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GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESS AND EMERGENCY RESPONSE Part 1: The United States Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA

GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESS AND EMERGENCY RESPONSE Part 1: The United States Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia,

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GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESS AND

EMERGENCY RESPONSEPart 1: The United States

Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

YOUR YOUR

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

YOUR YOUR

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION

HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

•MONITORING•HAZARD MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION

RISK

ACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE

•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•EM RESPONSE•RECOSTRUCTION AND RECOVERY

EARTHQUAKE DISASTER EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCE

PREPAREDNESS AND

EMERGENCY RESPONSE ARE ESSENTIAL PILLARS OF

GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE

PREPAREDNESS AND

EMERGENCY RESPONSE ARE ESSENTIAL PILLARS OF

GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE

NOTE:EVERY TIME AN EARTHQUAKE

DISASTER OCCURS, WE HAVE NEW KNOWLEDGE TO ADD TO OUR “BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE” ON

PREPAREDNESS AND EMERGENCY RESPONSE

WHAT IS EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESS?

WHAT IS EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESS?

Preparedness is

a state of readiness on individual, urban, sub-regional, and national

scales that is sufficient to keep the expected and unexpected effects of an

earthquake from causing a disaster

Preparedness is

a state of readiness on individual, urban, sub-regional, and national

scales that is sufficient to keep the expected and unexpected effects of an

earthquake from causing a disaster

WHAT IS EMERGENCY RESPONSE WHAT IS EMERGENCY RESPONSE

(Emergency Response is

All of the scripted and unscripted heroic and historic responses during the “race against time” after a quake

to save lives and protect property

(Emergency Response is

All of the scripted and unscripted heroic and historic responses during the “race against time” after a quake

to save lives and protect property

NOTEAS CAPABILITY FOR

PREPAREDNESS INCREASES, SO DOES PROTECTION OF

IMPORTANT BUILDINGS AND CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE

WHAT IS PROTECTION?WHAT IS PROTECTION?

(Protection is

a legally mandated state of planning and verified robustness, strength,

and ductility for important buildings and essential - critical infrastructure

to prevent loss of function

(Protection is

a legally mandated state of planning and verified robustness, strength,

and ductility for important buildings and essential - critical infrastructure

to prevent loss of function

THE GOALTHE GOAL

DEMANDS ON DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

DEMANDS ON DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

EARTHQUAKE DISASTER EARTHQUAKE DISASTER RESILIENCE:RESILIENCE:

CAPABILITIES OF CAPABILITIES OF COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

CAPABILITIES OF CAPABILITIES OF COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

REALITYREALITY

UNANTICIPATED UNANTICIPATED DEMANDS ON DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

UNANTICIPATED UNANTICIPATED DEMANDS ON DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

LACK OF EARTHQUAKE LACK OF EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESSPREPAREDNESS

INSUFFICIENT INSUFFICIENT PREPAREDNESS OF PREPAREDNESS OF

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

INSUFFICIENT INSUFFICIENT PREPAREDNESS OF PREPAREDNESS OF

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

REALITYREALITY

URGENT DEMANDS ON URGENT DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

URGENT DEMANDS ON URGENT DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

LACK OF EMERGENCY LACK OF EMERGENCY RESPONSE CAPABILITYRESPONSE CAPABILITY

INSUFFICIENT INSUFFICIENT CAPABILITY TO CAPABILITY TO RESPOND TO RESPOND TO DEMANDS ON DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

INSUFFICIENT INSUFFICIENT CAPABILITY TO CAPABILITY TO RESPOND TO RESPOND TO DEMANDS ON DEMANDS ON COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

FOCUS ON PREPAREDNESS

KEY ELEMENTS OF PREPAREDNESS

1) KNOW YOUR TECTONIC PLATES AND SEISMICITY

2) KNOW YOUR FAULT ZONES

3) KNOW YOUR POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS

4) KNOW YOUR VULNERABILITIES

STATE-OF-THE-ART PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

INTEGRATES ALL FOUR FACTORS

FACTOR 1:KNOW YOUR TECTONIC PLATES AND SEISMIC

ACTIVITY (i.e., SEISMICITY)

