Upload
april-stewart
View
243
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Population and the Environment
Arithmetic vs. geometric growth
• Arithmetic growth• 1, 2, 3, 4, 5…
• Geometric growth (exponential)• 2, 4, 8, 16, 32…
(Cunningham et. al: Environmental Science: A Global Concern)
Population growth
• 2 to 6,600,000,000 last century
• 1B/decade 100M/year 300K/day
• 1 NYC/month• 296B in 150 years!
(Cunningham et. al: Environmental Science: A Global Concern)
Carrying capacity
• Overshoot• Dieback “crash”• Increase w/ technology,
but sustainable?• What is Earth’s
sustainable CC?
(Cunningham et. al: Environmental Science: A Global Concern)
Fertility rates (replacement is 2.1)
(Rubenstein: Introduction to Human Geography)
Questions to think about
• Why are we growing so fast?• Why should we be concerned?• People are good aren’t we?• How does population affect the environment?• What needs to be done?
(Pojman: Population: General Considerations)
Growth causes
• Higher fertility rate & lower death rate• Industrial Revolution
• Fossil fuel & combustion engine
• Agricultural advances• Fertilizer, irrigation & genetics
• Medical, health & sanitation revolution• Vaccines, antibiotics, nutrition, sewage, cleaner water, etc.
• Socioeconomic, religious & primal instinct factors
(Newton and Dillingham: The Human Family Grows: Population as a Problem)
Malthus vs. Condorcet
• Geometric pop. growth• Arithmetic subsistence
growth • Overshoot CC• Starvation, disease
& resource wars
• Advance in technology = more improvement
• Moral advancement • Women's rights
(Pojman: Population and the Environment)
Optimist
• More people = more brains = more progress• Healthcare, economic opportunity & technology• Creative resources are infinite
(Newton and Dillingham: The Human Family Grows: Population as a Problem)
Pessimist
• More people = more pollution & global warming• Irreplaceable resources
• Air, water, soil, species, etc.
• Agricultural & economic collapse• Creative resources aren’t infinite• Brains like Einstein or Mozart are very rare
• Geniuses need education & food too
(Newton and Dillingham: The Human Family Grows: Population as a Problem)
Current consequences
• Water depletion & pollution (33%)
• Soil degradation (43%)• Deforestation• Biodiversity
• Extinction (27,000/ yr.)
• Famines • Unemployment• 2B malnourished (½
children)• Resource depletion
• US oil: 15 yrs• World oil: 50 yrs
(Newton and Dillingham: The Human Family Grows: Population as a Problem)
Overcrowding stress
• Intense competition • Psychological, physical and behavioral changes• Weakened immunity, aggression, cannibalism,
arteriosclerosis and increased mortality • Symptoms include abnormal adrenal glands &
deterioration of circulatory system, kidney and liver
(Cunningham et. al: Environmental Science: A Global Concern)
Women and population• Historically suppressed &
regarded as inferior• Men & religion control
reproductive rights, education and career opportunity
• No independence
• Islam ”Men are above women because Allah has given the one superiority above the other”
• Confucius ”one hundred girls are not worth one boy”
• Hinduism ”A woman must never enjoy independence”
• Christianity ”The women shall be vassals to their men who are their masters”
Family planning
• 97% of growth in poor nations with little access to reproductive services
• AID found many women want to limit pregnancies
• Funding cuts and “gag rule”
(Cunningham et. al: Environmental Science: A Global Concern)
Consumption and the environment• I = PAT• Hunter gatherer
• 2,500 calories • Modern American
• 186,000 calories• Equivalent to sperm whale
• US most overpopulated in this context• Rich vs. poor nations
(Pojman: Population General Considerations )
Disproportionate consumption
• US has 4.5% pop.• Use 33% of all resources• Produce 75% toxic waste
& 33% total waste• Produce the most
greenhouse emissions
• Waste 200,000T edible food/d
• Eat 200B extra calories/d (feed 80 million)
• 1/3+ overweight & spend $30B/yr on diets
• Justifiable?
(Pojman: Population General Considerations)
Death context
• 3,200 died tragically on 911• Relatively unpreventable• Over $5 billion in aid
• 33,000 children die/d unnecessarily from malnutrition and poverty-related disease• Easily preventable• 15-25 cents/d would save the majority
• Political & religious authorities moral and pro-life?
(Pojman: Hunger, Duty, and Ecology: On What We Owe Starving Humans)
Consumption of meat
• Health• Consumption increases risk
of degenerative diseases• Heart disease, obesity,
diabetes & cancer • Fat deposits in arteries of
typical US child by age 3 & 70% by age 12
• Greed & God?
• Morality • Death of animals & people
• 13 lbs. grain/ lb. meat• 22MT seeds produced in
US, 20MT fed to livestock• 90% net loss 14 MT
protein
(Pojman: Hunger, Duty, and Ecology: On What We Owe Starving Humans)
Consumption solutions
• Progressive policies• Simple
• Reduce consumption• Recycle waste• Eat less meat • Buy used stuff• Don’t waste
• Advanced• Less children• Invest in sustainable
businesses• Consider impact of
decisions and actions• Refocus reality away from
material happiness
Population solutions
• Halt & reverse growth to sustainable level• Serious political & religious debate and reform• Socioeconomic empowerment
• Educational & employment opportunities• Social security systems• Family planning services
• Environmentally sustainable development
(Newton and Dillingham: The Human Family Grows: Population as a Problem)
Easter Island history• Initially lush forest, fertile
soil & abundant wildlife• Overpopulation• Deforestation • Soil & water depletion• Extinction of wildlife• Chaos and warfare• Cannibalism reduced
population by 90%
• Why didn’t they control their population?
• Why didn’t they conserve their resources?
• Will we follow the same course?
• Should we be optimists, pessimists or both?
(Cunningham et. al: Environmental Science: A Global Concern)
Henry Kendall of MIT- ”If we don’t control the population with justice,
humanity, and mercy, it will be done for us by nature-brutally.”
HIV/AIDS
(Rubenstein: Introduction to Human Geography)
Mexican immigration
• Destabilize employment and economy?• Overcrowding• Higher resource and environmental pressures• More native blood = more right to land &
resources?
Religious leaders
• Hindu god Rama: two daughters • Buddha: one son• Jainism prophet Mahavira: one daughter• Confucius: one son• Taoism founder Loa-tzu: no children• Moses: two sons• Jesus Christ: no children• Islamic prophet Mohammed: one daughter