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7/21/2019 Gestion de riesgo http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/gestion-de-riesgo-56ddc71dde175 1/30 UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA ESCUELA DE POSTGRADO Maestría en Ciencias Mención: Ingeniería Civi CURSO: GESTI!N DE RIESGOS DE DESASTRES " GESTI!N DE RIESGOS EN CONSTRUCCI!N “EVALUACIÓN DE LA QUEBRADA CALISPUQUIO – EN SERVICIOS DE SALUD, EDUCACIÓN Y OTROS” Maestrantes:  AGUILAR MEDINA, Víctor Alexander CACHI RAMÍREZ, Carlos Alberto MORALE MAN!ILLA, G"l#er RAMÍREZ ZAVALA, Man$el Ernesto D#cente: MCs% In&% '$an E% Gon(ales García Ca$a%arca& Per' Ener# (e )*+, ÍNDICE DE CONTENIDOS ÍNDICE 1. OBJETIVO 2. SITUACIÓN GENERAL 2.1. Ubi!i"# $%&$'()i! 2.2. D%*'i+i"# )*i! -% ! /&#! ! %0!!' 2.. C!'!3%'*3i!* $%#%'!%* -% ('%! $%&$'()i! ! %0!!' . DE LA EVALUACIÓN DE RIESGOS .1. D%3%'4i#!i"# -% #i0% -% +%i$'&*i-!- .1.1. I-%#3i)i!i"# -% &* +%i$'&* .1.2. C!'!3%'i/!i"# -% &* +%i$'&* .1.. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% &* +%i$'&* .1.5. Ni0%%* -% +%i$'&

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Page 1: Gestion de riesgo

7/21/2019 Gestion de riesgo

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/gestion-de-riesgo-56ddc71dde175 1/30

UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCAESCUELA DE POSTGRADO

Maestría en CienciasMención: Ingeniería Civi

CURSO: GESTI!N DE RIESGOS DE DESASTRES" GESTI!N DE RIESGOS EN CONSTRUCCI!N

“EVALUACIÓN DE LA QUEBRADA CALISPUQUIO – EN SERVICIOS DESALUD, EDUCACIÓN Y OTROS”

Maestrantes:

 AGUILAR MEDINA, Víctor Alexander CACHI RAMÍREZ, Carlos Alberto

MORALE MAN!ILLA, G"l#er RAMÍREZ ZAVALA, Man$el Ernesto

D#cente:MCs% In&% '$an E% Gon(ales García

Ca$a%arca& Per'Ener# (e )*+,

ÍNDICE DE CONTENIDOS

ÍNDICE

1. OBJETIVO2. SITUACIÓN GENERAL

2.1. Ubi!i"# $%&$'()i!2.2. D%*'i+i"# )*i! -% ! /&#! ! %0!!'2.. C!'!3%'*3i!* $%#%'!%* -% ('%! $%&$'()i! ! %0!!'

. DE LA EVALUACIÓN DE RIESGOS.1. D%3%'4i#!i"# -% #i0% -% +%i$'&*i-!-

.1.1. I-%#3i)i!i"# -% &* +%i$'&*.1.2. C!'!3%'i/!i"# -% &* +%i$'&*

.1.. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% &* +%i$'&*.1.5. Ni0%%* -% +%i$'&

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.1.6. I-%#3i)i!i"# -% %%4%#3&* %7+%*3&*.1.8. S*%+3ibii-!- -% (4bi3& $%&$'()i& !#3% &* +%i$'&*

.1.8.1. 9!3&'%* &#-ii&#!#3%*.1.8.2. 9!3&'%* -%*%#!-%#!#3%*

.1.:. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% **%+3ibii-!-.1.;. <!+! -% /&#i)i!i"# -% #i0% -% +%i$'&*i-!-.2. A#(i*i* -% 0#%'!bii-!-%*

.2.1. A#(i*i* -% ! &4+&#%#3% %7+&*ii"#.2.1.1. E7+&*ii"# *&i!.2.1.2. E7+&*ii"# %&#"4i!.2.1.. E7+&*ii"# !4bi%#3!

.2.2. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% %7+&*ii"#.2.. A#(i*i* -% ! &4+&#%#3% )'!$ii-!-

.2..1. 9'!$ii-!- *&i!.2..2. 9'!$ii-!- %&#"4i!

.2... 9'!$ii-!- !4bi%#3!.2.5. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% )'!$ii-!-.2.6. A#(i*i* -% ! &4+&#%#3% '%*ii%#i!

.2.6.1. R%*ii%#i! *&i!.2.6.2. R%*ii%#i! %&#"4i!.2.6.. R%*ii%#i! !4bi%#3!

.2.8. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% '%*ii%#i!.2.:. Ni0% -% 0#%'!bii-!-.2.;. <!+! -% /&#i)i!i"# -% #i0% -% 0#%'!bii-!-

.. C(& -% 'i%*$&*..1. D%3%'4i#!i"# -% &* #i0%%* -% 'i%*$&*..2. C(& -% +&*ib%* +='-i-!* >!i3!3i0! ? !#3i3!3i0!@... &#i)i!i"# -% 'i%*$&*..5. <%-i-!* -% +'%0%#i"# -% 'i%*$&* -% -%*!*3'%* >'i%*$&* )3'&*@

..5.1. D% &'-%# %*3'3'!..5.2. D% &'-%# #& %*3'3'!

..6. <%-i-!* -% '%-i"# -% 'i%*$&* -% -%*!*3'%* >'i%*$&* %7i*3%#3%*@..6.1. D% &'-%#% %*3'3'!..6.2. D% &'-%# #& %*3'3'!

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.5.1.1. A%+3!bii-!- T&%'!bii-!-.5.1.2. C&#3'& -% 'i%*$&*5. BIBLIOGRA9ÍA6. ANEOS

6.1. P!#&*6.2. D!3&* %*3!-*3i&*6.. P!#% )&3&$'()i&6.5. O3'&*

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1. OBJETIVOE #-$etiv# .rinci.a (e a .resente Eva/ación (e Riesg#s& es a (e i(enti0icar 1

estrati0icar #s .eigr#s& e an2isis (e v/nera-ii(a(es 1 eva/ar #s riesg#s a #s 3/e se

enc/entran e4./est#s #s 5a-itantes 3/e viven en as riveras (e a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#&3/e a-arca .arte (e Cais./3/i#& Vista 6ea& santa Eena& N/eve (e Oct/-re& La

7#ri(a& J#s8 Oa1a& P/e-# Li-re 1 Magna Vae$#& (istrit# (e Ca$a%arca& .r#vincia (e

Ca$a%arca& Región Ca$a%arca9 c#n e 0in (e (eter%inar as c#n(ici#nes (e seg/ri(a( 1

5a-ita-ii(a( (e 2rea 1 así rec#%en(ar %e(i(as 1 acci#nes (irigi(as a (e0inir #s

 .ar2%etr#s /r-anístic#s 1 ar3/itectónic#s& 1 (e re(/cción (e a v/nera-ii(a( (e a

 .#-ación e in0raestr/ct/ra& es (ecir eva/ar as c#n(ici#nes (e seg/ri(a( estr/ct/raes 1

n# estr/ct/raes en (ic5a #cai(a(2. SITUACIÓN GENERAL

E #-$etiv# .rinci.a (e a .resente Eva/ación (e Riesg#s& es a (e i(enti0icar 1

estrati0icar #s .eigr#s& e an2isis (e v/nera-ii(a(es 1 eva/ar #s riesg#s en

in0raestr/ct/ra (e Sa/(& E(/cación 1 #tr#s& en e 2rea (e in0/encia (e a ;/e-ra(a

Cais./3/i#& (istrit# (e Ca$a%arca& Pr#vincia (e Ca$a%arca& Región Ca$a%arca9 c#n e

