Demography Analysis

8/12/2019 Demography Analysis

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CHAPTER III

DEMOGRAPHY

I. POPULATION NUMBER AND POPULATION GROWTH

Based on the scoring method, the urban area of Kudus covers Kudus City

District, to vi!!ages in Ka!iungu Disrict "Ba#a!an Kra$ya# and Prambatan Kidu!%

and one vi!!age in &ati District "P!oso%' The tota! coverage area of Kudus (rban area

is )*'* #m+' The tota! $o$u!ation in this area for -) is )).,/0-' The biggest

contributor vi!!age for this is Purosari vi!!age that is accounted for 1'/2 of the

tota! $o$u!ation, fo!!oed by 3ingocandi ith 4'*2'

Total Number of Populatio of !u"u# Urba Area i $%&$

No VillageThe Number of Population Percentage

Males Females Total (%)

1 Purwosari 4,590 4,794 9,384 8.26

2 Janggalan 1,261 1,231 2,492 2.19

3 Demangan 916 973 1,889 1.66

4 Sunggingan 2,917 3,086 6,003 5.28

5 Panjunan 1,437 1,634 3,071 2.70

6 Wergu ulon 1,442 1,651 3,093 2.72

7 Wergu We!an 2,354 2,524 4,878 4.29

8 "la!i i#ul 1,978 2,198 4,176 3.67

9 "la!i $orowi!o 2,601 2,740 5,341 4.70

10 "la!i %or 2,165 2,324 4,489 3.95

11 $gangu& 1,242 1,368 2,610 2.30

12 rama! 1,472 1,566 3,038 2.67

13 Demaan 2,383 2,488 4,871 4.29

14 %anggar Dalem 1,240 1,040 2,280 2.01

15 auman 145 173 318 0.28

16 Damaran 656 829 1,485 1.31

17 erjasan 532 546 1,078 0.95

18 aje&san 1,843 1,886 3,729 3.28

19 ran#on 2,136 2,085 4,221 3.71

20 Singo'an#i 4,011 4,215 8,226 7.24

21 (lan!engan 829 870 1,699 1.49

22 )arongan 1,370 1,636 3,006 2.64

23 ali*u!u 1,553 1,546 3,099 2.73

24 )uri&an 1,351 1,418 2,769 2.44

25 +en#eng 2,454 2,563 5,017 4.41

26 Ploso 3,422 3,876 7,298 6.42



No VillageThe Number of Population Percentage

Males Females Total (%)

27 Prama!an i#ul 3,529 3,760 7,289 6.41

28 )a&alan ra*-a& 3,428 3,373 6,801 5.98

Total 55,257 58,393 113,650 100

Kudus urban area $o$u!ation in -) increased at about -,-)2 com$ared to -)),

from ))),-45 to )).,/0-'

