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Very few auroras were reported by middle European observers during the years 1793–1818, and there are very few sunspot data for the same span. This may be a result of inter- est in solar–terrestrial physics and possible extreme solar minima, because in this time a limited num- bers of sunspot were also noted. Although the 18th and 19th cen- turies marked a time of increasing interest in solar–terrestrial physics, the study of auroras and the Sun were not mainstream areas for research by the astronomers of the time. For the span 1793–1818 only a few positive sightings of auroras are available from European lati- tudes and other parts of the world. Scientific studies would certainly have been disrupted by the wars and conflicts of the time, although spectacular auroral displays would always have aroused interest. As can be seen from the table, the reported amount of auroral activity throughout the span listed is remarkably low. Following Wald- meier (1955), sunspot maxima occurred in 1788.1, 1805.2 and 1816.4, 1829.9, 1837.2. Minima occurred in 1784.7, 1798.3, 1810.6, 1823.3 and 1833.9. It is of interest that during 1797–1800 and 1807–12, a low relative number of sunspots was derived (Waldmeier 1955). In these timespans the auro- ral reports are mostly missing, not only in Europe (Dalton 1873, Fritz 1883, Cramer 1806, Busse 1815, Parrey 1819, Lampadius 1806), but also in America (J Lovering and E Loomis published compilations) only a few reports are available. For 1804 Hallström in Abo and Dalton in Manchester noted the very lowest records of auroras. During their travels in higher north- ern latitudes, Hausmann and Leopold von Buch also reported very few auroras during this span (see also Ideler 1832.) It seems difficult to find a physi- cal explanation for this apparently low level of auroral activity during this span. Some other known solar minima (e.g. the Spörer and Maun- der Minima) were longer. This min- imum at the end of the 18th centu- ry was short, and may have been caused by missing observations or variability in solar cycle length. The variability of sunspot cycle length has been often suggested for differ- ent times (e.g. A Brekke 1997, Fritz 1881, Gregori 2002, von Steiger 2002, Waldmeier 1955). On the other hand, it is of interest that the number of observed auroras rose before 1793 and after 1819. In later years, e.g. for the time 1830–36, very extensive and bright auroras were noted by Argelander during his times in Finland. Intense auroras were observed in this perioid from other parts of the world too. Waldmeier noted a low relative number of sunspots in 1821–24, in accordance with low auroral activity. Between 1819–21 more auroral data became available. The next reported minimum was in 1823.3 and the maximum in 1829.9. Both are com- parable with the solar cycle data. Wilfried Schröder, Geophysical Station, Hechelstrasse 8, D-28777 Bremen. [email protected] References Brekke A 1997 Physics of the polar upper atmosphere Wiley, Chichester. Busse J H (ed.)1815 Robert Halls und Billings Reise in den nordöstlichen Ozean und durch das nördliche Eismeer Leipzig. Cramer J 1785 Über die Entstehung des Nordlichtes Bremen. Dalton J 1873 Meteorological observations and Essays London. Ephemerides societatis meteorologicae Palatinae Mannheim 1781–92. Fritz H 1881 Das Polarlicht Brockhaus, Leipzig. Gregori J G 2002 Galaxy-Sun-Earth relation Science Edition. Ideler J L 1832 Über den Ursprung der Feuerkugeln und des Nordlichtes, Berlin. Lampadius W A 1896 Systematischer Grun- driß der Atmosphärologie Graz and Gerlach, Freyberg. Parrey W E (ed.) 1819 Parrey’s Tagebuch einer Entdeckungsreise nach den nördlichen Polargegenden im Jahre 1818 Hamburg. Schröder W 2001 Ber. Gesch. Geophys. und Kosm. Physik 2 no. 5. von Steiger R History of solar wind, in Solar Variability and Geomagnetism Science Edi- tion, 78–87. Waldmeier M 1955 Ergebnisse und Prob- leme der Sonnenforschung Akad. Verlagsge- sellschaft, Leipzig. 3.6 June 2003 Vol 44 VIEWS Auroral data from Europe The table summarizes the few data available and includes only data that have been observed from at least two stations independently. The visual observations in the table are mainly from middle latitudes (48–65°N). Single observations have been neglected. We note in this period some widespread auroras (29.1.1780, 2.3.1780, 28.7.1780, 25.11.1780, 30.1.1781, 15.2.1781, 25.9.1781, 15.10.1781, 29.3 and 27.4.1783, 15.11.1884, 19.3 and 22.3.1886, 13.5, 13.7, 6.10, 31.10 and 26.11.1887, 11.2, 23.8 and 21.10.1888, 22.10.1804, 8.2.1817 and 25.9.1827). Barrie W Jones Earth-mass planets: update In my article in A&G April 2003, I said “Gravitational lensing has the potential now to detect Earth-mass planets”. This potential may now have been realized. In the commonly used exoplanets catalogue (www.obspm.fr/encycl/ catalog.html) there is a short table headed “Unconfirmed, controver- sial, or retracted planets”. This includes two stars that might each have a planet of less than a few Earth-masses. The more persuasive case corresponds to the high magni- fication gravitational microlensing event MACHO 98-BLG-35. Bond et al. (2002) conclude that their best model has a planet of about an Earth mass at about 1.5 or 2.3 AU from the star. These values use rea- sonable assumptions for the mass of the lensing star, the radius of the lensed (source) star, and the dis- tances to the source and the lens. It seems likely that this has been placed in the “Unconfirmed…” cat- egory because the Earth-mass inter- pretation is not entirely secure and confirmation has not yet been achieved. Sadly, confirmation is unlikely. A second alignment between the lens and a source is highly improbable, as is the align- ment needed for a planetary transit. Confirmation by astrometry and Doppler spectroscopy is improbable given the estimated 6 kpc distance, and the small effect of an Earth- mass planet at about 1 AU on the motion of its star. Frustrating! We thus await the first confirmed dis- covery of an exoplanet with a mass about that of the Earth. (This dis- counts the two well-known objects of a few Earth masses around the pulsar PSR1257+12. These puzzling objects are sometimes ignored in surveys of exoplanets. Certainly, they are unlikely to be habitable.) Barrie W Jones, The Open University, Milton Keynes. Reference Bond I A et al. 2002 MNRAS 333 71. Wilfried Schröder Missing auroras and sunspots at the end of the 18th century Date Auroras 1780 16 1781 33 1782 34 1783 33 1784 10 1785 15 1786 83 1787 76 1788 56 1789 56 1790 39 1791 14 1792 10 1793 1 1794 4 1795 0 1796 0 1797 0 1798 0 1799 1 1800 0 1801 0 1802 1 1803 3 1804 1 1805 2 1806 1 1807 0 1808 0 1809 0 1810 0 1811 0 1812 0 1813 0 1814 3 1815 0 1816 1 1817 7 1818 5 1819 10 1820 20 1821 24 1822 6 1823 0 1824 3 1825 5 1826 6 1827 18 1828 11 1829 18 Andrew Fraknoi A new journal We are very pleased to announce completion of the first volume of Astronomy Education Review, the new on-line journal/magazine for astronomy and space-science educa- tion. The home page for the journal can be found at aer.noao.edu. We are now ready to receive contribu- tions for the first issue of volume 2. Astronomy Education Review aims to serve a broad audience of those involved in education. The journal welcomes submis- sions; guidelines are on the site. Sidney Wolff and Andrew Fraknoi, Editors; [email protected]

