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DISCLOSURE APPENDIX AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS, AND THE STATUS OF NON-US ANALYSTS. US Disclosure: Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
CREDIT SUISSE SECURITIES RESEARCH & ANALYTICS BEYOND INFORMATION®
Client-Driven Solutions, Insights, and Access
11 April 2014
Americas/United States
Equity Research
Biotechnology (Biotechnology (US)/Biotechnology & Biopharmaceuticals
(Europe)) / MARKET WEIGHT
Global Biotechnology INDUSTRY PRIMER
Biotechnology Information Toolkit - The BIT
Third edition of the “BIT” – Our bi-monthly database publication: This document acts as a “one stop shop” for all things data-driven. This will be an evolving product, and we very much welcome your “please include” suggestions: Please email [email protected] with ideas. New additions to this edition are highlighted below. We have 5 main sections within this document:
1. Share price performance: Includes large, mid, small and micro-cap biotech (Exhibit 2), biotech vs. other healthcare sub-sectors vs. other major industrial sectors (Exhibit 3-Exhibit 4), top 100 global biotech companies by mkt cap (Exhibit 5-Exhibit 8) and large cap biotech vs. other sectors on PEG basis (Exhibit 9-Exhibit 11).
2. Valuation tables: Includes large cap biotech vs. pharma/healthcare on PE and on Price/Revenue (Exhibit 12-Exhibit 13) and healthcare sub-sector P/E (Exhibit 15-Exhibit 16). NEW – "EV/EBITDA" table (Exhibit 14 & Exhibit 17)
3. Events calendar: Includes medical conferences (Exhibit 18), competitor conferences (Exhibit 19), and PDUFA/FDA/ EMA/CHMP meeting dates (Exhibit 20-Exhibit 23). NEW – Comprehensive Events Calendar for April-June including Q1 reporting dates (Exhibit 24-Exhibit 27)
4. IPO-related performance and valuation: Includes a list of class of 2013/2014 IPOs, pricing and lead product information (Exhibit 28-Exhibit 30) and stock performance (Exhibit 31).
5. “Other stuff”: A catch everything else that includes “Top 25” US and EU healthcare companies (over last 10 years) by mkt cap, net income and revenues (Exhibit 32-Exhibit 34), ETF fund flows of biotech vs. major other sectors (Exhibit 35), “Breakthrough Designation Drug” table –(Exhibit 36)
Exhibit 1: Healthcare Sub Sector 2014 and 2015 EV/EBITDA Multiples
11x
31x
12x
19x
11x
14x
11x
14x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
25x
30x
35x
Major Pharma Spec Pharma Generics Biotech
EV/2014 EBITDA EV/2015 EBITDA
Source: Credit Suisse Research
Research Analysts
Ravi Mehrotra PhD
212 325 3487
Koon Ching PhD
212 325 6286
Lee Kalowski
212 325 9683
Anuj Shah
212 325 6931
Jason Kantor, PhD
415 249 7942
Jeremiah Shepard, PhD
415 249 7933
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 2
Table of Exhibits (1) Share Price Performance
Exhibit 1: Healthcare Sub Sector 2014 and 2015 EV/EBITDA Multiples 1 Exhibit 2: Biotech 2013-2014YTD performance by Market-Cap 4 Exhibit 3: Healthcare Sub-sector Performance* 5 Exhibit 4: Biotech vs. Major Industrial Index Performance* 6 Exhibit 5: Top 100 Biotech Companies by Market Cap (1-50) 7 Exhibit 6: Top 100 Biotech Companies by Market Cap Continued (51-100) 8 Exhibit 7: Top 10 Biotech Companies (of Top 100) with the Least Short Interest 9 Exhibit 8: Top 10 Biotech Companies (of Top 100) with the Most Short Interest 9
(2) Valuation Tables
Exhibit 9: Biotech Valuation Relative to Other Major Industrial Sectors* 10 Exhibit 10: Biotech Valuation Relative to Pharma and the S&P500 on Long Term
Out Year Numbers 10 Exhibit 11: Granularity of Biotech Revenue and EPS growth rates Relative to
Other Major Industrial sectors* 11 Exhibit 12: PE Valuation of Top 25 Global Companies by Market Cap 12 Exhibit 13: PR (Price to Revenues) Valuation of Top 25 Global Companies by
Market Cap 13 Exhibit 14: EV/EBITDA Valuation of Top 25 Global Companies 14 Exhibit 15: PE Valuation of Healthcare Subsectors 15 Exhibit 16: PR (Price to Revenues) Valuation of Healthcare Subsectors 16 Exhibit 17: EV/EBITDA Valuation of Healthcare Subsectors 17
(3) Events Calendar
Exhibit 18: Rolling 12 month Calendar Of Medical/Industry Conferences
(Major Conferences Highlighted) 18 Exhibit 19: CS/Peer Conferences in 2014 20 Exhibit 20: PDUFA Dates for Biotech Companies 21 Exhibit 21: PDUFA Dates for Big Pharma 21 Exhibit 22: CHMP Opinions/Regulatory Filings and EMA Meetings/Decisions for
Biotech 22 Exhibit 23: CHMP Opinions/Regulatory Filings and EMA Meetings/Decisions
for Big Pharma 23 Exhibit 24: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in April (Earnings – Black, PDUFA
– Green, Conferences – Red) 24 Exhibit 25: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in May 1 - 9 (Earnings – Black,
PDUFA – Green, Conferences – Red) 25 Exhibit 26: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in May 12 - 31 (Earnings – Black,
PDUFA – Green, Conferences – Red) 26 Exhibit 27: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in June (Earnings – Black,
PDUFA – Green, Conferences – Red) 27
(4) IPO Related Valuation and Performance
Exhibit 28: List of Biotech IPOs in 2014 28 Exhibit 29: List of Biotech IPOs in 2013 29 Exhibit 30: List of Biotech IPOs in 2013 (continued) 30 Exhibit 31: Class of 2013/2014 Biotech IPO's, S&P 500, S&P500 Biotech Performance 30
(5) Additional Information/Appendix
Exhibit 32: Top Healthcare Companies Ordered By Revenues from 2003
to 2015E 31 Exhibit 33: Top 25 Healthcare Companies Ordered By Net Income from 2003
to 2015E 32 Exhibit 34: Top 25 Healthcare Companies Ordered By Market Cap from 2003
to 2014 (Current) 33 Exhibit 35: ETF Inflows on a YTD and Weekly Basis (April 3 – April 9) (as
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 3
a % of AUM at the beginning of 2014) 34 Exhibit 36: Breakthrough Drug Designation Tracker 35 Exhibit 37: List of Companies Used to Prepare Exhibit 2 39 Exhibit 38: 48 Companies Under Coverage List 40
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(1) Share Price Performance
Exhibit 2: Biotech 2013-2014YTD performance by Market-Cap
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14
Re
lati
ve
YT
D P
erf
orm
an
ce
Large: $30Bn+ Mkt Cap Mid: $3 - $30 Bn Mkt Cap Small: $1 - $3 Bn Mkt Cap Micro: < $1 Bn Mkt Cap
Micro: < $1B Mkt Cap
Large: $30B+ MktCap
Small: $1B - $3 Mkt Cap
Mid: $3B - $30 Mkt Cap
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates (companies broken down by mkt cap as of 1
st Jan 2014 with full list of companies shown in appendix)
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Exhibit 3: Healthcare Sub-sector Performance*
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD
Biotech Biotech Distributors Distributors Mgd Care Mgd Care Mgd Care Mgd Care S&P 500 Services Biotech Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Mgd Care Biotech Biotech Services
93% 130% 85% -1% 1% 41% 53% 43% 14% 57% 10% 57% 24% 33% 38% 74% 7%
Distributors S&P 500 Mgd Care Biotech Equip/Sup Equip/Sup Services Services Pharma Lifesci tools Services Distributors Distributors Biotech Lifesci tools Distributors Pharma
54% 20% 77% -4% -13% 31% 17% 32% 13% 23% -17% 44% 18% 22% 30% 62% 7%
Pharma Equip/Sup Equip/Sup Equip/Sup Distributors Biotech Equip/Sup Distributors Healthcare Mgd Care Pharma Services S&P 500 Pharma Services Lifesci tools Lifesci tools
47% -5% 43% -6% -14% 29% 12% 29% 6% 16% -21% 41% 13% 13% 20% 52% 6%
Equip/Sup Mgd Care Healthcare Mgd Care Healthcare S&P 500 S&P 500 Biotech Services Healthcare Healthcare Mgd Care Mgd Care Healthcare Healthcare Mgd Care Mgd Care
42% -9% 36% -8% -20% 26% 9% 18% 5% 5% -24% 28% 8% 10% 15% 46% 6%
Healthcare Healthcare Pharma Healthcare Biotech Healthcare Biotech Healthcare Equip/Sup Equip/Sup Equip/Sup Equip/Sup Services Distributors Equip/Sup Healthcare Equip/Sup
42% -12% 34% -13% -20% 13% 8% 5% 3% 5% -28% 27% 8% 8% 15% 39% 5%
S&P 500 Pharma Biotech S&P 500 Pharma Distributors Healthcare S&P 500 Distributors Distributors Distributors S&P 500 Biotech S&P 500 Distributors Pharma Healthcare
27% -13% -5% -13% -22% 8% 0% 3% -2% 4% -38% 23% 2% 0% 15% 31% 5%
Mgd Care Distributors S&P 500 Pharma S&P 500 Pharma Distributors Equip/Sup Biotech S&P 500 S&P 500 Healthcare Healthcare Equip/Sup S&P 500 S&P 500 Distributors
-10% -59% -10% -16% -23% 6% -3% 0% -3% 4% -38% 17% 1% -2% 13% 30% 3%
Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Pharma Pharma Mgd Care Pharma Lifesci tools Pharma Pharma Services Pharma Equip/Sup S&P 500
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -9% -6% -7% 2% -39% 14% -3% -8% 11% 26% 1%
Services Services Services Services Services Services Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Lifesci tools Biotech Mgd Care Biotech Equip/Sup Lifesci tools Mgd Care Services Biotech
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -3% -55% -7% -4% -18% 5% 20% 0%
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates *Sector Performance derived using S&P500 Sector Indices
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Exhibit 4: Biotech vs. Major Industrial Index Performance*
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD
Biotech Biotech Utilities Cons Disc Cons Stap IT Energy Energy Telecom Energy Biotech IT Cons Disc Biotech Biotech Biotech Utilities
93% 130% 52% 2% -6% 47% 29% 29% 32% 32% 10% 60% 26% 22% 38% 74% 10%
IT IT Healthcare Materials Materials Cons Disc Utilities Biotech Energy Materials Cons Stap Materials Industrials Utilities Financials Cons Disc Healthcare
78% 78% 36% 1% -8% 36% 20% 18% 22% 20% -18% 45% 24% 15% 26% 41% 5%
Telecom Cons Disc Financials Biotech Energy Materials Industrials Utilities Cons Disc Utilities Healthcare Cons Disc Materials Cons Stap Cons Disc Healthcare Materials
49% 24% 23% -4% -13% 35% 16% 13% 17% 16% -24% 39% 20% 11% 22% 39% 3%
Healthcare Materials Cons Stap Industrials Financials Industrials Telecom Healthcare Utilities IT Utilities S&P 500 Energy Healthcare Healthcare Industrials IT
42% 23% 14% -7% -16% 30% 16% 5% 17% 16% -32% 23% 18% 10% 15% 38% 2%
Cons Disc Industrials Energy Cons Stap Healthcare Biotech Cons Disc Financials Financials Cons Stap Telecom Industrials S&P 500 Cons Disc S&P 500 Financials S&P 500
40% 20% 13% -8% -20% 29% 12% 4% 16% 12% -34% 17% 13% 4% 13% 33% 1%
S&P 500 S&P 500 Industrials Financials Biotech Financials Materials S&P 500 Materials Industrials Cons Disc Healthcare Telecom Energy IT S&P 500 Energy
27% 20% 5% -11% -20% 28% 11% 3% 16% 10% -35% 17% 12% 3% 13% 30% 1%
Cons Stap Telecom Biotech Energy S&P 500 S&P 500 S&P 500 Materials S&P 500 Telecom Energy Financials Financials IT Telecom IT Financials
14% 17% -5% -12% -23% 26% 9% 2% 14% 8% -36% 15% 11% 1% 12% 26% 1%
Utilities Energy S&P 500 Healthcare Cons Disc Energy Financials Cons Stap Cons Stap Healthcare S&P 500 Energy Cons Stap Telecom Industrials Materials Cons Stap
10% 16% -10% -13% -24% 22% 8% 1% 12% 5% -38% 11% 11% 1% 12% 23% 1%
Financials Financials Materials S&P 500 Industrials Utilities Biotech IT Industrials S&P 500 Industrials Cons Stap IT S&P 500 Materials Cons Stap Industrials
10% 2% -18% -13% -28% 21% 8% 0% 11% 4% -42% 11% 9% 0% 12% 23% 0%
Industrials Healthcare Cons Disc Telecom Utilities Healthcare Cons Stap Industrials IT Biotech IT Utilities Biotech Industrials Cons Stap Energy Biotech
9% -12% -21% -14% -33% 13% 6% 0% 8% -3% -44% 7% 2% -3% 8% 22% 0%
Energy Utilities Telecom IT Telecom Cons Stap IT Cons Disc Healthcare Cons Disc Materials Telecom Utilities Materials Energy Utilities Telecom
-2% -13% -40% -26% -36% 9% 2% -7% 6% -14% -47% 3% 1% -12% 2% 9% 0%
Materials Cons Stap IT Utilities IT Telecom Healthcare Telecom Biotech Financials Financials Biotech Healthcare Financials Utilities Telecom Cons Disc
-8% -17% -41% -32% -38% 3% 0% -9% -3% -21% -57% -7% 1% -18% -3% 6% -3%
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, *Sector Performance derived using S&P500 Sector Indices
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Exhibit 5: Top 100 Biotech Companies by Market Cap (1-50)
Mkt
Cap
Rank
Mkt Cap in
$M Ticker Company name CS Rec.
