Inventory improvement activities & reporting for

Ireland

Paul Duffy

EPA structure

A full-time executive board of 5 Directors (Director General and 4 Directors)

Each director is responsible for one office

• Office of Environmental Assessment (OEA)

• Office of Climate, Licensing and Resource Use (OCLR)

• Office of Environmental Enforcement (OEE)

• Office of Communications and Corpoate Services (OCCS)

Office of Climate Licensing and Resource Use (OCLR)

What do we report?

Inventories for NOx, SO2, NMVOC and NH3 under NEC Directive 2001/81/EC for 2001-2005 (and adjusted inventories to account for fuel tourism in road transport)

Inventories for NOx, SO2, NMVOC, NH3, CO, TSP, PM10, PM2.5 for 1990-2005 (and adjusted inventories to account for fuel tourism in road transport) under CLRTAP

Inventories for 3 priority metals Pb, Cd and Hg and the six additional heavy metals for 1990-2005

Inventories for Annex III POPs; Dioxins, PAHs and HCB for 2002-2005

What do we report (2)?

Gridded data for NOx, SO2, NMVOC, NH3, CO, TSP, PM10, PM2.5, Pb, Cd, Hg and Annex III POPs for 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005

LPS data for NOx, SO2, NMVOC, CO, TSP, PM10, PM2.5, Pb, Cd, and Hg for 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005

Inventories for NOx, SO2 and Dust under the Large Combustion Plant Directive 2001/80/EC for 1990-2005

NMVOC 1990-2005 NEC

Trends in NMVOC Emissions

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Tonn

es N

MVOC

Power Stations Residential & Commercial IndustrialAgriculture & Forestry Transport OtherFugitive and Solvents NEC Target

55 kilotonnes

Ammonia 1990-2005 NEC

Trends in NH3 Emissions

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Tonn

es N

H3

Dairy Cattle Other Cattle Other Livestock Direct Soils Road Transport NEC Target

116 kilotonnes

Sulphur dioxide 1990-2005 NEC

Trends in SO2 Emissions

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Tonn

es S

O2

Power Stations Residential & Commercial Industrial Agriculture & Forestry

Transport Other NEC Target

42 kilotonnes

Nitrogen oxides 1990-2005 NEC

Trends in NOx Emissions

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Tonn

es N

Ox

Power Stations Residential & Commercial Industrial Agriculture & Forestry

Transport Other NEC Target

65 kilotonnes

Nitrogen oxides (adjusted for fuel tourism)1990-2005 NEC

Trends in NOx Emissions

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Tonn

es N

Ox

Power Stations Residential & Commercial Industrial Agriculture & Forestry

Adjusted Transport Other NEC Target

+4.6 kt +4.2 kt+3.2 kt

+2.5 kt+1.3 kt -0.3 kt -3.4 kt -4.5 kt -9.1 kt -11.0 kt

-12.3 kt-11.9 kt

-10.1 kt-8.9 kt

-9.3 kt -9.4kt

Petrol price comparison Ire/UK

Petrol Road fuel prices €

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

year

Price

€

Ireland UK/Northern Ireland

- 43 %

+ 32%

+ 18%

Price parity

Diesel price comparison Ire/UK

Diesel Road fuel prices €

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

year

Price

€

Ireland UK/Northern Ireland

+ 23%

+ 38%

- 34%

Price parity

Estimated road transport fuel tourism

-20.00%

-15.00%

-10.00%

-5.00%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

1987 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006p% f

uel

to

uri

sm

Petrol Diesel

LCP Directive 1990-2005

Emissions from Large Combustion Plant

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Ton

nes

SO2 NOx SO2 Ceiling NOX Ceiling

124 kilotonnes

50 kilotonnes

Recent improvements

Estimation of Emissions of NMVOC from SNAP Sector 06: Solvent and other product use (Ireland 1998). Clean Technology Centre, March 2000.

NMVOC Inventory for Ireland, SNAP Sector 06: Solvent and other product use 2000 to 2004. Clean Technology Centre and AEA Technology- NETCEN, November 2005.

Ireland, Heavy Metal Inventories 1990, 1995-2004. Clean Technology Centre and NETCEN, February 2006.

National Atmospheric Inventory System (NAIS)• Establish The Institutional, Legal and Procedural Arrangements Necessary To

Compile Consistent and Transparent National Inventories of Emissions to the

Atmosphere (Government Decision on 3rd April 2007)

Recent improvements (2)

New Tier 2 Ammonia methodology for agriculture (B.Hyde modified Misselbrook model, 2005)

New expanded national energy balance from SEI (final balance available in October each year)

EPA inventory team have a new QA\QC system (for ALL inventories; GHGs, HMs, Acid gases)

Additional resources for Projections (new staff)

Future improvements

Inventories of Persistent Organic Pollutants 1990, 1995-2006 (PCDD/ PCDF, HCB and PAHs) (recent call for tender, report due by Feb. 2008)

Use COPERT 4 for the next reporting round 1990-2006 (for NEC and CLRTAP)

Inventories of NMVOC emissions?? NH3 emission research results (2-3 years)

COPERT 4 v COPERT 3 for nitrogen oxides

Road Transport NOx

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

kilo

tonn

es N

Ox

COPERT 4 COPERT 3

average 5.6 % higher average 11 % higher

Revision of the National Programme for Ireland

Under Article 6(3) of Directive 2001/81/EC Finalised in August 2007 http://www.environ.ie/en/Publications/Environment/Atmosphere/

NOx projections “with” measures

NOx "with" measures

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Tonn

es N

Ox

Powergen Residential Comm/Instit Agriculture Gas Transport Industry

Road Transport Aviation Rail Navigation NEC Target

98,400 tonnes

+ 33.4 kt

NOx projections “with additional” measures

NOx "with additional" measures

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Tonn

es N

Ox

Powergen Residential Comm/Instit Agriculture Gas Transport Industry

Road Transport Aviation Rail Navigation NEC Target

92,800 tonnes

+ 27.8 kt

SO2 projections “with” measures

SO2 "with" measures

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Tonn

es S

O2

Powergen Residential Comm/Instit Agriculture Gas Transport Industry

Road Transport Aviation Rail Navigation NEC Target

33,000 tonnes

- 9.0 kt

NMVOC projections “with” measures

NMVOC "with" measures

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Tonn

es N

MVO

C

Powergen Residential Comm/Instit Agriculture Gas Transport Industry

Road Transport Aviation Rail Navigation Solvent Use NEC Target

54,988 tonnes

NOx projections “with additional” measures

NH3 "with" measures

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Tonn

es N

H3

Agriculture Road Transport NEC Target

101,500 tonnes

-14.5 kt