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1 leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi M makroekonomika

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M makroekonomika. leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi. leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi. ra aris ekonomikuri cikli ?. ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: M     makroekonomika

1

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

M

makroekonomika

Page 2: M     makroekonomika

ekonomikuri ryevebi - ekonomikuri meqanizmi arc Tu stabiluri sistemaa da iseTi sidide, rogorc erToblivi gamoSvebis moculobaa, umuSevrobis done, finansuri bazris indikatorebi da sxva, SeiZleba ganicdides ryevebs. ekonomikuri ryevebi gviCvenebs ekonomikuri zrdis saerTo tendenciis mimarT erToblivi moTxovnisa da erToblivi miwodebis wonasworobis cvlilebas droSi, sawarmoo simZlavreebisa da SromiTi resursebis sxvadasxva xarisxiT gamoyenebis pirobebSi. misi mTavari maxasiaTebelia ekonomikuri zrdis tempis maCvenebeli.

ekonomikuri ryevebisas ganasxvaveben trends. trendi gviCvenebs ekonomikuri zrdis saerTo tendencias, igi aris faqtorebis zemoqmedebis Sedegi, romelic ganapirobebs grZelvadian ekonomikur zrdas. xolo ekonomikuri cikli aris droebiTi gadaxra am tendenciidan da misi ganmapirobebeli faqtorebi gavlenas ar axdenen grZelvadian ekonomikur trendze.

2

ra aris ekonomikuri cikli?

ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

Page 3: M     makroekonomika

Y

t

y(t)

1 2 3 4

ekonomikuri ciklis fazebi

yoveli ekonomikuri cikli iwyeba saqmiani aqtivobis yvelaze dabali wertilidan da erTi sruli ekonomikuri cikli moicavs periodebs dacemidan dacemamde(anu roca mSp mocemul periodSi minimalur mniSvnelobas aRwevs)ekonomikuri cikli oTxi fazisgan Sedgeba:

1. aRmavloba – roca ekonomika brundeba wonasworuli zrdis mdgomareobaSi;

2. eqspansia(bumi) – mSp izrdeba miuxedavad sruli dasaqmebisa. izrdeba moTxovna incesticiebze, umuSevroba mcirdeba Tavis bunebriv doneze dabla. izrdeba fasebi, xelfasebi da saprocento ganakveTebi;

3. recesia(krzisi) – mcirdeba warmoebis moculoba, izrdeba umuSevroba da mcirdeba erToblivi moTxovna;

4. depresia – mSp agrZelebs Semcirebas magram Semcirebis tempebi neldeba;

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi

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4

statistikuri monacemebi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

umuSevrobis done aSS-Si (1995-2008 wlebSi)

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

s r u l i d a s a q m e b i s d o n e

%

recesia

bumi

Page 5: M     makroekonomika

5

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

%

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

realuri mTliani Sida produqtis zrdis tempebi aSS-Si(1990-2008 wlebSi)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

statistikuri monacemebi

Page 6: M     makroekonomika

6

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

realuri mTliani Sida produqtis zrdis tempebi aSS-Si(2006-2008 wlebSi)

2006 I 2006 II 2006 III 2006 IV 2007 I 2007 II 2007 III 2007 IV 2008 I 2008 II 2008 III 2008 IV

statistikuri monacemebi

Page 7: M     makroekonomika

ekonomikuri ciklis gamomwvevi mizezebi

7

ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi

Tu ra faqtorebma SeiZleba gamoiwvios ekonomikuri ryevebi, ganasxvaveben ori ZiriTadi tipis Soks:

realuri Sokebi:kerZo seqtoris moTxovnis Sokebi – moicavs cvlilebebs

kerZo seqtoris investiciur da samomxmareblo xarjebSi, romelic gamowveulia kerZo seqoris subieqtTa momavlisadmi pesimistur Tu optimistir molodinebTan.

miwodebis Sokebi – gavlenas axdens ekonomikuri sistemis sawarmoo mxareze.

politikuri Sokebi – warmoadgens saxelisuflebo struqturebis mier, makroekonomikur doneze gadawyvetilebaTa gevlenas ekonomikuri zrdis tempebze.(fiskaluri Soki)

nominaluri Sokebi – fulis miwodebis da fulze moTxovnis Sokebi.

