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1 Managing Landslide Hazard Risk in Sub Tropical Countries Major Landslide at Maracas, Trinidad - Late December 2002. Keith Tovey Reader in Environmental Sciences, HSBC Director of Low Carbon Innovation. University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK, NR4 7TJ Acknowledgements: British Council, University of East Anglia, University of West Indies (Trinidad) Hong Kong Government

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  • *Managing Landslide Hazard Risk in Sub Tropical Countries Major Landslide at Maracas, Trinidad - Late December 2002.Keith ToveyReader in Environmental Sciences, HSBC Director of Low Carbon Innovation. University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK, NR4 7TJAcknowledgements: British Council, University of East Anglia, University of West Indies (Trinidad) Hong Kong Government

  • *IntroductionModelling Methods Engineering Models GIS Methods Statistical MethodsManagement IssuesConclusionsManaging Landslide Hazard Risk in Sub Tropical Countries

  • *LandslideSafe at the momentLandslidePreventive MeasuresLandslides: IntroductionDesignCostBuildStability AssessmentInjuryDeathEconomic LossDisruption to Transport LinksConsequences of Landslides

  • *Main Manchester Sheffield Road (A625)Alternative route only suitable for light vehicles gradient of 1 in 4Landslides: Removing the Consequence1 km

  • *Landslides in Kowloon East 28th - 31st May 1982Landslides: Removing the Consequence

  • *LandslideLandslidePreventive MeasuresMans Influence (Agriculture /Development)Landslides: Engineering Modelling Methods

    GeologyDesignCostBuildStability AssessmentBut only for specific slopes

  • *Applicable to very specific locations onlyCan have moderate to good accuracy for spatial predictions where information existsModerate accuracy for temporal predictions (good if accurate ground water temporal variations are available) Poor for overall spatial coverageIs costly to implement.Landslides: Engineering Modelling MethodsBut one must not be complacent

  • *bermsLandslide in man made Cut Slope at km 365 west of Sao Paolo - August 2002

  • *General Planning Guidelines of Landslide RiskClassification into potential Areas of Risk

    Soil TypeLandslides: GIS Modelling Methods

    Geology

    HydrologyGeneral Slope (and aspect)

    Land Use Database of existing LandslidesIdentification of areas for detailed Engineering StudyCataloguing slopes and landslides

  • *Good spatial (geographic) coverage of likelihood of landslidesPoor to moderate prediction of precise locations of landslides Effective use of resourcesPoor accuracy for temporal predictions i.e. precisely when landslides occurLandslides: GIS Modelling MethodsAccuracy is dependant on existence of a good unbiassed database of landslides and slopes

  • *e.g. North Coast Road, TrinidadLandslides: Categorisation of Slopes

  • *Landslide at MaracasDecember 2002December 2004 note the slide is much more extensive

  • *December 9th Landslide3 km beyond Las Cuevas as seen on TVhalf of road blockedLandslide 11th December 2004 at approximately 13:001 km before Las Cuevashalf of road blocked

  • *Slope before failure at CouvaSlope after Landslide

    Slide by Derek Gay, UWI

  • *Landslides: GIS Modelling Methods: Requirements for the future Cut Slopes Fill Slopes Retaining Walls Hybrids: Cut/Retaining Wall / Fill/Retaining Wall Natural Slopes - is there a better word?slopes where there has been no anthropogenic activity, or where there is such activity it causes small changes to the geometry of the slope so that the Factor of Safety is largely unaffected.Landslides triggered by anthropogenic activityDeep seated landslide unaffected by anthropogenic activity

  • *Landslides: Statistical MethodsPrediction of exactly when landslides are likely to occurIssue warnings to affected peopleMobilise Emergency TeamsHistorical Database of Landslide OccurrenceRainfall DataResearch to correlate Rainfall with Landslide IncidenceAntecedent RainfallCurrent/ Predicted RainfallAim: to minimise injury and loss of life

  • *Poor prediction for spatial location of Landslides.Potentially effective use of resources to minimise death and injury.Moderate ability to predict when landslides are likely to occur.Requires automatic recording of rainfall over short periods of time (e.g. 5 15 minute intervals).Requires a robust historic database of landslides and associated rainfall.Landslides: Statistical MethodsLandslide Warning SystemMethod aims to alert people to impending danger so they can seek safety during critical periods it will not prevent landslides

  • *Rain Gauge Network in Hong KongBuilt Up Areas

  • * Historically: Reactive Approach to LandslidesSimilar to present situation in Trinidad and Tobago From 1977 onwards: approach became progressively more pro-activeHong Kong ApproachLandslides: Management Proactive Control of all New Developments > Engineering / Geotechnical Control Categorisation of Slopes and Landslides> Develop a Robust Database > Identify critical issues and areas affected: GIS > Planning Policies> Identification of Critical regions for Preventative Measures Development of Landslide Warning System.

  • *Click once on Slope to display data for 11SW-A/CR175Slope Catalogue: Slope 11SW-A/CR175: Po Shan RoadLandslides: Management

  • *Centred Map for Cut Slope 11SW-A/CR175: Po Shan RoadLandslides: Management

  • *Feature Registration Form for Po Shan Road Slope11SW-A/CR175Major Disaster in June 1972Landslide Preventative Measure

    PRIVATEBackground Information And Related Document

    Feature Reference Number

    11SW-A/CR 175

    GIU Cell Ref.

    11SW7D8 - NKTs Classification still in use!

    Location

    18M NORTH OF 21 PO SHAN ROAD

    Sift Class

    C1

    Map Sheet Reference (1:1000) 11SW- 7D

    Coordinates

    Easting : 832718 Northing : 815676

    Aerial Photos

    Photo No.

    Year

    1824-5

    1972

    Nearest Raingauge Station(Station Number)

    Knowles Building, Hong Kong University (H04)

    Data Collected On

    11/14/97

    Date of Construction, Subsequent Modification & Demolition

    N/A

    Related Reports/Files or Documents

    File/Report

    Ref. No

    Previous Instability

    16/6/72 63/11SW-A, 64/11SW-A

    Previous Instability

    17/6/72 66/11SW-A, 18/6/72 69/11SW-A

    Development

    GCI 2/B7/113

    BP Reports

    IIB Po Shan Rd Area 3/76, Mid Level Rpt 3/86

    GEO

    Mid Levels Study Rpt

    LPM

    Considered in 91 Selected

    Pre-SIRST

    Field Sheet

    DH-Order (To Be Confirmed with Buildings Department)

    NONE

    Advisory Letter (To Be Confirmed with Buildings Department)

    NONE

    Remarks

    N/A

    Follow Up Actions

    N/A

    Maintenance Responsibility

    Government

    Responsible Government Department - HyD

    (Based on SIMAR results from Lands Department) IMPORTANT - READ Disclaimer

  • *Centred Map for Cut Slope 11SW-A/CR175: Po Shan RoadLandslides: Management

  • *Landslides: Management

  • *Requirements:It should:1) provide sufficient warning of an eventto alert general publicto mobilise Emergency Servicesto open temporary Shelters2) predict IN ADVANCE all serious EVENTS3) minimise number of false alarmsThree criteria can be in conflict: How long should warning be? Longer the time, the less accurate will be prediction more false alarmsLandslides: Landslide Warning System

