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Plastic in Car Trend, Application and Their Business Mr. Kongsak Dokbua Aug 29, 2014

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Page 1: Plastic in Car - หน้าแรก -  · PDF fileRoadmap Global Technology Trend of Powertrain Source: ... • levers for seats and pedals use ... Plastic in Car

Plastic in Car Trend, Application and Their Business

Mr. Kongsak Dokbua Aug 29, 2014

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1. Automotive Industry Overview

2. Trend of Automotive Industry

3. Plastic In Automotive Industry

Contents

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3

Safety

Others

Agriculture

Autoparts EE &

Appliances

Construction

Footwares

Recreation

Housewares

Medicals

Filament (Non-textile)

Packaging

Total Production of Conversion

Value: 566,841 Million Baht (13,889 Million US$)

Volume: 4,795 Ktons

191,683 Million Baht (33.8%)

2,309 ktons (43.4%)

110,522 Million Baht (19.5%)

757 ktons (14.2%)

62,793 Million Baht (11.1%)

641 ktons (12.1%)

78,744 Million Baht (13.9%)

361 ktons (6.8%)

29,099 Million Baht (5.2%)

82 ktons (1.6%)

25,769 Million Baht (4.5%)

198 ktons (3.7%)

8,263 Million Baht (1.5%)

73 ktons (1.4%)

18,436 Million Baht (3.3%)

93 ktons (1.8%)

13,257 Million Baht (2.3%)

48 ktons (0.9%)

12,105 Million Baht (2.1%)

110 ktons (2.1%)

11,502 Million Baht (2.0%)

89 ktons (1.7%)

4,697 Million Baht (0.8%)

34 Ktons (0.6%)

Source: PTIT Data, Modified by PITH, 3 July 2014, *Exclude PET and Nylon fiber

Values of Thai Plastics Resin* Conversion Industry: 2013

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Global Light Vehicle Projection

Up to 2020

Source: IHS

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Toyota, 12%

GM, 11%

VW, 11%

Hyndai-Kia, 9%

Reault-Nissan, 9%

Ford, 8%

SAIC, 6%

Fiat, 5%

Honda, 4%

PSA, 3%

Other, 22%

Global Automotive OEM Market Share

2013

Source: Bloomberg

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Global OEM Market Share Projection

2000 to 2020

Source: KPMG

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Sales by Segment of Established and Establishing Market

2000 to 2020

Source: KPMG

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Areas of Investment in Auto Industries

Up to 2018

Source: KPMG

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Expecting Global Market Share by Brand

Up to 2018

Source: KPMG

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Expecting Global Market Share by Brand (con’t)

Up to 2018

Source: KPMG

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Automotive Industry

“Thailand: Automotive Hub of Asia”

9th largest automobile producer in the world in 2013

14 assemblers with a combined production of more than 2,500,000 in 2012

High Local content of up to 90%

Target of 3 million units in 2017

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0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

2013 No. 9

2,532,577 units

World’s Production: 87 Million THAILAND: 2.53 Million #9 in Worlds’ Automotive Production #1 in ASEAN for Automotive Production

Thailand Ranked #9

2013 Automobile Production

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ASEAN Automotive Industries

Thailand

• Production (2013): 2,457,057 units

• Sales (2013): 1,330,672 unit

• Product champion: 1-ton pick up car & Eco-car

Indonesia

• Production (2013): 1,208,211 units

• Sales (2013):1,218,900 units

• Product champion: PPV car

Malaysia

• Production (2013): 601,407 units

• Sales (2013): 655,793 units

• Product champion: Passenger car

Philippines

• Production (2013): 79,169 units

• Sales (2013): 181,738 units

Vietnam

• Production (2013): 93,630 units

• Sales (2013): 98,649 units

• Product champion: Motorcycle

ASEAN

Population (2012): 608.8 million

GDP (2012): US$2,338.9 billion

GDP growth rate (2012): 5.0%

Car production (2012): 4.44 million units

Car total sales (2012): 3.55 million

units

Source: Automotive Summit 2013 & ASEAN Automotive Federation as of Mar 10, 2014

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2014 VEHICLE MOTORCYCLE

Category June Jan.-Jun. Growth

YOY %

Growth

YTD % June Jan.-Jun.