Current
Price CS TP 1D Perf 1M Perf 3M Perf 12M Perf YTD Perf
Short Interest
(% of
Outstanding) Therapeutic Area Lead Asset
1 108,649 GILD GILEAD OUTPERFORM $71 $110 1% -12% -6% 42% -6% 6.0% HIV/HCV Diversified
2 90,778 AMGN AMGEN NEUTRAL $120 $125 2% -4% 2% 11% 5% 1.4% Diversified Diversified
3 71,079 BIIB BIOGEN IDEC OUTPERFORM $301 $400 5% -11% 0% 52% 8% 1.3% CNS Diversified
4 59,815 CELG CELGENE OUTPERFORM $147 $210 7% -7% -13% 22% -13% 1.4% Hem/Onc Diversified
5 30,834 ALXN ALEXION NEUTRAL $156 $171 6% -13% 15% 56% 17% 1.8% Rare Diseases Soliris
6 30,604 REGN REGENERON OUTPERFORM $306 $340 7% -7% 12% 52% 11% 3.9% Diversified Eylea
7 16,516 VRTX VERTEX NEUTRAL $70 $78 7% -12% -11% 28% -6% 2.6% HCV/Cystic Fibrosis Kalydeco, VX-809
8 11,771 ATLN-VX ACTELION OUTPERFORM CHF 86 CHF 90 2% -4% 8% 67% 14% PAH Macitentan, Tracleer
9 9,450 BMRN BIOMARIN NEUTRAL $66 $73 4% -15% -6% 2% -6% 4.6% Rare Diseases Base business and Vimizim
10 8,610 INCY INCYTE $52 6% -18% -13% 137% 3% 3.5% Oncology/Inflammatory Jakafi and Baricitinib
11 7,739 PCYC PHARMACYCLICS OUTPERFORM $103 $121 3% -22% -22% 33% -2% 3.4% Oncology Ibrutinib
12 6,022 ICPT INTERCEPT $299 3% -33% -33% 755% 338% 1.9% Liver disease Obeticholic acid
13 5,228 CBST CUBIST OUTPERFORM $70 $77 3% -9% 0% 55% 1% 5.1% Anti-infectives Cubicin
14 5,204 SGEN SEATTLE GENETICS OUTPERFORM $42 $51 3% -18% -2% 16% 6% 13.0% Oncology Adcetris
15 4,951 UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICSNEUTRAL $98 $75 4% -2% -12% 60% -13% 13.3% PAH Remodulin, Adcirca and Tyvaso
16 4,771 MDVN MEDIVATION OUTPERFORM $63 $95 4% -10% -14% 22% -2% 4.6% Oncology Xtandi
17 4,632 ISIS ISIS $40 8% -20% -17% 116% -1% 10.7% Antisense technology Kynamro
18 4,212 ALNY ALNYLAM $66 5% -9% 0% 185% 2% 5.6% RNAi technology TTR-mediated amyloidosis
19 3,254 BTG-LN BTG PLC GBP 537 1% -4% -10% 50% -7% MS (RRMS) Lemtrada
20 3,018 ITMN INTERMUNE NEUTRAL $31 $33 4% -8% 74% 237% 111% 11.3% Pulmonology Esbriet
21 2,793 GEVA SYNAGEVA $85 8% -13% 5% 70% 31% 4.6% Rare Diseases Sebelipase alfa
22 2,749 NPSP NPS $27 2% -18% -27% 113% -12% 7.8% Rare Diseases Gattex/Revestive; Natpara
23 2,647 PBYI PUMA $88 9% -22% -25% 178% -15% 3.8% Oncology Neratinib
24 2,640 MNKD MANNKIND $7 7% 23% 18% 59% 35% 17.0% Diabetes Afrezza
25 2,568 PCRX PACIRA $73 11% -2% 11% 149% 27% 11.5% Postsurgical Analgaseia Exparel
26 2,337 XON INTREXON $24 1% -12% -20% 0% 6.8% NA UltraVector, RTS
27 2,262 CLVS CLOVIS OUTPERFORM $67 $100 2% -20% -10% 116% 11% 4.1% Oncology CO-1686 and Rucaparib
28 2,259 MOR-XE MORPHOSYS EUR 62 -2% -12% -2% 99% 11% MM, RA Anti-CD38 antibody MOR202; MOR103
29 2,216 GEN-KO GENMAB DKK 211 1% -14% -13% 42% 0% CLL, MM Arzerra, Chlorambucil, and Daratumumab
30 2,161 ACAD ACADIA $22 5% -22% -9% 175% -12% 11.6% CNS Pimavanserin
31 1,766 RARE ULTRAGENYX $59 11% -5% 0.8% XLH KRN23
32 1,695 MDCO THE MEDICINES COMPANYNEUTRAL $26 $28 5% -12% -35% -19% -32% 6.7% Critical care Marketed products, Cangrelor
33 1,590 ACOR ACORDA $38 4% 2% 32% 20% 32% 6.6% CNS Ampyra
34 1,540 AGIO AGIOS $48 3% 4% 77% 102% 5.0% Mutations in the enzymes IDH2/IDH1 AG-221
35 1,519 CLDX CELLDEX $17 9% -32% -30% 45% -30% 13.4% Cancer immunotherapy Rindopepimut
36 1,498 IRWD IRONWOOD OUTPERFORM $11 $18 3% -23% -16% -39% -6% 13.3% GI Linzess/Constella
37 1,491 NKTR NEKTAR $12 8% -13% -8% 8% 4% 6.9% Platform technology Etirinotecan pegol; NKTR-181
38 1,442 LGND LIGAND $70 6% 0% 18% 172% 33% 16.2% Royalties Royalty Revenues
39 1,438 ARNA ARENA UNDERPERFORM $7 $4 2% -6% 3% -19% 12% 24.2% Obesity Belviq
40 1,414 ARIA ARIAD NEUTRAL $8 $8 4% -2% 13% -58% 11% 21.3% Oncology Iclusig, AP26113
41 1,410 KERX KERYX $16 0% 3% 11% 87% 20% 18.7% Kidney disease Zerenex
42 1,321 PDLI PDL BIOPHARMA UNDERPERFORM $8 $6 1% -1% -7% 8% -2% 16.0% Antibody technology Royalty revenues
43 1,300 AEGR AEGERION $44 6% -16% -33% 11% -38% 16.6% Homozygous familial Lomitapide
44 1,279 ABC-LN ABCAM GBP 381 9% -11% -25% -12% -23% Antibodies Research antibodies
45 1,263 IMGN IMMUNOGEN NEUTRAL $15 $14 7% -9% -3% -13% 0% 10.0% Oncology Kadcyla
46 1,192 DYAX DYAX $9 6% -13% 5% 100% 17% 3.5% Oncology Kalbitor; Ramucirumab
47 1,177 XLRN ACCELERON $38 5% -25% -20% -4% 2.5% β-thalassemia Sotatercept
48 1,095 NBIX NEUROCRINE $15 3% -17% -24% 22% 56% 5.7% Diversified Elagolix; NBI-98854
49 1,095 KPTI KARYOPHARM $37 10% -14% 70% 61% 4.8% Relapsed/refractory hematological/solid tumor malignanciesKPT-330
50 1,088 SGMO SANGAMO $16 5% -28% -14% 61% 17% 14.3% HIV SB-728-T
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
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Exhibit 6: Top 100 Biotech Companies by Market Cap Continued (51-100)
Mkt
Cap
Rank
Mkt Cap in
$M Ticker Company name CS Rec.
Current
Price CS TP 1D Perf 1M Perf 3M Perf 12M Perf YTD Perf
Short Interest
(% of
Outstanding) Therapeutic Area Lead Asset
51 1,053 OPHT OPHTHOTECH $32 1% -14% 1% -2% 6.8% Wet AMD Fovista
52 1,036 BSLN-EB BASILEA CHF 95 0% -17% -20% 61% -10% Antibiotics Isavuconazole, Ceftobiprole
53 1,011 HALO HALOZYME $8 -2% -41% -51% 45% -46% 10.5% Platform technology Hylenex
54 1,003 PTLA PORTOLA OUTPERFORM $24 $32 0% -9% -13% -5% 2.3% Cardiovascular Betrixiban, PRT4445
55 981 HZNP HORIZON $14 6% 5% 68% 475% 88% 23.8% Mild-to-moderate pain/arthritisMorning stiffness with RA Duexis, Lodotra
56 980 TSRO TESARO INC $27 6% -11% -6% 10% -4% 7.0% Chemotherapy induced nausea and vomiting Rolapitant
57 975 SRPT SAREPTA $26 4% -5% 33% -34% 27% 10.4% Rare/infectious diseases Eteplirsen
58 954 THR-BT THROMBOGENICS EUR 19 -4% -9% -3% -47% -5% Ophthalmology JETREA
59 943 RCPT RECEPTOS OUTPERFORM $43 $58 8% -9% 16% 47% 3.1% CNS RPC1063
60 941 ECYT ENDOCYTE OUTPERFORM $22.8 $44 8% 72% 62% 64% 113% 11.2% Oncology Vintafolide (PROC Ph III MAA Submitted EU); Etarfolatide (PROC PH III); Vintafolide (NSCLC Ph II 1H14);
61 916 EBS EMERGENT $25 1% -13% -2% 78% 7% 9.3% Immune-therapeutics BioThrax
62 915 IDIX IDENIX NEUTRAL $6 $4 4% -13% -7% 57% 2% 12.3% HCV IDX719
63 911 NVAX NOVAVAX $4 1% -26% -16% 62% -15% 10.7% Anti-Infectives RSV Vaccine and VLP Influenza Vaccine
64 884 LXRX LEXICON $2 4% -4% -14% -21% -4% 3.2% Diversified Telotristat etiprate; LX4211
65 848 OMED ONCOMED $29 11% -16% -23% -3% 6.9% Advanced solid tumorsPancreatic cancer / SCLC Demcizumab, OMP-59R5
66 828 FMI FOUNDATION MEDICINE $30 2% -20% 24% 26% 9.8% Cancer diagnostics test FOUNDATIONONE
67 828 GENTY-5 GENTIUM $55.0 -2% 10% -3% 588% -4% Hepatic veno-occlusive disease Defibrotide
68 801 RLYP RELYPSA $27 -1% -36% -1% 8% 1.4% Hyperkalemia, Polymer drug discovery technology Patiromer, RLY6002
69 794 ALGFT-FR GENFIT $27.0 5% -6% 123% 294% 206% Non-alcoholic steato hepatitis GFT505
70 783 KYTH KYTHERA $36 3% -20% -9% 78% -4% 14.9% Aesthetics ATX-101
71 764 ASPX AUSPEX $32 8% 8% 1.0% Chorea associated with Huntington's disease SD-809
72 763 EPZM EPIZYME $23 7% -15% -42% 12% 8.1% Oncology EPZM-5676
73 761 ANAC ANACOR $18 7% -10% -2% 168% 8% 6.3% Onychomycosis (fungal infection) AN2690
74 752 INO INOVIO $3 12% -11% 19% 449% 8% 11.8% Oncology, Anti-Infectives DNA-based SynCon Technology
75 743 PRTA-US PROTHENA OUTPERFORM $34 $53 13% -10% 26% 344% 28% 4.2% Neurological NEOD001, PRX002
76 740 EXEL EXELIXIS NEUTRAL $4 $5 2% -43% -49% -21% -38% 25.5% Oncology Cometriq
77 710 NLNK NEWLINK $25 5% -18% 3% 122% 16% 15.5% Oncology Algenpantucel-L, Tergenpumatucel-L
78 706 PTCT PTC THERAPEUTICS OUTPERFORM $23 $35 2% -24% 20% 38% 5.7% Orphan Diseases Ataluren
79 697 EVT-XE EVOTEC EUR 4 -1% -2% -6% 60% 5% Cardiovascular DiaPep277; EVT302, EVT 100
80 693 GLPG-AE GALAPAGOS EUR 17 0% 5% -1% -8% 10% Autoimmune GLPG0634
81 677 ALGFT-FR VERSARTIS $28.0 9% -2% 131% 309% 217% HGH Deficiency VRS-317
82 677 VSAR VERSARTIS $28.0 1% 0.4% Growth hormone deficiency VRS-317
83 673 ENTA ENANTA OUTPERFORM $37 $43 5% -7% 13% 34% 8.0% HCV ABT-450/r ) and EDP-239
84 667 OREX OREXIGEN OUTPERFORM $6 $10 5% -12% -6% 0% 6% 15.6% Obesity Contrave
85 664 MGNX MACROGENICS $24 4% -27% -35% -12% 2.6% HER2 metastic breast cancer MGAH22
86 658 TSRX TRIUS $14 0% 0% 0% 110% 0% Acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections Torezolid phosphate
87 652 INSM INSMED $17 1% -6% -19% 131% -2% 8.7% Anti-infectives Arikace
88 633 TNG-FR TRANSGENE EUR 12 -3% -4% 15% 43% 40% NSCLC TG4010; Pexa-Vec
89 629 MDXG MIMEDIX $6.0 4% -18% -27% 24% -32% 8.4% Chronic Wound Healing AmnioFix
90 626 PLI-T PROMETIC LIFE $1.3 4% -16% 43% 227% 39% Fibrosis PBI-4050
91 597 ABLX-BT ABLYNX EUR 9 -3% -9% 15% 31% 26% Inflammatory, Musculoskeletal Caplacizumab; ozoralizumab, ALX-0061
92 587 CMRX CHIMERIX $22 1% 12% 29% 45% 4.1% Anti-infectives CMX-001 (Anti dsDNA viruses in immunocompromised patients
93 586 BCRX BIOCRYST $9.8 3% -15% -3% 462% 29% 11.5% Novel Therapy Novel drugs
94 585 MNTA MOMENTA $11.1 1% -24% -44% -17% -37% 9.3% Deep Vein Thrombosis Enoxaprin Sodium Injection
95 563 ARRY ARRAY $4.5 6% -11% -15% -14% -10% 11.7% Oncology; Asthma ARRY-520; ARRY-502; MEK-162
96 559 RPTP RAPTOR $9 0% -43% -40% 56% -31% 22.5% Cystinosis Procysbi; RP103
97 552 RVNC REVANCE $30 2% -15% 2.0% Crow's feat lines RT001
98 549 BLUE BLUEBIRD EUR 23 4% -13% 4% 8% 6.1% Childhood cerebral ALD ALD-102
99 542 HPTX HYPERION $27 11% -4% 12% 11% 33% 3.5% Orphan Diseases Ravicti
100 532 MACK MERRIMACK $5 -1% -13% -15% -14% -3% 22.3% Oncology MM-398