  • *Two ApproachesDetailed Warning - e.g. 1. Conduit Road

    Warning based solely on Rainfallautomatic piezometer gives warning when ground water level gets above a critical level as determined by Slope Stability Analysis

    Aim to give warning when a significant number of landslides are likely to occur.(>10)Background to Warning SystemLandslides: Landslide Warning System

  • *Research needed to correlate incidence of landslides with rainfallantecedent current predicted Hong Kong scheme ~ mid 1980sResearch needed to adapt ideas to local conditions in Trinidad and Tobago. Emergency Services need clear guidelines on how to react.Reporting system needed to notify public (via radio/ television)Landslides: Statistical MethodsLandslide Warning System (continued)

  • *Are Slopes more susceptible to failure if there has been prolonged rainfall on preceding days?How should Antecedent rainfall Conditions be incorporated.Lumb (1975) - 15-day antecedent conditions. charts for Warning Purposes based both on Rainfall on Day AND Antecedent conditions.

    Most simple model uses simple cumulative 15-day antecedent rainfall.Could use a weighted system with days more distant weighted less.Lumb favoured simple approach.ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.

  • * 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15Day24 hour criteriaCumulative Rainfall over previous 15 daysCummulative RainfallBasis of Lumbs Predictor

  • *Rainfall Profile and Onset of Landslides

  • *First Landslide Warning System (1977 - 1979)AMBER and RED Warnings issued when predicted 24 hour rainfall would plot above relevant line.A Problem: Difficult to use without direct access to Chart.

    Chart1

    147.9392.1392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.261.2

    163.165656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9145.9

    62.3102102102102

    68.381.481.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.332.3

    209261261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105105

    33.3148148148148

    54.6128.554.654.654.6

    59.971717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.666666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.676.6

    000

    200200200

    800800800

    000

    150150150

    800800800

    0330300

    60260240

    180180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    Old RED

    RED Warning (1977 - 1979)

    old Amber

    Amber Warning (1977 - 1979)

    Antecedent Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Day (mm)

    Sheet1

    Sheet1

    392.1392.1

    531.3531.3

    224.9224.9

    357.4357.4

    559.6559.6

    391.6391.6

    485485

    202.7202.7

    315.7315.7

    249.9249.9

    202202

    253.7253.7

    266.6266.6

    303.8303.8

    222.8222.8

    324.7324.7

    352352

    304.9304.9

    239.3239.3

    266.3266.3

    304.4304.4

    363.2363.2

    242.8242.8

    364.5364.5

    281.3281.3

    338.4338.4

    130.4130.4

    313.8313.8

    171.3171.3

    318.2318.2

    238.8238.8

    319.5319.5

    507.4507.4

    223.7223.7

    359.8359.8

    586.3586.3

    726.6726.6

    365.1365.1

    247.1247.1

    236.9236.9

    591.5591.5

    444.8444.8

    41.141.1

    61.261.2

    6565

    228.1228.1

    63.163.1

    340.2340.2

    475.2475.2

    212.8212.8

    283.2283.2

    185.4185.4

    136.3136.3

    231.3231.3

    406.2406.2

    788.9788.9

    800.7800.7

    556.3556.3

    391.5391.5

    359.1359.1

    256.7256.7

    127.9127.9

    400.4400.4

    92.292.2

    363.6363.6

    64.664.6

    229.9229.9

    249.6249.6

    365.8365.8

    141.6141.6

    347.5347.5

    561.3561.3

    714.2714.2

    443.9443.9

    123.9123.9

    294.7294.7

    371.5371.5

    547.3547.3

    207.3207.3

    81.681.6

    85.485.4

    139.4139.4

    168.7168.7

    279.2279.2

    331331

    448.9448.9

    62.962.9

    135.2135.2

    238.7238.7

    292.4292.4

    145.9145.9

    102102

    81.481.4

    166.3166.3

    112.8112.8

    149.6149.6

    138.8138.8

    32.332.3

    261261

    717.5717.5

    124.1124.1

    376.8376.8

    105105

    148148

    54.654.6

    7171

    180.8180.8

    321.6321.6

    188.8188.8

    456.9456.9

    663.7663.7

    125.2125.2

    89.989.9

    207.6207.6

    375.6375.6

    669.9669.9

    199.1199.1

    158.6158.6

    157.2157.2

    109.2109.2

    197.4197.4

    172.7172.7

    254.7254.7

    6666

    222.3222.3

    76.676.6

    00

    200200

    800800

    00

    150150

    800800

    330300

    260240

    180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Old RED

    RED Warning

    old Amber

    AMBER Warning

    Warning Levels used 1977 - 1979

    landslide_data

    Record of Landslide Incidents in Hong Kong1930 - 1982

    Incident No.DateCategoryRainfall on day (mm)Antecedent Rainfall (mm)Minor IncidentSevere IncidentDisastrous IncidentRED WarningAMBER WarningRED Warning from July 1983Alternative COld REDold Amber

