Future of Urban Mobility

The Role of Car Clubs from around the World, including case

studies from leading European cities

Martyn Briggs, Industry Principal, Mobility

Car Lite London - July 2014

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Agenda

1 Mega Trends Impacting Mobility

2 New Mobility Business Services being Offered (& Demanded!)

3 Growth in the Carsharing (Car Clubs) Market

4 Best Practices for London To Consider

5 Summary & QA

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Mega Trends Converging Impacting MobilityWith increased population density, changing social preferences, and increasing technology in particular, new mobility business models and a more integrated approach to mobility is being implemented in urban areas

Urbanisation and Smart Cities

New Business Models (Collaborative buying)

Infrastructure Spending

Integrated Transport Solutions

Connectivity

Middle Class,

Gen Y, Women empowerment

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New mobility business models like car sharing

Cars designed around Cities and not cities

designed around cars

New urban vehicle technologies like Traffic Jam Assist, Valet Parking

Connected Driving e.g. V2V and V2I

All Inclusive Integrated Mobility Supplier

Smartphone Applications

Impact of Mega Trend “City as A Customer” – What does it mean to Mobility?As a result of changing mobility requirements, a combination of demand management & environmental policies, new business models, and “Smart” technologies will underpin future urban mobility

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DEMAND RESPONSIVE TRANSPORT (TAXI, BRT)

CONNECTED LIVING (including car)

INTERCITY PUBLIC TRANSPORT

CAR RENTAL & LEASING

CAR RENTAL

CAR SHARING & POOLING

INTRACITY PUBLIC TRANSPORT

PHYD INSURANCE

DYNAMIC PARKING

CONCIERGE SERVICES

ENERGY MANAGEMENT

MICRO-MOBILITY SOLUTIONS

TRAINS/FLIGHTS INTEGRATION

APPS, JOURNEY PLANNING, BIG DATA

New Mobility Business Model – Mobility IntegrationThe increasing number of Personal & Corporate Mobility services are becoming more connected & integrated, allowing the user to make rational transportation decisions; Car clubs are a key component

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Earlier PredictedMember (Millions)

1,3 1,7 2,4 3,3 4,7 6,6 8,9 12,0 15,8 20,5 26,2

Earlier PredictedVehicle (Thousands)

31,72 40,51 53,94 71,61 96,03 129,69 168,26 216,79 271,81 343,35 446,48

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

Ve

hic

les (

Th

ou

sa

nd

s)

Me

mb

ers

(M

illio

ns)

Global Traditional Carsharing Opportunities 2020 Having outperformed our previous forecast for Carsharing members 3.5m vs. 3.3m in 2013, Frost & Sullivan is confident of 26.2 million members in 2020 based on continued new entrants and market penetration

Note: Above forecast does not include South America. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Carsharing Market: Carsharing Vehicles and Members Growth, Global, 2010–2020

Worldwide nearly

26.2 Million

subscriptions

expected by 2020

Actual Growth:

3.48 Million Members (2013)

69,100 Vehicles (2013)

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Regional Breakdown of Carsharing Members & Vehicles2014 will see membership grow to 4.9m using over 92,000 shared vehicles: an average M:V ratio of 54

0,35

0,67

1,16

2,34

3,48

4,94

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

3,00

3,50

4,00

4,50

5,00

2006 2008 2010 2012 2013 2014

Nu

mb

er o

f M

emb

ers

Mill

on

es

North America Europe

Asia Australia

11,50

19,40

31,97

55,39

69,11

92,20

0,00

10,00

20,00

30,00

40,00

50,00

60,00

70,00

80,00

90,00

100,00

2006 2008 2010 2012 2013 2014

Nu

mb

er o

f V

ehic

les

Mill

ares

North America Europe

Asia Australia

Global Carsharing Outlook, Number of Members and Vehicles, 2006-2014

Source: Frost & Sullivan

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Regional Analysis: Car Sharing in EuropeEurope is the hub of car-sharing market with 1.5m members and 31k vehicles, accounting for 44% of global members. Germany is the largest carsharing market in Europe with 757,000 members and 150 CSOs

UNITED KINGDOMMembers: 163,000

Vehicles: 3,000

SPAINMembers:

20,000Vehicles: 300

FRANCEMembers:

153,000Vehicles: 3,900

BELGIUMMembers:

16,000Vehicles: 570

SWITZERLANDMembers: 105,000

Vehicles: 2,650

ITALYMembers:

130,000Vehicles: 1,800

AUSTRIAMembers:

75,000Vehicles: 900

GERMANYMembers: 757,000

Vehicles: 13,950

DENMARKMembers: 7,800

Vehicles: 330

NORWAYMembers:

8,500Vehicles: 320

Regional Snapshot of Key Car Sharing Operators, Europe, 2014

Source: Frost & Sullivan

SWEDENMembers: 21,000

Vehicles: 900

NETHERLANDSMembers:

51,000Vehicles:

2,300

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Mobility Integration Example from GermanyCase Study - Qixxit – Deutsche Bahn Launches Mobility Integration Service, allowing customer to make rational choices on their mobility requirements, with several car access options

Integrated

booking

Alternative

routing

Real-time information

of integrated means of

transport

Cross- & upsell-products

(Hotel, luggage service…)

Social

travelling

Current

Services

Current partners

Long-distance

transportFlightCar CoachRental

carCar SharingBicycleTaxi

Local public

transportation

+ partners + partners

via

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Mobility Integration Example from the Netherlands Case Study - NS Business Card & OV Chipcard—Mobility Service Offering with Carsharing as an integral component for personal & business users

Trip

Planner

Car

Park

OV Chip

Card

OV-Fiets

TaxisGreenwheels

Car Rental

Bike

Sheds

Service

Stations

Trains

Note: Figures used only for representation purposes. Image Source: www.ns.nl and railteam.co.uk.

Source: NS and Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Services for PAYG

CustomersAdditional NS

Business Services

Airport

Lounge

Q Park

Monthly

Invoice

Office

Space

Online

Portal

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Summary from Today’s Presentation

Opportunity: Mobility is becoming far more connected, digital, and integrated – Customer expectations are changing

Several New Mobility business models are emerging – Opportunity for private sector led innovation

Cities need to consider how to adapt – each city is different and should evaluate the benefits & risks

Carsharing is no longer niche (3.5m members) – Several well established companies & business models

Most instances of best practice have included public sector involvement – Consider how carsharing can become an integral service for London

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Contact Us

Martyn BriggsIndustry Principal, Mobility,

Automotive & Transportation

Direct: (+44) 2079157830

Mobile: +44 (0) 753 428 2371

martyn.briggs@frost.com

http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506

http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan

http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan

1. Check out our Future of Mobility Video on Youtube,

and join our LinkedIn group

2. Join us at Urban Mobility 3.0 in London, June 2014

http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan

http://twitter.com/FS_Automotive

http://twitter.com/BriggsMartyn