excerpted from Reducing Pandemic Risk, Promoting Global Health

For the full report go to http://report.predict.global

PREDICT CONSORTIUM MANAGEMENT

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REDUCING PANDEMIC RISK, PROMOTING GLOBAL HEALTH 349

The PREDICT Consortium was a functionally collaborative and fully

integrated working team that benefited from the experience of world

leaders in zoonotic disease surveillance, epidemiology, disease ecology, and

risk characterization.

UNITED STATES AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (USAID) LEADS• Andrew Clements

• Murray Trostle

• Alisa Pereira

• August Pabst

LEAD CONSORTIUM INSTITUTIONS FOR PREDICT• UC Davis’ One Health Institute is active all over the world, working at the interface

of animals, people, and the environment to solve complex problems that impact health and conservation.

• EcoHealth Alliance is the first group to identify bats as the reservoir of SARS-like coronaviruses, to define hotspots of emerging diseases, and identify drivers of disease emergence.

• Metabiota, Inc. (formerly known as Global Viral Forecasting, Inc.) has made seminal discoveries on the role of hunting of nonhuman primates and food handling in moving animal pathogens to humans.

• Smithsonian Institution and the National Zoo are among the founders of the field of conservation biology.

• Wildlife Conservation Society was the first conservation organization with a dedicated team of wildlife veterinarians deployed around the world, with programs focused on environmental stewardship and health problem-solving.

Other global partners include Columbia University; Boston Children’s Hospital’s HealthMap; International Society for Infectious Disease; and the University of California, San Francisco.

350 USAID PREDICT

KEY PERSONNEL Global Co-Director, Jonna AK Mazet, DVM, MPVM, PhD, is a Professor of Epidemiology and Disease Ecology and Executive Director of the One Health Institute at the University of California, Davis’ School of Veterinary Medicine.

Global Co-Director, Stephen S Morse, PhD, is a Professor of Clinical Epidemiology and Founding Director of the Center for Public Health Preparedness at Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health.

Technical Director, William B Karesh, DVM, is the Executive Vice President for Health and Policy for EcoHealth Alliance, and serves as the President of the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE) Working Group on Wildlife Diseases.

PREDICT EXECUTIVE BOARDConsisting of the Key Personnel and the most senior representative of the core consortium, the Executive Board shaped the management of all activities and ensured that all countries received the support needed to achieve the objectives according to the USAID approved work plans.

• Jonna Mazet, University of California, Davis (UCD)

• Peter Daszak, EcoHealth Alliance (EHA)

• Nathan Wolfe, Metabiota (MB)

• William Karesh, EcoHealth Alliance (EHA)

• Stephen Morse, Columbia University (CU)

• Suzan Murray, Smithsonian Institution (SI)

• Damien Joly, Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS); moved to Metabiota late in project

OPERATIONAL TEAMS

Surveillance Team led by William Karesh, co-led by Christine Johnson, and Catherine Machalaba as rapporteur:

Damien JolyTammie O’RourkeDenise GreigDebbie MollardMelinda RostalJonathan EpsteinKristine SmithPatricia ReedIsabelle-Anne BissonMartin Gilbert Helen LeeSarah OlsonWendy WeismanTracey Goldstein

Kirsten GilardiDavid WolkingMarcela UhartAlberto PerezStephen MorseMichael CranfieldJoseph FairBrad SchneiderCorina MonaginKaren SaylorsMatthew LeBretonTom VincentChris Whittier

REDUCING PANDEMIC RISK, PROMOTING GLOBAL HEALTH 351

Modeling Team led by Peter Daszak:

Parviez HosseiniKris MurrayCarlos Zambrana-TorrelioKevin OlivalToph AllenEmily HaganLuciana MendiolaLiam Brierly Kate Jones Carla Tilchin

Tiffany BogichNicholas Preston Zachary Gold Jamison Pike David FinnoffSarah Elwood Nina Wale Christine JohnsonJonna Mazet

Capacity Building Team led by Woutrina Smith:

David Bunn Kate ThomasEva MertensWendy WeismanSuzan MurrayCarlos SanchezDavid WolkingChris WhittierChristine FiorelloJessica Schwind Tracey GoldsteinJonathan EpsteinJoseph FairSimon Anthony