    17/24/30M147.9392.1147.9

    27/25/30M85.8531.385.8

    39/16/30M132.5224.9132.5

    49/17/30M202.2357.4202.2

    59/18/30M36.9559.636.9

    67/30/32D107.5391.6107.5

    77/31/32M80.248580.2

    88/28/32S113.4202.7113.4

    98/29/32M30.8315.730.8

    106/30/33M34.2249.934.2

    116/22/34S230.1202230.1

    127/29/34M139.9253.7139.9

    138/18/34M118.3266.6118.3

    148/19/34M65.3303.865.3

    158/2/36M136.5222.8136.5

    168/4/36M66324.766

    178/17/36M8535285

    187/5/37M69.9304.969.9

    198/22/37M52239.352

    206/7/47M159.4266.3159.4

    216/12/48M76.6304.476.6

    227/28/48M107.4363.2107.4

    236/25/49M164.1242.8164.1

    246/26/49M105.7364.5105.7

    255/14/51M14.4281.314.4

    266/7/51S135.5338.4135.5

    276/13/52M155.9130.4155.9

    289/14/52S141.2313.8141.2

    299/19/53M95.8171.395.8

    305/11/55S69.1318.269.1

    317/11/55M29.6238.829.6

    327/18/55S62.5319.562.5

    337/23/55M17.9507.417.9

    345/21/57S136.1223.7136.1

    355/22/57D246.2359.8246.2

    365/25/57M27.8586.327.8

    375/29/57M59.9726.659.9

    387/18/57M10.1365.110.1

    397/26/58M81.8247.181.8

    406/13/59S175.5236.9175.5

    416/15/59D270.3591.5270.3

    428/10/59M16.5444.816.5

    435/6/60M41.541.141.5

    445/14/60M96.161.296.1

    456/8/60M163.165163.1

    466/9/60S236.1228.1236.1

    473/19/61M90.663.190.6

    489/4/61M45340.245

    499/10/61M122475.2122

    508/16/64S72.7212.872.7

    519/11/64M120.2283.2120.2

    5210/13/64S246.5185.4246.5

    535/11/65M78136.378

    549/29/65M6.2231.36.2

    556/15/66D382.6406.2382.6

    566/13/66M33.7788.933.7

    576/15/66M31.4800.731.4

    586/13/68S200556.3200

    596/19/68M104.1391.5104.1

    607/4/68M96.2359.196.2

    616/5/69M134.6256.7134.6

    625/13/70M265.1127.9265.1

    635/26/70M86.5400.486.5

    648/3/70M140.992.2140.9

    659/10/70M26.8363.626.8

    666/7/71M78.464.678.4

    678/17/71S288.1229.9288.1

    685/10/72M116.2249.6116.2

    695/11/72S208.8365.8208.8

    706/16/72S205.9141.6205.9

    716/17/72D213.8347.5213.8

    726/18/72D232.6561.3232.6

    736/21/72M0714.20

    748/21/72M41.9443.941.9

    755/6/73M136.5123.9136.5

    767/9/73M67.6294.767.6

    777/17/73M172.1371.5172.1

    789/2/73M69.8547.369.8

    796/23/77M91.991.9

    809/6/77M67.3207.367.3

    814/12/78M081.60

    824/16/78M68.785.468.7

    835/18/78M76.8139.476.8

    847/27/78M110.5168.7110.5

    857/28/78M52.6279.252.6

    867/29/78D118.5331118.5

    877/30/78M71.5448.971.5

    888/27/78M45.862.945.8

    899/26/78M61135.261

    9010/1/78M56.3238.756.3

    9110/2/78M4.3292.44.3

    9210/17/78S284.8145.9284.8

    934/3/79M62.310262.3

    945/13/79M68.381.468.3

    955/15/79M69.2166.369.2

    966/10/79m36.8112.836.8

    976/11/79M113.6149.6113.6

    987/1/79M44.8138.844.8

    997/30/79M129.332.3129.3

    1008/2/79M209261209

    1018/11/79M26.1717.526.1

    1029/23/79M245.2124.1245.2

    1039/25/79M31.6376.831.6

    1045/11/81M96.110596.1

    1056/5/81M33.314833.3

    1069/29/81S128.554.6128.5

    1074/23/82M59.97159.9

    1084/27/82M36.8180.836.8

    1095/7/82M55.9321.655.9

    1105/29/82D258.4188.8258.4

    1115/31/82S205.5456.9205.5

    1126/2/82M22.1663.722.1

    1137/3/82M54.3125.254.3

    1148/1/82M114.989.9114.9

    1158/3/82M204.2207.6204.2

    1168/16/82D334.2375.6334.2

    1178/18/82M47.6669.947.6

    1189/16/82M73.8199.173.8

    1192/21/83M4.7158.64.7

    1203/2/83S81.4157.281.4

    1213/17/83M4.1109.24.1

    1223/27/83S98.6197.498.6

    1234/5/83M37.1172.737.1

    1244/8/83M57.7254.757.7

    1255/15/83M90.66690.6

    1265/27/83M51.6222.351.6

    1276/17/83D346.776.6346.7

    0300200225

    20010060100

    80010060100

    0200

    150100

    800100

    0330300

    60260240

    180180120

    32512565

    5009540

    7008535

    8008035

    landslide_data

    147.9392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6391.6391.6391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485485485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7202.7202.7202.7202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202202202202202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352352352352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4338.4338.4338.4338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8313.8313.8313.8313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2318.2318.2318.2318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7223.7223.7223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8359.8359.8359.8359.8359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9236.9236.9236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5591.5591.5591.5591.5591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.141.141.141.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.261.261.261.261.261.2

    163.16565656565656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1228.1228.1228.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.163.163.163.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8212.8212.8212.8212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4185.4185.4185.4185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2406.2406.2406.2406.2406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3556.3556.3556.3556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.292.292.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.664.664.664.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9229.9229.9229.9229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8365.8365.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6141.6141.6141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5347.5347.5347.5347.5347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3561.3561.3561.3561.3561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.681.681.681.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.485.485.485.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331331331331331331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.962.962.962.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9145.9145.9145.9145.9145.9

    62.3102102102102102102102102

    68.381.481.481.481.481.481.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.332.332.332.332.332.3

    209261261261261261261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105105105105105105

    33.3148148148148148148148148

    54.6128.554.654.654.654.654.654.654.6

    59.97171717171717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8188.8188.8188.8188.8188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9456.9456.9456.9456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.989.989.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6375.6375.6375.6375.6375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2157.2157.2157.2157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4197.4197.4197.4197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.66666666666666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.676.676.676.676.676.6

    0300200225000

    20010060100200200200

    80010060100800800800

    000020000

    150150150150100150150

    800800800800100800800

    00000330300

    6060606060260240

    180180180180180180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    RED Warning

    AMBER Warning

    RED Warning from July 1983

    Alternative C

    Old RED

    old Amber

    landslide_data (2)

    392.1392.1

    531.3531.3

    224.9224.9

    357.4357.4

    559.6559.6

    391.6391.6

    485485

    202.7202.7

    315.7315.7

    249.9249.9

    202202

    253.7253.7

    266.6266.6

    303.8303.8

    222.8222.8

    324.7324.7

    352352

    304.9304.9

    239.3239.3

    266.3266.3

    304.4304.4

    363.2363.2

    242.8242.8

    364.5364.5

    281.3281.3

    338.4338.4

    130.4130.4

    313.8313.8

    171.3171.3

    318.2318.2

    238.8238.8

    319.5319.5

    507.4507.4

    223.7223.7

    359.8359.8

    586.3586.3

    726.6726.6

    365.1365.1

    247.1247.1

    236.9236.9

    591.5591.5

    444.8444.8

    41.141.1

    61.261.2

    6565

    228.1228.1

    63.163.1

    340.2340.2

    475.2475.2

    212.8212.8

    283.2283.2

    185.4185.4

    136.3136.3

    231.3231.3

    406.2406.2

    788.9788.9

    800.7800.7

    556.3556.3

    391.5391.5

    359.1359.1

    256.7256.7

    127.9127.9

    400.4400.4

    92.292.2

    363.6363.6

    64.664.6

    229.9229.9

    249.6249.6

    365.8365.8

    141.6141.6

    347.5347.5

    561.3561.3

    714.2714.2

    443.9443.9

    123.9123.9

    294.7294.7

    371.5371.5

    547.3547.3

    207.3207.3

    81.681.6

    85.485.4

    139.4139.4

    168.7168.7

    279.2279.2

    331331

    448.9448.9

    62.962.9

    135.2135.2

    238.7238.7

    292.4292.4

    145.9145.9

    102102

    81.481.4

    166.3166.3

    112.8112.8

    149.6149.6

    138.8138.8

    32.332.3

    261261

    717.5717.5

    124.1124.1

    376.8376.8

    105105

    148148

    54.654.6

    7171

    180.8180.8

    321.6321.6

    188.8188.8

    456.9456.9

    663.7663.7

    125.2125.2

    89.989.9

    207.6207.6

    375.6375.6

    669.9669.9

    199.1199.1

    158.6158.6

    157.2157.2

    109.2109.2

    197.4197.4

    172.7172.7

    254.7254.7

    6666

    222.3222.3

    76.676.6

    00

    200200

    800800

    00

    150150

    800800

    330300

    260240

    180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Old RED

    RED Warning

    old Amber

    AMBER Warning

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Landslide Incident Day (mm)

