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LTE Market overv iew beyond 2010. Bill Tsao / 曹維陵 bill.tsao @rohde-schwarz.com Sales Manager Rohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd. Agenda. Wireless t echnology evolution path Wireless Broadband Market status. Wireless t echnology evolution path. 2005/2006. 2009/2010. 2011/2012. 2007/2008. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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LTE
Market overview beyond 2010Bill Tsao / 曹維陵[email protected]
Sales ManagerRohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd.
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 2
l Wireless technology evolution path
l Wireless Broadband Market status
Agenda
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 3
2013/20142009/2010
Wireless technology evolution pathGSM/GPRS
EDGE, 200 kHzDL: 473 kbpsUL: 473 kbps
EDGEevoDL: 1.9 MbpsUL: 947 kbps
HSDPA, 5 MHzDL: 14.4 MbpsUL: 2.0 Mbps
HSPA, 5 MHzDL: 14.4 MbpsUL: 5.76 Mbps
HSPA+, R7DL: 28.0 MbpsUL: 11.5 Mbps
2005/2006 2007/2008 2011/2012
HSPA+, R8DL: 42.0 MbpsUL: 11.5 Mbps
cdma2000
1xEV-DO, Rev. 0 1.25 MHzDL: 2.4 MbpsUL: 153 kbps
1xEV-DO, Rev. A 1.25 MHzDL: 3.1 MbpsUL: 1.8 Mbps
1xEV-DO, Rev. B 5.0 MHzDL: 14.7 MbpsUL: 4.9 Mbps
HSPA+, R9DL: 84 MbpsUL: 23 Mbps
DO-AdvancedDL: 32 Mbps and beyondUL: 12.4 Mbps and beyond
LTE-Advanced R10DL: 1 Gbps (low mobility)UL: 500 Mbps
Fixed WiMAXscalable bandwidth1.25 … 28 MHztypical up to 15 Mbps
Mobile WiMAX, 802.16eUp to 20 MHz DL: 75 Mbps (2x2)UL: 28 Mbps (1x2)
Advanced MobileWiMAX, 802.16mDL: up to 1 Gbps (low mobility)UL: up to 100 Mbps
VAMOSDouble SpeechCapacity
HSPA+, R10DL: 84 MbpsUL: 23 Mbps
LTE (4x4), R8+R9, 20MHzDL: 300 MbpsUL: 75 Mbps
UMTSDL: 2.0 MbpsUL: 2.0 Mbps
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 4
Wireless Broadband WorldwideCustomers by Technology
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 5
Mobile Broadband MarketReal mobile broadband is happening now
Q2/2010:530 million mobile
broadband subscriptions
(WCDMA, HSPA)**
German mobile data increase 2005-2009*
71% of the German internet
users own an internet capable
mobile user device*** Sources:
*Bundesnetzagentur**GSA (Global mobile Supplier Association)***Accenture Mobile Web Watch
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 6
Wireless Broadband Worldwide WiMAX operator/manufacturer broaden scope to (TD-)LTE
Yota chooses LTE over WiMAX for
new market rollouts, May 2010
US WiMAX service provider Clearwire announced plans to trial LTE
technology this year, August 2010
Beceem Ends 4G Debate with integrated 4G LTE/WiMAX
Chip, February 2010
Sequans’ LTE solutions feature high performance
category 3 throughput, TDD and FDD for global
compatibility, August 2010
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 7
l Up to 22 LTE networks in service by end 2010l Up to 45 LTE networks in service by end 2012
Strong rising LTE commitmentsA global operator community is ready to start
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – June 7, 2010Slide
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 8
LTE Commitments (status in Dec.2009)
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 9
LTE Commitments (status in Jun.2010)
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 10
LTE commitments
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 11
LTE is commercially available
l LTE commercial launch on Dec 14, 2009
l Two city networks in Stockholm and Oslo
l Gothenburg added in August 2010
l Population coverage at launch: 400,000
l Initially modems/USB dongles for 4G only
l Limited number of modems to start with
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 12
Germany – Digital DividendLTE 800 - Broadband Access in rural areas
l Deutsche Telekom starts nation wide LTE-Deployment l Around 500 LTE-Sites on Band 20 planned until end 2010
l No mobility in the beginning
l Further Band 7 deployment will start in 2011
l Vodafone Germany to deploy LTE networkl Nation wide LTE coverage by 2013
starting with Band 20
l Plans to have 1,500 base stations upgraded bythe end of 2011 in rural areas without access to broadband services.
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 13
LTE - front runners pushing the wireless industry
l Verizon providing coverage to about 100 millionpeople by the end of 2010. 2013 Verizon Wirelessexpects to have same coverage with LTE as they dohave now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A
l NTT DOCOMO is verifying its new commercial LTE network in the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scale launch of a commercial extra-high-speedLTE service in December
l China Mobile TD-LTE trials currently running,challenging timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 14
Seattle, WA Boston, MA
Verizon WirelessMarket update
l During the Verizon web case onJune 15, 2010 Verizon Wireless Vice President,Tony Lewis, was concrete about their plans to launchLTE in 25 to 30 markets providing coverage to about 100 million people by the end of 2010,– Verizon will initially roll-out 10 cell sites in multiple key locations and will
increase the number of cell sites towards the end of the year to provide more coverage,
– By 2013 Verizon Wireless expects to have same coverage with LTE as they do have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A, which is covering today approximately 95% of the US population,
l Verizon Wireless announced that Rohde & Schwarz has been selected to provide test solutions for LTE device certification,– http://news.vzw.com/news/2010/02/pr2010-02-16r.html
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 15
NTT DoCoMoMarket update
l NTT DOCOMO is the world’s leading mobile operator and provider of advanced mobile services. The company serves over 56 million customers in Japan, including 49 million using i-mode™, the world’s most popular mobile e-mail/Internet platform, and 54 million using FOMA™, the world’s original 3G mobile service based on W-CDMA.
