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Chapter 7: Medical Care Chapter 7: Medical Care Production and CostsProduction and Costs
Health EconomicsHealth Economics
Assessing the Productivity of Assessing the Productivity of Medical FirmsMedical Firms
Economists often describe production of output Economists often describe production of output as a function of labor and capital :as a function of labor and capital :
q = f(n,k)q = f(n,k)
In the case of health care :In the case of health care :
qq = hospital services = hospital servicesnn = nurses = nursesk k = medical equipment, hospital building = medical equipment, hospital building
Assessing the Productivity of Assessing the Productivity of Medical Firms (cont.)Medical Firms (cont.)
Short run : Short run : kk is fixed, while is fixed, while nn is variable is variable
a) At low level of At low level of n, kn, k is abundant. Each in nurses is abundant. Each in nurses when combined with capital greater in services.when combined with capital greater in services.- potential synergy effect because nurses can - potential synergy effect because nurses can work in teams.work in teams.
b) Further in nurses service, but a decreasing Further in nurses service, but a decreasing rate - law of diminishing marginal productivity. rate - law of diminishing marginal productivity.
c) “Too many “ nurses can cause congestion, com- “Too many “ nurses can cause congestion, com- munication problems, hospital servicesmunication problems, hospital services
Graphical RepresentationGraphical Representation
Total product = Total product = q q = = f(n,k*)f(n,k*)
hospital hospital servicesservices (q)(q)
Nurses (n)Nurses (n)
marginal marginal productproduct
nursesnurses
MP = MP = qq / / nn
MP is the slope of the TP curveMP is the slope of the TP curve..
n1 n2
TP
n2n1
Graphical RepresentationGraphical Representation
hospital hospital servicesservices
AP = AP = qq // nn
AP is the slope of a ray from the origin to the TP AP is the slope of a ray from the origin to the TP curve.curve.
average average productproduct
B
n3
TPB
C
A
Numerical ExampleNumerical Example
# of nurses
(n)
Amount of k
Total output
(q)
AP of n (q/n)
MP of n (q/n)
0 10 0 --- ---
1 10 10
2 10 30
3 10 60
People living in Boston are hospitalized about 1.5 times as often People living in Boston are hospitalized about 1.5 times as often as those living in New Haven, However, the health outcomes of as those living in New Haven, However, the health outcomes of patients in these 2 cities appear to be identical. Does this mean patients in these 2 cities appear to be identical. Does this mean that hospital care has no ability to improve health?that hospital care has no ability to improve health?
Practice QuestionPractice Question
health health outcomesoutcomes
hospitalizationshospitalizations
Substitutability in Production of Substitutability in Production of Medical CareMedical Care
There may be more than one way to produce a given level of health care.There may be more than one way to produce a given level of health care. Licenced practical nurses (LPNs) vs Registered Nurses (RNs) in hospitals.Licenced practical nurses (LPNs) vs Registered Nurses (RNs) in hospitals.
LPNs have less training.LPNs have less training. Maybe not as productive, but not as costly.Maybe not as productive, but not as costly.
Physician assistants vs physicians at ambulatory Physician assistants vs physicians at ambulatory clinics.clinics. But physician assistants can’t prescribe meds in most statesBut physician assistants can’t prescribe meds in most states. .
Substitutability in Production of Substitutability in Production of Medical Care (cont.)Medical Care (cont.)
= 0 = 0 no substitutabilityno substitutability.. = = perfect substitutability.perfect substitutability.
88
Potential for substitutability If price of 1 input Potential for substitutability If price of 1 input
increases, can minimize impact on total costs by increases, can minimize impact on total costs by
substituting away.substituting away. Elasticity of substitution :Elasticity of substitution :
= [= [(I(I11/I/I22))//II11/I/I22] : [] : [(MP(MP22/MP/MP11))//MPMP22/MP/MP11]]
% change in input ratio, divided by % change in ratio of inputs’ MPs.% change in input ratio, divided by % change in ratio of inputs’ MPs.
Production Function for Hospital Production Function for Hospital AdmissionsAdmissions
Jensen and Morrisey (1986)Jensen and Morrisey (1986) Sample : 3,450 non-teaching hospitals in 1983.Sample : 3,450 non-teaching hospitals in 1983.
qq = hospital admissions = hospital admissions
inputs : physicians, nurses, other staff, hospital bedsphysicians, nurses, other staff, hospital beds.
qq = = 00 + + 11physicians +physicians +22nurses + …. + nurses + …. +
Coefficients in regression are MPs.Coefficients in regression are MPs.
