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M makroekonomika. leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi. leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi. ra aris ekonomikuri cikli ?. ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
M
makroekonomika
ekonomikuri ryevebi - ekonomikuri meqanizmi arc Tu stabiluri sistemaa da iseTi sidide, rogorc erToblivi gamoSvebis moculobaa, umuSevrobis done, finansuri bazris indikatorebi da sxva, SeiZleba ganicdides ryevebs. ekonomikuri ryevebi gviCvenebs ekonomikuri zrdis saerTo tendenciis mimarT erToblivi moTxovnisa da erToblivi miwodebis wonasworobis cvlilebas droSi, sawarmoo simZlavreebisa da SromiTi resursebis sxvadasxva xarisxiT gamoyenebis pirobebSi. misi mTavari maxasiaTebelia ekonomikuri zrdis tempis maCvenebeli.
ekonomikuri ryevebisas ganasxvaveben trends. trendi gviCvenebs ekonomikuri zrdis saerTo tendencias, igi aris faqtorebis zemoqmedebis Sedegi, romelic ganapirobebs grZelvadian ekonomikur zrdas. xolo ekonomikuri cikli aris droebiTi gadaxra am tendenciidan da misi ganmapirobebeli faqtorebi gavlenas ar axdenen grZelvadian ekonomikur trendze.
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ra aris ekonomikuri cikli?
ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
Y
t
y(t)
1 2 3 4
ekonomikuri ciklis fazebi
yoveli ekonomikuri cikli iwyeba saqmiani aqtivobis yvelaze dabali wertilidan da erTi sruli ekonomikuri cikli moicavs periodebs dacemidan dacemamde(anu roca mSp mocemul periodSi minimalur mniSvnelobas aRwevs)ekonomikuri cikli oTxi fazisgan Sedgeba:
1. aRmavloba – roca ekonomika brundeba wonasworuli zrdis mdgomareobaSi;
2. eqspansia(bumi) – mSp izrdeba miuxedavad sruli dasaqmebisa. izrdeba moTxovna incesticiebze, umuSevroba mcirdeba Tavis bunebriv doneze dabla. izrdeba fasebi, xelfasebi da saprocento ganakveTebi;
3. recesia(krzisi) – mcirdeba warmoebis moculoba, izrdeba umuSevroba da mcirdeba erToblivi moTxovna;
4. depresia – mSp agrZelebs Semcirebas magram Semcirebis tempebi neldeba;
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi
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statistikuri monacemebi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
umuSevrobis done aSS-Si (1995-2008 wlebSi)
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
s r u l i d a s a q m e b i s d o n e
%
recesia
bumi
5
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
%
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
realuri mTliani Sida produqtis zrdis tempebi aSS-Si(1990-2008 wlebSi)
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
statistikuri monacemebi
6
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
realuri mTliani Sida produqtis zrdis tempebi aSS-Si(2006-2008 wlebSi)
2006 I 2006 II 2006 III 2006 IV 2007 I 2007 II 2007 III 2007 IV 2008 I 2008 II 2008 III 2008 IV
statistikuri monacemebi
ekonomikuri ciklis gamomwvevi mizezebi
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ekonomikuri ciklis Sinaarsi
Tu ra faqtorebma SeiZleba gamoiwvios ekonomikuri ryevebi, ganasxvaveben ori ZiriTadi tipis Soks:
realuri Sokebi:kerZo seqtoris moTxovnis Sokebi – moicavs cvlilebebs
kerZo seqtoris investiciur da samomxmareblo xarjebSi, romelic gamowveulia kerZo seqoris subieqtTa momavlisadmi pesimistur Tu optimistir molodinebTan.
miwodebis Sokebi – gavlenas axdens ekonomikuri sistemis sawarmoo mxareze.
politikuri Sokebi – warmoadgens saxelisuflebo struqturebis mier, makroekonomikur doneze gadawyvetilebaTa gevlenas ekonomikuri zrdis tempebze.(fiskaluri Soki)
nominaluri Sokebi – fulis miwodebis da fulze moTxovnis Sokebi.
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
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erToblivi moTxovna (AD)
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
i
YP
Y
IS
LM0 LM1
P1
Y1
Y1
i1
Y0
Y0
P0
i0
AD
AD-mrudi
P
M
P
M
Semdgomi analizisaTvis avagoT grafiki, romelic ermaneTTan daakavSirebs fasebis donesa(P) da gamoSvebis moculobas(Y) – miRebul funqcias erToblivi moTxovnis(AD) funqcia ewodeba.
