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Energy Market Access: New Market Realities of the Natural Gas Landscape The International Economic Forum of the Americas

Energy Market Access: New Market Realities of the Natural Gas Landscape

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Energy Market Access: New Market Realities of the Natural Gas Landscape. The International Economic Forum of the Americas. Current Energy Mix in Japan. Renewable etc . Oil. LNG. Coal. Nuclear. Source : METI. Different Pricing for Each Market. Source : METI. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Energy Market Access: New Market Realities of the Natural Gas Landscape

The International Economic Forum of the Americas

Page 2: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

Current Energy Mix in Japan

Renewableetc.

Oil

LNG

Coal

Nuclear

Source : METI

Page 3: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

Different Pricing for Each Market

Source : METI

Page 4: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

Fuel Import Cost Heavily Impacts Japanese Economy

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30Trade balanceCurrent account balance

Trade deficit (2013) 11.5 Trillion yen

( trillion yen )Changes in trade balance and current account balance

( trillion yen )

Source : METI

Page 5: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

LNG Supply/Demand Outlook (Japan)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20300

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95mtpa

Existing Project(Extension or not)

New Project(Contracted)

Existing Project(Contracted)

Demand

Supply

Source : Mitsui’s Estimate

Page 6: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

LNG Supply/Demand Outlook ( Worldwide )

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

WoodMackenzie(参考 )

Operational

Under Construction

Possible

Firm

Potential

WM demand estimate( Reference )

( mtpa )

Source : Wood Mackenzie

Page 7: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

Major global gas trade flows in future

Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2012

Canada

Page 8: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

Canadian LNG – Expectations and Advantage

6,200km

14,800km

Voyage to Japan

Sakhalin 3 days

Alaska 9 days

NWS (Australia) 10 days

Western Canada 10 days

Qatar 14 days

Mozambique 20 days

US Gulf Coast 26 days

< Expectations from potential Japanese buyers >

Price Competitiveness

Flexibility of pricing formula

Diversification of LNG supply source

< Advantages >

Significant gas reserves

Strong governmental support

Proximity to Japan

Free from Panama Canal passage

e.g. ) Pricing Formula / US Sabine Pass & Corpus Christi

LNG Price (US$/mmbtu) 115% of Henry Hub + FF

Fixed Fee (FF) (US$/mmbtu) 2.25 - 3.50

Contract Term 20 years

Canada

Page 9: Energy Market Access:     New  Market Realities    of  the Natural Gas Landscape

Copyright MITSUI & CO., LTD. All rights reserved.

Mitsui’s Oil and Gas Business - Gas Value Chain -

Exploration& Production

Liquefaction TransportationLNG

Receiving Terminal

DistributionPower Generation

&Gas Chemical

■ Sakhalin-II/Russia■ ADGAS/Abu-Dabi■ Qatargas1&3/Qatar■ Oman & Qalhat LNG

  /Oman■ NWS/Australia■ Equatorial Guinea■ Tangguh/Indonesia

■ Equity Investment Project (or tanker owned by Mitsui) ● EPC/finance

Blocks in■ Australia■ New Zealand■ Thailand■ Cambodia■ Vietnam■ Indonesia■ Oman■ UAE■ Qatar■ Russia■ Libya■ Mozambique■ Poland■ USA (Shale) ■ Canada■ UK■ Italy, etc

■ Qatargas/1 vessel■ RasgasⅡ Ⅲ ・  /9 vessels■ Snohvit/2 vessels■ CPC/4 vessels■ Angola LNG  /4 vessels■ Kyushu Electric Power   /1 vessel■ Spot LNG fleet   /4 vessels (total 25 vessels)

■ MT Falcon,Valladolid/   Mexico■ Saltend/UK■ Eco Electrica/Puerto Rico■ Ontario/Canada

■Malhas PL/Brazil● Blue Stream/Russia● Cabiunas/Brazil■Mitsui Gas (LDC)/ Brazil

■ Manzanillo/Mexico■ Montoir/France (Capacity Usage)

■ International Methanol   Company/Saudi Arabia

■ Celanese Methanol / USA■ Kaltim Pasifik Amoniak/   Indonesia

Gas Power Generation

Gas Chemical