring adaptations notonly to droughts and chronic water shortages but also to floodsand associated damages, raising concerns about dam and leveefailures.
• Ecosystem services: mountains influence rainfall patterns and
mountain forests prevent erosion & floods
• Mountain communities are marginalised, with little access to
urban resources and limited agricultural land
• Language diversity in mountains is high, and threatened
languages are common in mountain regions
The Importance of Mountain
Environments
Mountain Watch
The first global assessment of mountain ecosystems
Scale of Change
20% of the world’s
coral reefs were lost
and more than 20%
degraded
35% of mangrove
area has been lost in
the last several
decades
Wood fuel is the only source of fuel for one third of the world’s population
Wood demand will double in the next 50 years
Forest management will become more difficult due to an increase in pests and fires
One third of the world’s population is now subject to water scarcity
Population facing water scarcity will more than double over the next 30 years
Climate change is projected to decrease water availability in many arid- and semi-arid regions
Atmosphere
Rainfall
Rise in
Temperature
Change in
Rainfall
Living organisms
Changes in plankton
biomass
Wildlife Agriculture
Carbon,methane,nitr
ous oxide,
Cholorofluoro
carbons
Changes in behavior,
migration pattern,
Flowering time
Change in crop
biology
CLIMATE CHANGE AND BIODIVERSITY
How to protect biodiversity in changing climate In general, there are two different strategies when it comes
to dealing with climate change. We can try to stop futurewarming (mitigation of climate change) or we can findways to live in our warming world (adaptation to climatechange).
Adaptation involves developing ways to protect peopleand places by reducing their vulnerability to climate impacts.For example, to protect against sea level rise and increasedflooding, communities might build seawalls or relocatebuildings to higher ground.
Mitigation involves attempts to slow the process of globalclimate change, usually by lowering the level of greenhousegases in the atmosphere. Planting trees that absorb CO2from the air and store it is an example of one such strategy.