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Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries Ali Hakimian, Jacqueline Isaacs, Thomas Cullinane Sagar Kamarthi, and K.M. Abraham Santa Barbara, CA Nov 4, 2013 SNM-1120329 EEC-0832785

Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

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Page 1: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of

MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Ali Hakimian, Jacqueline Isaacs, Thomas Cullinane

Sagar Kamarthi, and K.M. Abraham

Santa Barbara, CANov 4, 2013

SNM-1120329

EEC-0832785

Page 2: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Outline

Introduction to Li-based batteries and markets

Manufacturing processes for CNT lithium-ion batteries

Economic assessment using process-based cost modeling

Results and sensitivity analyses

Summary

2

Page 3: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Lithium-Based Batteries

3

Lithium’s propertieso Lightest of all metals

o Provides largest specific

energy per weight

Li-ion batteries typeso Lithium cobalt oxide

o Lithium manganese oxide

o Lithium iron phosphate

New Li-ion batterieso Cathode: MWCNT + LiMnO

o Anode: graphite

Applicationso Laptops

o Cell phones

o Satellites

Lithium-ion cell / battery part Material Used

Anode active material Graphite

Anode substrate Copper

Cathode active material MWCNT + LiMnO

Cathode substrate Aluminum

Separator Polyethylene

Electrolyte solvent Organic carbonate &

lithium salt

Cell Configurations of CNT LiMnO Battery

This work investigates MWCNT- Lithium Manganese Oxide Batteries

The main application is satellites

Page 4: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Global Markets for Lithium-Ion Batteries

Market 2004 2008 2009 2014

Portable products

Computing 2200 2300 2200 2550

Communications 3450 4516 4245 4415

Tools 15 30 40 125

Other potable 530 730 650 620

Medical 65 150 160 185

Stationary applications

UPS 50 5 5 50

Military/ aerospace 70 180 180 200

Automotive and motive power

Industrial EV - - 5 6

EV and HEV - 15 18 450

Automotive - 2 2 40

Total 6380 7927 7505 8641

Global Projected Lithium-ion Batteries Market- $ millions

Source: BCC Research, Wellesley, MA USA Web: www.bccresearch.com

Lithium-ion batteries market

o 2004: $6.4 billion

o 2014: $8.6 billion

4

Page 5: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Global Production Capacity for CNTs

31413993

5197

6901

9258

12806y = 2294.9e0.281x

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

CN

Ts

Pro

du

cti

on

Cap

ac

ity (

in M

T)

Year

5

Source: http://www.nanowerk.com/spotlight/spotid=23118.php

Production capacity

forecast (2014-2016) of

CNTs global market

shown

Significant CNTs market

share expected for

plastic composites,

electronics then energy

Page 6: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Benefits of CNTs in Li BatteriesProperty improvements with CNTs in Li-ion cells

o Increased electron and ion conductivity

o Greater battery efficiency and capacity

6

Cell Parameters LiMnO cell MWCNT LiMnO Cell % Cell Improved

Anode active material Graphite Graphite

Anode substrate Copper Copper

Cathode material LiMnO MWCNT LiMnO

Cathode substrate Aluminum Aluminum

Separator Polyethylene Polyethylene

Electrolyte solventOrganic carbonate &

lithium salt

Organic carbnate &

lithium salt

Nominal capacity 25 Ah 30 Ah

Dimensions95 mm w *140 mm ht * 28

mm thick

95 mm w *140 mm ht * 28

mm thick

Nominal weight 0.908 kg 0.908 kg

Cell type Prismatic Prismatic

Energy density 105 Wh/kg 125 Wh/kg

Power density 250 W/kg 2500 W/kg

20%

20%

900%

Page 7: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

CNT Lithium-Ion Battery Life Cycle

Use

Device

Fabrication

Material Extraction

and Processing

End-of-Life (EOL)

Environment: air,

water, land

resources

7

Page 8: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Process Flow Chart for LiMnO Battery

Mixing

Coating & Drying

Calendaring

Cutting

Assembly

Filling

Sealing

NMP *

Anode AM

Cathode AM

Carbon black

PVDF *

Al sheet

Cu sheet

Separator

Electrolyte

Forming & Testing

Clean Room

Environment

* NMP: N-Methyl-2-pyrrolidone)

PVDF: Polyvinylidene fluoride

Final Assembly (Battery Pack)8

Without CNTs

Page 9: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Proposed Process Flow for MWCNT LiMnO Battery