0in (e (eter%inar as c#n(ici#nes (e seg/ri(a( 1 5a-ita-ii(a( (e 2rea

2.1. Ubi!i"# $%&$'()i!< REGIÓN Ca$a%arca< PROVINCIA Ca$a%arca< DISTRITO Ca$a%arca< LOCALIDAD Cais./3/i#& Vista 6ea& Santa Eena& N/eve (e

Oct/-re& La 7#ri(a& J#s8 Oa1a& P/e-# Li-re 1 Magna Vae$#

2.2.D%*'i+i"# )*i! -% ! /&#! ! %0!!'!. A%*ibii-!-

La 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i# atraviesa .arte (e a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca en (irección

(e Oeste a este& 1 atraviesa varias vías (e acces#& entre as 3/e se tiene& Av Per'&Av In(e.en(encia& Av Casan#va& Av San Martín& Jr Pr#gres#& Av Ata5/a.a&

Av Vía (e Evita%ient# S/r

b. Ci4!E (e.arta%ent# (e Ca$a%arca en 0#r%a genera .resenta /n ci%a sec#&

te%.a(# 1 s#ea(# (/rante e (ía 1 0rí# .#r as n#c5es& c#n te%.erat/ras 3/e

0/ct'an entre )=> cerca (e a c#sta& )?> en ce$a (e seva 1 @> en a sierra& a

te%.#ra(a (e /vias se e4tien(e entre #s %eses (e (icie%-re 1 a-ri& c#n

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 .reci.itación (e )** a +&,** %% Presenta (iversi(a( (e ci%as& s/e#s&

vegetación& (istri-/ción en c/atr# regi#nes

•  Bosque Ecuatorial : Presente /n ci%a .re(#%inante%ente c2i(# 1 sec#9 a

Este se .resenta /n .#c# %2s 0resc# .#r e a/%ent# (e a atit/(9 5acia e

n#rte es c2i(# 1 5'%e(# 1 5acia e s/r sec# La te%.erat/ra .r#%e(i# an/a

est2 entre #s )= 1 )@ >C a .reci.itación varía (e ,** %% a n#rte a +**

%% a s/r& sien(# a 8.#ca (e /vias entre #s %eses (e (icie%-re a %ar#

•  Páramo: E ci%a es %/1 0rí# 1 5'%e(#& c#n 0rec/entes ne-inas Las

 .reci.itaci#nes tí.icas s#n as neva(as En as n#c5es a te%.erat/ra

(escien(e a nivees in0eri#res a #s *>C

•  Puna: Presenta /n ci%a %/1 0rí#& (e-i(# a a rare0acción at%#s08rica

#casi#na(a .#r a at/ra P#r # genera as te%.erat/ras s#n -a$as& c#n

variaci#nes %/1 %arca(as (e 5asta =*>C entre as te%.erat/ras (i/rnas 1

n#ct/rnas E4isten (#s estaci#nes %/1 %arca(as en a ./na La 8.#ca (e

/vias %eses (e (icie%-re a %ar# 1 a 8.#ca (e seca %eses (e a-ri a

n#vie%-re c#n .resencia (e /vias en 0#r%a es.#r2(ica9 en as #nas (e

%a1#r at/ra .#r enci%a (e #s @&)** %sn% as .reci.itaci#nes se (an en

0#r%a (e nieve 1 grani# L#s vient#s s#n 0/ertes 1 s#.an (e %anera

c#ntin/a& c#ntri-/1en(# a re(/cir a te%.erat/ra 1 a secar e a%-iente

•  Selva Alta o de las Yungas: E ci%a en esta región se caracteria .#r 

 .resentar /na %arca(a variación (e a te%.erat/ra& (irecta%ente reaci#na(#

c#n a atit/(& sien(# %2s c2i(# en a .arte -a$a 1 te%.a(# en a .arte ata

A #s ,** %etr#s (e at/ra a te%.erat/ra .r#%e(i# acana #s ))>C& .er# a

#s =&,** %etr#s (escien(e a #s @>C Presenta /n intens# r8gi%en (e /vias

3/e s/.era #s =&*** %ií%etr#s an/aes& a .resencia (e /vias es c#nstante

t#(# e aB#& c#n %a1#r inci(encia (/rante #s %eses (e Dicie%-re a Mar#

Otra característica (e este ci%a es a .resencia (e /na ata 5/%e(a(

a%-ienta& (e-i(# a a .resencia (e a-/n(antes n/-es -a$as es.ecia%ente

(/rante as .ri%eras 5#ras (e a %aBana 1 'ti%as (e a tar(e

La ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca .resenta /n ci%a9 (/rante e (ía sec#& te%.a(# <

s#ea(# 1 0rí# (/rante as n#c5es9 c#n /na .reci.itación ./via .r#%e(i# an/a

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3/e varía entre #s %% 1 )*%% L#s 0act#res 3/e (eter%inan e ci%a en a

ci/(a( s#n #s sig/ientes:

• T%4+%'!3'!La ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca .resenta (/rante #s %eses (e /vias c#%.ren(i(#s

entre (icie%-re 1 %ar# te%.erat/ras 3/e 0/ct'an entre #s 1 )) >C&

(/rante #s %eses (e a-ri a n#vie%-re a te%.erat/ra varía entre #s = 1 ))

>C .resent2n(#se te%.a(# (/rante e (ía 1 0rí# (/rante a n#c5e Seg'n #s

(at#s (e a estación Mete#r#ógica e-er-a/er a te%.erat/ra %24i%a %e(ia

an/a es (e )) >C 1 a te%.erat/ra %íni%a an/a es (e = >C

• 4%-!- R%!3i0!La F/%e(a( Reativa .r#%e(i# an/a en a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca varía entre

,? 1 ? a.r#4i%a(a%ente& c#n /n .r#%e(i# an/a (e ?, L#s %eses

(e %en#r 5/%e(a( s#n $/i#& ag#st# 1 setie%-re& incre%ent2n(#se en e rest#

(e aB#

• P0i&4%3'!En a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca .resenta /n r8gi%en ./vi#%8tric# varia-e

(/rante t#(# e aB#& as .reci.itaci#nes %íni%as se .resentan entre #s %eses

(e %a1# a setie%-re 1 as %24i%as .reci.itaci#nes entre #s %eses (e ener# a

%ar#

. U#i-!-%* $%&4&')&"$i!*E (e.arta%ent# (e Ca$a%arca& /-ica(# en a .arte n#rte (e .aís& .resenta /na

gran (iversi(a( ec#ógica c#n atit/(es 3/e van (es(e #s +, HCerr# Pit/ra<

C#nt/%a2 a @&@ %sn% HCerr# R/%i R/%i<Ca$a-a%-a S/ territ#ri#

a-arca .arte (e a vertiente #cci(enta 1 #rienta (e #s An(es Entre #s

 .rinci.aes rasg#s %#r0#ógic#s (e (e.arta%ent# (estacan: a Oeste a C#(iera

Occi(enta9 a Este e .r#0/n(# caBón 0#r%a(# .#r e rí# MaraBón9 a N#rte e

sect#r S/r (e a c#r(iera (e E Cón(#r9 a N#reste a (ivis#ria (e ag/as (e

C5inc5i.e c#n e C#%aina 1 a Este 1 N#reste (e a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca H%2s

