Overview of Florida Catastrophic PlanningProject PurposeDirect technical assistance to target countiesEnsure a local up approachDevelop decision matricesExamine policies and proceduresProject GoalDevelop regional response and recovery annexes for a Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD) failure and South Florida Catastrophic hurricane

The Scenario:Category 5 Hurricane Ono Nearing the Bahamas

Planning Scenario

Extended TrackHow does this affect in-state mutual aid/resources?How does this affect out-of-state assistance?

Consequence ProjectionsPercent of Building Stock by Wind Damage Category

Consequence ProjectionsNumber of Buildings by Wind Damage Category

Local Planning Technical Assistance2 member FEMA team1 Technical Lead7 member Florida team3 working w/Tallahassee4 assigned to South Florida

Scenario-Driven Planning Workshopssets the catastrophic bar All levels of government contribute to the planning

Comprehensive Cohesive Planning, Complimenting Concurrent Efforts

Decision Matrices & Resource Shortfalls

Decision Matrices & Resource ShortfallsAssess required scenariobased capabilitiesDevelop scalable and adaptable methodsDetermine available resources & shortfallsEstablish protocols & policiesIntegrate with other scenario-based plansSustain the planning process

The Word ProblemSF impacted by a Category 5 Hurricane making landfall 35mi N of Miami producing upwards of 22 of rainfall in and north of Lake Okeechobee. Winds and surge damage or destroy nearly 700,000 structures. Note: this doesnt include the Counties to the North West of Lake Okeechobee where the storm exits FL as a Category 2.Winds from the storm leave large amounts of debris in canals used by SFWMD to control water movement in South Florida making it difficult to impossible to reduce flood waters impacting the environment, economy, citizens and visitors. Flood waters are expected to remain for as many as 22 days or more

Key AssumptionsEstimated Population 6,358,9342,867,295 people are projected to evacuate in advance of the storm796,214 people are expected to seek public shelter (10s of miles)3,826,822 homes will be destroyedUp to 3,000,000 customers will be w/o power from Miami-Dade to Indian River on the East and Manatee/Sarasota on the West

Pick ONE Break It DownPick ONE decision point and break it downClearly identify the GOALIdentify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed on which to base a decisionDocument what you know from past experienceCalculate/Adjust/Recalculate/Cross CheckRepeat as necessaryUp Next - Rand Napoli, Lead Planner

Pick ONE Break It DownPick ONE decision point and break it downClearly identify the GOALComplete Primary Search & Rescue in 24 HrsIdentify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed on which to base a decision# Strike Teams# of hours/day operational period# of structures damaged or destroyed

Pick ONE Break It DownDocument what you know from past experienceCant safely search at nightHow many workers to safely search a structureHow much time to safely search a structureDeployment time (notification to operational)Calculate/Adjust/Recalculate/Cross CheckRepeat as necessaryDont forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff, mutual aid assets, volunteers

Example Search and Rescue

Example Search and Rescue

Pick ONE Break It DownPick ONE decision point and break it downClearly identify the GOALProvide 3 Hot Meals/day for survivors in impacted areaIdentify the CRITICAL criteria/information needed on which to base a decisionHow many survivors remained in the areaApproximately 4.3 MillionQuantity of food/mealHow many staff required to prepare/deliver

Pick ONE Break It DownDocument what you know from past experienceOperational PeriodDeployment time (notification to operational)Staff required to prepare X number mealsAdjust/Recalculate/Cross Check/ - RepeatDont forget LOGISTICAL support for your staff, mutual aid assets, volunteers

Contacts & Informationwww.FloridaDisaster.org/CatastrophicPlanningCarla Boyce, Plans Chief850.410.1268Carla.Boyce@em.MyFlorida.comRand Napoli, Lead Planner IEM904.370.0839Rand.Napoli@IEM.com

Be PreparedGet-A-Plan

LOCAL UPRand talks here.-they are a partial picture, you have to put it together-they should help discussion, not get in the way/distract from it-they can and will be refined. Workshop will help us prioritize refinements. Decision Matrices will be used to determine resource shortfalls & focus continued planning efforts