Total I'abitat# of !u"u# Urba Area

No VillageTotal Number of Population

2003 2004 200 200! 200" 200# 200$ 200 20 202

1 Purwosari 8,151 8,160 8,151 8,074 7,968 7,929 8,110 8,116 8,068 9,384

2 Janggalan 2,580 2,570 2,512 2,490 2,510 2,507 2,510 2,510 2,475 2,492

3 Demangan 1,897 1,916 1,850 1,822 1,814 1,845 1,834 1,848 1,864 1,889

4 Sunggingan 5,677 5,701 5,659 5,647 5,627 5,590 5,594 5,614 5,622 6,003

5 Panjunan 3,798 3,815 3,805 3,782 3,790 3,738 3,691 3,680 3,642 3,071

6 Wergu ulon 3,646 3,665 3,650 3,642 3,618 3,561 3,494 3,389 3,323 3,093

7 Wergu We!an 5,242 5,252 5,220 5,223 5,229 5,208 5,146 5,087 5,044 4,878

8 "la!i i#ul 4,045 4,038 3,991 3,933 3,888 3,924 3,951 3,955 4,005 4,176

9 "la!i $orowi!o 5,276 5,308 5,396 5,505 5,475 5,467 5,522 5,554 5,512 5,341

10 "la!i %or 4,831 4,785 4,747 4,780 4,787 4,754 4,684 4,653 4,641 4,489

11 $gangu& 2,635 2,555 2,509 2,482 2,478 2,466 2,423 2,410 2,400 2,610

12 rama! 3,631 3,593 3,502 3,478 3,451 3,406 3,408 3,379 3,381 3,038

13 Demaan 5,212 5,206 5,117 5,125 5,014 4,959 4,917 4,876 4,870 4,871

14 %anggar Dalem 2,515 2,532 2,530 2,559 2,579 2,605 2,624 2,637 2,636 2,280

15 auman 341 342 343 350 356 361 364 370 371 318

16 Damaran 1,361 1,375 1,396 1,414 1,395 1,376 1,381 1,411 1,399 1,485

17 erjasan 1,177 1,178 1,173 1,172 1,188 1,187 1,213 1,215 1,201 1,078

18 aje&san 3,443 3,462 3,488 3,534 3,560 3,581 3,563 3,598 3,578 3,729

19 ran#on 3,191 3,200 3,272 3,323 3,324 3,332 3,332 3,355 3,367 4,221

20 Singo'an#i 6,606 6,653 6,793 6,883 6,991 7,126 7,253 7,457 7,557 8,226

21 (lan!engan 1,602 1,592 1,503 1,496 1,436 1,402 1,401 1,358 1,349 1,699

22 )arongan 3,532 3,575 3,561 3,522 3,512 3,503 3,470 3,454 3,439 3,006

23 ali*u!u 3,208 3,215 3,207 3,199 3,227 3,192 3,211 3,220 3,219 3,099

24 )uri&an 2,889 2,885 3,006 3,047 3,045 3,059 3,093 3,042 3,024 2,76925 +en#eng 5,372 5,394 5,250 5,274 5,326 5,320 5,337 5,301 5,292 5,017

26 Ploso 6,579 6,565 6,668 6,774 6,804 6,871 6,880 6,868 6,926 7,298

27 Prama!an i#ul 6,726 5,976 6,775 6,824 6,829 6,850 6,872 6,907 6,985 7,289

28 )a&alan ra*-a& 5,404 5,629 5,570 5,677 5,757 5,859 5,933 5,977 5,985 6,801

T&T' 110,56

7

110,13

6

110,64

4

111,03

2

110,97

8

110,97

8

111,21

1

111,24

1

111,17

5

113,650



6rom the gra$h be!o e can see that 7enera!!y, Kudus (rban Area $o$u!ation is

8uite f!uctuative for the $ast )- years' It ent don in --.9--* and rose

gradua!!y unti! --/' 6rom that year on unti! --1 it remained constant'

6urthermore, in --5 it increased for about .. $eo$!e and re!ative!y stab!e unti!

-)-' Hoever beteen -)-9-)) it decreased s!ight!y to ))),)40 but soared high

to )).,/0- in -)'

Populatio Gro(t' i !u"u# Urba Area

Gro(t' Rate of !u"u# Urba Area

No VillagePopulation ro*th (%)

200" 200# 200$ 200 20 202 '+erage

Purwosari 1.32 0.49 2.28 0.07 0.59 0.49 -0.09

2 Janggalan 0.80 0.12 0.12 0.00 1.41 0.16 -0.08

3 Demangan 0.44 1.69 0.60 0.76 0.85 0.43 0.31

4 Sunggingan 0.35 0.66 0.07 0.36 0.14 0.25 -0.11

5 Panjunan 0.21 1.38 1.26 0.30 1.04 0.72 -0.75

6 Wergu ulon 0.66 1.59 1.90 3.05 1.96 1.53 -1.78

7 Wergu We!an 0.11 0.40 1.19 1.16 0.85 0.65 -0.69

8 "la!i i#ul 1.15 0.92 0.68 0.10 1.26 0.55 0.21

9 "la!i $orowi!o 0.55 0.15 1.01 0.58 0.76 0.53 0.11

10 "la!i %or 0.15 0.69 1.49 0.67 0.26 0.42 -0.56

11 $gangu& 0.16 0.49 1.75 0.54 0.42 0.92 -0.71

12 rama! 0.78 1.31 0.06 0.86 0.06 2.24 -0.84



No VillagePopulation ro*th (%)

