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Jasper Grosskurth MSRA Annual Conference
26 June 2014
www.researchsolutionsafrica.com
www.stt.nl/Africa
Mobile Phone Expansion
July 2009
Bandwidth Explosion
Source: manypossibilities.net
Jan 2009 Sep 2010 2015 (e)
AfriLabs: Cheetahs in action
Sample trends
Mobile Money
The advent of mobile money payment systems has reduced monetary transaction costs significantly.
Previously unbanked people and areas are now included in the monetized economy.
Middle class consumers profit from new business models, that were previously not feasible.
Data availability
Data on African countries often very unreliable, if not unavailable.
Mobile technology has begun to change Africa’s data landscape.
Reliable information (such as an accurate map of all FMCG retail outlets in a region or country) is now within reach at rapidly declining costs.
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Ups and downs
↑ According to the CCK, internet penetration has increased from 22% to 35% in Kenya within just 12 months.
↑ 22% among the poor in Kenya have earned money through their mobile phone.
↑ Higher connectivity accelerates economic growth according to case studies from several African countries and regions.
↑ Theoretically, African businesses are now part of a global marketplace and intellectuals more embedded in a pan African and global discourse.
↓ Free services, such as Facebook-0 browsing and free Wikipedia access drive the growth.
↓ “Better you miss to eat …… (Laughs), at times you miss to eat and you have credit.“
↓ Scams using ICT tools are increasing.
↓ ICT has exacerbated outbursts of violence, such as Kenya’s post-election violence or food riots in Mozambique.
↓ Authoritarian regimes use ICT to control the population or specific population groups.
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Technology Meets Society
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Trunk roads
Near urban roads
Regional networks
Seaports
Trunk railroads
Aviation hubs
Access to Energy (share of population)
Source: World Energy Outlook 2013
Electricity Production Capacity (Watt per capita)
Source: World Energy Outlook 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
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81
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Central African Republic
Ethiopia
Ghana
Kenya
Nigeria
Rwanda
Electricity Production Capacity (Watt per capita)
Source: World Energy Outlook 2013
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
19
80
19
81
19
82
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Central African Republic
Ethiopia
Ghana
Kenya
Nigeria
Rwanda
South Africa
Technology Trends
ICT
Transport Infrastructure
Distributed, low voltage Electricity
Food for Future Thought
Financial transaction costs come down.
Information transaction costs come down.
Infrastructures improve.
Capacities improve.
No sector and no actor will be unaffected.
Data quantity and quality will improve.
Big data will not stay away from Africa.
The IT revolution is not driven by programming code, but by entrepreneurs understanding its potential.
Technology will exacerbate other developments – for better and for worse.
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