(e =&*** %sn% e4tensas $acas # %esetas an(inas .#c# acci(enta(as La

t#.#gra0ía (e 2rea centra (e (e.arta%ent# se caracteria .#r a .resencia (e

%'ti.es vaes interan(in#s L#s .rinci.aes vaes (e (e.arta%ent# s#n:

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Ca$a%arca& Je3/ete.e3/e& C#n(e-a%-a& C5#tan#& La/can#& C5a%a1a 1

C5inc5i.e

Las .rinci.aes A-ras 3/e se enc/entran en e (e.arta%ent# s#n as sig/ientes:

• Ab'! C&i4&!F%: Se /-ica en e Lí%ite inter.r#vincia F/aga1#c<San

Mig/e& a N#rte (e a Pa%.a ;/icate& a /na atit/( (e @&*+* %sn% .#r a

c/a se (esarr#a e tra# (e a carretera Pacas%a1#<San Mig/e<F/aga1#c

• Ab'! C4b'%: U-ica(a en e Lí%ite (istrita Ca$a%arca K Mag(aena& entre

#s cerr#s Secsen%a1# 1 R/%i R/%i& a /na atit/( (e =&?,* %sn% .#r 

(ic5a A-ra se (esarr#a e ca%in# (e 5erra(/ra Mag(aena<Ca$a%arca

• Ab'! C&4!: U-ica(a en e í%ite inter.r#vincia Ca$a%arca < Ceen(ín

en a c#r(iera C#%/ca& a /na atit/( (e =&?** %sn% .#r (ic5a A-ra se

(esarr#a Ca$a%arca K Ceen(ín K 6asas

• Ab'! P4!!4!: U-ica(# en í%ite (istrita C#n(e-a%-a Sitac#c5a& a S/r 

(e cerr# Ai$ar& a /na atit/( (e =&,* %sn% .#r (ic5a A-ra se (esarr#a e

tra# (e a carretera Ca$a-a%-a K Sitac#c5a K 6#ivar

• Ab'! S!4!#$!? U-ica(a en e Lí%ite inter.r#vincia F/aga1#c K C5#ta&

entre #s cerr#s Pica(i# 1 L#%a C5/c5#& a /na atit/( (e =&)** %sn% .#r 

(ic5a A-ra se (esarr#a e tra# (e a carretera C5#ta K 6a%-a%arca

• 9i! A3! U-ica(# en S/reste (e a ci/(a( (e Ja8n& a /na atit/( (e +&*+

%sn% .#r (ic5a A-ra se (esarr#a e tra# (e a carretera Santa R#sa K 

Ja8n K San Ignaci#

-. G%&&$! &!La #na en an2isis& se enc/entra c#%.ren(i(a (entr# (e c/a(r2ng/# +,<0 (e a

Carta Ge#ógica Naci#na

%. E*3'!3i$'!)!Se enc/entra c#%.ren(i(a entre as c#tas )&@* 1 )&** %sn%

Lit#ógica%nente est2 c#nstit/i(a .#r a /ni(a( v#c2nica F/a%-#s 1 as

0#r%aci#nes C5i%'& Santa& Car5/a& 0arrat& Inca 1 C5/ec S/s .en(ientes

0/ct'an en e rang# (e ,> a >

). G%&-i#(4i! %73%'#!

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En a ge#(in2%ica e4terna& .#r acción (e #s (i0erentes agentes er#siv#s& 5ace

3/e as (i0erentes 0#r%aci#nes r#c#sas se inte%.ericen # %ete#ricen:

0ísica%ente (esintegr2n(#se& (isgreg2n(#se& (esc#%.#ni8n(#se 3/í%ica%ente

e c/a si c#nstit/1e /n riesg# ge#ógic#

P#r e# es i%.#rtante tener c/i(a(# c#n #s ta/(es (e c#rte 1 reen#& 3/e

re3/ieren .ara s/ esta-iiación a(ec/a(a

$. i-'&&$!Es (e ti.# inter%itente # estaci#na c#n /n 2rea (e (rena$e a.r#4i%a(# (e @*

%) cac/a(a (es(e a (ivis#ria (e ag/as 5asta a intersección (e ca/ce c#n a

 .r##ngación (e a Av San Martín Presenta /n rec#rri(# a.r#4i%a(# (e ,)@

% en s/ .arte -a$a cr/a a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca (e Oeste a Este& 5asta

(ese%-#car en e rí# San L/casE Est/(i# Ma.a (e Peigr#s (e Ca$a%arca K INDECI& 5a esti%a(# /n ca/(a

 .r#%e(i# %24i%# (e ))) %=s c#n /na tasa (e ret#rn# (e ), aB#s& .#r ser /n

c#ect#r nat/ra (e (rena$e /r-an# Se 5a t#%a(# c#%# ./nt# (e (escarga e

cr/ce (e a 3/e-ra(a c#n a Av Ata5/a.a

Presenta /n .r#ces# (e se(i%entación .#r ac/%/ación (e resi(/#s sói(#s 1 (e

%ateria arci#s#<gran/ar& (es(e a Av In(e.en(encia 5asta s/ (ese%-#ca(/ra

en e rí# San L/cas& n#t2n(#se /na re(/cción (e a sección (e s/ ca/ce Las

#nas er#si#na-es se enc/entran en e c/rs# s/.eri#r (es(e as a0/eras (e a

ci/(a( 5asta a intersección c#n e Jr A0#ns# Ugarte

2.3.C!'!3%'*3i!* $%#%'!%* -% ('%! $%&$'()i! ! %0!!'Se #caia en e 2rea centra (e a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca& c#%.r#%ete a%-as

%2rgenes (e a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#& .resenta /na s/.er0icie a.r#4i%a(a (e +?,

52s& 1 (#n(e se a-erga /na .#-ación a.r#4i%a(a (e +& ?+ 5a-itantes 3/e #c/.anen .r#%e(i# =, vivien(as& c#n /na (ensi(a( -r/ta .r#%e(i# (e , Fa-52

Esta c#%.ren(i(# .#r /na .#ig#na 3/e env/eve a%-as %2rgenes (e a 3/e-ra(a

Cais./3/i#& (es(e e $r ;/iB#nes en e sect#r Cais./3/i# 5asta e cr/ce c#n a Av

Ata5/a.a C#%.ren(e .arte (e #s AAFF Cais./3/i#& Vista 6ea& Santa Eena&

 N/eve (e Oct/-re& La 7#ri(a& J#s8 Oa1a& P/e-# Li-re 1 Magna Vae$# L#s

 .rinci.aes e3/i.a%ient#s 3/e se enc/entran c#%.r#%eti(#s s#n:

J/an III K Sec/n(ari#

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J/an III K Inicia J/an III K CE6A D#s (e Ma1# K Sec/n(ari# D#s (e Ma1# K CE6A IE N> ?)*+ < Pri%aria IE N> *++ K Inicia IE N> )? K Inicia IE ngees Ceestiaes K Inicia IE Santa R#sa K Inicia n# esc#aria(# C#%.aBía (e 6#%-er#s N> , Centr# (e Sa/( Magna Vae$# Igesias Evang8icas

