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IDM/TFM
Data Analytics –
What all marketers need to knowThe benefits of customer analytics, how to find the story in your data and
an introduction to the fast developing area of predictive analytics
Presented by: Mark Patron
Agenda
• Benefits of customer analytics
• Data mining process
• Data analytics pitfalls
• Predictive analytics
• Economics of data analytics
Everyday we see the power of data analytics
Amazon Netflix
Google Personalized Search Tesco Clubcard
3
1980’s 1990’s 2000’s 2010’s
Evolution of data driven marketing
Database Marketing
Target best customers
RFM data
Direct mail
Mainframes
CRM
Customer retention
Transactional data
Telephone
Minicomputers
Campaign Management
Multichannel
Digital data
SearchEmail
Internet
Marketing Automation
Event triggeredPersonalisation
Behavioural data
MobileSocial
Cloud
£
How customer analytics helps
marketing business decisions
• Customer analytics uses data from customer behaviour to help make
key business decisions with market segmentation and predictive
analytics
• Decisions include how best to identify, attract, convert and retain the
most profitable customers
Challenges of customer analytics
• Data and organisational silos hinder a meaningful 360-degree single customer view
• A shortage of analytical skills is often a constraint on gaining customer insight
• Many decisions are still based largely on opinions. Even mature marketing organisations struggle to understand their customer’s journey and what steps influence it in what ways
• Increasing volume and variety of data make it difficult to analyse and derive simple conclusions
Agenda
• Benefits of customer analytics
• Data mining process
• Data analytics pitfalls
• Predictive analytics
• Economics of data analytics
7
Data mining process
Search CRISP-DM for more detailed process
First be very clear about what
you want to achieve
• Clear goals are critical, you can’t hit a moving target
• “Difficult to complete your mission if your objective is not clear”
• Make sure your goals are “SMART”:
Data preparation and data quality is key
• Data quality is important - rubbish in, rubbish out
• 70% of the work in data mining projects is typically data preparation, cleaning and exploration
There are many data exploration
and analysis techniquesSpreadsheet Venn diagram Predictive analytics
Graph Cluster analysis
Testing needs to be statistically robust
95% confidence means on averageresult will be the same 19 out of 20 times
• Run extra campaigns
• Test new landing pages
• Segment email list
• Review PPC
Sales have dropped… ..for 3 main reasons... ..so we will take the following actions:
Find the story in the data for
real customer insight
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Agenda
• Benefits of customer analytics
• Data mining process
• Data analytics pitfalls
• Predictive analytics
• Economics of data analytics
Correlation does not imply causation
15
Interactions in data
(%) Age <50 Age >50
Male 50%
Female 50%
50% 50%
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Top level analysis indicates age and gender are not important
Interactions in data
(%) Age <50 Age >50
Male 25% 75% 50%
Female 75% 25% 50%
50% 50%
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Multivariate analysis shows age and gender to be very predictive
If you only have a hammer
everything looks like a nail
• A 70% homepage bounce rate means you know little about 70% of your traffic
• Top line analysis tells you nothing about interactions in the data• You can only analyse data you have access to, often
most predictive data, say, attitudinal, is not available18
Agenda
• Benefits of customer analytics
• Data mining process
• Data analytics pitfalls
• Predictive analytics
• Economics of data analytics
19
Credit scorecard using regression
CreditWorthiness
Age18 90
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65
CHAID tree segmentation
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How neural networks work
Neural networks learn by trial and error using feedback similar to howchildren learn by being told what they're doing is right or wrong.
The network output is compared to what it was meant to produce thenusing the difference between them to modify weights of connectionsbetween the units in the network.
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How neural networks work (cont.)
More complex tasks such as face or voice recognition require analysis to be divided into multiple chunks or layers
23
Agenda
• Benefits of customer analytics
• Data mining process
• Data analytics pitfalls
• Predictive analytics
• Economics of data analytics
24
Predictive analytics must be driven by
economic incremental gain
The cost of predictive analytics (including all data prep and
deployment) must be less than the extra profit generated by the
predictive analytics model.
25
Economics of data analytics
1. Decision based on single variable –e.g. simple selection based on level of engagement
2. Multivariate analysis – more complex decision based on engagement, number of products purchased and length of contract
3. Predictive model – using regression or CHAID
4. AI – using a neural network or machine learning
• Increasing performance
• Increasing cost
• Decreasing transparency and learning
Analytics value is created by
people not technology
• Avinash Kaushik, Google’s Digital Marketing Evangelist, proposes a simple rule of thumb for web analytics, where for every $100 spent on web analytics spend 10% on the analytics tools and 90% on the people
• Need people who love numbers, have good analysis skills and whounderstand your business
Source: Occam’s Razor27
Thank You
Any questions?
© Copyright The Institute of Direct and Digital Marketing 2018 and its licensors.
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