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August 2018Undersecretariat of Planning and Tourism Policy
Results of Tourism Activity
2
DIRECTORy
ENRIQUE DE LA MADRID CORDEROMinister of Tourism
MARÍA TERESA SOLÍS TREJO Undersecretary of Planning and Tourism Policy
DIRECTORATE-GENERAL OF INTEGRATION AND SECTORAL INFORMATION [email protected]
3
INDEX
• International Visitors to Mexico
• Air Transportation by residence
• Domestic Tourism
• Transportation
• Other Indicators
1. Arrival of international visitors1.1. Arrival of international tourists1.2. International travel receipts1.3. Average Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists, Air transport1.4. Departures of international tourists from Mexico1.5. Spending by international visitors from Mexico1.6. International travelers balance
2. International visitors to Mexico arriving by Air2.1. American passengers arriving by Air2.2. Canadian passengers arriving by Air2.3. Main airports of arrival
3.1. Occupancy rate3.2. Arrival of tourists to Hotels
4.1. Air Transportation4.2. Maritime Transportation4.3. Main Ports
6. Results of tourism activity, tablet6.1 Macroeconomic indicators, prospects6.2 Mexico’s key economic indicators6.3 Economic context
• Museums and archeological sites
5.1. Museums and archeological sites
66789910
12131314
1616
182021
25262728
23
• Outstanding results
4
Main results published by INEGI for the period January-August 2018*
1. The arrival of international tourists was 27.8 million, exceeding one million 801 thousand tourists, this represented a growth of 6.9% in comparison to the same period of last year.
2. Foreign currency income from the arrival of international visitors was 15,380 million dollars equivalent to an increase of 4.7% in comparison to January-August 2017.
3. The amount of foreign currency that visitors residing in Mexico spent when going abroad was 7,376 million dollars, amount at 550 million dollars higher than that observed in January-August of 2017 and equivalent to an increase of 8.1%.
4. The international tourist departures of Mexico abroad amounted to 12 million 936 thousand, this is 972 thousand more tourists to the same period of last year, which represented a growth of 8.1%.
5. The balance by international visitors registered 8,004 million dollars, this represents an increase of 1.8% in comparison to January-August of 2017.
Other results:
6. The arrival of foreign air-coming visitors who reside in the United States represents 60.4% of all foreign arrivals by air transport. From the Latin American and the Caribbean region, the countries of residence with the highest number of foreign arrivals to Mexico were Argentina and Colombia, with 2.7% and 2.5% of total visitors respectively.
7. The percentage of hotel occupation in a group of 70 resorts reached 62.5%, level (-) 0.7 point lower compared to that observed in January-August of 2017.
8. The arrival of domestic tourists to hotel rooms was 40 million 535 thousand tourists (72.7%), the remaining arrivals 15 million 202 thousand (27.3%), were from foreign tourists.
* The International Travelers Survey is a project carried out at INEGI following the transfer process carried out in November 2017 by the Bank of Mexico, which has an operative lift as of August 1 of this year. . The update of the information will be on the 10th of each month (or the next business day).
International Visitors to Mexico
6
Arrival of international visitors
Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.
Source: Bank of Mexico, Balance of payments.http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx
Arrival of international tourists
Chart 1. According to the INEGI and Bank of Mexico, during January-August 2018, the number of international visitors arriving Mexico was 65.9 million, that is 77 thousand visitors higher than January-August 2017 and represented a growth of 0.1% in comparison to the same period of 2017.
Chart 2. The arrival of international tourists in January-August 2018 was 27.8 million, rea-ching one million 801 thousand more than the same period of 2017, increasing 6.9%.
8.3 7.8 8.9 8.2 7.8 8.4 8.7 7.7 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.6
8.48.0
9.3
8.38.2
8.2 8.2
7.2
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Mill
ion
of p
eopl
e
2017 2018
January-August Million visitors Change
2017
2018 65.9 0.1%
65.8
3.0 2.9 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.4 4.2
3.3 3.2
4.0
3.3 3.33.5
3.63.5
1.5
1.9
2.3
2.7
3.1
3.5
3.9
4.3
4.7
5.1
5.5
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Mill
ion
of to
urist
s
2017 2018
January-August Milliontourists Change
2017
2018 27.8 6.9%
25.9
7
International travel receipts
Source: Bank of Mexico, Balance of paymentshttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx
Chart 3. In January-August 2018, foreign currency income from the arrival of in-ternational visitors was 15,380 million dollars, equivalent to an increase of 4.7% in comparison to the same period of 2017.