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 9
Exhibit 7: Top 10 Biotech Companies (of Top 100) with the Least Short Interest (as % shares outstanding)
0.4%
0.8%
1.0%
1.3%
1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
1.8%
1.9% 2.0%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
VERSARTIS ULTRAGENYX AUSPEX BIOGEN IDEC AMGEN RELYPSA CELGENE ALEXION INTERCEPT REVANCE
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Exhibit 8: Top 10 Biotech Companies (of Top 100) with the Most Short Interest (as % shares outstanding)
25.5%
24.2% 23.8%
22.5% 22.3%21.3%
18.7%
17.0% 16.6% 16.2%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
EXELIXIS ARENA HORIZON RAPTOR MERRIMACK ARIAD KERYX MANNKIND AEGERION LIGAND
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 10
Exhibit 9: Biotech Valuation Relative to Other Major Industrial Sectors* Sector Rev CAGR '13-'16 EPS CAGR '13-'16 2013 Net Margin 2016 P/E PEG
Biotech 18% 29% 26% 13.3x 0.5
Consumer Discretionary 10% 42% 8% 19.4x 0.5
IT 7% 10% 22% 11.8x 1.1
Materials 5% 18% 11% 12.2x 0.7
S&P 500 4% 6% 10% 14.3x 2.2
Industrials 5% 11% 11% 14.1x 1.3
Financials 3% 9% 21% 9.2x 1.0
Energy 2% 6% 11% 11.1x 1.8
Consumer Staples 2% 5% 12% 14.9x 2.8
Utilities 2% 5% 7% 16.0x 3.4
Telecom 1% 7% 17% 11.9x 1.7
Pharma 1% 5% 17% 16.7x 3.2
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One *Top 4 Companies for Each Sector
Exhibit 10: Biotech Valuation Relative to Pharma and the S&P500 on Long Term Out-
Year Numbers Company 2014 P/E 2015 P/E 2016 P/E 2017 P/E Rev CAGR '14-'17
(%)
EPS CAGR '14-
'17 (%)
AMGN 14.5x 14.1x 13.8x 12.4x 0.8% 5.4%
BIIB 26.8x 21.8x 18.0x 15.4x 12.7% 20.3%
CELG 20.5x 15.3x 11.5x 9.3x 20.1% 30.0%
GILD 19.8x 12.5x 10.0x 8.9x 16.1% 30.4%
LC Biotech Average 20.4x 16.0x 13.3x 11.5x 12.4% 21.5%
US Pharma Average 18.9x 18.1x 15.7x 14.6x 3.1% 9.5%
EU Pharma Average 17.2x 15.7x 14.7x 14.4x 3.1% 6.8%
S&P 500 16.0x 14.6x 14.3x 13.6x 4.1% 5.5%
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 11
Exhibit 11: Granularity of Biotech Revenue and EPS growth rates Relative to Other Major
Industrial sectors* Sector Revenues YoY Growth EPS YoY Growth
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
Biotech 16% 23% 17% 13% 17% 38% 29% 21%
Consumer Discretionary* 9% 10% 9% 10% 233% 52% 41% 33%
IT 14% 5% 5% 10% 4% 9% 12% 11%
Telecom 7% 6% 2% 2% -4% 35% 13% 8%
Materials 2% 5% 6% 5% 19% 19% 20% 15%
Industrials 4% 4% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 10%
S&P 500 3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 2%
Utilities 6% 3% 3% 1% 6% 6% 6% 3%
Energy -10% 1% 3% 4% -1% -1% 19% 3%
Consumer Staples 1% 0% 4% 4% 6% 1% 7% 8%
Financials 2% 0% 3% 4% 8% 13% 9% 6%
Pharma -5% -1% 0% 4% -3% 3% 2% 11%
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One *Top 4 Companies for Each Sector, ** Distorted by Amazon
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(2) Valuation Tables
Exhibit 12: PE Valuation of Top 25 Global Companies by Market Cap
No. Company Name Ticker Currency Current
Price (LC)
Current
Price ($)
Market Cap
(LC Bn)
Market Cap
($Bn)
2014 PE 2015 PE 2016 PE 2017 PE 14-17 Sales
CAGR
14-17 EPS
CAGR
PEG (14 PE/14-
17 Growth)
PEG (17 PE/14-
17 Growth)
1 Johnson & Johnson JNJ-US USD 99 99 280 280 17x 16x 15x 14x 4% 7% 2.5 2.0
2 Roche ROG-VX CHF 256 290 217 247 18x 17x 15x 14x 4% 8% 2.2 1.7
3 Novartis NOVN-VX CHF 74 84 201 228 16x 14x 12x 11x 5% 12% 1.3 0.9
4 Pfizer PFE-US USD 31 31 200 200 14x 13x 13x 12x 1% 4% 3.8 3.4
5 Merck MRK-US USD 57 57 168 168 17x 15x 14x 14x 1% 5% 3.3 2.9
6 Sanofi SAN-FR EUR 76 105 100 138 14x 12x 12x 12x 3% 7% 2.1 1.7
7 Glaxo-smithkline GSK-LN GBP 16 27 77 129 17x 15x 14x 13x 3% 9% 1.9 1.4
8 Gilead GILD-US USD 71 71 109 109 20x 12x 10x 9x 16% 30% 0.7 0.3
9 Bayer BAYN-XE EUR 95 131 78 108 15x 13x 12x 11x 4% 12% 1.3 0.9
10 Novo Nordisk NOVO'B-KO DKK 236 44 521 97 23x 20x 19x 18x 8% 8% 2.8 2.2
11 Amgen AMGN-US USD 120 120 91 91 14x 14x 14x 12x 1% 5% 2.7 2.3
12 Bristol-Myer Sqb BMY-US USD 51 51 84 84 28x 31x 25x 21x 4% 10% 2.7 2.0
13 Astrazeneca AZN-LN GBP 38 64 48 81 16x 17x 17x 20x -3% -7% NA NA
14 Abbvie ABBV-US USD 51 51 81 81 16x 14x 12x 11x 7% 14% 1.1 0.8
15 Biogen Idec BIIB-US USD 301 301 71 71 27x 22x 18x 15x 13% 20% 1.3 0.8
16 Eli Lilly LLY-US USD 60 60 68 68 22x 19x 16x 15x 3% 14% 1.5 1.0
17 Celgene CELG-US USD 147 147 60 60 20x 15x 12x 9x 20% 30% 0.7 0.3
18 Abbott ABT-US USD 38 38 58 58 17x 15x 14x 12x 6% 11% 1.5 1.1
19 Teva TEVA-TV ILS 181 52 172 50 11x 11x 11x 11x 0% 1% NA NA
20 Valeant VRX-US USD 129 129 43 43 15x 12x 11x 10x 7% 14% 1.1 0.7
21 Allergan AGN-US USD 121 121 36 36 22x 19x 17x 15x 7% 14% 1.6 1.1
22 Actavis ACT-US USD 202 202 35 35 16x 14x 13x 12x 3% 10% 1.5 1.1
23 Merck Kgaa MRK-XE EUR 116 161 25 35 13x 12x 12x 11x 3% 4% 3.4 3.1
24 Takeda 4502-TO JPY 4,492 44 3,546 35 32x 34x 26x 25x 3% 8% 4.2 3.4
25 Alexion ALXN-US USD 156 156 31 31 33x 27x 23x 18x 24% 23% 1.4 0.8
Biotech Average 23x 18x 15x 13x 15% 22% 1.4 0.9
Pharma Average 18x 17x 15x 14x 4% 8% 2.2 1.8
S&P 500 .SPX-UT 16x 15x 14x 14x 4% 6% 2.9 2.4
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
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Exhibit 13: PR (Price to Revenues) Valuation of Top 25 Global Companies by Market Cap
No. Company Name Ticker Currency Current
Price (LC)
Current
Price ($)
Market Cap
(LC Bn)
Market Cap
($Bn)
2014 PR 2015 PR 2016 PR 2017 PR 14-17 Sales
CAGR
14-17 EPS
CAGR
PEG (14 PE/14-
17 Growth)
PEG (17 PE/14-
17 Growth)
1 Johnson & Johnson JNJ-US USD 99 99 280 280 3.8x 3.6x 3.5x 3.3x 4% 7% 2.5 2.0
2 Roche ROG-VX CHF 256 290 217 247 4.6x 4.4x 4.3x 4.1x 4% 8% 2.2 1.7
3 Novartis NOVN-VX CHF 74 84 201 228 3.7x 3.5x 3.3x 3.2x 5% 12% 1.3 0.9
4 Pfizer PFE-US USD 31 31 200 200 4.0x 3.9x 4.0x 3.9x 1% 4% 3.8 3.4
5 Merck MRK-US USD 57 57 168 168 3.9x 3.9x 3.8x 3.8x 1% 5% 3.3 2.9
6 Sanofi SAN-FR EUR 76 105 100 138 2.8x 2.7x 2.6x 2.6x 3% 7% 2.1 1.7
7 Glaxo-smithkline GSK-LN GBP 16 27 77 129 3.0x 2.9x 2.8x 2.7x 3% 9% 1.9 1.4
8 Gilead GILD-US USD 71 71 109 109 6.8x 5.3x 4.6x 4.4x 16% 30% 0.7 0.3
9 Bayer BAYN-XE EUR 95 131 78 108 1.9x 1.8x 1.7x 1.6x 4% 12% 1.3 0.9
10 Novo Nordisk NOVO'B-KO DKK 236 44 521 97 5.8x 5.2x 4.9x 4.6x 8% 8% 2.8 2.2
11 Amgen AMGN-US USD 120 120 91 91 4.6x 4.5x 4.5x 4.5x 1% 5% 2.7 2.3
12 Bristol-Myer Sqb BMY-US USD 51 51 84 84 5.3x 5.5x 5.1x 4.8x 4% 10% 2.7 2.0
13 Astrazeneca AZN-LN GBP 38 64 48 81 3.1x 3.0x 3.1x 3.3x -3% -7% NA NA
14 Abbvie ABBV-US USD 51 51 81 81 4.2x 3.9x 3.6x 3.4x 7% 14% 1.1 0.8
15 Biogen Idec BIIB-US USD 301 301 71 71 8.4x 7.3x 6.4x 5.8x 13% 20% 1.3 0.8
16 Eli Lilly LLY-US USD 60 60 68 68 3.5x 3.4x 3.2x 3.2x 3% 14% 1.5 1.0
17 Celgene CELG-US USD 147 147 60 60 7.9x 6.5x 5.3x 4.6x 20% 30% 0.7 0.3
18 Abbott ABT-US USD 38 38 58 58 2.6x 2.4x 2.3x 2.2x 6% 11% 1.5 1.1
19 Teva TEVA-TV ILS 181 52 172 50 2.5x 2.5x 2.5x 2.5x 0% 1% NA NA
20 Valeant VRX-US USD 129 129 43 43 5.1x 4.7x 4.5x 4.1x 7% 14% 1.1 0.7
21 Allergan AGN-US USD 121 121 36 36 5.2x 4.8x 4.5x 4.2x 7% 14% 1.6 1.1
22 Actavis ACT-US USD 202 202 35 35 3.4x 3.3x 3.2x 3.1x 3% 10% 1.5 1.1
23 Merck Kgaa MRK-XE EUR 116 161 25 35 2.2x 2.1x 2.1x 2.0x 3% 4% 3.4 3.1
24 Takeda 4502-TO JPY 4,492 44 3,546 35 2.1x 2.1x 2.0x 1.9x 3% 8% 4.2 3.4
25 Alexion ALXN-US USD 156 156 31 31 13.9x 11.0x 9.0x 7.3x 24% 23% 1.4 0.8
Biotech Average 8.3x 6.9x 5.9x 5.3x 15% 22% 1.4 0.9
Pharma Average 3.6x 3.5x 3.3x 3.2x 4% 8% 2.2 1.8
S&P 500 .SPX-UT 4% 6% 2.9 2.4
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
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Exhibit 14: EV/EBITDA Valuation of Top 25 Global Companies
No. Company Name Ticker Currency Current
Price (LC)
Current
Price ($)
Market Cap
(LC Bn)
Market Cap
($Bn)
Enterprise
Value (LC Bn)
Enterprise
Value ($Bn)
EV/2014
EBITDA
EV/2015
EBITDA
EV/2016
EBITDA
EV/2017
EBITDA
14-17 Sales
CAGR
14-17 EPS
CAGR
14-17 EBITDA
CAGR
1 Johnson & Johnson JNJ-US USD 99 99 280 280 266 266 11x 10x 9x 9x 4% 7% 6%
2 Roche ROG-VX CHF 256 290 217 247 223 253 12x 11x 11x 10x 4% 8% 6%
3 Novartis NOVN-VX CHF 74 84 201 228 208 237 12x 11x 10x 10x 5% 12% 8%
4 Pfizer PFE-US USD 31 31 200 200 186 186 8x 8x 8x 8x 1% 4% 2%
5 Merck MRK-US USD 57 57 168 168 166 166 11x 10x 9x 10x 1% 5% 2%
6 Sanofi SAN-FR EUR 76 105 100 138 107 148 8x 7x 7x 7x 3% 7% 3%
7 Glaxo-smithkline GSK-LN GBP 16 27 77 129 90 151 11x 11x 10x 10x 3% 9% 5%
8 Gilead GILD-US USD 71 71 109 109 112 112 14x 9x 8x 7x 16% 30% 23%
9 Bayer BAYN-XE EUR 95 131 78 108 86 119 10x 9x 8x 8x 4% 12% 9%
10 Novo Nordisk NOVO'B-KO DKK 236 44 521 97 538 100 14x 12x 12x 11x 8% 8% 7%
11 Amgen AMGN-US USD 120 120 91 91 107 107 11x 11x 11x 10x 1% 5% 4%
12 Bristol-Myer Sqb BMY-US USD 51 51 84 84 85 85 18x 20x 17x 15x 4% 10% 7%
13 Astrazeneca AZN-LN GBP 38 64 48 81 49 82 7x 7x 7x 8x -3% -7% -5%
14 Abbvie ABBV-US USD 51 51 81 81 87 87 12x 10x 9x 9x 7% 14% 10%
15 Biogen Idec BIIB-US USD 301 301 71 71 70 70 17x 14x 13x 11x 13% 20% 14%
16 Eli Lilly LLY-US USD 60 60 68 68 59 59 12x 10x 9x 9x 3% 14% 9%
17 Celgene CELG-US USD 147 147 60 60 56 56 14x 11x 8x 7x 20% 30% 25%
18 Abbott ABT-US USD 38 38 58 58 62 62 10x 10x 9x 9x 6% 11% 6%
19 Teva TEVA-TV ILS 181 52 172 50 172 50 8x 8x 9x 9x 0% 1% -4%
20 Valeant VRX-US USD 129 129 43 43 43 43 10x 9x 8x 9x 7% 14% 6%
21 Allergan AGN-US USD 121 121 36 36 34 34 13x 12x 11x 10x 7% 14% 10%
