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1 Posten Norge Results as of 3 rd quarter 2016

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Page 1: Posten Norge

1

Posten Norge Results as of 3rd quarter 2016

Page 2: Posten Norge

Agenda 3rd quarter 2016

PART 1:

Highlights and developments

PART 2:

Results and Segment Review

2

Page 3: Posten Norge

3rd quarter 2016

3

PART 1:

Highlights and developments

Page 4: Posten Norge

Highlights – Important events in 2016

Posten suggests one mail stream, with two days’ transit time for addressed mail. A White paper was submitted on 11 May and is expected to be discussed by Parliament this autumn

The increase in e-commerce continues. The Group's total e-commerce volume increased by 13 % in the first nine months of 2016

In the 3rd quarter of 2016, absence due to sickness was 5.7 %, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the third quarter of 2015. Absence due to sickness for the past 12 months was 5.9 %, an improvement of 0.2 percentage points compared with the corresponding period in 2015

In the 3rd quarter of 2016, the result for Priority mail delivered overnight was 87.5 %, 2.5 percentage points higher than the licence requirement of 85.0 %. So far this year, the result for Priority mail delivered overnight was 87.5 %

Through increased co-operation with Danske Fragtmænd, the Logistics segment strengthens its position in Denmark

Posten Norge became the majority owner of the digital design company Netlife Research in the 3rd quarter. Together with Bring Dialog, the companies will be market-leaders within data-driven digital solutions

Posten Norge's digital mailbox, Digipost experienced positive growth in 2016. The number of registered users has increased by more than 50 % since year-end, and approximately 975 000 were using the service by the end of the 3rd quarter

4

Page 5: Posten Norge

Financial highlights 3rd quarter 2016

5

OPERATING REVENUES, MNOK Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015

5 934 6 044 18 340 18 451 EBITE*, MNOK Q3 2016 Q3 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2015

157 159 378 472 RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL/ROIC*, %

Last 12 months Last 12 months

8.3 12.8 *For descriptions of adjustet result, EBITE, and return on invested capital, ROIC, see quarter report; 3

rd quarter 2016

Page 6: Posten Norge

18 451 18 340

22 925 23 557 24 404

25 074

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

472

378

1 116 1 125

933

686

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

6

Large decline in volumes for physical mail due to electronic substitution

Weak growth in the Norwegian economy in general and revenues in the logistics segment were affected by challenges in the oil sector

Revenue, MNOK

18 340

EBITE, MNOK

378

Weak revenue growth led to profit decline

The profit-margin fell by 0.5 percentage points

Measures implemented to improve profitability

Revenue and EBITE, as at 3rd quarter 2016

- 0.6%

- 20 %

Page 7: Posten Norge

HSE

7

Absence due to sickness declined by 0.2 percentage points last twelve months

ABSENCE DUE TO SICKNESS IN THE GROUP, %

5.9 % (last 12 months)

H2 IN THE GROUP

8.9 (last 12 months)

The total number of personal injuries per million worked hours (H2) was 8.9 at the end of the 3rd quarter of 2016, a reduction of 23 % from last year

4,0

5,0

6,0

7,0

8,0

9,0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

8,0

10,0

12,0

14,0

16,0

18,0

2013 2014 2015 2016

9.0

8.0

7.0

6.0

5.0

4.0

18.0

16.0

14.0

12.0

10.0

8.0

Page 8: Posten Norge

8

3rd quarter 2016

PART 2:

Results and Segment Review

Page 9: Posten Norge

Segment reporting

9

Posten Norge Segment Mail

Segment Logistics

MNOK Revenue EBITE Revenue EBITE Revenue EBITE

Q3 2016 5 934 157 2 208 112 4 110 53

Q3 2015 6 044 159 2 274 108 4 204 88

YTD 2016 18 340 378 7 172 456 12 351 31

YTD 2015 18 451 472 7 353 543 12 394 115

Page 10: Posten Norge

Segment Mail

10

Letter products

Banking services

Dialogue services

Page 11: Posten Norge

Market development

The first three quarters of 2016 was characterised by a decline in volumes, mainly as a result of digitalisation

Volume decrease addressed mail in Norway 11.2 %

Volume decrease unaddressed mail in Norway 1.7 %

Bring Citymail Sweden had a volume increase of 14.1 %

11

VOLUME ADDRESSED MAIL (NORWAY), millions

788 (last 12 months)

-27.2 % (last 4 years)

500

700

900

1.100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Page 12: Posten Norge

Key Figures 2016

12

Operating revenues as of the 3rd quarter 2016 were MNOK 7 172,

MNOK 181 lower than last year

EBITE was MNOK 456 as of the 3rd quarter 2016, MNOK 87 lower

than last year

Positive effects from cost-reducing measures only partly compensated for the decline in volumes

The use of digital solutions is growing and volume decline in physical letters is expected to accelerate in the future. Structural changes in segment Mail is necessary to compensate for volume declines and to maintain a satisfactory profit margin

REVENUE, MNOK

2 208

7 172

EBITE, MNOK

112

456

Page 13: Posten Norge

Segment Logistics

13

Parcels

Express

Cargo

Frigo

Warehousing

Supply Services

Page 14: Posten Norge

Market development

14

Weak economic growth in mainland Norway

Reduced activity in the oil sector

Strong growth in e-commerce from abroad

Positive development in the parcel business in Sweden and Denmark

E-COMMERCE VOLUME DEVELOPMENT FROM Q3 2012, %

10.8 % (last 12 months)

32.0 % (last 4 years)

Page 15: Posten Norge

Key Figures 2016

Operating revenues as of the 3rd quarter 2016 were MNOK

12 351, a decrease of MNOK 43 from 2015

EBITE was MNOK 31 as of the 3rd quarter 2016, a decrease of

MNOK 84 compared with the same period in 2015

Positive growth in freight volumes in Norway, but a decline in

oil related business

Weak growth in domestic parcels and temperature-controlled

cargo

Cost-reducing measures implemented

Market conditions are still challenging for the logistics

operations in Sweden and Denmark

REVENUE, MNOK

4 110

12 351

EBITE, MNOK

53

31

Page 16: Posten Norge

Future prospects

16

Increased decline in volume for the Mail segment due to

digitalisation. One mail stream, with two days’ transit time for

addressed mail is considered a necessary measure. White paper is

expected to be discussed by Parliament this autumn

Cost-reducing measures have been initiated to mitigate the negative market development. The discontinuation of the distribution of newspapers on Saturdays from 1 November will necessitate further restructurings in the Mail segment

The economic downturn and uncertain market prospects in the Logistics segment make 2016 a challenging year for the Group

Investments in logistics infrastructure in Norway continues, and the new logistic centers at Alnabru in Oslo will commence production in 2017

From 10 October Tone Wille took office as new CEO for Posten Norge

From 10 October Eli Giske is constituted as acting CFO