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8/14/2019 Capital Structure final updated file.pdf
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Application of Capital Structure Theory Presented by Modigliani & Miller
in the Real W orld: Comparison of Efficient & Inefficient Market.
ABSTRACT:
Financing through debt or equity remain a challenge for firms operat ing
in efficient and inefficient markets. Different theorist presented their opinions
and research to solve this dilemma. MM theory claims to sort this problem out
under certain assumptions. Literature presents support as well as crit icism of
the MM theory. To determine the financial health of proposed theory researcherwill conduct a series of empirical analyses in efficient (London Stock Exchange)
and inefficient (Karachi Stock Exchange). The data collected will be than
compared to Dubai Stock Exchange that holds all the three assumptions
suggested MM theory. This will involve qualita tive and quantitative research
techniques. The study is designed over a period of 3 years
.
Key Words: Trade-off theory, MM theory, financial leverage, Operational
leverage, efficient markets, inefficient markets, Capital Structure, Firm
characteristics.
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risk plus financial risk (Janauri, 2005). The underlying study will consider
capital structure and its determinants with total leverage.
Neither equi ty nor debts are the best way of determining the capital st ructure of
a firm. This ironic statement twisted the minds of researchers and financials for
years and years. As Myers (1984 ) called it capital structure puzzle. Financing
businesses is a lways a difficult but inevitable task for corporations. Companies
financing decisions involve a wide range of policy issues (Abor, 2008) . A
number of internal and external factor determine the capital structure of
company (Ilyas, n.d.) . In this regard, different types of theories were presented
on different t imes. These theories are: static trade-off theory by Miller and
Modigliani (1958) , Pecking order theory by Donaldson’s (1961 ) and the markettiming theory (Spremann, Lang, Getzmann, 2010).
According to the propositions of the MM theory: the value of a firm is
independent from its corporate financing decisions under certain conditions. In
fact MM pointed out the direction that capital structure theories must take by
showing under what conditions capital structure is irrelevant (Harris and Raviv,
1991). Titman (2001) lists some fundamental conditions that make the MM
proposit ion hold:
1. No (distortionary) taxes,
2. No transaction costs,
3. No bankruptcy costs,
4. Perfect contracting assumptions, and
5. Complete and perfect market assumption.
Since the publication of MM’s irrelevance proposition, hundreds of articles on
the theory of capital structure have been carried out in order to find out under
what conditions capital structure does matter. In other words, i t is of great
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interest to investigate if capital structure choices become relevant once one or
more of the key conditions are relaxed.
Capital structure of firms differs from each other as they get affected by an
array of factors. Some firm have high leverages while other has low. They get
themselves financed through the issuance of common stock or preferred stock in
stock market or companies acquire long term debts through institutional
financing (Brigham, & Houston, 2010). According to Fama, (1970) the primary
role of capital market is allocation of ownership of economy’s capital stock. An
in-depth study of capital market points towards “efficient market hypothesis ”.
This hypothesis propose existence of three types of markets in economies that
are strong form market, semi strong form market and weak form market; firsttwo comes under the category of efficient market, while the last is referred as
inefficient market.
Turning back to the goal of this study, MM theory holds only in efficient market
while they do not work in inefficient market. This l i terary argument needs
empirical justification for the reason this study is being designed for a
comparison among Karachi stock exchange, London stock exchange and Dubai
stock exchange.
RESEARCH QUESTION:
What i s the application of Capital Structure Theory presented by M odigli ani and Mil ler in the
real world; a comparison of eff icient and in eff icient M arkets?
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AIMS AND OBJECTIVES:
To study the capital structure differences in efficient and in efficient market
To study the implementation of MM theory in efficient and inefficient market
To compare the effects of MM theory in different economies (taxable and taxfree)
To study the asymmetric information effect on capital structure
To challenge the assumption taken by MM theory
To suggest improvements in financing theories
To add value to existing financial knowledge
SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY:
The study will be significant for both academicians and practit ioners.
Academic Significance:
The study will be significant for academicians in the following ways:
1. Revisit of theory will test the propositions of MM theory which will provide the
academicians with the opportunity to make comparisons between efficient and inefficient
markets of different countries around the world.
2. It will help the academicians in identifying the gap in literature which exists in MM
theory in form of no differentiation between financing the business through debt or
equity.
3.
It will establish the comparability between different economies of the world i.e.
developed and developing. Developing economies like Pakistan are bound with taxes and
having different arrangements of capital structure as compare to the capital structure
arrangements of the developed countries.
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Practit ioner Significance:
Revisit of theory of finance will be significant for the practit ioners in the
following ways:
1. It will help the practit ioners in determining the extent of leverage.
2. It will be helpful in evaluating the optimal capital structure for the
smooth running of business.
3. It will help in determining the proportion of debt and equity in the capital
structure of the business.
4. It will help in determining the tradeoff between benefits and costs of
having debts for a business.
5. It will be useful for practit ioners as i t will find out that efficient and
inefficient markets should not be evaluated on the same propositions for
debt and equity presented in MM theory.
