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Power Transmission and Distribution - Dr. Udo Niehage, Group President
Capital Market Days 2007 June 21-22, Berlin
Page 1 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future, not past, events. These statements may be identified by words as “expects”, ”looks forward to”, “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “will” or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our current expectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond Siemens’ control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us, particular uncertainties arise, among others, from: changes in general economic and business conditions (including margin developments in major business areas); the challenges of integrating major acquisitions and implementing joint ventures and other significant portfolio measures; changes in currency exchange rates and interest rates; introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies; lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide; changes in business strategy; the outcome of pending investigations and legal proceedings; our analysis of the potential impact of such matters on our financial statements; as well as various other factors. More detailed information about our risk factors is contained in Siemens’ filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, www.siemens.com and on the SEC’s website, www.sec.gov. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as expected, anticipated, intended, planned, believed sought, estimated or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
Page 2 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Electrical energy is the backbone of our society
Page 3 June 2007 Capital Market Days
PTD delivered what was promised Key Financials: Improvement 2006 vs. 2005
0 20062005 H1 2007
+84% Δ 2006 vs. 2005
trailing 4 quarters
PTD Profit
5.0%1)
6.0%1)
7.8%2)
1) Group profit margin USGAAP
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2005 2007
PTD Sales PTD New Orders
+52% Δ 2006 vs. 2005
in € m
100
200
300
400
500
600
in € m
2006
+53% Δ 2006 vs. 2005
2) Group profit margin IFRS
Page 4 June 2007 Capital Market Days
PTD group profit 2006 vs. 2005: +84% New target margin until 2010: 7% - 10%
12 months trailing business volume
Strong volume growth continues in first half of FY 2007; all divisions exceeded previous year bookings
Significant ROCE improvement
Group profit margin improvement to 7.8% of sales in HY 2007
CCR affected by growth effects, finalization of negative VA Tech projects and restructuring
Sales New Orders
SalesSales New Orders New Orders
Sales New Orders
SalesSales New Orders New Orders
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007
Key Financials
FY06 H1 07Δ06 vs. 05 Δ07 vs. 061)
1) comparable period 2) values in € m
€ bn
3) cash conversion rate
(US GAAP) (IFRS)
---0.38---0.35CCR3)
+18%3,484+53%6,509Sales
+72%273+84%390Group profit2)
+11%29+6%28Employees
---31%---18%ROCE ---7.8%6.0%as percentage of sales
+32%5,622+52%8,028New Orders2)
in thousands
Page 5 June 2007 Capital Market Days
PTD – Gaining significant market share
With double digit sales growth closing the gap to # 1
Market Share Development 1)
2005: Siemens data with anticipated full FY VATech T&D
16% 17%
20%
2003
2005
2006
2003
2005
2006
10% 14%
18%
2003
2005
2006
8% 7%
9%
1) Comparable portfolio
Page 6 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Leading market positions in nearly all businesses
Divisions
New Orders 2006 vs. 2005
Energy Automation (EA)
Integrated control systems, protection and substation automation, telecontrol systems, power quality
Transformers (T)
Power transformers up to 1,300 MVA and 765kV, distribution transformers with oil or cast-resin insulation
High voltage (H)
Components, switchgear and turnkey projects for power transmission > 52kV (AC and DC)
Medium voltage (M)
Components, switchgear and turnkey projects for power transmission ≤ 52kV (AC and DC)
Services (SE)
Network planning & consulting, asset maintenance and maintenance management for grids & networks, metering services
Market position #1#2#1 #2 #2
> 50 %>100 %> 50 % > 20 % > 40 %
Page 7 June 2007 Capital Market Days
T&D Market and New orders trend PTD grows faster than the market
FY 2005 FY 2010 FY 2005
€ 5.3 bn
20 %
21 %
37 %
18 %
4 %
€ 55 bn
PTD Target (New orders)T&D Market1)
FY 2010 3) Commonwealth of Independent States
Germany
€ 39 bn
+1 % p.a.
+5 % p.a.
+7 % p.a.
+8 % p.a.
+10 % p.a.
Africa / NME2) / CIS3)
Asia- Pacific
Americas
Rest of Europe (w/o Germany) 22 %
21 %
36 %
16 %
5 %
1) adjusted to PTD portfolio 2) Near and Middle East
+16% p.a.
+7% p.a.
Page 8 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Source: IEA
Forecast transmission and distribution investment, 2003-30 (€ bn)
Transmission Distribution
Attractive market environment for PTD is foreseen worldwide in emerging as well as in mature markets
(US, Canada)
Implications Differentiated regional strategies Balanced portfolio management Forecasting/trend & market scouting Operational excellence/flexibility Global footprint/resources management
Implications Differentiated regional strategies Balanced portfolio management Forecasting/trend & market scouting Operational excellence/flexibility Global footprint/resources management
T&D Market: Investments in transmission networks are expected to account for more than € 1,300 bn over the next 25 years
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
China N. America Europe S. Asia E. Asia Africa S. America Other Developed
Other Transition
Middle East
Russia
Page 9 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Source: UBS
T&D investment in the US
Example USA
Average age of substations
Mature markets
Survey among 39 utilities in the US, 2006
US $ bn
Expected market volume 2007- 2027: US $ 200 bn / € ~160 bn
Average age is 30 years
Aging infrastructure drives demand for T&D investments in mature markets over the next years
Source: UBS
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0
Page 10 June 2007 Capital Market Days
New opportunities: Siemens PTD is a driver of SmartGrid technologies
European Technology Platform “SmartGrids” Vision and Strategy for Europe's Electricity Networks of the future
Source: European Technology Platform SmartGrids, Vision and Strategy for Europe’s Electricity Networks of the Future, V4.0, 24.2.2006
Virtual power plants
Load flow control
Demand side management
Blackout prevention
Reliability centered asset management
Page 11 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Well-balanced portfolio in “traditional” T&D market
New Orders/Sales
Divest: Trench VA Tech
PTI Marqott a.o.
Elektrozavod
Profit margin: 6.1 % 6.0 % 7.8 % within new margin-corridor
Invest:
Formation & Leadership
Profit & Growth
Common T&D Portfolio completed Prepared to cope with new market challenges
Cable Metering
Operation 2003
FY 2003
3.6 3.5
FY 2006
8.0 6.5
H1 2007
5.6 3.5
FY 2010
Growth above market
€ bn
Page 12 June 2007 Capital Market Days
Continuous improvement of cost position by expansion of value add in low-cost-countries
Employees (thousands)
Sales ( in € m)
Manufacturing facilities €
As of