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Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

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Page 1: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Delivering superior value

BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference

May 2016

Page 2: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

DisclaimerCertain statements included in this presentation, as well as oral statements that may be made by Sibanye Gold, or by officers, directors or employees acting on their behalf related to the subject matter hereof, constitute or are based on forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are preceded by, followed by or include the words “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “envisage”, “intend”, “plan”, “project”, “estimate”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “hope”, “can”, “is designed to” or similar phrases. These forward looking statements involve a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of Sibanye Gold, that could cause Sibanye Gold‘s actual results and outcomes to be materially different from historical results or from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, among others, Sibanye Gold’s operations, Sibanye Gold’s ability to implement its strategy and any changes thereto, Sibanye Gold’s future financial position and plans, strategies, objectives, capital expenditures, projected costs and anticipated cost savings and financing plans, as well as projected level of gold price and other risks. Sibanye Gold undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation or to reflect any change in Sibanye Gold’s expectations with regard thereto.

In accordance with the requirements imposed by the JSE, Sibanye Gold reports its reserves using the terms and definitions of the SAMREC Code (2007 edition). There are differences between the SAMREC Code and the Security and Exchange Commission’s Industry Guide 7. Mineral or ore reserves, as defined under the SAMREC Code, are divided into categories of proved and probable reserves and are expressed in terms of tonnes to be processed at mill feed head grades, allowing for estimated mining dilution, recovery and other factors.The lead Competent Person designated in terms of SAMREC, who take responsibility for the consolidation and reporting of Sibanye Gold’s Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves and of the overall regulatory compliance of these figures is Mr. Gerhard Janse van Vuuren, who gave his consent for the disclosure of the C2015 Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserve Statement. Mr Janse van Vuuren [BTech (MRM), GDE (Mining Eng.), MBA and MSCoC] is registered with Plato (PMS No 243) and has 27 years’ experience relative to the type and style of mineral deposit under consideration. He is the current Vice President: Mine Planning and Mineral Resource Management and is a full time employee of Sibanye Gold. Mr. van Vuuren consents to the inclusion of all information in this release relating to mineral resources and mineral reserves in the form in which it appears. The respective business unit based Mineral Resource Managers, relevant project managers and the respective Mineral Resource Management discipline heads have been designated as the Competent Persons in terms of SAMREC and take responsibility for the reporting of Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves for their respective area(s) of responsibility. Additional information regarding these personnel, as well as the teams involved with the compilation of the Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserve declaration is incorporated in the Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves Supplement that will be published in conjunction with the 2014 Sibanye Gold Integrated Report.

2

Page 3: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Shares in IssueShares in ADR form

923 902 469206 354 270

Market Cap R48 billion (US$3.2 billion)

Listings • JSE Limited share code: SGL • New York Stock Exchange ADR

programme share code: SBGL

Debt* R2.0 billion (US$123 million) of R4.5 billion term and revolving facility

Corporate overview

Corporate overviewMajor Sibanye Gold shareholders *

Gold One Limited 20.22%

Public Investment Corporation 8.44%

Van Eck Associates Corporation 6.62%

Contact details

Libanon Business Park1 Hospital Road (off Cedar Avenue)Libanon, Westonaria, 1779South Africa

Neal FronemanCEO

Tel: +27 11 278 9600e-mail: [email protected]

James WellstedInvestor Relations

Tel: +27 11 278 9656e-mail: [email protected]

* Source: J.P.Morgan Cazenove, April 2016* At 25 February 2016, excludes Burnstone debt

20%

28%34%

8%

2%1%7%

China

South Africa

USA

United Kingdom

Germany

Switzerland

Others

* Source: J.P.Morgan Cazenove, April 2016

Shareholder geographic distribution*

A substantial company with a strong balance sheet 3

Page 4: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

What differentiates Sibanye

• Significant free cash generation

• Focused on superior sustainable returns to shareholders

• Predominantly focused in South Africa

• Recognise the importance of all stakeholders to our success

Uniquely positioned in industry 4

Page 5: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Our vision

SUPERIOR VALUE CREATION FOR ALL OUR STAKEHOLDERS

Through mining our multi commodity resources predominantly in

South Africa

Value driven 5

Page 6: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Sibanye is a top ten gold producer2015 Reserves (moz) 2015 Production (moz)

