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    Future and Challenges in Retail Business

    Presented By:

    ANKIT SHAH S-320

    FARAZ QURESHI S-318

    KAPIL JAIN S-308NISHANT KARMAVAT S-310

    RAVI PANDEY S-314

    Project report submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for third

    year of Bachelor of Management Studies

    KHAR EDUCATION SOCIETY

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    RETAIL

    MANAGEMENT

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    Declaration

    We, FARAZ QUIRESHI, ANKIT SHAH, RAVI PANDEY, KAPIL JAIN,

    NISHANT KARMAVAT Students of Khar Education Societys College of

    Commerce and Economic of T.Y.B.M.S. (SEMESTER VI) hereby declare

    that we have completed this project on FUTURE AND CHALLENGES IN

    RETAIL BUSINESS in the academic year 2011-2012. The information

    submitted is true and original to the best of my knowledge.

    (SIGNATURE OF THE STUDENTS)

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    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    It is the matter of great pleasure and privilege to be able to present this

    project report on FUTURE AND CHALLENGES IN RETAIL BUSINESS.

    The compilation of the project is a milestone in the life of the management

    students and its execution is inevitable with the co-operation of the project guide.

    We wish to record a deep sense of respect and gratitude to our project guide, Prof.

    Kishore Dave for his encouragement to course of our work. It is due to the

    enduring effort and guidance of our guide that ultimately made it success.

    We also take this opportunity to express our deep regards and gratitude to

    the Principle Dr.Nandini Deshmukh mam and would like to thank the head of

    B.M.S. department Prof. Jaya Dudani who gave us guidance to take up and pursue

    the project.

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    Table Of Contents

    1. Introduction2. Retail Marketing3. Types of Retail Format4. THE INDIAN RETAIL SCENE5. STRATEGIES, TRENDS AND OPPORTUNITIES6. PROBLEMS FACED ININDIA7. Recent Trends8. CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES9. CONCLUSION10.

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    INTRODUCTION

    The India Retail Industry is the largest among all the industries, accounting for

    over 10 per cent of the countrys GDP and around 8 per cent of the employment.

    The Retail Industry in India has come forth as one of the most dynamic and fast

    paced industries with several players entering the market. But all of them have

    not yet tasted success because of the heavy initial investments that are required

    to break even with other companies and compete with them. The India Retail

    Industry is gradually inching its way towards becoming the next boom industry.

    The total concept and idea of shopping has undergone an attention drawing

    change in terms of format and consumer buying behavior, ushering in arevolution in shopping in India. Modern retailing has entered into the Retail

    market in India as is observed in the form of bustling shopping centers, multi-

    storied malls and the huge complexes that offer shopping, entertainment and

    food all under one roof.

    A large young working population with median age of 24 years, nuclear families in

    urban areas, along with increasing workingwomen population and emerging

    opportunities in the services sector are going to be the key factors in the growthof the organized Retail sector in India. The growth pattern in organized retailing

    and in the consumption made by the Indian population will follow a rising graph

    helping the newer businessmen to enter the India Retail Industry.

    In India the vast middle class and its almost untapped retail industry are the key

    attractive forces for global retail giants wanting to enter into newer markets,

    which in turn will help the India Retail Industry to grow faster. Indian retail is

    expected to grow 25 per cent annually. Modern retail in India could be worth US$

    175-200 billion by 2016. The Food Retail Industry in India dominates the shopping

    basket. The Mobile phone Retail Industry in India is already a US$ 16.7 billion

    business, growing at over 20 per cent per year. The future of the India Retail

    Industry looks promising with the growing of the market, with the government

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    policies becoming more favorable and the emerging technologies facilitating

    operations.

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    RetailMarketing

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    THE INDIAN RETAIL SCENE

    India is the country having the most unorganized retail market. Traditionally it is a

    familys livelihood, with their shop in the front and house at the back, while they

    run the retail business. More than 99% retailers function in less than 500 squarefeet of shopping space .Global retail consultants KSA Technopak have estimated

    that organized retailing in India is expected to touch Rs:35,000 crore in the year

    2005-06. The Indian retail sector is estimated at around Rs:900,000 crore, of

    which the organized sector accounts for a mere 2 per cent indicating a huge

    potential market opportunity that is lying in the waiting for the consumer-savvy

    organized retailer.

