Model Proiect Procese Decizionale

8/11/2019 Model Proiect Procese Decizionale

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2013

Analytic HierarchyProcessSolar energy company expandsabroad. Which country tochoose?

oat! Simina "alentina#roup 13$

%ucharest &ni'ersity

o( )conomic Studies


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*able o(contents

+ntroduction

3

,ecision

problem -

Sur'ey $

,ataprocessing

12

onclusions1/

oat!Simina"alentina #roup13$


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+ntroductio

n

*hesolarenergycomp

anyAdlersho(basedin#ermanyhad

aourishingacti'ityinthelastdecade

participating in#ermanysreputat

iono(

4orld4ide topphoto'oltaicinstaller. As amatter o( (act#ermanyestablished anob5ecti'e o( producing 3$6o( electricity(rom rene4able

sources by2020 and along7term goalo( 1006 o( electricity to begenerated (romgreen energyby 20$0.

+n this sensethe 'ision o(

Adlersho( is tohave a solarplant on each

roof. 8or acontinuous andsustainablede'elopmentthe managingteam o( thecompanyendea'ours to

expand thebusiness

abroad bybuilding solar9elds andin'esting inenergyin(rastructure4here'er theydecide to go.

*heir decision

is supported bythe (act that


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solarpanelsinst

allation4illpea:theseyearsin#er

manyandexpanding4ille'entuallybec

omenecessaryhence9rst7mo'er

ad'antageabroadiso(tremendous

importa

nce due tomar:etpenetrationand earlyin'estments in

;,.

+n order toapproach theissue o( expansion thecompany has toestablishse'eralalternati'ecountries anda(ter4ardschoose themostappropriate o(them. Thedecision-

making

process

according to

the

alternativesand criteria

availablerepresents

the objective

of the

present paperand there will

be used theAnalytic

Hierarchy

Process. *hesteps are the

(ollo4inga heng scales as 4ell. Ho4e'er the

computations corresponding to the matrices (or pair74ise comparisons usedin #auss 4ill be based on the Saaty scale.

Scale )ually Wea:ly>oderately >oderately Strongly Strongly

,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrly

important more more plus more more plus more more strongly mor

important important importantimportant important important more

impont

importan

t

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G

=inguistic !$ !% !& !' !( !) !* !+ !,

>a 1 GJ/ GJI GJ GJ$ GJ- GJ3 GJ2 Gheng

!tages of the survey

Pair 4ise comparison bet4een each 2 criteria (rom the 3 criteria interms o( country choice.

Pair 4ise comparison bet4een each 2 alternati'es (rom the 9rstcriterion perspecti'e Csecure legislati'e en'ironmentD

Pair 4ise comparison bet4een each 2 alternati'es (rom the secondcriterion perspecti'e Cenergy in(rastructureD

Pair 4ise comparison bet4een each 2 alternati'es (rom the thirdcriterion perspecti'e Ccost eBecti'enessD

oat! Simina "alen

#roup 13$


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!urvey uestions

1. Which o( the criteria you consider to be more important?

1)Secure legislati'e en'ironment

2))nergy in(rastructure

Pair 4ise comparison (or intensity e.g.< Ho4 much more important is thechosen one compared to the others?

@n a scale (rom 1 to G C17eually important G7extremely importantD byho4 much is more important in your decision the chosen criteria?

Scale )ually Wea:ly

>oderatel

y >oderately Strongly Strongly

,emonstrate

d

"ery

'ery

)xtre

yimportant more more plus more more plus more more strongly more

important important important important important important moreimpot

important

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G


1)Secure legislati'e en'ironment

2)ost eBecti'eness



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey

important more more plus more more plus more more strongly more

important important important important important important more

impo

timportant

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G


1))nergy +n(rastructure

2)ost eBecti'eness



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oat! Simina "alen #roup 13$


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,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey

important more more plus more more plus more more strongly more

important important important important important important more

impo

timportant

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G

4. Which country is more pre(erable (rom secure legislati'e en'ironment'ie4point? aDomaniabDhina

@n a scale (rom 1 to G by ho4 much is more pre(erable your choice?