Growth

YOY %

Growth

YTD %

Production

(Units) 160,542 952,105 -29.07 -28.95 159,090 957,985 -24.01 -19.81

Domestic

Wholesales

(Units)

73,799 440,911 -30.39 -40.48 158,991 877,746 -16.47 -20.06

Export (CBU)

(Units) 103,946 560,047 6.57 3.60 73,615 437,159 -22.21 -5.70

2014 Thailand’s Automotive Industry

Source: Thailand Automotive Institute as of Aug 14, 2014

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units

Source: Automotive Intelligence Unit, as of Mar 10, 2014

Thailand Automotive Industry Growth

559,428 389,100

158,130

327,233

411,721 459,418

584,951

750,512

928,081

1,125,316 1,188,044

1,287,346

1,394,029

999,378

1,645,304

1,457,795

2,453,717 2,457,057

589,126

363,156 144,065

218,330

262,189

296,985

409,362 533,176 626,026

703,405 682,161

631,251 682,161

548,871

800,357

795,250

1,436,335

1,330,672

14,000 42,200 66,700

130,000

152,836 175,293 180,554 239,440

322,053 440,715

538,962

690,100 776,241

535,563

895,831

735,627

1,026,671

1,128,152

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Production Sale Export

Year 2013

Production = 2,457,057 Units +0.14%

Domestic Sale = 1,330,672 Units -7.36%

Export = 1,128,152 Units +9.88%

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Pure

Thai

23 %

SMEs

Foreign J/V

Foreign

Majority

54 %

Local

Suppliers

Tier 1

LSEs

(Total 709 Companies) Thai

Majority 23 %

[* LSEs : Large Scale Enterprises SMEs : Small & Medium Enterprises]

Source: Thai Autoparts Manufacturers Association, OIE and BOI as of 2014

(17 car companies, 8 motorcycle

companies)

100,000 workers

(1,700 Companies)

Tier 2,3

Assembler

Structure of Thai Automotive Industry

16

450,0

00 w

ork

ers

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Thai Automotive Industry - OEM Location

Source: Thailand Automotive Institute

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67

251

30 106 92

314

1,351

50 1.33 1.22 0.66 0.21 0.10 23.67 19.31 1.56

Population (Million Person) Sales (Million Unit)

ASEAN Population per Sales Motor Vehicles 2012

51

206

45

497

956

13 70

32

Population Per Sales Population and Sales

Source : OICA (2013) / World Bank

ASEAN Developed Countries

ASEAN Developed Countries

Population Sales

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Thailand’s Automotive Industry Overview

Thailand:

9th largest

automobile

producer in the

world in 2013

Target:

To manufacture

3,000,000 units in

2017

Output:

14 assemblers

with a combined

production of

more than

2,000,000 in 2012

High local

content :

80-90% for pick-

up and 30-70% for

passenger car

Source: TAI

“Thailand is production base in Asia

which creates more value added to

the country with strong automotive parts industry”

“Thailand is a global green

automotive production base with

strong domestic supply chains which

create high value added for the

country”

Thailand Automotive Industry Vision – Today and Tomorrow

Vision 2011 Vision 2021

Source: Thailand Automotive Institute

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“Great Leap of Next Decade” for ASEAN Automotive Industry

Relatively low penetration of vehicles

Market expansion due to Rise of Income Growth and Rise of Middle Class

Push to produce small cars by Low Cost Eco Car Policy (Eco Car and Low Cost Green Car Policy)

More market competition due to liberalization under FTAs

Market: 5 million cars by 2020-larger than Japanese market in 2012. Production: Surpass 6 million cars through export growth by 2020.

Growth

Factors of

ASEAN Market

Source: Automotive Summit ( TAPMA) as of June 20, 2013

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Key Automotive Trend up to 2025

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Factors Influence to Consumers

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Global Force to Driven Trends

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Investment Areas in next 5 years

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25

Roadmap Global Technology Trend of Powertrain

Source: IEA, 2010

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26

The way forward of Thailand

Source: MTEC

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The Reason of weight reduction in Vehicle

So the incorporation of the lightweight materials as Plastics in automotive is a necessity and our common need

Performance & Fuel Efficiency

Every 10% reduction in vehicle weight results in 5% to 7% fuel saving

Reduce Carbon Emission

Every kilogram of vehicle weight reduction, there is the potential to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 20kg

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Plastics Components in Automobile

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The global trends that are

affecting the choice of materials.

• engine downsizing,

• light-weighting are the

global trends that are

affecting the choice of

materials.