    Warning Levels used 1977 - 1979

    Sheet3

    392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1

    531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3

    224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9

    357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4

    559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6391.6391.6391.6

    485485485485485

    202.7202.7202.7202.7202.7

    315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7

    249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202202202202202

    253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7

    266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6

    303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8

    222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8

    324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7

    352352352352352

    304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3

    266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3

    304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4

    363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2

    242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8

    364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5

    281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4338.4338.4338.4338.4

    130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8313.8313.8313.8313.8

    171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.2318.2318.2318.2318.2

    238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5

    507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7223.7223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8359.8359.8359.8

    586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3

    726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6

    365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9236.9236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5591.5591.5591.5

    444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.141.141.141.141.1

    61.261.261.261.261.2

    6565656565

    228.1228.1228.1228.1228.1

    63.163.163.163.163.1

    340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2

    475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.8212.8212.8212.8212.8

    283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4185.4185.4185.4185.4

    136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3

    231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2406.2406.2406.2

    788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9

    800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3556.3556.3556.3556.3

    391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5

    359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1

    256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7

    127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9

    400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4

    92.292.292.292.292.2

    363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6

    64.664.664.664.664.6

    229.9229.9229.9229.9229.9

    249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8365.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6141.6141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5347.5347.5347.5

    561.3561.3561.3561.3561.3

    714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2

    443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9

    294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7

    371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5

    547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3

    207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    81.681.681.681.681.6

    85.485.485.485.485.4

    139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4

    168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7

    279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331331331331

    448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9

    62.962.962.962.962.9

    135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2

    238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7

    292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9145.9145.9145.9145.9

    102102102102102

    81.481.481.481.481.4

    166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3

    112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    32.332.332.332.332.3

    261261261261261

    717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5

    124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1

    376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8

    105105105105105

    148148148148148

    54.654.654.654.654.6

    7171717171

    180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8188.8188.8188.8

    456.9456.9456.9456.9456.9

    663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7

    125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2

    89.989.989.989.989.9

    207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6375.6375.6375.6

    669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9

    199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1

    158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.2157.2157.2157.2157.2

    109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.4197.4197.4197.4197.4

    172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7

    254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    6666666666

    222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.676.676.676.6

    30020022500

    10060100200200

    10060100800800

    00000

    150150150150150

    800800800800800

    000330300

    606060260240

    180180180180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    RED Warning

    AMBER Warning

    RED Warning from July 1983

    Old RED

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Landslide Incident Day (mm)

    Warning Levels 1980 - 1984

    147.9392.1392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.261.2

    163.165656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9145.9

    62.3102102102102

    68.381.481.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.332.3

    209261261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105105

    33.3148148148148

    54.6128.554.654.654.6

    59.971717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.666666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.676.6

    02250

    200100200

    800100800

    000

    150150150

    800800800

    00300

    6060240

    180180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    RED Warning from July 1983

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Day of Incident (mm)

    392.1392.1392.1392.1

    531.3531.3531.3531.3

    224.9224.9224.9224.9

    357.4357.4357.4357.4

    559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6391.6391.6

    485485485485

    202.7202.7202.7202.7

    315.7315.7315.7315.7

    249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202202202202

    253.7253.7253.7253.7

    266.6266.6266.6266.6

    303.8303.8303.8303.8

    222.8222.8222.8222.8

    324.7324.7324.7324.7

    352352352352

    304.9304.9304.9304.9

    239.3239.3239.3239.3

    266.3266.3266.3266.3

    304.4304.4304.4304.4

    363.2363.2363.2363.2

    242.8242.8242.8242.8

    364.5364.5364.5364.5

    281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4338.4338.4338.4

    130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8313.8313.8313.8

    171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.2318.2318.2318.2

    238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.5319.5319.5319.5

    507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8359.8359.8

    586.3586.3586.3586.3

    726.6726.6726.6726.6

    365.1365.1365.1365.1

    247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5591.5591.5

    444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.141.141.141.1

    61.261.261.261.2

    65656565

    228.1228.1228.1228.1

    63.163.163.163.1

    340.2340.2340.2340.2

    475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.8212.8212.8212.8

    283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4185.4185.4185.4

    136.3136.3136.3136.3

    231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2406.2406.2

    788.9788.9788.9788.9

    800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3556.3556.3556.3

    391.5391.5391.5391.5

    359.1359.1359.1359.1

    256.7256.7256.7256.7

    127.9127.9127.9127.9

    400.4400.4400.4400.4

    92.292.292.292.2

    363.6363.6363.6363.6

    64.664.664.664.6

    229.9229.9229.9229.9

    249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5347.5347.5

    561.3561.3561.3561.3

    714.2714.2714.2714.2

    443.9443.9443.9443.9

    123.9123.9123.9123.9

    294.7294.7294.7294.7

    371.5371.5371.5371.5

    547.3547.3547.3547.3

    207.3207.3207.3207.3

    81.681.681.681.6

    85.485.485.485.4

    139.4139.4139.4139.4

    168.7168.7168.7168.7

    279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331331331

    448.9448.9448.9448.9

    62.962.962.962.9

    135.2135.2135.2135.2

    238.7238.7238.7238.7

    292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9145.9145.9145.9

    102102102102

    81.481.481.481.4

    166.3166.3166.3166.3

    112.8112.8112.8112.8

    149.6149.6149.6149.6

    138.8138.8138.8138.8

    32.332.332.332.3

    261261261261

    717.5717.5717.5717.5

    124.1124.1124.1124.1

    376.8376.8376.8376.8

    105105105105

    148148148148

    54.654.654.654.6

    71717171

    180.8180.8180.8180.8

    321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8188.8188.8

    456.9456.9456.9456.9

    663.7663.7663.7663.7

    125.2125.2125.2125.2

    89.989.989.989.9

    207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6375.6375.6

    669.9669.9669.9669.9

    199.1199.1199.1199.1

    158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.2157.2157.2157.2

    109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.4197.4197.4197.4

    172.7172.7172.7172.7

    254.7254.7254.7254.7

    66666666

    222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.676.676.6

    30022500

    100100200200

    100100800800

    002000

    150150100150

    800800100800

    000300

    606060240

    180180180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    A

    B

    C

    RED Warning

    RED Warning from July 1983

    Alternative C

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 Day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on day of Event (mm)

    147.9392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6

    80.2485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.2

    163.1656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9

    62.3102102102

    68.381.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.3

    209261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105

    33.3148148148

    54.6128.554.654.6

    59.9717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.6666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.6

    00

    200200

    800800

    00

    150150

    800800

    0300

    60240

    180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Day of Incident (mm)

