WEATHER BUREAU Western R~lon Salt Lake City. Utah January 1970

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f ,.:-1"" F ·l • t .·r.

Precipitation Probabilities in ·the Western .Region Associated With_·. t=all 500-mb. Map Types Rtchard F? Augulis

e Technical Memorandum WBTM WR-45-4

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE SERVICES ADMINISTRATION~

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U. S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE SERVICES ADMINISTRATION

WEATHER BUREAU

Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WR-45/4

PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES IN THE WESTERN REGION ASSOCIATED WITH FALL 500-MB MAP TYPES

Richard P. Augulis Meteorologist

Scientific Services Division · ·Western Region Headquart~rs, Salt Lake City, Utah

WESTERN REGION TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM NO. 45/4

SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH JANUARY 1970

I

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I . Introduction

Appendix A 2-52

Appendix B 53-65

i i

PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES IN THE WESTERN REGION ASSOCIATED WITH FALL 500-MB MAP TYPES

I. INTRODUCTION

Precipitation probabi I !ties associate~ with fa I I 500-mb map types were generated employing the same typing technique presented in WBTM WR 45/1 "Precipitation Probabi I ities in the Western Region Associated with Winter 500-mb Map Types".

The fal I season consisted of I 170 maps for 0000 and 1200GMT September 1962-1968, October 1962-1968, and November 1961-1967. Cl imatologies for 12-hour precipitation were calculated for the same station net­work in the Western Region.

Maps of fall mean map are according to typing area.

type cl imatologies along with associated type and pure given in Appendix A. The type maps have been arranged basic simi laritles in the large-scale flow over the The divisions are as follows:

Trough 130- 150°W.--types 2, 5, II, 14, 18, 23

Trough 120- 125°W.--types 3, 16, 17, 20

Trough 110 II5°W.--types 6, 7, 10, 13, 22, 25

Zonal flow--types I, 9

Ridge 120 -140°W.--types 4, 8, 12, 15, 1?, 21, 24.

A I !sting of dates of occurrence of each fal I type Is given In Appendix B.

\:

APPENDIX A

Fal I Types and Associated Precipitation Climatologies

Types Arranged According to Similarity of Basic Flow Pattern

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APPENDIX B

Llst.lng of Maps Within Each Type

TYPE

Sep 1961 Sep \963 Sep 1964 Sep \965 Sep 1966 Sep \967 Sep 1968

9-12 1-0 11-12 30-12 3-12 1-12 7-0 12-12 1-12 12-12 4-0 2-0 7-12 13-0 2-0 13-0 5-0 2-12 8-0 13-12 2-12 13-12 5-12 3-0 8-12 14-0 13-12 14-0 6-0 3-12 9-0 14-12 14-0 14-12 15-12 4-0 9·:_ 12

15-0 21-0 15-0 16-0 7-0 11-12 15-12 21-12 15-12 16-12 7-12 '12-0 16-12 22-0 16-0 17-0 8-0 12-12 17-12 23-0 16-12 17-12 8-12 13-0 19-12 23-12 17-0 18-0 9-0 13-12 21-12 24-12 28-0 25-12 9-12 14-0 22-0 28-12 26-0 10-0 14-12 22-12 29-0 26-12 10-12 15-0 27-0 29-12 11-0 18-0 27-12 30-0 12-0 23-12 28-0 30-12 12-12 24-0 28-12 21-0 24-·12 29-0 21-12 25-0 29-12 22-0 25-12 30-0 22-12 26-0 30-12 23-0 26-12

23-12 27-0 24-12 25-0 25-12 28-12 29-12 30-0

-53-

Type I (Cant i nued)

Nov 1961 ~

3-12 5-12 6-0 8-12 9-0 9-12

10-0 I 0-12 11-0 11-12 17-12 18-0 18-12 22-12 23-0 23-12

Nov 1962

4-12 5-0 5-12 6-0 7-12 8-0 8-12 9-0

I 0-12 11-0 11-12 12-0 14-12 15-0 20-0 20-12 21-0 21-12 22-0 22-12 23-0 23-12 24-0 24-12 25-0 25-12 26-0 26-12 27-0 28-0 28-12 29-0 29-12 30-0 30-12

Nov 1963

1-0 1-12 2-0 2-12 3-0 3-12 4-0 4-12 5-0 5-12 7-0 7-12 8-12 9-0 9-12

10-0 10-12 22-12 23-0 23-12 26-0 26-12 27-0 27-12 28-0 28-12 29-0 30-0 30-12

Nov 1964

1-0 1-12 2-0 2-12 3-0 3-12 4-0 4-12 9-12

11-12 12-0 22-12 23-0 23-12 24-0 24-12 28-12 29-0 29-12 30-0 30-12

-55-

Nov 1965

1-0 1-12 2-0 2-12 3-0 3-12 4-0 4-12 5-0 5-12

21-12 27-0 27-12 28-0 28-12 29-0 29-12 30-0 30-12

Nov 1966

2-0 2-12

11-12 12-0 12-12 13-0 13-12 26-12 27-0 27-12

TYPE 2

Sep 1962 Sep 1963 Sep 1966 Sep 1967 Sep 1968 : l

18-0 3-0 8-0 4-12 10-0

18-12 8-12 8-12 5-0 I0-12

19-0 9-0 9-0 5-12 11-0

26-12 9-12 9-12 6-0 10-0 22-0 6-12 10-12 22-12 29-0 11-0 23-0 11-12 23-12 12-0 24-0 12-12 24-12 13-0 25-0 22-12 24-0 25-0 25-12 26-0 26-12 27-0 27-12 28-0 28-12