6. It will help the practit ioners in deciding the best determinants for the
capital structure.
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Section I has covered the introduction of the study its aims, objectives and
significance.
Section II will cover the Literature Review surrounding the MM theory.
Section III will cover the Research Methodology, data collection methods
and its paradigm.
Section IV will briefly report the time line of the thesis.
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Section II:
LITERATURE REVIEW:
In the recent years the concept of optimal capital structure was based on
asymmetric information (Abor 2008; Myer and Mujalif 1984). This means
firms prefer to finance internally if the cost of debt along with risk is high in
the market (Abor, 2008). This concept was replaced by theory presented by
Modigliani and Miller that provides an opportunity to debt financing as it
provides tax cover shield. As tax is not implementable on debts hold by
corporate, so share holders get high returns. But this income on dividing among
shareholders as profit becomes taxable.
Modigliani and Miller (1958) claim that under perfect capital market
conditions, a firm’s value depends on its operating profitabili ty rather than its
capital structure. In 1963, Modigliani and Miller (1963) fix the previous paper;
argue that, when there are corporate taxes then interest payments are tax
deductible, 100% debt financing is optimal. This means that the firm’s value
increases as debts increases.
The theory of optimal capital structure Modigliani and Miller value
invariance proposition I states that under certain conditions, the value of the
firm is independent of i ts capital structure (Firer, Ross, Westerfield and Jordan,
2008).One of these conditions is absence of tax. However, in the real world
taxes do exist and specifically interest payments on debt are tax deductible. The
value of firm will increase as the debt/equity ratio increases. Another way of
stating M&M proposition I, with taxes is that the value of levered firm is equal
to the value of firm with no debt plus the present value of the interest tax
shield. The interest tax shield is the benefit that results from the benefit that
results from the fact that profits are only taxed after tax payments have been
deducted. The tax benefits of the debt give a clear reason for the firms to
borrow rather than issue the equity ( Opler et al. , 1997).
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Along with high interests on debts here comes two primary issues, one is off
bankruptcy of a fi rm (Titman, 1984) and the other is of agency cost that arises
between mangers and shareholders of a fi rm on issuance of more and more
equity. Debt may be a good option for financing but i t put management under
stress as i t lowers the stock price (Il lyas, 2008). Damodran (2001) advised
firms to select their financing plan carefully. Otherwise they can get themselves
into the troubles.
According to the theory, the firm borrows up to the point where tax
benefit from extra rand of debt is exactly equal to the cost that comes from the
increased probability of the financial distress. The II proposition of the statictrade off theory by MM stated that when proposition I held the cost of equity as
a linear increasing function of debt/equity ratio. The proposition implied that
weighted average of these cost of capital to a firm would remain the same no
matter what combination of financing sources the firm actually chose (Miller,
1988).
Two categories of leverages are in strong connection with financial risks
and operational risks that cumulate as total risk. According to Titman and
Wessel (1988) there exist six ways to calculate financial and operational
leverage. This includes dividing long term, short term, and convertible debt by
market value and booked value turn by turn.
Capital structure is actually backed by certain factor these may vary from
firm to firm and economy to economy. Yet a consensus about certain factor exist
in li terature these factors are age of the firm, firm size, asset structure,
profitabil ity, fi rm growth, firm risk, taxation, managerial ownership, type of
business (Abor, 2008; Il lays, 2008; Song, 2005; Harris & Raviv, 1991;
Titman & Wessels 1988).
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This propels the discussion toward efficient market hypothesis; i t
describes “ stocks are always in equilibrium and it is impossible for an investor
to consistently beat the market (Brigham, & Houston, 2010). This had become
possible with easy availabi lity of information with the help of technology. Now
the question is about quality and quantity of information about a particular
market as i t determines the efficiency level of a particular stock market. First
come weak form that states all information contained in past price movements is
fully reflected in current market prices ( Fama, 1970) . Second is semi- strong
form market, here all publically available information is reflected in stock
prices (Brigham, & Houston, 2010) . Finally strong form market reflects all
pertinent information weather publically or privately available in stock prices
( i b i d . ).Here the reason for discussing these market types was related to the
intentions of investor to finance capital for a particular firm or not. As their
intention vary from company to company and industry to industry thus creating
vast difference in capital structure.
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Section III:
METHODOLOGY:
S cope of the Study
The major purpose of this study is to explore and examine the application ofMM theory in Karachi Stock Market (Inefficient Market) that will be then
compared to application of MM theory in London Stock market (Efficient
Market). For reliabili ty and validity another market fulfil l ing the assumption set
by MM theory will be introduced as Control group that will justify the results
drawn from the above stated two markets.
Research Methodology:
The preferred methodology for the study will be
“TRIANGULATION”. Triangulation is a powerful technique that facilitates validation of
data through cross verification from more than two sources. In particular, it refers to the
application and combination of several research methodologies in the study of the same
phenomenon .
It can be employed in both quantitative (validation) and qualitative (inquiry) studies.