,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey

pre(erable more more plus more more plus more more strongly more

pre(erable pre(erable pre(erable pre(erablepre(erable pre(erable more

pre(ee

pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G

$. Which country is more pre(erable (rom secure legislati'e en'ironment 'ie4point?

aDomaniabDSouthA(rica



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey



pre(ee

pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G

. Which country is more pre(erable (rom secure legislati'een'ironment 'ie4point? aDhinabDSouth A(rica



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,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey


pre(erable pre(erable pre(erable pre(erable

pre(erabl

e pre(erable more

pre(e

epre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G

oat! Simina "alentina #roup 13$


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7. Which country is more pre(erable in terms o( cost eBecti'eness?

1)omania

2)hina



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey



pre(ee

pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G


1)South A(rica

2)hina



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey



pre(ee

pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G


1)South A(rica

2)omania



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey



pre(ee


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pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G



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10. Which country is more pre(erable in terms o( energy in(rastructure?

1) omania

2) hina



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey



pre(ee

pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G


1)omania

2)South A(rica



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey



pre(ee

pre(erable

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G


1) South A(rica

2) hina



,emonstrated

"ery'ery

)xtrey


pre(erable pre(erable pre(erable pre(erable

pre(erabl

e pre(erable more

pre(e

epre(erabl


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e

Saaty 1 2 3 - $ I / G



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8urther on it is important to (ormaliKe the alternati'es and criteriaas (ollo4sM 1 .2 3

1 1 / G 41

2 1J/ 1 423 1JG 1JH 1 43

,>M1 A1 A2 A3A1 1 3 I aA2 1J3 1 - b

A3 1JI 1J- 1 c

,>M2 A1 A2 A3

A1 1 1JG 1J/ dA2 G 1 3 eA3 / 1J3 1 (

,>M3 A1 A2 A3

A1 1 $ $ gA2 1J$ 1 1J$ hA3 1J/ / 1 i

Respondent 2

,>M 1 2

1 1

2 1J3 1JG 1J3

,>M1 A1 A2

A1 1 3

A2 1J3 1A3 1JG N

,>M2 A1 A2A1 1 1JGA2 G 1A3 -


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,>M3 A1 A2 A3


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A1 1 2 1J- gA2 1J2 1 1J/ hA3 - / 1 i

oat! Simina

"alentina #roup 13$

Respondent 1

3a4heng

,>M 1 .2 31 1 GJ2 G 412 2JG 1 GJ- 423 1JG -JG 1 43

Respondent 2


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,>M 1 2 .31 1 GJ- G 412 -JG 1 GJI 423 1JG IJG 1 43

,>M1 A1 A2A1 1 GJIA2 IJGA3 3JG HJG


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,>M1 A1 A2 A3A1 1 GJI G aA2 IJG 1 GJH bA3 1JG JG 1 c

,>M2 A1

A1 1A2 GA3 GJ2


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,>M2 A1 A2 A3A1 1 1JG -JG dA2 G 1 HJG eA3 GJ- GJ 1 (

,>M3A1A2A3


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,>M3 A1 A2 A3A1 1 GJ/ JG gA2 /JG 1 2JG hA3 GJ GJ2 1 i

oat!Simina"alenti

na #roup13$

Respondent 1

5inguistic

,>M. 1 2 3

1 !$ !+ !, 412 !-+ !$ !) 423 !-, !-) !$ 43

,>M1 A1 A2 A3

A1 !$ !& !* aA2 !-& !$ !' bA3 !-* !-' !$ c

,>M2 A1 A2 A3

A1 !$ !-, !-+ dA2 !, !$ !& eA3 !+ !-& !$ (

,>M3 A1 A2 A3

A1 !$ !-, !-+ gA2 !, !$ !& hA3 !+ !-& !$ i

Respondent 2

,>M 1 2 3

1 !$ !) !, 412 !-) !$ !& 423 !-, !-& !$ 43

,>M1 A1 A2 A3

A1 !$ !& !, aA2 !-& !$ !' bA3 !-, !-' !$ c

,>M2 A1 A2 A3

A1 !$ !-, !-) dA2 !, !$ !-' eA3 !) !' !$ (


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,>M3 A1 A2 A3

A1 !$ !-, !-' gA2 !, !$ !-+ hA3 !' !+ !$ i

oat! Simina"alentina #roup13$


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Priority 'ectors determined 4ith the use o( #auss program and thecorresponding line o( code

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Model Proiect Procese Decizionale