Melinda RostalPatricia ReedNarayan LamichaneBrett SmithDaniel Rejmanek Matthew LeBretonKristine SmithKshitiz ShresthaManisha BistaElizabeth VanWormerAlberto PérezAnkita Poudal

Information Management Team led by Damien Joly:

Tracey GoldsteinChristine Johnson Tammie O’Rourke Daniel O’RourkeDavid WolkingDebbie MollardDenise GreigJames WilsonJohn Brownstein

Kate Thomas Larry MadoffMelissa Manhas Peter RabinowitzSally VegsoSarah Olson

352 USAID PREDICT

Viral Detection and Discovery Team led by Tracey Goldstein and co-led by Simon Anthony:Brad SchneiderJoseph FairJonathan EpsteinEva Mertens Dan RejmanekBrett SmithAlex Tremeau-BravardJasmine Pante

Cheyenne CoxonJonna MazetW Ian LipkinEric Delwart Eliza LiangIsa Navarrete-MacíasCharles ChiuAmethyst Gillis

Epidemiology Team led by Christine Johnson:Terra KellyPeta HitchensSimon AnthonyWilliam KareshDamien JolyJonathan EpsteinNathan Wolfe

Sarah OlsonTracey GoldsteinJonna MazetKevin OlivalDenise GreigElizabeth VanWormer

Administrative and Outreach Team led by Jonna Mazet:Lisa StevensonTerra KellyKatherine LeasureElizabeth LeasureDavid Wolking

Paulina ZielinskaMatt BlakeJustin CoxNistara RandhawaDharmaveer Shetty

REGIONAL LEADS, COUNTRY COORDINATORS, AND COUNTRY TEAMS

AFRICA

Regional Leads: Ubald Tamoufe (MB), Kirsten Gilardi (UCD), and David Wolking (UCD)

Cameroon Country Coordinator – Matthew LeBreton Amethyst GillisJeremy AlbergaCyrille DjokoJoseph Le Doux DiffoJean-Michel TakuoGerard NkeunenFelix Nkom

Ahmadou NanaBabila TafonWebnda FerdinandJohn Kiyang Aristide KamlaFestus Babilla

REDUCING PANDEMIC RISK, PROMOTING GLOBAL HEALTH 353

Democratic Republic of Congo Country Coordinator – Prime MulembakaniXavier MbiyiMaria MakuwaPlacide Mbala KingebeniIpos Ngay LukusaJoseph Atibu LosomaAndre Benakuau MatutalaEric Mbala KabuikuAnne W RimoinMarcel Okitotshudi NdjekaAndre Djamba Longengo

Gabriel Kandolo KatotoJoseph Lowendo IwokoPierre Wongodi OkengeCosmas Kalonda TambweJean Jaques Muyembe TamfumStomy Karhemere bin ShamambaRobert Shongo LushimaEddy Kambale Antoinette Tschefu

Gabon Country Coordinator – Melanie CaronEric LeroyNadine N DilimabakaNadia Wauquier

Virginie RougeronGilda GrardMathieu Bourgarel

Republic of Congo Country Coordinators – Kenneth Cameron and Patricia ReedRomain Bagamboula MpassiJean IkolakououRock Aimé NinaRoger Cyriaque MalongChristophe Mbou

Joseph Henri ParraJean-Vivien MombouliAlain OndzieWivine Mouellet

Rwanda Country Coordinator – Julius NzizaOlivier NsengimanaTheresa Umuhoza

Jan RamerSchadrack Niyonzima

Tanzania Country Coordinator – Rudovick KazwalaZikankuba SijaliZena BabuRuth MagangaMuhiddin SaleheAmani ZachariaAngel Edward

Alphonce MsigwaJoseph MalakalingaNeema BenedictErasto KatowoMwokozi MwanzalilaElizabeth VanWormer

Uganda Country Coordinator – Benard SsebideSylivia NakimeraRachael MbabaziAbdulhameed KatareggaDenis ByarugabaRicky Okwir Okello

Bernard ErimaRaymond MayanjaTitus TugumeAgnes Tumushab

354 USAID PREDICT

ASIA

Regional Leads: Jonathan Epstein (EHA), Corina Monagin (MB), and David Wolking (UCD)

Bangladesh Country Coordinator – Ariful IslamZiaur RahmanSteve LubyEmily GurleyAndrea Mikolon

