51
Cisco Confidential © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 1 Next Generation Service Provider Danny Chami Peter Gaspar Jean-Pierre Muzard

Next Generation Service Provider - cisco.com Generation Service ... File Sharing Internet Video ... Target –50-80ms 17 ms 1 frame time (1/60 second) 05 ms Encoding delay 16 ms

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 1

Next Generation Service ProviderDanny Chami – Peter Gaspar – Jean-Pierre Muzard

Cisco Public© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2

IP Next Generation NetworksDanny ChamiMgr, Business Development – EM SP Segment

28 – Mar 2012

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 3

Agenda

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 4

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 5

7 Billion

91

767 Quintillion

176 Q in 2009

Quintillion =1018

* Source: Cisco 2011

Bytes of Global IP Traffic * Mobile-Connected Devices *

Percentage Share of Video in

Consumer Traffic *

180005 Year Percentage

Growth in Web Video Conferencing *

12B All Connected Devices

2015 by Numbers

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 6

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Peta

byte

s/

Mo

nth

VoIP

Online Gaming

Web/Data

File Sharing

Internet Video

Online Gaming and VoIP forecast to be 0.79% of all consumer Internet traffic in 2015

15%

24%

61%

Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015

34% CAGR 2010–2015

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 7

>890 million Devices

>107M M2M Nodes45-fold Speed Increase

Mobile Outgrows

Fixed 3X

Video = 75% of

Traffic Mix

Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015

More Mobile Connections

Enhanced Computing

Faster Mobile Speeds

Rich Media Apps/Content

2G > 3G > 4G

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 8

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Peta

byte

s/

Mo

nth

Mobile VoIP

Mobile Gaming

Mobile P2P

Mobile Web/Data

Mobile Video

Mobile VoIP forecast to be 0.56% of all mobile data traffic in 2015

4.60%

18.80%

75.08%

0.96%

Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015

129% CAGR 2010–2015

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 9

Blurring the boundaries

between network & cloud

Ease of use across

the whole lifecycle

MoreSimple

MoreVirtual

Mobility part of every

networked experience

Personal,

Social, Interactive

MoreMobile

MoreVisual

―Network of Services‖Monetize

New Experiences

Optimize

The Infrastructure

NextGen

Internet

- 10 -© STL Limited • Proprietary and Confidential

Impact of Internet Players on Telco core services (Telco 2.0 survey Sept 2011)

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 11

Traffic

Revenue

Animated slide

MonetizationNew revenue streams

OptimizationEfficient delivery

Profitability

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 12Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 12

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 13

Ap

r-0

8

Ma

y-0

8

Ju

n-0

9

Ju

l-0

8

Au

g-0

8

Se

p-0

8

Oct-

08

Nov-0

8

Dec-0

8

Ja

n-0

9

Feb

-09

Ma

r-0

9

Ap

r-0

9

Ma

y-0

9

Ju

n-0

9

Ju

l-0

9

Au

g-0

9

Se

p-0

9

Oct-

09

No

v-0

9

Dec-0

9

Ja

n-1

0

Feb

-10

Source: Atlas Report

As of Feb 2010, > 60% of traffic does not cross a national Tier1 Backbone

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Direct

Transit

Percentage of Google Traffic Using Direct Peering

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 14

Content Providers ―Hyper Giants‖ Content Providers

Internet Circa 2010+

Regional Service Providers (ISP)

Tier 1 Backbones Hosting CDNs

Regional Core

Content Providers

Regional Service Provider (ISP)

Tier 1 Backbones

Internet Circa 2000

Source: ―ATLAS Internet Observatory 2009 Annual Report‖, Craig Labovitz,

http://www.nanog.org/meetings/nanog47/presentations/Monday/Labovitz_ObserveReport_N47_Mon.pdf”

Shift from Tier 1 and regional providers to Content Providers and CDNs

Peering deeper in ISPs, avoids regional core network

Control of regional ISP core costs

Regional Core

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 15

Current Centralized

Cloud/DC Architecture

Core NetworkCloud DC

(OTT Service)

