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CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

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Page 1: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

CSLI Fall 2007 SurveyReview the processReview the findings

Page 2: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Review the process - 1• Public has need to express its policy

preferences• CSLI serves community – provides

feedback about policies and issues• Students serve vital role

– Provide ideas for questions– Assist with telephone interviews– Help refine the process– Gain knowledge about civic affairs

Page 3: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Review the process – 2• The CSLI process

– Get ideas for new survey • What’s interesting? Who cares?• What can be asked in a poll?

– Conduct survey• Generate questionnaire• Train students in telephone/marking instructions• Review questionnaire with students• Conduct telephone interviews

– Target 400-500 completions– Accomplished – 936 completions

• Issue Press Release• Expect coverage in media – Baltimore Sun,

Baltimore Examiner, Capital, WNAV• Web site – press release posted

Page 4: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 1Chart 1: Most Important Issue - Trends

18 18

25 24

3128

26

31

2730 30

2522

29

25

21

26

18

3128

36

25

33

28

14

21 20 2018 17

28

24

1820 20 19

13

1619

17 17

22

12

16

12 13

16

12 1213

8

1412 12

75

10

7 7 6

9

68 8 9

14 13

10

13

10 10 9

17

27

15

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Fa '9

9

Fa '0

1

Fa '0

2

Fa '0

3

Fa '0

4

Fa '0

5

Fa '0

6

Fa '0

7

Crime Growth/Transportation Education Taxes

Page 5: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 2Chart 3: Economic Conditions

21 2736 35 32

22 22 23 23 22 25

6060 50 51 55

62 56 60 62 59 59

14 6 5 5 7 12 15 14 9 12 10

Fair

Good

Excel.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Spring2002

Fall 2002

Spring2003

Fall 2003

Spring2004

Fall2004

Spring2005

Fall2005

Spring2006

Fall2006

Spring2007

Fall2007

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

Don’t know

Page 6: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 3Bush Job Approval – by Party

18

56

26

35

79

35

62

57

4

912

9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Approve Disapprove No opinion

Dems Reps Independents Overall

Page 7: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 4Iraq Policy – by Party & Ideology

34

52

10

54

34

9

8

62

26

12

50

33

23

60

15

22

64

10

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Dem Liberal Rep Cons. Independent Moderate

Leave Quick 22% Leave Gradually 58% Victory 18%

Page 8: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 5

Taxes

The state is facing a 1.7 billon dollar deficit in its current budget. Governor Martin O’Malley has made several proposals to deal with this deficit. When I read you each of the proposals, tell me whether you generally agree or disagree with it: Proposal Agree Disagree No

answer 5.1 An increase in the sales tax from 5 to 6 percent 34 63 3 5.2 An increase in the car titling tax from 5 to 6 percent 34 63 3 5.3 An increase in the corporate income tax 60 37 3 5.4 A restructuring of state personal income tax, placing a greater burden on those with incomes over $200,000

61 36 3

5.5 A reduction in the state property tax 71 25 4 5.6 Introduction of slot machines in Maryland 61 34 5 5.7 A one dollar increase in cigarette tax dedicated to paying for increased health insurance coverage to the uninsured.

70 28 2

Page 9: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 6 “How familiar are you with the issue of global warming –

very, somewhat or not very familiar?”

Global Warming

How familiar? Percentage

Very 39

Somewhat 50

Not very 11

No answer 1

Total 101

Page 10: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 7 “How familiar are you with the issue of global warming –

very, somewhat or not very familiar?”

