Fiscal Imbalance

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    1/50

    Canadian

    Government

    Alberta

    Government

    TheCityo

    f

    Calgary

    Calg

    ary

    ACaseofFiscalImbala

    nce:

    theC

    algaryExp

    erience

    IvyZhang,

    MBA,

    MA

    Corporate

    Economist

    and

    PatrickWa

    lters,

    MA

    CityEcono

    mist

    CorporateEconomics

    IGA2010-35

    ATTACHMENT

    November04,

    2010

    ISC:Unrestricted

    IGA2010-35

    ATTACHMENT

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    2/50

    TableofC

    ontents

    ACaseofFiscalImbala

    nce:theCalgaryExperience

    ExecutiveSummary.........................................................................................................................................i

    ii

    1.Introduction................................................................................................................................................1

    1.1Backgro

    undEconomicgrowthandgovernmentscalpositionsinAlberta......................................1

    1.2Fiscalim

    balancesafectlocalgovernme

    nts................................................................................................5

    1.3Implicationothestudy................................................................................................................................6

    2.CalgarysContributiontoGovernmentFiscalPositions...........................................................................7

    2.1Method

    ologyorestimatingacitysscalcontributiontothethreeordersogovernment.................7

    2.2Calgary

    scontributiontogovernment

    scalpositions..............................................................................7

    3.eCaseofOver-ContributioninCalgaryanditsCauses......................................................................10

    3.1eover-contributionsituationinCalg

    ary..............................................................................................10

    3.2Causesoover-contribution.......................................................................................................................14

    4.ImpactofOver-ContributiononCalgaryand

    theCanadianEconomy..................................................18

    4.1Econom

    icgrowthinCanadaisdrivenb

    ybigcities................................................................................18

    4.2Fiscalover-contributionrombigcities

    hurtseconomicgrowthinCanada........................................20

    5.eFederalan

    dProvincialGovernmentsHavetheFiscalCapacitytoHelpB

    igCities..........................23

    5.1eCityoCalgarylackssustainablescalcapacitytodealwithgrowth

    inthelong-term...............23

    5.2eederalandprovincialgovernmentshavescalcapacitiestohelpbigcities.................................23

    5.3ereis

    onlyonetaxpayer..........................................................................................................................25

    6.Conclusion.................................................................................................................................................27

    Appendix:EstimatesforCalgarysContribution

    ..........................................................................................29

    References.......................................................................................................................................................41

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    3/50

    iii

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    Execu

    tiveSummary

    Executiv

    eSummary

    PurposeoftheStudy

    epaperattemptstoanswerthequestion:WhydoeseCityoCalgary

    experiencen

    ancialstressinprovidingservicestoCalgarians,evenin

    goodeconom

    ictimes?Ashortansweristha

    t,Calgaryover-contributesto

    thebalancesh

    eetsotheederalandprovincialgovernments,leavingthe

    localgovernm

    ent1w

    ithlessthanadequaterevenuetounditsspending

    responsibilities2.

    Specically,t

    hestudyattemptstoachievethe

    ollowing:

    f

    EstimateCalgaryscontributiontothescalpositionsothethreeorders

    ogovern

    mentovera20yearperiod(198

    8-2007)3;

    f

    Assesstheexistenceoanover-contribution4situationinCalgaryandits

    causes;

    f

    Discusstheimpactsoover-contribution

    oneCityoCalgarysability

    toundgrowth;

    f

    Proposeb

    roadsuggestionsonhowtheederalandprovincial

    governmentscanresolvethisissue.

    1

    Localgover

    nmentincludesmunicipalitiesandsch

    oolboards,etc

    2

    Mosturban

    municipalitiesacethesamescaldi

    cultiesasCalgary.Municipalitiesare

    limitedbyp

    rovinciallegislationastotheirtaxationandrevenueraisingpowers.

    3

    isperiod

    waschosenduetodataavailability.

    elatestPEAaccountincludespublic

    nancialda

    taor1981to2007.

    4

    Over-contributionmeansasignicantamountonetscalcontributionsrom

    Calgariansarebeingdistributedtotheprovincialandederalgovernment,resulting

    inlessthan

    adequaterevenueorthemunicipalgo

    vernmenttoinvestinpublic

    inrastructu

    reorthelocalcommunity.

    5

    Netcontrib

    ution=SavingCapitalspending+Capitalconsumptionallowances

    Capitalcon

    sumptionallowances=Reserveundscreated,notcashoutlayatcurrent

    period

    MainFindings

    1.ereexistsanover-contributionsituationinCalgarywhenthetaxes

    andotherpaymentsgoingtothethreeordersofgovernmentare

    comparedagainstthebenetsreceivedfromthoseordersof

    government(seethefollowingtable):

    6

    Netcontributionexcludinginter-governmenttransersrepresentsagovernments

    netscalpositionromataxpayersperspective.Itistheneto

    agovernmentstotal

    own-sourcerevenuecollectedromaregionstaxpayersandthetotalexpenditurethe

    governmentspentorth

    esametaxpayers.I

    thenumberispos

    itive,thegovernment

    collectsmoreromthan

    itgivesbacktothesametaxpayers.A

    negativenetcontribution

    meansthegovernments

    pendsmoreorthetaxpayersthanitc

    ollectsromthem.

    1988

    2007

    1988-2007

    $billion

    Shareo

    total

    $billion

    Shareo

    total

    Compound

    annual

    growthrate

    Totalrevenueexcluding

    intergovernmenttransfers

    7.3

    100%

    27.4

    100%

    7%

    Federalgovernment

    3.4

    47%

    14.0

    51%

    8%

    Provincialgovernment

    3.1

    43%

    11.6

    42%

    7%

    Localgovernment

    0.7

    10%

    1.8

    7%

    5%

    Totalexpenditureexcluding

    intergovernmenttransfers

    7.0

    100%

    16.3

    100%

    5%

    Federalgovernment

    2.4

    34%

    4.2

    26%

    3%

    Provincialgovernment

    3.2

    46%

    8.3

    51%

    5%

    Localgovernment

    1.4

    20%

    3.8

    23%

    5%

    Netcontribution5excluding

    intergovernmenttransfers6

    0.7

    100%

    12.2

    100%

    17%

    Federalgovernment

    1.1

    164%

    9.9

    81%

    12%

    Provincialgovernment

    0.1

    17%

    3.7

    31%

    20%

    Localgovernment

    -0.5

    -81%

    -1.5

    -12%

    -5%

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;Co

    rporateEconomics

    GovernmentscalpositionsinCalgary

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    4/50

    iv

    ACaseofFiscalImbala

    nce:theCalgaryExperience

    Executive

    Summary

    2.Calgarian

    scontributelesstotheirlocal

    governmentintaxesandfees

    thanwhatisspentbythatgovernment.edecitismetmainlyby

    transferp

    aymentsfromtheprovincialg

    overnment.

    3.ereare

    impactsofover-contributiononCalgaryandtherestof

    Canadian

    economy:

    Over-contributionresultsininsucientinrastructureundingin

    Calgary,whicheCityoCalgarya

    ddressedbyraisingitsdebtrate

    toon

    eothehighestamongbigCanadiancities.

    High

    debtputsincreasingpressuresonthemunicipalitytoraise

    propertytaxes,whichexposeslocalt

    axpayerstotheriskobearinga

    highertaxburden.

    Over-contributionreducesthequalityolie,whichconstrainsthe

    local

    andnationaleconomy.

    4.Causesofover-contribution:

    ep

    rovincialandederalgovernme

    ntshaverevenuesources

    thatarecloselyrelatedtoeconomicg

    rowth.Asaresult,t

    heyhave

    receivedmostbenetromAlbertas

    economicbooms.

    em

    unicipalitydoesnothaveaccesstogrowthrelatedtaxessuch

    asincomeandsalestaxes.emainsourceotaxrevenue,t

    he

    propertytax,isnotgrowthsensitivewhichconstrainstheabilityo

    thelocalgovernmenttoraiserevenues.

    ereisamismatchinrevenuesourcesandrolesand

    respo

    nsibilitiesamongstthethreeordersogovernmentinCanada.

    5.efeder

    alandprovincialgovernments

    havethescalcapacityto

    helpcities:

    eederalandprovincialgovernme

    ntshaveexperiencedbudget

    surplusesromthemid-1990sto200

    7scalyear.

    Bothordersogovernmentswereabletoreduc

    etheirnetnancial

    debtssignican

    tlysincethemid-1990s.InthecaseoAlberta,t

    he

    provincialgove

    rnmentpaidofallitsdebtand

    accumulateda$35

    billionsurplusbytheendo2007scalyear.

    Althoughthetwoordersogovernmenthaveincurreddecitsto

    helptheeconomyinthe2008-2009recession,theyareexpectedto

    returntobalancedbudgetsinaewyears.

    ereshouldnotbeanincreaseintaxpayerstaxburdenswhen

    evaluatingoptionsoradditionalundingorm

    unicipalities,

    becausethere

    isonlyonetaxpayer.

    Conclusion

    f

    TaxpayersinCalgaryhavebeenovercontributingtothebalancesheets

    otheederalandprovincialgovernmentoverthep

    asttwodecades.

    f

    Over-contributionhasnegativeimpactsonCalgary

    andthelocal

    government.Over-contributionisnotsustainableinthelong-run-it

    hurtsnotonlythelocaleconomy,butalsoAlbertaandCanadaasa

    whole.

    f

    eGovernmento

    CanadaandGovernmentoAlbertabothhave

    accesstogrowthrelatedsourcesorevenueandhav

    ebenetedlargely

    romthelong-lastin

    geconomicboom.eyhavethenecessarycapacity

    tohelpscallystrainedcitieslikeCalgary.

    f

    eederalandprovincialgovernmentsshouldput

    moreemphasison

    promotingeconomicgrowthandhelpbigcitiesor

    thebenetothe

    provinceandthena

    tion.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    5/50

    v

    ACaseofFiscal

    Imbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    Execu

    tiveSummary

    ReportStructure

    ispaperisd

    ividedintosixsections:

    1.erstisdevotedtointroducingandorganizingthepaper.

    2.esecon

    dsectionintroducesamethod7o

    revaluatingacitys

    contributiontothebalancesheetsothet

    hreeordersogovernmentand

    providese

    stimatesoCalgaryscontributiontothesegovernments.

    3.ethirdsectionstatesthatthereisanov

    er-contributionsituationin

    Calgaryandthenexplainsthepossiblecausesothissituation.

    4.eourthsectiondescribesthedirectim

    pactsoover-contributionon

    eCityo

    Calgaryandtheindirectimpa

    ctsontherestotheprovince

    andtheco

    untry.

    5.Sectionveproposesthattheederaland

    provincialgovernmentsshould

    putmoreemphasisonpromotingeconom

    icgrowthandusetheirscal

    capacitytohelpcitieslikeCalgary.