22 Actavis ACT-US USD 202 202 35 35 35 35 11x 10x 9x 9x 3% 10% 8%
23 Merck Kgaa MRK-XE EUR 116 161 25 35 26 36 6x 18x 6x 6x 3% 4% 3%
24 Takeda 4502-TO JPY 4,492 44 3,546 35 3,495 34 9x 8x 7x 7x 3% 8% 7%
25 Alexion ALXN-US USD 156 156 31 31 29 29 26x 20x 16x 13x 24% 23% 28%
Biotech Average 16x 13x 11x 10x 15% 22% 19%
Pharma Average 11x 11x 9x 9x 4% 8% 5%
S&P 500 .SPX-UT 4% 6%
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
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Exhibit 15: PE Valuation of Healthcare Subsectors
No. Company Name Ticker Currency Current
Price (LC)
Current
Price ($)
Market Cap
(LC Bn)
Market Cap
($Bn)
2014 PE 2015 PE 2016 PE 2017 PE 14-17 Sales
CAGR
14-17 EPS
CAGR
PEG (14 PE/14-
17 EPS Growth)
PEG (17 PE/14-
17 EPS Growth)
Major Pharma
1 Johnson & Johnson JNJ-US USD 99 99 280 280 17x 16x 15x 15x 3% 5% 3.2 2.7
2 Novartis NOVN-VX CHF 74 84 201 228 16x 14x 12x 11x 5% 12% 1.3 0.9
3 Roche ROG-VX CHF 256 290 217 247 18x 17x 15x 14x 4% 8% 2.2 1.7
4 Pfizer PFE-US USD 31 31 200 200 14x 13x 13x 12x 1% 4% 3.8 3.4
5 Merck MRK-US USD 57 57 168 168 17x 15x 14x 14x 1% 5% 3.3 2.9
6 Sanofi SAN-FR EUR 76 105 100 138 14x 12x 12x 12x 3% 7% 2.1 1.7
7 Glaxo-smithkline GSK-LN GBP 16 27 77 129 17x 15x 14x 13x 3% 9% 1.9 1.4
8 Bayer BAYN-XE EUR 95 131 78 108 15x 13x 12x 11x 4% 12% 1.3 0.9
9 Novo Nordisk NOVO'B-KO DKK 236 44 521 97 23x 20x 19x 18x 8% 8% 2.8 2.2
10 Bristol-Myer Sqb BMY-US USD 51 51 84 84 28x 31x 25x 21x 4% 10% 2.7 2.0
11 AbbVie ABBV-US USD 51 51 81 81 16x 14x 12x 11x 7% 14% 1.1 0.8
12 Astrazeneca AZN-LN GBP 38 64 48 81 16x 17x 17x 20x -3% -7% NA NA
13 Eli Lilly LLY-US USD 60 60 68 68 22x 19x 16x 15x 3% 14% 1.5 1.0
Major Pharma Average 18x 17x 15x 14x 3% 8% 2.3 1.8
Spec Pharma
1 Allergan AGN-US USD 121 121 36 36 22x 19x 17x 15x 7% 14% 1.6 1.1
2 Merck Kgaa MRK-XE EUR 116 161 25 35 13x 12x 12x 11x 3% 4% 3.4 3.1
3 Shire SHP-LN GBP 29 49 17 29 15x 14x 13x 11x 6% 10% 1.5 1.1
4 Forest FRX-US USD 91 91 25 25 67x 20x 17x 15x 15% 63% 1.1 0.2
5 UCB UCB-BT EUR 56 77 11 15 28x 23x 19x 15x 7% 25% 1.1 0.6
6 Alkermes ALKS-US USD 45 45 7 7 90x 60x 29x 21x 18% 62% 1.4 0.3
7 Lundbeck LUN-KO DKK 156 29 31 6 33x 26x 14x 11x 3% 45% 0.7 0.2
8 Lonza LONN-VX CHF 87 99 5 5 15x 12x 11x 10x 5% 13% 1.2 0.8
9 Meda MEDA'A-SK SEK 108 17 33 5 11x 9x 8x 7x 7% 14% 0.8 0.5
10 Recordati REC-MI EUR 13 17 3 4 15x 14x 14x 13x 4% 5% 2.8 2.4
11 Ipsen IPN-FR EUR 29 40 2 3 15x 14x 12x 11x 6% 12% 1.3 0.9
12 Orion ORNBV-HE EUR 22 30 2 3 20x 19x 19x 18x 3% 3% 6.3 5.7
13 Almirall ALM-MC EUR 11 15 2 3 23x 11x 8x 7x 8% 50% 0.5 0.1
Spec Pharma Average 28x 20x 15x 13x 7% 25% 1.8 1.3
Generics
1 Teva TEVA-TV ILS 181 52 172 50 11x 11x 11x 11x 0% 1% NA NA
2 Actavis ACT-US USD 202 202 35 35 16x 14x 13x 12x 3% 10% 1.5 1.1
3 Mylan MYL-US USD 49 49 18 18 14x 12x 11x 11x 5% 9% 1.5 1.1
4 Dr Reddy's DRREDDY-IS INR 2,549 42 434 7 21x 19x 16x 14% 14% 1.5 0.0
5 Hikma HIK-LN GBP 16 26 3 5 23x 20x 18x 18x 9% 8% 2.7 2.1
6 Ranbaxy RANBAXY-IN INR 462 8 196 3 35x 23x 22x 30x 3% 5% 7.3 6.4
Generics Average 20x 17x 15x 16x 6% 8% 2.9 2.2
Biotech
1 Gilead GILD-US USD 71 71 109 109 20x 12x 10x 9x 16% 30% 0.7 0.3
2 Amgen AMGN-US USD 120 120 91 91 14x 14x 14x 12x 1% 5% 2.7 2.3
3 Biogen BIIB-US USD 301 301 71 71 27x 22x 18x 15x 13% 20% 1.3 0.8
4 Celgene CELG-US USD 147 147 60 60 20x 15x 12x 9x 20% 30% 0.7 0.3
5 Regeneron REGN-US USD 306 306 31 31 79x 44x 36x 28x 19% 40% 1.9 0.7
6 Alexion ALXN-US USD 156 156 31 31 33x 27x 23x 18x 24% 23% 1.4 0.8
Biotech Average 32x 22x 19x 15x 15% 25% 1.5 0.9 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates *14-16 CAGR used when 14-17 CAGR data unavailable
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Exhibit 16: PR (Price to Revenues) Valuation of Healthcare Subsectors*
No. Company Name Ticker Currency Current
Price (LC)
Current
Price ($)
Market Cap
(LC Bn)
Market Cap
($Bn)
2014 PR 2015 PR 2016 PR 2017 PR 14-17 Sales
CAGR
14-17 EPS
CAGR
PEG (14 PE/14-
17 EPS Growth)
PEG (17 PE/14-
17 EPS Growth)
Major Pharma
1 Johnson & Johnson JNJ-US USD 99 99 280 280 3.8x 3.6x 3.5x 3.4x 3% 5% 3.2 2.7
2 Novartis NOVN-VX CHF 74 84 201 228 3.7x 3.5x 3.3x 3.2x 5% 12% 1.3 0.9
3 Roche ROG-VX CHF 256 290 217 247 4.6x 4.4x 4.3x 4.1x 4% 8% 2.2 1.7
4 Pfizer PFE-US USD 31 31 200 200 4.0x 3.9x 4.0x 3.9x 1% 4% 3.8 3.4
5 Merck MRK-US USD 57 57 168 168 3.9x 3.9x 3.8x 3.8x 1% 5% 3.3 2.9
6 Sanofi SAN-FR EUR 76 105 100 138 2.8x 2.7x 2.6x 2.6x 3% 7% 2.1 1.7
7 Glaxo-smithkline GSK-LN GBP 16 27 77 129 3.0x 2.9x 2.8x 2.7x 3% 9% 1.9 1.4
8 Bayer BAYN-XE EUR 95 131 78 108 1.9x 1.8x 1.7x 1.6x 4% 12% 1.3 0.9
9 Novo Nordisk NOVO'B-KO DKK 236 44 521 97 5.8x 5.2x 4.9x 4.6x 8% 8% 2.8 2.2
10 Bristol-Myer Sqb BMY-US USD 51 51 84 84 5.3x 5.5x 5.1x 4.8x 4% 10% 2.7 2.0
11 AbbVie ABBV-US USD 51 51 81 81 4.2x 3.9x 3.6x 3.4x 7% 14% 1.1 0.8
12 Astrazeneca AZN-LN GBP 38 64 48 81 3.1x 3.0x 3.1x 3.3x -3% -7% NA NA
13 Eli Lilly LLY-US USD 60 60 68 68 3.5x 3.4x 3.2x 3.2x 3% 14% 1.5 1.0
Major Pharma Average 3.8x 3.7x 3.5x 3.4x 3% 8% 2.3 1.8
Spec Pharma
1 Allergan AGN-US USD 121 121 36 36 5.2x 4.8x 4.5x 4.2x 7% 14% 1.6 1.1
2 Merck Kgaa MRK-XE EUR 116 161 25 35 2.2x 2.1x 2.1x 2.0x 3% 4% 3.4 3.1
3 Shire SHP-LN GBP 29 49 17 29 4.8x 4.6x 4.3x 4.0x 6% 10% 1.5 1.1
4 Forest FRX-US USD 91 91 25 25 7.0x 5.2x 5.0x 4.7x 15% 63% 1.1 0.2
5 UCB UCB-BT EUR 56 77 11 15 3.0x 2.9x 2.7x 2.5x 7% 25% 1.1 0.6
6 Alkermes ALKS-US USD 45 45 7 7 11.0x 9.7x 8.1x 6.6x 18% 62% 1.4 0.3
7 Lundbeck LUN-KO DKK 156 29 31 6 2.3x 2.4x 2.2x 2.1x 3% 45% 0.7 0.2
8 Lonza LONN-VX CHF 87 99 5 5 1.2x 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 5% 13% 1.2 0.8
9 Meda MEDA'A-SK SEK 108 17 33 5 2.3x 2.2x 2.0x 1.9x 7% 14% 0.8 0.5
10 Recordati REC-MI EUR 13 17 3 4 2.6x 2.5x 2.4x 2.3x 4% 5% 2.8 2.4
11 Ipsen IPN-FR EUR 29 40 2 3 1.9x 1.8x 1.7x 1.6x 6% 12% 1.3 0.9
12 Orion ORNBV-HE EUR 22 30 2 3 2.2x 2.1x 2.1x 2.0x 3% 3% 6.3 5.7
13 Almirall ALM-MC EUR 11 15 2 3 2.4x 2.2x 2.0x 1.9x 8% 50% 0.5 0.1
Spec Pharma Average 3.7x 3.3x 3.1x 2.8x 7% 25% 1.8 1.3
Generics
1 Teva TEVA-TV ILS 181 52 172 50 2.5x 2.5x 2.5x 2.5x 0% 1% NA NA
2 Actavis ACT-US USD 202 202 35 35 3.4x 3.3x 3.2x 3.1x 3% 10% 1.5 1.1
3 Mylan MYL-US USD 49 49 18 18 2.3x 2.1x 2.0x 2.0x 5% 9% 1.5 1.1
4 Dr Reddy's DRREDDY-IS INR 2,549 42 434 7 3.3x 2.8x 2.5x 14% 14% 1.5 0.0
5 Hikma HIK-LN GBP 16 26 3 5 3.6x 3.3x 3.0x 2.8x 9% 8% 2.7 2.1
6 Ranbaxy RANBAXY-IN INR 462 8 196 3 1.7x 1.5x 1.4x 1.6x 3% 5% 7.3 6.4
Generics Average 2.8x 2.6x 2.4x 2.4x 6% 8% 2.9 2.2
Biotech
1 Gilead GILD-US USD 71 71 109 109 6.8x 5.3x 4.6x 4.4x 16% 30% 0.7 0.3
2 Amgen AMGN-US USD 120 120 91 91 4.6x 4.5x 4.5x 4.5x 1% 5% 2.7 2.3
3 Biogen BIIB-US USD 301 301 71 71 8.4x 7.3x 6.4x 5.8x 13% 20% 1.3 0.8
4 Celgene CELG-US USD 147 147 60 60 7.9x 6.5x 5.3x 4.6x 20% 30% 0.7 0.3
5 Regeneron REGN-US USD 306 306 31 31 11.7x 9.4x 8.2x 7.0x 19% 40% 1.9 0.7
6 Alexion ALXN-US USD 156 156 31 31 13.9x 11.0x 9.0x 7.3x 24% 23% 1.4 0.8
Biotech Average 8.9x 7.3x 6.3x 5.6x 15% 25% 1.5 0.9 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates *14-16 CAGR used when 14-17 CAGR data unavailable
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Exhibit 17: EV/EBITDA Valuation of Healthcare Subsectors
No. Company Name Ticker Currency Current
Price (LC)
Current
Price ($)
Market Cap
(LC Bn)
Market Cap
($Bn)
Enterprise
Value (LC Bn)
Enterprise
Value ($Bn)
EV/2014
EBITDA
EV/2015
EBITDA
EV/2016
EBITDA
EV/2017
EBITDA
14-17 Sales
CAGR
14-17 EPS
CAGR
14-17 EBITDA
CAGR
Major Pharma
1 Johnson & Johnson JNJ-US USD 99 99 280 280 266 266 11x 10x 9x 9x 3% 5% 6%
2 Novartis NOVN-VX CHF 74 84 201 228 208 237 12x 11x 10x 10x 5% 12% 8%
3 Roche ROG-VX CHF 256 290 217 247 223 253 12x 11x 11x 10x 4% 8% 6%
4 Pfizer PFE-US USD 31 31 200 200 186 186 8x 8x 8x 8x 1% 4% 2%
5 Merck MRK-US USD 57 57 168 168 166 166 11x 10x 9x 10x 1% 5% 2%
6 Sanofi SAN-FR EUR 76 105 100 138 107 148 8x 7x 7x 7x 3% 7% 3%
7 Glaxo-smithkline GSK-LN GBP 16 27 77 129 90 151 11x 11x 10x 10x 3% 9% 5%
8 Bayer BAYN-XE EUR 95 131 78 108 86 119 10x 9x 8x 8x 4% 12% 9%
9 Novo Nordisk NOVO'B-KO DKK 236 44 521 97 538 100 14x 12x 12x 11x 8% 8% 7%
10 Bristol-Myer Sqb BMY-US USD 51 51 84 84 85 85 18x 20x 17x 15x 4% 10% 7%
11 AbbVie ABBV-US USD 51 51 81 81 87 87 12x 10x 9x 9x 7% 14% 10%
12 Astrazeneca AZN-LN GBP 38 64 48 81 49 82 7x 7x 7x 8x -3% -7% -5%
13 Eli Lilly LLY-US USD 60 60 68 68 59 59 12x 10x 9x 9x 3% 14% 9%
Major Pharma Average 11x 11x 10x 9x 3% 8% 5%
Spec Pharma
1 Allergan AGN-US USD 121 121 36 36 34 34 13x 12x 11x 10x 7% 14% 10%
2 Merck Kgaa MRK-XE EUR 116 161 25 35 26 36 6x 18x 6x 6x 3% 4% 3%
3 Shire SHP-LN GBP 29 49 17 29 17 29 10x 10x 9x 8x 6% 10% 9%
4 Forest FRX-US USD 91 91 25 25 24 24 39x 13x 11x 10x 15% 63% 57%
5 UCB UCB-BT EUR 56 77 11 15 13 18 17x 15x 13x 10x 7% 25% 19%
6 Alkermes ALKS-US USD 45 45 7 7 7 7 235x 48x 29x 15x 18% 62% 151%
7 Lundbeck LUN-KO DKK 156 29 31 6 27 5 16x 11x 7x 6x 3% 45% 36%
8 Lonza LONN-VX CHF 87 99 5 5 7 8 9x 8x 8x 7x 5% 13% 7%
9 Meda MEDA'A-SK SEK 108 17 33 5 45 7 11x 9x 9x 8x 7% 14% 12%
10 Recordati REC-MI EUR 13 17 3 4 3 4 11x 10x 10x 10x 4% 5% 5%
11 Ipsen IPN-FR EUR 29 40 2 3 2 3 10x 9x 8x 7x 6% 12% 11%
12 Orion ORNBV-HE EUR 22 30 2 3 2 3 9x 9x 9x 9x 3% 3% 2%
13 Almirall ALM-MC EUR 11 15 2 3 2 3 13x 8x 6x 5x 8% 50% 39%
Spec Pharma Average 31x 14x 10x 9x 7% 25% 28%
Generics
1 Teva TEVA-TV ILS 181 52 172 50 172 50 8x 8x 9x 9x 0% 1% -4%