Non-Deterministic Experience

Service

Edge

SP

Core

Network

Scale is fundamentally Linear

Latency is non-deterministic

Access

IXC

IXC

Today’s “Cloud IDC” architectures are centralized. These architectures must

distribute to achieve further scale and performance

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 16

Core Network

Network Aware

Cloud/DC Architecture

Access

Predictable, High Quality Experience

Service Edge

Multiple Services

Compute is distributed

Predictable Latency

Sub-Linear Growth/Cost Curve

Peering PeeringPeeringPeering

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 18Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 18

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 19

All major services are evolving to utilize packets

Business / Internet and Mobile difficult to differentiate

Organizational consolidation and mergers in Service Provider environment

Network and Operational consolidation offers significant economic benefits

A common Infrastructure for Fixed, Mobile and Business Services.

What network design implications?

Aggregation EdgeAccess

DSL

Ethernet

PON

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

Core

2G/3G Node

2G/3G Node

RNC

BNG/BRAS

Business

Network Management

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 20

Multiservice Core

Core Network

Core

Aggregation Network

Aggregation EdgeAccess

DSL

Ethernet

PON

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

Internet

Internet BNG and Video Edge combining into a single device

BNG functionality consolidating onto CE platforms

Video driving distribution of Consumer IP Edge (BNG) and Content Delivery Network

Changing the aggregation network from L2 only into L2 / L3 network

Layer 3 + Services

Layer 2 : Ethernet

Layer 3 + Services

Layer 2 : Ethernet

BNG

+

CDN

BNG

Wholesale

pseudo-wires

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 21

Multiservice Core

Aggregation Network

Aggregation Edge

Core Network

Access

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

Internet

LTE and EPC fundamentally changes the mobile architecture

TDM/ATM Connection Orientated IP Connectionless relationships

L3 VPNs or VPLS based solutions

2G/3G will need to co-exist with LTE for many years

~80% Mobile Providers will utilize IP/Ethernet in the RAN Backhaul *

Core

Layer 3 (Packet Core)

Layer 1 / Layer 2 : TDM/ATM/Ethernet

Layer 3 + Services

Layer 1 / Layer 2 : TDM/ATM/Ethernet

2G/3G Node

2G/3G Node

2G/3G Node

2G/3G Node

RNC

LTE

LTE

LTE

LTE

CS Network

pseudo-wires

* Source : Infonetics 2011 IP/Ethernet and Small Cell Backhaul Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, March, 2011

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 22

Access

DSL

Ethernet

PON

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

Lean Core

2G/3G Node

2G/3G Node

Network Management

Intelligent Edge

IP Edge resides across the regional PoPs

Aggregation / Metro :L3, L2, CE, L4-L7 services

Access speeds, video and mobile evolution are the drivers

Well suited for converged retail / wholesale provider

Service Aware /Flexible Service Edge

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 23Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 23

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 24

• A big % of the cost in NG network will be in optical interfaces

100G Routing CapEx < 25%

100G TCO 10-30% lower

than 40G, let alone 10G.

Cost/bit Reduction

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 25

Agile DWDM, Control Plane

100G Coherent technology

G-MPLS UNI-C interface

SRLG sharing, signalling

IPoDWDM Transponders

Black link standardisation

IETF SNMP MIB work

Optical OAM visibility

• Step 1 : Agile DWDM with G-MPLS Control Plane

• Step 2 : G-MPLS UNI between routers and DWDM

• Step 3 : Exchange of information and optimization between optical and IP

IP layer

Fast Convergence technology

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 26Cisco Confidential 26© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Lower TCO

Control

Plane

Inter-Connection

Zero Touch

Optical Layer

Pro-Active

ProtectionMulti-Layer

Optimization

Increased

Service

Velocity

3-Tier

Protection

Increase

Utilization

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 27

Metro PoP

• Integration of Layer 2 and Layer 3 edge functionality

• Consolidates the network service infrastructure at IP edge

Critical in distributed designs, desirable in centralised designs

• CapEx, OpEx savings and simplification

AggregationAccess

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

Video

Business

BNG

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 28

Metro PoPAggregationAccess

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

nVnVnVnV

• Cluster :