PACIFIC RING OF FIRE PACIFIC RING OF FIRE

• PRONE TO EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS

• PRONE TO EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS

EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY

STATES WITH THE MOST EATHQUAKE ACTIVITY

FACTOR 2:KNOW YOUR FAULT

ZONES

FAULTSFAULTS

THE USA’S MOST NOTABLE PLATE BOUNDARY FAULT ZONE

THE USA’S MOST NOTABLE PLATE BOUNDARY FAULT ZONE

• SAN ANDREAS FAULT

• 600 MILES LONG

• SOURCE OF M8 EARTHQUAKES IN 1847 AND 1906

• SAN ANDREAS FAULT

• 600 MILES LONG

• SOURCE OF M8 EARTHQUAKES IN 1847 AND 1906

THE USA’S OTHER NOTABLE PLATE BOUNDARY FAULT ZONE

THE USA’S OTHER NOTABLE PLATE BOUNDARY FAULT ZONE

• THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE

• SUBDUCTING BENEATH WASHINGTON AND OREGON;

• POTENTIAL FOR M9.0 QUAKE

• THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE

• SUBDUCTING BENEATH WASHINGTON AND OREGON;

• POTENTIAL FOR M9.0 QUAKE

ONE O F THE USA’S TWO NOTABLE INTRA-PLATE FAULT ZONES

ONE O F THE USA’S TWO NOTABLE INTRA-PLATE FAULT ZONES

• WASATCH FAULT (UTAH)

• 250 MILES LONG

• POTENTIAL SOURCE OF M7.0-7.5 EARTHQUAKES

• WASATCH FAULT (UTAH)

• 250 MILES LONG

• POTENTIAL SOURCE OF M7.0-7.5 EARTHQUAKES

ONE O F THE USA’S TWO NOTABLE INTRA-PLATE FAULT ZONES

ONE O F THE USA’S TWO NOTABLE INTRA-PLATE FAULT ZONES

• NEW MADRID SEISMIC ZONE

• SOURCE OF FOUR M8 EARTHQUAKES IN 1811--1812

• NEW MADRID SEISMIC ZONE

• SOURCE OF FOUR M8 EARTHQUAKES IN 1811--1812

FACTOR 3:KNOW YOUR POTENTIAL

DISASTER AGENTS

NOTEPREPAREADNESS AND

EM. RESPONSE INCREASE AS THE CAPABILITY TO

ANTICIPATE WHAT WILL HAPPEN

INCREASES

TO ANTICIPATE THE POTENTIAL DIS-ASTER AGENTS REQUIRES KNOWLEDGE

• STRONG GROUND SHAKING

• TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP

• LIQUEFACTION

• LANDSLIDES

• AFTERSHOCKS

STRONG GROUND SHAKING STRONG GROUND SHAKING

FACTOR 4:KNOW YOUR

VULNERABILITIES

GROUND SHAKING CAUSES SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC LOSSES

EXAMPLES OF THE INTEGRATION

PROCESS

SAN FRANCISCO: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

SAN FRANCISCO: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

PREPAREDNESS PLANNING (Continued)?

PREPAREDNESS PLANNING (Continued)?

• WHAT KINDS OF BUILDINGS ARE AT RISK?

• WHAT KINDS OF BASIC, ESSENTIAL, AND CRITICAL INFRA-STRUCTURE ARE AT RISK?

• WHAT ARE THEIR PHYSICAL VUL-NERABILITIES

• WHAT KINDS OF BUILDINGS ARE AT RISK?

• WHAT KINDS OF BASIC, ESSENTIAL, AND CRITICAL INFRA-STRUCTURE ARE AT RISK?

• WHAT ARE THEIR PHYSICAL VUL-NERABILITIES

PREPAREDNESS PLANNING (Continued)?

PREPAREDNESS PLANNING (Continued)?

• WHAT ARE THE SOCIAL VULNERABILITIES

• WHAT IS THE LIKELY DAMAGE DISTRIBUTION?

• WHAT ARE THE LIKELY CASUALTIES, SOCIO-ECONOMIC, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS?

• WHAT ARE THE SOCIAL VULNERABILITIES

• WHAT IS THE LIKELY DAMAGE DISTRIBUTION?

• WHAT ARE THE LIKELY CASUALTIES, SOCIO-ECONOMIC, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS?

ANCHORAGE, AK: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

ANCHORAGE, AK: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

SEATTLE, WA: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

SEATTLE, WA: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

LOS ANGELES: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

LOS ANGELES: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

SAN JUAN, PR: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

SAN JUAN, PR: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

ALASKA, WASHINGTON, OREGON, CALIF., PUERTO RICO

HOW BIG WILL THE TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP BE?

SALT LAKE CITY: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

SALT LAKE CITY: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

MEMPHIS,TN: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

MEMPHIS,TN: PREPAREDNESS PLANNING

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

• HOW LIKELY IS A DAMAGING EARTHQUAKE TO OCCUR?