2 Actavis ACT-US USD 202 202 35 35 35 35 11x 10x 9x 9x 3% 10% 8%
3 Mylan MYL-US USD 49 49 18 18 18 18 8x 7x 7x 9x 5% 9% -5%
4 Dr Reddy's DRREDDY-IS INR 2,549 42 434 7 436 7 14x 12x 11x 14% 14% 12%
5 Hikma HIK-LN GBP 16 26 3 5 3 5 12x 12x 11x 10x 9% 8% 6%
6 Ranbaxy RANBAXY-IN INR 462 8 196 3 239 4 21x 16x 13x 17x 3% 5% 8%
Generics Average 12x 11x 10x 11x 6% 8% 4%
Biotech
1 Gilead GILD-US USD 71 71 109 109 112 112 14x 9x 8x 7x 16% 30% 23%
2 Amgen AMGN-US USD 120 120 91 91 107 107 11x 11x 11x 10x 1% 5% 4%
3 Biogen BIIB-US USD 301 301 71 71 70 70 17x 14x 13x 11x 13% 20% 14%
4 Celgene CELG-US USD 147 147 60 60 56 56 14x 11x 8x 7x 20% 30% 25%
5 Regeneron REGN-US USD 306 306 31 31 30 30 32x 21x 17x 19% 40% 39%
6 Alexion ALXN-US USD 156 156 31 31 29 29 26x 20x 16x 13x 24% 23% 28%
Biotech Average 19x 14x 12x 10x 15% 25% 22% Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates *14-16 CAGR used when 14-17 CAGR data unavailable
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 18
(3) Events Calendar
Exhibit 18: Rolling 12 month Calendar Of Medical/Industry Conferences (Major Conferences Highlighted)
Event Date Location
EASL - European Association for the Study of the Liver - International Liver Congress April 9, 2014 - April 13, 2014 London, UK
ISHLT - Int'l. Society for Heart & Lung Transplantation - Annual Meeting April 10, 2014 - April 13, 2014 San Diego, CA, USA
NKF - National Kidney Foundation - Spring Clinical Meetings April 22, 2014 - April 26, 2014 Las Vegas, NV, USA
CHI - Cambridge Healthtech Institute's Annual Drug Discovery Chemistry Conference April 23, 2014 - April 25, 2014 San Diego, CA, USA
GTC's 7th Diabetes Summit April 23, 2014 - April 25, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
NIO - Neurotechnology Industry Organization Conference April 23, 2014 - April 24, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
World Orphan Drug Congress USA 2014 April 23, 2014 - April 25, 2014 Washington D.C., USA
ACR - American College of Radiology - Annual Meeting and Leadership Conference April 26, 2014 - April 30, 2014 Washington D.C., USA
ACOG - American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists - Annual Meeting April 26, 2014 - April 30, 2014 Chicago, IL, USA
NACDS - National Association of Chain Drug Stores Annual Meeting April 26, 2014 - April 29, 2014 Scottsdale, AZ, USA
AAN - American Academy of Neurology® - Annual Meeting April 26, 2014 - May 3, 2014 Philadelphia, PA, USA
ACOEM - American College of Occupational and Environmental Medicine Health Conference April 27, 2014 - April 30, 2014 San Antonio , TX, USA
Clinical Virology Symposium April 27, 2014 - April 30, 2014 Daytona Beach, FL, USA
Bio-IT World Conference & Expo April 29, 2014 - May 1, 2014 Boston, PA, USA
Biomarker World Congress April 30, 2014 - May 2, 2014 Philadelphia, PA, USA
APS - American Pain Society - Annual Scientific Meeting April 30, 2014 - May 3, 2014 Tampa, FL, USA
NLA - National Lipid Association Annual Scientific Sessions May 1, 2014 - May 4, 2014 Orlando, FL, USA
DDW - Digestive Disease Week - AASLD, AGA, ASGE, SSAT May 3, 2014 - May 6, 2014 Chicago, IL, USA
APA - American Psychiatric Association - Annual Meeting May 3, 2014 - May 7, 2014 New York, NY, USA
ARVO - Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology - Annual Meeting May 4, 2014 - May 8, 2014 Orlando, FL, USA
HRS - Heart Rhythm Society's Annual Scientific Sessions May 7, 2014 - May 10, 2014 San Francisco, CA, USA
ACR National Conference on Breast Cancer May 8, 2014 - May 10, 2014 Phoenix, AZ, USA
Genomics Research Conference May 9, 2014 - May 10, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
ECCMID - European Congress of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases May 10, 2014 - May 13, 2014 Barcelona, Spain
ICAR - International Conference on Antiviral Research May 12, 2014 - May 16, 2014 Raleigh, NC, USA
AGS - The American Geriatrics Society Annual Meeting May 15, 2014 - May 17, 2014 Orlando, FL, USA
ASH - American Society of Hypertension Annual Scientific Meeting & Exposition May 16, 2014 - May 20, 2014 New York, NY, USA
AUA - American Urological Association - Annual Meeting May 16, 2014 - May 21, 2014 Orlando, FL, USA
ATS - American Thoracic Society - International Conference May 16, 2014 - May 21, 2014 San Diego, CA, USA
ASM - American Society for Microbiology - General Meeting May 17, 2014 - May 20, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
ASNR - American Society of Neuroradiology 52nd Annual Meeting May 17, 2014 - May 22, 2014 Montreal
AAPS - American Association of Pharmaceutical Scientists - National Biotech Conf May 19, 2014 - May 21, 2014 San Diego, CA, USA
World Stem Cells & Regenerative Medicine Congress 2014 May 20, 2014 - May 22, 2014 London, UK
ASGCT - American Society Of Gene & Cell Therapy - Annual Meeting May 21, 2014 - May 24, 2014 Washington D.C., USA
Joint International Oncology Congress 2014 May 27, 2014 - May 29, 2014 San Francisco
Americas Committee For Treatment & Research in Multiple Sclerosis May 28, 2014 - May 31, 2014 Dallas, TX, USA
ASCO - American Society of Clinical Oncology - Annual Meeting May 30, 2014 - Jun 3, 2014 Chicago, IL, USA
ENS - European Neurological Society - Annual Meeting May 31, 2014 - Jun 3, 2014 Istanbul, Turkey
Boston Biotech CEO Conference (BBC) Jun 4, 2014 - Jun 5, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
AusBiotech: Asia Biotech Invest Conference June 4, 2014 - June 6, 2014 Hong Kong, China
ILTS - The International Liver Transplantation Society - Annual Congress Jun 4, 2014 - Jun 7, 2014 London, UK
SNM - Society of Nuclear Medicine - Annual Meeting Jun 7, 2014 - Jun 11, 2014 St. Louis, MO, USA
EULAR - European League Against Rheumatism - Annual Congress Jun 11, 2014 - Jun 14, 2014 Paris, France
EHA - European Hematology Association -Annual Congress Jun 12, 2014 - Jun 15, 2014 Milan, Italy
ADA - American Diabetes Association -Scientific Sessions Jun 13, 2014 - Jun 17, 2014 San Francisco, CA, USA
DIA - Drug Information Association - Annual Meeting Jun 15, 2014 - Jun 19, 2014 San Diego, CA, USA
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 19
ISSCR - International Society for Stem Cell Research - Annual Meeting Jun 18, 2014 - Jun 21, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
RSA - Research Society on Alcoholism -Annual Scientific Meeting Jun 21, 2014 - Jun 25, 2014 Bellevue, WA ,USA
ENDO - The Endocrine Society - Annual Meeting Jun 21, 2014 - Jun 24, 2014 Chicago, Il, USA
BIO International Convention Jun 23, 2014 - Jun 26, 2014 San Diego, CA, USA
FOCIS - Federation of Clinical Immunology Societies Annual Meeting 2014 Jun 25, 2014 - Jun 28, 2014 Chicago, IL, USA
AAIC - The Alzheimer's Association International Conference Jul 12, 2014 - Jul 17, 2014 Copenhagen , Denmark
International AIDS Society Conference Jul 20, 2014 - Jul 25, 2014 Melbourne , Australia
AACC - The American Association for Clinical Chemistry - Annual Meeting Jul 27, 2014 - Jul 31, 2014 Chicago , IL, USA
TEDMED Conference (Health and Medicine) Sep 10, 2014 - Sep 12, 2014 Washington D.C. USA
ECTRIMS - Multiple Sclerosis Congress Sep 10, 2014 - Sep 13, 2014 Boston , MA, USA
EASD Diabetes Conference Sep 15, 2014 - Sep 19, 2014 Vienna, Austria
ESMO - European Society of Medical Oncology Sep 26, 2014 - Sep 30, 2014 Madrid, Spain
BIO Investor Forum Oct 7, 2014 - Oct 8, 2014 San Francisco, CA, USA
ANA - American Neurological Association -Annual Meeting Oct 12, 2014 - Oct 14, 2014 Baltimore , MD, USA
AusBiotech: Australia's Biotech Conference Oct 28, 2014 - Oct 31, 2014 Queensland, Australia
AASLD - The Liver Meeting Nov 7, 2014 - Nov 11 2014 Boston, MA, USA
ACR/ARHP - American College of Rheumatology Annual Scientific Meeting Nov 14, 2014 - Nov 18, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
AHA - American Heart Association Scientific Sessions Nov 15, 2014 - Nov 19, 2014 Chicago, IL, USA
ASH - American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting and Exposition Dec 6, 2014 - Dec 9, 2014 San Francisco, CA, USA
SABCS - San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium Dec 9, 2014 - Dec 13, 2014 San Antonio , TX, USA
Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium Jan 15, 2015 - Jan 17, 2015 San Francisco, CA, USA
Boston Biotech Business Development Conference Feb 9, 2015 - Feb 10, 2015 Boston, MA, USA
ASBMT - American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation - BMT Tandem Meetings Feb 11, 2015 - Feb 15, 2015 San Diego, CA, USA
AAAS - American Association for the Advancement of Science - Annual Meeting Feb 12, 2015 - Feb 16, 2015 San Jose. CA, USA
AAAAI - American Academy of Allergy Asthma & Immunology- Annual Meeting Feb 20, 2015 - Feb 24, 2015 Houston, TX, USA
CROI - Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections Feb 23, 2015 - Feb 26, 2015 Seattle, WA, USA
SIR - Society of Interventional Radiology -Annual Scientific Meeting Feb 28, 2015 - Mar 05, 2015 Atlanta, GA, USA
TAT - International Congress on Targeted Anticancer Therapies Mar 2, 2015 - Mar 4, 2015 Paris, France
APASL - Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver Mar 12, 2015 - Mar 15, 2015 Istanbul, Turkey
NCCN - National Comprehensive Cancer Network - Annual Conference Mar 13, 2015 - Mar 15, 2015 Hollywood, FL, USA