Cven SegviZlia avagoT igi IS-LM modelidan gamomdinare.
gavixsenoT rom IS modelic erToblivi moTxovnis wonasworul mniSvnelobebs gamoxatavs. LM mrudis gadaadgilebis erTerTi mizezi realuri fulis maragebis donis cvlilebaa. realuri fulis maragebi izrdeba Tu fasebis done mcirdeba, Sedegad LM mrudi gadaadgileba marjvniv iwvevs gamoSvebis moculobis Semcirebas da piriqiT. maSsadame vRebulbT AD mruds.
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erToblivi moTxovna (AD)
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
i
YP
Y
IS
LM0 LM1
Y0
Y0
P0
i0
AD-mrudis gadaadgileba – fulis masis zrda
P
M
P
M
Y1
Y1
i1
AD0
AD1
Tuki LM mrudi gadaadgileba ara fasebis cvlilebis gamo aramed fulis nominaluri masis cvlilebis gamo(rac aseve realuri fulis maragebis cvlilebas iwvevs) maSin AD mrudze ki ar gadavadgildebiT, aramed AD mrudi gadaadgildeba.
fulis nominaluri masis zrda moklevadian periodSi(roca fasebi xistia) iwvevs erToblivi moTxovnis zrdas da AD mrudi gadaadgildeba marjvniv mocemuli fasebis donis pirobebSi.
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erToblivi moTxovna (AD)
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
i
YP
Y
IS0
LM0
Y1Y0
Y1Y0
P0
i1i0
AD0
AD-mrudis gadaadgileba – erToblivi moTxovnis zrda
IS1
AD1
rogorc viciT avtonomiuri xarjebis cvlileba iwvevs IS mrudis gadaadgilebas. IS mrudis gadaadgileba niSnavs erToblivi moTxovnis cvlilebas, maSasadame AD mrudi gadaadgildeba mocemuli fasebis donis pirobebSi.
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AD-AS modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY0
P0
AD
wonasworoba AD-AS modelSi
LRAS
SRAS
erToblivi miwodebis mrudi(AS) moklevadian periodSi radgan fasebi xistia, mwarmoeblebi afarToveben
TavianT warmoebas, im pirobebSi roca fasebis done ar icvleba - amitom moklevadiani miwodebis mrudi - SRAS –horizontaluria. (warmoebis zrdis stimul saprocento ganakveTis Semcirebaa)
grZelvadian periodSi radgan fasebi elastikuria, amitom mwarmoeblebi fasebis donis zrdis miuxedavad warmnoebis moculobas ver cvlian. amitom grZelvadiani miwodebis mrudi - LRAS –vertikaluria.
ekonomika grZelvadian wonasworobaSi imyofeaba, maSin roca wonasworoba miRweulia rogorc grZel ise moklevadian periodebSi. Cvens SemTxvevaSi aseTi wonasworuli wertilia (P0, Y0).
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realuri Sokebi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY
P0
AD0
kerZo seqtoris moTxovnis Sokebi (moTxovnis Soki)
LRAS
SRAS
Y1
P1
moTxovnis Soki gulisxmobs avtobomiuri xarjebis moulodnel cvlilebas sazogadoebaSi optimisturi Tu pesimisturi molodinebidan gamomdinare. avtonomiuri xarjebis cvleleba gulisxmobs rogorc kerZo moxmarebis ise kerZo investiciebis cvlilebas. Cvens SemTxvevaSi avtonomiuri xarjebi mcirdeba momavlisadmi pesimisturi ganwyobis gamo rac erToblivi moTxovnis Semcirebas iwvevs – radgan moklevadian periodSi fasebi xistia pesimisturi ganwyobis gamo
gaizrdeba fulze moTxovna, rogorc qonebaze da Semciredaba fulze moTxovn garigebebisaTvi. es Seamcirebs garigebebis moculobas, Semcirdeba firmebis Semosavlebi, Sedegad isini Samcireben dasaqmebas bunebriv doneze dabla.
grZelvadian periodSii fasebis moqnilobis gamo fasebi Semcirdeba gaizrdeba realuri fulis maragebi, rac saSualebas miscems mwarmoeblebs aRadginon warmoebis moculoba.