    6.esixthsectionconcludesthepaper.

    7

    FortheC4SEmethod,seeeCentreorSpatialEconomics(July2005)eCityo

    CalgarysContributiontoFederalandProvincialG

    overnmentBalancesordetailed

    explanations.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    6/50

    vi

    ACaseofFiscalImbala

    nce:theCalgaryExperience

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    7/50

    1

    ACaseofFiscal

    Imbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    1.

    Introduction

    1.

    Introduction

    epaperattemptstoanswerthequestion,

    WhydoeseCityoCalgary

    experiencenancialstressinprovidingservicestocitizens,eveningood

    economictim

    es?egeneralbelieisthat,ingoodtimeseCityhasthe

    abilitytoundmunicipalservicesandinvestinnewinrastructure.Inreality,

    eCityoC

    algarydidnotbenetscallyas

    muchinboomtimesasthe

    ederalandprovincialgovernmentsdid,beca

    useitdoesnothaveaccessto

    growthrelate

    dorgrowthsensitiverevenuesources8.

    estudyexa

    minestheProvincialEconomic

    Accounts(PEA)9to

    estimate

    governmentrevenuesandexpendituresthatowromandtoCalgary.

    Specically,thestudyattemptstoachievethe

    ollowing:

    8

    Growthrelatedorgrowthsensitiverevenuesourcesaretherevenuesourcesthatgrow

    automatica

    llywiththeeconomy.

    9

    egovern

    mentnancialstatisticsusedinthisstudyareromtheProvincialand

    TerritorialEconomicAccounts(PEA),issuedbyStatisticsCanada.InthePEA,

    governmen

    trevenuesandexpendituresarerecord

    edordiferentprovinces.Revenues

    includebothownsourcerevenuesandintergovernmentaltransersreceivedrom

    otherordersogovernment.Expendituresaredividedintocurrentexpendituresand

    capitalinve

    stments.eormerincludestheorderogovernmentsownspending

    responsibilitiesaswellastranserpaymentstooth

    erordersogovernment.enet

    contributio

    npositionincludesanorderogovernmentssavingromownsource

    revenuesandexpendituresandintergovernmenta

    ltransers,plusreserveundinows

    (capitalcon

    sumptionallowances)andstatisticala

    djustments.Inordertoseeitroma

    taxpayersperspective,intergovernmentaltransersareexcludedrommostothecharts

    anddiscussions.

    elatestP

    EAaccountincludesnineteentablesw

    ithGDPinnominalandrealdollar

    datarom1981to2008andpublicnancialdataor1981to2007.Tables1,6-9,12,14

    areusedin

    thisstudyto1)discusstherelationshipsbetweengovernmentrevenues/

    expenditures/scalpositionsandregionaleconom

    icgrowth;and2)estimatethe

    contributio

    noCalgarianstothethreeordersog

    overnmentover1988-2007.

    f

    Estimatethecontribution10o

    Calgarianstothebalancessheetsothe

    threeordersogovernmentovera20yearperiod(1988-2007)11;

    f

    Assesstheexistenceoanover-contributionsituationinCalgaryandits

    causes;

    f

    Discusstheimpactsoover-contributiononeCityoCalgarysability

    toundgrowth;

    f

    Proposebroadsuggestionsonhowtheederaland

    provincial

    governmentscanresolvethisissue.

    isstudydifersromotherstudiesthathaveexplored

    themagnitudeo

    over-contributionrom

    citizensinbigCanadiancities,

    asitusesalonger

    datasettoevaluatewhethertheestimateswouldchangeoverthecourseo

    businesscycles.Inaddition,t

    hestudyestimatesthetax

    espaidbyCalgarians

    totheirlocalgovernme

    ntandtheamountthatisspent

    bythegovernment

    onitscitizens.eresu

    ltsshowthateCityoCalgar

    ysscalstressis

    systemic,asitsinability

    tomeetitsscalcommitments

    couldbetracedtothe

    lackoaccesstogrowth

    sensitiverevenuesources.

    1.1

    BackgroundEconomicgrowthandgovernment

    scalpositionsinAlberta

    erstdecadeothe21stcenturywasoneoincrease

    dprosperityorthe

    AlbertaeconomyingeneralandCalgaryinparticular.elocaleconomy

    reapedthebenetsostrongdemandorcommodities

    romemergingworld

    economies.Inthisperiod,pricesorenergysuchascru

    deoilandnaturalgas

    rosesharplyandtheprovincerealizedthebenetsrom

    acombinationo

    risingpricesandincrea

    sedsalesvolumes.

    10eestimationmethod

    ologywasdevelopedbytheC4SEin20

    05andhasbeenusedby

    variousgovernmententitiesincludingeCityoTorontoandAlbertagovernment.

    11

    isperiodwaschosen

    duetodataavailability.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    8/50

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    9/50

    3

    ACaseofFiscal

    Imbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    1.

    Introduction

    roughane

    xaminationodataromtheProvincialEconomicAccounts

    (PEA)orAlbertarom1988to2007,itiscle

    arthatrapideconomicgrowth12

    intheprovinceresultedinincreasedrevenue

    sandexpendituresorthethree

    ordersogovernmentintheprovince,a

    lbeitatvariouspaces.eederaland

    provincialgo

    vernmentsbenetedmostrom

    Albertaseconomicgrowth,as

    seeninthera

    pidgrowthintheirown-source

    revenues13(

    SeeChart1.1).

    12

    Albertasgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)atmarketpricesgrewrom$63.9billionin1988

    to$256.9b

    illionin2007and$291.3

    billionin200

    8.

    13

    Agovernm

    entsown-sourcerevenuesarethereve

    nuesreceivedromsourcesother

    thantranserpaymentsromotherordersogove

    rnment,namelygovernmentrevenue

    excludingintergovernmentaltransers.

    Governmentcurrentex

    pendituresexcludingintergovernmentaltransers

    grewtheastestatthep

    rovincialandlocalorders(SeeChart1.2).At

    thesametime,capitale

    xpendituresincreasedastestat

    localordero

    governmentollowedb

    ytheprovincialgovernment,reectingtheincreased

    demandorinrastructureandpublicservicesresultingromincreased

    populationandeconom

    icactivitiesintheprovince(SeeChart1.3

    ).In

    total,thelocalandprovincialgovernmentsinAlbertaledthegrowthin

    governmenttotalexpenditures(currentandcapital)rom1988to2007,

    excludingintergovernm

    entaltransers(SeeChart1.4).

    Governmentcurrentexpendituresgrow

    fas

    testattheprovincialand

    localordersinAlberta

    Chart1.2

    GDPvs.G

    overnmentCurrentExpen

    ditureexcluding

    Intergove

    rnmentalTransfersinAlberta

    index,1988=

    1

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    AlbertaNominalGDPatmarketprices

    Fe

    deralgovernment

    Pr

    ovincialgovernment

    Lo

    calgovernment

    1.0

    1.5.

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Localgovernmentshadtorespondtoincreaseddem

    andfrome

    conomic

    andpopulationgrowthbyincreasingcapitalinvestme

    nts

    Chart1.3

    GDPvs.

    GovernmentCapitalExpenditureinAlberta

    index,1988=1

    Sources:StatisticsCanad

    a;CorporateEconomics

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    AlbertaNomina

    lGDPatmarketprices

    Federalgovernm

    ent

    Provincialgover

    nment

    Localgovernment

    0.5

    0.0

    0.5

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    10/50

    4

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    1.

    Intro

    duction

    escalpositionsothethreeordersogov

    ernmentinAlbertachanged

    indiferentdirectionsoverthepasttwodecades:whiletheederaland

    provincialgovernmentsrealizedincreasingc

    apacitytospendrepresentedby

    positivenetc

    ontributionvalues,localgovern

    mentsexperiencedaneedtoll

    theincreasingscalgapindicatedbynegativenetcontributionvalues(See

    Chart1.5).

    BecauseundingshortallsaresystemicorlocalgovernmentsinCanada,the

    ederalandprovincialg

    overnmentsusedintergovernm

    entaltransersasa

    tooltoaddressthesca

    limbalance.However,t

    hisarrangementisnotstable

    astranserpaymentsca

    nbechangedatthediscretiono

    theotherorders

    ogovernment.Localgovernmentsthereoreaceuncertaintiesintheir

    nancialplanningduetopotentialunexpectedcutscausedbychangesinthe

    prioritiesootherordersogovernment.

    Thelocala

    ndprovincialgovernmentsinA

    lbertaledthegrowthof

    governmentexpendituresineconomicboo

    mt

    imes

    Chart1.4

    GDPvs.GovernmentTotalExpendit

    ureExcluding

    Intergove

    rnmentalTransfersinAlbe

    rta

    index,1988=1

    Sources:Sta

    tisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    A

    lbertaNominalGDPatmarketprices

    Federalgovernment

    P

    rovincialgovernment

    Localgovernment

    1.0

    1.5

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Governmentscalpositionsimprovedsignicantlyatthefederaland

    provincialordersinA

    lberta,

    butdeterioratedatthelo

    calorder

    Chart1.5

    GovernmentFiscalPositionsinAlberta:

    TheNeedtoBorrow

    vs.

    theAbilitytoLend

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    0510

    15

    20

    25

    Federalnetcontributionexcludingintergovernmentaltra

    nsfers

    Provincialnetcontributionexcludingintergovernmentaltransfers

    Localnetcontributionexcludingintergovernmentaltrans

    fers

    10

    5

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    Note:NetLendingisoften

    usedasananalogtothebudgetarybalance(surplus

    ordeficit)butmorepreciselyit

    istheneedforthegovernmentsub

    sectortoborrowfrom

    othersectors(oritsa

    bilitytolendtoothersectors).

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    11/50

    5

    ACaseofFiscal

    Imbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    1.

    Introduction

    escalpositionsoAlbertaslocalgovernmentsaerincluding

    intergovernm

    entaltransersareshowninCh

    art1.6.Itisclearthat

    intergovernm

    entaltransfersareanimportantsourceofrevenueforlocal

    governmentstollthegapbetweentheirown-sourcerevenueandtheir

    spendingres

    ponsibilities.

    1.2

    Fiscalimba

    lancesaectlocalgovernments

    escalsysteminCanadaisbasedonederalism14.InCanada,government

    spendingissignicantlymoredecentralizedthaninotherindustrialized

    nations.Forexample,in2005thecentralizationratio-

    theproportiono

    totalgovernmentexpendituremadebythecentralgovernment-was39per

    centinCanada,comparedto50percentintheU.S.an

    d78percentinthe

    U.K.