E /s# .re(#%inante en e sect#r es e resi(encia En # re0erente a %ateriaes (e

c#nstr/cción (e as vivien(as 3/e se (isting/en (#s #nas cara%ente (i0erencia(as&

(es(e e Jr ;/iB#nes H#na ata (e a(eras sect#r Cais./3/i# 5asta a Av Siva

Santiste-an& as vivien(as s#n (e a(#-e K a(ri# c#n ten(encias a ca%-i# (e

%ateria 1 /s# (e a(ri#9 1 e sect#r c#%.ren(i(# entre as Av Siva Santiste-an 1

a Av Ata5/a.a& .resenta vivien(as .re(#%inante%ente (e a(ri# en reg/ar 

esta(# (e c#nstr/cción 1 c#nservación C/entan c#n servici#s (e ag/a 1 (esagQe9

 .resenta /n nive (e accesi-ii(a( at#& (e-i(# a 3/e e +** (e as vías est2n

 .avi%enta(as& .#si-iitan(# e (es.aa%ient# (e a .#-ación en cas# (e

e%ergencia

. DE LA EVALUACIÓN DE RIESGOS.1. D%3%'4i#!i"# -% #i0% -% +%i$'&*i-!-

E an2isis (e #s .eigr#s nat/raes se (esarr#a -a$# e c#nce.t# (e inv#/crar a

t#(#s a3/e#s ee%ent#s (e %e(i# a%-iente # ent#rn# 0ísic#& .er$/(icia a 5#%-re

1 ca/sa(# .#r 0/eras a$enas a 8 En este senti(# se anaiar2 a inci(encia 1 e

i%.act# genera(# .#r acción (e 0enó%en#s (e #rigen ge#ógic#& ci%2tic#& # a%-#sen .arae#9 (#n(e se ea-#rar2n #s %a.as te%2tic#s (e #s .eigr#s 3/e se

 .resentan en e ent#rn# (e a c/enca Cais./3/i#& .ara #-tener #s %a.as (e

 .eigr#s nat/raes

E an2isis (e #s .eigr#s antró.ic#s se (esarr#a i(enti0ican(# a t#(as a3/eas

activi(a(es genera(as .#r e 5#%-re 3/e res/tan .er$/(iciaes a 8 En este senti(#

se esta-ece a inci(encia 1 e nive i%.act# (e #s (ivers#s .r#ces#s antró.ic#s en

e 2rea /r-ana 1 s/ ent#rn# in%e(iat#9 .ara #-tener c#%# res/ta(# e Ma.a Síntesis(e Peigr#s Antró.ic#s

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.1.1. I-%#3i)i!i"# -% &* +%i$'&*!@ E*%#!'i& -% 'i%*$& !#3% )%#"4%#&* -% &'i$%# i4(3i&.

De ac/er(# a a inci(encia e i%.act# (e in/n(aci#nes %en#res 1 %a1#res 1

#s nivees (e v/nera-ii(a( 3/e .resenta a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#& #s

e0ect#s ante in/n(aci#nes serían #s sig/ientes C#a.s# (e e(i0icaci#nes (e a(#-e& /-ica(as en as #nas 3/e .resentan

in/n(aci#nes %a1#res& .#r .r#ces#s ( er#sión en #s c#%.#nentes

estr/ct/raes Hci%ient#s 1 (e cerra%ient# H%/r#s 1 .are(es A/%ent# en a na.a 0re2tica& en #nas c#ntig/as a ca/ce (e a 3/e-ra(a DaB#s a #s e3/i.a%ient#s -2sic#s Hsa/(& e(/cación& #tr#s e4istentes&

(e-i(# a a a/sencia (e siste%as (e (rena$e intern#9 c#n a c#nsec/ente

interr/.ción te%.#ra (e #s servici#s

b@ E*%#!'i& -% 'i%*$& !#3% )%#"4%#&* -% &'i$%# $%&"$i&.De ac/er(# a a interacción entre #s .eigr#s 1 #s nivees (e v/nera-ii(a(

3/e .resenta a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#& #s e0ect#s (e /n sis%# (e %agnit/(

VII serían #s sig/ientes: DaB#s en e(i0icaci#nes /-ica(as en #nas c#n aceeraci#nes sís%icas

severas 1 %a1#r .r#-a-ii(a( (e e4.ansi-ii(a( (e s/e# 3/e .resentan

(e0iciencias c#nstr/ctivas # est2n e4entas (e c#nsi(eraci#nes sis%#

resistentes DaB#s c#nsi(era-es en e e3/i.a%ient# /r-an# 3/e .resentan

e(i0icaci#nes carentes (e c#nsi(eraci#nes sis%# resistente& c#n a

c#nsec/ente interr/.ción te%.#ra 1 (is%in/ción (e a ca.aci(a(

#.erativa (e #s servici#s

@ E*%#!'i& -% 'i%*$& !#3% )%#"4%#&* -% &'i$%# $%&"$i& i4(3i&.Tenien(# en c#nsi(eración 3/e e i%.act# (e #s (esia%ient#s en #s

(i0erentes c#%.#nentes /r-an#s est2 en 0/nción a a (istancia (e 2rea (egeneración (e re%#ción (e %asas& a a ve#ci(a( (e (es.aa%ient# (e 0/$#

1 a a visc#si(a( (e %ateria9 se .rev8n as sig/ientes sit/aci#nes (e riesg#:

Ante (esia%ient#s c#%.e$#s e4istentes H#na (e generación DaB#s c#nsi(era-es en as e(i0icaci#nes in%e(iatas a /gar (e a

#c/rrencia (e 0enó%en# (e re%#ción (e %asas .#r e i%.act# (e

(esia%ient#s c#%.e$#s He4istentes 1 .r#-a-es 1 %en#res

Ante (esia%ient#s .r#-a-es H#na (e (e.#sición

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E nive (e i%.act# seg'n a (istancia a a #na (e generación (e

(esia%ient#& es e sig/iente: DaB#s c#nsi(era-es en instaaci#nes 1 e(i0icaci#nes carentes (e

c#nsi(eraci#nes sis%# resistente9 c#n a c#nsec/ente interr/.ciónte%.#ra # t#ta 1 (is%in/ción (e a ca.aci(a( #.erativa (e #s servici#s

-@ E*%#!'i& -% 'i%*$& !#3% )%#"4%#&* -% &'i$%# !#3'"+i&. DaB#s en as instaaci#nes 1 e(i0icaci#nes en genera& (e-i(# a

ina(ec/a(# e%.aa%ient# en a 3/e-ra(a 1 a(eras inesta-es9 c#%#

 .r#(/ct# (e a .resión (e s/e# 1 (e-ii(a(es en as acci#nes (e c#ntr#

/r-an#

.1.2. C!'!3%'i/!i"# -% &* +%i$'&*L#s .eigr#s 3/e se .resentan en este sect#r est2n as#cia(#s a 0enó%en#s (e

#rigen ge#ógic# reaci#na(#s a ti.# (e s/e# 1 a a .r#-a-ii(a( (e /n sis%#

(e gran %agnit/(& (i0erenci2n(#se (#s #nas c#n características (i0erentes:

