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Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 1
Next Generation Service ProviderDanny Chami – Peter Gaspar – Jean-Pierre Muzard
Cisco Public© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2
IP Next Generation NetworksDanny ChamiMgr, Business Development – EM SP Segment
28 – Mar 2012
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 5
7 Billion
91
767 Quintillion
176 Q in 2009
Quintillion =1018
* Source: Cisco 2011
Bytes of Global IP Traffic * Mobile-Connected Devices *
Percentage Share of Video in
Consumer Traffic *
180005 Year Percentage
Growth in Web Video Conferencing *
12B All Connected Devices
2015 by Numbers
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 6
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Peta
byte
s/
Mo
nth
VoIP
Online Gaming
Web/Data
File Sharing
Internet Video
Online Gaming and VoIP forecast to be 0.79% of all consumer Internet traffic in 2015
15%
24%
61%
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015
34% CAGR 2010–2015
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 7
>890 million Devices
>107M M2M Nodes45-fold Speed Increase
Mobile Outgrows
Fixed 3X
Video = 75% of
Traffic Mix
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015
More Mobile Connections
Enhanced Computing
Faster Mobile Speeds
Rich Media Apps/Content
2G > 3G > 4G
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Peta
byte
s/
Mo
nth
Mobile VoIP
Mobile Gaming
Mobile P2P
Mobile Web/Data
Mobile Video
Mobile VoIP forecast to be 0.56% of all mobile data traffic in 2015
4.60%
18.80%
75.08%
0.96%
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015
129% CAGR 2010–2015
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 9
Blurring the boundaries
between network & cloud
Ease of use across
the whole lifecycle
MoreSimple
MoreVirtual
Mobility part of every
networked experience
Personal,
Social, Interactive
MoreMobile
MoreVisual
―Network of Services‖Monetize
New Experiences
Optimize
The Infrastructure
NextGen
Internet
- 10 -© STL Limited • Proprietary and Confidential
Impact of Internet Players on Telco core services (Telco 2.0 survey Sept 2011)
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 11
Traffic
Revenue
Animated slide
MonetizationNew revenue streams
OptimizationEfficient delivery
Profitability
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 12Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 12
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 13
Ap
r-0
8
Ma
y-0
8
Ju
n-0
9
Ju
l-0
8
Au
g-0
8
Se
p-0
8
Oct-
08
Nov-0
8
Dec-0
8
Ja
n-0
9
Feb
-09
Ma
r-0
9
Ap
r-0
9
Ma
y-0
9
Ju
n-0
9
Ju
l-0
9
Au
g-0
9
Se
p-0
9
Oct-
09
No
v-0
9
Dec-0
9
Ja
n-1
0
Feb
-10
Source: Atlas Report
As of Feb 2010, > 60% of traffic does not cross a national Tier1 Backbone
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Direct
Transit
Percentage of Google Traffic Using Direct Peering
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 14
Content Providers ―Hyper Giants‖ Content Providers
Internet Circa 2010+
Regional Service Providers (ISP)
Tier 1 Backbones Hosting CDNs
Regional Core
Content Providers
Regional Service Provider (ISP)
Tier 1 Backbones
Internet Circa 2000
Source: ―ATLAS Internet Observatory 2009 Annual Report‖, Craig Labovitz,
http://www.nanog.org/meetings/nanog47/presentations/Monday/Labovitz_ObserveReport_N47_Mon.pdf”
Shift from Tier 1 and regional providers to Content Providers and CDNs
Peering deeper in ISPs, avoids regional core network
Control of regional ISP core costs
Regional Core
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 15
Current Centralized
Cloud/DC Architecture
Core NetworkCloud DC
(OTT Service)
Non-Deterministic Experience
Service
Edge
SP
Core
Network
Scale is fundamentally Linear
Latency is non-deterministic
Access
IXC
IXC
Today’s “Cloud IDC” architectures are centralized. These architectures must
distribute to achieve further scale and performance
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 16
Core Network
Network Aware
Cloud/DC Architecture
Access
Predictable, High Quality Experience
Service Edge
Multiple Services
Compute is distributed
Predictable Latency
Sub-Linear Growth/Cost Curve
Peering PeeringPeeringPeering
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 18Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 18
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 19
All major services are evolving to utilize packets
Business / Internet and Mobile difficult to differentiate
Organizational consolidation and mergers in Service Provider environment
Network and Operational consolidation offers significant economic benefits
A common Infrastructure for Fixed, Mobile and Business Services.
What network design implications?
