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MARKET PULSE April 2015 1

Market Pulse Survey, April 2015

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C.A.R.’s Market Pulse Survey is a monthly online survey to gather California REALTORS®’ sentiment about their last closed transaction and business activity for the previous month and the last year.

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  • MARKET PULSEApril 2015

    1

  • Survey Methodology

    Monthly online survey of 300+ CA REALTORS

    Respondents are asked about their last closedtransaction and business activity in their market areafor the previous month and the last year.

    2

  • LASTTRANSACTION

    3

  • Median Sale Price Up 8.4% MTM

    Q: What was the sale price of your last closed transaction?

    $402,000 $415,000$450,000

    $0

    $100,000

    $200,000

    $300,000

    $400,000

    $500,000

    $600,000

    Median

    4

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • 4/10TransactionsClosed BelowAsking Price

    Q: Did your last closed transaction sell over, at or below asking price?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Jan-

    14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    Over Below At

    5

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Premium Paid OverAsking Price Increased

    Q: At what percentage was your last closed transaction sold over asking price?

    8.7%7.7%

    10%

    8.0%

    10%

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    14.0%

    Average

    6

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Discount on Asking Price Stable

    Q: At what percentage was your last closed transaction sold below asking price?

    Jul-14

    Aug-14

    Sep-14

    Oct-14

    Nov-14

    Dec-14

    Jan-15

    Feb-15

    Mar-15

    Apr-15

    20142015YTD

    Average -5.8 -5.6 -5.8 -6.3 -12% -13% -11% -11% -11% -11% -8.0 -11%

    -14.0%

    -12.0%

    -10.0%

    -8.0%

    -6.0%

    -4.0%

    -2.0%

    0.0%

    7

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • More Properties Receiving MultipleOffers

    Q: How many offers did the seller in your last closed transaction receive?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%Ja

    n-14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    8

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Number of Offers Up

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    2.92.7

    3.6Average

    Q: How many offers did your last closed transaction receive?

    9

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Share of Listings with Price Reductions Up

    Q: Were there any listing price reductions before escrow opened in your last closed transaction?

    20%

    25% 26%28%

    33%

    29%31% 31% 31%

    23%

    28%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    10

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • % of Previous Renters Fluctuates

    Q: Was the buyer of your last closed transaction a renter immediately prior to purchasing the property?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%Ja

    n-14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    11

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Fewer Sellers Becoming Renters

    Q: Did the seller of your last closed transaction become a renter immediately after selling the property?

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%Ja

    n-14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    12

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Share of First-time Buyers Fluctuating

    Q: Was the buyer of your last closed transaction a first-time buyer?

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%Ja

    n-14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    % First-time Buyers Long Run Average

    13

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Majority Purchases are Primary Residences

    Q: What was the intended use of the property?

    69%78% 73%

    21%16% 19%

    0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

    100%Ja

    n-14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    Primary residence Investment Vacation home Other

    14

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • International Buyers Fluctuate

    Q: Was the buyer an international client (one who was not a citizen or permanent resident of the U.S.)?

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    Jan-

    14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    % International Buyers Long Run Average

    15

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • MARKET CONDITIONS

    16

  • Floor Calls from Potential Clients Increased

    Q: Compared to last month, the number of floor calls from potential clients in your market area this month was

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    Last MonthDown Flat Up

    17

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • ListingAppointments/Presentations toClientsIncrease

    Q: Compared to last month, the number of listing appointments and presentations to clients in yourmarket area this month was

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    Last Month

    Down Flat Up

    18

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Open HouseTraffic Up from LastYear

    Q: Compared to last month/year, open house traffic in your market area this month was

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15

    Last Month Down Flat Up

    0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

    Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15

    LastYear

    19

  • Auctions Steady

    Q: Compared to last month/year, the number of auctions in your market area this month was

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

    Last Month Down Flat Up

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

    LastYear

    20

  • All Cash Purchases Increasing

    Q: Compared to last month/year, the number of all cash purchases in your market area this month was

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15

    Last Month Down Flat Up

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15

    LastYear

    21

  • Majority of REALTORS Expect Better MarketConditionsOver the NextYear

    Q: What are your expectations for market conditions over the next year?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    Jan-

    14

    Feb-

    14

    Mar

    -14

    Apr

    -14

    May

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Jul-1

    4

    Aug

    -14

    Sep-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Nov

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Feb-

    15

    Mar

    -15

    Apr

    -15

    Worsen Same Improve

    22

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Top 10 Counties

    Q: In which county do you live?

    March 2015 April 2015

    1 Los Angeles Los Angeles

    2 San Diego San Diego

    3 Orange Riverside

    4 Riverside Orange

    5 Sacramento San Bernardino

    6 Alameda Sacramento

    7 Santa Clara San Mateo

    8 Placer Santa Clara

    9 San Bernardino Alameda

    10 Sonoma San Francisco

    23

    SERIES: Market Pulse SurveySOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS