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Northern Ghana Agricultural Household Survey Beliyou Haile IFPRI Northern Ghana Baseline Survey Instrument Design Workshop (Accra, Ghana) February 10, 2013

Northern Ghana Agricultural Household Survey Beliyou Haile IFPRI Northern Ghana Baseline Survey Instrument Design Workshop (Accra, Ghana) February 10,

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Northern Ghana Agricultural Household Survey

Beliyou HaileIFPRI

Northern Ghana Baseline Survey Instrument Design Workshop (Accra, Ghana)

February 10, 2013

Africa RISING Ghana survey design What has been done thus far by the IFPRI’s M&E

team Challenges faced Detailed (question-by-question) discussion of

draft survey tool proposed for Ghana baseline survey

Introduction

2

Generate valuable information to inform AR research activities

Baseline indicators to gauge progress Impact assessment (with follow-up data)

3

The Survey

A. Community Selection – Based on 1st Year Activities

4

Region District # of communities

Upper East Bawku West, Kassena Mankana, Bongo, and Talensi Nabdam

10

Upper West Nadowli, Wa, and Wa West 18

Northern Savelugu Nanton, Tolon-Kumbungu, Yendi, and Tamale

24

Total 3 11 52

What has been done?

B. Biophysical and socio-economic characteristics of target region

Agro-ecological zone, precipitation, elevation, slope, farming system, market access, Length of Growth Period (LGP), and land cover

Stratification based on LGP and market access

5

What has been done?

6

LGP

(source: ICRISAT)

7

Market Access

8

LGP and market access – 6 unique classes

District LGP LGP class Market access Market access class Final class

Nadowli 166 Med-Low 187 Med Med-Low LGP * Med mkt

Bawku West 158 Low 123 Med Low LGP * Med mkt

Kassena Nankana 152 Low 165 Med Low LGP * Med mkt

Bongo 154 Low 148 Med Low LGP * Med mktTalensi Nabdam 161 Low 148 Med Low LGP * Med mkt

Wa 178 Med-High 201 Low Med-High LGP * Low mkt

Wa West 180 Med-High 160 Med Med-High LGP * Med mkt

Savelugu Nanton 181 Med-High 176 Med Med-High LGP * Med mkt

Tolon-Kumbungu 183 Med-High 186 Med Med-High LGP * Med mkt

Yendi 194 High 181 Med High LGP * Med mkt

Tamale 189 Med-High 60 High Med-High LGP * High mkt

C. Development of survey instrument based on: Northern Ghana Agricultural Survey (IFPRI and ISSER,

2011) Malawi Unified Baseline Survey (IFPRI and USAID in

2012). FtF population-based survey Feedback from ESA team

9

What has been done?

D. Sample size calculation - GLSS 5

10

Follow-up scenarios -> 20% increase in average maize harvest value/area

New maize harvest/ha

Correlation between

measurementsPower

Intra-cluster

correlation

Sample required

# of farmers per

community

Number of communities

Baseline values: Avg. maize

harvest value/ha: 192 GHc/ha

Std. dev.: 401 Deff: 3.41 (ρ=.172)

230 0.7

90%

- 1,125 - -0.172 2,867 10 287

0.1 2,138 10 2140.05 1,632 10 1630.03 1,429 10 143

80%

- 812 - -0.172 2070 10 207

0.1 1543 10 1540.05 1178 10 1180.03 1032 10 103

0.172 3,467 20 1730.1 2,355 20 118

0.05 1,584 20 790.03 1,275 20 64

What has been done?

D. Search for a local M&E coordinator and a partner to help collect baseline data

Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) ISSER Interviews with applicants for the M&E position

(ongoing)

11

What has been done?

Time – fielding in March, 2013 Statistical power of AR research design

Increasing target communities vs. increasing sample farmers per community

Number and intensity of interventions Potential spillover

Getting the right M&E coordinator

… need to move forward fast (and carefully)!12

Challenge

Africa Research in Sustainable Intensification for the Next Generation

africa-rising.net