ICAO GLOBAL AVIATION SAFETY PLAN (GASP) ICAO GASP_Tatiana Pak.pdfآ  ICAO GLOBAL AVIATION SAFETY PLAN

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  • ICAO GLOBAL AVIATION SAFETY PLAN (GASP)

    1

    Tatiana Pak Operational Safety Section Air Navigation Bureau, ICAO

    28-30 November 2017, Busan

  • 2

    What is GASP?

  • All regional accident rates are less than double the Global Accident Rate

    Accident rate stable, with 2016 the lowest ever recorded Fatalities showed a spike during 2014, and then recovered in 2015 & 2016

    Accident rate stable, with 2016 the lowest ever recordedFatalities showed a spike during 2014, and then recovered in 2015 & 2016All regional accident rates are less than double the Global Accident Rate

    Source: 2017 Safety Report (https://www.icao.int/safety/Pages/Safety-Report.aspx)

    STATE OF AVIATION SAFETY

    7 December 2017 3

    https://www.icao.int/safety/Pages/Safety-Report.aspx

  • We are not that far… Regional Accident Statistics: 2015Regional Accident Statistics: 2013

    Regional Accident Statistics: 2014

    5

    Regional Accident Statistics: 2016

    For 2016 PA (NACC/SAM) and AFI (WACAF/ESAF)

    ZERO fatalities

    7 December 2017

  • Air traffic is predicted to double by 2030

    How can we ensure the safe realization of this growth?

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    te rr

    or is

    t at

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    Freight Tonne-Kilom etres

    (billion)

    Growth of Air Transport

    Scheduled commercial traffic Total (international and domestic) services6Source: ICAO Annual Report of the Council

    205 billion FTK +3.8%

    vs. 2015

    7.1trillion RPK+7.4%growth rate vs. 2015

  • What is the Global Aviation Safety Plan (GASP)? High level, strategic, planning and implementation policy document that:

     Sets strategy for maintaining & improving safety

     Establishes framework for development & implementation of plans

     Promotes harmonization and coordination of efforts

  • GASP

  • 9

    1997 2006 2013 20152005

    ICAO introduced first version

    of GASP

    Roadmap presented

    at DGCA/06 with good feedback

    2014-2016 GASP

    A38 urged ICAO to

    develop a roadmap for GASP

    GASP Roadmap

    Group established to update

    GASP

    2017-2019 GASP

    published with new roadmap

    2016

    Industry Safety

    Strategy Group

    created roadmap

  • GASP Objectives

    2017 (Near Term)

    2022 (Mid Term)

    2028 (Long Term)

    Effective safety oversight SSP Implementation

    Predictive risk management

    RASGs and other fora: mechanisms for sharing of

    safety information

    RASGs: mature regional

    monitoring and safety management programmes

    States with El > 60%: SSP implementation

    All States: achieve 60 % EI of CEs

    All States: SSP implementation

    All States: Implement advanced

    safety oversight systems, including predictive risk

    management

  • GASP Framework

  • National and Regional Plans • States and regions to develop their own national and regional

    plans – Based on GASP and roadmap – Define specific activities to improve safety at regional and

    national levels

    • National, regional aviation safety plans help stakeholders prioritize actions – To achieve GASP objectives – Address global safety priorities

    12

  • Safety Priorities: Operational Risks

    Runway Safety related (RS)

    Loss of Control-Inflight (LOC-I)

    Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT)

    LOC-I

    Other accident priorities?

    (i.e. by Region)

    267 December 2017

    http://www.icao.int/safety/runwaysafety

  • Current and Emerging Issues

    14

    Human Factors RPAS Space TransportationConflict Zones

    What’s next?

    7 December 2017

    https://www.google.ca/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjg_ovrs9DXAhWh1IMKHTpvDskQjRwIBw&url=https://worldwide.erau.edu/webinars/human-factors-aviation&psig=AOvVaw3FbTCDILCy5YEcVkjugWSY&ust=1511379041939235

  • Implementation Status

    Effective implementation (%) results through USOAP CMA

    Global average increase of 1.5% per year

    63,79%

    8

  • Implementation Status

    EI > 60% SSP Implementation Predictive Risk Management

  • Main Challenges • Member States:

    – Lack of resources for effective safety oversight & SSP – Need for cooperation with Regions and Industry – Development of appropriate SPIs for SMS/SSP

    • ICAO: – Need mechanism for direct support to States and regions – Greater focus should be on implementation support

  • Proposals for Enhancement of GASP • Global Aviation Safety programme

    (GASp) • Focus on implementation support

    (workshops and tools) • Establishment of GASP-SG

    7 December 2017 18

  • Next Steps • GASP-SG progressing revision of GASP

    for 2020-2022 Ed.

    • Workshops at RASG Meetings – APAC, MID and EUR/NAT completed – AFI scheduled for Q1 2018

    19

  • GANIS/SANIS: FORUM FOR DISCUSSIONS TOWARDS 13TH AN-CONFERENCE

    Global Plans and Importance of Global Interoperability

    7 December 2017 20

  • 7 December 2017 21

    40th Assembly (2019)

    Council Working

    Paper (2018)

    13th Air Navigation Conference

    (2018)

    GANIS/SANIS (Dec 2017)

    NEEDS / REQUIREMENTS

    GANIS/SANIS will facilitate the planning of technical work for AN-Conf/13, and also the budget discussions leading up to A40

  • Our Aspirational Safety Goal

  • THANK YOU!

    23

    슬라이드 번호 1 What is GASP? 슬라이드 번호 3 We are not that far… 슬라이드 번호 5 Growth of Air Transport What is the Global Aviation Safety Plan (GASP)? 슬라이드 번호 8 슬라이드 번호 9 GASP Objectives GASP Framework National and Regional Plans Safety Priorities: Operational Risks Current and Emerging Issues Implementation Status Implementation Status Main Challenges Proposals for Enhancement of GASP Next Steps GANIS/SANIS: Forum for discussions towards 13th AN-Conference 슬라이드 번호 21 슬라이드 번호 22 슬라이드 번호 23