Global Warming

Page 11: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 8Global Warming

Agreement with Propositions about Global Warming

Proposition – Global warming… Agree

Disagree

NA Total

Is probably occurring 85 12 3 100

Has been caused or increased by human activity releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere

76 18 5 99

Will have long-term sharp impacts on coastal areas like Anne Arundel County due to rising water levels

70 22 8 100

Has already had some effects on the environment in your neighborhood

48 45 8 101

Page 12: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 9 “Has been caused or increased by human activity releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere”

Global Warming

Page 13: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 10Global Warming

Agreement with Policies about Global Warming

Proposal Agree

Disagree

NA Total

Increase taxes on carbon based fuels like gasoline and natural gas

33 61 6 100

Change lifestyles so that individuals use less fuels

79 18 3 100

Provide tax incentives for energy saving such as purchasing fuel efficient vehicles or energy saving appliances

87 10 4 101

Have federal government set clear goals and timetables for the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions

70 24 6 100

Page 14: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 11 “Increase taxes on carbon based fuels like gasoline and natural gas”

Global Warming

Page 15: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 12 Global warming: Familiarity by AGE, GENDER, EDUCATION

Global Warming

How Familiar?

0-30

31-40

41-50

50-64

65+.01

Men

.01

Women

HS Dip

Some

Coll

BA Postgrad

Work .01

Very 35 39 37 41 44 47 31 32 33 39 52

Somewhat

44 53 54 52 46 43 56 46 54 53 46

Not very 21 8 9 7 8 9 12 21 12 7 3Human Cause?

0-30

31-40

41-50

50-64

65+.6

Men.01

Women

HS Dip

Some

Coll

BA Postgrad

Work .09

Agree 76 84 77 76 77 71 82 68 78 75 81

Disagree 19 14 18 17 19 24 12 25 16 20 15

No answer

6 2 5 7 4 5 6 8 6 5 3

Carbon Tax?

0-30

31-40

41-50

50-64

65+.4

Men.3

Women

HS Dip

Some

Coll

BA Postgrad

Work .01

Agree 39 29 34 35 33 33 33 27 25 38 40

Disagree 54 67 62 60 58 62 60 65 69 57 53

No answer

8 5 4 5 9 5 8 8 6 5 7

Page 16: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 13Global Warming

Agreement with Increasing Carbon Taxes – by Party8.1 Increase taxes on carbon based fuels like gasoline and natural gas * 12. Political Party registered with Crosstabulation

1 20 27 7 4 0 59

3.8% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% .0% 6.4%

14 144 89 31 23 4 305

53.8% 40.8% 23.1% 34.4% 38.3% 40.0% 33.0%

11 189 269 52 33 6 560

42.3% 53.5% 69.9% 57.8% 55.0% 60.0% 60.6%

26 353 385 90 60 10 924

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Count

% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with

Count

% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with

Count

% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with

Count

% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with

No Answer

Agree

Disagree

8.1 Increase taxes oncarbon based fuels likegasoline and natural gas

Total

No Answer Democratic Republican Independent None Other

12. Political Party registered with

Total

Symmetric Measures

.192 .000

.136 .000

924

Phi

Cramer's V

Nominal byNominal

N of Valid Cases

Value Approx. Sig.

Not assuming the null hypothesis.a.

Using the asymptotic standard error assuming the nullhypothesis.

b.

Page 17: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 14Agreement with Increasing Carbon Taxes – by Party

6

41

54

7

23

70

8

34

58

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Dem Rep Independent

Agree with Carbon Taxes by Party

Disagree

Agree

NA

Page 18: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 15Global Warming: Whose Responsibility?

Entity %

The Federal government 39

State or local government 15

Companies 10

Individuals 24

None as there is no solution to global warming

3

Don’t know 10

Total 101

Page 19: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 16Global Warming: Whose Responsibility – by Party

42

18

10

19

2

9

36

14

8

28

5

9

37

9

13

23

0

19

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Federal State/local Companies Individuals No solution Don’t know

Dem Rep Independent

Page 20: CSLI Fall 2007 Survey Review the process Review the findings

Findings - 17Global Warming: Federal Responsibility – by Party & Ideology

42

54

36

30

37

42

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Dem Liberal Rep Cons. Independent Moderate

Federal