La #na c#%.ren(i(a entre e Jr ;/iB#nes Hsect#r Cais./3/i# 5asta a Av

A0#ns# Ugarte .resentan s/e#s (e ca.aci(a( .#rtante inter%e(ia 1

aceeraci#nes sís%icas %#(era(as9 1 a #na c#%.ren(i(a entre a Av

A0#ns# Ugarte 1 a Av Ata5/a.a S/r .resenta s/e#s -a$a ca.aci(a( .#rtante& .r#-a-ii(a( (e asenta%ient#s (i0erenciaes .#r .resencia (e s/e#s

e4.ansiv#s 1 atas aceeraci#nes sís%icas

.1.. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% &* +%i$'&*L#s 7enó%en#s (e Origen Antró.ic# 3/e se .resentan en este sect#r est2n

reaci#na(#s a e%.aa%ient# en riesg# (e e(i0icaci#nes e in0raestr/ct/ra a

 -#r(e (e c/rs# (e a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#9 ina(ec/a(# %ane$# 5i(r2/ic# (e

a 3/e-ra(a9 verti%ient# (e ag/as resi(/aes 1 resi(/#s sói(#s a ca/ce (e a

3/e-ra(a& generan(# a s#-recarga 5í(rica en 8.#cas (e /vias intensas9 0ata

(e /n siste%a integra (e (rena$e ./via9 /s# in(e-i(# (e es.aci# .'-ic#

 .#r c#ncentración (e a%-/antes& así c#%# ta%-i8n (e0icientes (iseB#s 1

 .r#ces#s c#nstr/ctiv#s En este sect#r se esti%a /n nive (e Riesgo Alto

.1.5. Ni0%%* -% +%i$'&Clasificación de peligros naturales

CLASIFICACIÓN DE

ZONAS DE PELIGRO

PELIGROSRECOMENDACIONES PARA ÁREAS SIN

OCUPACIÓNZONAS DE PELIGRO

MUY ALTO

ectores a#ena(ados )or re#oc"*n de #asas de

s$elo + roca Desl"(a#"entos Co#)le-os. con

/ro0"b"do s$ $so con 1"nes de ex)ans"*n

$rbana% e reco#"enda $t"l"(arlos co#o

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"#)acto o e1ecto )$nt$al% reser2as ecol*&"cas, (onas recreat"2as, etc%ectores donde se es)eran altas acelerac"ones

sís#"cas )or s$s característ"cas &eot3cn"cas%

ZONAS DE PELIGRO

ALTO +

ectores a#ena(ados )or la escorrentía de 1l$-os

de lodo &enerados )or la )robab"l"dad de

desl"(a#"entos co#)le-os con "#)acto en el 4rea

0")ot3t"ca de de5ecc"*n e "n$ndac"*n #a5or%ectores 6$e son "n$ndados )or la acc"*n )l$2"al%

/$eden ser e#)leados )ara $so $rbano de

ba-a dens"dad, s"n )er#"t"r la constr$cc"*n de

e6$")a#"entos $rbanos "#)ortantes% e

deben e#)lear #ater"ales 5 s"ste#as

constr$ct"2os adec$ados7 5 )r"or"(ar obras de

drena-e en 4reas de de)res"*n to)o&r41"ca%ectores donde se es)eran altas acelerac"ones

sís#"cas )or s$s característ"cas &eot3cn"cas%

ZONAS DE PELIGRO

ALTO

$elo de cal"dad "nter#ed"a, con acelerac"ones

sís#"cas #oderadas% In$ndac"ones #a5ores en

(onas es)ecí1"cas%

$elos a)tos )ara $so $rbano e#)leando

#ater"ales 5 s"ste#as constr$ct"2os

adec$ados7 re&la#entando las

constr$cc"ones s"s#o res"stentes 5

controlando la oc$)ac"*n de 1ran-as

#ar&"nales de las 6$ebradas%

ZONAS DE PELIGRO

MEDIO

$elo de cal"dad "nter#ed"a, con acelerac"ones

sís#"cas #enores%

$elos a)tos )ara ex)ans"*n $rbana,

controlando la oc$)ac"*n de 1ran-as

#ar&"nales de las 6$ebradas%

ZONAS DE PELIGRO

BAJO

$elo de #e-or cal"dad con acelerac"ones sís#"cas

le2es%

$elos "deales )ara ex)ans"*n $rbana 5

local"(ac"*n de e6$")a#"entos $rbanos

"#)ortantes controlando la "ntan&"b"l"dad del

$so del s$elo en las 1ran-as #ar&"nales de

las 6$ebradas "n#ed"atas%

Para a ea-#ración (e Ma.a Síntesis (e Peigr#s Nat/raes& en e 3/e se

i(enti0ican 1 cai0ican #s .eigr#s nat/raes& seg'n e có(ig# (e c##res (e

c/a(r# anteri#r& se anaian #s 0enó%en#s (e Origen Ge#ógic#& (e %anerain(e.en(iente (e #s 0enó%en#s (e Origen Ci%2tic# 1 Ge#ógic# <

Ci%2tic#

P#r #tr# a(#& e an2isis (e as activi(a(es genera(as .#r e 5#%-re 3/e

res/tan .er$/(iciaes a 8 1 s/ %e(i# a%-iente c#n(/cen a a ea-#ración (e

Ma.a Síntesis (e Peigr#s Antró.ic#s

7ina%ente (e a as#ciación (e Ma.a Síntesis (e Peigr#s Nat/raes 1 (e

Ma.a Síntesis (e Peigr#s Antró.ic#s se #-tiene e Ma.a Síntesis (e Peigr#s

M'ti.es e %is%# 3/e sirve (e ins/%# .ara a esti%ación (e riesg# en a

3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#

.1.6. I-%#3i)i!i"# -% %%4%#3&* %7+%*3&*Esta c#%.ren(i(# .#r /na .#ig#na 3/e env/eve a%-as %2rgenes (e a

3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#& (es(e e $r ;/iB#nes en e sect#r Cais./3/i# 5asta e

cr/ce c#n a Av Ata5/a.a C#%.ren(e .arte (e #s AAFF Cais./3/i#&

Vista 6ea& Santa Eena& N/eve (e Oct/-re& La 7#ri(a& J#s8 Oa1a& P/e-#

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Li-re 1 Magna Vae$# L#s .rinci.aes e3/i.a%ient#s 3/e se enc/entran

c#%.r#%eti(#s s#n:

J/an III K Sec/n(ari# J/an III K Inicia J/an III K CE6A D#s (e Ma1# K Sec/n(ari# D#s (e Ma1# K CE6A IE N> ?)*+ < Pri%aria IE N> *++ K Inicia IE N> )? K Inicia IE ngees Ceestiaes K Inicia IE Santa R#sa K Inicia n# esc#aria(# C#%.aBía (e 6#%-er#s N> , Centr# (e Sa/( Magna Vae$# Igesias Evang8icas

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.1.8. S*%+3ibii-!- -% (4bi3& $%&$'()i& !#3% &* +%i$'&*A3/eas 0ran$as (e terren# 3/e 3/e(an r2.i(a%ente -a$# as ag/as (e

in/n(ación c#rres.#n(erían a 2reas (e %a1#r s/sce.ti-ii(a( 5í(rica& en tant#

3/e a3/eas 3/e # res/ten inva(i(as re.resentarían a 2reas (e %en#r s/sce.ti-ii(a( 5í(rica