ResultsResults
Each additional physician generated 6.05 more Each additional physician generated 6.05 more admits per year.admits per year.
Nurses by far the most productiveNurses by far the most productive
Annual Marginal Products for AdmissionsAnnual Marginal Products for Admissions
Physicians 6.05Physicians 6.05Nurses 20.30Nurses 20.30Other Staff 6.97Other Staff 6.97Beds 3.04Beds 3.04
Input Input MP (at the means)MP (at the means)
Results (cont.)Results (cont.)
Each inputs is a substitute for other in production Each inputs is a substitute for other in production process.process.
If wages of nurses rise, can substitute away by If wages of nurses rise, can substitute away by having more hospital beds.having more hospital beds.
Elasticity of Substitution between InputsElasticity of Substitution between Inputs
Physicians with nurses 0.547Physicians with nurses 0.547Physicians with beds 0.175Physicians with beds 0.175Nurses with beds 0.124Nurses with beds 0.124
Input pairInput pair
Ex. for when Ex. for when = =
8
Medical Care CostMedical Care Cost
Explicit costs of doing business.Explicit costs of doing business. e.g. staff payroll, utility bills, medical supply costs.e.g. staff payroll, utility bills, medical supply costs.
Necessary for :Necessary for : Comparing performance evaluation across Comparing performance evaluation across
providers/depts.providers/depts. TaxesTaxes Government reimbursement/rate settingGovernment reimbursement/rate setting
Accounting CostsAccounting Costs
Medical Care Cost (cost.)Medical Care Cost (cost.)
i.e. opportunity costs.i.e. opportunity costs. e.g. opportunity cost of a facility being used as an e.g. opportunity cost of a facility being used as an
outpatient clinic = rent it could earn otherwise.outpatient clinic = rent it could earn otherwise.
Necessary for :Necessary for : optimal business planning.optimal business planning. allows one to consider highest returns to assets allows one to consider highest returns to assets
anywhere, anywhere, not just vs. direct competitors, or w/in not just vs. direct competitors, or w/in health care industry.health care industry.
Economic Costs Economic Costs = Accounting Costs = Accounting Costs
RecallRecall
Given a production function :Given a production function :
q q = = f (n,k)f (n,k)
q q = = hospital serviceshospital services
n n = = laborlabor = = nursenurse = = n n
k k = c= capitalapital = = medical equipment, hospital medical equipment, hospital buildingbuilding
Short-Run Total CostShort-Run Total Cost
costcost
hospital servicehospital service
STC( STC( q q )) = = w n + r k*w n + r k*
w w = wage rate for nurses = wage rate for nurses r r = rental price of capital= rental price of capitalshort runshort run k fixedk fixed w n = w n = variable costvariable cost
r k = r k = fixed cost . fixed cost .
q0
STCSTC
w n
r k
Short-Run Total Cost Short-Run Total Cost (cont.)(cont.)
STC( STC( q q )) = = w n + r k*w n + r k*
• In the short run, k is fixed.
rk* is the same, regardless of the amount of hospital services (q) produced.
•As q rises, increases in STC are only due to increases in the number of nurses needed (n).
Short-Run Total Cost (cont.)Short-Run Total Cost (cont.)
costcost
hospital servicehospital service
Recall : Production function initially exhibits IRTSRecall : Production function initially exhibits IRTS
Total costs rise at decreasing rate up to qTotal costs rise at decreasing rate up to q00
q0
STCSTC
w n
r k
After qAfter q00, DTRS in production costs rise at , DTRS in production costs rise at
increasing rateincreasing rate
Marginal and Average CostsMarginal and Average Costs
SMC = STC
q
= (wn + rk*)/q
= w(n/q) = w(1/MPn)
= w/MPn
The short run marginal cost of nurses depends on their marginal productivity.
Marginal and Average Costs Marginal and Average Costs (cont).(cont).
SAVC = STVC
q
= (wn)/q
= w(1/APn)
= w/APn
The short average variable cost of nurses depends on their average productivity.
Graphing Marginal and Average CostsGraphing Marginal and Average Costs
Costs
q0 q0
SMC
SATC
SAVC
SAVC0
SATC0
SMC0
Graphing Marginal and Average CostsGraphing Marginal and Average Costs
SATC and SAVC are u-shaped curves.Increasing returns to scale followed by
decreasing returns to scale. SMC passes through the minimum of
both SATC and SAVC.If marginal cost is greater than average
cost, then the cost of one additional unit of output must cause the average to rise.