19.0

31.0

34.0

41.0

43.0

46.0

52.0

74.0

75.0

92.0

Agnico-Eagle

Sibanye

Kinross

Gold Corp

Harmony

Gold Fields

AngloGold

Newmont

Newcrest

Barrick

1.3

1.5

1.7

2.1

2.4

2.6

3.5

4.0

5.0

6.1

Yamana

Sibanye

Agnico-Eagle

Gold Fields

Newcrest

Kinross

Gold Corp

AngloGold

Newmont

Barrick

Source: Bloomberg

Maj

or g

loba

l gol

d pr

oduc

ers

A substantial long life company

A top ten global gold producer

6

Page 7: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Location of gold operations and projects

Focused on the Wits Basin 7

Page 8: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Commissioned 1952Production to date 109MozResources 19.8MozReserves 8.2MozProduction (2016F)* 553kozAISC (2016F) US$780/ozLOM 27 years

Driefontein

8One of the most productive gold mines ever

*at average R15.7/US$ year to date

Page 9: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Kloof

Commissioned 1968Resources 28.2MozProduction to date 77MozResource grade 15.4g/tReserves 6.5MozReserve grade 7.5g/tProduction (2016F) 488kozAISC (2016F) US$825/ozLOM 18 years

9A high grade, long life operation*at average R15.7/US$ year to date

Page 10: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Beatrix

Commissioned 1983Resources (gold) 9.6MozProduction to date 14MozReserves (gold) 4.3MozProduction (2016F) 315kozAISC (2016F)* US$865/ozLOM 14 yearsResources (uranium) 26.0 MlbReserves (uranium) 11.7Mlb

10Gold projects provide opportunities to extend life + Uranium potential

*at average R15.7/US$ year to date

Page 11: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Cooke

Commissioned 1961Resources (gold) 15.9MozProduction to date 45MozReserves (gold) 1.5MozProduction (2016F) 252kozAISC (2016F)* US$890/ozLOM 8 yearsResources (uranium) 95.4MlbResources (uranium) 14.7Mlb

11Significant surface tailings resources with high uranium content

*at average R15.7/US$ year to date

Page 12: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Our vision

SUPERIOR VALUE CREATION FOR ALL OUR STAKEHOLDERS

Through mining our multi commodity resources predominantly in

South Africa

Value driven 12

Page 13: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Operating model

Delivering what investors want 13

SIBANYE GOLD

Reducecosts and paylimits

Increase flexibility

Increase margins

Optimise all capital including

balance sheet

Strong cash flows

Robustdividends

Premium rating

Page 14: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Increasing output and reducing unit cost

Focused on operational delivery 14

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F

Production (koz) Gold Price ($/oz) AISC

Gold Fields Sibanye

Ann

ual G

old

Prod

uctio

n (k

oz)

US$/

oz

Historical Forecast

Page 15: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Increasing gold reserves

Creating a sustainable future 15

45.1

37.535.2

25.7

21.5

13.5

19.7

28.4

31.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Rese

rves

(Moz

)

Gold Fields Sibanye

Page 16: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Capital growth

Convincing share price appreciation 16

Source: Bloomberg/iNet 5 May 2016

-23

146

-55-47

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

20020

13

2014

2015

2016

%

Relative share price performance

Barrick Newmont Sibanye ADR Gold Fields ADR AngloGold ADR Harmony ADR HUI Index

-57

-43

Page 17: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Delivering on the dividend commitment

• Cumulative dividend of R2.8 billion (US$229 million) delivered to shareholders since listing

• Industry leading dividend yield maintained despite appreciation in share price

Strong commitment to our investment thesis* Based on average share price during the year

