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CONFIDENTIAL
Permian to Katy “P2K”Gas Pipeline Project
October 2017
CONFIDENTIAL
Producer Feedback and Concerns
2
● Market
− Ability to reliably and ratably sell gas every day to maintain oil production
− Looking for a deep market with a diversified customer pull
− Desire to sell at a liquid and transparent point - specifically ICE trade point
− Mexico market demand Timing of load development
Seasonality of gas consumption
Potential of competition with future Mexican unconventional gas production
● Contract
− Concerns about pipeline to pipeline rate stacking
− Reluctance to make long-term commitments in a low commodity price environment
− Desire to expand market flexibility and access beyond existing limited and opaque intrastate market
● Other
− Constructability and timing to go into service
− Competition with Eagle Ford associated gas
CONFIDENTIAL
P2K Project Overview
3
● 42” pipeline built and in service as intrastate 24 months after FID
● Project capacity of 1.5-2.0 Bcfd
● Receipts at Waha Hub Headers
● Long-term capacity commitments
● Equity opportunity for anchor shipper
● Deliveries into the Gulf Coast Market (“GCM”) area (power generators, LNG projects, Mexico exports, refineries and LDCs) including inter-and intrastate pipelines
● Creating a more robust Katy Hub with bilateral ICE trade point
● Promoting additional Katy demand and liquidity with incremental Permian supplies
CONFIDENTIAL
P2K Value Proposition: Superior Market Access
4
Interconnect Pipelines
HSC and Power
Gen Markets
LNG Export
MarketsMexico Exports
Storage Connectivity
Intrastate
Houston Pipe Line
√ √ √
Atmos Lone Star √ √
KM Texas & KM Tejas
√ √ √ √
Enstor Katy √ √ √ √
Interstate
TETCO √ √ √ √
TGP √ √ √ √
NGPL √ √ √ √
Transco √ √ √ √
GSPL √ √ √ √
Coastal Bend Header
√ √ √ √
P2K Katy Hub
CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 5
P2K Katy Hub Operating Example
P2K Katy Hub
* HSC Market* LNG Export* Mexico Export
• Hub Buy (HB)• Wheel from Hub (WFH)
P2K Supply
* Mexico Export* LNG Export
• Hub Buy (HB)• Wheel from Hub (WFH)
HSHB
WFH
WFH
HSHB
P2K Supply
* Producer/Shipper• Wheel to Hub (WTH)• Hub Sale (HS)
CONFIDENTIAL 6
Local Demand at Sub-regional Level Relative to Production
P2K Value Proposition: GCM Size
● GCM area is the world’s largest and most concentrated natural gas market and is projected to grow to 13 Bcfd by 2025
● In contrast, the market size in South Texas is projected to grow to 5 Bcfd by 2025
Regional Gas Demand Outlook (Bcfd)
Source: Wood Mackenzie 1H17 Long-term Natural Gas Outlook
0
4
8
12
16
2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035Power Industrial LDC Freeport LNG Cameron LNG Sabine Pass LNG
0
4
8
12
16
2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035
Power Industrial LDC Corpus Christi LNG Exports to Mexico
South Texas Market Gulf Coast Market
CONFIDENTIAL 7
Sources: Wood Mackenzie, EIA. Numbers in the table include capacity outlook for 2022, in operation or under construction and potential incremental capacity by 2022.