Mixing

Coating & Drying

Calendaring

Cutting

Assembly

Filling

Sealing

Forming & Testing

NMP

Anode Am

Cathode AM

Carbon Black

PVDF

Al Sheet

Cu Sheet

Separator

Electrolyte

High Protection

Environment

Desired

Clean Room

Environment

MWCNT

Final Assembly (Battery Pack)

9

Page 10: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Detailed Process Showing Scrap Generation

Positive active

material

LiMnO

MWCNT

Conductive

diluent

Carbon black

Binder

PVDF

NMP

Negative active

material

Graphite

Binder

PVDF

NMP

Mixing

Coating

Drying

Calendaring

Slitting

Mixing

Coating

Drying

Calendaring

Slitting

Aluminum foil Copper foil

Winding

Insert separator

Bottom welding

Wetting

Sealing&welding

Forming&testing

Separator

Case

Electrolyte

Scrap Scrap

Scrap

Defective cells

Final assembly Scrap

10

Page 11: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Models for Process-Based Cost Analysis

Customized models constructed to track variable and

fixed costs for manufacturing processes

Detailed cost assessment for manufacturing costs

Ability to explore effect of input parameters on costs

11

Page 12: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Four Scenarios Explored for Worker Safety Four different environmental health and safety (EHS) scenarios

explored in manufacturing process

o Base case

o Low EHS protection

o Medium EHS protection

o High EHS protection

Different levels of personal protection equipment (PPE)o Gloves

o Gowns

o Respirators

Different ventilation systems

o General exhaust ventilation (GEV)

o Local exhaust ventilation (LEV)• Blower

• Ductwork

• Hood

• Filter

o Clean room ventilation: calculation for air change method

CFM = [Space volume (cu.ft) * air change rate (AC p/hr) ] /60

12

8-h TWA Recommended Exposure

Limit for CNTs = 1 µg/m3 in 2013

Page 13: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Low EHS vs. High EHS Practices

13

EHS Standards Options Low High

Ventilation

1- General exhaust ventilation (GEV) X X

2- Local exhaust ventilation (LEV) Xa. Blower Xb. Ductwork Xc. Hood Xd. Filter X

Personal protection equipment

1- Latex gloves X2- Nitrile gloves X3- Disposable respirators X4- Respirators with HEPA filters X5- Tyvek suits X X

Administrative Controls

1- Air monitoring equipment X X

Page 14: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

CNT LiMnO Battery Manufacturing Assumptions

CNT LiMnO battery contains 5 modules

each with 20 cells

Production volumeo Total production volume = 160,000 cells/yr

or 1600 battery/yr

o 1-2 workers per line (automated facility)

Cycle timeo One cell without forming step: 0.0125 hrs

o One cell with forming step: (48) hrs

Process line and machine numberso Adjusted to desired production volume

Dedicated and non-dedicated machines

10% defect rate

14

Operation data estimating the cost

of CNT LiMnO battery

Battery production volume 1600 Battery/year

Production volume 160000 Cells/year

Total production volume 174989 Cells/year

Process yield 90% %

Final assembly yield 98% %

Hours per day 8 hrs

Scheduled downtime 0.5 hrs

Interest rate 10%

Building life 30 years

Days per Year 250 days

Energy cost 0.15 $/KWh

Labor cost 25 $/hr

indirect labor rate 20 $/hr

% Indirect labor added on 15% %

Auxiliary equipment rate 10% %

Installation equipment rate 2% %

Tools rate 25% %

Fixed overhead rate 40% %

Maintenance Rate 5% %

Machine dedicated 0

Building cost 73 $/sq. ft

Total Time per year 1875 hrs

Process yield

Energy cost

Labor cost

Page 15: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Input Parameters for Cost Model

CNT Li-ion Cell

ParametersInput Information

Anode active material Graphite

Anode substrate Copper

Cathode active material CNT LiMnO

Cathode substrate Aluminum

Separator Polyethylene

Electrolyte solventOrganic carbonate &

lithium salt

Nominal capacity 25 Ah

Dimensions95 mm w *140 mm ht *

28 mm thick

Nominal weight 0.908 kg

Cell type Prismatic

Life cycle > 800 cycles

Specific energy 105 Wh/kg

CNT Li-ion Battery

(100 cells)

% of

Battery

weight

Anode 14.7%

Anode current collector 2.5%

Cathode 22.1%

Cathode current collector 1.0%

Electrolyte 10.4%

Separator 15.0%

Cell container 1.6%

Module container 10.1%

Pack container and BMS 36.4%

15

Page 16: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Economic Credits for Recycling Scrap

