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Conference “The Future of Natural gas”. Geopolitical forecast : natural gas 2020. 26 March 20 14. Summary. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Geopolitical forecast: natural gas 2020
26 March 2014
Conference “The Future of Natural gas”
Summary
In the world the production of conventional gas from new fields will increase sharply, chiefly in sea areas; the shale gas revolution will change the composition and structure of manufacturers and consumers; many new gas pipelines, liquefaction and regasification terminals will facilitate and diversify gas supplies; Iran and Iraq will restore their positions as gas exporters; the influence of the spot market on the price of supplies will increase; the role of Russia and Turkey as actors in the gas market will diminish.
The European Union will attain its strategic goals for energy security: sufficient quantity of gas for the community, extracted locally and imported; diversification of external suppliers; diversity of transportation means; integrated gas infrastructure for the 28 EU states.
In Bulgaria the share of natural gas in the country’s energy consumption will increase considerably as that fuel has much higher efficiency than electricity and is environmentally friendly. That will improve the energy efficiency and competitiveness of Bulgarian economy .
Gas production in the world by countries and regions* In billions of m3
2000 2012 2018 (red) Russia (grey) USA (green) Western Europe (yellow) Caspian region (blue) Other countries
Natural gas production from the Caspian region
* In billions of m3
1200
Natural gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean
* In billions of m3
Natural gas fields in the Back Sea* In billions of m3
Shale gas basins in the world, May 2013
in red – estimated reservesin yellow – localized reserves
New gas pipelines to/in Europe by 2020
LNG re-gasification terminals in Europe
12 under construction19 operating
LNG re-gasification terminals in SEE by 2020
• Revitusa• Aliaga• Marmara-
Ereglisi
• Alexandropulis• Krk • Constanta• Saros• Crete
LNG terminals under construction in USA for export of natural gas
Liquefaction terminals
Bulgaria in “Connected Europe 2020“ Projects of interconnectors between Bulgaria and neighboring countries
Risk Management Laboratory
Thank you for your attention
site: www.riskmanagementlab.com e-mail: [email protected]