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Maj Zach “Libi” McCarley, USMC VX-31, NAWS China Lake LtCol Tim “Boomer” Jorris, USAF 412 OG/Hypersonics CTF
NAVAIR Public Release SPR-2013-303 Distribution Statement A approved for public release, distribution is unlimited.
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 1
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 5
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 9
12
Problem: Fleet reporting valid attacks on soft targets with enemy walking away unscathed.
Should be a hit ... but NOT!
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303
Rumors of AESA problems
Lots of anecdotal evidence
TOPGUN conducted TAC T&E 3 mil long
2 mils right (8 mil gun dispersion)
Is the software CCIP prediction good or not?
Is it Super Hornet wide or restricted to AESA?
What other factors might affect solution?
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 13
TOPGUN said no (3 mils / 2 mils)
What can I offer to the problem?
Scientific method?
Disciplined flight test?
Statistical significance?
If so, then how do I get results with
statistical significance?
If so, is it operationally significant?
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 14
Ammo M56 / M55 PGU-28 / PGU-27
Software Legacy / Assembly Language / X-Build / 25X HOL / C++ / H8
BAAT (Best Altitude Above Target) Radar / AGR (Air – Ground Ranging) DTED (Digital Terrain Elevation Data)
Radar APG-73 (Legacy) APG-79 /AESA (Active Electronically Scanned Array)
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 15
Ammo M56 / M55 PGU-28 / PGU-27
Software Legacy / Assembly Language / X-Build / 25X HOL / C++ / H8
BAAT Radar (AGR) DTED
Radar APG-73 APG-79
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 17
Jet type runs with ammo type
PGU-28 M56 PGU-27 all ammo
25X APG-73 AGR (no Legacy AESA) 5 5 5 15
25X APG-73 AGR (no Legacy AESA) 5 5 5 15
25X APG-73 AGR (no Legacy AESA) 5 5 5 15
25X APG-73 DTED (no Legacy AESA) 5 5 5 15
25X APG-73 DTED (no Legacy AESA) 5 5 5 15
25X APG-73 DTED (no Legacy AESA) 5 5 5 15
H8 APG-73 AGR 5 5 5 15
H8 APG-73 AGR 5 5 5 15
H8 APG-73 AGR 5 5 5 15
H8 APG-73 DTED 5 5 5 15
H8 APG-73 DTED 5 5 5 15
H8 APG-73 DTED 5 5 5 15
H8 AESA AGR 5 5 5 15
H8 AESA AGR 5 5 5 15
H8 AESA AGR 5 5 5 15
H8 AESA DTED 5 5 5 15
H8 AESA DTED 5 5 5 15
H8 AESA DTED 5 5 5 15
total runs 90 90 90
sorties 18 18 18
rounds per sorties 250 250 250
total rounds 4500 4500 4500
Run 1/2 AGR and 1/2 DTED -> 12 runs each way -> stat sig both ways
∑ = 54 sorties?
Config:
A
B
C
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 18
Y = A (ammo) + B (BAAT) + RS + A·B + A·RS + B·RS
RS -Radar/SW
B-B
AA
T
80 Runs = 10 sorties
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 19
Y = A (ammo) + B (BAAT) + RS + A·B + A·RS + B·RS
B-B
AA
T
RS-Radar/SW
54 Sorties 10 Sorties 6 Sorties!
95% Confidence 80% Power
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 25
winds
temperature
pressure
pilot
aircraft
cannon
ammunition lot
slant range
dive angle
airspeed NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 26
winds
temperature
pressure
pilot
aircraft
cannon
ammunition lot
slant range
dive angle
airspeed
Measure
Standardize
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 27
Ammo
Profile
Data requirements
Hits
Aim Point
Range
Bullet Count
Wind
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 28
Combat
M56 High explosive incendiary (HEI)
PGU-28 Semi-armor piercing high explosive incendiary (SAPHEI)
Training
M55
PGU-27
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 29
IRSSS is an acoustic-based scoring system for supersonic projectiles
System consists of:
Microphone array in front of the strafing target(s)
Downrange equipment rack hardwired to the target microphones
Outdoor-mounted weather station adjacent to the downrange rack
Scoring console remote from the range
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 33
• Mach Angle = sin-1(c / Vp)
• Lateral Velocity VL = Vp * tan() = c / cos()
c
Vp
VL
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 34
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
He
ig
ht A
bo
ve
T
ra
ns
du
ce
rs
(ft)
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Dist. From Center of Transducers (ft)
T1 T2 T3
T1-T2 T2-T3 T1-T3
Projectile Passing Thru Point 2
Point 2
(-12.5, 12 .99)
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 35
Operational Significant
Operational Significant
Operational Significance
Operational Significance
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 46
Instrumentation
SW Tools
Measuring hits
Measuring aim point
Stats – Design Expert
Results
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 48
RS
Op
erat
ion
al S
ign
ific
ance
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 56 Statistical Significance ≠ Operational Significance
Boeing explained wind compensation
Software modification in progress
H12 SCS around 2014 release
Procedural / Tactical options based on insight
Weapons Schools
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 61
Design of Experiments ≠ Test Methodology
See the target
Extracting HUD video data
Analysis data between flights
Gun Malfunction
Target Visibility
Winds
Statistical Significance may ≠ Operational
Significance
Statistical Significance = Defensible Results
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 62
NAVAIR public release SPR-2013-303 64
Maj Zach “Libi” McCarley, USMC [email protected] [email protected] LtCol Tim “Boomer” Jorris, USAF [email protected] [email protected]