AD1
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realuri Sokebi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY0
P0
AD
miwodebis Sokebi
LRAS0
SRAS0
i
Y
IS
LM0
FE
SRAS1
LM1
i0
miwodebis Soki dakavSirebulia warmoebis faqrotorbis cvlilebasTan. Tu mcirdeba mwarmoebluroba, Tu mcirdeba mosaxleoba da maSasademe Sromis raodenoba anda Tu izrdefa fasebi warmoebis faqtorebze (magaliTad navtobze) da sxva.
• magaliTad Tu mcirdeba Sromis raodeboba maSin mcirdeba sruli dasaqmebis done da warmoebis potenciuri mniSvneloba(FE da LRAS mrudebi gadmoadgildebian marcxniv) Sedegad ekonomikaSi aRmoCndeba Warbi fulis masa, rac gamoiwvevs fasebis zrdas, realiri fulis maragebis Secirebas da LM da SRAS mrudebis marcxniv da zemoT gadaadgilebas. Sedegad fasebi gaizrdeba da warmoebis moculoba Semcirdeba.
• igive moxdeba Tu warmoebis faqtorebis fasebi gaizrdeba.
FE,
Y1
LRAS1
14
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY0
P0
AD’
fiskaluri Sokebi
LRAS’
SRAS
Y1
LRAS
SRAS’
i
Y
LM
FELM’
realuri Sokebi
IS’
FE,
IS
AD
P1
saxelmwifio xarjebis droebiT zrda zrdis sazogadoebis mimdinare an momaval gadasaxadebs. Sedegad adamianebi Tavs ufro Raribebad grZnoben da zrdian Sronis miwodebas ufro dabali xelfasis pirobebSi, rac zrdis sruli dasaqmebis dones . agreTve gadaadgildeba IS mrudi da izrdeba warmoebis potenciur donec rac gadaagilebs erToblivi miwodebis mruds grZelvadian periodSi .
vinaidan A wertili grZelvadiani wonasworobis marjvniv mdebareobs, amitom erToblivi moTxovna metia miwodebaze Sedegad grZelvadian periodSi fasebi izrdeba ( mrudi gadaadgildeba zemoT) ris gamoc mcirdeba realuri fulis maragebi (LM mrudi gadmoadgildeba marcxniv) Sedegad myardeba wonasworoba ufro maRali gamoSvebis moculobis, saprocento ganakveTis da fasebis donis pirobebSi.
FEFE
SLRALRAS
SRAS
i0
i2i1
A
A
ΔG
15
nominaluri Sokebi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY
P0
AD
arasrulyofili informaciis modeli
LRAS SRAS
roca ekonomikaSi fasebi izrdeba mwarmoeblebi mas sxvadasxva gvarad afaseben:1. SeiZleba adgili hqondes fasebis saerTo donis cvlilebas(inflacias);2. SeiZleba adgili hqondes fardobiTi fasebis cvlilebas(anu sxva saqonelTan da
momsaxurebasTa SedarebiT, izrdeba mocemuli sawarmos saqonelasa da momsaxurebaze fasebi masze gazrdilimoTxovnis gamo)
vinaidan mwarmoeblebi ar floben srulyofil informacias Tu ra xdeba sxva dargebSi da sxva sawarmoebSi, isini Tvlian rom adgili hqonda nawilobriv inflacia da nawilobriv fasebis fardobiTi
donis cvlilebas. amitom mwarmoeblebi fasebis zrdisas zrdian warmobis moculobas. Sedegad moklevadiani miwodebis mrudi SRAS - daxrili iqneba dadebiTad (fasebis zrda zrdis warmoebis moculobas).