Najmul HaiderTapan Kumar DeyMahmudur Rahman

China Country Coordinator – Shuyi ZhangZhengli ShiChangwen KeGuangjian ZhuBei LiBen HuJian YangLibiao ZhangXinglou WangXingyi GeZhangWeiJinping ChenXinwen Chen

Xinglou YangTianhou WangYunzhi ZhangFan WuWenjun MaMingfang GuoNeal LiangNicole LiCarmen ChenDe Wu Lina YiChia-Yi Hou

Nepal Country Coordinator – Dibesh KarmacharyaManisha BistaPriya JoshiSulonchana ManandharSantosh PanthiJivan Shakya Govind ShahBishwo Shrestha Tarka Bhatt Pratikshya Adhikari

Rajesh RajbhandariShanti Maharjan Dhirendra Shahi Ajay Sharma Adarsh Sherchan Ankita PoudelKshitiz Shrestha Narayan Lamichhane

REDUCING PANDEMIC RISK, PROMOTING GLOBAL HEALTH 355

SOUTHEAST ASIA

Regional Leads: Jonathan Epstein (EHA), Kevin Olival (EHA), Damien Joly (WCS), and Amanda Fine (WCS)

Cambodia Country Coordinator – Lucy KeattsSokha Chea Ross SinclairVeasna DoungAudrey LacroixSan SornOmaliss KeoPriscilla JoynerKimashalen Chor Samban Chea Simorn Phon Samath In

Philippe BuchyVincent DeubelPaul HorwoodDavun HollSophea LimTheary RenChamnan HongTouch SokSeng MomAngela Yang

Indonesia Country Coordinator – Joko PamungkasDiah IskandriatiRachmitasari NovianaUus SaepulohWahyu SudrajatRahayu SulistinMeis Jacinta NangoyTieltje Andretha RansalelehIndiyah WahyuniSafriyanto DakoPudjiatmokoBambang Dahono AjiTjandra Yoga AditamaDodi Safari

Wirda DamanikAgeng WiyatnoKhin Saw Aye MyintHerawati SudoyoSangkot MarzukiUngke AntonjayaAmin SoebandrioI Made ArtikaDin SyafruddinR Tedjo SasmonoBachti AlisjahbanaChairin Nisa Mar’oef

Lao PDR Country Coordinator – Zoe GreatorexSoubanh SilithammavongKongsy KhammavongSinpakone SinghalathWatthana TheppangnaAudrey LacroixVeasna DuongTroy HanselBounlay Phommasack

Sithong PipakkhavonBounlom DouangngeunPhetlamphone MeeduangchanhChanhthalom SouthammavongKhamkhoun SoundaraSengchai PhonthasiPhilippe Buchy

356 USAID PREDICT

Malaysia Country Coordinator – Tom HughesMei-Ho LeeJimmy Lee Datuk Abd. Aziz JamaluddinDato’ Mohd Zairi Bin Hj SerlanRamlan bin MohammadMuhamed Syamsul Naim Bin. Noorazmi Yeoh No Na Misliah binti Mohammad BasirSiva ElagupillayFrankie Thomas SitamJeffrine Rovie Ryan JapningMohamad Taufik IsmailHamdon Bin TakAzroie Bin DenelCharles KeliangMohammad Faizul Bin NasriEmilia Emilly JoenehRosedan Bin Mat AmiChe Ku Mohd Zamzuri Bin Chik Wan Ab RahmanAbd Rahman Bin Mat YunusAdnan Ismail HashimKhairul Azman Bin AbdullahFirdaus Ariff Bin Abdul RazakNorazlinda Binti A RazakLokman Hakim SulaimanChong Chee KheongKhebir VerasahibNoor Suhaila Binti Samsi

Ong Chia ChingHusna Maizura Ahmad MahirAbdul Rasid KasrNorizah Binti IsmailYu Kie ChemMohd Asri Yamin MasriJum Rafiah Abd SukorSen NathanSymphorosa SipangkuiDiana RamirezAndrew GinsosRay MadiusRuhaizam Bin RuslanAzrey Bin KamariMarcelleno Bin AnikTinju George FrancisVi Siva Pirasath Benoit GossensMilena Salgado LynnSamsir Bin LaimunBaharudin RasakeDanica StarkTimothy WilliamMaria SuleimanTam Jenn Zhueng Lanash ThandaAlice MathewDorothy Lim

