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Agriculture Working Group Meeting March 4th, 2015 Ankara, Turkey Making Cooperation Work For Building an Interdependent Islamic World COMCEC AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK 2014 COMCEC STRATEGY E.Emrah HATUNOGLU

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Page 1: Making Cooperation Work COMCEC STRATEGY › en › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 05 › 1-The... · COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work 279 387 92 121 114 163 11 9 2.061

Agriculture Working Group Meeting March 4th, 2015

Ankara, Turkey

Making Cooperation Work

For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC

AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK

2014

COMCEC STRATEGY

E.Emrah HATUNOGLU

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1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

‣ Agricultural GDP

‣ Agricultural Trade Performance

‣ Agricultural Population

‣ Agricultural Labor Productivity

‣ Crops Production and Yields

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

‣ Land Use

‣ Irrigation

‣ Fertilizer Use

3. Food Security in the OIC

4. Challenges and Recommendations

1

For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

OUTLINE

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Agricultural GDP Rankings Agricultural GDP

(Billion Dollar)

Share of Agr. GDP

(Percent)

1 Indonesia 125,3 14,4

2 Nigeria 106,9 21,0

3 Turkey 60,8 8,3

4 Pakistan 53,9 11,0

5 Iran 41,4 19,5

6 Egypt 34,4 13,9

7 Malaysia 29,1 9,4

8 Bangladesh 23,8 16,3

9 Sudan 23,1 42,6

10 Algeria 20,5 10,2

Top Ten Total 519,1 13,8

Top Ten Country

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

14 17

-3

21

102

-81

108

86

21

143

205

-62 -100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250E

xport

Import

Tra

de

Bala

nce

Export

Import

Tra

de

Bala

nce

Export

Import

Tra

de

Bala

nce

Export

Import

Tra

de

Bala

nce

African Group Arab Group Asian Group OIC

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

Agr. Trade Deficit of Sub-Regions, 2011

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1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

As of 2013;

The total population of the OIC is about 1,62 billion

people. (% 23,8 of world population)

The agricultural population of OIC Member

Countries is about 568 million people

(% 35,1 OIC total population)

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

Agricultural Population

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

279 387

92 121 114 163 11 9

2.061

2.587

475 638

777

1.088

73 76

13,5% 15,0%

19,3% 18,9%

14,6% 15,0% 15,3%

11,9%

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

2000 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011

Cereals Fruit Vegetable Meat

% Million Tons

OIC (left axis) World (left axis) OIC Share in the World Total (rigth axis)

Crops Production and Share in the World

Source: FAO

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Wheat Yield in the OIC and the World, (tons/hectare)

1,8 1,6

1,5 1,6 1,7 1,6

1,8 1,9

2,1 2,0

1,8

2,1 1,9

2,1

2,6 2,5 2,4 2,5 2,6 2,7 2,8 2,7 2,7

2,9 2,8

3,1 3,0 3,1

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

OIC WorldSource: FAO

1. The Role of Agriculture in the OIC Economy

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7

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

Source: FAO

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

Land areaAgricultural

AreaArable land

Permanent

Crops

Permanent

Meadows and

Pastures

OIC (million ha) 3.192 1.420 293 55 1.043

Share in Total Agricultural

Area (%) 100 21 4 74

World

(million ha) 13.003 4.912 1.396 154 3.359Share of OIC in the World

(%) 25 29 21 36 31

Land Use

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7

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

Source: FAO

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

Sub-Regional Land Use

Land areaAgricultural

AreaArable land

Permanent

Crops

Permanent

Meadows and

Pastures

African Group (%) 24 25 35 24 23

Arab Group (%) 43 37 19 15 44

Asian Group (%) 33 37 46 61 33

OIC 100 100 100 100 100

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Share of Agriculture in Total Water Consumption.

