Cognitive Theory Gp2

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    BY GROUP 2 ANAND

    ANUDEEP AJ IT

    SREE HARISH

    SAGAR

    Using Cognitive Theory To Explain

    Entrepreneurial Risk-takingLesllie E Palich & D. Ray Bagby

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    Introduction

    SCHUMPTER 1973KIRZNER 1973KNIGHT 1921

    CANTILLION 1755GOVERNMENTSMIXED OPINIONS

    COGNITIVE PROCESSESDECISION DIMENSIONSSPECIFIC HYPOTHESES

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    Categorization Theory

    Acknowledges the power of cognitive heuristics toexplain human behavior & decision making.Categorization proves useful by allowing for efficient

    storage of information. Assessments are likely to be similarly skewed ordistorted.

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    Entrepreneurs and Cognitive Process

    Entrepreneurs are risk takers.They are more optimistic in their assessments of business situations.

    Categorization by entrepreneurs and nonentrepreneurs.

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    Decision Dimensions

    SWOT analysis

    Provide a summary of business situations

    Measure for Optimism/Pessimism.

    Strength Weakness

    Opportunities Threats

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    Specific Hypotheses

    There will be no difference between in risk propensity between entrepreneurs and non entrepreneurs

    H1 When presented with identical situations,

    entrepreneurs will categorize them as having moreStrengths versus Weakness than non entrepreneursH2 When presented with identical situations,

    entrepreneurs will categorize them as having moreopportunities versus threats than non entrepreneurs.

    H3 When presented with identical situations,

    entrepreneurs will categorize them as having morepotential for gain versus loss than non entrepreneursH4

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    Methods

    Subjects

    Random sample :548

    members.Four pagequestionnaire withcover letter .

    Non response.148 membersresponded out of 548(27%).

    Scenario development

    Stimuli consisted

    of 3 scenario

    Technological

    developments

    Changes incompetitive

    environment

    Trendstowards

    internationalization

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    Measures

    2 fromfaculty of agraduate business

    school

    1 frompractitioner

    highly familiar withentrepreneurs and firms

    Panel of 3entrepreneu

    rshipexperts

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    Cont..

    Panel members assign subject in 2 groups accordingto responses to 8 survey questions that capturedinformation e.g.

    Founding new ventures .New innovationsRapid growthHigh profitability.Estimations of revenue growth.

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    Risk Propensity

    Variables Mean S.D 1 2 3 4

    Group 1.62 .49 - - - -

    Risk Propensity

    5.84 .92 -0.04

    Strengths/ weakness

    1.09 1.29 -0.25 0.14

    Opportunities/threat

    1.45 1.71 -0.20 0.11 0.23

    Improve/deteriorates 1.07 1.31 -0.38 0.10 0.68 .46

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    Results of ANOVA comparing Risk Propensity

    Group N Mean Risk Propensity

    Entrepreneurs 35 5.89

    Nonentrepreneurs 57 5.81

    F 0.16 NS

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    Results of Multivariate and Univariate Analysis

    Variables N MeanScores

    WilkesLambda

    F R square

    Multivariate Model 0.86 4.79

    Strengths/weakness 5.75 0.06

    Entrepreneurs 35 1.48Nonentrepreneurs 55 0.84

    Opportunities/Threats 3.80 0.04

    Entrepreneurs 35 1.89

    Nonentrepreneurs 55 1.18Improve/Deteriorate 14.58 0.14

    Entrepreneurs 35 1.71

    Nonentrepreneurs 55 0.67

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    Discussion

    Entrepreneur is described as the risk propensity orrisk taking ability of an unique individual. According to cognitive theory entrepreneur actually do not take risk rather they tend to categorize the business situations by their schema accessibility (rose-colored glasses).Two condition necessary to support theory of entrepreneurial perception

    Doesn't report greater risk propensity than their non-entrepreneur counterpartsMore optimistic cognitive structure

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    Implications

    Lord and Maher 1990 stated that people do use simplified cognitiveprocess when they form perception.Categorization often lead to serious distortions in processing of information. This leads to two potential biases

    Excessive optimism (by entrepreneur)Pessimism (by non-entrepreneur)

    When trained to identify critical dimensions and important attributesin a business decision, both entrepreneurs and non-entrepreneurs may be alike

    Finally systematic differences in cognitive process helps to distinguishhigh growth entrepreneurs from those who are interested in lifestyleenterprises. Thus a small business owners can identify opportunities

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    Limitations

    Heuristics such as availability, representativeness were not considered.Response rate was less than ideal

    Sample is limited to certain geographical areaThe human perceptions are prone to distortion dueto cognitive limitation of the observers. Hence it isimpossible to get the SWOT for future performance.Hence researchers cannot know certain quality of anindividual

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    Future research

    Cognition affects entrepreneurship. Experience play a vital role in decision making but still questions like,how an entrepreneur adjust his decision frames?, Dosuccess and failure impact cognitive process?Remains un answered paving way for future research

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    Thank You