Finalized PPT.pptx

7/21/2019 Finalized PPT.pptx

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Regression model of Gini

Coecient2014R2-DSME2021A : APPLED EC!"!ME#RCS $!R%&S"ESS DECS!"S

%'

C(E" # A"'A"G 11))02*1+,

#A A L!. 11))0+2/)2

A" RA" 11))02,***

(E"G A M " 11))02*13,


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5t: A6o7t Gini Coecient Commonl8 7sed 5s 5 me5s7re of ine975lit8

-A e5lt8 n5tion c5n 5;e te s5me GiniCoecient of 5 g> C5n5d5 5nd ndi5?

R5nge from 1 =or 100@ 56sol7te ine975lit8? to 0 =or0@ m5Bim5l e975lit8?

After t5B eect: %elo 0>4*


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8: #e eB5m


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(o: Ass7m


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De


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List of inde


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List of indeg> Denm5rH =E N 0>,3+O GC N 0>2/?

K E>g> So7t Afric5 =E N 0>/*)O GC N 0>/+1?


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List of inde s5re of @ of GDP?

As a )uantitati*e *ariable:K ): Go;ernment eBe> s5re of @ of

GDP?

K D5t5 from !ECD 2014

(planation:

$isc5l


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!ter


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Res7lts of sim


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St5tistic5l inform5tion:

Me5n mode medi5n r5nge s>d>

ean0>+4*,/,)

13 +)013>*2)0>3*2/+/+

/4442>0+*33

23,>/,,/+/+

/41,>240*0*

0*+>1022323

23/+>/)*0*0

*11),>*+1,1

,21>,)*+3E

12

S.d.0>0*,13**

)3134/3>/2*

/20>0*,,0/,

)314/)>*/+3

244>/3,/111

**)>+//3*+/

0+1>,,+,*/0

*11,>/)4/,3

23203>**)4/

0++>)20+4E

12

Range0>4)*)+2)

42 ,4**,>) 0>4)4 3)+3>2 21>/ 2/>3 10 /+ 11021>/3)4/E

1+

edian0>+202)33

3 ++*,2>/) 0>,12) 104 3>3) 1*>+) 2>3) /,>) 3)4>/133/E

11

ode T"QA T"QA 0>3*4 T"QA 3>* 1,>1 2>, ,1 /, T"QA

' 1 2 + 4 ) / 3 , *

Ginicoecient

GDP =PPP?Per C5


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Regression ModelDe


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#esting te 7tilit8 of te

model$ st5tistic

E='?NU0U11U22U**

K (0: U1NU2NNU*N0

K (V: At le5st one of te coefficients is nonero


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Regression Analysis

Regression Statistics

M7lti3203

R S975re 0>)1*4

AdF7sted R S975re 0>+*22

St5nd5rd Error 0>03/)

!6ser;5tions 44

A&A

df SS MS F Signicance F

Regression * 0>21)+ 0>02+* 4>0,+2 0>001+

Resid75l +4 0>1**2 0>00)*

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)

$-test


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Potenti5ll8 inde


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Ste


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Ste< 1 (0: U1N0

Step;ise RegressionAnalysis

1+10 0>1+10 1*>400+ 0>0001

Resid75l 42 0>2,+) 0>00/,

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)

Coecients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% !!er 95%

Ste


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Ste< 2 (0: U2N0opulation densityentered.

df SS MS F Signicance

F

Regression 2 0>1/,+0>0,4

114>012

4 0>0000

Resid75l 41 0>24/20>00/

0

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)

CoecientsStandard

Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%!!er95%

nterce330+ 0>0*)*,>02*

0 0>0000 0>)3/) 0>*/40

Ed7c5tion indeB -0>)41/ 0>11*,

-4>)21

2 0>0001 -0>3,+) -0>2**3

Po4*+

Ste


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Ste< + (0: U+N0

=ne#ploy#ententered.