    Since1926,t

    hedistribu

    tionogovernmentrevenuesandexpenditureshas

    changeddramaticallyorallordersogovernmentinC

    anada.Overthe

    1926-2005period,provincialgovernmentsincreasedtheirshareospending

    (rom20percentin19

    26to44.7percentin2005)attheexpenseolocal

    governments(rom42

    percentin1926to19.5in2005).Inthemeantime,

    theederalandprovinc

    ialgovernmentsshareototalgovernment

    revenuesincreased(ro

    m62percentin1926to81.8in

    2005),whilelocal

    governmentswerelewithasmallershare(rom37percentin1926to11.6

    percentin2005)(Rose

    netal,2008).

    Overtheyears,thedeb

    ateoververticalscalimbalance15inCanadahas

    beenongoingbetween

    theederalgovernmentandpro

    vincialgovernments.

    esediscussionscouldeasilybeextendedtoincludelocalgovernments.

    everticalscalimba

    lancebetweenthelocalgovernmentsandtheederal

    orprovincialgovernmentshasmadeitdicultorlocalgovernmentsto

    nancetheirspending

    responsibilities.esituationis

    evenworseorbig

    citieslikeCalgary,beca

    usetheyover-contributetothe

    scalpositionsothe

    14

    Federalismisasystemothegovernmentinwhichsovereignt

    yisconstitutionallydivided

    betweenacentralgoverningauthorityandconstituentpoliticalunits(likestatesor

    provinces).InCanada,

    thesystemoederalismisdescribedb

    ythedivisionopowers

    betweentheederalparliamentandthecountrysprovincialgovernments,underthe

    ConstitutionAct(previouslyknownastheBritishNorthAmericaAct)o1867.

    15

    everticalscalimba

    lancereerstoagapbetweenrevenuesourcesandspending

    responsibilitiesbetweenordersogovernment,thatis,betwee

    ntheederalandprovincial

    governments(SSC,200

    6).

    Intergover

    nmentaltransferisimportantin

    llingthegapsbetweenlocal

    governmentsown-sourcerevenuesandth

    eirspendingresponsibilities

    Chart1.6

    LocalGo

    vernmentsFiscalPosition

    sinAlberta

    billionsofdo

    llars

    Sources:Sta

    tisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    12

    14

    Netcontr

    ibutionw

    ithintergovernmenttrans

    fers

    Alberta

    loca

    lgoevrnmenttota

    lrevenues

    In

    tergovernmenta

    ltransferrevenues

    81 0 4 6 02

    2

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    12/50

    6

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    1.

    Introduction

    ederalandp

    rovincialgovernmentsattheexpenseospendingontheirown

    inrastructure.

    1.3

    Imp

    licationofthestudy

    Economicstudieshaveidentiedtheimportanceocitiesandtheirimpact

    onlocalandnationaleconomies.esestudiesalsoshowthatwhilebigcitie

    s

    suchasCalgaryledeconomicgrowthinAlbertaorthepasttwodecades,

    growthintherestotheprovincehasbeencatchingupwiththatobigcities

    duetotechnologicalspill-overandmovemen

    tsolabourandcapital.

    Logically,inc

    reasingpublicinvestmentsinC

    algarythatpromoteinnovation

    andeciencywouldcreateawin-winsituationortheprovinceslong-term

    economicgrowth.However,inrealitytheinsucientpublicinvestmentin

    Calgaryduetoover-contributiontootherordersogovernmenthashurtnot

    onlyCalgaryslocaleconomybutalsotherestoAlbertaandtheCanadian

    economy.

    eederalandprovincialgovernmentshavethescalcapacitiesthat

    municipalgo

    vernmentslacktoaddressgrow

    threlatedissues,sotheyshould

    helpnanciallyconstrainedcitieslikeCalgary.Byhelpingcitiestoprosper,

    thenationas

    awholeprospers.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    13/50

    7

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    2.

    CalgarysContributiontoGovernmentF

    iscalPositions

    moremoneyintaxesandotherpaymentsromCalgarythantheyspentin

    thecity.Specically,thenetcontributionpositionortheederalgovernment

    excludingintergovernm

    entaltransersjumpedrom$1.1billionin1988

    to$9.9

    billionin2007,

    growingby18percentannually.Duringthesame

    period,thenetcontributionpositionoreGovernm

    entoAlberta,

    excludingintergovernm

    entaltransers,grewmoresign

    icantlyby30times

    romtheinitialamoun

    to$0.1

    billionin1988to$3.7

    billionin2007(see

    charts2.1and2.2).

    2.CalgarysContributio

    ntoGovernment

    FiscalPositions

    2.1

    Methodologyforestimatingacitysscal

    contributiontothethreeordersofgovernment

    Overtheyears,residentsandbusinessesinC

    algaryhavecontributed

    signicantly

    tothescalpositionotheederalandprovincialgovernments.

    However,thiscontributionisnotwellunderstoodbythegeneralpublic

    becauseoth

    elackoreadilyavailabledataromocialsourcessuchas

    StatisticsCanada.Toovercomethedatalimitationandevaluatethese

    contributions,eCentreorSpatialEconomics(C4SE)developed

    amethodologyoreCityoCalgaryin2005toestimateCalgarys

    contribution

    totheederalandprovincialgo

    vernmentscalconditions.e

    methodwasalsousedorsimilarexercisesbyothergovernmententities,

    includingtheAlbertaGovernmentandeCityoToronto16.

    Inthisstudy,t

    heC4SEmethodisextendedtoestimateCalgarians

    contribution

    totheirlocalgovernmentsscalposition.Detailsothe

    methodandestimatesorCalgaryaredescribedintheappendix.

    2.2

    Calgaryscontributiontogo

    vernmentscal

    positions

    epositivenetcontributionpositionsortheederalandprovincial

    governmentsinthe1988-2007period17,excludingintergovernmental

    transers,ind

    icatethattheederalandprovincialgovernmentscollected

    16

    TorontoBoardoTrade(2002)StrongCityStrongNation:SecuringTorontos

    ContributiontoCanada,June

    17

    eperiod

    oestimationwaschosenbasedontheavailabilityodata.elatesttaxation

    dataavaila

    bleisor2007,w

    hileunemploymentdataortheCalgaryEconomicRegionis

    rom1988.

    Calgarysnetcontribu

    tiontothefederalgovernments

    scalposition

    grew

    thelargestover

    thepasttwentyyears(from$

    1.1billionin1988to

    $9.9

    billionin2007)

    Chart2.1

    CalgarysContribu

    tiontotheFederalGovernment

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    16

    '

    12

    14

    Netcontr

    ibution

    from

    Ca

    lgarytothe

    Fe

    dera

    lGovernmentexc

    ludingtransfers

    Fe

    dera

    ltota

    lspend

    ing

    inthec

    ity

    (Current+

    Cap

    ita

    lTrans

    fers)

    Fe

    dera

    lrevenuesco

    llecte

    dfrom

    thec

    ity

    (Tota

    lrevenue

    trans

    fers

    )

    810 6 2

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    14/50

    8

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    2.

    Calg

    arysContributiontoGovernmentFiscalPositions

    emajorso

    urcesorevenuecontributedromCalgarytotheederal

    governmentare:directtaxesrompersons,d

    irecttaxesromcorporateand

    governmentbusinessenterprises,indirector

    excisetaxes,andcontributions

    tosocialinsu

    ranceplans.

    eourmajorsourcesorevenuecontributedromCalgarytothe

    provincialgo

    vernmentinclude:investmentincome,directtaxesrom

    persons,indirecttaxes,anddirecttaxesrom

    corporateandgovernment

    businessente

    rprises,allowhicharedrivenbyeconomicactivities.

    Thefundinggapbetw

    eenthelocalgovernmentsown-sourcerevenues

    anditsspendingresp

    onsibilitiesgrew

    overthepasttwentyyears(from

    $0.5

    billionin1988to

    $1.5

    billionin2007)

    Chart2.3

    CalgarysContributiontotheLocalGovernm

    ent

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanad

    a;CorporateEconomics

    4.5

    '

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    Netcontribution

    from

    CalgarytotheLocalGovernmentexc

    ludingtransfers

    Localtotalspend

    inginthecity(Current+CapitalTransfers)

    Localrevenuescollectedfrom

    thecity(Totalrevenue

    transfers)

    2.0

    2.5

    0.5

    1.0.

    1.0

    0.5.

    1.5

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    enegativenetcontributionpositionorthelocalgovernment,excluding

    intergovernmentaltran

    sers,wasobservedduringthesameperiod.elocal

    governmentoCalgary

    collectedlesstaxesaspaymentsromCalgariansthan

    itspendinthecity.Inotherwords,t

    herewasaundinggapbetweenthelocal

    governmentsown-sourcerevenuesanditsspendingre

    sponsibilities.Over

    thepasttwodecades,thegaphaswidenedrom$0.5billionin1988to$1.5

    billionin2007(seeChart2.3

    ).

    CalgarysnetcontributiontoAlbertaGovernmentsscalpositiongrew

    signicantly

    overthepasttwentyyears(from

    $0.1

    billionin1988to$3.7

    billionin2007)

    Chart2.2

    Calgarys

    ContributiontotheAlberta

    Government

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    14

    '

    10

    12 8 4 0

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    '

    Netc

    ontributionfrom

    CalgarytotheProvincialGovernmentexcludingtransfers

    Provincialtotalspendinginthecity(Current+C

    apitalTransfers)

    Provincialrevenuescollectedfrom

    thecity(Tota

    lrevenue

    transfers)

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    15/50

    9

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    2.

    CalgarysContribut

    iontoGovernmentF

    iscalPositions

    Onlyaerad

    dingintergovernmentaltranse

    rpaymentrevenuesromthe

    otherorders

    ogovernment(mainlyromth

    eAlbertaGovernment),was

    thelocalgov

    ernmentabletobridgetheund

    inggaprom1988to2007

    (seeChart2.4

    ).Overthepasttwodecades,thesetranserpaymentsgrew

    asterthanthelocalgovernmentsown-sourcerevenues($0.7billionin1988

    and$1.8

    billionin2007),rom$0.6

    billionin1988to$2.1

    billionin2007.

    istrendis

    thenetresultoincreasesinprovincialgovernmentrevenues,

    arisinglargelyromeconomicgrowth,andtheslowerincreasesinthelocal

    government

    revenuesthatislesslinkedtoeconomicgrowth.