ASA - American Stroke Association -International Stroke Conference Mar 14, 2015 - Mar 17, 2015 San Diego, CA, USA
AAPM - American Academy of Pain Medicine- Annual Meeting Mar 19, 2015 - Mar 22, 2015 Washington D.C., USA
AAD - American Academy of Dermatology -Annual Meeting Mar 20, 2015 - Mar 24, 2015 San Francisco, CA, USA
ACS - American Chemical Society - Spring National Meeting & Exposition Mar 22, 2015 - Mar 26, 2015 Denver, CO, USA
SSO - Society of Surgical Oncology - Annual Cancer Symposium Mar 25, 2015 - Mar 28, 2015 Houston, TX, USA
EPA - European Psychiatric Association Congress Mar 28, 2015 - Mar 31, 2015 Vienna, Austria
SGO - Society of Gynecologic Oncology -Annual Meeting on Women's Cancer Mar 28, 2015 - Mar 31, 2015 Chicago, IL, USA
SMI - Superbugs & Superdrugs March, 2015 London, UK
CALBIO (BayBio, BIOCOM) March, 2015 San Francisco, CA, USA
ELCC - Annual European Lung Cancer Conference Apr 15, 2015 - Apr 18, 2015 Geneva, Switzerland
ASA - American Society of Andrology Annual Conference April 15, 2015 - April 21, 2015 Salt Lake City, UT, USA
AACR - American Association for Cancer Research - Annual Meeting April 18, 2015 - April 22, 2015 Philadelphia, PA, USA
ASLMS - American Society for Laser Medicine and Surgery Annual Conference April 22, 2015 - April 26, 2015 Kissimmee, FL, USA
World Health Care Congress April, 2015 National Harbor, MD, USA
AANS - American Association of Neurological Surgeons Annual Meeting May 2, 2015 - May 6, 2015 Washington D.C., USA
AusMedtech Conference May 11, 2015 - May 12, 2015 Melbourne, Australia
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 20
Exhibit 19: CS/Peer Conferences in 2014 Event Date Location
Credit Suisse Annual Payer/Provider Day Apr 15, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Imperial Capital 3rdAnnual Healthcare Investor Forum Date TBA New York, NY, USA
Baird Growth Stock Conference May 6, 2014 - May 8, 2014 Go, IL, USA
Deutsche Bank Annual Healthcare Conference May 7, 2014 - May 8, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
Credit Suisse Therapeutics Day May 9, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Healthcare Conference May 13, 2014 - May 15, 2014 Las Vegas, NV, USA
UBS Global Life Science Conference May 19, 2014 - May 21, 2014 New York, NY, USA
BioEquity Europe (BIO, BioCentury, EBD Group) May 21, 2014 - May 22, 2014 Amsterdam, Netherlands
Jefferies 2014 Global Healthcare Conference Jun 2, 2014 - Jun 5, 2014 New York , New York ,
AusBiotech: Asia Biotech Invest Conference Jun 4, 2014 - Jun 6, 2014 Hong Kong, China
Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference Jun 9, 2014 - Jun 12, 2014 Palos Verdes, CA, USA
William Blair Annual Growth StockConference Jun 10, 2014 - Jun 12, 2014 Chicago, IL, USA
Wells Fargo Securities Healthcare Conference Jun 17, 2014 - Jun 18, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
Piper JaffrayCatalyst Symposium: Emerging Talent in Biopharma Date TBA Boston, MA, USA
Leerink Swann Inaugural Therapeutics Conference Date TBA Boston, MA, USA
JMP Securities Research Conference Date TBA New York, NY, USA
Citi European Health Care Conference Date TBA London, UK
Bank of America Merrill Lynch's Mid CapConference Date TBA Boston, MA, USA
Wedbush Life Sciences Management Access Conference Aug 13, 2014 - Aug 14, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Canaccord Genuity Annual Growth Conference Date TBA Boston, MA, USA
Piper Jaffray Heartland Summit Date TBA Minneapolis, MN, USA
Baird Healthcare Conference Sep 3, 2014 - Sep 4, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Goldman Sachs Medtech/Services 1x1Conference Sep 3, 2014 - Sep 4, 2014 London, UK
Rodman & Renshaw Annual Global Investment Conference Sep 7, 2014 - Sep 9, 2014 New York , New York
Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Unplugged Conference Date TBA New York, NY, USA
Berenberg Bank and Goldman Sachs 2ndGerman Corporate Conference Sep 22, 2014 - Sep 24, 2014 Munich, Germany
Leerink Swann Bay Area Biopharma Bus Tour Date TBA San Francisco, CA, USA
Aegis Healthcare Conference Date TBA Las Vegas, NV, USA
Maxim Group Annual Growth Conference Date TBA New York, NY, USA
AusBiotech- Australian Life Science Investment Showcase Date TBA Melbourne , NY, Australia
Citi Biotech Day Date TBA Boston, MA, USA
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Healthcare Conference Date TBA London, UK
Leerink Swann Orphan Disease Management Day Date TBA New York, NY, USA
Cowen Annual Therapeutics Conference Oct 7, 2014 - Oct 8, 2014 Boston, MA, USA
Biotech in Europe Investor Forum (Sachs) Oct 7, 2014 - Oct 8, 2014 Zurich, Switzerland
Credit Suisse Healthcare Conference Nov 10, 2014 - Nov 13, 2014 Phoenix, AZ, USA
STIFEL Healthcare Conference 2014 Nov 18, 2014 - Nov 19, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference Date TBA London, UK
Deutsches Eigenkapital forum Nov 24, 2014 - Nov 26, 2014 Frankfurt, Germany
RBC Capital Markets’ Healthcare Investor Day Date TBA Denver, CO, USA
Canaccord Genuity's Medical Technology &Diagnostics Forum Date TBA New York, NY, USA
William Blair Healthcare Conference Date TBA New York, NY, USA
Brean Capital Life Sciences Summit Date TBA New York, NY, USA
Piper Jaffray Annual Healthcare Conference Dec 2, 2014 - Dec 3, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Oppenheimer 25th Annual Healthcare Conference Dec 10, 2014 - Dec 11, 2014 New York, NY, USA
Deutsche Bank dbAccess BioFEST Date TBA Boston, MA, USA
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimate, Trout Group, Bloomberg
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 21
Exhibit 20: PDUFA Dates for Biotech Companies
Company Event Drug/Compound Indication Catalyst
PHARM PDUFA Ruconest Acute treatment of hereditary angioedema (HAE) Apr 16,2014
MDCO PDUFA Cangrelor injection Thrombotic CV events in CAD patients undergoing PCI Apr 30,2014
QRX PDUFA Moxduo Acute pain May 25,2014
DRTX PDUFA Dalbavancin Acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections (ABSSSI) May 26,2014
KERX PDUFA Zerenex (ferric citrate) Hyperphosphatemia in CKD patients on dialysis Jun 7,2014
OREX PDUFA Contrave Treatment of obesity and weight management Jun 10,2014
CBST PDUFA tedizolid Acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections (ABSSSI) Jun 20,2014
NPSP PDUFA Gattex Label update with long-term data from STEPS 2 trial Jun 28,2014
MNKD PDUFA Afrezza (inhaled insulin) Type I and type II diabetes Jul 15,2014
MDCO PDUFA Oritavancin ABSSSI Aug 6,2014
GILD PDUFA Idelalisib Relapsed/refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) Aug 6,2014
TOPO PDUFA Belinostat Peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL) Aug 9,2014
REGN PDUFA Eylea Diabetic macular edema (DME) Aug 18,2014
GILD PDUFA Idelalisib Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) Sep 11,2014
VVUS PDUFA for sNDA Stendra Update of Prescribing Information for STENDRA (avanafil) Sep 20,2014
CELG PDUFA Apremilast Psoriasis Sep 23,2014
NPSP PDUFA Natpara Hypoparathyroidism Oct 24,2014
AEZ PDUFA Macimorelin Diagnostic in adult growth hormone deficiency Nov 5,2014
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Exhibit 21: PDUFA Dates for Big Pharma
Company Event Drug/Compound Indication Catalyst
GSK PDUFA Albiglutide Type II diabetes Apr 15,2014
GSK PDUFA Arzerra Front-line chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) Apr 19,2014
SAN PDUFA PA32540/PA8140 Sec. prevent. CV disease in pts at risk for ulcers Apr 25,2014
PFE PDUFA Eliquis Treatment of venous thromboembolism & prevention of recurrent VTE Aug 25,2014
BMY PDUFA Eliquis Treatment of venous thromboembolism & prevention of recurrent VTE
Aug 25,2014
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 22
Exhibit 22: CHMP Opinions/Regulatory Filings and EMA Meetings/Decisions for Biotech
Company Event Drug/Compound Indication Catalyst
CELG Regulatory Filing Revlimid Newly diagnosed MM patients 1Q 2014
PTCT Ruling on Appeal Ataluren Nonsense mutation cystic fibrosis (CF) 2Q 2014
ARIA EMA Iclusig Blood clot risk and benefit/risk May-14
BMRN EMA Vimizim Morquio A Syndrome accelerated assessment 2Q 2014
ENTA Regulatory Filing ABT-450-r/ABT-267 /ABT-333 HCV GT1 Early 2Q 2014
MDCO Regulatory Filing lonsys Short term management of acute post-operative pain 2Q 2014
CBST Regulatory Filing tedizolid phosphate ABSSSI caused by gram positive bacteria 1H 2014
ALXN Regulatory Filing ENB- 0040 Pediatric-onset hypophosphatemia (HPP) Mid-2014
GILD CHMP Opinion Idelalisib Double refractory indolent NHL and for combination with Rituxan in relapsed or refractory CLL
Mid-2014/3Q 2014
BIIB EMA GA 101 Front line treatment for chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) 3Q 2014
UTHR EMA Ch14.18 mAb neuroblastoma 4Q 2014
MDCO EMA Fibrocaps Surgical hemostasis 4Q 2014
REGN EMA Eylea Diabetic macular edema (DME) 4Q 2014
PCYC EMA Ibrutinib Relapsed or refractory MCL/CLL/SLL monotherapy 4Q 2014
LLY EMA Dulaglutide Type II diabetes 4Q 2014
CORT EMA Korlym Endogenous Cushing's syndrome 4Q 2014
LLY EMA Insulin lispro U-200 Type I and Type II diabetes 4Q 2014
BIIB EMA Peginterferon Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) 2H 2014