South Texas
GCM
Gas-firedgeneration (GW) 8 24
LNG (Bcfd) 1.2 6.9
Refinery capacity (MMbbl/d)
0.8 4.1
New industrial demand (Bcfd) 0.1 1.3
P2K Value Proposition: GCM Depth
CONFIDENTIAL
P2K Value Proposition: CFE and LNG Customer Pull
8
CFE and LNG shippers hold ~4 Bcfd of long-term interstate capacity positions that support Permian gas purchases via P2K
● CFE holds 1.3 Bcfd of long-term transport from GCM to Agua Dulce (AD)
– HPL: Carthage to AD – 900 MMcfd
– TETCO: STX (Vidor to AD) – 400 MMcfd
● Direct access to Freeport LNG via Coastal Bend Header (CBH)
– Freeport LNG - 3 trains
Gulf South CBH: 1,420 MMcfd
Gulf South Katy: 250 MMcfd
TETCO Stratton Ridge: 400 MMcfd
KM Texas/Tejas: 320 MMcfd
● Cameron LNG - 3 trains
– TGP: ~100 MMcfd Z0 to terminal
– TETCO: ~200 MMcfd STX to terminal (up to 300 MMcfd available)
● Cheniere Sabine Pass LNG (5 trains) and Corpus Christi LNG (2 trains)
– NGPL: ~400 MMcfd TGP: 300 MMcfd
– Transco: 400 MMcfd KM Tejas: 250 MMcfd
CONFIDENTIAL
P2K Value Proposition: GCM Liquidity
9
20 20
62 62
87 87
21 107 40
380
South Texas GCM
Sources: Platts, ICE
Trade Volumes'000 MMBtu/d, 12 months ending Q2 2017, average of Platts and ICE data
Day-Ahead Month-Ahead
TGP Z0
196
Katy
598
Tetco STX
Transco Z1
NGPL STX
Agua Dulce HSCTransco Z2
14 1424 24
62 62
371
0 640
26
South Texas GCM
137
191
TGP Z0
Tetco STX
NGPL STX
TGP Z0
Tetco STX
Transco Z1
NGPL STX
Agua Dulce
Katy
HSC
Transco Z2
TGP Z0
Tetco STXNGPL STX
CONFIDENTIAL 10
P2K Value Proposition: Access to Storage
0
256
SouthTexas
GCM
Storage capacity, Bcf
Storage access assures reliable takes of natural gas including during LNG train trips
CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 11
South Texas Market Considerations
Limited depth of regional market
● Two buyers (CFE and Corpus Christi LNG) account for ~3/4 of the market
● Gas could become stranded at Agua Dulce requiring another expansion to market
Timing and certainty of Mexico load growth
● Seasonal variability of Mexico load
● Mexico gas production increase
Timing and certainty of South Texas LNG development projects
Lack of storage could further exacerbate price volatility and impair the ability to maintain ratable gas flows
Direct competition with Eagle Ford associated gas
CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 12
Market Comparison: South Texas vs GCM
Metric South Texas GCM
Liquidity 196137
598191
Market size(Bcfd)
45
813
Storage capacity (Bcf) 0 256
# of Large Buyers 4-6 20-30
New 1.5 Bcfd project as a share of 2020 demand
32% 15%
day-aheadmonth-ahead
current2022
CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 13
P2K Project Value Proposition to Producers
A single project to reach large GCM area and its end-use customers
● GCM can easily accommodate 1.5 – 2 Bcfd from new supply source
● Multiple end users (CFE, LNG exporters, refiners, generators, LDCs) looking for supply
● Takeaway constraints at Agua Dulce may require a subsequent north flow project to Katy
● CFE has 1.3 Bcfd of long-term capacity and can serve its load from Katy
● STX market can pull incremental supply from Katy should the need materialize
P2K will move gas to a liquid and transparent point, assuring reliable takeaway
● Delivery points will trade as part of the Katy index (confirming with Platts)
● Diversification of interstate pipelines/LNG exports supplement intrastate market
● Incremental Permian supplies provide value uplift due to increased liquidity at Katy
Additional benefits for anchor shippers
CONFIDENTIAL
Anchor Shipper Benefits
14
Limited MDTQ proration exposure
Contract extension rates
Discounted rates
Other benefits to be negotiated
Equity investment opportunity
CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 15
Key Milestones and Commercial Contacts
Boardwalk Pipeline Partners Sempra Energy
Jill Edwards ([email protected]) Brad Ledbetter ([email protected])
Edgar Tavares ([email protected]) Jim Diemer ([email protected])
Commercial Contacts
Key Milestones
Open season Aug - Sep 2017
Negotiate and sign precedent agreements Oct - Nov 2017
Final Investment Decision Nov - Dec 2017
Commencement of operations Q1 2020 (potential phased in date of Dec 2019)