1,92
7.3
1,79
8.4
2,07
3.9
1,83
3.3
1,63
4.2
1,83
9.8
1,98
8.6
1,59
2.3
1,24
9.9
1,42
1.1
1,72
1.3
2,25
6.2
1,94
5.0
1,91
8.3
2,36
5.1
1,79
1.3
1,68
8.7
1,87
3.4
1,94
5.8
1,85
2.3
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Mill
on o
f Dol
lars
2017 2018
January-August Milliondollars Change
2017
2018 15,379.7 4.7%
14,687.8
8
Average Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists, Air transport
Chart 4. In January-August 2018, the average expenditure of long-stay tourists by air was 917.1 dollars, this represents a decrease of (-) 0.8% in comparison to the same pe-riod of 2017.
Source: Bank of Mexico, Balance of payments.http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx
968.
8
950.
8
924.
7
923.
9
909.
0
898.
2
912.
8
904.
3
876.
6
868.
0
884.
2
873.
7
901.
4
924.
2
947.
5
897.
2
885.
6
871.
4
885.
9
1,03
2.1
550.0
650.0
750.0
850.0
950.0
1,050.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Dolla
rs
2017 2018
January-August Dollars Change
2017
2018 917.1 -0.8%
924.6
9
DEPARTURES OF INTERNATIONAL TOURIST FROM MEXICO
Chart 5. According to INEGI and Bank of Mexi-co, during January-August 2018, the number of departures of international tourist from Mexico was 12 million 936 thousands, that is 972 thou-sand more tourists than the same period of 2017 and represents a growth of 8.1%.
SPENDING BY INTERNATIONAL visitors FROM MEXICO
Chart 6. In January-August 2018, foreign cur-rency spent by visitors residing in Mexico when going abroad was 7,376 million dollars, higher 550 million dollars to the observed in the same period of 2017 and equivalent to a annual in-crease of 8.1%.
Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.
Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.
Source: Bank of Mexico, Balance of paymentshttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx
January-August Milliontourists Change
2017
2018 12.9 8.1%
11.9
902.
8
661.
6
712.
6
870.
1
846.
0
819.
0
1,00
9.7
1,00
4.3
869.
1
982.
6
1,03
4.8
1,12
7.4
1,01
5.4
737.
7 828.
7 896.
8 943.
3
882.
3
1,05
0.6
1,02
1.1
300.0
375.0
450.0
525.0
600.0
675.0
750.0
825.0
900.0
975.0
1,050.0
1,125.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Mill
ion
dolla
rs
2017 2018
January-August Million dollars Change
2017
2018 7,376.0 8.1%
6,826.1
1.6 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1
1.7
1.4
1.6
1.8
1.6
1.5
1.71.7
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.2
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Mill
ion
of t
ouri
sts
2017 2018
10
International travelers balance
Source: Bank of Mexico, Balance of paymentshttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx
Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.
Monthly Balance in the Balance of Oil, Minerometalurgy and International Travelers
Chart 7. The balance by international visitors in January-August 2018, registered a surplus of 8,004 million dollars, this represents an increase of 1.8% in comparison to the same period of 2017.
January-August Milliondollars Change
2017
2018 8,003.7 1.8%
7,861.7
-2,228.2
-175.3
831.2
-3,000.0
-2,500.0
-2,000.0
-1,500.0
-1,000.0
-500.0
0.0
500.0
1,000.0
1,500.0
2,000.0
Mill
ion
dolla
rs
Oil Minerometalurgy Visitors
Air Transportation
12
International visitors to Mexico arriving by Air
Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOBhttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx
Chart 8. During January-August 2018, the arrival of foreign air-coming visitors who reside in the United States represents 60.4% of all foreign arrivals by air. From the Latin American and the Caribbean region, the countries of residence with the highest number of foreign arrivals in Mexico were Argentina and Colombia, with 2.7% and 2.5% of total visitors respectively.
Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures
United States60.4%
Canada 12.0%
United Kingdom3.0%
Argentina2.7%
Colombia2.5%
Other19.4%
13
American passengers per airport
Canadian passengers per airport
Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOBhttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Residencia.aspx
Chart 9. The American residents who ar-rived to Mexico by air increased 1.3% in January-August 2018 compared to the same period of 2017, registering 7 million 612 thousands passengers who arrived firstly at the Cancun Airport, followed by Mexico City Airport.
Chart 10. In January-August 2018, the Canadian residents who arrived to Mex-ico by air was 15% higher in comparison to the same period of 2017. They firstly arrived at the Cancun Airport, followed by Puerto Vallarta Airport.
3,08
2,52
9
1,18
6,65
7
1,08
7,10
3
744,
520
609,
488
806,
938
3,064,122
1,272,253
1,102,512
698,159 633,995840,723
1,000
501,000
1,001,000
1,501,000
2,001,000
2,501,000
3,001,000
3,501,000
Cancun, Q., Roo Mexico, City Los Cabos, B.C.S. Puerto Vallarta,Jal.
Guadalajara, Jal. Others
Pass
enge
rs
2017 2018
January-August American
Passengers Change
2017
2018 7,611,764 1.3%
7,517,246,
687,
687
248,
633
142,92782,493 34,032
119,599
776,451
304,923
187,040
92,05734,997
117,189
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
Cancun, QuintanaRoo
Puerto Vallarta,Jal.
Mexico City Los Cabos, B.C.S. Huatulco, Oax. Others
Pass
enge
rs
2017 2018
January-August Canadian
passengers Change
2017
2018 1,512,657 15%
1,315,823
14
Main airports of arrival
Figure 1. In January-August 2018, the airports with the highest number of foreign passengers were: Cancun (5,543,813); Mexico City (2,991,521); Los Cabos (1,207,089); Puerto Vallarta (1,045,079); Guadalajara (686,689); Monterrey (171,047) and Cozumel (154,847); which represents 93.7% of all foreign passengers.
Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Residencia.aspx
January-August 2018
Note: Figures refers to events because the same person may have entered the country in more than one occasion. From this date only the residence of international passengers is considered and the nationality of the passengers is not longer used.
2017
2018 2018
2017
2018
2017
2018
Los Cabos B.C.S.
1,183,874
1,207,089
Change 2%
2017
Chnage
Pto. Vallarta Guadalajara
1,028,224
1,045,079
655,600
686,689
1.6% 4.7%
Mexico City2,732,949
2,991,521
9.5%
Cancun5,345,855
5,543,8133.7%Change Change
Cozumel
-0.5%
Mexico City Quintana Roo Nuevo Leon
2017
2018
Change
Monterrey172,437
171,047
-0.8%
155,576
154,847
Domestic Tourism
16
Occupancy rate
Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by DataTur.http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ActividadHotelera.aspx
Notes: Total occupancy is a weighted average of the 70 destinations monitored. The total arrivals of tourists to hotel rooms registered an increase of X.X%, compared to January-August 2017. In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.
Arrival of tourists to Hotels
Chart 11.The percentage of hotel occupa-tion in a group of 70 resorts during Janu-ary-August 2018, reached 62.5%, level (-) 0.7 point higher in comparison to 63.2% of January-August 2017.
Chart 12. In January-August 2018, the ar-rival of domestic tourists to hotel rooms was 40.5 million tourists (72.7%), the remaining arrivals (27.3%) were from foreign tourists.
63.2%62.5%
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
January-August 2017 January-August 2018
Rate
39.5
14.9
54.4
40.5
15.2
55.7
0.0
5.5
11.0
16.5
22.0
27.5
33.0
38.5
44.0
49.5
55.0
Domestic Foreing Total
Mill
ion
of to
urist
January-August 2017 January-August 2018
Transportation
18Preliminary figures / Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services (SCT)http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/TrasnAerea.aspx
Chart 13. In January-August 2018, the num-ber of passengers arriving by air increased 8.1% in comparison to the same period of 2017, reaching 49 million 503 thousand passengers, equivalent to an increase of 3 million 706 thoudand passengers.