    Intergovernmentaltransferisanincreasin

    glyimportantrevenuesource

    fortheloc

    algovernmentinCalgary

    Chart2.4

    LocalGo

    vernmentsFiscalPosition

    inCalgaryafterTransfer

    Adjustm

    ent

    billionsofdo

    llars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    '

    Netcontributiontothelocalgovernmentafte

    rintergovernmenttransferadjustment

    M

    unicipalrevenuescollectedfrom

    thecity(To

    talrevenue

    transfers)

    Lo

    calgovernment'srevenuefrom

    intergovern

    mentaltransfers

    0.5

    0.0

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    '

    Lo

    calown

    sourcerevenues(Totalrevenue

    tr

    ansferrevenues)

    Lo

    calgovernment'srevenuefrom

    intergovern

    mentaltransfers

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    16/50

    10

    ACaseofFiscalImba

    lance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    The

    CaseofOver-ContributioninCalgaryan

    ditsCauses

    3.eCaseofOver-Con

    tributionin

    CalgaryanditsCause

    s

    3.1

    e

    over-contributionsituationinCalgary

    Fromthetax

    payersperspective,t

    herehasb

    eenanover-contribution

    situationinC

    algaryoverthepasttwodecades:alargeamountotax

    paymentswe

    nttotheederalandprovincial

    governments,leavingless

    thanadequateundingorthemunicipalgovernmenttoinvestinlocal

    inrastructur

    e.isreportdoesnotsuggestthatCalgaryshouldnot

    contributeto

    theprovincialortheederalgo

    vernment.Itrecognizesthat

    strongereconomiesshouldcontributetobothnationalandprovincial

    governmentstoassisttheweakereconomies

    .However,t

    hecurrent

    over-contributionsituationisclearlyunsustainable.Calgaryandother

    municipalitiesinthesamesituationwouldn

    otbeabletosustainadynamic

    economyunlesstheyareabletoinvestinare

    asthatallowthemtomaintain

    theirlocalin

    rastructureandsupportanapp

    ropriatequalityolieor

    currentanduturegenerations.

    Giventhelackoconsensusonstandardsor

    thresholdsordeningover-

    contribution,severalstatisticalindicatorsareusedheretoillustratethe

    point.

    3.1.1

    ArelativelysmallshareofCalgarystaxd

    ollarswenttothe

    localgovernm

    enttoprovidegoodsandservicesforthelocal

    community

    Acomparisonbetween

    theederal,provincialandloca

    lgovernmentscal

    positionsinCalgarysh

    owsthatmostothetaxrevenu

    esromCalgary

    gototheederalandprovincialgovernments,andtheirshareorevenues

    receivedromCalgary

    hasincreasedrom89percentin1988to93percent

    in2007.Totalexpendituresortheprovincialandlocalgovernmentgrew

    asterthanthoseorth

    eederalgovernment,becausetheprovincialandlocal

    governmentshadtoad

    dressincreasingdemandsrom

    localbusinessesand

    residents.

    Iintergovernmentaltransersareexcluded,theanalys

    isshowsthat

    theederalandprovincialgovernmentsrealizedincrea

    singpositivenet

    contributionpositions,w

    hichmeansthattheyhadthe

    capacitytocontribute

    moreundstolocalgovernmentsovertheyears.Howe

    ver,thelocal

    governmentoCalgary

    wouldhavehadanincreasingundinggapbetween

    itsown-sourcerevenuesandspendingresponsibilities

    overthisperiod,rom

    $0.5

    billionin1988to$1.3

    billionin2007.elocalgovernmentwasableto

    avoidthisundingshortallsonlywiththehelpointergovernmentaltranser

    revenues(Seetable3.1).

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    17/50

    11

    ACaseofFisca

    lImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    T

    heCaseofOver-Con

    tributioninCalgary

    anditsCauses

    1988

    2007

    1988-2007

    GovernmentscalpositionsinCalgary($billion

    )

    $billion

    Shareototal

    $billion

    Shareototal

    Compoundannualgrowthrate

    Totalrevenueexcludingintergovernmenttransfers

    7.3

    100%

    27.4

    100%

    7%

    Federalgover

    nment

    3.4

    47%

    14.0

    51%

    8%

    Provincialgovernment

    3.1

    43%

    11.6

    42%

    7%

    Localgovernment

    0.7

    10%

    1.8

    7%

    5%

    Totalexpenditureexcludingintergovernmenttransfers

    7.0

    100%

    16.3

    100%

    5%

    Federalgover

    nment

    2.4

    34%

    4.2

    26%

    3%

    Provincialgovernment

    3.2

    46%

    8.3

    51%

    5%

    Localgovernment

    1.4

    20%

    3.8

    23%

    5%

    Netcontributionexcludingintergovernmenttransfers

    0.7

    100%

    12.2

    100%

    17

    %

    Federalgover

    nment

    1.1

    164%

    9.9

    81%

    12

    %

    Provincialgovernment

    0.1

    17%

    3.7

    31%

    20

    %

    Localgovernment

    -0.5

    -81%

    -1.5

    -12%

    -5

    %

    Netcontributionwithintergovernmenttransfers

    0.7

    100%

    12.2

    100%

    17

    %

    Federalgover

    nment

    0.5

    78%

    8.9

    73%

    16

    %

    Provincialgovernment

    0.1

    14%

    2.6

    21%

    19

    %

    Localgovernment

    0.1

    8%

    0.7

    6%

    15

    %

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    Table3.1GovernmentscalpositionsinCa

    lgary

    3.1.2

    Acce

    leratedpopulationgrowtha

    ndhighinationinCalgary

    resultedincostincreasesinprov

    idingnewinfrastructureand

    localpublicservices

    From1988to

    2007,Calgaryexperiencedastergrowthinpopulationand

    higherinationthanmostotheotherregionsinCanada(seeChart3.1

    andChart3.2

    ).Asaresult,t

    hetotalpercapitagovernmentexpenditurein

    realdollars($1988)inCalgarydeclinedover

    theperiod,mainlyromthe

    ederalandprovincialgovernments(seetable3.2).edeclineoccurred

    duringthetimewhenstandardsorenvironmentalprotectionincreased

    andcompetitionstoin

    creasethequalityolieamong

    internationalcities

    intensied.eailure

    toaccountorpopulationgrow

    thandination

    adverselyafectedthecityscompetitivenessintheglobaleconomy.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    18/50

    12

    ACaseofFiscalImba

    lance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    The

    CaseofOver-ContributioninCalgaryan

    ditsCauses

    Calgaryha

    dfasterpopulationgrowththan

    therestofAlbertaandCanada

    Chart3.1

    Populatio

    nGrowth:Canada,

    Alberta

    andcityofCalgary

    percent

    Sources:Sta

    tisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    4

    3

    Ca

    lgary

    Cana

    da

    Alberta

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    CalgaryhadhigherinationratesthantherestofAlbertaandCanada

    Chart3.2

    InationComparison:Canada,

    AlbertaandC

    algaryCMA

    percent

    Sources:StatisticsCana

    da;CorporateEconomics

    7

    6

    CalgaryCMA

    Canada

    Alberta

    4 5 2 3 1

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    1988

    2007

    1988-2007Compound

    annualgrowthrate

    $1988

    Shareototal

    $1988

    Shareototal

    Percapitaexpenditureexcluding

    intergovernm

    enttransfers

    10,796

    100%

    9,013

    100%

    -0.9

    %

    Federalgover

    nment

    3,697

    34%

    2,316

    26

    %

    -2.4

    %

    Provincialgovernment

    4,924

    46%

    4,609

    51

    %

    -0.3

    %

    Localgovernment

    2,175

    20%

    2,088

    23

    %

    -0.2

    %

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    Table3.2Per

    capitagovernmentspendinginCalgary($1988constantdollars)

    Calgary

    Cana

    da

    Alberta

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    19/50

    13

    ACaseofFisca

    lImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    T

    heCaseofOver-Con

    tributioninCalgary

    anditsCauses

    3.1.3

    e

    CityofCalgaryslong-term

    capitaldebtreportsshow

    nancialstrains

    AccordingtoeCityoCalgarysnancial

    reports,themunicipal

    government

    hasexperiencedtwoperiodso

    highdebtorborrowingsince

    1967.er

    stwasduringthelate1970sand

    early1980sandthesecond

    wasduring2

    000-2009.eCityoCalgaryborrowedincapitalmarketsto

    investininrastructuretoaccommodateitsastgrowingpopulationduring

    thesetwope

    riods.Calgarysmunicipalgovernmentlong-termdebtincrease

    d

    substantially

    rom$1.2

    billionin1999to$2.1

    billionin2007and$2.9

    billion

    in2009(seeChart3.3).Evenaeradjustingorpopulationgrowth,t

    heper

    capitadebtbalanceinCalgarystillshowsanunsustain

    ableupwardgrowth

    trend(seeChart3.4).ItisestimatedthateCityoC

    algarycouldreachits

    debtborrowinglimitsin2012-2014,inonewrevenuesourcesareavailable

    andcapitalinvestmentpressuresintensiy.

    FromCalgariansperspective,evenithesecapitalinvestmentsareneededto

    benettheminthelon

    g-run,acontinuousincreasein

    long-termdebtisan

    unairtaxburden.

    TheCityo

    fCalgarysborrowinghikespeakedduringthepasttwo

    economic

    booms(late1970s-early1980s

    ;2000-2009)

    Chart3.3

    TheCity

    ofCalgaryTotalLong-term

    DebtBalance(1971-2009)

    billionsofdo

    llars

    Note:Exclud

    esmortgagesandleases

    Sources:TheCityofCalgary,variousFinancialRe

    port

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    Totallong

    term

    debtbalance($billions

    )

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1971

    1973

    1975

    1977

    1979

    1981

    1983

    1985

    1987

    1989

    1991

    1993

    1995

    1997

    1999

    2001

    2003

    2005

    2007

    2009

    ContinuousgrowthindebtatTheCityofCalgaryis

    notsustainable

    Chart3.4

    TheCityofCalga

    ryPerCapitaLong-termD

    ebt(1971-2009):

    thousandsofdollars/person

    Sources:TheCityofCa

    lgary,variousFinancialReport

    2.5

    3.0

    2.0

    1.5

    0.5

    1.0

    0.0

    1

    3

    5

    7

    9

    1

    3

    5

    7

    9

    1

    3

    5

    7

    9

    1

    3

    5

    7

    9

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    19

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    e

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    20/50

    14

    ACaseofFiscalImba

    lance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    The

    CaseofOver-ContributioninCalgaryan

    ditsCauses

    Clearly,t

    heederalandprovincialgovernmentsareth

    emajorbeneciaries

    oeconomicgrowthin

    Albertaintermsoincreasedt

    axrevenues,because

    theyhaveaccesstogro

    wthrelatedtaxsources.eseg

    rowth-relatedtax

    revenuesarededucted

    romsourceoincomeandgro

    wwithinationand

    seeminvisibletotaxpayers.Growthinmunicipalreve

    nueslagseconomic

    growthbecauseothe

    lackolocalgovernmentaccess

    tothegrowth

    sensitiverevenuesources.Moreover,transerpaymentsareprovidedtolocal

    governmentsatthediscretionotheprovincialgovern

    mentwhereprovincial

    prioritiestakeprecede

    nceovermunicipalneeds.

    Addingtothenancia

    lconstraintsothelocalgovern

    ments,t

    heAlberta

    governmenthasincreaseditsinvolvementintheprop

    ertytaxeldbytaking

    controloeducational

    propertytaxrevenuesromthe

    taxbaseocitiessince

    1994(seeChart3.5)18.

    ishasreducedlocalautonom

    y(Rosenetal,2008).

