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17 April 2015
Aberdeen
CAPITAL MARKETS DAY
1
09:30 Welcome Mark Allan
09:35 Operations in Aberdeen Richard Smith
09:50 Developing in Aberdeen Richard Simpson
10:00 Student accommodation and the new market Mark Corver
in HE: some evidence from UCAS
10:15 UK student housing market overview Philip Hillman
10:30 City tour introduction Ashley Gibbons
The Old Fire Station
Spring Gardens
Causewayend
AGENDA
Richard Smith, Managing Director of Operations
OPERATIONS IN ABERDEEN
3
Two strong and popular Higher Education
Institutions (HEIs): the University of Aberdeen (UoA) and Robert Gordon University (RGU)
UoA is ranked 44th and RGU 64th in the Times Higher Education UK ranking
Total number of full-time students across both HEIs
is 20,489
Both Universities are looking to increase international and British students with the removal of the cap in 2015
Unite Students operates c.1,300 beds with a team of 30 locally
We have achieved strong rental growth driven by:
- Asset investment
- University relationships
- Service culture
- Strong returning customer market
OPERATIONS IN ABERDEEN
Applicants vs acceptances for Aberdeen University
King Street Exchange
Mealmarket Exchange
Spring Gardens The Old Fire
Station
Year of opening 2003 2003 1992 2001
Build type Traditional
(modular shower
pods)
Traditional (modular shower
pods) Traditional Traditional
No. of bedrooms 178 360 490 273
No. of kitchens 37 76 96 56
No. of blocks 3 3 11 5
4
With an average age of 15 years, Aberdeen is 8 years older than the Unite Students estate
average
Our proactive approach to maintenance and lifecycle investment – Ageless Asset – ensures we are able to offer a quality product and a great level of service and satisfaction
We focus on creating buildings that are:
- Sustainable – environmentally, financially and physically
- Safe – for our students, employees and all
- Compliant – up to date with the latest regulations and best practice
MAINTAINING OUR ESTATE
5
OUR APPROACH TO MAINTENANCE – AGELESS ASSETS
Property 5 year Compound Rental Growth
King Street Exchange
4.8%
Mealmarket 4.9%
Spring Gardens 6.8%
The Old Fire Station 5.1%
6
Since 2013 we have seen an 18% reduction in
maintenance jobs. On average, jobs cost £48 and
take 45 minutes to complete
Our proactive approach ensures that building age
does not necessarily impact the maintenance
requirements / number of jobs (MRF):
Proactive lifecycle investment plan driven by our
detailed and robust condition surveys and rental
growth opportunities. Investments include:
- Kitchen upgrades
- Bed upgrades
- Flooring and decoration
INVESTING IN THE ESTATE – THE BENEFITS
Age does not impact rental growth
Spring Gardens 1992 2.5 MRF per bed
Mealmarket 2003 2.5 MRF per bed
The Old Fire
Station
2001 3.1 MRF per bed
King Street 2003 3.1 MRF per bed
All Unite Students 3.4 MRF per bed
7
Maintenance is a key factor influencing customer satisfaction. Customers rightly want a clean,
safe and well-maintained building
- 70% of our customers rate our maintenance standard as excellent, up 17% in three years
- Ease of logging and communicating faults improved materially, up c. 20% in three years
MAINTENANCE – A CRITICAL SERVICE FACTOR
Our scale drives efficiency:
Real financial savings
Management of all trades in-house excluding gas
Upskilled security for out-of-hours cover
Training delivered in-house by hands-on experts
Customers want:
Clear, appropriate SLAs
First time or clear timeline to fix
Easy route to log issues
8
Maintenance comprises P+L and capitalised (lifecycle) elements:
- P+L – replacement
- Capitalised – improvements, upgrading specification
P+L maintenance spend is c.20% of total operating costs
Opportunity to drive savings that will contribute to NOI margin improvements
Lifecycle investment (capital spend) is undertaken each year against a eight year cycle programme. This programme has been developed via extensive condition surveys and customer
feedback
Total investment of £11 million (c. £5m on see-through basis) per annum on lifecycle capex (£250 per bed) – capex is reflected in valuations
LFL rental growth is stated after lifecycle capex (0.3% impact)
