Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE A New Energy Revolution…. Cutting Energy Related CO 2 emissions Improved efficiency and decarbonising the power sector could bring emissions back to current levels by To achieve a 50% cut we would also have to revolutionise the transport sector. A New Energy Revolution… Cutting Energy Related CO 2 emissions
Citation preview
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Politique énergétique Politique énergétique européenne: promouvoir européenne: promouvoir
d’énergie pauvres d’énergie pauvres en émission de COen émission de CO22
Pieter Boot, DirectorPieter Boot, DirectorLong-Term Co-operation and Policy AnalysisLong-Term Co-operation and Policy Analysis
International Energy AgencyInternational Energy Agency© © OECD/IEA,OECD/IEA, 2008
““Journées d'Études du Groupe du PPE-DE Journées d'Études du Groupe du PPE-DE au Parlement Européenau Parlement Européen””
2-4 Juillet 2008 – Paris, France2-4 Juillet 2008 – Paris, France
© OECD/IEA - 2007
Reference Scenario:World Primary Energy Demand
Global demand grows by more than half over the next quarter of a century, with coal use rising most in
absolute termsGlobal CO2 emissions increase by 57% between 2005 and
2030.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
billio
n to
nnes
of o
il equ
ivale
ntOther renewablesBiomassHydroNuclearGasOilCoal
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
billio
n to
nnes
of o
il equ
ivale
ntOther renewablesBiomassHydroNuclearGasOilCoal
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
A New Energy Revolution….A New Energy Revolution….Cutting Energy Related COCutting Energy Related CO22 emissions emissions
Improved efficiency and decarbonising the power sector could bring emissions back to current levels by 2050. To achieve a 50% cut we
would also have to revolutionise the transport sector.
A New Energy Revolution…A New Energy Revolution…CuttingCutting Energy Related COEnergy Related CO22 emissions emissions
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Changes in TFC/GDP Changes in TFC/GDP Decomposed into Changes in Decomposed into Changes in
Energy Services/GDP and Energy Services/GDP and Intensity Effect, 1990-2005Intensity Effect, 1990-2005
65% of the total decline in energy use per GDP in the IEA16 can be attributed to reductions from the energy intensity effect.
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
Austral
iaAust
ria
Canad
a
Denmark
Finlan
dFra
nce
German
yIta
lyJ ap
an
Netherl
ands
New Ze
aland
Norway
Swed
en
Switze
rland UK US
IEA16
Aver
age a
nnua
l per
cent
chan
ge
Intensity effect Energy services per GDP Energy per GDP
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
The IEA‘s 25 Energy Efficiency The IEA‘s 25 Energy Efficiency recommendations to the G8 recommendations to the G8
offer hoffer huge COuge CO22 savings savings potentialpotential
Global implementation of recommendations could save around 8.2 GtCO2/yr by 2030. Equivalent to 20% of global reference
scenario energy related CO2 emissions in 2030.
WEO 2007 Projection
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Energy Indicators - Tracking Energy Indicators - Tracking Trends & Identifying Trends & Identifying
Potentials: Potentials: The Example of Iron The Example of Iron & Steel & Steel
Adoption of best practice technologies in industry could save 1.9 – 3.2 Gt of CO2 per year. The global technical potential in the iron and steel sector is 360 Mt of CO2 per year, with the largest savings from
blast furnace improvements
0.30
0.70
0.61
0.48 0.48
0.35
0.29
0.22
0.15 0.14
0.08 0.07
0.17
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
World
Ukraine
IndiaBraz
il
China
Russia
South Africa
Canad
a
OECD Europe USKorea
Japan
Other
Tota
l Em
issi
on S
avin
g Po
tent
ial (
Mt C
O2)
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Spec
ific
savi
ng p
oten
tial (
t CO
2 per
tonn
e of
ste
el)
Steel finishing improvements
Efficient power generation from BF gas
Switch from OHF to BOF
Increased BOF gas recovery
Blast furnace improvements
COG recovery
CDQ (or advanced wet quenching)
Specific savings potential
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Average Annual Power Average Annual Power Generation Capacity Additions in Generation Capacity Additions in
the the “50% Cut Scenario”, 2010 – “50% Cut Scenario”, 2010 –
20502050
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Technology Roadmaps: Technology Roadmaps: The example of CCSThe example of CCS
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Share of public budgets for energy R&D in total R&D significantly fell over the last two decades. Private-sector R&D is increasingly focused
on projects with short-term payoffsSource: IEA Databases
Public Sector Energy R&D Public Sector Energy R&D in IEA Countriesin IEA Countries
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
ConclusionsConclusionsGlobal energy system is on an
increasingly unsustainable pathurgent challenge in the energy sector
A portfolio of clean & efficient technologies can trigger a more sustainable energy futurecritical: energy efficiency, power sector
measures; transport and industrykey: price signal to internalize costs of
CO2
Significant change in policies needed: targeted policy interventions, closer international collaboration and investmentsroadmaps can provide a focus for thisnext 10 years are critical