.1.8.1. 9!3&'%* &#-ii&#!#3%* G%&&$! ge#ógica%ente se ./e(e %enci#nar 3/e a tener /na 0#r%a

irreg/ar 1 varia-e& a .arte ata es s/sce.ti-e a 5/aic#s& (err/%-es&

asenta%ient#s9 .r#(/ct# (e a .resencia (e /vias intensas& 1 %a

(rena$e

G%&4&')&&$! a #na (e est/(i# 5a si(# genera(# .#r varias

0#r%aci#nes 3/e 1a 5an si(# (escritas anteri#r%ente

9i*i&$'!)! e 2rea (e est/(i# c/enta c#n /n reieve .an# en a .arte

 -a$a& 1 c#n0#r%e se va ascen(ien(# se v/eve e%.ina(# en a .arte

ata E4iste variación (e s/e#s& (es(e %/1 -an(#s 1 (e -a$a

ca.aci(a( .#rtante& 5asta s/e#s c#ng#%era(#s en a .arte ata

i-'&&$! a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i# c/enta c#n /n ca/(a %íni%# en8.#cas (e estia$e& 3/e ./e(e egar a %en#s (e /n itr#seg/n(#9 5asta

/n ca/(a %24i%# (e %2s (e )* %=s& en aveni(as e4tra#r(inarias c#n

/n .eri#(# (e ret#rn# (e ), aB#s A(e%2s e4isten ag/n#s

%anantiaes 3/e s#n /tiia(#s .ara a .e3/eBa agric/t/ra 1 /s#

(#%8stic#

T#(#s est#s 0act#res ./e(en (esenca(enar gran(es in/n(aci#nes& 3/e

 ./e(en a0ectar as vivien(as ag/as a-a$#

E-!)&&$! en a #na (e est/(i# se a.recia 3/e e4iste /na ten(encia

a seg/ir /r-anian(# as #nas atas (e a 3/e-ra(a& sin reaiar /n

 .revi# an2isis (e s/e#s& s/ ca.aci(a( .#rtante& a vegetación

e4istente& etc9 .#nien(# en riesg# a integri(a( (e 3/ienes ./e(en

5a-itar esta #na

.1.8.2. 9!3&'%* -%*%#!-%#!#3%*

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i-'&4%3%&'&"$i&* a #na (e est/(i# se enc/entra /-ica(# en a

sierra n#rte (e .aís& es .#r e# 3/e en #s %eses (e (icie%-re a

%ar#& se .resentan /vias intensas& generan(# s#-resat/ración (e

s/e#s& a/%ent# (e ca/(a (e as 3/e-ra(as9 e c/a ./e(e .r#(/cir 

(es-#r(es& 5/aic#s& etc

G%&"$i&*  .#r estar c#nsi(era(#s en /na #na (e riesg# sís%ic#

at#& t#(a a #na (e est/(i# se enc/entra v/nera-e ante est#s e0ect#s

ge#ógic#s

I#-i-& +&' % *%' F4!#& en este ./nt# se a.recia 3/e e4iste /n

creci%ient# (e%#gr20ic#& 1 #s asenta%ient#s 5/%an#s se est2nasentan(# en as .artes atas& (#n(e a .en(iente es ata& (#n(e n# es

a.t# .ara a c#nstr/cción& a %is%a 3/e genera s#-recarga en #s

s/e#s inesta-es& 1 ante a .resencia (e 5/%e(a(& se .r#(/ce

(esia%ient#s& #casi#nan(# graves c#nsec/encias a #s 5a-itantes

.1.:. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% **%+3ibii-!- R%i%0%

De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& R%i%0%P%*&

P&#-%'!-&"@ Reieve %/1 acci(enta(# c#n vaes estrec5#s 1 3/e-ra(as

 .r#0/n(as& n/%er#sas estri-aci#nes an(inas #na (e 5/a1c#s

Genera%ente %#ntaB#s# 1 c#%.e$#

P"@ **?

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Ti+& -% *%&De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& Ti+& -% S%&P%*&

P&#-%'!-&" S/e#s gran/ares 0in#s 1 s/e#s arci#s#s s#-re grava a/via #

c#/via

P" **?

C&b%'3'! 0%$%3!De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& C&b%'3'! V%$%3!P%*&

P&#-%'!-&"+@ , K )* P"+@ **?

U*& !3! -% &* *%&*De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& U*& A3! -% S%&*P%*&

P&#-%'!-&"+ reas Ur-anas& interc#%/nica(as %e(iante siste%as (e re(es 3/e

sirve .ara s/ n#r%a 0/nci#na%ient#

P"+ *,*=

i-'&4%3%&'&"$i&*De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& i-'&4%3%'%&"$i&*P%*&

P&#-%'!-&SF+ L/vias PSF+ *,*=

G%&"$i&De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& G%&"$i&P%*&

P&#-%'!-&SG@ M#vi%ient# (e Masas PSG@ **?

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I#-i-& +&' ! !i"# F4!#!De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& I#-i-& +&' ! !i"# F4!#!P%*&

P&#-%'!-&SI@ Asenta%ient# F/%an#s PSI@ **?

.1.;. <!+! -% /&#i)i!i"# -% #i0% -% +%i$'&*i-!-Ver ane4#

.2. A#(i*i* -% 0#%'!bii-!-%*La v/nera-ii(a( (e a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i# # (e c/a3/ier ee%ent# (e a %is%a&

est2 (e0ini(a c#%# e gra(# (e .8r(i(a # (aB# 3/e este ./e(a s/0rir (e-i(# a a

#c/rrencia (e /n 0enó%en# nat/ra (e severi(a( (a(a La nat/raea (e a

v/nera-ii(a( 1 s/ eva/ación varían seg'n e ee%ent# e4./est#: estr/ct/ras

s#ciaes& estr/ct/ras 0ísicas& -ienes& activi(a(es ec#nó%icas& etc9 1 seg'n as

a%enaas 1 .eigr#s e4istentes

Así .#r e$e%.# e nive (e tra/%atis%# s#cia (e /n (esastre es inversa%ente

 .r#.#rci#na a nive (e #rganiación e4istente en a c#%/ni(a( a0ecta(a 1 a a

ca.aci(a( (e .revención 1 res./esta 3/e tenga e te$i(# s#cia ante sit/aci#nes (e

e%ergencia Las s#cie(a(es 3/e .#seen /na tra%a c#%.e$a (e #rganiaci#nes

s#ciaes c#n rec/rs#s s/0icientes .ara aten(er e%ergencias ./e(en a-s#r-er %/c5#

%2s 02ci%ente a .erce.ción #ca (e riesg# 1 as c#nsec/encias (e /n (esastre&

reacci#nar c#n %a1#r ra.i(e 1 rec/.erarse (e i%.act# (e #s 0enó%en#s

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ser en0#ca(a (e %anera in(e.en(iente ante 0enó%en#s nat/raes (e #rigen ci%2tic#&

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se inc#r.#rar2 a inci(encia (e #s .r#ces#s antró.ic#s< L$!'%* -% &#%#3'!i"# +Hbi! c#%.ren(e a eva/ación (e #s es.aci#s

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/s#s9 en (#n(e e4ista a c#ncentración %asiva (e .ers#nas en /n %#%ent# (a(# c#n

e #-$etiv# (e %e(ir e gra(# (e a0ectación 1 (aB#s 3/e .#(rían .r#(/cirse ante a#c/rrencia (e /na a%enaa # .eigr#

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.2.1. A#(i*i* -% ! &4+&#%#3% %7+&*ii"#.2.1.1. E7+&*ii"# *&i!