90 86

81

72 70 64

39

29

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

OIC Africa Asia Oceania World Carrabian North

America

EuropeSource: FAO

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Renewable Water-Rich OIC Member Countries, (over 200 km3/year)

0

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

Source: FAO

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Renewable Water-Poor OIC Member Countries, (below 10 km3/year)

0,00

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

8,00

9,00

Source: FAO

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Fertilizer Use (2011, kg/ha)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

OIC

World

2. Agricultural Structure of the OIC

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3. Food Security in the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

59 55 58 54 64

24 24 25 29 37

115 115 109 102 92

194 189 187 179 185

0

50

100

150

200

250

1990-92 1995-97 2000-02 2005-07 2010-12

Million People

AfricanGroup

Arab Group

AsianGroup

OIC

The Number of the Undernourished People in the OIC

Source: FAO and IFPRI

3. Food Security in the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Two basic categories regarding to the food

consumption;

dietary energy supply adequacy:

there is not a serious problem in the

OIC as a whole

average protein supply: less than

needed level in general

3. Food Security in the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

The Global Food Security Index considers the core issues of affordability, availability, quality and safety across a set of 109 countries.

The overall goal of the study is to assess which countries are most and least vulnerable to food insecurity through the categories of Affordability, Availability, and Quality and Safety.

All scores are normalised on a scale of 0-100 where 100=most favourable.

Global Food Security Index, 2014

3. Food Security in the OIC

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Global Food Security Index, 2014

3. Food Security in the OIC

1 United States 89,3 2 Un. Arab Emirates 70,9 Kazakhstan 53,3 Cameroon 38,1

2 Austria 85,5 3 Saudi Arabia 69,6 Jordan 53,0 Nigeria 36,5

3 Netherlands 84,4 4 Malaysia 68,0 Azerbaijan 50,3 Bangladesh 36,3

4 Norway 84,4 5 Turkey 63,8 Morocco 50,1 Sierra Leone 35,8

5 Singapore 84,3 Egypt 49,3 Yemen 35,2

6 Switzerland 84,2 Algeria 47,5 Mali 33,4

7 Ireland 84,0 Indonesia 46,5 Sudan 32,7

8 Canada 83,7 Uzbekistan 46,0 Guinea 32,5

9 Germany 83,7 Uganda 45,6 Burkina Faso 31,6

10 France 83,4 Cote d’Ivoire 44,7 Mozambique 31,0

… … … Pakistan 43,6 Niger 30,5

… … … Ghana 43,1 Togo 28,4

1 Kuwait 72,2 Syria 40,3 Chad 25,5

Tajikistan 38,7

Benin 38,4

Senegal 38,4

Best Environment

Score 72-89

Good Environment

Score 54-72

Moderate Environment

Score 38-54

Needs Improvement

Score 25-38

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Global Food Security Index, 2014

3. Food Security in the OIC

1 Uganda 5,8 Egypt -2,9

2 Togo 5,2 Tunisia -2,9

3 Benin 4,8 Niger -1,6

4 Mali 4,7 Bangladesh -1

5 Sierra Leone 4,7 Mozambique -1

6 Sudan 4,7 Burkina Faso -0,4

7 Azerbaijan 4,6 Morocco -0,4

8 Cote d’Ivoire 4,3 Jordan -0,2

9 Nigeria 3,4

10 Saudi Arabia 2,5

26/34 Score Improved 8/34 Score Declined

SCORE IMPROVED SCORE DECLINED

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Challenges in the OIC Agriculture

Low productivity,

Inefficient use of land and water resources

Inefficient use of agricultural machinery and technologies,

Poor market performance,

Inadequate agricultural planning and strategy making,

Lack of reliable and up-to-date data,

Lack of effective governance

Poor risk management of natural disasters

4. Challenges and Recommendations

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For Building an Interdependent Islamic World

COMCEC STRATEGY Making Cooperation Work

Recommendations

To make efforts to increase agricultural

productivity,

To increase collaboration on information share,

To increase intra-OIC agricultural technology

transfer,

To make efforts to enhance intra‐OIC agricultural

investments,

To increase efficiency of agricultural commodity

markets

4. Challenges and Recommendations

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Agriculture Working Group Meeting

Thank You

September 25th, 2014

Ankara, Turkey

Making Cooperation Work

For Building an Interdependent Islamic World COMCEC STRATEGY