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CPPP.org Legislative Budget Update 29 th Annual Conference of Texas Council of Community Centers Eva DeLuna Castro Budget Analyst Thursday, June 19, 2014 @DeLunaEva [email protected]

Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Page 1: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Legislative Budget Update29th Annual Conference of Texas Council of Community Centers

Eva DeLuna CastroBudget Analyst

Thursday, June 19, 2014

@DeLunaEva [email protected]

Page 2: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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8%9%

Page 3: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Biennial billion $: General Revenue (incl. ESF & ARRA used as GR) + Property Tax Relief

Page 4: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Medicaid spending per

client lower than in 2001-02

Adjusted for medical inflation; excludes DSH and UPL.

Page 5: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Support for schools

is still well below

pre-recession levels

$10,611

$10,590

$10,475

$10,218

$10,502

$10,434

$10,220

$11,262

$10,418

$10,312

$9,477

$9,484

$9,624

$9,593

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

State/local/federal revenue per student 2013 $

2013-14:

Fewer teachers,

educational

aides, & other

school staff than

in 2010-11 school

year; 240,000+

more students

Page 6: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:
Page 7: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:
Page 8: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Page 9: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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State/local tax trade-off

Page 10: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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Mid-June 2014:

2016-17 budget

instructionsissued

Summer 2014: Legislative

Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted

Fall / Winter 2014:

Public hearings held by LBB & Governor's

Budget Office

LBB adopts spending growth rate

LBB prepares draft appropriations bill(s)

2015 Session:

Comptroller issues revenue estimate

Appropriations bills filed, marked-up, &

passed by House and Senate

June 2015:

Comptroller certifies General

Revenue appropriations

Governor makes line-item vetoes, signs budget bill

State Budget Process for 2016-17

Page 11: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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-$2

-$1

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

“Surplus” to “Deficit” • $2.6 billion ending balance

for 2015, General Revenue• $1 billion more in

unforecast sales taxes, $1 b other GR?

-$2

-$1

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

• -$600 million Medicaid IOU

• -$4.2 billion in “hoarded” GR-

D balances

• -$1.3 billion: stop using

Highway Fund for DPS, DMV

• School finance lawsuit?

Page 12: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:
Page 13: Legislative Budget Update Budget Update 2014.pdf · 2014: 2016-17 budget instructions issued Summer 2014: Legislative Appropriations Requests prepared & submitted Fall / Winter 2014:

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