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nominaluri Sokebi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY
P0
AD
fulis masis moulodneli cvlileba
LRAS
SRAS
SRAS’
dauSvaT ekonomika imyofeba E wertilSi da saxelmwifo zrdi fulis miwodebas. es iwvevs AD mrudi gadaadgilebas marjvniv erTis mxriv investiciuri da meores mxriv samomxmareblo moTxovmnis zrdis gamo. es ukanaskneli iwvevs fasebis zrdas. Tu mwarmoeblebi ar floben informacia fulis masis zrdis Sesaxeb, maSin isini Tvlian rom adgili hqonda fasebis fardobiTi donis cvlilebas. amitom mwarmoeblebi fasebis zrdisas zrdian warmobis moculobas da dasaqmebas(xelfasis zrdiT). ekonomika gadadis F wertilSi. magram roca isini aRmoaCenen rom fasebis zrda nominaluri faqtoriT iyo gamowveuli da
ara realuriT da rom F wertilSi warmoebis moculobis pirobebSi maTi realuri Semosavali Semcirda(nominaluri gaizarda). maSin gazrdian fasebs da amcireben dasaqmenas da warmoebis moculobas. ekonomika gadadis H wertilSi.
AD’
EP1
Y’
FP2
H
17
nominaluri Sokebi
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
P
YY
P0
AD
fulis masis mosalodneli cvlileba
LRAS
SRAS
SRAS’
dauSvaT ekonomika imyofeba E wertilSi da saxelmwifo zrdi fulis miwodebas. es iwvevs AD mrudi gadaadgilebas marjvniv. es ukanaskneli iwvevs fasebis zrdas. Tu mwarmoeblebi floben informacia fulis masis zrdis Sesaxeb, maSin isini Tvlian rom adgili hqonda saerTo fasebis donis cvlilebas. amitom fasebi gaizrdeba da warmoebis mocuoba ar SeiCvleba. SRAS mrudi gadaadgildeba zemoT da ekonomika gadava pirdapir H wertilSi.
AD’
E
P1H
18
ekonomikuri ciklis Sinagani buneba
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
hansenis ekonomikuri ciklis Teoria e. hansenma gamoyo sul mcire oTxi cikluri ryevebis modeli:1. “mcire ciklebi” – 2-dan 3 wlamde xangrZlivobis, warmoiqmneba sabrunavi
kapitalis araTanabari kvlavwarmoebis gamo (sasaqonlo maragebSi kapitaldabandebaTa gamo).
2. “didi ciklebi” – 6-dan 13 wlamde xangrZlivobis, warmoiqmneba ZiriTad kapitalSi araTanabari kapitaldabandebaTa gamo.
3. “samSeneblo ciklebi” – 17-dan 18 wlamde xangrZlivobis, misi Sinaarsi mdgomareobs imaSi, rom roca izrdeba moTxovna binebze, am moTxovnis dakmayofileba sakmaod didi drois Semdeg xorcieldeba, ris gamoc am bazarze upirveles yovlisa adgili aqvs Warbwarmoebas. meores mxriv, sanam binaTmSeneblobis bazari am faqtis winaSe aRmoCndeba, igi astimulirebs sxva dargebSic Warbwarmoebas (zogan pirdapiri, zogan iribi kavSiriT). Warbwarmoebis Sedegi ioTekur bazarze fasebis mkveTr dacemaSi gamoixateba. Sedegad kotrdebian samSeneblo kompaniebi, uZravi qonebiT movaWreni da sxva am bazris monawile agentebi. am bazarze arsebuli krizisi gadaecema mTel ekonomikas.
4. “saukuno cikluri talRebi” – naxevar saukunovani da meti xangrZlivobis. igi gamowveulia teqnologiebSi fundamentaluri cvlilebebiT.
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ekonomikuri ciklis Sinagani buneba
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
hansenis ekonomikuri ciklis Teoria rogorc naxeT, ekonomikuri ciklis gamomwvevi mizezi ZiriTadad araTanabari
kapitaldabandebebia sasaqonlo-materialur maragebSi, ZiriTad kapitalSi mSeneblobaSi da a.S. magram ra iwvevs Tavad investciebis uTanabrobas?
- rogorc viciT avtonomiuri investiciebis zrda(romlis mTavari mizezic aris mecnierul teqnikuri progresi, aseve demografiuli cvlilebebi, romelic gavlenas axdens Sromis bazarze da sxva) avtonomiuri xarjebis multiplikatoris efeqtis gamo zrdis erTobliv moTxovnas, Tuki ekonomikaSi arsebobs damatebiti simZlevreebi(anu Tu ekonomika ar imyofeba sruli dasaqmebis doneze). amasTn erToblivi moTxovna(Y) izrdeba ufro metad vidre Tavad investiciebis sididea ufro konkretulad ki avtonomiuri xarjebis multiplikatoris sididiT.
