021300OCT17 1

Changing the Army to Win in a Complex World

18 OCTOBER 2017

Rickey E. SmithDeputy Chief of Staff, G-9

US Army Training and Doctrine Command

http://www.tradoc.army.milhttp://www.arcic.army.mil

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at “AdaptingTheArmy”

UNCLASSIFIED

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Harbingers of Future Conflict

… Competent adversaries with “good enough” capabilities … complex terrain

… Near peers who can execute joint, combined arms, fire and maneuver

… Integrated Air Defense and MANPADS that deny air superiority

… Targeting by UAVs, suppression by Artillery/MLRS, overrun by Armor

… Employment of regular forces, proxies and criminal groups

… Focus on electronic warfare, cyber to counter precision and the “network”

UNCLASSIFIED

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UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

The Future Character of War

An Era of Accelerated Human Progress (through 2035)…..Where our adversaries can take advantage of new technologies, doctrine, and revised

strategic concepts to effectively challenge US Military Forces across all domains.

…An Era of Contested Equality (Beyond 2035-2050)…where the very nature of warfare has changed. Prevailing in this era will depend

on an ability to synchronize multi-domain capabilities against an artificial enhanced

adversary…who will adopt sophisticated information operations and narrative

strategies to change the context of the conflict and thus defeat US political will.

connecting and intertwining both eras through convergence of…

BioengineeringNeurologic Enhancement

NanotechnologyAdvanced Material Sciences

Quantum ComputingArtificial Intelligence

RoboticsAdditive Manufacturing

where virtually every new technology is connected and intersecting to other technologies and advances us into…

http://www.tradoc.army.mil/watch/OperationalEnvironment_ChangingCharacter_FutureWarfare.pdf

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Multi-Domain Battle – Main Problems

4UNCLASSIFIED

“Assessment of the emerging OE, a new understanding of the battlespace, and adversary systems and methods in competition

and armed conflict results in five main problems for U.S. forces."

Multi-Domain Battle: Evolution of Combined Arms for the 21st Century 2025-2040 draft

How do U.S. forces best consolidate gains and produce sustainable

outcomes, set conditions for long-term deterrence, and adapt to the

new security environment?

How do U.S. forces allow ground forces to defeat the enemy

in the close area?

How do U.S. forces conduct deep maneuver by air, naval, and/or

ground forces to suppress and destroy enemy indirect fire and air

defense systems and reserve forces?

How do U.S. forces maneuver from contested strategic and

operational depth and with sufficient combat power in time to

defeat enemy forces?

How do U.S. forces deter the escalation of violence; defeat threat

operations to destabilize the region; and turn denied spaces into

contested spaces should violence escalate?

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Geographic Space Continuum

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Point of physical manifestation of capabilities/effects Pathways capabilities must traverse to create effect Key

Tactical (Space, Cyberspace, EW, Information)

Operational (Space, Cyberspace, EW, Information)

Strategic (Space, Cyberspace, EW, Information)

Physical Manifestation of Capabilities & Effects Across Levels of War

Future Operational FrameworkMulti-Domain Battle Concept

UNCLASSIFIED

Strategic

Support Area

Tactical

Support Area

Close Area Deep

Maneuver

Area

Operational

Support Area

Operational

Deep Fires

Area

Strategic

Deep Fires

Area

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QUESTIONS

It’s tough to make predictions,

especially about the future.

If you don’t know where you are

going, you might wind up

someplace else.

021300OCT17 77

www.arcic.army.mil

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Army Warfighting Challenges are first order questions; the answers will

improve the combat effectiveness of the current and future force

Army Warfighting ChallengesAOC Appendix B (Revised 27 Sep 2017)

Focus concept and capability development

Allow the Army to integrate near-term, mid-term and long-term efforts

Enable sustained collaboration across the community of practice (DA Staff, TRADOC, AMC, and FORSCOM)

1. Develop Situational Understanding

2. Shape the Security Environment

3. Adapt the Institutional Army and Innovate

4. Counter WMD

5. Conduct Homeland Operations

6. Conduct Space, Cyberspace, Electronic

Warfare, and Communications

Operations

7. Enhance Realistic Training

8. Improve Soldier, Leader and Team

Performance

9. Develop Agile and Adaptive Leaders

11. Conduct Air-Ground Reconnaissance and

Security Operations

12. Conduct Joint Expeditionary Maneuver

and Entry Operations

13. Conduct Wide Area Security

14. Ensure Interoperability and Operate in JIM

Environment

15. Conduct Cross-Domain Maneuver

16. Set the Theater, Sustain Operations, and

Maintain Freedom of Movement

17. Employ Cross-Domain Fires

Exercise Mission Command

Develop Capable Formations

(milWiki site) https://www.milsuite.mil/book/groups/army-warfighting-challenge-awfc-group

18.

19.

20.

3.

UNCLASSIFIED

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Cross-Domain Operations: Historical Perspective

1973: ¼ of Israeli Air

Force downed by

Egyptian air defense

belt. Israeli air

freedom of maneuver

restored by ground

counterattack.

332 BC: Alexander

the Great’s land

campaign to Tyre

culminates with

surrender of

Persian fleet.

1944: Allied land

offensive

eliminates

German U-Boat

threat after

years of Allied

bombing.

2015: Russia

establishes air

supremacy from

the ground.