200" 200# 200$ 200 20 202 '+erage

13 Demaan 2.17 1.10 0.85 0.84 0.12 1.64 -1.12

14 %anggar Dalem 0.78 1.01 0.73 0.49 0.04 1.11 0.68

15 auman 1.71 1.40 0.82 1.65 0.27 3.76 0.35

16 Damaran 1.36 1.37 0.36 2.13 0.86 0.00 -0.18

17 erjasan 1.35 0.08 2.14 0.17 1.16 0.74 0.28

18 aje&san 0.74 0.59 0.51 0.98 0.56 0.54 0.30

19 ran#on 0.03 0.24 0.00 0.69 0.36 0.81 0.35

20 Singo'an#i 1.56 1.91 1.76 2.77 1.33 0.80 1.69

21 (lan!engan 4.13 2.37 0.07 3.11 0.66 0.35 -1.78

22 )arongan 0.28 0.26 0.94 0.46 0.44 0.20 -0.43

23 ali*u!u 0.87 1.09 0.59 0.28 0.03 0.16 0.13

24 )uri&an 0.07 0.46 1.10 1.67 0.59 0.80 0.01

25 +en#eng 1.35 0.11 0.32 0.68 0.17 0.14 0.09

26 Ploso 0.99 0.98 0.13 0.17 0.85 0.12 0.4427 Prama!an i#ul 0.07 0.31 0.32 0.51 1.12 0.21 0.42

28 )a&alan

ra*-a&

1.40 1.76 1.25 0.74 0.13 1.86 1.19

'+erage 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.04

Based on groth rate average $ercentage, Kudus (rban Area is categori:ed in s!o

$o$u!ation groth because it is !ess than )2' It as because most of the vi!!ages

groth rate ere !ess than )2'

II. POPULATION )OMPO*ITIONA. Populatio )ompo#itio b+ Ge"er

Po$u!ation com$osition by gender can be defined as the $ercentage of se; ratio

beteen men and omen' This data can be used to $redict the form of human

resources re!ated to occu$ation, res$onsibi!ity, and educationa! and training

deve!o$ment suitab!e to the $otency and abi!ity of the $o$u!ation'

3e; ratio in Kudus City in -) can be ca!cu!ated by using the formu!a<

3e; Ratio =

=



3e; Ratio = 5*'/.

Populatio )ompo#itio B+ Ge"er

No VillageTotal Number of Population in 202

Male Female Total ,e- .atio

1 Purwosari 4,590 4,794 9,384 95.74

2 Janggalan 1,261 1,231 2,492 102.44

3 Demangan 916 973 1,889 94.14

4 Sunggingan 2,917 3,086 6,003 94.52

5 Panjunan 1,437 1,634 3,071 87.94

6 Wergu ulon 1,442 1,651 3,093 87.34

7 Wergu We!an 2,354 2,524 4,878 93.26

8 "la!i i#ul 1,978 2,198 4,176 89.99

9 "la!i $orowi!o 2,601 2,740 5,341 94.93

10 "la!i %or 2,165 2,324 4,489 93.16

11 $gangu& 1,242 1,368 2,610 90.79

12 rama! 1,472 1,566 3,038 94.00

13 Demaan 2,383 2,488 4,871 95.78

14 %anggar Dalem 1,240 1,040 2,280 119.23

15 auman 145 173 318 83.82

16 Damaran 656 829 1,485 79.13

17 erjasan 532 546 1,078 97.44

18 aje&san 1,843 1,886 3,729 97.72

19 ran#on 2,136 2,085 4,221 102.45

20 Singo'an#i 4,011 4,215 8,226 95.16

21 (lan!engan 829 870 1,699 95.29

22 )arongan 1,370 1,636 3,006 83.74

23 ali*u!u 1,553 1 ,546 3,099 100.45

24 )uri&an 1,351 1,418 2,769 95.28

25 +en#eng 2,454 2,563 5,017 95.7526 Ploso 3,422 3,876 7,298 88.29

27 Prama!an i#ul 3,529 3,760 7,289 93.86

28 )a&alan ra*-a& 3,428 3,373 6,801 101.63

T&T' 55,257 58,393 113,650 94.63



6rom the ratio e can see that there are more omen than men in ratio' It cou!d

mean that the ferti!ity rate of Kudus (rban Area i!! be increasing in the ne;t 09