Relating Product and Cost CurvesRelating Product and Cost Curves
n q
MPn
APn
Cost
n1 n30
MPn
APn
SMC
SAVC
q1 q3
Average and Marginal Co (cont.)Average and Marginal Co (cont.)
IRTS followed by DRTS in production leads to U IRTS followed by DRTS in production leads to U shaped AC curve. shaped AC curve.
Hospital Hospital doesn’tdoesn’t necessarily produce at q* (min. necessarily produce at q* (min. cost).cost).
Depends on hospital’s objectives.Depends on hospital’s objectives.
Even so, will attempt to stay Even so, will attempt to stay onon the cost curve the cost curve (not above it).(not above it).
Determinants of Short-run Costs Determinants of Short-run Costs (cont.)(cont.)
5 different measures of q 5 different measures of q inputsinputs
ER careER care nursing labornursing labor medical/surgical caremedical/surgical care auxiliary laborauxiliary labor pediatric carepediatric care professional professional
laborlabor maternity carematernity care administrative administrative
laborlabor other inpatient care other inpatient care general laborgeneral labor materials and suppliesmaterials and supplies
Cowing and Holtmann 1981
FindingsFindings
Found short run economies of scaleFound short run economies of scale Hospitals operate to left of min. on AVC curve.Hospitals operate to left of min. on AVC curve.
i.e Larger hospitals producing at lower costs i.e Larger hospitals producing at lower costs than smaller hospitals. than smaller hospitals.
Best way to reduce aggregate hospital costs?Best way to reduce aggregate hospital costs? Reduce # of hospital beds by a fixed % in all Reduce # of hospital beds by a fixed % in all
hospitals.hospitals.
Close the smallest hospitals in each region.Close the smallest hospitals in each region.
Findings (cont.)Findings (cont.)
Definition : Economies of scopeDefinition : Economies of scope
Cost of producing 2 outputs < sum of cost of Cost of producing 2 outputs < sum of cost of production 2 goods separately. production 2 goods separately.
Found Found DisDiseconomies of scope with respect to economies of scope with respect to ER and other services.ER and other services. Larger ER’s may bring in more complex mix of Larger ER’s may bring in more complex mix of
patients to the hospital. ORpatients to the hospital. OR
Larger ER’s generate operating challenges for Larger ER’s generate operating challenges for other services (e.g. communication, staffing other services (e.g. communication, staffing scheduling).scheduling).
Cost-minimizing input choiceCost-minimizing input choice
Example Example
- - Health care providers’ choice of nursing staff mix. Health care providers’ choice of nursing staff mix.
RN’s care for 6 patients per hour; hourly wage = $20RN’s care for 6 patients per hour; hourly wage = $20
LPN’s care for 4 patients per hour; hourly wage = $10LPN’s care for 4 patients per hour; hourly wage = $10
TC(TC(qq00)=20)=20RNRN + 10 + 10LPNLPN
If a hospital needs to hire nurses to care for If a hospital needs to hire nurses to care for growing patient volume, which should be hired? growing patient volume, which should be hired?
Cost Minimizing Input ChoiceCost Minimizing Input Choice Costs are minimized when:
Suppose that instead:
Then the last dollar spent on an LPN generates more output than the last dollar spent on a registered nurse.
MPRN
wRN
=
MPLPN
wLPN
MPRN
wRN
<
MPLPN
wLPN
Are physicians “costly” to Are physicians “costly” to hospitals? hospitals?
Physicians bill insurers or their patients for care.Physicians bill insurers or their patients for care.
In most cases, physician not paid a wage by a In most cases, physician not paid a wage by a hospital. hospital.
However, physicians generate other hospital However, physicians generate other hospital costs.costs.
Review and process physician’s application.Review and process physician’s application. Monitor physician’s performance.Monitor physician’s performance. Examining rooms and other supplies. Examining rooms and other supplies.
MPMPdocdoc MP MPnn
wwdocdoc wwnn
Are physicians “costly” to Are physicians “costly” to hospitals? (cont.)hospitals? (cont.)
Can solve for “shadow price” of doctors, if other Can solve for “shadow price” of doctors, if other variables known.variables known.
wwdocdoc = $7,012 per year. = $7,012 per year.
Does Higher Quality Higher Costs?Does Higher Quality Higher Costs?
Reducing costs without sacrificing quality. Reducing costs without sacrificing quality.
Improved production line.Improved production line.
bedside access to computerized treatment bedside access to computerized treatment guidelines.guidelines.
computerized patient charts.computerized patient charts.