    Calgarysover-contributionsituationisdirectlycausedbyitslacko

    accesstogrowthsensitivetaxsources.Localresidents

    andbusinesses,

    whilecontributingsignicantamountotaxesandotherpaymentstothe

    otherordersogovern

    ments,experiencedinsucient

    newinrastructure

    investmentsandlimitedprovisionoservicesinthecity.

    18

    FormanyyearstheAlbertagovernmenthasundedthegreaterpartothecosto

    providingK12educa

    tion.Priorto1994publicandseparate

    schoolboardsinAlberta

    hadthelegislativeauthoritytolevyalocaltaxonproperty,assupplementarysupport

    orlocaleducation.In

    1994thegovernmentoAlbertaeliminatedthisrightorpublic

    schoolboards,butnotorseparateschoolboards.Since1994

    therehascontinuedtobe

    ataxonpropertyinsu

    pportoK12education.ediferenceisthatthemillrateis

    nowsetbytheprovincialgovernment,andthemoneyiscollectedbythelocalmunicipal

    authorityandremittedtotheprovincialgovernment.erelevantlegislationrequires

    thatallthemoneyraisedbythispropertytaxmustgotothesupportoK12education

    providedbyschoolbo

    ards.eprovincialgovernmentpools

    thepropertytaxundsrom

    acrosstheprovincean

    ddistributesthem,topublicandsepar

    ateschooljurisdictionsand

    Francophoneauthorities,accordingtoaormula.

    3.2

    Causesofover-contribution

    3.2.1

    Municipalitiesdonothaveaccesstogrowthrelatedsources

    ofrevenue

    Overthepasttwentyyears,Albertaexperiencedthecountrysastest

    economicgr

    owth,drivenbyitsenergysecto

    r.GDPinAlberta,unadjusted

    orination,grewby4timesrom$63.9billionin1988to$256.9

    billionin

    2007.Totalrevenuescollectedinthisperiod

    grewby3.7timesortheederal

    government,by3.4timesortheprovincial

    government,andby2.3times

    orthelocal

    governments(seeChart1.1inIntroduction).ecomparison

    clearlyshow

    sthatduringthisperiodtheed

    eralandprovincialgovernments

    benetedmorenanciallyromtheprovinceseconomicgrowththanthe

    localgovern

    mentsinAlberta,sincetheyhaveaccesstorevenuesourcesthat

    aretiedtoeconomicgrowth.

    ediferencesingovernmentrevenuegrow

    thratesaretheresultoeach

    governmentsabilitytocapturediferentrevenuesources(seetable3.3).

    Manyotheserevenuesourcesgrowwithec

    onomy.Forexample,in2007th

    e

    ederalgovernmentcollected91percento

    itstotalrevenueinAlbertarom

    threemajor

    sources:directtaxesromperso

    ns(mainlyincometaxes),direc

    t

    taxesromcorporateandgovernmentbusin

    essenterprises,andtaxeson

    productionandimports.eAlbertaGover

    nmentcollected82percento

    itstotalreve

    nueintheprovincerom:investmentincome(mainlyroyalties),

    directtaxesrompersons(mainlyincometaxes),andindirecttaxes(taxes

    onconsump

    tions).A

    llotheserevenuesare

    closelycorrelatedwiththe

    economicgr

    owthintheprovinceandthereoregrowautomaticallywith

    increasesin

    personalincome,investmentac

    tivityandconsumption.

    However,localgovernmentsinAlbertacollected83percentotheirtotal

    revenuesin2007romtaxesonproductionandimports(mainlyrealand

    personalpro

    pertytax),asourceotaxindirectlylinkedtoeconomicgrowth

    throughinvestmentinproperty.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    5s

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    21/50

    15

    ACaseofFisca

    lImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    T

    heCaseofOver-Con

    tributioninCalgaryanditsCauses

    Governmen

    trevenuesourcesinAlberta

    1988

    200

    7

    FederalGovernmentOwn-sourceRevenue

    sinAlberta

    $million

    Shareototal

    $million

    Shareototal

    1Directtaxesfrompersons

    4,499

    45%

    20,173

    54%

    2Directtaxesromcorporateandgovernm

    entbusinessenterprises

    1,785

    18%

    6,818

    18%

    3Directtaxesromnon-residents(withholdingtaxes)

    115

    1%

    469

    1%

    4Contribu

    tionstosocialinsuranceplans

    1,073

    11%

    2,119

    6%

    5Taxeson

    productionandimports

    1,939

    20%

    6,750

    18%

    6Othercurrenttransersrompersons

    2

    0%

    2

    0%

    7Investme

    ntincome

    484

    5%

    733

    2%

    Totalreven

    ueexcludingintergovernmentaltransfers

    9,897

    100%

    37,064

    100%

    ProvincialGovernmentOwn-sourceReven

    uesinAlberta

    $million

    Shareototal

    $million

    Shareototal

    1Directtaxesfrompersons

    2,322

    23%

    6,840

    20%

    2Directtaxesromcorporateandgovernm

    entbusinessenterprises

    917

    9%

    3,469

    10%

    3Contribu

    tionstosocialinsuranceplans

    320

    3%

    985

    3%

    4Taxeson

    productionandimports(includ

    ingprovincialpropertytaxandexcisetax)

    1,672

    16%

    6,553

    19%

    5Othercurrenttransfersfrompersons

    439

    4%

    1,652

    5%

    6Investme

    ntincome

    4,471

    44%

    14,885

    43%

    Totalreven

    ueexcludingintergovernmentaltransfers

    10,141

    100%

    34,384

    100%

    LocalGovernmentOwn-sourceRevenuesinAlberta

    $million

    Shareototal

    $million

    Shareototal

    1Taxeson

    productionandimports(mainlymunicipalpropertytax)

    1,875

    79%

    4,591

    83%

    2Currenttransersrompersons

    44

    2%

    154

    3%

    3Investme

    ntincome

    454

    19%

    763

    14%

    Totalreven

    ueexcludingintergovernmentaltransfers

    2373

    100%

    5,508

    100%

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    Table3.3GovernmentrevenuesourcesinAlberta

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    e

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    22/50

    16

    ACaseofFiscalImba

    lance:theCalgaryExperienc

    3.

    The

    CaseofOver-Contri

    butioninCalgaryan

    ditsCauses

    availableormunicipa

    lpurposesdoubledrom1988t

    o2007,causingtotal

    revenuesexcludingintergovernmentaltranserstoinc

    reaseby130percent

    overthesameperiod(seetable3.5).isisinsharpcontrastwiththescal

    situationsotheprovincialandederalgovernmentsinAlberta,w

    hichgrew

    by270percentand24

    0percentrespectively.eslow

    -growingrevenue

    scenariooreCityoCalgaryisexpectedtocontinue,becauseitsmajor

    revenuesource,propertytax,isnotgrowth-sensitive.

    3.2.2

    Pro

    pertytaxisnotgrowthsensitive

    AccordingtoeCityoCalgarysnancialreports,nettaxesavailable

    ormunicipalpurposes(namelyeCitysshareopropertytaxrevenues)

    accountedor34percentoeCitystotal

    revenuein1988.issharehas

    increasedby

    8percentagepointsovereighteenyearsto42percentin2007

    (seetable3.4).etrendshowsthateCityoCalgaryisincreasingly

    relyingonrevenuesrompropertytaxestonanceitsexpenditure

    responsibilities.However,t

    hismainsourceorevenuedidnotgrowatthe

    samepaceasthelocaleconomyandthecity

    spopulation.eCitysnettaxes

    AlbertaGo

    vernmentsincreasinginvolvem

    entinthepropertytaxadded

    tolocalgo

    vernmentsscalstress

    Chart3.5

    AlbertaG

    overnmentRevenueSource:TotalRevenuevs.

    ProvincialPropertyTax

    percentageshare

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:Sta

    tCanCatalogueno.13-018-XWE,Vol.2,tab08-engNo.2

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    3.0

    %

    4.0

    %

    5.0

    %

    6.0

    %

    7.0

    %

    8.0

    %

    9.0

    %

    Provincialrealpropertytaxcollectedthroughmunicipalities($billions):RHS

    Shareofprovincialrealpropertytaxasitst

    otalrevenue(%):LHS

    Promisedcapofprovincialpropertytaxtake$1

    .2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.0

    %

    1.0

    %

    2.0

    %

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    :

    Revenuesources

    1988

    2007

    Changeoshare

    in1988-2007

    Nettaxesavailableform

    unicipal

    purposes(propertytaxes)

    34%

    42

    %

    8%

    Salesogoodsandservices

    49%

    26

    %

    -24%

    Governmenttransersandrevenue

    sharingagreements

    9%

    17

    %

    8%

    Investmentincome

    4%

    2%

    -2%

    Finesandpenalties

    1%

    2%

    0%

    Licences,permitsandees

    1%

    3%

    1%

    Miscellaneousrevenue

    2%

    10

    %

    8%

    Totalrevenue

    100%

    100%

    0%

    Sources:eCityoCalgary1988FinancialReportand2007An

    nualReport

    Table3.4eCityofCalgarysrevenuesources

    AccordingtoRosenetal(2008)propertytaxisataxo

    nwealth,astock

    variablethatreerstothevalueotheassetsanindivid

    ualorabusiness

    hasaccumulatedatap

    ointintime.InCanada,propertytaxesarelevied

    onassessedvaluesolocalproperties.eamountopropertytaxrevenue

    collectedisnotclosely

    relatedtothepersonalcircumstancesoindividual

    taxpayers.Inthecaseopropertytaxesonhomeowne

    rs,t

    hetaxdoesnot

    reecttheequityothehomeowner.Instead,itisbase

    donthegrossvalue

    otherealestate.us

    thepropertytaxisthesameortaxpayerswithsame

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    7s

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    23/50

    1

    ACaseofFisca

    lImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    3.

    T

    heCaseofOver-Con

    tributioninCalgaryanditsCause

    Revenuesou

    rces

    1988

    ($thousands)

    2007

    ($thousands)

    Totalgrowthin

    1988-2007

    (percent)

    Nettaxesavailablefor

    municipalpurposes

    397,076

    1,208,265

    204%

    Salesogoo

    dsandservices

    576,163

    740,543

    29%

    Governmenttransersand

    revenuesharingagreements

    105,348

    482,850

    358%

    Investmentincome

    41,482

    56,474

    36%

    Finesandpe

    nalties

    16,988

    53,571

    215%

    Licences,permitsandees

    13,545

    74,238

    448%

    Miscellaneousrevenue*

    20,981

    280,464

    1237%

    Totalrevenu

    eexcluding

    governmenttransfers

    1,066,235

    2,413,555

    126%

    Totalrevenu

    e

    1,171,583

    2,896,405

    147%

    Sources:eC

    ityoCalgary1988FinancialReporta

    nd2007AnnualReport

    *emiscellaneousrevenueinTable3.5or1988includesmiscellaneousrevenue($12.2

    million)andnetinternalrevenueromServiceFunds($8.8million)rom1988Financial

    Report,and

    or2007includesdevelopercontributions($134.6million),miscellaneous

    revenue($20million)andequityinearningsogovernmentbusinessenterprises($125.8

    millions)rom2007AnnualReport.