F

Regression + 0>20+20>0/3

312>,20

* 0>0000

Resid75l 40 0>211+0>00)

+

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)

Coecients

StandardError t Stat P-value Lower 95%

!!er95%

nterce30++ 0>0*+33>)0/

* 0>0000 0>)1+* 0>,*2/

Ed7c5tion indeB -0>)2*4 0>112)

-4>303

/ 0>0000 -0>3)/3 -0>+021Po0000 0>0000

+>2)0) 0>002+ 0>0000 0>0000

&o ot!er *ariables could be entered into t!e#odel. Step;ise ends.

Ste


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Ste1+10 0>1+10 1*>400+ 0>0001

Resid75l 42 0>2,+) 0>00/,

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)


nterce3*2/ 0>101+ 3>,2/2 0>0000 0>),,2 0>**30

Ed7c5tion indeB -0>)),) 0>12/, -4>404/ 0>0001 -0>,14) -0>+02/

opulation densityentered.


F


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Ste20+2 0>0/33 12>,20* 0>0000

Resid75l 40 0>211+ 0>00)+

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)


nterce30++ 0>0*+3 3>)0/* 0>0000 0>)1+* 0>,*2/

Ed7c5tion indeB -0>)2*4 0>112) -4>303/ 0>0000 -0>3)/3 -0>+021

Po0000 0>0000 +>2)0) 0>002+ 0>0000 0>0000

&nem00/+ 0>002) 2>)302 0>0140 0>0014 0>011+


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Regression modelE='?N0>30++-0>)2*410>00002/20>00/++

1 Ed7c5tion indeB

2 Po


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D7mm8 W5ri56les


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D7mm8 W5ri56lesE7ro


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Co7ntries

E7ro


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Regression !7t


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"e ModelEd7c5tion indeBPo


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Regression o7t


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$7rter 5n5l8e

W$ =W5ri5nce n5tion $5ctor?

KXX m7lticolline5rit8D =D7r6in-5tson #est?KXX 57tocorrel5tion


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W$ test

(iger W$ ;5l7e me5ns

iger m7lticolline5rit8>

%8 eB

S5m1/04

AdF7sted R S975re 0>0*34

St5nd5rd Error 0>0*+*

!6ser;5tions 44

4 1.1911


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W$ test res7ltW$12+ 5re sm5llC5n 6e He


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RegressionAnalysis

RegressionStatistics

M7lti,42)

R S975re 0>30*,

AdF7sted RS975re 0>/,01

St5nd5rdError 0>0)))

!6ser;5tions 44

A&A


F

Regression 4 0>2*42 0>03+/2+>,4*

) 0>0000

Resid75l +* 0>120+ 0>00+1

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)

.ee< te d7mm8

;5ri56le E7ro


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.ee< te d7mm8

;5ri56le E7ro1/04

AdF7sted RS975re 0>0*34

St5nd5rd Error 0>0*+*

!6ser;5tions 44

4 1.1911

RegressionAnalysis0)),

St5nd5rdError

1424>4*0)

!6ser;5tion

s 444 1.13>?

RegressionAnalysis

&nem10,1

AdF7sted RS975re 0>0412

St5nd5rdError 4>),12

!6ser;5tion

s 444 1.1212

RegressionAnalysisE7ro242+

AdF7sted RS975re 0>1,))

St5nd5rdError 0>444)

!6ser;5tions 44

4 1.319>


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Concl7sionRegression AnalysisRegression Statistics

M7lti,42)

R S975re 0>30*,

AdF7sted RS975re 0>/,01

St5nd5rd Error 0>0)))

!6ser;5tions 44

A&A

df SS MS F Signicance F

Regression 4 0>2*42 0>03+/ 2+>,4*) 0>0000

Resid75l +* 0>120+ 0>00+1

#ot5l 4+ 0>414)


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Concl7sion

$in5l model: ' N 0>)*)) -0>+2,/1 0>00001,20>00,4+- 0>103+ 4


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Prediction of Cin5 Gini

ndeB in 2014

'

4+2

' 5ct75l N 0>4/*

=68 "5tion5l %7re57 of St5tistics of

Cin5?


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Limit5tion!nl8 for !ECD co7ntries>

"ot for long-term

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Finalized PPT.pptx