    Purchasing power of Indian urban consumer is growing and branded merchandise

    in categories like Apparels, Cosmetics, Shoes, Watches, Beverages, Food and evenJewellery, are slowly becoming lifestyle products that are widely accepted by the

    urban Indian consumer. Indian retailers need to advantage of this growth and

    aiming to grow, diversify and introduce new formats have to pay more attention

    to the brand building process. The emphasis here is on retail as a brand rather

    than retailers selling brands. The focus should be on branding the retail business

    itself. In their preparation to face fierce competitive pressure, Indian retailers

    must come to recognize the value of building their own stores as brands to

    reinforce their marketing positioning, to communicate quality as well as value for

    money. Sustainable competitive advantage will be dependent on translating corevalues combining products, image and reputation into a coherent retail brand

    strategy.

    There is no doubt that the Indian retail scene is booming. A number of large

    corporate houses like Tatas, Rahejas, Piramalss, Goenkas have already made

    their foray into this arena, with beauty and health stores, supermarkets, self-

    service music stores, new age book stores, every-day-low-price stores, computers

    and peripherals stores, office equipment stores and home/building construction

    stores. Today the organized players have attacked every retail category. TheIndian retail scene has witnessed too many players in too short a time, crowding

    several categories without looking at their core competencies, or having a well

    thought out branding strategy.

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    STRATEGIES, TRENDS AND OPPORTUNITIES 2007

    Retailing in India is gradually inching its way toward becoming the next boomindustry. The whole concept of shopping has altered in terms of format and

    consumer buying behavior, ushering in a revolution in shopping in India. Modern

    retail has entered India as seen in sprawling shopping centers, multi-storied malls

    and huge complexes offer shopping, entertainment and food all under one roof.

    The Indian retailing sector is at an inflexion point where the growth of organized

    retailing and growth in the consumption by the Indian population is going to take

    a higher growth trajectory. The Indian population is witnessing a significant

    change in its demographics. A large young working population with median age of

    24 years, nuclear families in urban areas, along with increasing workingwomenpopulation and emerging opportunities in the services sector are going to be the

    key growth drivers of the organized retail sector in India.

    Growth over 1997-2010

    India in 1997 allowed foreign direct investment (FDI) in cash and carry wholesale.

    Then, it required government approval. The approval requirement was relaxed,

    and automatic permission was granted in 2006.Between 2000 to 2010, Indian

    retail attracted about $1.8 billion in foreign direct investment, representing a very

    small 1.5% of total investment flow into India.

    Single brand retailing attracted 94 proposals between 2006 and 2010, of which 57

    were approved and implemented. For a country of 1.2 billion people, this is a very

    small number. Some claim one of the primary restraints inhibiting better

    participation was that India required single brand retailers to limit their

    ownership in Indian outlets to 51%. China in contrast allows 100% ownership by

    foreign companies in both single brand and multi-brand retail presence.

    Indian retail has experienced limited growth, and its spoilage of food harvest is

    amongst the highest in the world, because of very limited integrated cold-chainand other infrastructure. India has only 5386 stand-alone cold storages, having a

    total capacity of 23.6 million metric tons. However, 80 percent of this storage is

    used only for potatoes. The remaining infrastructure capacity is less than 1% of

    the annual farm output of India and grossly inadequate during peak harvest

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    seasons. This leads to about 30% losses in certain perishable agricultural output in

    India, on average, every year

    Indian laws already allow foreign direct investment in cold-chain infrastructure to

    the extent of 100 percent. There has been no interest in foreign direct investment

    in cold storage infrastructure build out. Experts claim that cold storage

    infrastructure will become economically viable only when there is strong and

    contractually-binding demand from organized retail. The risk of cold storing

    perishable food, without an assured way to move and sell it, puts the economic

    viability of expensive cold storage in doubt. In the absence of organized retail

    competition and with a ban on foreign direct investment in multi-brand retailers,

    foreign direct investments are unlikely to begin in cold storage and farm logistics

    infrastructure.