Missing auroras and sunspots at the end of the 18th century, Earth-mass planets: updates

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Page 1: Missing auroras and sunspots at the end of the 18th century, Earth-mass planets: updates

Very few auroras were reported bymiddle European observers duringthe years 1793–1818, and there arevery few sunspot data for the samespan. This may be a result of inter-est in solar–terrestrial physics andpossible extreme solar minima,because in this time a limited num-bers of sunspot were also noted.

Although the 18th and 19th cen-turies marked a time of increasinginterest in solar–terrestrial physics,the study of auroras and the Sunwere not mainstream areas forresearch by the astronomers of thetime. For the span 1793–1818 onlya few positive sightings of aurorasare available from European lati-tudes and other parts of the world.Scientific studies would certainlyhave been disrupted by the warsand conflicts of the time, althoughspectacular auroral displays wouldalways have aroused interest.

As can be seen from the table, thereported amount of auroral activitythroughout the span listed isremarkably low. Following Wald-meier (1955), sunspot maximaoccurred in 1788.1, 1805.2 and1816.4, 1829.9, 1837.2. Minimaoccurred in 1784.7, 1798.3, 1810.6,1823.3 and 1833.9. It is of interestthat during 1797–1800 and1807–12, a low relative number ofsunspots was derived (Waldmeier1955). In these timespans the auro-ral reports are mostly missing, notonly in Europe (Dalton 1873, Fritz1883, Cramer 1806, Busse 1815,Parrey 1819, Lampadius 1806), butalso in America (J Lovering and E

Loomis published compilations)only a few reports are available.For 1804 Hallström in Abo andDalton in Manchester noted thevery lowest records of auroras.During their travels in higher north-ern latitudes, Hausmann andLeopold von Buch also reportedvery few auroras during this span(see also Ideler 1832.)

It seems difficult to find a physi-cal explanation for this apparentlylow level of auroral activity duringthis span. Some other known solarminima (e.g. the Spörer and Maun-der Minima) were longer. This min-imum at the end of the 18th centu-ry was short, and may have beencaused by missing observations orvariability in solar cycle length. Thevariability of sunspot cycle lengthhas been often suggested for differ-ent times (e.g. A Brekke 1997, Fritz1881, Gregori 2002, von Steiger2002, Waldmeier 1955). On theother hand, it is of interest that thenumber of observed auroras rosebefore 1793 and after 1819.

In later years, e.g. for the time1830–36, very extensive and brightauroras were noted by Argelanderduring his times in Finland. Intenseauroras were observed in this perioidfrom other parts of the world too.Waldmeier noted a low relativenumber of sunspots in 1821–24, inaccordance with low auroral activity.Between 1819–21 more auroral databecame available. The next reportedminimum was in 1823.3 and themaximum in 1829.9. Both are com-parable with the solar cycle data.