Aggregation EdgeAccess
DSL
Ethernet
PON
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
Core
2G/3G Node
2G/3G Node
RNC
BNG/BRAS
Business
Network Management
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 20
Multiservice Core
Core Network
Core
Aggregation Network
Aggregation EdgeAccess
DSL
Ethernet
PON
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
Internet
Internet BNG and Video Edge combining into a single device
BNG functionality consolidating onto CE platforms
Video driving distribution of Consumer IP Edge (BNG) and Content Delivery Network
Changing the aggregation network from L2 only into L2 / L3 network
Layer 3 + Services
Layer 2 : Ethernet
Layer 3 + Services
Layer 2 : Ethernet
BNG
+
CDN
BNG
Wholesale
pseudo-wires
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 21
Multiservice Core
Aggregation Network
Aggregation Edge
Core Network
Access
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
Internet
LTE and EPC fundamentally changes the mobile architecture
TDM/ATM Connection Orientated IP Connectionless relationships
L3 VPNs or VPLS based solutions
2G/3G will need to co-exist with LTE for many years
~80% Mobile Providers will utilize IP/Ethernet in the RAN Backhaul *
Core
Layer 3 (Packet Core)
Layer 1 / Layer 2 : TDM/ATM/Ethernet
Layer 3 + Services
Layer 1 / Layer 2 : TDM/ATM/Ethernet
2G/3G Node
2G/3G Node
2G/3G Node
2G/3G Node
RNC
LTE
LTE
LTE
LTE
CS Network
pseudo-wires
* Source : Infonetics 2011 IP/Ethernet and Small Cell Backhaul Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey, March, 2011
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 22
Access
DSL
Ethernet
PON
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
Lean Core
2G/3G Node
2G/3G Node
Network Management
Intelligent Edge
IP Edge resides across the regional PoPs
Aggregation / Metro :L3, L2, CE, L4-L7 services
Access speeds, video and mobile evolution are the drivers
Well suited for converged retail / wholesale provider
Service Aware /Flexible Service Edge
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 23Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 23
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 24
• A big % of the cost in NG network will be in optical interfaces
100G Routing CapEx < 25%
100G TCO 10-30% lower
than 40G, let alone 10G.
Cost/bit Reduction
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 25
Agile DWDM, Control Plane
100G Coherent technology
G-MPLS UNI-C interface
SRLG sharing, signalling
IPoDWDM Transponders
Black link standardisation
IETF SNMP MIB work
Optical OAM visibility
• Step 1 : Agile DWDM with G-MPLS Control Plane
• Step 2 : G-MPLS UNI between routers and DWDM
• Step 3 : Exchange of information and optimization between optical and IP
IP layer
Fast Convergence technology
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 26Cisco Confidential 26© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Lower TCO
Control
Plane
Inter-Connection
Zero Touch
Optical Layer
Pro-Active
ProtectionMulti-Layer
Optimization
Increased
Service
Velocity
3-Tier
Protection
Increase
Utilization
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 27
Metro PoP
• Integration of Layer 2 and Layer 3 edge functionality
• Consolidates the network service infrastructure at IP edge
Critical in distributed designs, desirable in centralised designs
• CapEx, OpEx savings and simplification
AggregationAccess
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
Video
Business
BNG
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 28
Metro PoPAggregationAccess
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
nVnVnVnV
• Cluster :
Virtualized central node – single control plane
• Satellites :
Local or remote satellites controlled from the central cluster
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 29
Metro PoPAggregationAccess
Corporate
Business
Residential
Mobile
nV
nV
nV
nV
• Different types of application virtualization
• Native video monitoring, blade Content Streamers
• Flexibility, simplification and service velocity
*Source: ACG Research
70%
OPEX
Savings*
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 30Cisco Confidential© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 30
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 31
Delivery of
Connectivity /
Access
Bits and Bytes
Performance, Scale, HA,
Convergence
IP-NGN
Delivery of Content
/ Applications
Transactions
Differentiated Svc.
Monetization, Cost,
Efficiency,
Coverage
CloudCustomer
Transition
PerceivedValue
Monetization
Concerns
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 32
Network is the Platform
Cloud
Network
Client
Service
Virtualization
Application
Virtualization
Network
Virtualization
Speed to ―Any‖ Service
Delivery to any Device
Service Scale
Network(not product)
is the Switch fabric
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 34
Next Generation Internet
Network Virtualization
NETWORKCLOUD CLIENT
Application Virtualization
Video ServicesMobility ServicesBusiness Services
Core Edge Agg Access
Optical
OPTIMIZE THE
INFRASTRUCTURE
MONETIZE
NEW EXPERIENCES
More
SimpleMore
Virtual
More
Visual
More
Mobile
Next Gen
Internet
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 36
• Past : General purpose line cards supporting core and edge applications
Core Applications : Small subset of features implemented
Edge Applications : Full feature set used
• Box and card migration from core to edge
P/PE
P
Edge
Core
Peering
And High Speed Edge
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 37
Source: Heavy Reading December 2010 Modernizing the Core With OTN Switching & 40/100G Transport
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 38
P/PE
P
Edge
Cards
Core Cards
Peering
Cards P/PE
P
Lean Core
Box
CARD BOX
• Smaller tables sizes – FIB and RIB
• Reduced packet buffering
• Simple queuing structures – 8 queues per interface
• Optical integration
• IP/MPLS forwarding, IGP. BGP, LDP, MPLS-TE,MPLS-TP, Basic QoS
In case of pure transit application
LSR can provide approximately 20% saving on the transit node
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 39
• Packet transport : packet with a transport characteristics
• Transport characteristics : OAM, Point and click management, protection etc
• Integration with other transport components
DWDM, SONET/SDH, OTN
Basic L2 functionality (MPLS-TP)
Agile ROADM
Packet Optical Transport
Integrated packet and optical
management
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 40
Who We Are
Annual R&DInvestment
$5.3+BEngineers
20,000
PatentsIssued
8,000Percent of FY10
Revenue
13%
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 41
Virtual DesktopBusiness and consumer
Cloud Rendered Gaming• The next NetFlix?