Virtualized central node – single control plane

• Satellites :

Local or remote satellites controlled from the central cluster

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 29

Metro PoPAggregationAccess

Corporate

Business

Residential

Mobile

nV

nV

nV

nV

• Different types of application virtualization

• Native video monitoring, blade Content Streamers

• Flexibility, simplification and service velocity

*Source: ACG Research

70%

OPEX

Savings*

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 30Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 30

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 31

Delivery of

Connectivity /

Access

Bits and Bytes

Performance, Scale, HA,

Convergence

IP-NGN

Delivery of Content

/ Applications

Transactions

Differentiated Svc.

Monetization, Cost,

Efficiency,

Coverage

CloudCustomer

Transition

PerceivedValue

Monetization

Concerns

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 32

Network is the Platform

Cloud

Network

Client

Service

Virtualization

Application

Virtualization

Network

Virtualization

Speed to ―Any‖ Service

Delivery to any Device

Service Scale

Network(not product)

is the Switch fabric

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 33

Thank you.

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 34

Next Generation Internet

Network Virtualization

NETWORKCLOUD CLIENT

Application Virtualization

Video ServicesMobility ServicesBusiness Services

Core Edge Agg Access

Optical

OPTIMIZE THE

INFRASTRUCTURE

MONETIZE

NEW EXPERIENCES

More

SimpleMore

Virtual

More

Visual

More

Mobile

Next Gen

Internet

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 35

Agenda

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 36

• Past : General purpose line cards supporting core and edge applications

Core Applications : Small subset of features implemented

Edge Applications : Full feature set used

• Box and card migration from core to edge

P/PE

P

Edge

Core

Peering

And High Speed Edge

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 37

Source: Heavy Reading December 2010 Modernizing the Core With OTN Switching & 40/100G Transport

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 38

P/PE

P

Edge

Cards

Core Cards

Peering

Cards P/PE

P

Lean Core

Box

CARD BOX

• Smaller tables sizes – FIB and RIB

• Reduced packet buffering

• Simple queuing structures – 8 queues per interface

• Optical integration

• IP/MPLS forwarding, IGP. BGP, LDP, MPLS-TE,MPLS-TP, Basic QoS

In case of pure transit application

LSR can provide approximately 20% saving on the transit node

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 39

• Packet transport : packet with a transport characteristics

• Transport characteristics : OAM, Point and click management, protection etc

• Integration with other transport components

DWDM, SONET/SDH, OTN

Basic L2 functionality (MPLS-TP)

Agile ROADM

Packet Optical Transport

Integrated packet and optical

management

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 40

Who We Are

Annual R&DInvestment

$5.3+BEngineers

20,000

PatentsIssued

8,000Percent of FY10

Revenue

13%

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 41

Virtual DesktopBusiness and consumer

Cloud Rendered Gaming• The next NetFlix?

• 5-9% of entertainment budget

Achieving Imperceptible Target – 50-80ms

17 ms 1 frame time (1/60 second)

05 ms Encoding delay

16 ms Fiber delay (1000x2)

XX ms max Total router/switches

latency, ( 25 Microsecond per hop )

XX ms max Last mile delay

08 ms max Decompression time

in end device/PC

50-80 ms max

Cisco Public© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 42

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 43

CRS-1 MC

8+1

10 Tbps

CRS-3

140G / LC

4.48 TbpsCRS-3

2+0

9 Tbps

CRS-10

400G / LC

12.8 – 102

Tbps

2004 2012 2014

CRS-1

40G / LC

1.28 Tbps

2008

• Cisco is continuing to invest in CRS and driving 400G density on the platform with full backwards compatibility and investment protection