Cathode

production

Anode

production

Electrode

assembly

CNT

lithium-ion

cell

{95% conversion,

5% scrap}

{95% yield}

{95% conversion,

5% scrap}

{90% yield}

Battery

module &

pack

assembly

{98% yield}

Battery Scrap Generated for Each Process Step

Cathode scrap / cell

LiMnO

Aluminum sheet

Carbon black

MWCNT

NMP

Anode scrap / cell

Carbon (graphite)

Copper sheet

NMP

Assembly scrap / cell

LiMnO

Total aluminum

Total Carbon (graphite)

Copper

Separator

MWCNT

NMP

CNT Li-ion cell scrap

LiMnO

Total aluminum

Total carbon (graphite)

Copper

Separator

Electrolyte

MWCNT

Battery assembly scrap

Total aluminum

Total copper Total steel

16

Page 17: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Base Case Cost Results:

CNT LiMnO Battery Manufacturing

17

Variable Costs $/Year $/Battery Percent

Raw Material $ 6,610,996 $4,131 25.22%

Labor $ 6,348,739 $3,967 24.22%

Energy $ 8,907,283 $5,567 33.98%

Total Variable Cost $20,998,924 $13,124 83.41%

Fixed Costs $/Year $/Battery Percent Investment

Main Machine Cost $1,702,012 $1,063 6.49% $7,290,930,999.

Auxiliary Equipment $170,201 $107 0.65% 0

Installation Cost $34,040 $21 0.13% 0

Tools $425,503 $266 1.62% 0

Building Cost $41,506 $26 0.16% $354,780

Fixed Overhead $1,891,906 $1182 7.22% 0

Maintenance Cost $85,100 $54 0.32% 0

Total Fixed Cost $4,350,270 $2,718 16.59% $7,291,285,779

Total Cost $26,216,291 $16,385 100.0%

Total Cost - Scrap Revenue $26,072,882 $16,296

Page 18: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Base Case: Cost Break Downs

Material 25.2%

Labor 24.2%

Energy 34.0%

Main Machine

Cost 6.5%

Auxiliary Equipment

0.6%

Installation Cost0.1% Tools

1.6%

Building0.2%

Fixed Overhead

7.2%

Maintenance Cost0.3%

Mixing19.0%

Coating & Baking6.0% Calendaring

1.9%

Cutting0.2%

Cell Assembly

0.9%

Filling2.6%

Sealing0.1%

Forming & Testing

66.0%

Battery Pack Assembly

3.3%

18

CNT Lithium-Ion Battery Variable&

Fixed Cost DivisionCNT Lithium-Ion Battery Production

Steps Cost Division

Page 19: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Sensitivity Analysis Shows Cost Drivers

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

MWCNT cost

Process yield (cell inspection)

%C

ha

ng

e o

f C

os

t Cycle time(forming step)

Base Case

% Change

Labor cost

Electricity cost

Electricity cost, highest impact on total cost, followed by cycle time of forming

Process yield (cell inspection), only parameter with negative slope

19

Page 20: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Cost Results with the Stochastic Parameters

Process yield Triangular distribution

(80%, 90%,100%)

Energy cost Normal distribution

(0.15, 0.01)

Labor cost Triangular distribution

(20,25,30)

Cost of MWCNT Normal distribution

(5000,500)

Cycle time (forming step) Triangular distribution

(24,48,72)

Develop a simulation model

Generate numbers for the stochastic

parameters (1000 iterations)

Calculate the cost range of the CNT battery

Safety Scenarios $/Battery

No EHS [$20,370 , $13,144]

Low EHS [$20,499 , $13,330]

Medium EHS [$20,547 , $13,378]

High EHS [$20,690 , $13,419]

20

Page 21: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Summary Process-based cost models techniques implemented to scale-up

MWCNT LiMnO battery fabrication

Model cost outputs verified with related mfg producer

Costs calculated for each process step CNT LiMnO battery

Variables costs : material cost, energy cost, and labor cost

Fixed costs such as: machine cost, building cost, and maintenance cost

Process-based cost modeling techniques can be applied to manufacturing of

any other devices or materials

A Monte Carlo simulation model developed and random numbers for the

stochastic parameters generated to calculate the range of total cost for

different EHS levels

This model created to analyze the economic aspect of satellite batteries. It

can be applied to any batteries for any purposes like cars

21

Page 22: Economic Analysis of Manufacturing of MWCNT Lithium-Ion Batteries

Questions or Comments

22

Ali Hakimian

[email protected]

Funding from:

EEC-0832785

SNM-1120329