• 5-9% of entertainment budget
Achieving Imperceptible Target – 50-80ms
17 ms 1 frame time (1/60 second)
05 ms Encoding delay
16 ms Fiber delay (1000x2)
XX ms max Total router/switches
latency, ( 25 Microsecond per hop )
XX ms max Last mile delay
08 ms max Decompression time
in end device/PC
50-80 ms max
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 43
CRS-1 MC
8+1
10 Tbps
CRS-3
140G / LC
4.48 TbpsCRS-3
2+0
9 Tbps
CRS-10
400G / LC
12.8 – 102
Tbps
2004 2012 2014
CRS-1
40G / LC
1.28 Tbps
2008
• Cisco is continuing to invest in CRS and driving 400G density on the platform with full backwards compatibility and investment protection
40G
40G
40G
PSE
PSE
CPU
SWFab
SwFab
CPU
10GPODs
100G
100G
100G
100G
LCFab
LCFab
LCFab
LCFab
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 44
Access/ Agg
IP Core Edge Access/ Agg
New Form Factors in ONS Family
Packet Optical Convergence
ONS 15454 M2
Delivering 10G/40G Wavelength
Seamlessly migrate TDM traffic over packet optical infrastructure
Reduce network elements—integrating optics into packet
Optimizing fiber plant, extending DWDM system with 40G Muxponding
Significant Reduction in Operational Expenses
ONS 15454 M6
Edge
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 46
nV
Enabled
3RU, 360G Switching Capacity
Fully Redundant (RSP,PSU, FANs)
SyncE, 1588
300mm, Environmentally Hardened
2RU, 120G Switching Capacity
4 Fixed 10GE
MPA’s: 20x1GE, 2x10GE
SyncE, 1588
1RU, 16G System
Capacity
54W GE+TDM, 38W GE
SyncE, 1588
300mm,
Environmentally
Hardened
Simplify, Unify, Virtualize Access/Aggregation Infrastructure
ASR
903
Pre-Aggregation(Unified Ethernet Access)
ASR
9001
SP Edge(Small Deployments)
ASR
901
Cell Site Router(2G, 3G, 4G Ready)
2G,3G,4
G
Ready
Archite
cture
Unified
MPLS
Unified
Ethernet
AccessExtending nV to the Access
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 47
Ethernet & TDMAggregation
Microwave
Microwave
2G
BTS
3G
NodeB
Pre-Aggregation
ASR 903
ASR 903
4G
Access
ASR 901
ASR 901
ASR 9010
7600
ASR 9001
ASR 5000
Packet Core
CRS Family
ASR 9006
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 48
―Over The Top‖ (OTT) traffic
Controlling network costs
Adding revenue generating services
Network Simplification
Support for retail and wholesale services
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 49
Packet
CircuitPacket
90+% IP Traffic
Private LineTDM/OTN
Traffic
Private/PublicIP Traffic
2011
~30-50%
~50-70%*
2013 2016
Private LineTDM/OTN
Traffic
Private LineTDM/OTN
Traffic
20-30% 0─10%
Private/PublicIP Traffic
Private/Public
IP Traffic
70-80% 90+%
Legacy TDMTraffic
• Massive change in SP traffic make-up in next 5 years*
• SP revenue shifting from circuits to packet services**
5 yrs ~80% revenue derived from packet services
• Packet traffic increasing at 34% CAGR***
Video (Walled Garden and OTT)
*ACG Research 2011, ** Cisco Research 2010, ***Cisco VNI 2011
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 50
Business
Consumer
Mobile
Static MPLS-TP Access
IP/MPLS Access
(L2 and CE only)
Ethernet Access
SONET/SDH
Lean CoreAggregation
L3 IP + Services Placement
Circuit Emulation + Ethernet
Business
Consumer
Mobile
IP/MPLS (L3, L2 and CE)
Dynamic IP/MPLS control plane in aggregation / Metro and core
Offering L2 and L3 and Circuit Emulation
Flexible L3 Service placement
L4-L7 services integrated into the network
Service Aware /Flexible Service Edge
Distributed Approach
Intelligent Edge
© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 51
Aggregation Intelligent Edge Lean Core
IP/MPLS (L2) IP/MPLSIP/MPLS
L3 IP + Services Placement
Circuit Emulation + Ethernet
Ethernet Access
Static MPLS-TP Access
SONET/SDH
Transport Centric Architecture
IP/MPLS (L2)
Aggregation Intelligent Edge Lean Core
Static
MPLS (TP) (VPWS/VPLS),OTN and DWDM IP/MPLSIP/MPLS
L3 IP + Services Placement
Circuit Emulation + Ethernet
Ethernet Access
Static MPLS-TP Access
SONET/SDH
Transport Centric Architecture - POTN