AMGN EMA Carfilzomib Relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma 2H 2014
CBST Regulatory Filing CXA-201 Complicated urinary tract and complicated intra-abdominal infections 2H 2014
LLY Regulatory Filing Ramucirumab Metastatic gastric cancer (2nd line in combination with pacitaxel) 2H 2014
VRTX Regulatory Filing Ivacaftor/Lumacaftor CF patients ages 12 and older with homozygous F508del 2H 2014
GILD EMA Idelalisib Relapsed and refractory CLL (in combination with Rituxan) 2H 2014
OREX EMA Contrave Obesity and weight management Late-2014
MVIRB Regulatory Filing Simprevir Hepatitis C GT1 treatment-naïve and experienced patients 2014
BIIB Regulatory Filing Factor VIII Fc Hemophilia A 2014/2015
BIIB Regulatory Filing Factor IX Fc Hemophilia B 2014/2015
REGN Regulatory Filing Alirocumab LDL cholesterol reduction 1Q 2015
CELG Regulatory Filing Revlimid Newly diagnosed MM patients 1Q 2014
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 23
Exhibit 23: CHMP Opinions/Regulatory Filings and EMA Meetings/Decisions for Big Pharma
Company Event Drug/Compound Indication Catalyst
AZN/BMY/Otsuka Regulatory Filing Onglyza Type II diabetes adult patients with CV risk factors 1Q 2014
GSK/Japan Tobacco EMA Trametinib Metastatic melanoma 1Q 2014
PFE CHMP Opinion Vfend Invasive fungal infections 1Q 2014
ROG/CHUGAI CHMP Opinion Actemra Early rheumatoid arthritis 1Q/2Q 2014
INCY/NOVN Regulatory Filing Jakafi Polycythemia vera Jun 2014
JNJ CHMP Opinion Siltuximab Multi centric Castleman's disease >=Jun 2014
SAN Regulatory Filing Lantus Type I and Type II diabetes 2Q-2014
CBST/BAYN Regulatory Filing Tedizolid phosphate ABSSSI caused by gram positive bacteria 1H 2014
BMY Regulatory Filing Asunaprevir dual-drug therapy with daclatasvir in HCV GT1b 1H 2014
JNJ/MRK EMA Simponi Aria IV formulation for rheumatoid arihritis Mid 2014
AZN/NKTR EMA Naloxegol Opoid-induced constipation in the chronic pain setting Sept/ 4Q 2014
BIIB/ROG/Chugai EMA GA 101 Front line treatment for CLL 3Q 2014
GSK EMA Votrient Maintenance treatment for Ovarian cancer 3Q 2014
BMY EMA Daclatasvir Combination therapy for various HCV genotypes 3Q 2014
AZN/BMY/ALSK/LLY EMA Bydureon pen Diabetes 4Q 2014
REGN/BAYN EMA Eylea Diabetic macular edema (DME) 4Q 2014
LLY EMA Dulaglutide Type II diabetes 4Q 2014
GILD/JNJ EMA Prezista HIV 4Q 2014
GSK/PFE/Shionogi EMA 572-Trii & Kivexa HIV/AIDS 4Q 2014
SAN EMA Eliglustat tartrate Gaucher's disease 4Q 2014
FRX/AZN Regulatory Filing Ceftazidime/avibactam Complicated intra-abdominal & urinary tract infections 4Q 2014
LLY EMA Insulin lispro U-200 Type I and Type II diabetes 4Q 2014
BMY/PFE EMA Eliquis Initial and long-term treatment & extended prevention of
recurrent VTE
2H 2014
LLY/DYAX Regulatory Filing Ramucirumab Metastatic gastric cancer (2nd line in combination with
paclitaxel)
2H14
JNJ/GSK Regulatory Filing Sirukumab Rheumatoid arthritis 2014/2017
GEN/JNJ Regulatory Filing Saratumunab Refractory multiple myeloma 2014/2017
VLA/NOVN Regulatory Filing Pseudomonas aeruqinosa
vaccine
Mechanically ventilated intensive care patients 2014/2015
PCYC/JNJ Regulatory Filing Ibrutinib Monotherapy in CLL/SLL patients who have deletion 17p 2014-2017
JNJ Regulatory Filing Esketamine Treatment resistant depression 2014-2017
MVIRB/JNJ Regulatory Filing GSK2336805/TMC435/TM
C647055/r
Hepatitis C GT1 treatment-naïve and experienced
patients
2014-2017
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 24
Exhibit 24: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in April (Earnings – Black/Blue, PDUFA – Green, Conferences/Analyst
Days – Red, Annual General/Shareholder Meetings - Purple)
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
14 15 16 17 18
Ticker
Time / Telephone
(PIN)
Roche
08:00/631-570-5613
(RSVP Reqd.)
GSK (Albiglutide)
PDUFA
Credit Suisse Annual
Payer Provider Day,
New York, NY
PHARM (Ruconest)
PDUFA
Lonza - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(04:00)
Actelion
8:00/866 9075 924
Recordati - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(04:00)
GEN/GSK (Arzerra)
PDUFA - April 19
21 22 23 24 25
Gilead
TBA
Amgen
17:15/TBA
Cubist
17:00/855-319-7654
(12504774)
Illumina
17:30/888-679-8033
(81417326)
NKF Spring Clinical
Meetings - April 22 -
26, San Diego
Biogen
08:00/877-650-1145
CHI Drug Discovery
Conference - April 23 -
25, Las Vegas
GTC Diabetes Summit -
April 23 - 25, Boston,
MA
NIO Conference - April
23 - 24, Boston, MA
World Orphan Drug
Congress - April 23 -
25, Washington D.C.
Celgene
09:00/TBA
Novartis
08:00/877-280-2342
(8332185)
Eli Lilly
09:00/612-332-0630
(323259)
AstraZeneca - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
UCB - Annual General
Meeting (05:00)
Abbvie
09:00/TBA
SAN
(PA32540/PA8140)
PDUFA
28 29 30
Bayer
08:00/855-272-3513
ACR Conference -
April 26 - 30,
Washington D.C.
ACOG Meeting - April
26 - 30, Chicago, IL
NACDS Meeting - April
26 -29, Scottsdale, AZ
ACOEM Conference -
April 27 - 30, San
Antonio
Clinical Virology
Symposium - April 27 -
30, Daytona Beach, FL
Ironwood
08:30/877-643-7155
(3733415)
Sanofi
08:30/866-907-5923
Merck
08:00/877-381-5782
(17424702)
Bristol Myers-Squibb
09:00/719-325-2331
(9920668)
Forest
10:00/TBA
Orion
TBA
Bayer - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
Shire - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
GlaxoSmithKline
TBA
Ipsen
TBA
MDCO (Cangrelor
Injection) PDUFA
Biomarket World
Congress - April 30 -
May 2, Philadelphia,
PA
Estimated 21st - 25th April: The Medicines Company, Immunogen, XenoPort, United Therapeutics, Intermune,
BioMarin, Alexion
Estimated 21st - 25th April: Dendreon - Annual Shareholder Meeting
Estimated 28th - 30th April: Corcept, Genomic Health, Pharmacyclics, Vertex, Regeneron, Idenix
April
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 25
Exhibit 25: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in May 1 - 9 (Earnings – Black/Blue, PDUFA – Green,
Conferences/Analyst Days – Red, Annual General/Shareholder Meetings - Purple)
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
1 2
Ticker
Time / Telephone
(PIN)
Novo Nordisk
TBA
Shire
TBA
5 6 7 8 9
Pfizer
10:00/866-246-2545
(1st Quarter Earnings)
Sanofi - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(08:30)
Ironwood - Investor
and Analyst Event
(17:30 - 19:30) at DDW
in Chicago
DDW - May 3 -6,
Chicago, IL
APA Meeting - May 3 -
7, New York, NY
ARVO Meeting - May 4
- 8, Orlando, FL
Recordati
TBA
Qiagen
TBA
Bristol-Myers Squibb -
Annual Shareholder
Meeting (10:00)
Allergan - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(13:00)
Baird Growth Stock
Conference - May 6 -
8, Go, IL
Meda
TBA
Lundbeck
TBA
Allergan
11:00/TBA
GlaxoSmithKline -
Annual General
Meeting (09:30)
Vertex - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(09:30)
Corcept - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(11:00)
Gilead - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
HRS Annual Session -
May 7 - 10, San
Francisco, CA
Deutsche Bank Health
Care Conference, May
7 - 8, Boston, MA
Medivir
TBA
Medivir - Annual
General Meeting
(08:00)
Actelion - Annual
General Meeting
ACR Breast Cancer
Conference - May 8 -
10, Phoenix, AZ
Synergy
TBA
Merck KgaA - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(04:00)
Almirall - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(06:30)
Sucampo - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(08:30)
Abbvie - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(12:00)
Credit Suisse
Therapeutics Day,
New York, NY
Genomics Research
Conference - May 9 -
10, Boston, MA
ECCMID Conference -
May 10 - 13, Barcelona,
Spain
Estimated 1st-2nd May: Endocyte
Estimated 5th - 9th May: Myriad Genetics, Vical, Infinity, Sucampo, Dendreon, Clovis, Vivus, Liposcience, Sunesis,
Orexigen, Durata, Achillion, Medivation, Exelixis, Seattle Genetics, Ariad, PDL Biopharma
Estimated 5th - 9th May: Pharmacyclics, Alexion, Eli Lilly - Annual Shareholder Meeting
May
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 26
Exhibit 26: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in May 12 - 31 (Earnings – Black/Blue, PDUFA – Green,
Conferences/Analyst Days – Red, Annual General/Shareholder Meetings - Purple)
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
12 13 14 15 16
Almirall
TBA
CBST Investor
Presentation (PIII
Ceftolozane/tazobacta
m), AC Barcelona
Hotel Spain
ICAR - May 12 - 16,
Raleigh, NC
Bank of America
Health Care
Conference - May 13 -
15, Las Vega, NV
Merck KgaA
TBA
Esperion - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(08:00)
Endocyte - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(12:00)
Amgen - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(14:00)
AGS Meeting - May 15
- 17, Orlando, FL
Portola - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(13:30)
Seattle Genetics -
Annual Shareholder
Meeting (14:00)
ASH Exposition - May
16-20, New York, NY
AUA Meeting - May 16
- 21, Orlando, FL
ATS Conference - May
16 - 21, San Diego, CA
ASM Meeting - May 17
- 20 Boston, Ma
ASNR Meeting - May
17 22, Montreal,
Canada
19 20 21 22 23
AAPS Conference -
May 19 - 21, San Diego,
CA
UBS Global Life
Science Conference -
May 19 - 21, New York,
NY
Lonza - Capital
Markets Day
World Stem Cells &
Regenerative
Medicine Congress -
May 20 - 22, London,
UK
ASGCT Meeting - May
21 - 24, Washington
D.C.