It is a method-appropriate strategy of founding the credibility of qualitative analyses. It becomes an alternative to traditional criteria like reliability and validity.
It is the preferred line in the social sciences.
By combining multiple observers, theories, methods, and empirical materials, researchers can
hope to overcome the weakness or intrinsic biases and the problems that come from single
method, single-observer and single-theory studies.
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Data collection Methods:
Qualitative & Quantitative Techniques:
Various articles and books written by different scholars helped to gain more
information about Karachi, London, and Dubai stock markets and practical
application of MM theory its problems and potential solutions.
Following qualitative techniques and tools will be used:
Use of secondary data
Informal interviews
Focus group discussion
The major focus while collecting data from these resources will be about the
potential appl ication of MM theory in real world. Beside the above mentioned
sources, Social Science research Network website, Modigliani and Miller article
will help in the study.
Secondary data option is used to carry out the analysis and recommendationabout the application of MM theory in Karachi and London Stock Exchange.
The quantitative method provides a broad understanding of the concerns and
potential recommendations and conclusions using various scholarly works on t he
subject being investigated. The advantages of quantitative research compared to
qualitative research are given below:
It is an easy way to investigate breadth specific issues, in contrast to
qualitative method.
It is easy to collect quantitative data for inefficient markets rather
qualitative data.
The study move according to time series, while comforting researcher due
to planned occurring.
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Detailed relevant information can be obtained and participants feel no hesitation
in their findings. However the existence of relationships and exact numbers to
describe the issues is the strength of quantitative research method. Moreover it
is easy to analyse vast amounts of information to produce results especially in
time bounded environment.
The quantitative technique employed in the study will be STRUCTURED
QUESTIONNAIRE.
Research Paradigm:
“ Regardless of which paradigm you are employing, it is important that you payattention to all features and ensure that there are no contradictions and
deficiencies in your methodology ” (Collis and Hussey, 2003, p-55).
As the study employed both quantitative and qualitative methods. So, the
research paradigms for the study will be both positivism and Interpretivism.
Positivism – associated with quantitative research. Involves hypothesis testing
to obtain “objective” truth. Also used to predict what may happen at a future
date. Critical realism is a subtype of positivism that incorporates some value
assumptions on the part of the researcher. It involves looking at power in
society. Researchers primarily rely on quantitative data to do this.
Interpretivism – associated with qualitative research. Used to obtain an
understanding of the word from an individual perspective. Critical Humanism is
a subtype of the interpretive paradigm. The critical humanism approach is one inwhich the researcher involves people studied in the research process. Data is
used for social change.
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Section IV:
Time Line for Doctoral Thesis:
Sr. No. Activity Duration Years
1. Initial proposal 1 Months
2. Literature Review 3 Months
3. Final proposal 6 Months
4. Proposal Defense 7 Month
5. Literature Review along with
methodology
12 Month Year 1
6. Devise Research approach 14 Month
7. Draft research strategy and Method 15 Month
8. Develop questionnaire 18 Month
9. Pilot test 19 Month
10. Administrating questionnaire 20 Month
11. Enter Data into computer 24 Month
12. Analyze Data 24 Month Year 2
13. Draft Findings 26 Month14. Complete remaining chapters 30 Month
15. Finalize report 35 Month
16. Defense 36 Month Year 3
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References:
Illyas, J. (2008). The determinants of capital structure: Analysis of non
financial firms listed in Karachi stock exchange in Pakistan. Journal of
managerial sciences. Vol . 2(2) . Pp. 279-307. Damadoran, (2001) Corporate Finance, Theory and Practice . Wiley,
International Edition
Titman, Sheridan, and Robert Wessels, 1988, The determinants of capital
structure choice, Journal of Finance 43, 1-19.
Myers, S., and N. Majluf. (1984). “Corporate Financing and Investment
Decisions when Firms have Information that Investors do not
have.” Journal of Financial Economics 13, 187-221. Song, H-S. (2005).Capital Structure Determinants: An empirical study of
Swedish companies. Royal Institute of Technology, Center of Excellence
for studies in innovation and science, Department of Infrastructure.
Sweden
Abor, J. (2008). Determinants of the capital structure of Ghanaian firms.
African Economic Research Consortium. Research paper No. 176. Pp. 1-
29.
Modigliani, F., and M. Miller (1958). “The Cost of Capital, Corporation
Finance and the Theory of Investment.” American Economic Review 48,
261-297. 31
Titman, S. 1984. “The effect of capital structure on a firm’s liquidation
decisions”. Journal of Financial Economics , 13: 137 – 51.
Getzmann, A., Lang, Sebastian, & Spremann, K (2010). Determinents of
the target capital structure and adjustment speed evidence from Asian
capital markets. JEL-classification. pp. 1-30. Fama, E, F. (2005). Efficient capital markets II. The Journal of Finance.
Vol. 50(5). 1576-1609.
Saunders, M., Lewis, P., & Thornhill , A. (2006). Research methods for
business students. (3 r d ed.). India: Pearson Education.