)- years' 6urthermore, the number of birth in the ne;t )- years is $robab!y

going to increase as e!!' This se; ratio a!so indicates that ma!e $o$u!ation are

moving out from Kudus (rban Area to find a better >ob or better education

o$$ortunities'

B. Populatio )ompo#itio b+ A,e Group

Based on age grou$, the biggest number of $o$u!ation !ies in the $roductive age

-f )09/* year o!d ith tota! $o$u!ation of 41,... or /1'52 of a!! tota!

$o$u!ation' Tota! number of $o$u!ation beteen the age -f -9)* is 5,/15 or

/')2 and tota! number of $o$u!ation in the category of /0? is 0,/1 or *'502

from tota! $o$u!ation'

Populatio )ompo#itio b+ a,e ,roup

No 'ge roupTotal /nhabitants

Male Percentage Female Percentage Total Percentage

1 0-4 4,595 8.32 4,815 8.25 9,410 8.28

2 5-9 5,183 9.38 4,885 8.37 10,069 8.86

3 10-14 5,343 9.67 4,867 8.34 10,211 8.98

4 15-19 5,699 10.31 6,142 10.52 11,840 10.42

5 20-24 5,411 9.79 5,863 10.04 11,275 9.92

6 25-29 5,042 9.12 5,469 9.37 10,511 9.257 30-34 4,619 8.36 4,857 8.32 9,475 8.34

8 35-39 3,754 6.79 4,315 7.39 8,069 7.10

9 40-44 4,018 7.27 4,220 7.23 8,238 7.25

10 45-49 3,353 6.07 3,296 5.64 6,649 5.85

11 50-54 2,648 4.79 2,573 4.41 5,221 4.59

12 55-59 1,739 3.15 2,007 3.44 3,746 3.30

13 60-64 1,438 2.60 1,870 3.20 3,308 2.91

14 65-69 1,048 1.90 1,456 2.49 2,504 2.20

15 70-74 860 1.56 1,024 1.75 1,884 1.66

16 75+ 506 0.92 734 1.26 1,240 1.09

T&T' 55,25

7

100 58,393 100 113,65

0

100

6rom these figures e can ca!cu!ate the number of de$endency ratio in Kudus

(rban Area ith fo!!oing formu!a<



De$endency ratio<

=

=

= *0'-5

It means that every )--- $roductive inhabitants have to su$$ort *0 non9

$roductive $eo$!e and is c!assified as !o de$endency ratio' In addition it a!so

shos that Kudus (rban area is in the indo of o$$ortunity $eriod since the

$ercentage of young age $o$u!ation and o!d age $o$u!ation both are under .-2

and )02 res$ective!y'

There are three ty$es of $o$u!ation $yramid<

a' E;$ansive< shos !arger numbers or $ercentages of the $o$u!ation inthe younger age grou$s, usua!!y ith each age grou$ !arger in si:e or

$ro$ortion than the one born before it' It shos the ra$id $o$u!ation

groth'

b' Constrictive< dis$!ays !oer numbers or $ercentages of younger

$eo$!e' It shos that Po$u!ation groth is negative'

c' 3tationary< dis$!ay somehat e8ua! numbers or $ercentages for

a!most a!! age grou$s' 3ma!!er figures are sti!! to be e;$ected at the

o!dest age grou$s' The $o$u!ation groth is stab!e'

6rom the figure be!o e can see that Kudus (rban Area@s $o$u!ation Pyramid is

constrictive $attern' This $attern is indicated ith !oer $ercentage of youngde$endent age "-9)* years o!d% ith /')2 and e!der!y de$endent age "/0?

years o!d% ith *'502 com$ared to or#ing age ")09/* years o!d% ith /1'52'