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

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8

erToblivi moTxovna (AD)

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

i

YP

Y

IS

LM0 LM1

P1

Y1

Y1

i1

Y0

Y0

P0

i0

AD

AD-mrudi

P

M

P

M

Semdgomi analizisaTvis avagoT grafiki, romelic ermaneTTan daakavSirebs fasebis donesa(P) da gamoSvebis moculobas(Y) – miRebul funqcias erToblivi moTxovnis(AD) funqcia ewodeba.

Cven SegviZlia avagoT igi IS-LM modelidan gamomdinare.

gavixsenoT rom IS modelic erToblivi moTxovnis wonasworul mniSvnelobebs gamoxatavs. LM mrudis gadaadgilebis erTerTi mizezi realuri fulis maragebis donis cvlilebaa. realuri fulis maragebi izrdeba Tu fasebis done mcirdeba, Sedegad LM mrudi gadaadgileba marjvniv iwvevs gamoSvebis moculobis Semcirebas da piriqiT. maSsadame vRebulbT AD mruds.

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erToblivi moTxovna (AD)

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

i

YP

Y

IS

LM0 LM1

Y0

Y0

P0

i0

AD-mrudis gadaadgileba – fulis masis zrda

P

M

P

M

Y1

Y1

i1

AD0

AD1

Tuki LM mrudi gadaadgileba ara fasebis cvlilebis gamo aramed fulis nominaluri masis cvlilebis gamo(rac aseve realuri fulis maragebis cvlilebas iwvevs) maSin AD mrudze ki ar gadavadgildebiT, aramed AD mrudi gadaadgildeba.

fulis nominaluri masis zrda moklevadian periodSi(roca fasebi xistia) iwvevs erToblivi moTxovnis zrdas da AD mrudi gadaadgildeba marjvniv mocemuli fasebis donis pirobebSi.

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erToblivi moTxovna (AD)

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

i

YP

Y

IS0

LM0

Y1Y0

Y1Y0

P0

i1i0

AD0

AD-mrudis gadaadgileba – erToblivi moTxovnis zrda

IS1

AD1

rogorc viciT avtonomiuri xarjebis cvlileba iwvevs IS mrudis gadaadgilebas. IS mrudis gadaadgileba niSnavs erToblivi moTxovnis cvlilebas, maSasadame AD mrudi gadaadgildeba mocemuli fasebis donis pirobebSi.

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AD-AS modeli

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY0

P0

AD

wonasworoba AD-AS modelSi

LRAS

SRAS

erToblivi miwodebis mrudi(AS) moklevadian periodSi radgan fasebi xistia, mwarmoeblebi afarToveben

TavianT warmoebas, im pirobebSi roca fasebis done ar icvleba - amitom moklevadiani miwodebis mrudi - SRAS –horizontaluria. (warmoebis zrdis stimul saprocento ganakveTis Semcirebaa)

grZelvadian periodSi radgan fasebi elastikuria, amitom mwarmoeblebi fasebis donis zrdis miuxedavad warmnoebis moculobas ver cvlian. amitom grZelvadiani miwodebis mrudi - LRAS –vertikaluria.

ekonomika grZelvadian wonasworobaSi imyofeaba, maSin roca wonasworoba miRweulia rogorc grZel ise moklevadian periodebSi. Cvens SemTxvevaSi aseTi wonasworuli wertilia (P0, Y0).

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realuri Sokebi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY

P0

AD0

kerZo seqtoris moTxovnis Sokebi (moTxovnis Soki)

LRAS

SRAS

Y1

P1

moTxovnis Soki gulisxmobs avtobomiuri xarjebis moulodnel cvlilebas sazogadoebaSi optimisturi Tu pesimisturi molodinebidan gamomdinare. avtonomiuri xarjebis cvleleba gulisxmobs rogorc kerZo moxmarebis ise kerZo investiciebis cvlilebas. Cvens SemTxvevaSi avtonomiuri xarjebi mcirdeba momavlisadmi pesimisturi ganwyobis gamo rac erToblivi moTxovnis Semcirebas iwvevs – radgan moklevadian periodSi fasebi xistia pesimisturi ganwyobis gamo

gaizrdeba fulze moTxovna, rogorc qonebaze da Semciredaba fulze moTxovn garigebebisaTvi. es Seamcirebs garigebebis moculobas, Semcirdeba firmebis Semosavlebi, Sedegad isini Samcireben dasaqmebas bunebriv doneze dabla.

grZelvadian periodSii fasebis moqnilobis gamo fasebi Semcirdeba gaizrdeba realuri fulis maragebi, rac saSualebas miscems mwarmoeblebs aRadginon warmoebis moculoba.