    Record of Landslide Incidents in Hong Kong1930 - 1982

    Incident No.DateCategoryRainfall on day (mm)Antecedent Rainfall (mm)Minor IncidentSevere IncidentDisastrous IncidentRED WarningAMBER WarningRED Warning from July 1983Alternative COld REDold Amber

    17/24/30M147.9392.1147.9

    27/25/30M85.8531.385.8

    39/16/30M132.5224.9132.5

    49/17/30M202.2357.4202.2

    59/18/30M36.9559.636.9

    67/30/32D107.5391.6107.5

    77/31/32M80.248580.2

    88/28/32S113.4202.7113.4

    98/29/32M30.8315.730.8

    106/30/33M34.2249.934.2

    116/22/34S230.1202230.1

    127/29/34M139.9253.7139.9

    138/18/34M118.3266.6118.3

    148/19/34M65.3303.865.3

    158/2/36M136.5222.8136.5

    168/4/36M66324.766

    178/17/36M8535285

    187/5/37M69.9304.969.9

    198/22/37M52239.352

    206/7/47M159.4266.3159.4

    216/12/48M76.6304.476.6

    227/28/48M107.4363.2107.4

    236/25/49M164.1242.8164.1

    246/26/49M105.7364.5105.7

    255/14/51M14.4281.314.4

    266/7/51S135.5338.4135.5

    276/13/52M155.9130.4155.9

    289/14/52S141.2313.8141.2

    299/19/53M95.8171.395.8

    305/11/55S69.1318.269.1

    317/11/55M29.6238.829.6

    327/18/55S62.5319.562.5

    337/23/55M17.9507.417.9

    345/21/57S136.1223.7136.1

    355/22/57D246.2359.8246.2

    365/25/57M27.8586.327.8

    375/29/57M59.9726.659.9

    387/18/57M10.1365.110.1

    397/26/58M81.8247.181.8

    406/13/59S175.5236.9175.5

    416/15/59D270.3591.5270.3

    428/10/59M16.5444.816.5

    435/6/60M41.541.141.5

    445/14/60M96.161.296.1

    456/8/60M163.165163.1

    466/9/60S236.1228.1236.1

    473/19/61M90.663.190.6

    489/4/61M45340.245

    499/10/61M122475.2122

    508/16/64S72.7212.872.7

    519/11/64M120.2283.2120.2

    5210/13/64S246.5185.4246.5

    535/11/65M78136.378

    549/29/65M6.2231.36.2

    556/15/66D382.6406.2382.6

    566/13/66M33.7788.933.7

    576/15/66M31.4800.731.4

    586/13/68S200556.3200

    596/19/68M104.1391.5104.1

    607/4/68M96.2359.196.2

    616/5/69M134.6256.7134.6

    625/13/70M265.1127.9265.1

    635/26/70M86.5400.486.5

    648/3/70M140.992.2140.9

    659/10/70M26.8363.626.8

    666/7/71M78.464.678.4

    678/17/71S288.1229.9288.1

    685/10/72M116.2249.6116.2

    695/11/72S208.8365.8208.8

    706/16/72S205.9141.6205.9

    716/17/72D213.8347.5213.8

    726/18/72D232.6561.3232.6

    736/21/72M0714.20

    748/21/72M41.9443.941.9

    755/6/73M136.5123.9136.5

    767/9/73M67.6294.767.6

    777/17/73M172.1371.5172.1

    789/2/73M69.8547.369.8

    796/23/77M91.991.9

    809/6/77M67.3207.367.3

    814/12/78M081.60

    824/16/78M68.785.468.7

    835/18/78M76.8139.476.8

    847/27/78M110.5168.7110.5

    857/28/78M52.6279.252.6

    867/29/78D118.5331118.5

    877/30/78M71.5448.971.5

    888/27/78M45.862.945.8

    899/26/78M61135.261

    9010/1/78M56.3238.756.3

    9110/2/78M4.3292.44.3

    9210/17/78S284.8145.9284.8

    934/3/79M62.310262.3

    945/13/79M68.381.468.3

    955/15/79M69.2166.369.2

    966/10/79m36.8112.836.8

    976/11/79M113.6149.6113.6

    987/1/79M44.8138.844.8

    997/30/79M129.332.3129.3

    1008/2/79M209261209

    1018/11/79M26.1717.526.1

    1029/23/79M245.2124.1245.2

    1039/25/79M31.6376.831.6

    1045/11/81M96.110596.1

    1056/5/81M33.314833.3

    1069/29/81S128.554.6128.5

    1074/23/82M59.97159.9

    1084/27/82M36.8180.836.8

    1095/7/82M55.9321.655.9

    1105/29/82D258.4188.8258.4

    1115/31/82S205.5456.9205.5

    1126/2/82M22.1663.722.1

    1137/3/82M54.3125.254.3

    1148/1/82M114.989.9114.9

    1158/3/82M204.2207.6204.2

    1168/16/82D334.2375.6334.2

    1178/18/82M47.6669.947.6

    1189/16/82M73.8199.173.8

    1192/21/83M4.7158.64.7

    1203/2/83S81.4157.281.4

    1213/17/83M4.1109.24.1

    1223/27/83S98.6197.498.6

    1234/5/83M37.1172.737.1

    1244/8/83M57.7254.757.7

    1255/15/83M90.66690.6

    1265/27/83M51.6222.351.6

    1276/17/83D346.776.6346.7

    0300200225

    20010060100

    80010060100

    0200

    150100

    800100

    0330300

    60260240

    180180120

    32512565

    5009540

    7008535

    8008035

    DISASTER

    SEVERE

    MINOR

    ISOLATED

    147.9392.1392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.261.2

    163.165656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9145.9

    62.3102102102102

    68.381.481.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.332.3

    209261261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105105

    33.3148148148148

    54.6128.554.654.654.6

    59.971717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.666666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.676.6

    000

    200200200

    800800800

    000

    150150150

    800800800

    0330300

    60260240

    180180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    Old RED

    RED Warning (1977 - 1979)

    old Amber

    Amber Warning (1977 - 1979)

    Antecedent Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Day (mm)

