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LTE Market overview beyond 2010 Bill Tsao / 曹曹曹 [email protected] Sales Manager Rohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd.

LTE Market overv iew beyond 2010

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LTE Market overv iew beyond 2010. Bill Tsao / 曹維陵 bill.tsao @rohde-schwarz.com Sales Manager Rohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd. Agenda. Wireless t echnology evolution path Wireless Broadband Market status. Wireless t echnology evolution path. 2005/2006. 2009/2010. 2011/2012. 2007/2008. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

LTE

Market overview beyond 2010Bill Tsao / 曹維陵[email protected]

Sales ManagerRohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd.

Page 2: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 2

l Wireless technology evolution path

l Wireless Broadband Market status

Agenda

Page 3: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 3

2013/20142009/2010

Wireless technology evolution pathGSM/GPRS

EDGE, 200 kHzDL: 473 kbpsUL: 473 kbps

EDGEevoDL: 1.9 MbpsUL: 947 kbps

HSDPA, 5 MHzDL: 14.4 MbpsUL: 2.0 Mbps

HSPA, 5 MHzDL: 14.4 MbpsUL: 5.76 Mbps

HSPA+, R7DL: 28.0 MbpsUL: 11.5 Mbps

2005/2006 2007/2008 2011/2012

HSPA+, R8DL: 42.0 MbpsUL: 11.5 Mbps

cdma2000

1xEV-DO, Rev. 0 1.25 MHzDL: 2.4 MbpsUL: 153 kbps

1xEV-DO, Rev. A 1.25 MHzDL: 3.1 MbpsUL: 1.8 Mbps

1xEV-DO, Rev. B 5.0 MHzDL: 14.7 MbpsUL: 4.9 Mbps

HSPA+, R9DL: 84 MbpsUL: 23 Mbps

DO-AdvancedDL: 32 Mbps and beyondUL: 12.4 Mbps and beyond

LTE-Advanced R10DL: 1 Gbps (low mobility)UL: 500 Mbps

Fixed WiMAXscalable bandwidth1.25 … 28 MHztypical up to 15 Mbps

Mobile WiMAX, 802.16eUp to 20 MHz DL: 75 Mbps (2x2)UL: 28 Mbps (1x2)

Advanced MobileWiMAX, 802.16mDL: up to 1 Gbps (low mobility)UL: up to 100 Mbps

VAMOSDouble SpeechCapacity

HSPA+, R10DL: 84 MbpsUL: 23 Mbps

LTE (4x4), R8+R9, 20MHzDL: 300 MbpsUL: 75 Mbps

UMTSDL: 2.0 MbpsUL: 2.0 Mbps

Page 4: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 4

Wireless Broadband WorldwideCustomers by Technology

Page 5: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 5

Mobile Broadband MarketReal mobile broadband is happening now

Q2/2010:530 million mobile

broadband subscriptions

(WCDMA, HSPA)**

German mobile data increase 2005-2009*

71% of the German internet

users own an internet capable

mobile user device*** Sources:

*Bundesnetzagentur**GSA (Global mobile Supplier Association)***Accenture Mobile Web Watch

Page 6: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 6

Wireless Broadband Worldwide WiMAX operator/manufacturer broaden scope to (TD-)LTE

Yota chooses LTE over WiMAX for

new market rollouts, May 2010

US WiMAX service provider Clearwire announced plans to trial LTE

technology this year, August 2010

Beceem Ends 4G Debate with integrated 4G LTE/WiMAX

Chip, February 2010

Sequans’ LTE solutions feature high performance

category 3 throughput, TDD and FDD for global

compatibility, August 2010

Page 7: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 7

l Up to 22 LTE networks in service by end 2010l Up to 45 LTE networks in service by end 2012

Strong rising LTE commitmentsA global operator community is ready to start

Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – June 7, 2010Slide

Page 8: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 8

LTE Commitments (status in Dec.2009)

Page 9: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 9

LTE Commitments (status in Jun.2010)

Page 10: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 10

LTE commitments

Page 11: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 11

LTE is commercially available

l LTE commercial launch on Dec 14, 2009

l Two city networks in Stockholm and Oslo

l Gothenburg added in August 2010

l Population coverage at launch: 400,000

l Initially modems/USB dongles for 4G only

l Limited number of modems to start with

Page 12: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 12

Germany – Digital DividendLTE 800 - Broadband Access in rural areas

l Deutsche Telekom starts nation wide LTE-Deployment l Around 500 LTE-Sites on Band 20 planned until end 2010

l No mobility in the beginning

l Further Band 7 deployment will start in 2011

l Vodafone Germany to deploy LTE networkl Nation wide LTE coverage by 2013

starting with Band 20

l Plans to have 1,500 base stations upgraded bythe end of 2011 in rural areas without access to broadband services.

Page 13: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 13

LTE - front runners pushing the wireless industry

l Verizon providing coverage to about 100 millionpeople by the end of 2010. 2013 Verizon Wirelessexpects to have same coverage with LTE as they dohave now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A

l NTT DOCOMO is verifying its new commercial LTE network in the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scale launch of a commercial extra-high-speedLTE service in December

l China Mobile TD-LTE trials currently running,challenging timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices

Page 14: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 14

Seattle, WA Boston, MA

Verizon WirelessMarket update

l During the Verizon web case onJune 15, 2010 Verizon Wireless Vice President,Tony Lewis, was concrete about their plans to launchLTE in 25 to 30 markets providing coverage to about 100 million people by the end of 2010,– Verizon will initially roll-out 10 cell sites in multiple key locations and will

increase the number of cell sites towards the end of the year to provide more coverage,