17

*

Page 18: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

What we did: substantial total shareholder return

30% CAGR

Share price appreciation since

listing: US$8.17/share

Dividends paid since listing:

US$0.28/share

Total return* = US$8.45/share151% return on

investment

18

* From listing on 11 February 2013 until 5 May 2016

Page 19: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Peer group benchmarking

Potential to rerate furtherSource: Bloomberg consensus forecasts 5 May 2016

19

-

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

US$/

oz

EV/production oz

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

US$/

oz

EV/Reserve oz

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

%

Debt/Market Cap

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

x

F2016 PE

Page 20: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

F2016 outlook*

A solid outlook

• Gold production forecast: approximately 50,000 kg (1.6Moz)

• Forecast Total cash cost: approximately R355,000/kg (US$700oz)

• Forecast All-in sustaining cost: approximately R425,000/kg (US$840/oz)

• Forecast capital expenditure: approximately R3.9 billion (US$250 million)

* Assuming YTD average of R15:70/US$ for F2016

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Page 21: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

All-in sustaining cost ranking

Favourably positioned on the cost curve 21

*

Source: Qinisele Resources; Company guidance (Sibanye assuming R15.70/US$ YTD average for 2016)

Page 22: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Gold price in rand and dollars

Rand gold price significantly higher

Source: iNet: 9 May 2016

22

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50Re

lativ

e go

ld p

rice

perfo

rman

ce (%

)

Gold US$/oz Gold R/kg

Page 23: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Revenue and costs leveraged to exchange rate

Expanding margins 23

* Average 2016 exchange rate of R15.70:US$ in 2016 YTD

Margin expansion

Page 24: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Investing in our future• Capital investment extending the productive life of the Gold

Division– US$115million approved for below infrastructure projects at Kloof and

Driefontein: US$15 million budgeted in 2016 – US$120 million approved for new Burnstone mine development.

Approximately US$45 million to be spent in 2016• Permitting and detailed engineering work continues on the WRTRP

(West Rand Tailings Retreatment Project)

• Gold Division operating life over 25 years on declared Reserves

Extending the operating life for the benefit of all stakeholders 24

* Assumes R15.70/US$ YTD average for 2016

Page 25: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

A sustainable Gold Division

Extending the operating life

*Project profile is conceptual and subject to change on completion of detailed studiesBased on Reserves declared as at 31 December 2015Assumptions: Gold price: 430,000 R/kg, Uranium 40 - 70 US$/lb and 15:00 ZAR:1US$ (real 2015 terms)

Harvest plan

25

Harvest plan

Page 26: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Our vision

SUPERIOR VALUE CREATION FOR ALL OUR STAKEHOLDERS

Through mining our multi commodity resources predominantly in

South Africa

Value driven 26

Page 27: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Multi commodity value creation strategy

Well positioned to realise further value

• Mining companies globally are divesting assets in order to reduce debt and leverage

• Opportunities to conclude favourably priced transactions at a low point in the commodity price cycle

• Relative re-rating of Sibanye enhances our ability to conclude value accretive transactions both locally and outside of South Africa

• Platinum a logical first step– shares many similarities with gold– numerous additional consolidation opportunities

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Page 28: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

PGM market outlook

Funamentals remain robust

Despite sustained depressed spot prices, we believe the PGM fundamentals remain robust• Substantial industry wide capex and production cuts already announced in response to

unsustainable rand PGM basket price• SA supply unlikely to return to pre-crisis levels. Limited YoY global producer supply growth

anticipated from CY16E onwards• Historically significant secondary supply growth being eroded by prevailing US$ prices• Despite ongoing auto market evolution and diesel market concerns, auto volumes continue to

surprise on the upside and absolute diesel volumes are expected to increasePGM pricing headwinds may however persist over the near term

• The impact of limited trading liquidity, excess above ground PGM stocks and ETF volatility onprice remain difficult to quantify. Deficit drawdowns and working capital cycle underpinshould see an accelerated normalisation of this stock

