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CSLI Fall 2007 SurveyReview the processReview the findings
Review the process - 1• Public has need to express its policy
preferences• CSLI serves community – provides
feedback about policies and issues• Students serve vital role
– Provide ideas for questions– Assist with telephone interviews– Help refine the process– Gain knowledge about civic affairs
Review the process – 2• The CSLI process
– Get ideas for new survey • What’s interesting? Who cares?• What can be asked in a poll?
– Conduct survey• Generate questionnaire• Train students in telephone/marking instructions• Review questionnaire with students• Conduct telephone interviews
– Target 400-500 completions– Accomplished – 936 completions
• Issue Press Release• Expect coverage in media – Baltimore Sun,
Baltimore Examiner, Capital, WNAV• Web site – press release posted
Findings - 1Chart 1: Most Important Issue - Trends
18 18
25 24
3128
26
31
2730 30
2522
29
25
21
26
18
3128
36
25
33
28
14
21 20 2018 17
28
24
1820 20 19
13
1619
17 17
22
12
16
12 13
16
12 1213
8
1412 12
75
10
7 7 6
9
68 8 9
14 13
10
13
10 10 9
17
27
15
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Fa '9
9
Fa '0
1
Fa '0
2
Fa '0
3
Fa '0
4
Fa '0
5
Fa '0
6
Fa '0
7
Crime Growth/Transportation Education Taxes
Findings - 2Chart 3: Economic Conditions
21 2736 35 32
22 22 23 23 22 25
6060 50 51 55
62 56 60 62 59 59
14 6 5 5 7 12 15 14 9 12 10
Fair
Good
Excel.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Spring2002
Fall 2002
Spring2003
Fall 2003
Spring2004
Fall2004
Spring2005
Fall2005
Spring2006
Fall2006
Spring2007
Fall2007
Excellent
Good
Fair
Poor
Don’t know
Findings - 3Bush Job Approval – by Party
18
56
26
35
79
35
62
57
4
912
9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Approve Disapprove No opinion
Dems Reps Independents Overall
Findings - 4Iraq Policy – by Party & Ideology
34
52
10
54
34
9
8
62
26
12
50
33
23
60
15
22
64
10
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Dem Liberal Rep Cons. Independent Moderate
Leave Quick 22% Leave Gradually 58% Victory 18%
Findings - 5
Taxes
The state is facing a 1.7 billon dollar deficit in its current budget. Governor Martin O’Malley has made several proposals to deal with this deficit. When I read you each of the proposals, tell me whether you generally agree or disagree with it: Proposal Agree Disagree No
answer 5.1 An increase in the sales tax from 5 to 6 percent 34 63 3 5.2 An increase in the car titling tax from 5 to 6 percent 34 63 3 5.3 An increase in the corporate income tax 60 37 3 5.4 A restructuring of state personal income tax, placing a greater burden on those with incomes over $200,000
61 36 3
5.5 A reduction in the state property tax 71 25 4 5.6 Introduction of slot machines in Maryland 61 34 5 5.7 A one dollar increase in cigarette tax dedicated to paying for increased health insurance coverage to the uninsured.
70 28 2
Findings - 6 “How familiar are you with the issue of global warming –
very, somewhat or not very familiar?”
Global Warming
How familiar? Percentage
Very 39
Somewhat 50
Not very 11
No answer 1
Total 101
Findings - 7 “How familiar are you with the issue of global warming –
very, somewhat or not very familiar?”
Global Warming
Findings - 8Global Warming
Agreement with Propositions about Global Warming
Proposition – Global warming… Agree
Disagree
NA Total
Is probably occurring 85 12 3 100
Has been caused or increased by human activity releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere
76 18 5 99
Will have long-term sharp impacts on coastal areas like Anne Arundel County due to rising water levels
70 22 8 100
Has already had some effects on the environment in your neighborhood
48 45 8 101
Findings - 9 “Has been caused or increased by human activity releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere”
Global Warming
Findings - 10Global Warming
Agreement with Policies about Global Warming
Proposal Agree
Disagree
NA Total
Increase taxes on carbon based fuels like gasoline and natural gas
33 61 6 100
Change lifestyles so that individuals use less fuels
79 18 3 100
Provide tax incentives for energy saving such as purchasing fuel efficient vehicles or energy saving appliances
87 10 4 101
Have federal government set clear goals and timetables for the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions
70 24 6 100
Findings - 11 “Increase taxes on carbon based fuels like gasoline and natural gas”
Global Warming
Findings - 12 Global warming: Familiarity by AGE, GENDER, EDUCATION
Global Warming
How Familiar?
0-30
31-40
41-50
50-64
65+.01
Men
.01
Women
HS Dip
Some
Coll
BA Postgrad
Work .01
Very 35 39 37 41 44 47 31 32 33 39 52
Somewhat
44 53 54 52 46 43 56 46 54 53 46
Not very 21 8 9 7 8 9 12 21 12 7 3Human Cause?
0-30
31-40
41-50
50-64
65+.6
Men.01
Women
HS Dip
Some
Coll
BA Postgrad
Work .09
Agree 76 84 77 76 77 71 82 68 78 75 81
Disagree 19 14 18 17 19 24 12 25 16 20 15
No answer
6 2 5 7 4 5 6 8 6 5 3
Carbon Tax?
0-30
31-40
41-50
50-64
65+.4
Men.3
Women
HS Dip
Some
Coll
BA Postgrad
Work .01
Agree 39 29 34 35 33 33 33 27 25 38 40
Disagree 54 67 62 60 58 62 60 65 69 57 53
No answer
8 5 4 5 9 5 8 8 6 5 7
Findings - 13Global Warming
Agreement with Increasing Carbon Taxes – by Party8.1 Increase taxes on carbon based fuels like gasoline and natural gas * 12. Political Party registered with Crosstabulation
1 20 27 7 4 0 59
3.8% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% .0% 6.4%
14 144 89 31 23 4 305
53.8% 40.8% 23.1% 34.4% 38.3% 40.0% 33.0%
11 189 269 52 33 6 560
42.3% 53.5% 69.9% 57.8% 55.0% 60.0% 60.6%
26 353 385 90 60 10 924
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Count
% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with
Count
% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with
Count
% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with
Count
% within 12. PoliticalParty registered with
No Answer
Agree
Disagree
8.1 Increase taxes oncarbon based fuels likegasoline and natural gas
Total
No Answer Democratic Republican Independent None Other
12. Political Party registered with
Total
Symmetric Measures
.192 .000
.136 .000
924
Phi
Cramer's V
Nominal byNominal
N of Valid Cases
Value Approx. Sig.
Not assuming the null hypothesis.a.
Using the asymptotic standard error assuming the nullhypothesis.
b.
Findings - 14Agreement with Increasing Carbon Taxes – by Party
6
41
54
7
23
70
8
34
58
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Dem Rep Independent
Agree with Carbon Taxes by Party
Disagree
Agree
NA
Findings - 15Global Warming: Whose Responsibility?
Entity %
The Federal government 39
State or local government 15
Companies 10
Individuals 24
None as there is no solution to global warming
3
Don’t know 10
Total 101
Findings - 16Global Warming: Whose Responsibility – by Party
42
18
10
19
2
9
36
14
8
28
5
9
37
9
13
23
0
19
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Federal State/local Companies Individuals No solution Don’t know
Dem Rep Independent
Findings - 17Global Warming: Federal Responsibility – by Party & Ideology
42
54
36
30
37
42
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Dem Liberal Rep Cons. Independent Moderate
Federal