– By 2013 Verizon Wireless expects to have same coverage with LTE as they do have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A, which is covering today approximately 95% of the US population,

l Verizon Wireless announced that Rohde & Schwarz has been selected to provide test solutions for LTE device certification,– http://news.vzw.com/news/2010/02/pr2010-02-16r.html

Page 15: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 15

NTT DoCoMoMarket update

l NTT DOCOMO is the world’s leading mobile operator and provider of advanced mobile services. The company serves over 56 million customers in Japan, including 49 million using i-mode™, the world’s most popular mobile e-mail/Internet platform, and 54 million using FOMA™, the world’s original 3G mobile service based on W-CDMA.

l TOKYO, JAPAN, June 8, 2010 – NTT DOCOMO, INC. announced today thaton June 8 it will begin verifying its newcommercial mobile network system basedon the Long Term Evolution (LTE) protocolin the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scalelaunch of extra-high-speed LTE commercialservice in December.

l TOKYO, JAPAN, July 29, 2010 - NTT DOCOMO, INC. today unveiled the brand name and logo of its forthcoming LTE next-generation mobile service for the Japanese market, which is scheduledto launch in December. The brand name is writtenXi™ and read “crossy.”

Page 16: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 16

LTE ETWS application

Source: 3GPP TS 22.168 version 8.1.0

Page 17: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 17

China MobileMarket update

l Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated that TD-SCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. The China Mobile TD-SCDMA system covered 284 cities by end 2009. China Mobile had 7.69 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end March 2010.

l China Mobile internet page:„We undertook efforts to upgrade our core network to become fully IP-based, and established a 2G and 3G soft switch IP network that offers superior quality and is the world's biggest. We are committed to network quality improvement and TD technology innovation. ... We also promoted the international standardization of TD-LTE in several international organizations, paving the way for the continuous and healthy development of the TD industry. We will debut our TD-LTE showcase network at the WorldExpo Shanghai 2010.”

l TD-LTE trials nowl Timescales established for

prototype, dual-mode andmultimode devicesl In-service estimated as 2012-2013

Page 18: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 18

The LTE eco-system is building upLTE FDD and TD-LTEl Several LTE platforms have been announced

by device and chipset manufacturers and were

demonstrated to carriers and at trade shows, l 1st commercial LTE handsets are data cards,

majority LTE-only, limited to one frequency band/bandwidth,

l Next wave is going to be dual-mode or even triple, supporting several frequency bands,

l Various field trials are ongoing, using selected

infrastructure provider and device manufacturer,

Close to 20 chip set and terminal manufacturers

reported platforms into

GSA

Page 19: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 19

LSTI Activities - Progress

Source: LSTI

Page 20: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 20

LSTI – Initial Results

Page 21: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 21

Certification test statusGCF&PTCRBl GCF on schedule to start the LTE certification test

l Estimate to start with GCF CC V3.40 before the end of 2010l Certificate band includes:

~ ~760 825 1790 2050

2600MHz

Band 13 Band 20 Band 3 Band 1

Band 38

~

2350

~

Band 40

~

Band 7

GCF FDD

GCF TDD

Page 22: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 22

Certification test statusGCF&PTCRB

~

720 760 1950

Band 12Band 17 Band 4Band 13

MHz

PTCRB FDD

l PTCRB plans to start the LTE certification test in Q1/2011l Certificate band includes:

Page 23: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 23

E‑UTRA Operating

Band

Uplink (UL) operating band Downlink (DL) operating band

FUL_low – FUL_high [MHz] FDL_low – FDL_high [MHz]

1 1920 – 1980 2110 – 2170

2 1850 – 1910 1930 – 1990

3 1710 – 1785 1805 – 1880

4 1710 – 1755 2110 – 2155

5 824 – 849 869 – 894

6 830 – 840 875 – 885

7 2500 – 2570 2620 – 2690

8 880 – 915 925 – 960

9 1749.9 – 1784.9 1844.9 – 1879.9

10 1710 – 1770 2110 – 2170

11 1427.9 – 1452.9 1475.9 – 1500.9

12 698 – 716 728 – 746

13 777 – 787 746 – 756

14 788 – 798 758 – 768

17 704 – 716 734 – 746

18 815 – 830 860 – 875

19 830 – 845 875 – 890

20 832 - 862 791 - 821

21 1447.9 - 1462.9 1495.9 - 1510.9

22 3410 - 3500 3510 - 3600

LTE/LTE-A Frequency Bands (FDD/TDD)

E‑UTRA Operating

Band

Uplink (UL) operating band Downlink (DL) operating band

FUL_low – FUL_high [MHz] FDL_low – FDL_high [MHz]

33 1900 – 1920 1900 – 1920

34 2010 – 2025 2010 – 2025

35 1850 – 1910 1850 – 1910

36 1930 – 1990 1930 – 1990

37 1910 – 1930 1910 – 1930

38 2570 – 2620 2570 – 2620

39 1880 – 1920 1880 – 1920

40 2300 – 2400 2300 – 2400

Page 24: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 24

Voice over LTE

l LTE is likely deployed focus on data service onlyl Voice service of LTE will be introduce in second stepl One Voice initiative

l Introduce by GSMA in Feb.2010l Using IP Multimedia System (IMS) base one 3GPP spec.l GSMA is driving both SMS and Voice service

Page 25: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 25

What Analyst say about LTE

l Strategy Analytics forecasts the global LTE handset market will reach 150 million by 2013.

l ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over $8.6 billion on LTE base stations infrastructure.

l IDATE Consulting & Research “LTE subscribers to reach 380 million by 2015”

l Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G.

Page 26: LTE Market  overv iew beyond 2010

Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 26

Thank you for your attention!