02004006008001 0001 2001 4001 6001 8002 000

-1 500

-1 000

-500

0

500

1 000

1 500

1992A 1997A 2002A 2007A 2012A 2017ESurplus / (Deficit) Ex-ETF market balancePt Price (US $ / oz) (rhs)

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

-2 500-2 000-1 500-1 000

-5000

5001 0001 5002 0002 500

1992A 1997A 2002A 2007A 2012A 2017ESurplus / Deficit (koz) Ex-ETF market balancePall Price (US $ / oz) (rhs) R² = 0.5417 R² = 0.9129

0100200300400500600700800900

1 000

2007A 2009A 2011A 2013A 2015E 2017E 2019E

Platinum PalladiumLinear (Platinum) Linear (Palladium)

Source: Johnson Matthey, WPIC, company forecasts

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Page 29: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Rustenburg and Aquarius aquisition

Operating synergies− Removal of mine boundaries facilitates optimised

mine plans and use of underground infrastructure

− Optimising plant utilisation and surface ore flow

Turk #(undeveloped)

School of Mines

Aquarius

Rustenburg Operations

Care & Maintenance

Shared services and central cost savings− Bathopele/Kroondal

− Rustenburg and Kroondal training

− Regional, Central and shared services

Direct cost savings at the Operations− Corporate overheads

− Best practice operational benchmarking

− Economies of scale benefits

Driving value creation through realisation of regional and operating synergies

• Low cost entry of complementary assets allowing additional significant value to be realised through cost and operating synergies

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Page 30: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Becoming a top five PGM producer

10.7

15.1

15.2

42.9

50.1

128.2

194.7

RBPlats

Northam

Sibanye

Lonmin

Impala

Norilsk Nickel

AMPLATS- exRustenburg Mines³

48.2

135.9

179.1

195.0

342.9

395.2

814.4

RBPlats

Sibanye

Lonmin

Northam

Norilsk Nickel

Impala

AMPLATS- exRustenburg Mines³

0.3

0.4

1.1

1.3

2.3

3.4

3.4

RBPlats

Northam

Sibanye

Lonmin

Impala

Norilsk Nickel

AMPLATS- exRustenburg Mines

Maj

or g

loba

l PG

M p

rodu

cers

4E Reserves1,2 (moz) 4E Resources1,2 (moz) 2015E 4E Production1,4 (moz)

(of which 0.7moz is platinum)

Source: Companies’ disclosures, Broker reportsNotes:1. Platinum, palladium, rhodium and gold (together referred to as 3E+Au or 4E). Sibanye related data includes Rustenburg Operations and Aquarius2. Reserves and resources are latest reported by the companies and are on an attributable basis; resources include reserves3. Prior to conclusion of the latest PSA agreement with Aquarius4. Based on broker consensus5. Aquarius reserves and resources include 50% of the Kroondal PSA extension; Total Resources also include managed resources from projects and Blue Ridge

(Rustenburg + Aquarius5)

(Rustenburg + Aquarius5)

(Rustenburg + Aquarius)

30A leading precious metals producer

Page 31: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2013 2014 2015 2016

Selected South African mining company market capitalisations (rebased to 100)

Diversified 2 Diversified 1 Gold 2 Gold 1 Plat 2 Plat 1 Sibanye

Competition authority approval

Relative market capitalisation performance

Platinum strategy well received by the market

388

Source: iNet 5 May 2016

-22-22

-62-48

Rustenburg Transaction announced

-66

Aquarius Transaction announced

Shareholder approval obtained

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Page 32: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

Conclusion

• Sibanye is committed to creating superior value for ALL stakeholders

• Gold division is generating substantial cash flow• Platinum acquisitions will realise significant value in the medium

term• Robust financial position and strong balance sheet at an

opportune point in the commodity cycle• Industry leading dividend yield investment thesis remains the

conerstone building block

A secure and prosperous future 32

Page 33: Delivering superior value Delivering superior value BoAML Global Metals, Mining and Steel conference May 2016

QUESTIONS

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