6rom the $yramid, e can a!so ana!y:e that there are more ma!e babies are

born, hoever, once they reach the age of ear!y tenties and thirties the number

fa!!' It is $robab!y because most of the ma!e $o$u!ation in this area moves out

from K(A to find better >ob o$$ortunities e!sehere' This $attern a!so shos that

K(A@s birth rate is re!ative!y !o or stab!e hich indicates s!o groth of

$o$u!ation' 6urthermore, it indicates that K(A has high !ife e;$ectancy es$ecia!!y

for fema!e'

Populatio P+rami" !u"u# Urba Area



III. POPULATION DEN*ITY

Density ref!ects the number of inhabitant in each unit area' It can be c!assified into

gross $o$u!ation density and net $o$u!ation density' 7ross $o$u!ation density is

defined as the ratio beteen the number of inhabitants and the tota! area hi!e net

$o$u!ation density is described as a $o$u!ation of an area in com$arison ith thebui!t u$ area inside' The density of Kudus (rban area is most!y centered on Kota

District' It is because Kota District is the center of economic and governmenta!

activities, therefore it attracts so many $eo$!e to reside in this area' The highest

gross density is !ocated at Pan>unan ith )5,)5*#m+ hi!e the !oest is !ocated at

Prambatan Kidu! ith *,-5#m+' The reason Pan>unan became an area ith the

highest density is because it has sma!! area and high $o$u!ation, meanhi!e for

Prambatan #idu! because it has the idest area and !o $o$u!ation'

Gro## Populatio De#it+

Village o+erage 'rea(1m)

ensit51m2003 2004 200 200! 200" 200# 200$ 200 20 202

Purwosari 1.03 7,914 7,922 7,914 7,839 7,736 7,698 7,874 7,880 7,833 9,111

Janggalan 0.18 14,333 14,278 13,956 13,833 13,944 13,928 13,944 13,944 13,750 13,844

Demangan 0.18 10,539 10,644 10,278 10,122 10,078 10,250 10,189 10,267 10,356 10,494

Sunggingan 0.35 1,622 16,289 16,169 16,134 16,077 15,971 15,983 16,040 16,063 17,151

Panjunan 0.16 23,738 23,844 23,781 23,638 23,688 233,36

3

23,069 23,000 22,763 19,194



Villageo+erage 'rea

(1m)

ensit51m

2003 2004 200 200! 200" 200# 200$ 200 20 202

Wergu ulon 0.42 8,681 8,726 8,690 8,671 8,614 8,479 8,319 8,069 7,912 7,364

Wergu We!an 0.54 9,707 9,726 9,667 9,672 9,683 9,644 9,530 9,420 9,341 9,033

"la!i i#ul 0.47 8,606 8,591 8,491 8,368 8,272 8,349 8,406 8,415 8,521 8,885

"la!i $orowi!o 0.84 6,281 6,319 6,424 6,554 6,518 6,508 6,574 6,612 6,562 6,358

"la!i %or 0.34 14,209 14,074 13,962 14,059 14,079 13,982 13,776 13,685 13,650 13,203

$gangu& 0.27 9,759 9,463 9,293 9,193 9,178 9,133 8,974 8,926 8,889 9,667

rama! 0.28 12,968 12,832 12,507 12,421 12,325 12,164 12,171 12,068 12,075 10,850

Demaan 0.37 14,086 14,070 13,830 13,851 13,551 13,403 13,289 13,178 13,162 13,165

%anggar Dalem 0.19 13,237 13,326 13,316 13,468 13,574 13,711 13,811 13,879 13,874 12,000

auman 0.03 11,367 11,400 11,433 11,667 11,867 12,033 12,133 12,333 12,367 10,600

Damaran 0.18 7,561 7,639 7,756 7,856 7,750 7,644 7,672 7,839 7,772 8,250

erjasan 0.10 11,770 11,780 11,730 11,720 11,880 11,870 12,130 12,150 12,010 10,780

aje&san 0.28 12,296 12,364 12,457 12,621 12,714 12,789 12,725 12,850 12,779 13,318