    Until 2010, intermediaries and middlemen in India have dominated the valuechain. Due to a number of intermediaries involved in the traditional Indian retail

    chain, norms are flouted and pricing lacks transparency. Small Indian farmers

    realize only 1/3rd of the total price paid by the final Indian consumer, as against

    2/3rd by farmers in nations with a higher share of organized retail. The 60%+

    margins for middlemen and traditional retail shops have limited growth and

    prevented innovation in Indian retail industry.

    India has had years of debate and discussions on the risks and prudence of

    allowing innovation and competition within its retail industry. Numerous

    economists repeatedly recommended to the Government of India that legalrestrictions on organized retail must be removed, and the retail industry in India

    must be opened to competition. For example, in an invited address to the Indian

    parliament in December 2010,Jagdish Bhagwati, Professor of Economics and Law

    at the Columbia University analyzed the relationship between growth and poverty

    reduction, then urged the Indian parliament to extend economic reforms by

    freeing up of the retail sector, further liberalization of trade in all sectors, and

    introducing labor market reforms. Such reforms Professor Bhagwati argued will

    accelerate economic growth and make a sustainable difference in the life of

    India's poorest.

    A 2007 report noted that an increasing number of people in India are turning to

    the services sector for employment due to the relative low compensation offered

    by the traditional agriculture and manufacturing sectors. The organized retail

    market is growing at 35 percent annually while growth of unorganized retail

    sector is pegged at 6 percent.

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    The Retail Business in India is currently at the point of inflection. As of 2008, rapid

    changes with investments to the tune of US $ 25 billion were being planned by

    several Indian and multinational companies in the next 5 years. It is a huge

    industry in terms of size and according to India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF), it

    is valued at about US$ 395.96 billion. Organized retail is expected to garner about16-18 percent of the total retail market (US $ 65-75 billion) in the next 5 years.

    India has topped the A.T. Kearneys annual Global Retail Development Index

    (GRDI) for the third consecutive year, maintaining its position as the most

    attractive market for retail investment. The Indian economy has registered a

    growth of 8% for 2007. The prediction for 2008 is 7.9%. The enormous growth of

    the retail industry has created a huge demand for real estate. Property

    developers are creating retail real estate at an aggressive pace and by 2010, 300

    malls are estimated to be operational in the country.

    Growth after 2011

    Before 2011, India had prevented innovation and organized competition in its

    consumer retail industry. Several studies claim that the lack of infrastructure and

    competitive retail industry is a key cause of India's persistently high inflation.

    Furthermore, because of unorganized retail, in a nation where malnutrition

    remains a serious problem, food waste is rife. Well over 30% of food staples and

    perishable goods produced in India spoil because poor infrastructure and small

    retail outlets prevent hygienic storage and movement of the goods from the

    farmer to the consumer.

    One report estimates the 2011 Indian retail market as generating sales of about

    $470 billion a year, of which a miniscule $27 billion comes from organized retail

    such as supermarkets, chain stores with centralized operations and shops in

    malls. The opening of retail industry to free market competition, some claim will

    enable rapid growth in retail sector of Indian economy. Others believe the growth

    of Indian retail industry will take time, with organized retail possibly needing a

    decade to grow to a 25% share. A 25% market share, given the expected growthof Indian retail industry through 2021, is estimated to be over $250 billion a year:

    a revenue equal to the 2009 revenue share from Japan for the world's 250 largest

    retailers.

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    The Economist forecasts that Indian retail will nearly double in economic value,

    expanding by about $400 billion by 2020. The projected increase alone is

    equivalent to the current retail market size of France.

    In 2011, food accounted for 70% of Indian retail, but was under-represented by

    organized retail. A.T. Kearney estimates India's organized retail had a 31% share in

    clothing and apparel, while the home supplies retail was growing 20% to 30% per

    year. These data correspond to retail prospects prior to November announcement

    of the retail reform.