TOTAL MAINTENANCE SPEND
£m £ per bed
Reactive 7.3 167
Planned 2.8 64
Lifecycle 1.3 30
11.4 261
% of revenue 4.2%
9
HOME FOR SUCCESS
Digital
c.667,000 unique visitors year on year, up 88% mostly driven by organic SEO
27% of visitors using mobile devices, up 58%
76% increase in visits to our new site from China, driven by organic rather than paid
searches
Almost a 100% increase on bookings completed via mobile devices
45% of all maintenance jobs logged via our maintenance app, up 100% on last year
Coming soon: dedicated city level welcome guides and package to support clearing, help steer potential customers to available rooms and drive conversion
Physical – Aberdeen LED
Saving in energy usage (kWh) – 8%
Saving per bed – c.£40
Reduction in lighting related maintenance
jobs – 74%
Scalable operating platform can support substantial
growth in beds under management
Current overhead per bed £439
Marginal overhead per bed £82
Marginal benefit per head £357
Marginal benefit equivalent to c.50bps on yield
Marginal overhead is principally IT infrastructure / licensing costs
Completion of PRISM operating platform creates capacity to accommodate growth in beds under
management of at least 50%
Upgrading our overhead efficiency target
- Achieved 60bps of see-through GAV target in 2014
- Updated target to 35-45bps over time at FY14
results
- Now targeting 25-30bps by 2017 due to planned USAF acquisitions
1. Source: Unite annual accounts (based on total number of beds). Efficiency measure calculated as total
operating expenses less management fees as a proportion of Unite's share of gross property asset value
2. Source: Unite annual accounts (based on Unite NOI divided by see-through number of beds)
£3,000
£3,250
£3,500
£3,750
£4,000
£4,250
£4,500
£50m
£60m
£70m
£80m
£90m
£100m
2011 2012 2013 2014
NO
I p
er
Be
d
NO
I
NOI (£m) NOI per Bed
50 bps
60 bps
70 bps
80 bps
90 bps
100 bps
£450
£475
£500
£525
£550
2011 2012 2013 2014
Eff
icie
nc
y m
ea
sure
Ove
rhe
ad
s p
er
be
d
Overheads per bed Efficiency measure
SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIES OF SCALE AVAILABLE
Unite gross overheads per bed1
Unite NOI per bed2
10
Mealmarket Exchange, Aberdeen
Richard Simpson, Managing Director of Property
DEVELOPING IN ABERDEEN
THE MARKET AND PROPERTY TRENDS
The student accommodation market in Aberdeen:
Shortage of good quality, affordable, well-
located accommodation for students in
Aberdeen
UoA and RGU enjoying record demand for
places
Both Universities offer an accommodation
promise to all 1st year and international students
University and corporate PBSA accounts for only
30% of student accommodation provision
International students account for 23% of the
UoA and 11% of RGU student population
49%
22%
15%
14% Private Residential Sector
University Purpose Built
Student Accommodation
Parental/Guardian home
Corporate Purpose Built
Student Accommodation
12
Where students live in Aberdeen
Source: HESA
PBSA competitive landscape in Aberdeen
THE MARKET AND PROPERTY TRENDS
PBSA yields in the city have tracked
the wider UK PBSA market
Other commercial real estate sectors broadly tracked the national NIY average too
13
Source: Knight Frank
Aberdeen Real Estate NIY movement
THE MARKET AND PROPERTY TRENDS
Buoyant residential market
- Long standing supply / demand imbalance
- Annual shortfall of 350-800 homes per annum for the last five years
- 2,300 new homes required annually for the next 25 years
- Current annualised supply ratios equate to 18% to 53% shortfall of new supply (Source: Government Demographic projections)
Growing demand for housing
driven by strong local economy
Historically oil price shows greater
volatility compared to house
prices that have typically stayed
between plus or minus 10%
Aberdeen has growing reputation
as an energy, training and
knowledge hub for the energies
sector
14
QoQ price change oil vs avg Aberdeen property prices
Source: Rettie & Co
CAUSEWAYEND: THE DEVELOPMENT STORY
Exchange Jan 14
Planning Nov 14
Completion Summer 16
Customer Acquired 399 student bed site from
Aberdeen City Council
Longstanding operational presence
in the city helped the selection
process
Site forms a derelict listed school