AD1

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realuri Sokebi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY0

P0

AD

miwodebis Sokebi

LRAS0

SRAS0

i

Y

IS

LM0

FE

SRAS1

LM1

i0

miwodebis Soki dakavSirebulia warmoebis faqrotorbis cvlilebasTan. Tu mcirdeba mwarmoebluroba, Tu mcirdeba mosaxleoba da maSasademe Sromis raodenoba anda Tu izrdefa fasebi warmoebis faqtorebze (magaliTad navtobze) da sxva.

• magaliTad Tu mcirdeba Sromis raodeboba maSin mcirdeba sruli dasaqmebis done da warmoebis potenciuri mniSvneloba(FE da LRAS mrudebi gadmoadgildebian marcxniv) Sedegad ekonomikaSi aRmoCndeba Warbi fulis masa, rac gamoiwvevs fasebis zrdas, realiri fulis maragebis Secirebas da LM da SRAS mrudebis marcxniv da zemoT gadaadgilebas. Sedegad fasebi gaizrdeba da warmoebis moculoba Semcirdeba.

• igive moxdeba Tu warmoebis faqtorebis fasebi gaizrdeba.

FE,

Y1

LRAS1

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leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY0

P0

AD’

fiskaluri Sokebi

LRAS’

SRAS

Y1

LRAS

SRAS’

i

Y

LM

FELM’

realuri Sokebi

IS’

FE,

IS

AD

P1

saxelmwifio xarjebis droebiT zrda zrdis sazogadoebis mimdinare an momaval gadasaxadebs. Sedegad adamianebi Tavs ufro Raribebad grZnoben da zrdian Sronis miwodebas ufro dabali xelfasis pirobebSi, rac zrdis sruli dasaqmebis dones . agreTve gadaadgildeba IS mrudi da izrdeba warmoebis potenciur donec rac gadaagilebs erToblivi miwodebis mruds grZelvadian periodSi .

vinaidan A wertili grZelvadiani wonasworobis marjvniv mdebareobs, amitom erToblivi moTxovna metia miwodebaze Sedegad grZelvadian periodSi fasebi izrdeba ( mrudi gadaadgildeba zemoT) ris gamoc mcirdeba realuri fulis maragebi (LM mrudi gadmoadgildeba marcxniv) Sedegad myardeba wonasworoba ufro maRali gamoSvebis moculobis, saprocento ganakveTis da fasebis donis pirobebSi.

FEFE

SLRALRAS

SRAS

i0

i2i1

A

A

ΔG

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nominaluri Sokebi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY

P0

AD

arasrulyofili informaciis modeli

LRAS SRAS

roca ekonomikaSi fasebi izrdeba mwarmoeblebi mas sxvadasxva gvarad afaseben:1. SeiZleba adgili hqondes fasebis saerTo donis cvlilebas(inflacias);2. SeiZleba adgili hqondes fardobiTi fasebis cvlilebas(anu sxva saqonelTan da

momsaxurebasTa SedarebiT, izrdeba mocemuli sawarmos saqonelasa da momsaxurebaze fasebi masze gazrdilimoTxovnis gamo)

vinaidan mwarmoeblebi ar floben srulyofil informacias Tu ra xdeba sxva dargebSi da sxva sawarmoebSi, isini Tvlian rom adgili hqonda nawilobriv inflacia da nawilobriv fasebis fardobiTi

donis cvlilebas. amitom mwarmoeblebi fasebis zrdisas zrdian warmobis moculobas. Sedegad moklevadiani miwodebis mrudi SRAS - daxrili iqneba dadebiTad (fasebis zrda zrdis warmoebis moculobas).