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    RECENT TRENDS

    y Retailing in India is witnessing a huge revamping exercise as can be seen in thegraph

    y India is rated the fifth most attractive emerging retail market: a potentialgoldmine.

    y Estimated to be US$ 200 billion, of which organized retailing (i.e. modern trade)makes up 3 percent or US$ 6.4 billion

    y As per a report by KPMG the annual growth of department stores is estimated at24%

    y Ranked second in a Global Retail Development Index of 30 developing countriesdrawn up by AT Kearney.

    y Multiple drivers leading to a consumption boom:o Favorable demographicso Growth in incomeo Increasing population of womeno Raising aspirations: Value added goods salesy Food and apparel retailing key drivers of growthy Organized retailing in India has been largely an urbany Phenomenon with affluent classes and growing number of double-income

    households.

    y More successful in cities in the south and west of India. Reasons range fromdifferences in consumer buying behavior to cost of real estate and taxation laws.

    y Rural markets emerging as a huge opportunity for retailers reflected in the shareof the rural market across most categories of consumption

    o ITC is experimenting with retailing through its e-Choupal and Choupal Sagar ruralhypermarkets.

    o HLL is using its Project Shakti initiative leveraging women self-help groupstoexplore the rural market.

    o Mahamaza is leveraging technology and network marketing concepts to act as anaggregator and serve the rural markets.

    y IT is a tool that has been used by retailers ranging from Amazon.com to eBay toradically change buying behavior across the globe.

    y E-tailing slowly making its presence felt.

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    RETAIL SALES IN INDIA

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    CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES

    Retailing has seen such a transformation over the past decade that its verydefinition has undergone a sea change. No longer can a manufacturer rely on

    sales to take place by ensuring mere availability of his product. Today, retailing is

    about so much more than mere merchandising. Its about casting customers in a

    story, reflecting their desires and aspirations, and forging long-lasting

    relationships. As the Indian consumer evolves they expects more and more at

    each and every time when they steps into a store. Retail today has changed from

    selling a product or a service to selling a hope, an aspiration and above all an

    experience that a consumer would like to repeat.

    For manufacturers and service providers the emerging opportunities in urban

    markets seem to lie in capturing and delivering better value to the customers

    through retail. For instance, in Chennai CavinKares LimeLite, Maricos Kaya Skin

    Clinic and Apollo Hospitals Apollo Pharmacies are examples, to name a few,

    where manufacturers/service providers combine their own manufactured

    products and services with those of others to generate value hitherto unknown.

    The last mile connect seems to be increasingly lively and experiential. Also,

    manufacturers and service providers face an exploding rural market yet only

    marginally tapped due to difficulties in rural retailing. Only innovative conceptsand models may survive the test of time and investments.

    However, manufacturers and service providers will also increasingly face a host

    of specialist retailers, who are characterized by use of modern management

    techniques, backed with seemingly unlimited financial resources. Organized

    retail appears inevitable.

    Retailing in India is currently estimated to be a US$ 200 billion industry, of which

    organized retailing makes up a paltry 3 percent or US$ 6.4 billion. By 2010,

    organized retail is projected to reach US$ 23 billion. For retail industry in India,things have never looked better and brighter. Challenges to the manufacturers

    and service providers would abound when market power shifts to organized

    retail.

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    CONCLUSION

    The retail sector has played a phenomenal role throughout the world in

    increasing productivity of consumer goods and services. It is also the second

    largest industry in US in terms of numbers of employees and establishments.

    There is no denying the fact that most of the developed economies are very

    much relying on their retail sector as a locomotive of growth. The India Retail

    Industry is the largest among all the industries, accounting for over 10 per cent

    of the countrys GDP and around 8 per cent of the employment. The Retail

    Industry in India has come forth as one of the most dynamic and fast pacedindustries with several players entering the market. But all of them have not yet

    tasted success because of the heavy initial investments that are required to

    break even with other companies and compete with them. The India Retail

    Industry is gradually inching its way towards becoming the next boom industry.