Chart 14. During January-August 2018, the number of passengers arriving by air on do-mestic flights was 32 million 899 thousand passengers, representing 2 million 685 thou-sand passengers (8.9%) more that the same period of previous year.
AIR TRANSPORTATION
5,61
6
4,91
8
5,66
7
5,69
3
5,59
0
5,79
5
6,53
4
5,98
4
4,81
4
5,45
0
5,78
3
6,42
7
5,9995,402
6,3996,104 6,043
6,180
6,986
6,391
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Thou
sand
s of p
eopl
e
2017 2018
January-August Thousand passengers Change
2017
2018 49,502.5 8.1%
45,797.0
3,56
9
3,10
7
3,59
0
3,75
2
3,82
4
3,85
0
4,38
4
4,13
6
3,41
4
3,82
0
3,88
2
4,03
0
3,790
3,429
4,0774,115
4,1704,113
4,749
4,454
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Thou
sand
s of p
eopl
e
2017 2018
January-August Thousand passengers Change
2017
2018 8.9% 32,898.5
30,213.4
19
Chart 15. In January-August 2018, the number of passengers arriving by air on interna-tional flights increased 6.5%, reaching 16 million 604 thousand passengers, exceeding by one million 20 thousand passengers than the same period of 2017.
Preliminary figures / Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services (SCT)http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/TrasnAerea.aspx
2,04
7
1,81
1
2,07
7
1,94
1
1,76
6
1,94
4
2,15
0
1,84
8
1,40
0
1,62
9
1,90
1
2,39
7
2,208
1,973
2,322
1,989
1,872
2,067
2,237
1,936
900
1,150
1,400
1,650
1,900
2,150
2,400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Thou
sand
s of p
eopl
e
2017 2018
January-August Thousand passengers
Change
2017
2018 16,604.1 6.5%
15,583.6
20
Maritime Transportation
Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communications and Transportation (SCT) http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx
Chart 16. In January-August 2018, the number of cruise passengers rea-ched 5 million 199 thousand passen-gers, this representing an increase of 610 thousand passengers (13.3%) compa-red to the same period of previous year
Chart 17.The number of cruise arrivals during January-August 2018, was one thousand 787 cruises, compared to the previous year, increa-sed in 155 cruises that represents a 9.5%.
776.
7
665.
5
808.
6
654.
8
456.
7
435.
1
410.
7
380.
9
485.
2
643.
9
789.
5
791.
7
846.9776.1
877.1
667.6
538.7484.4 490.8 517.8
-
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
800.00
900.00
1,000.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Thou
sand
s of p
eopl
e
2017 2018
January-August Thousand
Passengers Change
2017
2018 5,199 13.3%
4,589
January-August Arrivals Change
2017
2018 1,787 9.5%
1,632
313
262
279
233
167
139
124
115
158
218
261
289
336 302
305
236
179 143
139 147
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Arriv
als
2017 2018
21
Figure 2. In January-August 2018, the ports that received the highest number of passengers were the following: Cozumel, Majahual and Ensenada; representing 79.3% of the total arrivals of January-August .
Main Ports
Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communications and Transportation (SCT)http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx
January-August 2018
Ensenada, B.C. Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S. Progreso, Yuc. Cozumel, Q. RooMajahual, Q. Roo
2017
2018
passengers
413,230
429,393
arrivals
168
171
passengersarrivals
2017
2018
236,947
260,356
112
110
passengersarrivals
2017
2018
263,323
310,718
83
103
arrivals
2017
2018
2,654,498
2,881,448866
passengers
579,626
812,576
200
257
2017
2018
passengersarrivals
Change 1.8% 3.9% Change -1.8% 9.9% Change 24.1% 18% 40.2%28.5% Change 8.5%6.9%Change
810
Museums and archeological sites
23
Chart 18. The National Institute of Anthropology and History, in January-August 2018, reported 18 million 165 thousand visitors, 0.7% more than reported in the same period of the previous year. Of the total number of visitors, 74.7% corre-sponded to national visitors and the 25.3% to foreigners.