. i 29-12 30-0

Oct 1962 Oct 1963 Oct 1964 Oct 1965 Oct 1968

. ! 1-0 8-0 8-0 3-0 28-0

1-12 8-12 12-0 3-12 28-12

2-0 9-0 12-12 4-0 29-0

2-12 9-12 13-0 24-0

29-0 10-0 26-12 29-12 10-12 27-0

30-0 11-0 28-0 11-12 13-0 13-12 14-0 14-12 15-0 19-12 20-0

Nov 1962 Nov 1963 Nov 1964 Nov 1965 Nov 1966

3-12 11-0 22-0 4-0 14-0

4-0 11-12 8-0 14-12

12-12 12-0 8-12 28-0 12-12 9-0 28-12 13-0 9-12 29-0 13-12 18-0

-56-

Sep 1962

20-0 20-12 21-0 26-0

Oct 1963

12-0 15-12 16-0 16-12 17-0 17-12

Sep 1963

8-0 19-0 19-12 20-0 20-12 30-12

Oct 1964

13-12 14-0 29-12 30-0

TYPE 3

Sep 1966 Sep 1967

13-0 1-0 13-12 18-0 14-0 18-12 14-12 24-0 15-0 28-0 18-12 19-0 19-12 20-0 20-12 21-0 21-12

f

-57-

Sep 1968

29-12 30-0 30-12

TYPE 4

Sep 1962 Sep 1966 Sep 1967 Sep 1968

23-12 4-12 13-0 29-0 24-0 13-12 24-12 14-0 25-0 14-12 25-12 15-0

15-12 16-0 16-12 17-0 17-12 26-0 26-12 _._,

27-0 27-12

Oct 1962 Oct 1963 Oct 1964 Oct 1965 Oct 1968

24-0 1-12 4-12 II -0 3-0

24-12 2-0 5-0 21-12 3-12

25-0 5-12 22-0 25-12 6-12 22-12

. id 26-0 7-0 23-0 'I 27-0 7-12 23-12

27-12 18-12 24-12 28-0 19-0 25-0 28-12 19-12 25-12 30-12 20-12 26-0 31-0 21-0 27-12 31-12 21-12

22-0 22-12 23-0

Nov 1961 Nov 1962 Nov 1963 Nov 1966

7-0 1-12 29-12 1-0 7-12 1-12 8-0

" .. TYPE 5

Sep 1964 Sep 1966 Sep 1967

17-12 6-12 30-12 7-0 7-12

10-0 10-12 11-0

Oct 1962 Oct 1963 Oct 1964 Oct 1965 Oct 1966 Oct 1967 Oct 1968

3-0 4-12 26-0 15-0 20-12 1-0 11-12 3-12 5-0 26-12 1-12 12-0 4-0 5-12 27-0 2-0 12-12

10-0 2-12" 13-0 11-0 3-0 13-12 11-12 3-12 14-0 12-12 4-0 29-12 13-0 4-12 30-0 13-12 5-0 14-0 5-12 14-12

Nov 1961 Nov 1962 Nov 1963 Nov 1964 Nov 1965 Nov 1966

24-0 13-0 6-0 8-0 6-0 15-0 24-12 13-12 6-12 10-0 10-0 15-12 27-0 14-0 14-0 10-12 16-0 27-12 27-12 14-12 17-12 16-12 29-12 15-0 19-12 20-0 30-0 15-12 23-0 20-12 30-12 23-12 21-0

24-0 24-12

TYPE 6

Sep 1962 Sep 1963 Sep 1964 Sep 1965 Sep 1967 Sep 1968

10-0 14-12 18-0 27-12 11-12 15-12

10-12 15-0 20-12 28-0 18-12

1.1-0 15-12 19-0

11-12 16-0 19-12

12-0 16-12 20-0 17-12 20-12 18-0 21-0 18-12 21-12

Oct 1962 Oct 1965 Oct 1966 Oct 1968

15-0 15-12 11-12 6-12 16-0 12-0 7~0

12-12 7-12 13-0 8-0 14-12 14-12 15-0 15-0 15-12 15-12 17-12 21-0

; 21-12 '

Nov 1961 Nov 1962 Nov 1963 Nov 1964 Nov 1965 Nov 1966

19-12 15-12 16-0 11-0 21-0 10-0 20-0 16-0 16-12 12-12 22-0 23-12 20-12 16-12 17-0 13-0 22-12 24-0

21-0 17-12 13-12 25-0 .25-12

21-12 18-0 25-0 25-12 26-0 19-0 25-12 19-12 26-0 20-0 26-12 20-12 27-0

27-12 28-0

!'