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nominaluri Sokebi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY

P0

AD

fulis masis moulodneli cvlileba

LRAS

SRAS

SRAS’

dauSvaT ekonomika imyofeba E wertilSi da saxelmwifo zrdi fulis miwodebas. es iwvevs AD mrudi gadaadgilebas marjvniv erTis mxriv investiciuri da meores mxriv samomxmareblo moTxovmnis zrdis gamo. es ukanaskneli iwvevs fasebis zrdas. Tu mwarmoeblebi ar floben informacia fulis masis zrdis Sesaxeb, maSin isini Tvlian rom adgili hqonda fasebis fardobiTi donis cvlilebas. amitom mwarmoeblebi fasebis zrdisas zrdian warmobis moculobas da dasaqmebas(xelfasis zrdiT). ekonomika gadadis F wertilSi. magram roca isini aRmoaCenen rom fasebis zrda nominaluri faqtoriT iyo gamowveuli da

ara realuriT da rom F wertilSi warmoebis moculobis pirobebSi maTi realuri Semosavali Semcirda(nominaluri gaizarda). maSin gazrdian fasebs da amcireben dasaqmenas da warmoebis moculobas. ekonomika gadadis H wertilSi.

AD’

EP1

Y’

FP2

H

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nominaluri Sokebi

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

P

YY

P0

AD

fulis masis mosalodneli cvlileba

LRAS

SRAS

SRAS’

dauSvaT ekonomika imyofeba E wertilSi da saxelmwifo zrdi fulis miwodebas. es iwvevs AD mrudi gadaadgilebas marjvniv. es ukanaskneli iwvevs fasebis zrdas. Tu mwarmoeblebi floben informacia fulis masis zrdis Sesaxeb, maSin isini Tvlian rom adgili hqonda saerTo fasebis donis cvlilebas. amitom fasebi gaizrdeba da warmoebis mocuoba ar SeiCvleba. SRAS mrudi gadaadgildeba zemoT da ekonomika gadava pirdapir H wertilSi.

AD’

E

P1H

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ekonomikuri ciklis Sinagani buneba

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

hansenis ekonomikuri ciklis Teoria e. hansenma gamoyo sul mcire oTxi cikluri ryevebis modeli:1. “mcire ciklebi” – 2-dan 3 wlamde xangrZlivobis, warmoiqmneba sabrunavi

kapitalis araTanabari kvlavwarmoebis gamo (sasaqonlo maragebSi kapitaldabandebaTa gamo).

2. “didi ciklebi” – 6-dan 13 wlamde xangrZlivobis, warmoiqmneba ZiriTad kapitalSi araTanabari kapitaldabandebaTa gamo.

3. “samSeneblo ciklebi” – 17-dan 18 wlamde xangrZlivobis, misi Sinaarsi mdgomareobs imaSi, rom roca izrdeba moTxovna binebze, am moTxovnis dakmayofileba sakmaod didi drois Semdeg xorcieldeba, ris gamoc am bazarze upirveles yovlisa adgili aqvs Warbwarmoebas. meores mxriv, sanam binaTmSeneblobis bazari am faqtis winaSe aRmoCndeba, igi astimulirebs sxva dargebSic Warbwarmoebas (zogan pirdapiri, zogan iribi kavSiriT). Warbwarmoebis Sedegi ioTekur bazarze fasebis mkveTr dacemaSi gamoixateba. Sedegad kotrdebian samSeneblo kompaniebi, uZravi qonebiT movaWreni da sxva am bazris monawile agentebi. am bazarze arsebuli krizisi gadaecema mTel ekonomikas.

4. “saukuno cikluri talRebi” – naxevar saukunovani da meti xangrZlivobis. igi gamowveulia teqnologiebSi fundamentaluri cvlilebebiT.

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ekonomikuri ciklis Sinagani buneba

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

hansenis ekonomikuri ciklis Teoria rogorc naxeT, ekonomikuri ciklis gamomwvevi mizezi ZiriTadad araTanabari

kapitaldabandebebia sasaqonlo-materialur maragebSi, ZiriTad kapitalSi mSeneblobaSi da a.S. magram ra iwvevs Tavad investciebis uTanabrobas?