Thailand Country Coordinator – Supaporn WacharapluesadeeThiravat HemachudhaPrateep DuengkaePattarapol Maneeorn Henry WildeThongchai Kaewpom

Nuntaporn SittidetboripatSangchai YingsakmongkonMongkol SafoowongBudsabong Kanchanasaka

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Vietnam Country Coordinators – Leanne Clark and Amanda FineNguyen Thi Thanh NgaNguyen Van LongScott RobertonNgo Thanh LongLe Tin Vinh QuangVan Dang KyNguyen TungNguyen Thi LanNguyen Thi Hoa

Nguyen Thanh PhuongPham Phong VuPham Thanh LongNguyen Thu ThuyDo Huu DungNguyen Xuan TrachTrinh Dinh ThauNguyen Huu NamDao Le Anh

LATIN AMERICA

Regional Leads: Marcela Uhart (WCS then UCD), Alberto Perez (WCS), and Melinda Rostal (EHA)

Bolivia Country Coordinator – Erika AlandiaLuis F AguirreM Isabel MoyaVolga IñíguezIsabel GalarzaEduardo AguirreBladimir Colquillo AysallanqueM Raquel GaleónOswaldo PalabralAdalid AlfaroAlvaro MonasteriosRosemberg HurtadoClara Soruco

Yoko CorzonIngrid MolinaPaola LunaFabiola SuárezJosé Luis MollericonaRolando LimachiRosario BarradasLilian PainterVolga IñíguezRosario RiveraRobert Wallace

Peru Country Coordinator – Patricia MendozaNancy CaveroCarlos ZariquieyJaneth OjedaManuel CéspedesWilliam Valderrama Mariana MontoyaJoel MontgomeryBruno GhersiPedro MayorYovana MurilloMicaela De La PuenteCarlos CalvoCinthya Rynaby

Miguel SebastiánYohani IbáñezJosé Carlos LeyvaSamuel PérezMariana VareseAmanda GarcíaJuan Carlos CórdovaSandra VillarLuis BárcenaJohn CalderónSadith ArévaloVerónica Landa

358 USAID PREDICT

Jorge GómezMarieke RosenbaumDaniel BauschMaría SilvaWilly Lescano

Matt KasperMaría BernalRina MezaKaren SegoviaJudith Lozano

Mexico Country Coordinators – Rodrigo Medellín and Gerardo Suzán Oscar RicoRafael OjedaJesús Sotomayor

Arturo GuerreroLeopoldo Aguilar FaisalAna Ibarra

Brazil Country Coordinator – Mónica Romero SolorioAlessandra NavaEdison DurigonAngélica de Almeida CamposMarcelo GordoJanzen AraujoRafael KautzmannGabriel Méndes

Adria López-BaucellsFlavia MirandaCatia Dejuste de PaulaFabio RoheKarl DidierJean Boubli

Colombia Victoria PereiraFernando NassarPadu Franco

Luz Dary Acevedo Nestor Roncancio

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PREDICT TECHNICAL ADVISORY COMMITTEEExternal guidance was provided to the PREDICT Team by an expert Technical Advisory Committee. In addition to assessing PREDICT progress, this group of distinguished scientists reviewed activities and plans and advised on priorities, strategic focus, and broader partner collaboration.

• James Hughes, Professor, Emory School of Public Health and former Director US CDC’s National Center for Infectious Diseases

• Pierre Formenty, World Health Organization focal point and coordinator for Zoonotic Diseases and senior staff member of GOARN

• Mo D. Salman, Professor, Colorado State University College of Veterinary Medicine, extensive experience with building animal health epidemiology programs in severely challenged countries

• C.J. Peters, Professor, University of Texas Medical Branch, formerly of US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases and Chief of CDC’s Special Pathogen Unit

• Lonnie King, Dean, College of Veterinary Medicine, The Ohio State University, formerly Director of CDC’s National Center for Zoonotic, Vector-Borne, and Enteric Diseases and previous Administrator USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service

• James Childs, Senior Research Scientist, Yale University, formerly Chief of CDC’s Viral and Rickettsial Zoonoses branch and one of the world’s experts on bat-borne and rodent-borne diseases

• Donald Burke, Dean, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, formerly of John Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and US Walter Reed Army Institute of Research