building in city centre close to
Aberdeen University
Partnering Strong partnerships with the Council
Competitive build cost secured
through early contractor
engagement using a vested
relationship approach
Engagement Planning value add
15
CONSTITUTION STREET: THE DEVELOPMENT STORY
Customer Site secured off-market and
unconditionally in a market where
barriers to entry are high
Subject to planning, the scheme will
provide a home for c.650 students
Opportunity A well-located development site in
central Aberdeen at a competitive
underlying land cost
The immediate area is one of the
favoured addresses by students
because of its proximity to the city
centre and the Universities
Enhanced communal and amenity
space incorporated within the
scheme design
16
Exchange Sep 14
Planning Oct 15
Completion Summer 17
BUILD COST INFLATION
17
Strength of Aberdeen economy is driving
higher than average build cost inflation
Land price a small proportion of TDC
(typically 15%-20%) so land inflation and
planning related land costs such as CIL less
sensitive to project viability
Build cost most important input – currently
running at 4%-5% pa inflation
Partnering with main contractors and
supply chain is key
60% of build cost items on pre-agreed rates
with supply chain, minimising disruptive
impact of increasing contractor activity
Secured pipeline on track to deliver in line
with target returns
Further selective development
opportunities still available and good
progress being made
2015 2016 2017 2018 Total
London 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.5% 19.5%
Aberdeen 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 4.5% 18.0%
UK average
(excluding London)
3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.0% 16.1%
YoY construction cost inflation
Presentation link:
18
20
UK Student Housing Market Philip Hillman
Overview
19
2015 Market Overview
• Q1 has seen record investment volumes and has been dominated by large portfolio
transactions in the market with overseas investors accounting for the majority of
purchasers.
• 2015 will see unprecedented transaction volumes, ruled by the trading of large
operational portfolios
• Portfolio premiums are having a real impact on pricing of such opportunities and can
range between 25-50 basis points on a net initial yield basis.
• UCAS applications continue to rise steadily with a total number of applications in
excess of 608,000 reflecting a 2% year on year increase
• The potential outcome of the general election does not appear to be significantly
influencing investment decisions and underlying confidence in the sector
Unprecedented investment activity
20
Significant Increase In Transactions Record transaction levels with Q1 having a higher volume of transactions than the whole of 2014
JLL predict over £5bn of student housing to transact in 2015
21
Transactions Overview Portfolios have dominated the investment landscape in Q1 2015
Date Property Town/ City Size
(beds)
Operational/
Development Sale Price
Price Per
Bed NIY Vendor Purchaser
Jan-15 Mansion Hive London 203 Operational £37.75m £185,961 5.50% Frogmore LaSalle IM
Jan-15 Stonebridge
House Bristol 58 Operational £5.5m £94,828 6.50% Urban Creation
Private South
African investor
Feb-15 Liberty Fields London 79 Operational £17.25m £218,354 TBC Brandeaux Empiric
Feb-15 ISL London 347 Operational Confidential Confidential 5.00% Loftus Trust Round Hill
Feb-15 Eastside Locks Birmingham 625 Forward Funding £43.6m £69,760 5.40% Alumno Developments LaSalle IM
Mar-15 Paris Gardens London 253 Operational £61m £241,107 4.50% McLaren/Apache JV Letter One
Mar-15 Union Portfolio National Portfolio 839 Forward Funding £83m £98,927 n/a McLaren Letter One
Mar-15 Pure Portfolio London 2,170 Operational Confidential Confidential 4.50% Pure Student Living Letter One
Mar-15 Brandeaux
Portfolio National Portfolio 16,748 Operational £1.15bn £68,665 5.50%
Brandeaux Student
Accommodation Fund CPPIB
Total 21,322 £2bn*
* Excludes Nido portfolio
22
Transactions Overview Opportunities under offer or coming to market
Status Property Town/ City Size
(beds)
Operational
Development
Sale Price/
Marketing Price Vendor Purchaser