E 2%-it# (e est/(i# .resenta /na s/.er0icie a.r#4i%a(a (e +?,

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5a-itantes 3/e #c/.an en .r#%e(i# =, vivien(as& c#n /na (ensi(a(

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C/na Jar(ín*= J/an III CE6A )?* )* *,*@ D#s (e Ma1# Sec/n(ari# )+ @= *@*, D#s (e Ma1# CE6A +* +* *=* IE N> ?)*+ Pri%aria ++@? @ *,

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.2.2. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% %7+&*ii"# S%'0ii&* E-!3i0&* E7+%*3&*

De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& S%'0ii&* %-!3i0&* %7+%*3&*P%*&

P&#-%'!-&ES , (e servici# e(/cativ# e4./est# PES *,*=

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S%'0ii&* -% S!- T%'i!'i&*De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& S%'0ii&* -% *!- 3%'i!'i&*P%*&

P&#-%'!-&ES++ * (e servici# (e sa/( e4./est# PES++ *,*=

L&!i/!i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& L&!i/!i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#P%*&

P&#-%'!-&EE) Cercana: *)* % K + % PEE) *)*

.2.. A#(i*i* -% ! &4+&#%#3% )'!$ii-!-.2..1. 9'!$ii-!- *&i!

Re0eri(a a nive (e resistencia 1 .r#tección 0rente a i%.act# (e /n

 .eigr#<a%enaa& 1a sea .#r 0ata (e %anteni%ient#s& 5acina%ient#s

en instaaci#nes .'-icas& ins/0iciencia (e %#-iiari#s& e(i0icaci#nes

%a /-ica(as& inesta-ii(a( (e e(i0icaci#nes .#r inc/%.i%ient# (e

n#r%as& entre #tras

.2..2. 9'!$ii-!- %&#"4i! N# c#rres.#n(e

.2... 9'!$ii-!- !4bi%#3! N# c#rres.#n(e

.2.5. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% )'!$ii-!- <!3%'i! -% C&#*3'i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#

De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& <!3%'i! -% &#*3'i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#P%*&

P&#-%'!-&7S, La(ri# # -#3/e (e c#ncret# P7S, **=,

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E*3!-& -% &#*%'0!i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& E*3!-& -% &#*%'0!i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&7S? Reg/ar: as e(i0icaci#nes 3/e reci-en %anteni%ient# es.#r2(ic#&

c/1a estr/ct/ra n# tiene (eteri#r# 1 si # tiene n# # c#%.r#%ete 1

es s/stenta-e& # 3/e #s aca-a(#s e instaaci#nes tienen

(eteri#r#s visi-es (e-i(# a /s# n#r%a

P7S? *+=@

T&+&$'!)! -% 3%''%#&De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& T&+&$'!)! -% T%''%#&P%*&

P&#-%'!-&

7S+ 6 +* P )* P7S+ **?

C&#)i$'!i"# -% %%0!i"# -% !* %-i)i!i&#%*De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& C&#)i$'!i"# -% %%0!i"# -% !* %-i)i!i&#%*.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&7S)@ ) Pis#s P7S)@ **?

I#4+i4i%#3& -% +'&%-i4i%#3&* &#*3'3i0&* -% !%'-& ! !

#&'4!3i0i-!- 0i$%#3%

De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'&I#4+i4i%#3& -% +'&%-i4i%#3&* &#*3'3i0&* -%

!%'-& ! ! #&'4!3i0i-!- 0i$%#3%.

P%*&

P&#-%'!-&7S) )* 1 @* P7S) **?

A#3i$K%-!- -% &#*3'i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& A#3i$K%-!- -% &#*3'i"# -% ! %-i)i!i"#.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&7E+@ De +* a )* aB#s P7E+@ **?

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C!'!3%'*3i!* $%&"$i!* -% *%&De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& C!'!3%'*3i!* $%&"$i!* -% *%&.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&7A= #na igera%ente 0ract/ra(a& s/e#s (e %e(iana ca.aci(a(

 .#rtante

P7A= *+=@

.2.6. A#(i*i* -% ! &4+&#%#3% '%*ii%#i!3.2.5.1. R%*ii%#i! *&i!

Ca.aci(a( (e res./esta (e a /ni(a( s#cia& re0eri(a a #rganiación&

c##r(inación (e #.eraci#nes& .re.aración& .ani0icación (e a

res./esta en cas# (e e%ergencia

3.2.5.2. R%*ii%#i! %&#"4i! N# c#rres.#n(e

3.2.5.3. R%*ii%#i! !4bi%#3! N# c#rres.#n(e

.2.8. P&#-%'!i"# -% &* +!'(4%3'&* -% '%*ii%#i! C!+!i3!i"# %# 3%4!* -% $%*3i"# -% 'i%*$&*

De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& C!+!i3!i"# %# 3%4!* -% $%*3i"# -% 'i%*$&.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&RS= La .#-ación (e ca.acita c#n reg/ar 0rec/encia en te%as

c#ncernientes a gestión (e riesg#s& sien(# s/ (i0/sión 1 c#-ert/ra

%a1#ritaria

PRS= *+=@

C&#&i4i%#3& &! *&b'% &''%#i! +!*!-! -% -%*!*3'%*De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'&C&#&i4i%#3& &! *&b'% &''%#i! +!*!-! -%

-%*!*3'%*.

P%*&

P&#-%'!-&RS E4iste /n escas# c#n#ci%ient# (e a .#-ación s#-re as ca/sas 1

c#nsec/encias (e #s (esastres

PRS *)*

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E7i*3%#i! -% #&'4!3i0i-!- +&3i! ? %$!De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& E7i*3%#i! -% #&'4!3i0i-!- +&3i! ? %$!.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&RS+= E s#.#rte ega (e territ#ri# 3/e a1/(e a a re(/cción (e

riesg#s (e territ#ri# H#ca& regi#na # naci#na& en e 3/e se

enc/entra e 2rea (e est/(i#& se c/%.e #casi#na%ente E4iste

/n inter8s ten/e en e (esarr## .ani0ica(# (e territ#ri# E

(es#r(en en a c#n0ig/ración territ#ria (e 2rea en est/(i# se

 .resenta en /na i%.#rtante .arte (e t#(# e territ#ri# (#n(e se

enc/entra e 2rea en est/(i# Ag/nas acci#nes (e .revención

1# %itigación (e (esastres 5an si(# # est2n c#nsi(era(#s

(entr# (e #s .anes estrat8gic#s (e (esarr## .er# n/nca se

i%.e%entar2n

PRS+= *+=@

A3i3- )'%#3% ! 'i%*$&De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& A3i3- )'%#3% ! 'i%*$&.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&RS+ Actit/( .arcia%ente .revis#ra (e a %a1#ría (e a .#-ación&

as/%ien(# e riesg#& e i%.e%entan(# escasas %e(i(as .ara

 .revenir e riesg#

PRS+ **?