• A 10% reduction in vehicle

weight results in a 5-7% fuel

saving,

• no compromise on safety

and performance.

• Aluminum, Advanced High-

Strength Steel (AHSS)

• Polypropylene (PP),

polyamide (PA) and

polyurethane (PU

Material Choice in Automobile

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35.60%

17.20% 12.50%

11.20%

9.90%

6.90% 6.80%

Polypropylene

Polyurethanes

ABS

Composites

HDPE

PMMA

Polycarbonates

Source : Dallas, TX (PRWEB) April 27, 2012

Automotive Plastics Market for Passenger Car

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Portion of Material using in Vehicle

• Plastics will account for 18% average vehicle weight by 2020, up from 14% in 2000

Source : A.T. Kearney analysis

Note : kg=kilogram. Due to rounding, some percentages may not add up to 100.

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Features of plastics is a drivers for their use in vehicles; • light weight, • lower tooling costs for high volumes • be fabricated as a single complex component,

eliminating the need for mechanical fasteners. Weight ratio to car • A typical passenger car's plastic content is 9% of

vehicle weight. • Europe leads at as high as 11% of vehicle weight. Percentage for component • Vehicle interior plastics occupy 48%, • Exterior plastics account for around 27% and • Under-hood plastics around 14% of the total

plastics used. • Electrical and cable materials occupy the remaining

11%.

Plastics Advantage

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umpers, bumper spoilers, roof/trunk spoilers, lateral sidings, rocker

UNDER THE HOOD Under-hood components using PA6 and PA66 -light weight,

temperature and chemical resistance • Air intake manifolds • Engine covers • Radiator end tanks • Valve covers • Oil pan modules

Polyphenylene sulphide (PPS) performs better than PA • Strong candidate OEMs as a

metal replacement in order to

reduce vehicle weight. (premium price)

Under the Hood Components

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Polyamide (PA) are found in under-hood

components.

• In the interior segment,

• door handles,

• parts of air bag assembly,

• instrument panels,

• levers for seats and pedals use

PA6 and PA66

The average content of PA is around

11kg and is expected to grow to 13kg by

2017, replacing polymers such as PPS

for under-hood applications, for example

in charge air ducts. In exterior

applications, PA is used where the plastic

does not need to meet Class-A (high

aesthetic quality) surface requirements.

PA Applications

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Polyurethane (PU) as seating applications

Flexible PU are common Rigid PU foams are used in niche

applications

• noise, vibration and harshness materials and insulation.

PU Application

• seats,

• door skins,

• boot lining trays,

• parcel shelves,

• center consoles,

• dashboard trims,

• spare wheel trays,

• steering wheels,

• carpet backing and

• headliners.

The average vehicle content of PU is around 23kg. PU

foams occupy around 55% while rigid PU occupies 45%

rest.

PU Applications

Page 36: Plastic in Car - หน้าแรก -  · PDF fileRoadmap Global Technology Trend of Powertrain Source: ... • levers for seats and pedals use ... Plastic in Car

PP applications • interiors

• dashboard, • dashboard carriers, • pillar cladding, • door pockets, • door panels, • consoles and chairs.

• Exterior • Bumpers, • bumper spoilers,

• roof/trunk spoilers,

• lateral sidings,

• rocker panels,

• body panels

• wheel arch liners

PP accounts for around 64kg of vehicle content and this is expected to grow to

84kg by 2017,

• as reinforced PP is expected to replace metals in some under-hood and

exterior parts (such as tailgates).

• It is also replacing PU foam in seating applications, where hybrid PU-PP foams are being used.

PP Applications

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Acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS)

finds applications largely in interiors,

such as

• interior grills,

• trims,

• headliners

• center consoles

• Exterior/interior mirror

Facing a significant substitution threat

from PP.

The average ABS content is therefore

expected to fall from 10.5kg to 9.5kg.

ABS will remain the plastic of choice in

applications where paintability or

adhesion to other surfaces is required.

grow more slowly than the vehicle

production rate.

ABS Applications

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Others Plastics Applications

HDPE: Fuel Tank PVC, POM: wire harness PC: Headlight

PMMA: Taillight

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Glass Fiber Thermoplastic Composite Feature

Ref: Owen Corning

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Structural Parts

• Body parts

• Chassis parts

Plastic composite is a very competitive

substitution in near future.

• Long glass fiber composite

• Nano clays composite

• Carbon fiber-epoxy composite

Structural Parts

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