ran#on 0.42 7,598 7,619 7,790 7,912 7,914 7,933 7,933 7,988 8,017 10,050

Singo'an#i 1.62 4,078 4,107 4,193 4,249 4,315 4,399 4,477 4,603 4,665 5,078

(lan!engan 0.15 10,680 10,613 10,020 9,973 9,573 9,347 9,340 9,053 8,993 11,327

)arongan 0.33 10,703 10,833 10,791 10,673 10,642 10,615 10,515 10,467 10,421 9,109

ali*u!u 0.54 5,941 5,954 5,939 5,924 5,976 5,911 5,946 5,963 5,961 5,739

)uri&an 0.42 6,879 6,869 7,157 7,255 7,250 7,283 7,364 7,243 7,200 6,593

+en#eng 0.78 6,887 6,915 6,731 6,762 6,828 6,821 6,842 6,796 6,785 6,432

Ploso 0.74 8,939 8,920 9,011 9,154 9,195 9,285 9,297 9,281 9,359 9,916

Prama!an i#ul 1.81 700 3,728 3,743 3,770 3,773 3,785 3,797 3,816 3,861 4,029

)a&alan ra*-a& 1.38 820 3,983 4,036 4,114 4,172 4,246 4,299 4,331 4,337 4,928

'+erage ensit 14.4 7,005 7,695 7,684 7,711 7,707 7,707 7,723 7,725 7,720 7,892

I-. THE DYNAMI) O POPULATION

A. ertilit+ Rate

6erti!ity rate is one of the factors hich inf!uences the dynamic of $o$u!ation in

Kudus (rban Area that can be measured by dividing tota! birth ith the number

of $roductive oman' 3ince there is no data on the $o$u!ation of ferti!e oman

data in every vi!!age in Kota District, in this ana!ysis e use the tota! $o$u!ation

of ferti!e omen in the ho!e district' 6rom the data e can see that Ba#a!an

Kra$ya# is the biggest contributor'

Gro## ertilit+ Rate

No6u7us 8rban 'rea Total 9irth

:oman population ;

4$ <ears ol7

ross Fertilit

.ate

1 Kota District 1,190 27,769 4.29

2 Ploso 111 2,258 4.91



3 Prambatan Kidl 92 2,180 4.22

4 !a"alan Kra#$a" 108 1,955 5.52

Total 1,501 34,162 4.39

B. Mutatio i Populatio

There are four factors that inf!uence the dynamic of $o$u!ation< birth, death,

migration and emigration' Birth and death are $ut in natura! cause category, as

for migration and emigration are $eo$!e movement from one $!ace to another

$!ace because of various !ocationa! factors' 6rom the gra$h e can see that the

biggest contributor for the $o$u!ation increase in K(A is birth' The number of

birth is sti!! bigger than death in most vi!!ages of K(A' In K(A the tota! number of

atura! 7roth Rate is 0'-1 hich mean that the number of birth is sti!! far

higher than morta!ity rate' n the other hand, $eo$!e movement factors in K(A

are a!so very dynamic' It can be seen in the gra$h that in the number of

emigration is bigger than the number of migration' Kudus urban area ett

igration rate as 90'11, it means that more $eo$!e move out from the urban

city center than move in' The $henomenon, hoever, is more a$$arent among

vi!!ages in Kudus Kota District than . additiona! vi!!ages "P!oso, Ba#a!an

Kra$aya#, Prambatan Kidu!%' In fact, in those . vi!!ages the number of migration

is bigger than emigration' It is convincing the reason hy those . vi!!ages are

striving urban areas in the future' 3ti!!, the tota! number of migration com$ared

to emigration is ,*-. to .,-4'

Populatio D+ami/



-. POPULATION *TRU)TURE

A. Ba#e" o O//upatio0Li1eli'oo"

Po$u!ation in Kudus City can be com$osed based on !ive!ihoods hich ref!ects the

society activities in Kudus (rban Area' ost of $eo$!e of Kudus City occu$y in

industria! and services sector hich means that Kudus City no !onger focused on

$rimary sectors but on secondary even tertiary sectors' Hoever, most of the

or#ers that or# in both sectors are sti!! in !oer ran# or#ers such as chea$

!abors and staffs' These figures are corres$onding to student@s !eve! of education

data be!o' 6rom these data a!so, e can conc!ude that Kudus City do urbanactivities and on!y a !itt!e fraction from the inhabitants re!y their !ive!ihood in

