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05/03/23 1
Wyoming Worker Commuting Patterns
Doug LeonardPrincipal Economist
Wyoming Department of Employment
Research & [email protected]
(307)473-3811
05/03/23 2
Topics• Who We Are…• Background• Model Applications• What Are Commuting Patterns?• Datasets and Variables• Methods & Capabilities• Terminology• Examples• Conclusion/Questions
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Who We Are…• Our Organization: R&P is a
separate, exclusively statistical entity. • What We Do: R&P collects, analyzes,
and publishes timely and accurate labor market information (LMI) meeting established statistical standards.
• Our Customers: LMI makes the labor market more efficient by providing the public and the public’s representatives with the basis for informed decision making.
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Background• Originally developed in response to a
request from Teton County regarding bus service
• Updated in 2006 to use latitude and longitude for residence and work locations to calculate distances
• Updated in 2008 to integrate commuters from Colorado to Wyoming
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Potential Applications• Defining regional economies• Re-employing the unemployed
(e.g., how far are they willing to commute for work)
• Worker safety and first responder impacts by integrating with WYDOT vehicle crash file
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Applications• City of Gillette (unpublished)• Cheyenne Metropolitan Planning
Organization Study– http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/cheyenne_mpo
_08.pdf• The Road to Work
– http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/commute.pdf• Wyoming Planning Association
– http://doe.state.wy.us/lmi/wyopass091307.pps
• Teton County (first study)
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What are commuting patterns?
• Link place of work to place of residence
• Estimates based on a model
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Datasets Used• Multiple Datasets & Key
Variables– Wyoming Drivers’ Licenses (SSN, Residence
Location, Demographics)*– Colorado Drivers’ Licenses (SSN, Residence
Location)*– Unemployment Tax Detail Files (SSN, Wages,
Employer IDs)– Employer File (Employer ID, Industry, Work
Location)*– Unemployment Claims Files (SSN, Claim Date)– Workers’ Compensation Claims File (SSN, Claim
Date)
*Geographically coded with latitude and longitude
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Key Model Variables• Distance• Worker demographics
– Sex– Age
• Wages earned• Industries worked• Tenure with employer and experience
in industry• State of origin• Work and residence location
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Method• Use work and residence
addresses to calculate distance– Latitude & Longitude
• Workers assigned to location as follows:– Minimum distance– If Distance Not Available or Equal
among multiple records• Statistical Algorithm
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Additional Model Capabilities
• Analyses by any combination of….– Age– Sex– Industry– Distance travelled– Custom time spans
• Current model 2000Q1 – 2009Q2• Can analyze longer spans if needed
– States of origin– Cities and counties of residence in
Colorado for Wyoming workers
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Commuting Terminology
• Inter>>>>>>”Between”• Intra>>>>>>”Within”• Inflow and Outflow
– It’s all relative!
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Example
Pat lives in Cody
Retail Job in Cody
Landscaping Job in Powell
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Concept Review…• Which job(s) involve intercounty
commuting?– Neither: Pat did not cross county lines
• Which job(s) involve intercity commuting?– Landscaping job: Pat drove from Cody to Powell
• Which job(s) involve intracounty commuting?– Both jobs: All of Pat’s activity within Park County
• Which job(s) involve intracity commuting?– Retail job: Pat lives in Cody and job is in Cody
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From a Powell or Cody Perspective: Which is
Inflow? Outflow? Intraflow?Pat lives in
Cody Retail Job in Cody
Landscaping Job in Powell
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Intercity CommutingFigure 1: Intercity Commuting Between Cody, WY and
Powell, WY, 2004Q1 - 2009Q2
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
2004
Q1
2004
Q3
2005
Q1
2005
Q3
2006
Q1
2006
Q3
2007
Q1
2007
Q3
2008
Q1
2008
Q3
2009
Q1
Date
Com
mut
ing
Flow
Cody to Pow ell Pow ell to Cody
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Intracity CommutingFigure 2: Intracity Commuting Flows for Cody, WY and
Powell, WY, 2004Q1 - 2009Q2
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2004
Q1
2004
Q3
2005
Q1
2005
Q3
2006
Q1
2006
Q3
2007
Q1
2007
Q3
2008
Q1
2008
Q3
2009
Q1
Date
Com
mut
ing
Flow
Within Cody Within Pow ell
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Wage AnalysisFigure 3: Average Wages for Powell, WY and Cody, WY
Commuters, 2004Q1 - 2009Q2
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
$10,000
2004
Q1
2004
Q3
2005
Q1
2005
Q3
2006
Q1
2006
Q3
2007
Q1
2007
Q3
2008
Q1
2008
Q3
2009
Q1
Date
Ave
rage
Wag
e
Within Cody Within Pow ellCody to Pow ell Pow ell to Cody
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Sources of Park County Workers, 2008Q1
Figure 4: Distribution of Park County Workers by Residence Location, 2008Q1
79.6%
3.6% 1.0%0.7%
3.9%
11.1%
Park
No WY Or CODriver's LicenseBig Horn
All Other
Washakie
Natrona
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Sources of Park County Workers, 2009Q1
Figure 5: Distribution of Park County Workers by Residence Location, 2009Q1
80.1%
2.8% 0.7%0.7%3.7%
12.0%
Park
No WY Or CO Driver'sLicenseBig Horn
All Other
Washakie
Natrona
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Questions?