Wilfried Schröder, Geophysical Station,Hechelstrasse 8, D-28777 [email protected]

ReferencesBrekke A 1997 Physics of the polar upperatmosphere Wiley, Chichester.Busse J H (ed.)1815 Robert Halls undBillings Reise in den nordöstlichen Ozeanund durch das nördliche Eismeer Leipzig.Cramer J 1785 Über die Entstehung desNordlichtes Bremen.Dalton J 1873 Meteorological observationsand Essays London.Ephemerides societatis meteorologicaePalatinae Mannheim 1781–92.Fritz H 1881 Das Polarlicht Brockhaus,Leipzig.

Gregori J G 2002 Galaxy-Sun-Earth relationScience Edition.Ideler J L 1832 Über den Ursprung derFeuerkugeln und des Nordlichtes, Berlin.Lampadius W A 1896 Systematischer Grun-driß der Atmosphärologie Graz and Gerlach,Freyberg.Parrey W E (ed.) 1819 Parrey’s Tagebucheiner Entdeckungsreise nach den nördlichenPolargegenden im Jahre 1818 Hamburg.Schröder W 2001 Ber. Gesch. Geophys. undKosm. Physik 2 no. 5.von Steiger R History of solar wind, in SolarVariability and Geomagnetism Science Edi-tion, 78–87.Waldmeier M 1955 Ergebnisse und Prob-leme der Sonnenforschung Akad. Verlagsge-sellschaft, Leipzig.

3.6 June 2003 Vol 44

VIEWS

Auroral data from EuropeThe table summarizes the few data available and includes only data thathave been observed from at least two stations independently. The visualobservations in the table are mainly from middle latitudes (48–65°N).Single observations have been neglected. We note in this period somewidespread auroras (29.1.1780, 2.3.1780, 28.7.1780, 25.11.1780,30.1.1781, 15.2.1781, 25.9.1781, 15.10.1781, 29.3 and 27.4.1783,15.11.1884, 19.3 and 22.3.1886, 13.5, 13.7, 6.10, 31.10 and 26.11.1887,11.2, 23.8 and 21.10.1888, 22.10.1804, 8.2.1817 and 25.9.1827).

Barrie W Jones

Earth-massplanets: updateIn my article in A&G April 2003, Isaid “Gravitational lensing has thepotential now to detect Earth-massplanets”. This potential may nowhave been realized.

In the commonly used exoplanetscatalogue (www.obspm.fr/encycl/catalog.html) there is a short tableheaded “Unconfirmed, controver-sial, or retracted planets”. Thisincludes two stars that might eachhave a planet of less than a fewEarth-masses. The more persuasivecase corresponds to the high magni-

fication gravitational microlensingevent MACHO 98-BLG-35. Bondet al. (2002) conclude that theirbest model has a planet of about anEarth mass at about 1.5 or 2.3 AUfrom the star. These values use rea-sonable assumptions for the massof the lensing star, the radius of thelensed (source) star, and the dis-tances to the source and the lens.

It seems likely that this has beenplaced in the “Unconfirmed…” cat-egory because the Earth-mass inter-pretation is not entirely secure andconfirmation has not yet beenachieved. Sadly, confirmation isunlikely. A second alignmentbetween the lens and a source ishighly improbable, as is the align-ment needed for a planetary transit.

Confirmation by astrometry andDoppler spectroscopy is improbablegiven the estimated 6 kpc distance,and the small effect of an Earth-mass planet at about 1 AU on themotion of its star. Frustrating! Wethus await the first confirmed dis-covery of an exoplanet with a massabout that of the Earth. (This dis-counts the two well-known objectsof a few Earth masses around thepulsar PSR 1257+12. These puzzlingobjects are sometimes ignored insurveys of exoplanets. Certainly,they are unlikely to be habitable.)Barrie W Jones, The Open University,Milton Keynes.

ReferenceBond I A et al. 2002 MNRAS 333 71.

Wilfried Schröder

Missing auroras and sunspots at the end of the 18th century

Date Auroras 1780 161781 33 1782 341783 331784 101785 151786 831787 761788 561789 561790 391791 141792 101793 11794 4 1795 0

1796 0 1797 0 1798 0 1799 1 1800 0 1801 0 1802 1 1803 3 1804 1 1805 2 1806 1 1807 0 1808 01809 01810 01811 01812 0

1813 01814 31815 01816 11817 71818 51819 101820 201821 241822 61823 01824 3 1825 51826 61827 181828 111829 18

Andrew Fraknoi

A new journal We are very pleased to announcecompletion of the first volume ofAstronomy Education Review, thenew on-line journal/magazine forastronomy and space-science educa-tion. The home page for the journalcan be found at aer.noao.edu. Weare now ready to receive contribu-tions for the first issue of volume 2.Astronomy Education Review aimsto serve a broad audience of thoseinvolved in education.

The journal welcomes submis-sions; guidelines are on the site.Sidney Wolff and Andrew Fraknoi,Editors; [email protected]