Source: National Institute of Anthropology and History (INAH)
Visitors to museums and archeological sites
January-August Thousand
visitors Change
2017
2018 18,165.1 0.7%
18,043.5
12.0
3.6
15.6
11.7
4.0
15.7
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
Domestic Foreing Total
Mill
on o
f peo
ple
Jan-Aug 2017 Jan-Aug 2018
Other Indicators
25
Results of Tourism Activity
En�ty2018 2019 2018 2019
International Monetary Fund 2.19 2.52 4.77 3.62 OCDE 2.20 2.50 3.86 3.41 Banco de México Survey 2.13 2.17 4.56 3.80 Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit 2.0 a 3.0 2.5 a 3.5 3.50 3.00 Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (November 2018); OECD, Economic Outlook (2018/09); Bank of Mexico, Expectations Survey Economic Specialist Private
Sector (10/01/18); Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público, Pre- General Criteria 2019.
Gross Domes�c Product Infla�onReal growth % (% dec/dec)
26
Macroeconomic indicators, prospects
En�ty2018 2019 2018 2019
International Monetary Fund 2.19 2.52 4.77 3.62 OCDE 2.20 2.50 3.86 3.41 Banco de México Survey 2.13 2.17 4.56 3.80 Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit 2.0 a 3.0 2.5 a 3.5 3.50 3.00 Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (November 2018); OECD, Economic Outlook (2018/09); Bank of Mexico, Expectations Survey Economic Specialist Private
Sector (10/01/18); Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público, Pre- General Criteria 2019.
Gross Domes�c Product Infla�onReal growth % (% dec/dec)
27
Mexico’s key economic indicators
2016 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017.QIV 2017 2018Q1 2018Q2 jul-18 ago-18
Gross Domes�c Product . Millions of current pesos 20,115,786 21,152,197 21,657,546 21,599,336 22,732,004 21,785,271 22,536,162 23,450,949 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 2.9 3.3 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.0 1.4 2.6 Ter�ary ac�vi�es
. Millions of current pesos 40,976 37,296 50,054 45,685 48,836 45,468 40,657 51,000 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 9.1 7.1 17.0 10.5 6.7 10.4 14.8 10.4
. Millions of current pesos 226,194 245,111 258,503 254,050 249,943 251,902 266,520 266,711 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 3.9 1.3 9.9 5.8 3.7 5.1 5.6 0.5
. Millions of current pesos 234,031 236,487 251,533 258,673 265,873 253,141 248,440 260,231 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 3.2 -1.2 4.9 5.1 5.2 3.5 0.7 -0.5
Tourism GDP . Annual varia�ons in % 4.2 3.0 5.6 3.0 1.9 3.4 2.1 Internal tourism consump�on . Annual varia�ons in % 4.0 4.2 5.2 2.3 1.2 3.2 2.4
. Annual varia�ons in % 0.7 1.7 4.9 2.9 1.8 2.8 3.8
. Annual varia�ons in % 24.0 16.0 6.4 0.9- -1.5 5.0 -3.4
People Employed in the Tourism Sector (SECTUR)* 3,951,887 3,987,430 4,030,762 4,063,315 4,095,282 4,095,282 4,111,028 4,129,760 Total number of IMSS-Insure Workers
18,401,344 18,849,402 19,067,655 19,298,001 19,599,373 19,203,608 19,671,887 19,892,251 19,949,244 20,063,433 15,785,784 16,147,909 16,361,089 16,567,184 16,777,915 16,463,524 16,815,780 17,025,166 17,085,693 17,254,552
2,615,560 2,701,493 2,706,567 2,730,817 2,821,458 2,740,084 2,856,107 2,867,085 2,863,551 2,808,881 Unemployment Na�onal Rate ** (closing of the period)
3.54 3.39 3.46 3.55 3.35 3.35 3.14 3.34 3.35
Na�onal Price Index (closing of the period)3.4% 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 5.0% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9%9.8% 4.4% 4.5% -8.3% 2.8% 2.8% -6.0% -1.0% -5.5% -8.4%6.4% 5.3% 6.3% 4.4% 4.2% 4.2% 8.0% 5.7% 0.7% 1.3%5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 5.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9%7.8% 6.1% 7.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.1% 4.9% 5.8% 5.2%
Exchange Rate (peso / dollar)18.664 20.387 18.578 17.819 18.921 18.927 18.772 19.382 19.117 18.809
Business Cycle Indicators and Consumer Confidence (montly difference****)0.028 -0.038 -0.061 -0.031 0.019 0.019 0.002 -0.018 -0.016 ND
-0.057 0.144 0.129 0.007 0.011 0.011 -0.021 0.026 0.074 0.103-0.122 0.170 0.202 0.038 -0.074 -0.074 0.163 0.573 0.628 0.564
N.A. Not available.