    392.1392.1

    531.3531.3

    224.9224.9

    357.4357.4

    559.6559.6

    391.6391.6

    485485

    202.7202.7

    315.7315.7

    249.9249.9

    202202

    253.7253.7

    266.6266.6

    303.8303.8

    222.8222.8

    324.7324.7

    352352

    304.9304.9

    239.3239.3

    266.3266.3

    304.4304.4

    363.2363.2

    242.8242.8

    364.5364.5

    281.3281.3

    338.4338.4

    130.4130.4

    313.8313.8

    171.3171.3

    318.2318.2

    238.8238.8

    319.5319.5

    507.4507.4

    223.7223.7

    359.8359.8

    586.3586.3

    726.6726.6

    365.1365.1

    247.1247.1

    236.9236.9

    591.5591.5

    444.8444.8

    41.141.1

    61.261.2

    6565

    228.1228.1

    63.163.1

    340.2340.2

    475.2475.2

    212.8212.8

    283.2283.2

    185.4185.4

    136.3136.3

    231.3231.3

    406.2406.2

    788.9788.9

    800.7800.7

    556.3556.3

    391.5391.5

    359.1359.1

    256.7256.7

    127.9127.9

    400.4400.4

    92.292.2

    363.6363.6

    64.664.6

    229.9229.9

    249.6249.6

    365.8365.8

    141.6141.6

    347.5347.5

    561.3561.3

    714.2714.2

    443.9443.9

    123.9123.9

    294.7294.7

    371.5371.5

    547.3547.3

    207.3207.3

    81.681.6

    85.485.4

    139.4139.4

    168.7168.7

    279.2279.2

    331331

    448.9448.9

    62.962.9

    135.2135.2

    238.7238.7

    292.4292.4

    145.9145.9

    102102

    81.481.4

    166.3166.3

    112.8112.8

    149.6149.6

    138.8138.8

    32.332.3

    261261

    717.5717.5

    124.1124.1

    376.8376.8

    105105

    148148

    54.654.6

    7171

    180.8180.8

    321.6321.6

    188.8188.8

    456.9456.9

    663.7663.7

    125.2125.2

    89.989.9

    207.6207.6

    375.6375.6

    669.9669.9

    199.1199.1

    158.6158.6

    157.2157.2

    109.2109.2

    197.4197.4

    172.7172.7

    254.7254.7

    6666

    222.3222.3

    76.676.6

    00

    200200

    800800

    00

    150150

    800800

    330300

    260240

    180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Old RED

    RED Warning

    old Amber

    AMBER Warning

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Landslide Incident Day (mm)

    Warning Levels used 1977 - 1979

    392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1

    531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3

    224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9

    357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4

    559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6391.6391.6391.6

    485485485485485

    202.7202.7202.7202.7202.7

    315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7

    249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202202202202202

    253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7

    266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6

    303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8

    222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8

    324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7

    352352352352352

    304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3

    266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3

    304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4

    363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2

    242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8

    364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5

    281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4338.4338.4338.4338.4

    130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8313.8313.8313.8313.8

    171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.2318.2318.2318.2318.2

    238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5

    507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7223.7223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8359.8359.8359.8

    586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3

    726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6

    365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9236.9236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5591.5591.5591.5

    444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.141.141.141.141.1

    61.261.261.261.261.2

    6565656565

    228.1228.1228.1228.1228.1

    63.163.163.163.163.1

    340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2

    475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.8212.8212.8212.8212.8

    283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4185.4185.4185.4185.4

    136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3

    231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2406.2406.2406.2

    788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9

    800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3556.3556.3556.3556.3

    391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5

    359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1

    256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7

    127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9

    400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4

    92.292.292.292.292.2

    363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6

    64.664.664.664.664.6

    229.9229.9229.9229.9229.9

    249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8365.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6141.6141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5347.5347.5347.5

    561.3561.3561.3561.3561.3

    714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2

    443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9

    294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7

    371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5

    547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3

    207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    81.681.681.681.681.6

    85.485.485.485.485.4

    139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4

    168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7

    279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331331331331

    448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9

    62.962.962.962.962.9

    135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2

    238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7

    292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9145.9145.9145.9145.9

    102102102102102

    81.481.481.481.481.4

    166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3

    112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    32.332.332.332.332.3

    261261261261261

    717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5

    124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1

    376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8

    105105105105105

    148148148148148

    54.654.654.654.654.6

    7171717171

    180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8188.8188.8188.8

    456.9456.9456.9456.9456.9

    663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7

    125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2

    89.989.989.989.989.9

    207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6375.6375.6375.6

    669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9

    199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1

    158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.2157.2157.2157.2157.2

    109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.4197.4197.4197.4197.4

    172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7

    254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    6666666666

    222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.676.676.676.6

    30020022500

    10060100200200

    10060100800800

    00000

    150150150150150

    800800800800800

    000330300

    606060260240

    180180180180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    RED Warning

    AMBER Warning

    RED Warning from July 1983

    Old RED

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Landslide Incident Day (mm)

    Warning Levels 1980 - 1984

    147.9392.1392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.261.2

    163.165656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9145.9

    62.3102102102102

    68.381.481.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.332.3

    209261261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105105

    33.3148148148148

    54.6128.554.654.654.6

    59.971717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.666666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.676.6

    02250

    200100200

    800100800

    000

    150150150

    800800800

    00300

    6060240

    180180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    RED Warning from July 1983

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on Day of Incident (mm)

    392.1392.1392.1392.1

    531.3531.3531.3531.3

    224.9224.9224.9224.9

    357.4357.4357.4357.4

    559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6391.6391.6

    485485485485

    202.7202.7202.7202.7

    315.7315.7315.7315.7

    249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202202202202

    253.7253.7253.7253.7

    266.6266.6266.6266.6

    303.8303.8303.8303.8

    222.8222.8222.8222.8

    324.7324.7324.7324.7

    352352352352

    304.9304.9304.9304.9

    239.3239.3239.3239.3

    266.3266.3266.3266.3

    304.4304.4304.4304.4

    363.2363.2363.2363.2

    242.8242.8242.8242.8

    364.5364.5364.5364.5

    281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4338.4338.4338.4

    130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8313.8313.8313.8

    171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.2318.2318.2318.2

    238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.5319.5319.5319.5

    507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8359.8359.8

    586.3586.3586.3586.3

    726.6726.6726.6726.6

    365.1365.1365.1365.1

    247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5591.5591.5

    444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.141.141.141.1

    61.261.261.261.2

    65656565

    228.1228.1228.1228.1

    63.163.163.163.1

    340.2340.2340.2340.2

    475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.8212.8212.8212.8

    283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4185.4185.4185.4

    136.3136.3136.3136.3

    231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2406.2406.2

    788.9788.9788.9788.9

    800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3556.3556.3556.3

    391.5391.5391.5391.5

    359.1359.1359.1359.1

    256.7256.7256.7256.7

    127.9127.9127.9127.9

    400.4400.4400.4400.4

    92.292.292.292.2

    363.6363.6363.6363.6

    64.664.664.664.6

    229.9229.9229.9229.9

    249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5347.5347.5

    561.3561.3561.3561.3

    714.2714.2714.2714.2

    443.9443.9443.9443.9

    123.9123.9123.9123.9

    294.7294.7294.7294.7

    371.5371.5371.5371.5

    547.3547.3547.3547.3

    207.3207.3207.3207.3

    81.681.681.681.6

    85.485.485.485.4

    139.4139.4139.4139.4

    168.7168.7168.7168.7

    279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331331331

    448.9448.9448.9448.9

    62.962.962.962.9

    135.2135.2135.2135.2

    238.7238.7238.7238.7

    292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9145.9145.9145.9

    102102102102

    81.481.481.481.4

    166.3166.3166.3166.3

    112.8112.8112.8112.8

    149.6149.6149.6149.6

    138.8138.8138.8138.8

    32.332.332.332.3

    261261261261

    717.5717.5717.5717.5

    124.1124.1124.1124.1

    376.8376.8376.8376.8

    105105105105

    148148148148

    54.654.654.654.6

    71717171

    180.8180.8180.8180.8

    321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8188.8188.8

    456.9456.9456.9456.9

    663.7663.7663.7663.7

    125.2125.2125.2125.2

    89.989.989.989.9

    207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6375.6375.6

    669.9669.9669.9669.9

    199.1199.1199.1199.1

    158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.2157.2157.2157.2

    109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.4197.4197.4197.4

    172.7172.7172.7172.7

    254.7254.7254.7254.7

    66666666

    222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.676.676.6

    30022500

    100100200200

    100100800800

    002000

    150150100150

    800800100800

    000300

    606060240

    180180180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    A

    B

    C

    RED Warning

    RED Warning from July 1983

    Alternative C

    old Amber

    Antecedent 15 Day Rainfall (mm)