    Table3.5

    eCityofCalgarysrevenuegrowthbysource

    assessedvaluehomesbutdiferentmortgages.Bycomparison,income,

    consumption,andsalestaxesareleviedon

    owvariablesthatareassociated

    withacertainperiodotime,sooveralleconomicconditionscontributeto

    theamountsothesetaxrevenuesatthesam

    etime.

    epropertyvaluesinCalgarylagbehindchangesintheeconomybyat

    leastayear;

    assumingthattheassessedprop

    ertyvaluesaccuratelyreect

    changesthattookplaceintheeconomyoverthepreviousyear.Inaddition,

    propertytaxescouldo

    nlybeleviedandcollectedwhenpropertiesarebuilt.

    Consequently,taxesarenotcollectedromarangeoactivitiesotherthan

    realestate.

    3.2.3

    Propertytax

    isaneasytargetforcriticism

    Propertytaxistraditio

    nallyaneasytargetorcriticism

    becauseothe

    ollowingeatures.(Ro

    senetal,2008):

    i.

    Realestatetransactionstypicallyoccurinrequentlyandonaraction

    ototalpropertiesinamunicipality,thereoreth

    epropertytaxmustbe

    leviedonanestimatedvalue.Ithisestimateisp

    erceivedasinaccurate,

    thetaxisperceiv

    edasunair.

    ii.

    epropertytax

    ishighlyvisible,sotaxpayersareawareoany

    increasesintheirpropertytaxbills.Incontrasttotheederaland

    provincialincom

    eandpayrolltaxeswhicharedeductedatsource,

    propertytaxisoenpaiddirectlybythetaxpaye

    r.Moreover,the

    paymentsareo

    enmadeonalump-sumamoun

    t,soeachpayment

    comesasalarge

    shock.

    iii.

    Propertytaxisp

    erceivedasaregressivetax,partiallyaconsequenceo

    thetraditionalviewothetaxwhichcontinuestodominatepublic

    debate,andwhic

    hisreinorcedbytheactthats

    omepropertyowners,

    particularlytheelderly,donothaveenoughcash

    tomakepayments

    andmaythereorebeorcedintosellingtheirho

    mes.

    iv.

    Taxpayersmayeelthattheyarepowerlesstodo

    anythingaboutother

    taxesbuthaveso

    mepowerindecidingproperty

    tax.Forexample,itis

    hardtoorganize

    acampaignagainsttheederalincometaxbecausea

    nationalcampaignwouldinvolvelargecoordina

    tioncosts.However,

    itisrelativelyeasytotakeanaimattheproperty

    tax,whereitislevied

    locally.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    ces

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    24/50

    18

    ACaseofFiscalImba

    lance:theCalgaryExperien

    4.

    Imp

    actofOver-ContributiononCalgaryandtheCanadianEcon

    omy

    LargestCMAsinCanada

    1988

    2008

    1988-2008totalgrowth

    Total

    Nationalshare

    Total

    NationalshareT

    otalgrowth

    percent

    Montreal,Q

    uebec

    1,518

    12%

    1,901

    11%

    382

    25%

    Ottawa-Gatineau,Ontario/Quebec

    482

    4%

    671

    4%

    189

    39%

    Toronto,On

    tario

    2,090

    16%

    2,920

    17%

    830

    40%

    Calgary,Alb

    erta

    379

    3%

    702

    4%

    323

    85%

    Edmonton,Alberta

    414

    3%

    621

    4%

    207

    50%

    Vancouver,BritishColumbia

    758

    6%

    1,243

    7%

    485

    64%

    Canada

    12,687

    100%

    17,118

    100%

    4,431

    35%

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    Table4.1.TotalemploymentgrowthinCa

    nadassixlargestCMA:(ousandsofpersons)

    4.Im

    pactofOver-Contributionon

    Ca

    lgaryandtheCanadianEconomy

    4.1

    EconomicgrowthinCanad

    aisdrivenbybigcities

    ereisanincreasingconsensusamongeco

    nomistsandpolicyanalyststha

    t

    bigcitiesaretheenginesoeconomicgrowthinanationaleconomy.e

    theoreticalandempiricalliteraturepointso

    utthatcitiesafecttheeconomy

    inthreeway

    s-sharing,matching,andlearn

    ing19.

    4.1.1

    Eco

    nomicgrowthrepresentedbyemploymentgrowth

    StatisticsCa

    nadadoesnotproducegrossdo

    mesticproductdataatthesub-

    provinciallevelbutreleasesemploymentda

    taatthecensusmetropolitan

    19

    ediscu

    ssionontheimportanceocitieswassummarizedinarecentworkingpaper

    Importanceocities:withemphasisonCanadianurbanareaspreparedbyeCityo

    Calgarys

    CorporateEconomicsgroup.

    areas(CMA)level,the

    reoreemploymentdataareuse

    dasaproxyinthis

    papertoshowthecontributionocitiestoCanadaseconomicgrowth.

    Overtheperiod1988-

    2008,veoutothesixbiggestCMAsinCanada

    hadasteremploymen

    tgrowththanthenationalaverageandCalgaryled

    thepackwithagrowthrateo85percent(seetable4.1

    ).Amongthejobs

    createdinCalgary,occupationsthatrequirehigheducationandskillssucha

    thoseinnaturalandappliedsciences,socialscience,e

    ducation,government

    servicesandreligiong

    rewtheastest(seetable4.2).

    Bigcitiesarenotonly

    theleadersoeconomicandem

    ploymentgrowthin

    Canada,butalsothep

    laceswhereknowledgeeconom

    iesexpandandhighly

    educatedandskilledw

    orkerslocate.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    19

    my y

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    25/50

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    4.

    ImpactofOver-ContributiononCalgaryandtheCanadianEconom

    4.1.2

    Pop

    ulationgrowthisdrivenby

    peoplelookingforbetterjob

    opp

    ortunitiesandahigherqualityoflife

    StartinginMarch1987,StatisticsCanadahasprovidedannualworkingage

    population(age15+)estimatesatthecensusmetropolitanareas(CMA)

    level.ees

    timatesshowthatovertheperiod1988-2008,mostothegrowth

    occurredin

    Canadianbigcities.Fiveouto

    thesixbiggestcitiesexcept

    Montrealex

    periencedaboveaverage(24percent)growth(seetable4.3).

    Calgaryrecordedthehighestgrowth(74pe

    rcent)comparedtotheresto

    thecountry

    (24percentinCanada),w

    hich

    islargelyexplainedbyitsstrong

    labourmarket(seetable4.1).

    Historicalevidenceshowsthatpeoplemovetobigcitiesnotonlyorbetter

    jobopportu

    nities,butalsoorahigherqualityolie.Qualityolieisused

    asaproxyorthegeneralwell-beingoindividualsan

    dcommunitiesand

    isalsousedtomeasur

    etheliveabilityoagivencityornation.Qualityo

    lieisacompositemeasurethatincludesenvironmentquality,physicaland

    mentalhealth,e

    ducation,recreationandleisuretime,andsocialbelonging.

    ehigherthequality

    olie,t

    hemoreattractivethecityisandconsequently

    themorepeoplewillm

    ovetothecity.Asmoreindividualsandbusinesses

    areattractedtoaregio

    n,increasedpressuresareplace

    donroads,parks,the

    air,waterandotheren

    vironmentalresources,w

    hichn

    egativelyimpactsthe

    regionsqualityolie.equalityolieisonlysustainableoverthelong

    termisignicantinvestmentsaremadetoupdateold

    inrastructureand

    buildnewinrastructure.

    CalgaryEco

    nomicRegion(CER)

    1988

    2008

    1

    988-2008change

    Total

    %share

    Total

    %share

    Total

    %share

    All

    402.3

    100%

    755.5

    100%

    353.3

    88%

    Managemen

    t

    37.0

    9.2%

    69.7

    9.2%

    32.7

    88%

    Business,Finance&Administrative

    94.7

    23.5

    %

    164.1

    21.7

    %

    69.4

    73%

    Natural&A

    ppliedSciences&related

    36.8

    9.1%

    81.8

    10.8

    %

    45.0

    122%

    Health

    18.3

    4.5%

    35.3

    4.7%

    17.0

    93%

    SocialScien

    ce,E

    ducation,GovernmentService&Religion

    25.3

    6.3%

    54.7

    7.2%

    29.4

    116%

    OccupationsinArt,cultureRecreation&Sport

    10.2

    2.5%

    18.6

    2.5%

    8.4

    83%

    Sales&Serv

    ice

    95.4

    23.7

    %

    170.7

    22.6

    %

    75.3

    79%

    Trades,Tran

    sport&EquipmentOperators&related

    58.6

    14.6

    %

    119.1

    15.8

    %

    60.5

    103%

    OccupationsUniquetoPrimaryIndustry

    14.1

    3.5%

    24.1

    3.2%

    10.1

    71%

    OccupationsUniquetoProcessing,Manuactu

    ring&Utilities

    12.1

    3.0%

    17.6

    2.3%

    5.5

    45%

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    Table4.2.C

    algaryEconomicRegion(CER

    )TotalEmploymentbyOccup

    ation:(ousandsofpersons)

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    nce

    r, 25

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    26/50

    20

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperie

    Twowidely

    knownreportsthatmeasurequ

    alityolieorcitiesarethe

    GlobalLiveabilityReport20publishedbytheEconomistIntelligenceUnit

    (EIU)andtheLivingReports21p

    ublishedbyMercer.Calgaryrankedhighin

    bothreports,whichexplainswhysomanypeoplemovedtothecityoverth

    e

    pasttwodecades.

    elatestEIUreportreleasedinJanuary20

    10rankedCalgarynumber

    veamong140citiessurveyedworldwide.Calgaryscored96.6outo100,

    comparedtoWesternEuropesaverageo92.1,NorthAmericasaverage

    20

    eEIUsreportsurveys140citiesaroundthew

    orldannually,usingover30qualitative

    andquantitativeactorsacrossvebroadcategories:Stability,Healthcare,Cultureand

    environm

    ent,Education,andInrastructure.