Under Offer Nido Portfolio London 2,526 Operational Confidential Round Hill Capital Confidential
Under Offer Westbourne
Portfolio National Portfolio 5,867 Operational Confidential
OCM Luxembourg
Unicity Holdings Confidential
Under Offer Assam Place London 346 Operational Confidential Alternative Developments
Guernsey Limited Confidential
Under Offer AUB Portfolio National Portfolio 2,099 Operational Confidential AUB UK Student
Accommodation Fund Confidential
In Market Holly Court Bristol 45 Operational £5.6m RBS n/a
To Be Marketed Mansion
Portfolio National Portfolio 5,500 Operational
TBC - expected to be
c.£500m
Mansion Student
Accommodation Fund n/a
23
Regional Yield Curve The past 12 months has seen yields hardening, and further expected upon completion of other portfolios
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
6.00%
6.50%
7.00%
7.50%
Jan-14Opal 3,
Notingham
Mar-14Opal/PWCPortfolio
May-14Tramworks,
Glasgow
Jul-14Cordea Savills
Portoflio
Aug-15Printworks,
Exeter
Oct-14King Square
Studios,Bristol
Oct-14IPG Portfolio
Mar-15BrandeauxPortfolio
24
London Yield Curve In London, the curve has been much more aggressive
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
5.50%
6.00%
6.50%
Mar-14The Curve,
Whitechapel
May-14Canto Court,
Old Street
May-14OCB Portfolio,Central London
May-14Scape,
Greenwich
Jan-15Three Colts
Lane, London
Feb-15ISL, London
Mar-15Pure Portfolio,
London
Mar-15Paris Gardens,
London
25
Investor Demand vs Supply
• Significant weight of capital continuing to look to deploy in the sector
• Still unsatisfied demand from unsuccessful bidders on recent portfolios who are
looking for scale
• Continued demand from successful purchasers who are looking to aggregate further
• Scale being driven by successful bidders is a competitive driver for other investors
not wanting to get left behind
• Limited supply of ‘best in class’ portfolios to satisfy existing demand
Increasing demand, limited supply
26
Investors in UK PBSA The below outlines the breakdown of investors in Q1 2015
61%
34%
5%
Pension Funds
Russian Investors
Other
9%
91%
Established
New Entrant
Types of Investors in UK PBSA in Q1 2015
(£2bn)
27
Investors in UK PBSA Recent investors in the sectors
28
Strategic Objectives of Investors
• Creation of an operational platform to benefit from management efficiencies and to
build more scale
• Placement of capital in a stable economic environment with robust legal rules and
strong currency
• Purely return driven investment, with the attraction of annual rent reviews
• Opportunistic investment
• Development and/or aggregation of portfolios to strategically dispose upon a
specified investment horizon
Investors in the market are currently doing so for a variety of reasons
29
Increasing capital
flows
Increased competition in conventional real estate
sectors
Changing
demographics
Reasons for Investing in PBSA
Higher returns,
with diverse drivers
of income growth
Good
demand/supply
dynamics
Maturing, becoming
more institutionally
acceptable Diversification –
Counter cyclical
sectors
Stable, long term
income stream
30
Threats
• Effects of unstable States on the world economy
• University funding uncertainty
• Election outcome
• Investment Horizon (some of these portfolios/assets being bought are unlikely to
come back to market in the short term)
• Increase in build costs and the effect on regional development
• Regional planning changes – if the 30% ‘affordable rent’ provision is adopted as in
London
Investors in the market are currently doing so for a variety of reasons
31
• Key transactions and mandates
- Hotels – 144 Travelodge portfolio sold to US
consortium made up for private equity groups and an
investment bank for £520m
- Student Housing – c. £500m Pure Student Living
portfolio sold to Letter One
- Student Housing – marketing c. £500m Westbourne
Portfolio
Student Housing
from £166m in 2009
to c£2bn last year
Increased capital flows
in alternatives – from £691m
in 2009 to £8.3bn in 2013
Hotels
88% rise in 2013 to £3.3bn
and YTD 2014 at £4bn
Healthcare
YTD 2014 at £2bn
Alternative Investments Investment volumes and key transactions
32
Alternative Investments
33
Why Student Housing and Healthcare are ‘in vogue’?