Sep 1962

8-12 9-0

23-0

Oct 1962

15-12 16-0 18-12 19-0 19-12 20-0

Nov 1961

-2-12 4-12 5-0

12-0 12-12 13-0 13-12 16-0 16-12 17-0 22-0

Sep 1964

18-12 19-0 19-12 21-12 22-0 22-12

Oct 1965

16-12

Nov 1962

17-0 17-12 18-0 18-12 19-0 19-12

Sep 1965

28-12 29-0 30-0

Oct 1966

3-12 4-0 4-12

13-12 14-0 16-0 16-12

Nov 1963

24-12 25-0 25-12

TYPE 7

Sep 1966

1-0 1-12 2-0 2-12 3-0

27-0 27-12

Oct 1967

29-0 29-12 30-0

Nov 1965

26-0 26-12

-61-

Sep 1967

19-0 19-12 20-0

Oct 1968

16-0

Nov 1966

4-0 4-12 9-0

24-12 25-0

Sep 1968

16-0 16-12 17-0 22-0 22-12 23-0 27-12 28-0 28-12

,.

TYPE 8

Sep 1964 Sep 1966 Sep 1967

23-0 28-0 20-12 23-12 28-12 24-0 29-0 24-12 29-12 25-0 30-0

30-12

Oct 1962 Oct 1964 Oct 1966 Oct 1968

18-0 4-0 1-0 2-0 20-12 1-12 2-12 21-0 9-0 22-0 9-12 22-12 31-12 23-0 23-12

Nov 1961 Nov 1962 Nov 1966

6-12 1-0 3-0

TYPE 9

Sep 1962 Sep 1964 Sep 1965 Sep 1968 Nov 1966

1-0 27-12 1-0 1-0 5-0 1-12 1-12 6-0 5-0 6-12 6-0 6-12

TYPE 10

Nov 1961 Nov 1963 Nov 1965

19-0 18-12 11-0 21-0 21-12 22-0

TYPE I I

Nov 1961 Nov 1965

26-12 16-12

TYPE 12

SEJp 1962 Sep 1964 Sep 1965 Sep 1968 Oct 1966 Nov 1961 Nov 1966

7-0 25-12 2-0 2-0 2-0 2-0 3-1 8-0 26-0 14-12 2-12 2-12 3-0 6-12

26-12 15-0 3-0 3-0 4-0 11-0 27-0 15-12 3-12 15-0

16-0 4-0 24-12 4-12 25-0

TYPE 13

Sep 1962 Sep 1964 Sep 1965 Nov 1965 Nov 1966

2-0 2-12 3-0 11-12 10-12 3-0 9-0 4-0 9-12 5-0 10-0

10-0 10-12 10-12 11-0 11-0 11-12

12-0 12-12 13-0 13-12 14-0 27-0

TYPE 14

Sep 1962 Oct 1964 Nov 1964 Nov 1965

16-0 27-12 5-0 15-12 17-0 28-0 5-12 16-0

28-12 6-0 20-0 29-0 6-12 20-12

7-0 7-12 8-12 9-0

TYPE 15

Sep 1968 Oct 1966 Nov 1961 Nov 1966

1-12 8-12 1-12 9-12 17-12 17-0 14-0

14-12

Sep 1966

11-12 12-0 12-12

Sep 1964

2-0 5-12 6-0 7-0

Nov 1961

28-0 28-12 29-0

Sep 1962

2-12 3-0 3-2 4-0 4-12

TYPE 16

Oct 1962

4-12

TYPE

Sep 1965

2-12 3-12 4-0 4-12 5-0 5-12 6-0 6-12 8-0 8-12

25-12 26-0

TYPE

17

18

Nov 1966

5-12 6-0 7-0 7-12 8-0

22-12 23-0

Nov 1965 Nov 1966

6-12 17-0 7-0 17-12 7-12 18-0

13-12 18-12 17-0 19-12 18-12 29-12 19-0 30-0

30-12

TYPE 19

Nov 1965

12-0 12-12

-64-

· TYPE 20

Sep 1964 Sep 1965 Nov 1966

4-12 26-12 21-12 7-12 22-0 8-0 8-12 9-0

TYPE 21

Sep 1968 Oct 1964 Nov 1964

5-0 6-0 19-12 5-12 20-0

20-12 21-0 21-12

TYPE 22

Sep 1965 Nov 1964 Nov 1966

16-12 14-12 8-12 17-0 17-12 18-0 18-12 19-0 19-12 20-0 21-0 21-12 22-0

TYPE 23 TYPE 24

Oct 1963 Nov 1966 Sep 1965

6-12 19-0 22-12 7-0 23-0 7-12 23-12

TYPE 25 24-0

Nov 1964

15-0 16-0 16-12 17-0 17-12 18-0 18-12 19-0

-65-