Motivated work force.Motivated work force.
involving nurses in case managementinvolving nurses in case management
reimburse physicians based on performance reimburse physicians based on performance evaluationsevaluations
Does Higher Quality Higher Costs?Does Higher Quality Higher Costs?
“ “ In an increasingly competitive environment, In an increasingly competitive environment, hospitals must take a critical look at their hospitals must take a critical look at their product lines… Many institutions must decide product lines… Many institutions must decide between eliminating or investing in unprofitable between eliminating or investing in unprofitable product lines” product lines”
Juran ReportJuran Report e.g. Hospital may have unprofitable, high quality e.g. Hospital may have unprofitable, high quality
heart surgery, but kidney surgery may be losing $, heart surgery, but kidney surgery may be losing $, lower quality.lower quality.
Business opportunities in costsBusiness opportunities in costs
Companies which can synthesize complex data Companies which can synthesize complex data to improve quality and restrain cost will survive.to improve quality and restrain cost will survive.
Express Scripts - Express Scripts - Pharmacy Benefit Manager (PBM) Pharmacy Benefit Manager (PBM)
Manages prescription claims on behalf of Manages prescription claims on behalf of HMO’s, insurance companies, unions, etc.HMO’s, insurance companies, unions, etc.
Obtains drug cost savings through drug Obtains drug cost savings through drug utilization review, generic substitution, mail-utilization review, generic substitution, mail-order pharmacy, volume discounts from retail order pharmacy, volume discounts from retail pharmacy.pharmacy.
Business opportunities in costsBusiness opportunities in costs
Express ScriptsExpress Scripts-- Practice Pattern Science (PPS) Practice Pattern Science (PPS)
An information service company.An information service company. Offers practice variation analysis and disease Offers practice variation analysis and disease
management support service linking healthcare data management support service linking healthcare data from all points of care.from all points of care.
Complements PBM servicesComplements PBM services Be a leader in the development of disease Be a leader in the development of disease
management, provider profiling and outcomes management, provider profiling and outcomes assessment technologies.assessment technologies.
Business opportunities in costsBusiness opportunities in costs
Express ScriptsExpress Scripts-- Practice Pattern Science (PPS) (cont.)Practice Pattern Science (PPS) (cont.)
Diagnostic ClusterDiagnostic ClusterSMSM Methodology : Methodology : links to a “global” pattern treatment through its patient links to a “global” pattern treatment through its patient treatment episodes (PTEtreatment episodes (PTETMTM))
Provider Profiling :Provider Profiling : reduce providers practice pattern variationreduce providers practice pattern variation
Diseases Management Support Service :Diseases Management Support Service : Gatekeeper of patient case mix.Gatekeeper of patient case mix. Scorekeeper for patterns of treatment.Scorekeeper for patterns of treatment.
Pharmaceutical Information :Pharmaceutical Information : Benchmark prescription drug patternsBenchmark prescription drug patterns Track the composition of prescription drugsTrack the composition of prescription drugs Report the mean and median global treatment costReport the mean and median global treatment cost
Business opportunities in costs Business opportunities in costs (cont.)(cont.)
Practice Pattern Science (PPS) subsidiary. Practice Pattern Science (PPS) subsidiary. Computerized patient profile database.Computerized patient profile database. Bars claims if potential dangerous interactions Bars claims if potential dangerous interactions
identified.identified. Identifies people over-utilizing drugs by visiting Identifies people over-utilizing drugs by visiting
multiple doctors.multiple doctors.
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
In the long run, all inputs are variable. k is no longer fixed. e.g. A hospital can build a new facility or
add extra floors to increase bedsize in the long run.
If all inputs are variable, what does the long run average cost curve look like?
The Long Run Average Cost CurveThe Long Run Average Cost Curve
Average Cost of Hospital Services
# of patients
LATC
q0 q1 q2
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Just like the short run cost curve, the long run cost curve for a firm is also u-shaped.However, the short run cost curve is due to
IRTS, then DRTS relative to a fixed input.e.g. In the short run, the only way to
increase the number of patients treated was to hire more nurses; but the # of beds (k) was fixed.
But in the long run, there are no fixed inputs.
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
The u-shaped long run average cost curve is due to economies of scale and diseconomies of scale.
Economies of scale Average cost per unit of output falls as the
firm increases output.Due to specialization of labor and capital.
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Example of specialization and the resulting economies of scale.A large hospital can purchase a
sophisticated computer system to manage its inpatient pharmaceutical needs.