- rogorc viciT avtonomiuri investiciebis zrda(romlis mTavari mizezic aris mecnierul teqnikuri progresi, aseve demografiuli cvlilebebi, romelic gavlenas axdens Sromis bazarze da sxva) avtonomiuri xarjebis multiplikatoris efeqtis gamo zrdis erTobliv moTxovnas, Tuki ekonomikaSi arsebobs damatebiti simZlevreebi(anu Tu ekonomika ar imyofeba sruli dasaqmebis doneze). amasTn erToblivi moTxovna(Y) izrdeba ufro metad vidre Tavad investiciebis sididea ufro konkretulad ki avtonomiuri xarjebis multiplikatoris sididiT.

erToblivi moTxovnis zrda ki Tavismxriv sanam ekonomika axal wonasworobaSi gadava iwvevs investiciebis stimulirebas amas aqseleratoris efeqti hqvia. amitom investiciebi kidev ufr metad zrda erToblivi moTxovnis kidev ufro metad zrdas iwvevs, rac kidev astimulirebs investiciebs da a.S. Sedegad ekonomika pikisken midis da iwyeba e.w. bumi. es meqanizmi warmoSobs wonasworuli mniSvnelobidan gadaxris pirobebSi “midevneba-CamorCenis” efeqtis Sedegad ekonomikSi Tavisi wonasworuli mniSvnelobis irgvliv warmoiqmneba ryevebi.

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ekonomikuri ciklis Sinagani buneba

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

stimulirebuli bumi – monetaruli impulsi Tu erovnuli banki zrdibs fulis miwodebas, es iwvevs saprocento ganakveTis

Semcirebas da bazris impulsebi migvaniSneben rom adamianebi TiTqos mets zogaven, magram, sinamdvileSi es impulsebi asaxaven centraluri bankis aqtiur politikas. saqme exeba ara sabazro ekonomikas, aramed centralur banks.

am gadawyvetilebas mivyavarT sakredito resursebis miwodebis zrdisken. es ukve aRar aris dafuZnebuli danazogebis zrdaze, aramed wmindad monetaruli saxe aqvs. sawyis momentSi iZleva, roca saprocento ganakveTi mcirdeba investirebis zrda xdeba danazogebis Semcirebis kvalad, radgan saprocento ganakveTis Semcirebisas danazogebis mcirdeba. radgan ekonomikaSi zogaven cotas da sainvesticio maTxovna ki maRalia. erT mxares dganan investorebi, romlebic bevr investiciebs gaiReben ufro grZelvadiani periodisaTvis, xolo meore mxares momxmareblebi, romlebic amis SesaZleblobas SeuZlebels xdian, da Tan piriqiT zrdian mimdinare moxmarebas, radgan saprocento ganakveTis Semcireba maTi danazogebis Semcirebas iwvevs. amave dros investorebi iReben gadawyvetilebebs, romlebic gaTvlilia resursuli fondis met sidideze - da rodesac xdeba naTeli, rom dawyebuli sainvesticio proeqtebi dasrulebuli veRar iqneba iwyeba krizisi da vardna.

Page 21: M     makroekonomika

ZiriTadi cnebebi da sakiTxebi

• ekonomikuri ryevebi• ekonomikuri ciklio aRmavlobao eqspansia(bumi)o recesi(krizisi)o depresia• trendi

• erToblivi moTxovna(AD)• erToblivi miwodeba(AS)• grzelvadiani periodis erToblivi

miwodeba(LRAS)• moklevadiani periodis erToblivi

miwodeba(SRAS)

leqcia 7 -saerTo ekonomikuri wonasworoba grZel da moklevadian periodebSi

• realuri Sokebi:o moTxovnis Sokio miwodebis Sokio politikuri Soki(fiskaluri

Soki)• nominaluri Sokebi:o fulis masis cvlileba;

• mcire ciklebi• didi ciklebi• samSeneblo ciklebi• saukuno cikluri talRebi

• aqseletaratoris efeqti

• stimulirebuli bumi

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22

M makroekonomika

damatebiTi masalakrafti-vaizes Taoria

nikoloz ostapenko

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krafti-vaizes modeli

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

krafti-vaizes modeli krfti-vaizes modeli ekonomikuri ryevevi ixsneba makroekonomikuri

subieqtebis strategiis cvlilebiT. Teoria iyenebs TamaSTa Teoriis elementebs.

dauSvaT ekonomika Sesdgeba mxolod saojaxo meurneobebisagan da mwarmoeblebisagan. maSin:

o mwarmoeblebis stratega daiyvaneba didi moculobis investiciebidan(I+) mcire moculobis investicebze(I_) gadasvlaze da piriqiT.

o saojaxo meurneobebis stratega daiyvaneba maRali xelfasidan(W+) dabal xelfasze(W_) gadasvlaze da piriqiT.

