FM3 Privatization Poll

7/29/2019 FM3 Privatization Poll

1/15

220-3613

Key Findings of a Survey Conducted January 22-27, 2013

State of PennsylvaniaAlcohol Regulat ion

I ssues Survey
http://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/


2/15

1

800 voters randomly-selected Pennsylvania registered voters

were interviewed; the margin of error for statewide results is+/-3.5 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.

An oversample of 200 voters were interviewed in the countiescomprising the Philadelphia media market but excluding

Philadelphia County. In total, 369 interviews were conducted with the outer

Philadelphia market; the margin of error for outer Philadelphiamarket results is +/-5.1 percent at the 95 percent confidencelevel.

Interviews were conducted via landline and cell phones.

The survey was conducted January 22-27, 2013.

Survey Research Methodology


3/15

2Q5.

Removing government from the sale and distribution of wine andliquor by selling all state-owned Wine and Spirit Shops to privateretailers;

Allowing wine and liquor to be sold in supermarkets and specialtystores;

Allowing beer to be sold in supermarkets and specialty stores;and

Permitting Pennsylvania residents to purchase wine fromout-of-state retailers through the mail and on the Internet.

Summary of Proposal t o ChangePennsylvania State Law s Governing t he

Sale and Dist r ibut ion of Wine and Liquor


4/15

3

41%

19%

14%

20%

5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Strongly favor

Somewhat favor

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Don't know/NA

TotalFavor61%

Total

Oppose35%

Six- in-t en voters favor ending state-run andoperated liquor stores, including a tw o-t o-one

rat io among those w ho feel st rongly.

Q5.

Do you favor or oppose this proposal to end government sale and distribution of wine andliquor in the State of Pennsylvania?


5/15

4

33%29%

17%15%

10%8%

5%5%

3%2%2%

1%

6%3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

I n addit ion to reducing regulat ion, votersbelieve this proposal w ill improve convenience,

pr ices and compet it ion.

Q6a. (Open Ended).

In a few words of your own, why would you this proposal to end government sale anddistribution of wine and liquor in the State of Pennsylvania?

Less government regulation

Convenience/Can buy in supermarketKeep up with other states/Works in other states

More competitive/Prices are too high now/Better prices/Free marketPrivate enterprise is better

More choices/variety

More money for local economy/Small business/Private sellersGovernment is wasting money/Tax dollars

Ability to have it shipped inGeneral support

It will add jobsBetter hours of operation

Other

Don't know/Refused


6/15

5

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Weekly Monthly Few times/year Less often Never

Total Favor Total Oppose Don't know/NA

(% ofSample) (14%)

Favor/Oppose Privatizing State-run Wine and Liquor Stores by Frequency of Purchase

5. Do you favor or oppose this proposal to end government sale and distribution of wine and liquor in the State of Pennsylvania?

(9%) (33%)

Suppor t is st rongest among t hose voters w hoactually purchase alcohol most oft en from thestate-run stores.

(24%) (18%)


7/156

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Allegheny Southwest Philadelphia OuterPhiladelphia

Market

Northeast The T


(% ofSample)

Favor/Oppose Privatizing State-run Wine and Liquor Stores by Region

(11%)


(13%) (29%)(21%) (16%)(10%)

There is st rong suppor t for ending governm entcont rol across most of t he state, including t w o-thirds of outer Philadelphia market voters.


8/157

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Democrat Independent Republican


(% ofSample) (37%)

Favor/Oppose Privatizing State-run Wine and Liquor Stores by Party


(50%) (13%)

Maj orit ies of bot h part ies and I ndependent s favorending the states cont rol of selling and

dist ribut ing w ine and l iquor.


9/158

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Men Women


(% ofSample) (52%)

Favor/Oppose Privatizing State-run Wine and Liquor Stores by Gender

(48%)


Both men and w omen are solid suppor ters ofending state cont rol


10/159

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-74 75+ 18-39 40-59 60+


(% ofSample)

Favor/Oppose Privatizing State-run Wine and Liquor Stores by Age

(13%)


(15%) (35%)(25%) (28%)

...but age is a factor as suppor t is st rongest w it hyounger vot ers but dim inishes some w it h age.

(35%)(10%)(20%)(15%)


11/1510

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Union Members Union Households Non-Union Households


(% ofSample) (70%)

Favor/Oppose Privatizing State-run Wine and Liquor Stores by Union Membership

(14%)


A major it y of union members and six- in- ten unionhousehold voters suppor t ending state cont rol.

(29%)


12/1511

43%

18%

12%

25%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Stronglyfavor

Somewhatfavor

Somewhatoppose

Stronglyoppose

Don't know/NA

10. Now that you have heard more information, let me ask you again, do you favor or oppose ending government sale and distribution of wineand liquor in the State of Pennsylvania?

Regardless of w hich sides messages come fi rst ,Pennsylvania voters st rongly favor pr ivat izingstate-run w ine and liquor stores.

Total

Favor61%

TotalOppose

36%

40%

21%

11%

25%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Total

Favor61%

TotalOppose

36%

46%

16%

11%

26%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60%

TotalFavor62%

TotalOppose

36%

After OnlySupporters Messages

After OnlyOpponents Messages After All Messages

(Statewide Results)


13/1512

51%

18%

7%

21%

4%

-25% 0% 25% 50% 75%

Stronglyfavor

Somewhatfavor

Somewhatoppose

Stronglyoppose

Don't know/NA

10. Now that you have heard more information, let me ask you again, do you favor or oppose ending government sale and distribution of wineand liquor in the State of Pennsylvania?

Support in t he Phi lly Suburbs is consistent lyst ronger as tw o-t hirds favor t he proposal aft erhearing from both sides.

After OnlySupporters Messages

After OnlyOpponents Messages After All Messages

Total

Favor68%

TotalOppose

28%

46%

17%

10%

26%

1%

-25% 0% 25% 50% 75%

Total

Favor63%

TotalOppose

36%

56%

13%

8%

21%

3%

-25% 0% 25% 50% 75%

TotalFavor68%

TotalOppose

29%

(Outer Phila Market Voters Only)


14/1513

Summary of I nit ial Favor/ Oppose by Demographic Group

GroupTotalFavor

TotalOppose

DontKnow

Percentage ofElectorate

Gender

Men 62% 34% 4% 48Women 60% 35% 6% 52%

Party

Republicans 69% 26% 5% 37%

Independents 71% 25% 4% 11%

Democrats 52% 43% 4% 50%

Age

18-39 67% 28% 5% 28%40-59 63% 34% 3% 35%

60+ 53% 40% 7% 35%

Region

Allegheny 69% 28% 3% 11%

Southwest 54% 42% 4% 10%

Philadelphia County 46% 50% 4% 13%Outer Phila. Market 66% 29% 5% 21%

Northeast 59% 35% 7% 16%

The T 62% 33% 4% 29%

Union Households

Yes 58% 38% 4% 29%

No 61% 33% 5% 70%


15/15

220-3613

Key Findings of a Survey Conducted January 22-27, 2013

State of PennsylvaniaAlcohol Regulat ion

I ssues Survey

Documents

FM3 Privatization Poll