    21

    Mercerhasdesignedanobjectivewayomeasuringqualityolivingorexpatriatesbas

    ed

    onactorsthatpeopleconsiderrepresentativeoqualityoliving.Mercerevaluateslocal

    livingcon

    ditionsinallthe420citiesitsurveysw

    orldwide.Livingconditionsareanalys

    ed

    accordingto39actors,groupedin10categories:Politicalandsocialenvironment,

    Economicenvironment,Socio-culturalenvironment,Healthandsanitation,Schoolsand

    education

    ,Publicservicesandtransportation,R

    ecreation,Consumergoods,Housing,

    Naturalenvironment.

    o91.5,andtheWorld

    averageo76.CalgarysoverallrankinginMercers

    reportovertheyearswasalsohighamongthe420citiessurveyed.However

    itsrankinghasdeclinedinthepastthreeyearsromn

    umber24in2007to2

    in2008and26in2009.

    4.2

    Fiscalover

    -contributionfrombigcitieshurts

    economicgrowthinCanada

    Residentsandbusines

    sesinCalgarycontributedtheirairshareotax

    paymentstotheeconomicallydisadvantagedregionsthroughpositive

    netcontributiontotheederalandprovincialgovernments.Inaddition,

    Calgariansover-contributedduringthe1988-2007period,w

    hichresulted

    inanumberoissuesthatotherbigcitiesinsimilarsituationshavealso

    experienced.

    LargestCM

    AsinCanada

    1988

    2008

    1988-2008totalgrowth

    Total

    Nationalshare

    Total

    Nationalshare

    Totalgrowth

    percent

    Montreal,Quebec

    2,543

    9%

    3,064

    9%

    521

    20%

    Ottawa-Ga

    tineau,Ontario/Quebec

    696

    3%

    962

    3%

    266

    38%

    Toronto,O

    ntario

    3,037

    11%

    4,541

    14%

    1,504

    50%

    Calgary,A

    lberta

    544

    2%

    945

    3%

    401

    74%

    Edmonton,Alberta

    621

    2%

    882

    3%

    261

    42%

    Vancouver,BritishColumbia

    1,224

    5%

    1,939

    6%

    716

    58%

    Canada

    26,792

    100%

    33,311

    100%

    6,520

    24%

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    Table4.3.W

    orkingagepopulationgrowth

    inCanadassixlargestCMA:(ousandsofpersons)

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    21

    my

    m e r a m,

    o t

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    27/50

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    4.

    ImpactofOv

    er-ContributiononCalgaryandtheCanadianEconom

    4.2.1

    Ove

    r-contributionconstrainseconomicgrowthinthe

    contributingregions

    Calgarysrap

    idpopulationgrowth,a

    longwiththeneedtoupgradeanaging

    capitalstock,isdrivingupoperatingandcapitalbudgetcostsorthelocal

    government.Becauseothelongleadtimes

    thatarerequiredtoplanand

    constructmunicipalinrastructure,eCityoCalgarymustanticipate

    populationg

    rowthtoplan,buildandnancenewinrastructurelongbeore

    thetaxbaseisavailabletopayortheseexpe

    nditures.iscreatesscalstrain

    onthemunicipality.

    Intermsob

    usinesscycles,Calgaryseconomyisalsomorevolatilethan

    otherregion

    sinCanadabecauseitisafecte

    dbyinvestmentcyclesinthe

    energymark

    ets.Asaresult,demandorpub

    licservicesromlocalbusinesses

    andresidentsdiferromeconomicboomto

    busttimes.Duringboomtimes,

    increasedeconomicactivityandrapidpopulationgrowthdrivethedemand

    ornewinrastructureinvestmentsandmoremunicipalservicessuchas

    police,reandpublictransitservices.W

    hileduringrecessions,reduced

    demandornewinvestmentsispartlyofset

    byincreaseddemandorincom

    e

    assistance.

    Calgarysover-contributiontotheotherordersogovernmentsmakesit

    harderorth

    elocalgovernmenttoplanoritslong-termnancialneeds.

    eCityoC

    algarycanneitherundallprojectsornewcapitalinvestments

    andincrease

    dservicesintheboomtimes,nortakeadvantageoinvestment

    opportunitie

    sinthelowercostenvironmentexperiencedduringrecessionary

    times.Asaresult,eCityhascurrentlyon

    eofthehighestdebtrates

    amongbigC

    anadiancitiesandcouldreach

    itsdebtborrowinglimit

    in2012-2014.isputsadditionalpressure

    onthemunicipalitytoraise

    propertytaxesandexposeslocaltaxpayerstotheriskobearingahighertax

    burdeninth

    euture.

    PeoplemovetoaplacelikeCalgarynotonlyorjobopportunities,but

    alsoorahigherqualityolie.Becauseothemobilit

    yoskilledworkers,

    citiesaroundtheworldareincreasinglycompetingwitheachotheror

    thoseworkers.Strong

    labourmarketconditionsinCa

    lgaryhaveacted

    asamagnetorworke

    rsromoutsidetheregion.is

    hascreatedan

    equallyhighdemandorshelterandsupportservices

    toaddressissues

    suchashomelessnessandafordablehousingissues

    thatneedallorders

    ogovernmenttoaddress.Downloadingomanygovernmenthousing

    andsupportprogramsromotherordersogovernmenthasaddedtothis

    challenge.

    ereisevidencethat

    over-contributiontootherordersogovernmentrom

    Calgaryhasalsonegativelyimpactedthecitysability

    tomaintainitsglobal

    competitiveness.ecitysdropinMercersqualityo

    livingrankingisa

    caseinpoint.Ithelackoinvestmentinpublicservicesandinrastructure

    continuesandCalgarylosesitsattractiveness,uturegrowthintheregion

    willbeconstrained.

    Similarchallengesalsoapplytoothercities,w

    hereinvestmentsare

    associatedwithjobsandeconomicgrowth.AccordingtoK&L(November

    2003),Canadiancitiesmustmoreandmoreproveth

    emselvescapableo

    competingwithintern

    ationalcitiesornancialcapitalandskilledlabour.

    Municipalgovernmen

    tshaveanimportantroletopla

    yinthisregard.City

    governmentsareresponsibleorprovidingmanyoth

    eservicesthatmakea

    cityglobally-competitiveservicedland,anecienttransportationsystem

    publicsaety,potablewater,recreationacilities,aculturallydiverseand

    tolerantsocialenviron

    ment,andetceteratheirscalcapabilitiesareo

    paramountimportance.Aninabilityocitygovernmentstonancethese

    investmentsinsocialinrastructure,eitheratallorviaanecientsystemo

    revenuewillcausenotonlytheeconomiesocitiesto

    stagnatebutalsothat

    otheprovincesandthenation.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    ence

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    28/50

    22

    ACaseofFiscalImbalance:theCalgaryExperie

    4.

    Imp

    actofOver-ContributiononCalgaryandtheCanadianEcon

    omy

    4.2.2

    Over-contributionhurtstherestofCanadianeconomy

    Economica

    nalysisindicatesthatlong-term

    economicgrowthdepends

    largelyontechnologicalprogressandknow

    ledgecreationinanations

    hubcities.E

    mpiricalstudiesoundthathistoricalgrowthrateshavebeen

    diferentatglobal,nationalandstateorpro

    vincialorders.Someregionsgrew

    rstandbecameleadingeconomies.Otherseitherlaggedtheleaderswith

    lowergrowthratesorcaughtupwithaster

    ratesogrowth.ecatch-up

    ineconomicperormanceiscalledconvergence,aphenomenonoundat

    variousgeographicallevelsinnumerousstu

    dies.Oneotherecentstudies,

    the2006Co

    nerenceBoardoCanada(CBoC)report,s

    howedthatintra-

    provincialc

    onvergenceoccursinCanadabetweenhubcitiesandremaining

    communitiesinrespectiveprovinces.Based

    ontheCBoCreport,acasestudy

    romeCityoCalgary,

    Growthconvergenceandstrategicinvestment:

    anAlbertacasestudy,urtherconrmedconvergenceinAlbertabetween

    hubcities(C

    algaryandEdmonton)andthe

    restotheprovince,andcalled

    orastrateg

    icinvestmentinthesehubcitiestopromotelong-termeconom

    ic

    growthintheprovince.

    ereisaconsensusthatpublicundingshouldocusonpromotinggrowth

    inleadingeconomies,becauseitisthemostecientwayousinglimited

    publicundingandtherestotheeconomy

    wouldbenetromconvergenc

    e.

    Incontrast,

    abigcitysover-contribution,asinthecaseoCalgary,would

    hurtthepro

    vincialandnationaleconomies

    romaconvergenceperspective.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    23

    ies

    al d s. e rd e art 2007

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    29/50

    ACaseofFisc

    alImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    5.

    TheFed

    eralandProvincialGovernmentsHavet

    heFiscalCapacityto

    HelpBigCiti

    5.2

    efedera

    landprovincialgovernmentshavesca

    capacitiestohelpbigcities

    eCanadianandAlbertaGovernmentshavebothexperiencedimproved

    publicnancessincethemid1990s,partlyduetothe

    downloadingo

    responsibilitiestolocalgovernmentsinordertoredu

    cetheirexpenditures

    BasedonthePEAdata,t

    heederalgovernmenthadb

    udgetsurplusessinc

    1997duetocontinuousincreasesintotalrevenuesan

    ddramaticdownwar

    shisintotalcurrent

    expenditures(seeChart5.1

    ).In

    thesameperiod,the

    GovernmentoAlber

    taalsohadsurplusesduetothe

    astgrowthintotal

    revenuesandarelativ

    eslowgrowthintotalcurrentexpenditures(seeCha

    5.2).

    5.

    eFederalandProvincial

    GovernmentsHavetheFiscalCapacity

    to

    HelpBigCities

    5.1

    eCityofCalgarylackssustainablescalcapacity

    todealwithgrowthinthelong-term

    eCityo

    CalgarysLongRangeFinancialPlanprojectssignicantannua

    l

    operatingandcapitalbudgetshortallsorthemunicipalityinthenext

    decade.Acc

    ordingtotheprojection22in

    theLongRangeFinancialPlan

    2009Update:2010-2019,eCitywouldacesignicantannualoperating

    andcapital

    budgetshortallsoverthenextdecadeiprojectedlevelso

    existingrev

    enuesourcesdonotchange.ecumulativeoperatingunding

    shortallwo

    uldtotalmorethan$1billionrom2012to2019,andthe

    cumulative

    capitalgapwouldreach$6billionin2019(notincludingprojects

    andupgrad

    esnotcurrentlyidentiedinthecapitalbudgetsystem).Closing

    theoperatingbudgetgapwithadditionalpropertytaxeswouldrequire

    additionalm

    illrateincreasesaveragingtwo

    percenteachyearabovee

    CityoCalg

    arymunicipalpriceindex(MPI)orecasts23.

    22eoperatingprojectionisbasedonprovidingthesamekindsoservicescurrently

    provided

    andspendingthesameamountperca

    pita(adjustedororecastedination)

    to

    providet

    hoseservices.iswouldbeequivalen

    ttomaintainingtheexistingpercapita

    resourcesandeciencyoreachcurrentCityse

    rvice.ecapitalprojectionisbasedo

    n

    maintain

    ingandextendinginrastructuretoservetheorecastedpopulationaccording

    tothe10

    yearcapitalplan,aswellascarryingoutthenot-undedprojectsincludedinthe

    capitalbudgetingsystem.