erToblivi moTxovnis zrda ki Tavismxriv sanam ekonomika axal wonasworobaSi gadava iwvevs investiciebis stimulirebas amas aqseleratoris efeqti hqvia. amitom investiciebi kidev ufr metad zrda erToblivi moTxovnis kidev ufro metad zrdas iwvevs, rac kidev astimulirebs investiciebs da a.S. Sedegad ekonomika pikisken midis da iwyeba e.w. bumi. es meqanizmi warmoSobs wonasworuli mniSvnelobidan gadaxris pirobebSi “midevneba-CamorCenis” efeqtis Sedegad ekonomikSi Tavisi wonasworuli mniSvnelobis irgvliv warmoiqmneba ryevebi.
20
ekonomikuri ciklis Sinagani buneba
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
stimulirebuli bumi – monetaruli impulsi Tu erovnuli banki zrdibs fulis miwodebas, es iwvevs saprocento ganakveTis
Semcirebas da bazris impulsebi migvaniSneben rom adamianebi TiTqos mets zogaven, magram, sinamdvileSi es impulsebi asaxaven centraluri bankis aqtiur politikas. saqme exeba ara sabazro ekonomikas, aramed centralur banks.
am gadawyvetilebas mivyavarT sakredito resursebis miwodebis zrdisken. es ukve aRar aris dafuZnebuli danazogebis zrdaze, aramed wmindad monetaruli saxe aqvs. sawyis momentSi iZleva, roca saprocento ganakveTi mcirdeba investirebis zrda xdeba danazogebis Semcirebis kvalad, radgan saprocento ganakveTis Semcirebisas danazogebis mcirdeba. radgan ekonomikaSi zogaven cotas da sainvesticio maTxovna ki maRalia. erT mxares dganan investorebi, romlebic bevr investiciebs gaiReben ufro grZelvadiani periodisaTvis, xolo meore mxares momxmareblebi, romlebic amis SesaZleblobas SeuZlebels xdian, da Tan piriqiT zrdian mimdinare moxmarebas, radgan saprocento ganakveTis Semcireba maTi danazogebis Semcirebas iwvevs. amave dros investorebi iReben gadawyvetilebebs, romlebic gaTvlilia resursuli fondis met sidideze - da rodesac xdeba naTeli, rom dawyebuli sainvesticio proeqtebi dasrulebuli veRar iqneba iwyeba krizisi da vardna.
ZiriTadi cnebebi da sakiTxebi
• ekonomikuri ryevebi• ekonomikuri ciklio aRmavlobao eqspansia(bumi)o recesi(krizisi)o depresia• trendi
• erToblivi moTxovna(AD)• erToblivi miwodeba(AS)• grzelvadiani periodis erToblivi
miwodeba(LRAS)• moklevadiani periodis erToblivi
miwodeba(SRAS)
leqcia 7 -saerTo ekonomikuri wonasworoba grZel da moklevadian periodebSi
• realuri Sokebi:o moTxovnis Sokio miwodebis Sokio politikuri Soki(fiskaluri
Soki)• nominaluri Sokebi:o fulis masis cvlileba;
• mcire ciklebi• didi ciklebi• samSeneblo ciklebi• saukuno cikluri talRebi
• aqseletaratoris efeqti
• stimulirebuli bumi
22
M makroekonomika
damatebiTi masalakrafti-vaizes Taoria
nikoloz ostapenko
23
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modeli krfti-vaizes modeli ekonomikuri ryevevi ixsneba makroekonomikuri
subieqtebis strategiis cvlilebiT. Teoria iyenebs TamaSTa Teoriis elementebs.
dauSvaT ekonomika Sesdgeba mxolod saojaxo meurneobebisagan da mwarmoeblebisagan. maSin:
o mwarmoeblebis stratega daiyvaneba didi moculobis investiciebidan(I+) mcire moculobis investicebze(I_) gadasvlaze da piriqiT.
o saojaxo meurneobebis stratega daiyvaneba maRali xelfasidan(W+) dabal xelfasze(W_) gadasvlaze da piriqiT.