W_ W+

I+ I II

I= III IV

saoj axo meur neobebi s st r at egi a

mwaar moebl ebi s st r at egi a

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krafti-vaizes modeli

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

krafti-vaizes modeli

I. I situaciis dros dabali xelfasis da maRali investiciebis pirobebSi. dasaqmeba iqneba Warbi da Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba maRali, dabali xelfasis miuxedavad. maRali saxelfaso fondi da maRali investiciebis done qmnis maRal erTobliv moTxovnas. dabali xeldasebis gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT maRali mogeba;

II. II situaciis dros maqsimaluri xelfasis da maRali investiciebis pirobebSi. ekonomika iqneba sruli dasaqmebis doneze. Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba maRali, xolo maqsimaluri xelfasebis gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT minimaluri mogeba;

III. III situaciis dros minimaluri xelfasis da dabali investiciebis pirobebSi. ekonomikaSi iqneba arsruli dasaqmeba. Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba minimaluri, ris gamoc gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT maqsimaluri mogeba;

IV. IV situaciis dros maRali xelfasis da dabali investiciebis pirobebSi. ekonomikaSi iqneba minimaluri dasaqmeba. Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba maRali, ris gamoc gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT dabali mogeba;

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krafti-vaizes modeli

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

krafti-vaizes modelSi ekonomikis mdgomareobis maxasiaTebeli cxrili

situacia dasaqmeba xelfasi saxelfaso fondi

gasanawilebeli mogeba

I Warbi dabali didi didi

II sruli maqsimaluri maqsimaluri minimaluri

III arasruli minimaluri minimaluri maqsimaluri

IV minimaluri maRali mcire mcire

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krafti-vaizes modeli

leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi

krafti-vaizes modeli sawyis etapze mwarmoeblebs strategia daefuZneba gasanawilebel

mogebas. es SegviZlia Semdegnairad CavweroT: saojaxo meurneobebis stradegia daefuZneba saxelfaso fondis sidides. es

SegviZlia Semdegnairad CavweroT: orive subieqtma icis erTmaneTis strategia.

amitom saojaxo meurneobebi fiqroben ase: Tu isini airCeven dabal xelfass, maSin ori I da III variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven III, da Tu airCeven maRal xelfas, maSin ori II da IV variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven IV. amitom ekonomika iqneba IV situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba dabali dasaqmebiT da mcire gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.

IIIVIIIIU f :0

IIIIVIIIUh :0

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krafti-vaizes modeli Tu aseTi siruacia didxans gadrZelda saojaxo meurneobebi gadaxedaven

TAvianT strategias da aqcents dasaqmebaze gadaitaneb Sedegad mti strategia miirebs Semdeg saxes:

vinaidan mwarmoebleblebi ar cvlian TavianT srtategia. imave dilemdan gamomdinaresaojaxo meurneobebi airCeven dabal xelfass

vinaidan mwarmoebleblebi ar cvlian TavianT srtategia. imave dilemdan gamomdinaresaojaxo meurneobebi airCeven dabal xelfass, maSin ori I da III variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven III, amitom ekonomika iqneba III situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba arasruli dasaqmebiT da maqsimaluri gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.

IVIIIIIIUh :1

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krafti-vaizes modeli radgan mwarmoebleb gaezrdebaT mogeba momavlisadmi optimisturi

molodinis gamo airCeven investiciebis gazrdis strategias, rac aqcents dasaqmebis zrdaze gaakeTebinebs da Secvlis maT strategia Semdegnairad:

vinaidan mwarmoebleblebis da saojaxo meurneobebis strategiebi Tanxvdeba, amitom ekonomika iqneba I situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba Warbi dasaqmebiT da maRali gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.

IVIIIIIIU f :1

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krafti-vaizes modeli roca saojaxo meurneobebi aRmoaCenen rom dasaqmeba maRalia isini

daubrundebian Tavis pirvandel maRali xelfasis strategias.

amitom Tu saojaxo meurneobebi airCeven maRal xelfas, maSin ori II da IV variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven II. amitom ekonomika iqneba II situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba sruli dasaqmebiT da minimaluri gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.

II situaciaSi vinaidan mwarmoeblebis mogeba mcireba isini Secvlian strategia da daubrundebisntavianT pitvendel maRali gasanawilebeli mogebis strategias . amitom ekonomikaSi kvlev IV situacia dadgeba. Sedegad msgavsi scenari kvlev ganmeurdeba.

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