    Rainfall on day of Event (mm)

    147.9392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6

    80.2485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.2

    163.1656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9

    62.3102102102

    68.381.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.3

    209261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105

    33.3148148148

    54.6128.554.654.6

    59.9717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.6666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.6

    00

    200200

    800800

    00

    150150

    800800

    0300

    60240

    180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    old Amber

    DISASTER

    SEVERE

    MINOR

    ISOLATED

  • *Landslide Warning System 2: (1980 - mid 1983)Advantage: Much easier to identify whether WARNING should be called - even when chart is not to hand.

    Chart2

    147.9392.1392.1392.1392.1392.1

    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485485

    202.7113.4202.7202.7202.7202.7

    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7

    34.2249.9249.9249.9249.9249.9

    202230.1202202202202

    139.9253.7253.7253.7253.7253.7

    118.3266.6266.6266.6266.6266.6

    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8

    66324.7324.7324.7324.7324.7

    85352352352352352

    69.9304.9304.9304.9304.9304.9

    52239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3

    76.6304.4304.4304.4304.4304.4

    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3

    338.4135.5338.4338.4338.4338.4

    155.9130.4130.4130.4130.4130.4

    313.8141.2313.8313.8313.8313.8

    95.8171.3171.3171.3171.3171.3

    318.269.1318.2318.2318.2318.2

    29.6238.8238.8238.8238.8238.8

    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4

    223.7136.1223.7223.7223.7223.7

    359.8359.8246.2359.8359.8359.8

    27.8586.3586.3586.3586.3586.3

    59.9726.6726.6726.6726.6726.6

    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

    81.8247.1247.1247.1247.1247.1

    236.9175.5236.9236.9236.9236.9

    591.5591.5270.3591.5591.5591.5

    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8

    41.541.141.141.141.141.1

    96.161.261.261.261.261.2

    163.16565656565

    228.1236.1228.1228.1228.1228.1

    90.663.163.163.163.163.1

    45340.2340.2340.2340.2340.2

    122475.2475.2475.2475.2475.2

    212.872.7212.8212.8212.8212.8

    120.2283.2283.2283.2283.2283.2

    185.4246.5185.4185.4185.4185.4

    78136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3

    6.2231.3231.3231.3231.3231.3

    406.2406.2382.6406.2406.2406.2

    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7

    556.3200556.3556.3556.3556.3

    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5

    96.2359.1359.1359.1359.1359.1

    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7

    265.1127.9127.9127.9127.9127.9

    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.292.2

    26.8363.6363.6363.6363.6363.6

    78.464.664.664.664.664.6

    229.9288.1229.9229.9229.9229.9

    116.2249.6249.6249.6249.6249.6

    365.8208.8365.8365.8365.8365.8

    141.6205.9141.6141.6141.6141.6

    347.5347.5213.8347.5347.5347.5

    561.3561.3232.6561.3561.3561.3

    0714.2714.2714.2714.2714.2

    41.9443.9443.9443.9443.9443.9

    136.5123.9123.9123.9123.9123.9

    67.6294.7294.7294.7294.7294.7

    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5

    69.8547.3547.3547.3547.3547.3

    91.9

    67.3207.3207.3207.3207.3207.3

    081.681.681.681.681.6

    68.785.485.485.485.485.4

    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2

    331331118.5331331331

    71.5448.9448.9448.9448.9448.9

    45.862.962.962.962.962.9

    61135.2135.2135.2135.2135.2

    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7

    4.3292.4292.4292.4292.4292.4

    145.9284.8145.9145.9145.9145.9

    62.3102102102102102

    68.381.481.481.481.481.4

    69.2166.3166.3166.3166.3166.3

    36.8112.8112.8112.8112.8112.8

    113.6149.6149.6149.6149.6149.6

    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

    129.332.332.332.332.332.3

    209261261261261261

    26.1717.5717.5717.5717.5717.5

    245.2124.1124.1124.1124.1124.1

    31.6376.8376.8376.8376.8376.8

    96.1105105105105105

    33.3148148148148148

    54.6128.554.654.654.654.6

    59.97171717171

    36.8180.8180.8180.8180.8180.8

    55.9321.6321.6321.6321.6321.6

    188.8188.8258.4188.8188.8188.8

    456.9205.5456.9456.9456.9456.9

    22.1663.7663.7663.7663.7663.7

    54.3125.2125.2125.2125.2125.2

    114.989.989.989.989.989.9

    204.2207.6207.6207.6207.6207.6

    375.6375.6334.2375.6375.6375.6

    47.6669.9669.9669.9669.9669.9

    73.8199.1199.1199.1199.1199.1

    4.7158.6158.6158.6158.6158.6

    157.281.4157.2157.2157.2157.2

    4.1109.2109.2109.2109.2109.2

    197.498.6197.4197.4197.4197.4

    37.1172.7172.7172.7172.7172.7

    57.7254.7254.7254.7254.7254.7

    90.66666666666

    51.6222.3222.3222.3222.3222.3

    76.676.6346.776.676.676.6

    03002000

    20010060200

    80010060800

    0000

    150150150150

    800800800800

    000300

    606060240

    180180180120

    65

    40

    35

    35

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    RED Warning

    AMBER Warning

    old Amber

    Sheet1

    Sheet1

    392.1392.1

    531.3531.3

    224.9224.9

    357.4357.4

    559.6559.6

    391.6391.6

    485485

    202.7202.7

    315.7315.7

    249.9249.9

    202202

    253.7253.7

    266.6266.6

    303.8303.8

    222.8222.8

    324.7324.7

    352352

    304.9304.9

    239.3239.3

    266.3266.3

    304.4304.4

    363.2363.2

    242.8242.8

    364.5364.5

    281.3281.3

    338.4338.4

    130.4130.4

    313.8313.8

    171.3171.3

    318.2318.2

    238.8238.8

    319.5319.5

    507.4507.4

    223.7223.7

    359.8359.8

    586.3586.3

    726.6726.6

    365.1365.1

    247.1247.1

    236.9236.9

    591.5591.5

    444.8444.8

    41.141.1

    61.261.2

    6565

    228.1228.1

    63.163.1

    340.2340.2

    475.2475.2

    212.8212.8

    283.2283.2

    185.4185.4

    136.3136.3

    231.3231.3

    406.2406.2

    788.9788.9

    800.7800.7

    556.3556.3

    391.5391.5

    359.1359.1

    256.7256.7

    127.9127.9

    400.4400.4

    92.292.2

    363.6363.6

    64.664.6

    229.9229.9

    249.6249.6

    365.8365.8

    141.6141.6

    347.5347.5

    561.3561.3

    714.2714.2

    443.9443.9

    123.9123.9

    294.7294.7

    371.5371.5

    547.3547.3

    207.3207.3

    81.681.6

    85.485.4

    139.4139.4

    168.7168.7

    279.2279.2

    331331

    448.9448.9

    62.962.9

    135.2135.2

    238.7238.7

    292.4292.4

    145.9145.9

    102102

    81.481.4

    166.3166.3

    112.8112.8

    149.6149.6

    138.8138.8

    32.332.3

    261261

    717.5717.5

    124.1124.1

    376.8376.8

    105105

    148148

    54.654.6

    7171

    180.8180.8

    321.6321.6

    188.8188.8

    456.9456.9

    663.7663.7

    125.2125.2

    89.989.9

    207.6207.6

    375.6375.6

    669.9669.9

    199.1199.1

    158.6158.6

    157.2157.2

    109.2109.2

    197.4197.4

    172.7172.7

    254.7254.7

    6666

    222.3222.3

    76.676.6

    00

    200200

    800800

    00