W_ W+
I+ I II
I= III IV
saoj axo meur neobebi s st r at egi a
mwaar moebl ebi s st r at egi a
24
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modeli
I. I situaciis dros dabali xelfasis da maRali investiciebis pirobebSi. dasaqmeba iqneba Warbi da Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba maRali, dabali xelfasis miuxedavad. maRali saxelfaso fondi da maRali investiciebis done qmnis maRal erTobliv moTxovnas. dabali xeldasebis gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT maRali mogeba;
II. II situaciis dros maqsimaluri xelfasis da maRali investiciebis pirobebSi. ekonomika iqneba sruli dasaqmebis doneze. Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba maRali, xolo maqsimaluri xelfasebis gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT minimaluri mogeba;
III. III situaciis dros minimaluri xelfasis da dabali investiciebis pirobebSi. ekonomikaSi iqneba arsruli dasaqmeba. Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba minimaluri, ris gamoc gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT maqsimaluri mogeba;
IV. IV situaciis dros maRali xelfasis da dabali investiciebis pirobebSi. ekonomikaSi iqneba minimaluri dasaqmeba. Sedegad saxelfaso fondi iqneba maRali, ris gamoc gamo mwarmoeblebs eqnebaT dabali mogeba;
25
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modelSi ekonomikis mdgomareobis maxasiaTebeli cxrili
situacia dasaqmeba xelfasi saxelfaso fondi
gasanawilebeli mogeba
I Warbi dabali didi didi
II sruli maqsimaluri maqsimaluri minimaluri
III arasruli minimaluri minimaluri maqsimaluri
IV minimaluri maRali mcire mcire
26
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modeli sawyis etapze mwarmoeblebs strategia daefuZneba gasanawilebel
mogebas. es SegviZlia Semdegnairad CavweroT: saojaxo meurneobebis stradegia daefuZneba saxelfaso fondis sidides. es
SegviZlia Semdegnairad CavweroT: orive subieqtma icis erTmaneTis strategia.
amitom saojaxo meurneobebi fiqroben ase: Tu isini airCeven dabal xelfass, maSin ori I da III variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven III, da Tu airCeven maRal xelfas, maSin ori II da IV variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven IV. amitom ekonomika iqneba IV situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba dabali dasaqmebiT da mcire gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.
IIIVIIIIU f :0
IIIIVIIIUh :0
27
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modeli Tu aseTi siruacia didxans gadrZelda saojaxo meurneobebi gadaxedaven
TAvianT strategias da aqcents dasaqmebaze gadaitaneb Sedegad mti strategia miirebs Semdeg saxes:
vinaidan mwarmoebleblebi ar cvlian TavianT srtategia. imave dilemdan gamomdinaresaojaxo meurneobebi airCeven dabal xelfass
vinaidan mwarmoebleblebi ar cvlian TavianT srtategia. imave dilemdan gamomdinaresaojaxo meurneobebi airCeven dabal xelfass, maSin ori I da III variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven III, amitom ekonomika iqneba III situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba arasruli dasaqmebiT da maqsimaluri gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.
IVIIIIIIUh :1
28
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modeli radgan mwarmoebleb gaezrdebaT mogeba momavlisadmi optimisturi
molodinis gamo airCeven investiciebis gazrdis strategias, rac aqcents dasaqmebis zrdaze gaakeTebinebs da Secvlis maT strategia Semdegnairad:
vinaidan mwarmoebleblebis da saojaxo meurneobebis strategiebi Tanxvdeba, amitom ekonomika iqneba I situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba Warbi dasaqmebiT da maRali gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.
IVIIIIIIU f :1
29
krafti-vaizes modeli
leqcia 8 ekonomikuri ryevebi
krafti-vaizes modeli roca saojaxo meurneobebi aRmoaCenen rom dasaqmeba maRalia isini
daubrundebian Tavis pirvandel maRali xelfasis strategias.
amitom Tu saojaxo meurneobebi airCeven maRal xelfas, maSin ori II da IV variantidan mwarmoeblebi airCeven II. amitom ekonomika iqneba II situciaSi – romelic xasiaTdeba sruli dasaqmebiT da minimaluri gasanawilebeli mogebis sididiT.
II situaciaSi vinaidan mwarmoeblebis mogeba mcireba isini Secvlian strategia da daubrundebisntavianT pitvendel maRali gasanawilebeli mogebis strategias . amitom ekonomikaSi kvlev IV situacia dadgeba. Sedegad msgavsi scenari kvlev ganmeurdeba.
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