Nota: La suma de los datos mensuales no coincide con el acumuldo del periodo, debido al redondeo de cifras.
* For 2016 figures for IV quarter.
** For 2016 figures for the fourth quarter. The Tourist Employment dataset is smoothed by averaging the last four quarters of it. The objec�ve is to eliminate irregular .fluctua�ons in the short and medium term.
*** Percentage of all the economically ac�ve popula�on. Data at the end of the period for annual and monthly figures and average period for quarterly informa�on.
**** For prices of the consumer: at the end of the year are annual varia�ons and same month previos year is for monthly data varia�on.
***** Point monthly difference (closing of the period).
Sources: SECTUR, INEGI, STYPS, Bank of Mexico.
. Forward Indicator . Confidence Consumer Index
. Total Percentage of PEA
. Restaurants (percent varia�on)
. Average of the period
. Coincident Indicator
Consumer (percent varia�on) . Air transport (percent varia�on) . Hotel (percent varia�on) . Package Tourist Services (percent varia�on)
Prices and Exchange Rate***
- Temporary Lodging Services (721)
Entries
- Air Transporta�on (481)
General Economic Ac�vity and Services Iden�fied with Tourism
- Food and Beverages Prepara�on Services (722)
.Permanent .Non-permanent (urban and field)
Employees insured by IMSS (average of the period)
Domes�c tourism consump�on
Inbound tourism consump�on
Quarterly Indicators of Tourism Ac�vity
Tourism Employment
28
International
The steady expansion under way since mid-2016 continues, with global growth for 2018–19 projected to remain at its 2017 level. At the same time, however, the expansion has become less balanced and may have peaked in some major economies. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded.
Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018, 0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. In the United States, momentum is still strong as fiscal stimulus continues to increase, but the forecast for 2019 has been revised down due to recently announced trade measures, including the tariffs imposed on $200 billion of US imports from China.
Growth projections have been marked down for the euro area and the United Kingdom, following surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018. Among emerging market and developing economies, the growth prospects of many energy exporters have been lifted by higher oil prices, but growth was revised down for Argentina, Brazil, Iran, and Turkey, among others, reflecting country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. China and a number of Asian economies are also projected to experience somewhat weaker growth in 2019 in the aftermath of the recently announced trade measures.
Risks to global growth skew to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highligh-ted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially mate-rialized.
Domestic
The IMF carried out a deep reassessment for emerging markets as a group, where its calculations indicate that growth will weaken in Latin America (especially Argentina, Brazil, Mexico), the Middle East (especially Iran) and emerging economies in Europe (especially Turkey).
These more moderate growth numbers and the weaker incoming data that underpin them owe, in part, to a sharp rise in policy uncertainty over the past year—a development yet to be reflected in advanced economy financial markets but evident in news-ba-sed uncertainty measures. Uncertainty over trade policy is prominent in the wake of US actions (or threatened actions) on several fronts, the responses by its trading partners, and a general weakening of multilateral consultation on trade issues.
While the preliminary agreement between the United States and Mexico on some bilateral trade issues has been a step forward, the future of the trilateral North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) remains uncertain as the United States and Canada work to resolve remaining issues.
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2018/09/24/world-economic-outlook-october-2018
Economic context