    23

    emod

    elisbasedonthecurrentlyapproved2

    009-2011operatingbudgetandprojects

    eightyearsbeyondthis,includingimpactsopo

    pulationgrowth.

    TheCanadianGov

    ernmentenjoyedbudgetsurplusesfrom1

    997to

    2007

    Chart5.1

    FederalGovernmentFiscalBalancesinCa

    nada(1981-2007)

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    250

    '

    200

    Netcontribution

    Totalreven

    ue

    Totalcurre

    ntexpenditure

    150

    50 0

    1981

    1982

    1983

    1984

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    rience

    ed eas

    the

    nal

    ars.

    7 08) 2008

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    30/50

    24

    ACaseofFiscalImb

    alance:theCalgaryExper

    5.

    The

    FederalandProvincialGovernmentsHavetheFiscalCapacitytoHelpBigCities

    Sincethem

    id-1990suntilbeorethe2008-09recession,t

    hetwoorderso

    governmentwereabletoreducetheirnetnancialdebts(oraccumulated

    decits)signicantly.InAlbertascase,t

    heprovincialgovernmentpaidofall

    itsdebtsandhadasurpluso$35billiondo

    llarsbytheendo2007scalyear

    (Chart5.3a

    ndChart5.4).

    eederal

    andprovincialgovernmentsbothenteredtherecentrecession

    withstrong

    scalpositionsandthusaredb

    etterthanalmostallothermajor

    industrializedcountries.A

    lthoughbothordersogovernmentrandecits

    orscalyear2008-09andbeyondtosupportthenationalandprovincial

    economicrecovery,theyplantoreturntob

    alancedbudgetsinaewyears.

    Accordingtothe2010FederalBudget,nominalGDP

    inCanadaisexpecte

    togrowatanannualaveragerateo5percentin2010-14,rom$1,601

    billionin2010to$1,9

    53billionin2014.etotalederalgovernment

    revenuesromtaxesa

    ndothersourcesisexpectedtogrowatthesamerate

    economyrom$233b

    illioninthescalyear2008-09

    to$296.5

    billionint

    scalyears2014-15,representing14.6percentand15.2percentonomin

    GDPinCanada,respectively.

    Inits2010budget,theGovernmentoAlbertaalsoanticipateseconomic

    growthandincreases

    ingovernmentrevenuesoverth

    enextourscalyea

    enominalGDPor

    Albertaisanticipatedtogrowatanannualrateo7

    TheAlbertaGovernmentenjoyedbudget

    surplusesfrom1

    994to2007

    Chart5.2

    AlbertaGovernmentFiscalBalancesintheProvince

    (1981-20

    07)

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    45

    35

    40

    Ne

    tcontr

    ibution

    To

    talrevenue

    To

    talcurrentexpen

    diture

    25

    30

    10

    1 5 05

    5

    1981

    1982

    1983

    1984

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    19941995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    TheCanadianGov

    ernmentreduceditsdebtlevelf

    rom1

    997to2008

    Chart5.3

    FederalGovernm

    entNetFinancialDebtinCanada(1981-200

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCan

    ada;CorporateEconomics

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    0

    100

    1981

    1982

    1983

    1984

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    19981999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    25

    ties

    e e rs

    he n

    ues

    ng

    while

    ,

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    31/50

    ACaseofFisc

    alImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    5.

    TheFed

    eralandProvincialGovernmentsHavet

    heFiscalCapacityto

    HelpBigCit

    percent,rom$259billionin2010to$317

    billionin2013,contributingto

    growthintotalgovernmentrevenuerom$33billioninscalyear2009-10

    to$40billioninscalyear2012-13.

    esecontinuedincreasesingovernmentr

    evenuesoverthenextewyears

    shouldstrengthentheabilityoederaland

    provincialgovernmentsto

    rebalancetheirbudgetswithoutinhibitingtheircurrentlowtaxpolicies.

    esestron

    gscalpositionsalsoprovidetheederalandprovincial

    governmen

    tsthenecessarycapacitytohelp

    bigcitieslikeCalgaryby

    grantingthemnewrevenuesourcesorgivingthemmoretranserunds.

    TheAlbertaGovernmentbecamedebt-freein2000andaccumulated

    surpluses

    upto$35billionin2007

    Chart5.4

    ProvincialGovernmentNetFinancialDebtBalanceinAlberta

    (1981-20

    07)

    billionsofdollars

    Sources:StatisticsCanada;CorporateEconomics

    0510

    5

    20

    15

    30

    25

    35

    1981

    1982

    1983

    1984

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    5.3

    ereisonlyonetaxpayer

    Inarecentstudyusin

    gasimilarmethodtotheC4SE

    study,Dr.Kneebone

    estimatedthescalcontributionsromCanadasnine

    majorcitiesto

    theederalandprovincialgovernments(R.Kneebone,2007).estudy

    showsthatthemajor

    citiesresidentspaidmoreintaxesthantheyreceive

    backinprograms:aresultneitherunusualnorunexp

    ected,sincethese

    imbalancesreecttheinuenceoaprogressivetaxs

    ystemandthe

    designogovernmentprogramsthattranserincome

    totheagedandthe

    disadvantaged.Howe

    ver,thendingshaveollowing

    implications:

    Itmaybenetgo

    vernmentstoappreciatehowascalmeasure

    mayhavedetrime

    ntalimpactsonthecentresoe

    conomicactivity

    responsibleorge

    neratingmostoCanadaswealth.I

    thedesigno

    taxesandspendin

    gprogramsmatteroreconomicgrowth,andi

    theirimpactiseltacrossregionsothecountryinawaydetrimental

    toeconomicgrow

    thinsomeregions,thenthetra

    de-ofbetween

    economicecien

    cyandequity,w

    hichallpolicym

    akersmustace,

    mayneedtobeco

    nsideredalongtheregionalaswellasthepersonal

    dimension.

    Allordersogovernm

    entrepresentthesametaxpayer.ediferentorder

    ogovernmentmayh

    avediferentresponsibilitiesbuttheirinterestsare

    complementary:they

    servethesamecitizensandworktowardsthesame

    goalstoprovideahig

    hqualityolie.Amunicipalgo

    vernmentisoenth

    onlygovernmentpresenceinaregionandisresponsibleorthedelivery

    omostlocallyneededpublicgoodsandservicesand

    inrastructure

    investments.ereore,itisunderincreasingpressur

    etoraisemorereven

    toundservicesandinvestmentsarisingromtheefectsopopulation

    growth.

    eCityoCalgaryasothermunicipalitiescannotbudgettorunoperatin

    decitsandhavelimitedrevenuesources.Itacessignicantchallengesw

    balancingcompeting

    prioritiesbetweeninvestinginnewcapitalprojects,

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    erience

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    32/50

    26

    ACaseofFiscalImb

    alance:theCalgaryExpe

    5.

    The

    FederalandProvincialGovernmentsHavetheFiscalCapacitytoHelpBigCities

    replacingorupgradingoldinrastructure,andincreasingoperational

    budgetstomeetgrowthinserviceneedsdu

    ringeconomicboomtimes.

    Sincethere

    centeconomicrecession,revenueshavebeenreducedbutthe

    demandso

    rlocalservicesarestillpresent.Inresponsetothesechallenges,

    eCityo

    Calgaryhasusednancialreserveundsasabuferbetween

    peaksandvalleys,andhasborrowedheavilyincapitalmarketstoaddress

    capitalundinggaps.esemeasuresarete

    mporaryinnatureandarenot

    sustainable

    overthelongrun.

    econsistentover-contributionsituationinCalgarymeansthatthe

    municipalgovernmentneedshelpromtheotherordersogovernment

    inCanadatoundingnewinrastructures.

    eprovincialandederal

    governmen

    tscanhelpeCityoCalgarybyeithergivingmore

    intergovern

    mentaltranserundsorgrantingnewrevenuesourcestoe

    City.

    Inevaluatingoptionsoradditionalundin

    gormunicipalities,wemust

    considerth

    eriskoraisingthealreadyhigh

    overalltaxburdenontaxpayer

    s,

    becauseasoennotedthereisonlyonetaxpayerandthetaxroomis

    limited.

    Apreerred

    scenarioortaxpayersisthatthereshouldnotbeanincreasein

    theirtotalt

    axbill,namelyadditionalundingormunicipalitiesshouldnot

    increasetaxburdensuponthetaxpayers.A

    erexperiencinglongwaittim

    es

    ornewinrastructureinvestmentstostart

    duringtheboom,asignicant

    portionoCalgarysbusinessesandresiden

    tsareincreasinglyreluctantto

    paymoretaxes.

    IGA2010-35 ATTACHMENT

    27

    sion

    d ld es

  • 8/8/2019 Fiscal Imbalance

    33/50

    ACaseofFisc

    alImbalance:theCalgaryExperience

    6.

    Conclus

    6.Conclusion

    TaxpayersinCalgaryhavebeenovercontributingtotheederaland

    provincialgovernmentsscalbalanceshee

    tsoverthepasttwodecades.

    eresultisthatarelativelysmallshareo

    taxrevenueswenttothelocal

    governmen

    ttoprovideinvestmentsininrastructureinvestmentsand

    provisiongoodsandservices.Fastpopulationgrowthandhighination

    ratesinCalgaryduringrecenteconomicbo

    omsintensiedthissituation.A

    s

    thelocalresidentsandbusinessesareincreasinglyreluctanttopayanymore

    taxestothe

    municipalgovernmentandyet

    demandhigherlevelsoservice

    ,

    eCityo

    Calgaryhadtoborrowheavilytonanceitscapitalinvestments.

    isisnotsustainableinthelong-run.

    isover-contributionsituationisnotwell

    understoodbythegeneralpublic

    duetoalackoocialdataandmeasurements.Amethodintroducedbythe

    C4SEin2005providesapowerultooltoexploretheproblemandopensthe

    discussionorsolutions.UsingtheC4SEm

    ethod,thisstudyestimatedand

    comparedC

    algarysscalcontributionstothethreeordersogovernments

    rom1988to2007.eresulthasshownth

    atCalgariansconsistentlypaid

    muchmore

    intaxesthantheyreceivedinb

    enetsromtheprovincialand

    ederalgovernments.

    eevidenceshowsthatover-contribution

    notonlyhurtsthelocaleconom

    y,

    butalsoafectstherestoCanada.AstheG

    overnmentoCanadaandthe

    GovernmentoAlbertabothhaveaccessto

    growthrelatedtaxsourcesand

    benetedla

    rgelyromtherecenteconomic

    boom,t

    heyareinstrongscal

    positionsandhavethecapacitytohelpscallystrainedbigcitieslikeCalga

    ry.

    isstu