• WHERE AND WHEN WILL IT OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL IT BE?• HOW STRONG WILL ITS

POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS BE?

FOCUS ON EMERGENCY RESPONSE

NOTE:EM. RESPONSE IS HIGHLY

POLITICAL, SOCOMMUNITY LEADERS MUST BE

PREPARED FOR ONGOING MULTI-MEDIA COMMUNICATIONS WITH

NUMEROUS PUBLICS

TYPICAL SITUATIONS IN EMERGENCY. RESPONSE

• DAMAGE; DEBRIS

• COLLAPSE

• TRAPPED SURVIVORS

• SEARCH AND RESCUE CLOCK

• FIRE

• INUNDATION

• EVACUATION CENTERS

• EM. MEDICAL

• MASS CARE

• HAZ MAT RELEASE

• INJURIES

• DEATHS

KEY ELEMENTS OF EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• HISTORIC RESPONSES: The professional and non-professional responders will be making history for at least forty-eight hours (a “place holder” for the intense period of search and rescue operations) and thirty days (a “place holder” for the intense time of the “no room for error” decisions) that must be made.

KEY ELEMENTS OF EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• HEROIC RESPONSES: The professional and non-professional responders will be working at the margins of their capability for at least twenty-four hours and twenty-one days.

EXAMPLES OF HISTORIC EMERGENCY RESPONSE

SITUATIONSPart 2: The Wise Learn From All

Their Earthquake Disasters

EXAMPLE: DAMAGE TO SCHOOLEXAMPLE: DAMAGE TO SCHOOL

• ALASKA (1964): Timely search and rescue during a forty-eight hour “race against time” to save lives and protect property

• ALASKA (1964): Timely search and rescue during a forty-eight hour “race against time” to save lives and protect property

EXAMPLE: DAMAGE FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP

EXAMPLE: DAMAGE FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP

• ALASKA (1964):

• Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

• ALASKA (1964):

• Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

EXAMPLE: LOSS OF FUNCTION OF ELEVATED HIGHWAY; DEATHS

EXAMPLE: LOSS OF FUNCTION OF ELEVATED HIGHWAY; DEATHS

• LOMA PRIETO, CA (1989):

• Timely responses during a forty-eight hour and thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

• LOMA PRIETO, CA (1989):

• Timely responses during a forty-eight hour and thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

EXAMPLE: LOSS OF FUNCTION AND COMMUTING CAPABILITY

EXAMPLE: LOSS OF FUNCTION AND COMMUTING CAPABILITY

• LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE (1989):

• Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

• LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE (1989):

• Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

EXAMPLE: LOSS OF FUNCTIONEXAMPLE: LOSS OF FUNCTION

• NORTHRIDGE, CA (1994):

• Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

• NORTHRIDGE, CA (1994):

• Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

EXAMPLE: HAZ-MAT RELEASE AND FIRE

EXAMPLE: HAZ-MAT RELEASE AND FIRE

• ALASKA (1964): Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

• ALASKA (1964): Timely responses during a thirty day “race against time” to save lives and protect property

EXAMPLES OF HISTORIC EMERGENCY RESPONSE

SITUATIONSPart 2: The Wise ALSO Learn From All Global Earthquake

Disasters

EXAMPLE: 240,000 DEADEXAMPLE: 240,000 DEAD

• TANGSHAN, CHINA (1976) EARTHQUAKE: The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

• TANGSHAN, CHINA (1976) EARTHQUAKE: The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

EXAMPLE: 230,000 DEAD IN TSUNAMIEXAMPLE: 230,000 DEAD IN TSUNAMI

• INDONESIA (2004): The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

• INDONESIA (2004): The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

EXAMPLE: 88,000 DEAD; 50 MILLION BUILDINGS DAMAGED

EXAMPLE: 88,000 DEAD; 50 MILLION BUILDINGS DAMAGED

• CHINA (2008):

• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

• CHINA (2008):

• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

EXAMPLE: 30,000 DEADEXAMPLE: 30,000 DEAD

• JAPAN (2011):

• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

• JAPAN (2011):

• The impossible situation; too late for a race against time” to save lives and protect property.

CONCLUSIONEVERY TIME AN EARTHQUAKE

DISASTER OCCURS, WE HAVE NEW KNOWLEDGE TO ADD TO OUR

“BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE” FOR THE NEXT STEPS:

POST-DISASTER RECOVERY

THE NEXT STEPS:RECONSTRUCTION AND

RECOVERY