Although the total cost of this system is more than a small hospital could afford, these costs can be spread over a larger number of patients.
The average cost per patient of dispensing drugs can be lower for the larger facility.
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Economies of scale arise due to specialization of labor and/or capital.That is, the long run relationship between
average costs and output reflects the nature of the production process.
This is why economies of scale (in costs) are can also be referred to as increasing returns to scale (in production).
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Increasing returns to scaleAn increase in all inputs results in a more
than proportionate increase in output.e.g. If a hospital doubles its number of
nurses and beds, it may be able to triple the number of patients it cares for.
However, most economists believe that economies of scale are exhausted, and diseconomies of scale set in at some point.
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Diseconomies of scale arise when a firm becomes too large.e.g. bureaucratic red tape, or breakdown in
communication flows.At this point, the average cost per unit of
output rises, and the LATC takes on an upward slope.
Diseconomies of scale (in costs) imply decreasing returns to scale in production.
The Long Run Average Cost CurveThe Long Run Average Cost Curve
Average Cost of Hospital Services
# of patients
LATC
q0 q1 q2
Economies of scale Diseconomies of scale
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Decreasing returns to scaleAn increase in all inputs results in a less
than proportionate increase in output.e.g. Doubling the number of patients cared
for in a hospital may require 3 times as many beds and nurses.
In some cases, the production process exhibits constant returns to scale.A doubling of inputs results in a doubling of
output.
The Long Run Average Cost Curve The Long Run Average Cost Curve under Constant Returns to Scaleunder Constant Returns to Scale
Average Cost of Hospital Services
# of patients
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Like the short run cost curve, a number of factors can cause the short run cost curve to shift up or down.Input prices.Quality.Patient casemix.
e.g. If the hourly wage of nurses increases, the average cost of caring for each patient will also rise.The average cost curve will shift _____
Long Run Costs of ProductionLong Run Costs of Production
Empirical evidence on HMOs and costs. See handout.
Computing ProfitsComputing Profits
Recall that the total costs of production for a firm are:
TC(q) = wn + rk Sum of each input price times the # of
inputs used.
We can express total revenues derived from producing and selling a given level of output (q) as:
TR(q) = output price x q
Computing Profits (cont.)Computing Profits (cont.)
Thus, we can express profits for the firm as:
(q) = TR(q) – TC(q)
= Profits
TR = Total revenue
TC = Total costs
We assume that firms choose a level of output (q) to maximize profits.
Computing Profits (cont.)Computing Profits (cont.)
Assume that as output increases, total revenue rises at a diminishing rate.
Also, recall the shape of short run total cost curve derived previously.
Then we can graph the total revenue curve and the total cost curve, and use them to visualize profits.Profits will be the vertical distance between
total revenues and total costs at any given quantity of output.
Graphing ProfitsGraphing ProfitsTotal dollars
Quantity of output (q)
TC
TR
q0
TR0
TC0
(q0) = TR0 – TC0
Graphing ProfitsGraphing ProfitsTotal dollars
Quantity of output (q)
TC
TR
At what output level(s) does the firm make profits equal to 0? At what output levels could the firm make negative profits ?
Graphing ProfitsGraphing ProfitsTotal dollars
Quantity of output (q)
TC
TR
q0
TR0
TC0
Notice that I have plotted q0 where the TR curve is above the TC curve, and the 2 curves are the furthest apart (in vertical distance).
Computing Profits (cont.)Computing Profits (cont.)
I have plotted q0 at the point where the firm maximizes profits.At this point the difference between total
revenues and total costs is the greatest, and TR>TC.
Note that this is also the point where the slopes of the TR curve and the TC curve are equal.
Computing Profits (cont.)Computing Profits (cont.)
Recall that the slope of the total cost curve represents marginal costs.
MC = TC/q
The slope of the total revenue curve represents marginal revenue.
MR = TR/q
A firm maximizes profits where:MR=MC
Computing Profits (cont.)Computing Profits (cont.)
A firm maximizes profits where MR=MC. Why?
Suppose the firm was instead producing at a point where MR>MC. Then additional units of output would
generate more marginal revenues than marginal costs, and profits could be higher.
Suppose the firm was instead producing at a point where MC>MR.Then the last unit of output generates
economic losses.
Graphing ProfitsGraphing ProfitsTotal dollars
Quantity of output (q)
TC
TR
At q1, the firm should raise output to increase profits.
At q2, the firm should lower output to increase profits.
MC>MR
MR>MC
q1 q2