40G

40G

40G

PSE

PSE

CPU

SWFab

SwFab

CPU

10GPODs

100G

100G

100G

100G

LCFab

LCFab

LCFab

LCFab

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 44

Access/ Agg

IP Core Edge Access/ Agg

New Form Factors in ONS Family

Packet Optical Convergence

ONS 15454 M2

Delivering 10G/40G Wavelength

Seamlessly migrate TDM traffic over packet optical infrastructure

Reduce network elements—integrating optics into packet

Optimizing fiber plant, extending DWDM system with 40G Muxponding

Significant Reduction in Operational Expenses

ONS 15454 M6

Edge

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 45

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 46

nV

Enabled

3RU, 360G Switching Capacity

Fully Redundant (RSP,PSU, FANs)

SyncE, 1588

300mm, Environmentally Hardened

2RU, 120G Switching Capacity

4 Fixed 10GE

MPA’s: 20x1GE, 2x10GE

SyncE, 1588

1RU, 16G System

Capacity

54W GE+TDM, 38W GE

SyncE, 1588

300mm,

Environmentally

Hardened

Simplify, Unify, Virtualize Access/Aggregation Infrastructure

ASR

903

Pre-Aggregation(Unified Ethernet Access)

ASR

9001

SP Edge(Small Deployments)

ASR

901

Cell Site Router(2G, 3G, 4G Ready)

2G,3G,4

G

Ready

Archite

cture

Unified

MPLS

Unified

Ethernet

AccessExtending nV to the Access

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 47

Ethernet & TDMAggregation

Microwave

Microwave

2G

BTS

3G

NodeB

Pre-Aggregation

ASR 903

ASR 903

4G

Access

ASR 901

ASR 901

ASR 9010

7600

ASR 9001

ASR 5000

Packet Core

CRS Family

ASR 9006

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 48

―Over The Top‖ (OTT) traffic

Controlling network costs

Adding revenue generating services

Network Simplification

Support for retail and wholesale services

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 49

Packet

CircuitPacket

90+% IP Traffic

Private LineTDM/OTN

Traffic

Private/PublicIP Traffic

2011

~30-50%

~50-70%*

2013 2016

Private LineTDM/OTN

Traffic

Private LineTDM/OTN

Traffic

20-30% 0─10%

Private/PublicIP Traffic

Private/Public

IP Traffic

70-80% 90+%

Legacy TDMTraffic

• Massive change in SP traffic make-up in next 5 years*

• SP revenue shifting from circuits to packet services**

5 yrs ~80% revenue derived from packet services

• Packet traffic increasing at 34% CAGR***

Video (Walled Garden and OTT)

*ACG Research 2011, ** Cisco Research 2010, ***Cisco VNI 2011

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 50

Business

Consumer

Mobile

Static MPLS-TP Access

IP/MPLS Access

(L2 and CE only)

Ethernet Access

SONET/SDH

Lean CoreAggregation

L3 IP + Services Placement

Circuit Emulation + Ethernet

Business

Consumer

Mobile

IP/MPLS (L3, L2 and CE)

Dynamic IP/MPLS control plane in aggregation / Metro and core

Offering L2 and L3 and Circuit Emulation

Flexible L3 Service placement

L4-L7 services integrated into the network

Service Aware /Flexible Service Edge

Distributed Approach

Intelligent Edge

© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 51

Aggregation Intelligent Edge Lean Core

IP/MPLS (L2) IP/MPLSIP/MPLS

L3 IP + Services Placement

Circuit Emulation + Ethernet

Ethernet Access

Static MPLS-TP Access

SONET/SDH

Transport Centric Architecture

IP/MPLS (L2)

Aggregation Intelligent Edge Lean Core

Static

MPLS (TP) (VPWS/VPLS),OTN and DWDM IP/MPLSIP/MPLS

L3 IP + Services Placement

Circuit Emulation + Ethernet

Ethernet Access

Static MPLS-TP Access

SONET/SDH

Transport Centric Architecture - POTN