l TOKYO, JAPAN, June 8, 2010 – NTT DOCOMO, INC. announced today thaton June 8 it will begin verifying its newcommercial mobile network system basedon the Long Term Evolution (LTE) protocolin the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scalelaunch of extra-high-speed LTE commercialservice in December.
l TOKYO, JAPAN, July 29, 2010 - NTT DOCOMO, INC. today unveiled the brand name and logo of its forthcoming LTE next-generation mobile service for the Japanese market, which is scheduledto launch in December. The brand name is writtenXi™ and read “crossy.”
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 16
LTE ETWS application
Source: 3GPP TS 22.168 version 8.1.0
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 17
China MobileMarket update
l Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated that TD-SCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. The China Mobile TD-SCDMA system covered 284 cities by end 2009. China Mobile had 7.69 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end March 2010.
l China Mobile internet page:„We undertook efforts to upgrade our core network to become fully IP-based, and established a 2G and 3G soft switch IP network that offers superior quality and is the world's biggest. We are committed to network quality improvement and TD technology innovation. ... We also promoted the international standardization of TD-LTE in several international organizations, paving the way for the continuous and healthy development of the TD industry. We will debut our TD-LTE showcase network at the WorldExpo Shanghai 2010.”
l TD-LTE trials nowl Timescales established for
prototype, dual-mode andmultimode devicesl In-service estimated as 2012-2013
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 18
The LTE eco-system is building upLTE FDD and TD-LTEl Several LTE platforms have been announced
by device and chipset manufacturers and were
demonstrated to carriers and at trade shows, l 1st commercial LTE handsets are data cards,
majority LTE-only, limited to one frequency band/bandwidth,
l Next wave is going to be dual-mode or even triple, supporting several frequency bands,
l Various field trials are ongoing, using selected
infrastructure provider and device manufacturer,
Close to 20 chip set and terminal manufacturers
reported platforms into
GSA
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 19
LSTI Activities - Progress
Source: LSTI
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 20
LSTI – Initial Results
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 21
Certification test statusGCF&PTCRBl GCF on schedule to start the LTE certification test
l Estimate to start with GCF CC V3.40 before the end of 2010l Certificate band includes:
~ ~760 825 1790 2050
2600MHz
Band 13 Band 20 Band 3 Band 1
Band 38
~
2350
~
Band 40
~
Band 7
GCF FDD
GCF TDD
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 22
Certification test statusGCF&PTCRB
~
720 760 1950
Band 12Band 17 Band 4Band 13
MHz
PTCRB FDD
l PTCRB plans to start the LTE certification test in Q1/2011l Certificate band includes:
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 23
E‑UTRA Operating
Band
Uplink (UL) operating band Downlink (DL) operating band
FUL_low – FUL_high [MHz] FDL_low – FDL_high [MHz]
1 1920 – 1980 2110 – 2170
2 1850 – 1910 1930 – 1990
3 1710 – 1785 1805 – 1880
4 1710 – 1755 2110 – 2155
5 824 – 849 869 – 894
6 830 – 840 875 – 885
7 2500 – 2570 2620 – 2690
8 880 – 915 925 – 960
9 1749.9 – 1784.9 1844.9 – 1879.9
10 1710 – 1770 2110 – 2170
11 1427.9 – 1452.9 1475.9 – 1500.9
12 698 – 716 728 – 746
13 777 – 787 746 – 756
14 788 – 798 758 – 768
17 704 – 716 734 – 746
18 815 – 830 860 – 875
19 830 – 845 875 – 890
20 832 - 862 791 - 821
21 1447.9 - 1462.9 1495.9 - 1510.9
22 3410 - 3500 3510 - 3600
LTE/LTE-A Frequency Bands (FDD/TDD)
E‑UTRA Operating
Band
Uplink (UL) operating band Downlink (DL) operating band
FUL_low – FUL_high [MHz] FDL_low – FDL_high [MHz]
33 1900 – 1920 1900 – 1920
34 2010 – 2025 2010 – 2025
35 1850 – 1910 1850 – 1910
36 1930 – 1990 1930 – 1990
37 1910 – 1930 1910 – 1930
38 2570 – 2620 2570 – 2620
39 1880 – 1920 1880 – 1920
40 2300 – 2400 2300 – 2400
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 24
Voice over LTE
l LTE is likely deployed focus on data service onlyl Voice service of LTE will be introduce in second stepl One Voice initiative
l Introduce by GSMA in Feb.2010l Using IP Multimedia System (IMS) base one 3GPP spec.l GSMA is driving both SMS and Voice service
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 25
What Analyst say about LTE
l Strategy Analytics forecasts the global LTE handset market will reach 150 million by 2013.
l ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over $8.6 billion on LTE base stations infrastructure.
l IDATE Consulting & Research “LTE subscribers to reach 380 million by 2015”
l Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G.
Sep.2 2010 | LTE Market View | 26
Thank you for your attention!