34
36
Thank You
35
CITY TOUR INTRODUCTION
Ashley Gibbons, Area Manager – Scotland
OPERATIONS IN ABERDEEN
Ashley Gibbons, Area Manager – Scotland
HOME FOR SUCCESS
A £40 million investment over two years to
strengthen our brand
16 signature commitments channelled into four key
areas: physical, digital, service and people
New visual identity
£21 million investment in LED lighting across the
estates
31 properties complete
Showing 22% energy saving to date
25 receptions and common rooms refurbished in
2014 with the rest on track to be complete this year
Launched a new student website and two student
apps
Customer satisfaction at all time high
Occupancy at 99%
Paying Living Wage
38
HOME FOR SUCCESS ROLL OUT COMPLETE IN ABERDEEN
Physical Digital Service People
LEDs – latest lighting
technology to help
students sleep, relax and
have fun
Information the way
students want it
Services available when
students need them
A brilliant place to work
Vibrant, multi-functional
spaces for every student
and every need
Digital community –
connect with other
students from across the
UK
All shared areas cleaned
at least fortnightly – for
free
Tailored career paths
Personalisation of space Website experience like
any other top youth
brand
Support and opportunities
to help students grow
Flexible benefits (inc.
Living Wage)
Clear identity, modern
and youthful feel of
‘home’
20Mb free Wi-Fi
everywhere, with annual
upgrades
Buildings are full of life
and fun
Great communication
Outside of the Physical elements we have seen tangibles benefits:
Improved interaction with teams
Study rooms booked out in advance
Increased engagement
Creating a community through organising events and bringing people together
LED savings, reduced carbon energy savings – meeting business plan
39
The University of Aberdeen
44 in the Times Higher Education ranking
11,699 full-time students
Nearly one third of students are Scottish and 23% of students are international
Working in partnership for 13 years, over 400 beds on nominations agreement
First property in Aberdeen, Spring Gardens, bought from University in 2002
The second most over subscribed University - 11.7 applicants to places
Contributes £400 million to the local economy
Robert Gordon University
64 in the Times Higher Education ranking
9,207 full-time students
The top University for graduate jobs in 2013 – 97.7%
Voted the ‘Best modern University in the UK’ by The Times Good University Guide 2012
First nomination with Unite Students in 2013, now over 400 beds secured over
five years
Growing relationships with five-year nominations agreement in place
UNIVERSITY PARTNERSHIPS
40
Aberdeen
Occupancy at 98-100% for the last seven years
Sold out for 2015/16 academic year
Strong forecast growth
Revenue management
Strong sales growth in 2015/16
We use revenue management techniques to driver pricing, working through pricing tiers dependent on the pace of sales
From 2016/17 we will have established a new ‘automated’ revenue management capability
to ensure we maximise revenue
STRONG SALES PERFORMANCE
Aberdeen direct-let sales by price
41
SPRING GARDENS REBURBISHMENT
Spring Gardens
Built in 1992
Purchased in 2002 from the University of
Aberdeen
Located opposite Aberdeen College in the city
centre
Refurbishment
9 week delivery programme
Refurbishment of 410 bedrooms over the summer
Total project cost of £3.3 million (£8K per bed)
Target uplift of £14 per bed (£113 per week)
Achieved £40 per bed, (£139 per week)
42
SPRING GARDENS PRE-REFURBISHMENT
Shared kitchen Bedroom Shared living area
SPRING GARDENS POST-REFURBISHMENT
Shared kitchen En-suite bedroom Shared living area
43