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Adaptation – learning from case studies for adaptation policies and sustainable development Habiba Gitay World Resources Institute [email protected]. Climate, Energy and Pollution Program World Resources Institute http://www.wri.org. What I want to cover…. Human activities. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Adaptation – learning from case studies for adaptation policies and sustainable development
Habiba GitayWorld Resources Institute
Climate, Energy and Pollution ProgramWorld Resources Institute http://www.wri.org
WRIWRI
What I want to cover….
Human activities
Multiple pressures
Impacts: Ecosystems, ecosystem services, human well-being
Natural and
human capital
Responses
Use this approach to for case studies
Human activitiesPopulation/demographicConsumption/productionTechnological changes
^GHG
Human activities
LULCC
^GHG
Human activities
LULCC
Strat ozone dep
Air pollution,aerosols Pers org poll
^GHG
Human activities
LULCC
Strat ozone dep
Air pollution,aerosols Pers org poll
Climate change
^GHG
Landdegradation
Human activities
LULCC
Changes in biodiversity
Strat ozone dep
Air pollution,aerosols Pers org poll
Climate change
Water degradation
Between Climate change, Land degradation, water degradation and loss in biodiversity
Linkages….
changes in Biodiversity
Land degradation
Water degradation
Climate change
strong
medium
weak
^GHG
Landdegradation
Human activities
LULCC
Changes in biodiversity
Strat ozone dep
Air pollution,aerosols Pers org poll
Climate change
Water degradation
Human well-beingEnvironment sustainability
-ve
WRIWRI
Ecosystem Services The benefits people obtain from ecosystems
•Regulating•Benefits
obtained from regulation of ecosystem processes
• climate regulation• disease control
• flood control•
detoxification
•Provisioning•Goods
produced or provided by ecosystems
• food • fresh water• fuel wood
• fiber• biochemicals
• genetic resources
•Cultural•Non-material
benefits obtained from
ecosystems
• spiritual • recreational
• aesthetic• inspirational• educational • communal• symbolic
• Supporting• Services
that maintain
the conditions for life on
earth.• Soil formation
• Nutrient cycling
• Pollination
^GHG
Landdegradation
Human activities
LULCC
Changes in biodiversity
Strat ozone dep
Air pollution,aerosols Pers org poll
Water degradation
-ve
Responses to reverse trends
and meet sust dev goals
Climate change
Responses
Human well-beingEnvironment sustainability
^GHG
Landdegradation
Human activities
LULCC
Changes in biodiversity
Strat ozone dep
Air pollution,aerosols Pers org poll
Water degradation
-ve
Climate change
Economic Legal & institutional
Social & behavioural
Science, tech & transfer
Human well-beingEnvironmental sustainability
WRIWRI
• Economic
• Legal and institutional
• Social and Behavioural
• Science, technology, technology transfer
• All of these can be part of adaptation
Response options for developing policies
WRIWRI
• Multiple stages
• Initial stage – a set of case studies focused on water and agriculture in specific landscapes
• Ask a series of questions to analyse what is happening on the ground before going into future planned adaptation (network..)
What is our approach…..
WRIWRI
• What is the status of the ecosystems, ecosystem services and human well-being?
• What are the multiple pressures that affect these landscapes and human societies?
• How do individuals/households, formal and informal institutions respond to these pressures including climatic extremes?
• What are the projected changes? (scenarios..)
• Can the present responses cope with future changes? Adaptation –short-term, medium and long-term
Our approach….a series of questions
WRIWRI
• Scenario development
• Aspiration of people at local level
• Sustainable development plans at state/regional/national level
• projections of how pressures (LULCC, population, consumption patterns) are changing, Climate change projections
Our approach….scenario and their uses
WRIWRI
• Awareness raising
• Information – generation and dissemination
• planning and decision-making
• private sector???
• Tools and methods (maybe)
• Resources
Our approach… future stages…
WRIWRI
• Work in specific landscapes/watersheds
• Pilots, learning by doing; understand present
• Inclusion of multiple pressures
• Climate change exacerbating them – may be dominant in future
So in conclusion
WRIWRI
• Consider ecosystem services and tradeoffs between them in space and time
• Consider developing scenarios/storylines
• Use “adaptation” as a vehicle for addressing multiple pressures and maybe indirect drivers (root causes) and moving towards sustainable development
In conclusion