$rimary sector' The $o$u!ation com$osition of $eo$!e in Kudus City can be seen

as fo!!os'

Populatio Li1eli'oo"



B. Ba#e" o E"u/atio

Another method to ana!y:e $o$u!ation com$osition is by c!asifying it based on

!eve! of education' This method is needed to ana!y:e the !eve! of education to be

ta#en by the $o$u!ation and $otencia! !abor in an area' The higher a $o$u!ation@s

education !eve! means that the higher !eve! economic activities are needed in the

area to absorb this $otencia! !abor' n the other hand, the !oer the education

!eve! of a $o$u!ation, it means most of the economic activities in the area are sti!!

in $rimary economic activities' 6rom the chart e can see that as the education

!eve! gets higher the number is shrin#ing significant!y' It means that most of the

$o$u!ation do not continue their education to the higher !eve!' In -) the

$ercentage of students in e!ematary schoo! is .*,4)2 of a!! tota! student@s

$o$u!ation' But by the time they reach >unior and senior high schoo! and or

vocationa! schoo!, the $ercentage decreased to 0'*/2 and 1,/2 res$ective!y'

6urthermore the number even decreased drastica!!y in academyuniversity stage

ith on!y .'*-2' It means in Kudus (rban Area the greatest >ob o$$ortunities

are most!y $re$ared for e!ementray schoo! and >unior high schoo! graduates such

as

cigarette and e!ectronic factories !abor or construction !abor' Thus, >ob

o$$ortunities for $o$u!ation ith higher education !eve! "senior high

schoo!vocationa! schoo! and academyuniversity% are very !imited' It forces them

to see# another o$$ortunities e!sehere and contributes to the emigration

number'

Le1el of E"u/atio



-I. LE-EL O PRO*PERITY

To ana!y:e the !eve! of economic from K(A inhabitants, e use categories of fami!y

$ros$erity based on BKKB standard' There are five categories of $ros$erity@s !eve!

in Indonesia, hich are $re9$ros$erous, $ros$erous I, $ros$erous II, $ros$erous III

and $ros$erous III?' The number of househo!ds in K(A categori:ed to those stagescan be seen as fo!!os<

%&'&l o( Pros#&rit$

No e+el of Prosperit <ear

200! 200" 200# 200$ 200 20 202

1 Pre*ros*erous 1,308 1,498 1,511 1,213 1,164 1,104 1,050

2 Pros*erous / 3,020 2,781 3,082 3,673 3,458 3,340 3,542

3 Pros*erous // 4,479 4,742 4,850 6,245 6,997 7,927 8,417

4 Pros*erous /// 10,117 10,349 10,491 9,624 9,806 10,151 10,150

5 Pros*erous /// *lus 3,833 3,208 2,898 1,996 1,632 1,733 1,756

Total 22,757 22,578 22,832 22,751 23,057 24,255 24,915

6rom the data e can conc!ude that $o$u!ation of the Kudus (rban Area !eve! of

$ros$erity is re!ative!y $ros$erous and $overty !eve! in Kudus (rban Area is genera!!y

decreasing every year'

-II. POPULATION PREDI)TION



Based on the number of the $o$u!ation and the average of $o$u!ation groth in

Kudus City, the $ro>ection of $o$u!ation number is ca!cu!ated by using Arithmetic

method because of the s!o groth rate factor in Kudus (rban Area'

here < Pt = the number of $o$u!ation in the year of t

Po = the number of $o$u!ation in the year of o

r = the average of $o$u!ation groth $er year

t = time s$an beteen Pt and Po

(sing that formu!a, it can be found that the average of $o$u!ation groth $er year

"r% beteen --4 and -) as -'--* or -'* 2' The $ro>ection of $o$u!ation

number in Kudus (rban Area can be seen as shon in the fo!!oing tab!e'

No itPopulation Number Pro=ection of Population Number

200" 202 20" 2022 202" 2032

1 u#us ran rea 110,978 113,650 115,923 118,196 120,469 122,742

Populatio Pro2e/tio

Pt = Po ") ? rt%

Documents

Demography Analysis