C!4+!! -% -i)*i"#De a eva/ación se tiene:

P!'(4%3'& C!4+!! -% -i)*i"#.P%*&

P&#-%'!-&RS)) Escasa (i0/sión en (ivers#s %e(i#s (e c#%/nicación s#-re

te%as (e gestión (e riesg#& e4istien(# e (esc#n#ci%ient# (e a

%a1#ría (e a .#-ación

PRS)) *)*

.2.:. Ni0% -% 0#%'!bii-!-En a ci/(a( (e Ca$a%arca& en es.ecia a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#& a escasa

c/t/ra (e .revención 1 .erce.ción (e riesg# #ca ./e(e #-servarse

cara%ente en a #c/.ación (e 2reas .r#.ensas a (esia%ient#s&

in/n(aci#nes& etc9 1 en (#n(e a(e%2s inci(en .r#ces#s antró.ic#s genera(#s

 .#r a .r#.ia .#-ación

De esta %anera e an2isis (e as v/nera-ii(a(es antes %enci#na(as& se

tra(/cir2n en %a.as (e v/nera-ii(a( en #s 3/e se i(enti0i3/en (e %anera

genera& as 2reas %2s v/nera-es (e a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i# En este %a.a

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se %/estra a cai0icación c/aitativa (e a ci/(a( en tres nivees (e

v/nera-ii(a(

• V#%'!bii-!- A3!< En este nive se as/%e /na ca.aci(a( (e res./esta

n/a .#r /na esti%ación c#nsi(era-e (e (aB#s 1 .8r(i(as en a .#-ación

ante .r#ces#s nat/raes 1 antró.ic#s

• V#%'!bii-!- <%-i!< Nive (e v/nera-ii(a( en e 3/e se as/%e /na

ca.aci(a( (e res./esta -a$a ante .r#ces#s nat/raes 1 antró.ic#s

• V#%'!bii-!- B!M!< Nive en e 3/e se esti%a /na ca.aci(a( (e

res./esta %#(era(a ante .r#ces#s nat/raes 1 antró.ic#s

.2.;. <!+! -% /&#i)i!i"# -% #i0% -% 0#%'!bii-!-V%' !#%7&

.. C(& -% 'i%*$&*E Riesg# est2 (e0ini(# c#%# a res/tante (e a interacción (e Peigr# c#n a

V/nera-ii(a( P/e(e ser e4.resa(# en t8r%in#s (e #s (aB#s # as .8r(i(as

es.era(as en /n tie%.# 0/t/r# ante a #c/rrencia (e /n 0enó%en# (e intensi(a(

(eter%ina(a& seg'n as c#n(ici#nes (e v/nera-ii(a( 3/e .resenta a 3/e-ra(a

Cais./3/i# Es (ecir:

Riesg# Peigr# 4 V/nera-ii(a(

En e .resente est/(i#& se esti%ar2n .ara a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i# escenari#s (e

riesg#: /n# 0rente a 0enó%en#s (e #rigen Nat/ra HGe#ógic#& Ci%2tic#& 1

Ge#ógic# Ci%2tic#9 1 0rente a 0enó%en#s (e Origen Antró.ic#

Sin e%-arg#& 1a 3/e tant# #s .eigr#s c#%# as c#n(ici#nes (e v/nera-ii(a( (e a

3/e-ra(a .resentan variaci#nes en e territ#ri#& es .#si-e (eter%inar /na(istri-/ción es.acia (e riesg#& c#n a 0inai(a( (e (eter%inar 1 .ri#riar acci#nes&

intervenci#nes 1 .r#1ect#s (e %anera es.ecí0ica& #rienta(#s a (is%in/ir #s nivees

(e v/nera-ii(a( 1 riesg# (e a 3/e-ra(a

De an2isis (esarr#a(# a as#ciación (e nivees (e .eigr# M/1 At# c#n #nas (e

V/nera-ii(a( M/1 Ata (eter%ina #nas (e Riesg# M/1 At# C#n0#r%e

(is%in/1en #s nivees (e Peigr# 1 V/nera-ii(a(& (is%in/1e e Nive (e Riesg# 1

 .#r # tant# e nive (e .8r(i(as es.era(as De a (ei%itación (e #s Sect#res

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Crític#s (e a 3/e-ra(a Cais./3/i#& se (irigir2n 1 .ri#riaran as acci#nes 1

%e(i(as es.ecí0icas (e %itigación

..1. D%3%'4i#!i"# -% &* #i0%%* -% 'i%*$&*Anaian(# a .#n(eración (e .eigr#si(a( 1 v/nera-ii(a(& se tiene #s

sig/ientes (at#s:

Ni0% -% P%i$'&*i-!- .252 Ni0% -% V#%'!bii-!- .2;:

P#r # tant# e nive (e riesg# es: Ni0% -% 'i%*$& .8

" anaian(# a ta-a& e nive (e riesg# se enc/entra entre a a-scisa VA

H*) 1 a #r(ena(a PA H*)& (an(# c#%# res/ta(# /n Ri%$& A3&.

Sin e%-arg# en #s rang#s (e nivees (e riesg# se tiene Ri%*$& <? A3&

..2. C(& -% +&*ib%* +='-i-!* >!i3!3i0! ? !#3i3!3i0!@ C&*3& -% %-i)i!i&#%*

rea t#ta c#nstr/i(a H%) +@& )??**C#st# /nitari# HS @*=*=

C&*3& 3&3! -% %-i)i!i&#%* >S.@ 6:6;, 52.85

... &#i)i!i"# -% 'i%*$&*V%' !#%7&

..5. <%-i-!* -% +'%0%#i"# -% 'i%*$&* -% -%*!*3'%* >'i%*$&* )3'&*@..5.1. D% &'-%# %*3'3'!

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E$ec/ción (e #-ras (e (e0ensa ri-ereBas& canaiación (e a 3/e-ra(a&

%/r#s (e s#steni%ient# 1 c#ntención

..5.2. D% &'-%# #& %*3'3'!Li%.iea (e ca/ce (e 3/e-ra(a& a/%entar e nive (e resiiencia en a

 .#-ación& i%.e%entar .anes (e evac/ación

..6. <%-i-!* -% '%-i"# -% 'i%*$&* -% -%*!*3'%* >'i%*$&* %7i*3%#3%*@..6.1. D% &'-%#% %*3'3'!

Desc#%atación (e ca/ce& %e$#rar e siste%a (e retención (e sói(#s

en s/s.ensión& c#nstr/ir #-ras (e arte 3/e .er%itan (isi.ar a energía

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..6.2. D% &'-%# #& %*3'3'!A.icar siste%as (e evac/ación& reaian(# si%/acr#s .reventiv#s 1

c#ntin/#s

.5. D% &#3'& -% 'i%*$&*.5.1. D% ! %0!!i"# -% !* 4%-i-!*

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) Me(i#Las c#nsec/encias (e-i(# a i%.act# (e /n 0enó%en#

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Se #-tiene 3/e e 'i%*$& %* 3&%'!b%

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R%-i"# -% 'i%*$&Se re0#rar2 a in0raestr/ct/ra (e canaiación (e a 3/e-ra(a& asíc#%# c#nstr/cción (e (e0ensas ri-ereBas9 así %is%# se reaiar2i%.iea .erió(ica (e ca/ce a 3/e-ra(a& c#%# se instaar2n n/evasre(es (e acantaria(#& c#n a 0inai(a( (e evitar 3/e a .#-aciónevac/e s/s (esagQes 5acia a 3/e-ra(a

T'!#*)%'%#i! -% 'i%*$&Reaiar /na ca%.aBa (e a.icación (e seg/r#s& tant# (e .r#.ie(a(&c#%# seg/r#s catastró0ic#s

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5. BIBLIOGRA9ÍA< A./ntes (e case< Pr#gra%a (e .revención 1 %e(i(as (e %itigación ante (esastres (e a ci/(a(

(e Ca$a%arca& Dicie%-re )**,< G##ge< Inge%et

6. ANEOS6.1. P!#&*6.2. D!3&* %*3!-*3i&*6.. P!#% )&3&$'()i&6.5. O3'&*