    150150

    800800

    330300

    260240

    180120

    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Old RED

    RED Warning

    old Amber

    AMBER Warning

    Warning Levels used 1977 - 1979

    landslide_data

    Record of Landslide Incidents in Hong Kong1930 - 1982

    Incident No.DateCategoryRainfall on day (mm)Antecedent Rainfall (mm)Minor IncidentSevere IncidentDisastrous IncidentRED WarningAMBER WarningRED Warning from July 1983Alternative COld REDold Amber

    17/24/30M147.9392.1147.9

    27/25/30M85.8531.385.8

    39/16/30M132.5224.9132.5

    49/17/30M202.2357.4202.2

    59/18/30M36.9559.636.9

    67/30/32D107.5391.6107.5

    77/31/32M80.248580.2

    88/28/32S113.4202.7113.4

    98/29/32M30.8315.730.8

    106/30/33M34.2249.934.2

    116/22/34S230.1202230.1

    127/29/34M139.9253.7139.9

    138/18/34M118.3266.6118.3

    148/19/34M65.3303.865.3

    158/2/36M136.5222.8136.5

    168/4/36M66324.766

    178/17/36M8535285

    187/5/37M69.9304.969.9

    198/22/37M52239.352

    206/7/47M159.4266.3159.4

    216/12/48M76.6304.476.6

    227/28/48M107.4363.2107.4

    236/25/49M164.1242.8164.1

    246/26/49M105.7364.5105.7

    255/14/51M14.4281.314.4

    266/7/51S135.5338.4135.5

    276/13/52M155.9130.4155.9

    289/14/52S141.2313.8141.2

    299/19/53M95.8171.395.8

    305/11/55S69.1318.269.1

    317/11/55M29.6238.829.6

    327/18/55S62.5319.562.5

    337/23/55M17.9507.417.9

    345/21/57S136.1223.7136.1

    355/22/57D246.2359.8246.2

    365/25/57M27.8586.327.8

    375/29/57M59.9726.659.9

    387/18/57M10.1365.110.1

    397/26/58M81.8247.181.8

    406/13/59S175.5236.9175.5

    416/15/59D270.3591.5270.3

    428/10/59M16.5444.816.5

    435/6/60M41.541.141.5

    445/14/60M96.161.296.1

    456/8/60M163.165163.1

    466/9/60S236.1228.1236.1

    473/19/61M90.663.190.6

    489/4/61M45340.245

    499/10/61M122475.2122

    508/16/64S72.7212.872.7

    519/11/64M120.2283.2120.2

    5210/13/64S246.5185.4246.5

    535/11/65M78136.378

    549/29/65M6.2231.36.2

    556/15/66D382.6406.2382.6

    566/13/66M33.7788.933.7

    576/15/66M31.4800.731.4

    586/13/68S200556.3200

    596/19/68M104.1391.5104.1

    607/4/68M96.2359.196.2

    616/5/69M134.6256.7134.6

    625/13/70M265.1127.9265.1

    635/26/70M86.5400.486.5

    648/3/70M140.992.2140.9

    659/10/70M26.8363.626.8

    666/7/71M78.464.678.4

    678/17/71S288.1229.9288.1

    685/10/72M116.2249.6116.2

    695/11/72S208.8365.8208.8

    706/16/72S205.9141.6205.9

    716/17/72D213.8347.5213.8

    726/18/72D232.6561.3232.6

    736/21/72M0714.20

    748/21/72M41.9443.941.9

    755/6/73M136.5123.9136.5

    767/9/73M67.6294.767.6

    777/17/73M172.1371.5172.1

    789/2/73M69.8547.369.8

    796/23/77M91.991.9

    809/6/77M67.3207.367.3

    814/12/78M081.60

    824/16/78M68.785.468.7

    835/18/78M76.8139.476.8

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    landslide_data

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    85.8531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3531.3

    132.5224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9224.9

    202.2357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4357.4

    36.9559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6559.6

    391.6391.6107.5391.6391.6391.6391.6391.6391.6

    80.2485485485485485485485485

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    30.8315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7315.7

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    202230.1202202202202202202202

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    65.3303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8303.8

    136.5222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8222.8

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    85352352352352352352352352

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    52239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3239.3

    159.4266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3266.3

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    107.4363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2363.2

    164.1242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8242.8

    105.7364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5364.5

    14.4281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3281.3

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    319.562.5319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5319.5

    17.9507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4507.4

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    10.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1365.1

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    16.5444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8444.8

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    163.16565656565656565

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    78136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3136.3

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    33.7788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9788.9

    31.4800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7800.7

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    104.1391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5391.5

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    134.6256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7256.7

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    86.5400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4400.4

    140.992.292.292.292.292.292.292.292.2

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    78.464.664.664.664.664.664.664.664.6

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    172.1371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5371.5

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    76.8139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4139.4

    110.5168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7168.7

    52.6279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2279.2

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    56.3238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7238.7

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    44.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8138.8

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    96.1105105105105105105105105

    33.3148148148148148148148148

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    12565

    9540

    8535

    8035

    Minor Incident

    Severe Incident

    Disastrous Incident

    RED Warning

    AMBER Warning

    RED Warning from July 1983

    Alternative C

    Old RED

    old Amber

    landslide_data (2)

    392.1392.1

    531.3531.3

    224.9224.9

    357.4357.4

    559.6559.6

    391.6391.6

    485485

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    363.2363.2

    242.8242.8

    364.5364.5

    281.3281.3

    338.4338.4

    130.4130.4

    313.8313.8

    171.3171.3

    318.2318.2

    238.8238.8

    319.5319.5

    507.4507.4

    223.7223.7

    359.8359.8

    586.3586.3

    726.6726.6

    365.1365.1

    247.1247.1

    236.9236.9

    591.5591.5

    444.8444.8

    41.141.1

    61.261.2

    6565

    22