BioEquity Europe
Conference - May 21 -
22, Amsterdam,
Netherlands
XOMA - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
(12:00)
QRX (Moxduo) PDUFA -
May 25
26 27 28 29 30
DRTX (Dalbavancin)
PDUFA
Join Intl. Oncology
Conference - May 27 -
29, San Francisco, CA
PDL Biopharma -
Annual Shareholder
Meeting (13:00)
ASCO Meeting - May
30 - June 3, Chicago, IL
ENS Meeting - May 31 -
June 3, Istanbul,
Turkey
Estimated 26th - 30th May: Achillion
Estimated 12th - 16th May: Chimerix, Tetraphase, Epizyme
Annual Shareholder Meeting 12th - 16th May: XenoPort, BioMarin
Estimated 19th - 23rd May: Portola, Exelixis
May
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 27
Exhibit 27: Comprehensive Calendar of Events in June (Earnings – Black/Blue, PDUFA – Green, Conferences/Analyst
Days – Red, Annual General/Shareholder Meetings - Purple)
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
2 3 4 5 6
Ticker
Time / Telephone
(PIN)
Jefferies Health Care
Conference - June 2 -
5, New York, NY
Ipsen - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
BBC CEO Conference -
June 4 - 5, Boston, MA
Asia Biotech Invest
Conference - June 4 -
6, Hong Kong, China
ILTS Congress - June 4 -
7, London, UK
SNM Meeting - June 7 -
11, St. Louis, MO
KERX (Zerenex)
PDUFA - June 7
9 10 11 12 13
Goldman Sachs Health
Care Conference - May
9 12, Palos Verdes, CA
OREX (Contrave)
PDUFA
William Blair
Conference - June 10 -
12, Chicago, IL
EULAR Congress - June
11 - 14, Paris, France
EHA Congress - June
12 - 15, Milan, Italy
ADA Scientific
Sessions - June 13 - 17,
San Francisco, CA
DIA Meeting - June 15 -
19, Boston, MA
16 17 18 19 20
Novartis - Investor Day
Wells Fargo Health
Care Conference -
June 17 -18,
Boston,MA
Celgene - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
ISSCR Meeting - June
18 - 21, Boston, MA
CBST (tedizolid)
PDUFA
RSA Meeting - June 21 -
25, Bellevue, WA
ENDO Meeting - June
21 - 24, Chicago, IL
23 24 25 26 27
Qiagen - Annual
Shareholder Meeting
FOCIS Meeting - June
25 - 28, Chicago, IL
NPSP (Gattex) PDUFA -
June 28
Estimated 2nd - 6th June: Idenix, Genomic Health - Annual Shareholder Meeting
Estimated 23rd - 27th June: Ultragenyx
Estimated 23rd - 27th June: Medivation - Annual Shareholder Meeting
Estimated 16th - 20th June: Ariad - Annual Shareholder Meeting
Estimated 9th - 13th June: Esperion
Estimated 9th - 13th June: Arena, Cubist, Infinity, Biogen, Regeneron - Annual Shareholder Meeting
June
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 28
(4) IPO Related Performance and Valuation
Exhibit 28: List of Biotech IPOs in 2014
Date Ticker Company IPO Price
Market
Value post-
$
Current
Price
Current Mkt
Cap (in M)
Perf since
IPOLead Product Status Indication
03/28/14 AGTC-US Applied Genetic Technologies $12.0 $168 $14.7 $207 23%
XLRS
ACHM
XLRP
Preclinical
X-Linked Retinoschisis
Achromatopsia
X-Linked Retinitis Pigmentosa
03/21/14 RTGN-US Ruthigen $7.3 $34 $7.1 $33 (2%) RUT58-60 Phase 1/2 Infection preventiopn/treatment during
abdominal surgery
03/20/14 VSAR-US Versartis $21.0 $522 $28.0 $651 33% VRS-317 Phase 2a Growth hormone deficiency
03/20/14 MDWD-USMediWound $14.0 $286 $12.2 $257 (13%) NexoBrid
Marketed in EU
Phase 3
Preperation
Removal of eschar (also known as
debridement) in adults with thermal burns
03/20/14 AKBA-US Akebia $17.0 $348 $18.9 $366 11% AKB-6548 Phase 2b Anemia secondary to CKD
03/13/14 DPRX-US Dipexium Pharmaceuticals $12.0 $98 $10.4 $89 (13%) Locilex Phase 3 complete Mild/Moderate Skin Infections in Wounds
03/12/14 GLMD-US Galmed $13.5 $143 $9.5 $97 (29%) Aramchol Phase 2a complete NASH
03/12/14 AKAO-US Achaogen $12.0 $210 $12.8 $225 6% Plazomicin Phase 3 ready Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae
03/07/14 AQXP-US Aquinox Pharmaceuticals $11.0 $113 $9.4 $94 (15%) AQX-1125 Phase 2 Bladder Pain Syndrome/interstitial cystitis
03/07/14 REPH-US Recro Pharma Inc. $8.0 $58 $7.1 $54 (12%) Dex-IN Phase 2b Postoperative Pain
02/13/14 CNCE-US Concert Pharmaceuticals $14.0 $262 $12.1 $216 (14%) CTP-499 Phase 2 Diabetic Kidney Disease
02/12/14 FLXN-US Flexion Therapeutics $13.0 $200 $17.0 $265 31% FX006 Phase 2b Moderate to Severe OA Pain
02/12/14 EGRX-US Eagle Pharmaceuticals $15.0 $216 $12.7 $187 (16%) EP-3102 NDA Filed Chronic lymphocytic leukemia; indolent
NHL
02/11/14 NRX-US Nephrogenex $12.0 $112 $7.4 $66 (38%) Pyridorin Phase 2 Complete Diabetic nephropathy
02/07/14 ARGS-US Argos Therapeutics $8.0 $158 $9.0 $178 13% AGS-003 Phase 3 Metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC)
(clear cell)
02/06/14 RVNC-US Revance Therapeutics $16.0 $309 $29.6 $552 85% RT001 Phase 3 Crow's feat lines
02/06/14 EBIO-US Eleven Biotherapeutics $10.0 $170 $15.6 $254 56% EBI-005 Phase 1/2 complete Dry eye disease; Allergic conjunctivitis
02/06/14 EGLT-US Egalet Corp $12.0 $133 $12.6 $214 5% Egalet-001 Phase 1 Moderate to Severe Pain
02/05/14 QURE-US uniQure $17.0 $330 $14.5 $255 (15%) Glybera Approved (EU) Familial LPLD
02/05/14 ASPX-US Auspex Pharmaceuticals $12.0 $301 $32.4 $764 170% SD-809 Phase 3 Chorea associated with Huntington's
disease
02/05/14 GNCA-US Genocea Biosciences $12.0 $222 $19.3 $334 61% GEN-003 Phase 2 HSV-2 infections
01/31/14 TRVN-US Trevena $7.0 $194 $6.0 $158 (14%)TRV027
TRV130
Phase 2b
Phase 1b
Acute heart failure (AHF)
Moderate-to-severe acute pain
01/31/14 CARA-US Cara Therapeutics $11.0 $253 $18.3 $413 66% CR845 Phase 2 complete Acute postoperative pain
01/31/14 RARE-US Ultragenyx $21.0 $666 $58.8 $1,766 180%KRN23
rhGUS
Phase 1/2
Phase 1/2
X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH)
Mucopolysaccharidosis 7 (MPS 7)
01/30/14 DRNA-US Dicerna $15.0 $282 $21.8 $386 45% DCR-PH1 Preclinical Primary hyperoxaluria 1 (PH1)
01/30/14 CLDN-US Celladon $8.0 $150 $10.7 $197 33% Mydicar Phase 2b Systolic heart failure
01/10/14 GLYC-US GlycoMimetics $8.0 $162 $15.4 $286 92% GMI-1070 Phase 2 Vasculo-occlusive crisis (VOC)
$226 $317 27%2014 IPO Summary (Average)
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 29
Exhibit 29: List of Biotech IPOs in 2013
Date Ticker Company IPO Price
Market
Value post-
$
Current
Price
Current Mkt
Cap (in M)
Perf since
IPOYTD Perf Lead Product Status Indication
12/13/13 TLOG-US Tetralogic Pharmaceuticals $7.0 $154 $7.7 $171 10% (19%)Birinapant
(SMAC Mimetic) Phase 1/2
Colorectal cancer
AML / MDS / ALL
12/03/13 XNCR-US Xencor $5.5 $179 $10.3 $323 87% 13%XmAb5871
XmAb7195
Phase 1b/2a
Pre-clinical
Rheumatoid arthritis
Severe asthma
11/15/13 RLYP-US Relypsa $11.0 $335 $27.0 $801 145% 8%Patiromer
RLY6002 Phase 3
Hyperkalemia
Polymer drug discovery technology
11/06/13 KPTI-US Karyopharm Therapeutics $16.0 $482 $36.8 $1,095 130% 61% KPT-330 Phase 1 Relapsed/refractory hematological and solid
tumor malignancies
10/25/13 AERI-US Aerie Pharmaceuticals $10.0 $258 $19.1 $446 91% 7%AR-13324
PG324
Phase 3
Phase 2 Glaucoma patients
10/10/13 MGNX-US MacroGenics $16.0 $439 $24.2 $664 51% (12%) MGAH22 Phase 2 initiated HER2 metastic breast cancer
10/01/13 FATE-US Fate Therapeutics $6.0 $128 $8.1 $165 35% 29% ProHema Phase 2 Adult hematologic malignanices
09/25/13 EVOK-US Evoke Pharma $12.0 $43 $7.7 $47 (36%) 3% EVK-001 Phase 2b complete
Relief of symptoms asso. With acute and
recurrent diabetic gastroparesis in women
with diabetes mellitus
09/25/13 FMI-US Foundation Medicine $18.0 $250 $29.9 $828 66% 26% FOUNDATIONONE Approved Cancer diagnostics test
09/25/13 OPHT-US Ophthotech $22.0 $730 $31.6 $1,053 44% (2%) Fovista Phase 3 Wet AMD
09/20/13 BIND-US BIND Therapeutics $15.0 $273 $10.8 $177 (28%) (29%) BIND-014 Phase 2 NSCLC, mCRPC
09/19/13 XLRN-US Acceleron Pharma $15.0 $479 $37.8 $1,179 152% (4%) Sotatercept Phase 2 β-thalassemia, myelodysplastic syndromes
09/18/13 FPRX-US FivePrime Therapeutics $13.0 $234 $16.5 $352 27% (2%) FP-1039 Phase 1b Multiple solid tumors
08/23/13 RGDO-US Regado Biosciences $4.0 $82 $8.8 $222 119% 84% REG1 Phase 3 initiated Acute and sub-acute cardovascular
indications
08/08/13 XON-US Intrexon $16.0 $1,121 $23.9 $2,337 49% 0% UltraVector, RTS NA NA
07/25/13 CNAT-US Conatus Pharmaceuticals Inc $11.0 $177 $7.6 $120 (30%) 19% Emricasan Phase 2 HCV recurrence post transplant
Acute-on-chronic liver failure
07/25/13 ICEL-US Cellular Dynamics International $12.0 $155 $14.4 $228 20% (12%) iCell product line NA Develop functioning human cells in
industrial quantities
07/25/13 ONTX-US Onconova Therapeutics Inc $15.0 $177 $6.2 $135 (59%) (46%) Rigosertib Phase 3
Phase 3
Higher risk myelodyplastic syndromes
(MDS)
Metastatic pancreatic cancer
07/24/13 AGIO-US Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc $18.0 $339 $48.4 $1,540 169% 102%AG-221
AG-120 Pre-clinical
Mutations in the enzymes IDH2
Mutations in the enzymes IDH1
07/24/13 HTBX-US Heat Biologics Inc $10.0 $629 $6.0 $39 (40%) (16%) HS-110 Phase 2 ready Non-small cell lung cancer
07/18/13 OMED-US OncoMed Pharmaceuticals Inc $17.0 $68 $28.8 $848 69% (3%)Demcizumab
OMP-59R5
Phase 1b
Phase 1b/2
Advanced solid tumors
Pancreatic cancer / SCLC
06/28/13 RNA-US Prosensa Holding BV $13.0 $507 $5.3 $191 (59%) 14% Drisapersen Phase 3 Duchenne muscular dystrophy
06/27/13 PETX-US Aratana Therapeutics $6.0 $494 $15.8 $466 164% (17%) At-001/2/3 Dog/Cat
Enrollment
Complete or
Initiating
Medication for pets/pet therapeutics
06/26/13 NSTG-US NanoString Technologies $10.0 $80 $17.0 $307 70% (1%) Prosigna
FDA 501(k)
clearance received,
EU marketed
Breast cancer diagnostics
06/26/13 ESPR-US Esperion Therapeutics $14.0 $225 $15.2 $235 9% 11% ETC-1002 Phase 2b LDL-C lowering in statin intolerance
06/20/13 PTCT-US PTC Therapeutics Inc $15.0 $374 $23.5 $706 57% 38% PTC124 Phase 3
Phase 3
Duchenne muscular dystrophy (nmDMD)
Cystic fibrosis (nmCF)
06/19/13 BLUE-US Bluebird Bio Inc $17.0 $457 $22.7 $549 34% 8% ALD-102 Phase 2/3 Childhood cerebral ALD
05/31/13 EPZM-US Epizyme Inc $15.0 $487 $23.3 $763 55% 12%EPZ-5676
EPZ-6438
Phase 1
Phase1/2
Mixed lineage leukemia
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma
05/22/13 ADHD-US Alcobra Pharma $8.0 $74 $17.3 $236 116% (4%) Metadoxine (MG01CI) Phase 2b complete Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 30
Exhibit 30: List of Biotech IPOs in 2013 (continued)
Date Ticker Company IPO Price
Market
Value post-
$
Current
Price
Current Mkt
Cap (in M)
Perf since
IPOYTD Perf Lead Product Status Indication
05/22/13 PTLA-US Portola Pharmaceuticals Inc $14.5 $538 $24.4 $1,001 68% (5%) Betrixaban PRT4445 Phase 3
Phase 2
Extended duration VTE prophylaxis
Reversal of Factor Xa inhibitor
anticoagulation
05/17/13 AMBI-US Ambit Biosciences $8.0 $150 $8.8 $157 9% (9%) Quizartinib Phase 2 R/R acute myeloid leukemia
05/09/13 RCPT-US Receptos Inc $14.0 $261 $42.5 $943 204% 47% RPC1063 Phase 2 Multiple sclerosis
Ulcerative colitis
04/11/13 B9N2823 Omthera Pharmaceuticals Inc $8.0 $207 $13.3 $325 66% 0% Epanova Phase 3 complete Hypertriglyceridemia
04/11/13 CMRX-US Chimerix Inc $14.0 $394 $21.9 $587 57% 45% CMX001 Phase 2 complete Double-stranded DNA viruses
04/05/13 CGIX-US Cancer Genetics $10.0 $265 $15.8 $147 58% 15% DNA-based cancer diagnostics NA Difficult to diagnose cancers, cervical
cancer
03/21/13 ENTA-US Enanta $14.0 $152 $36.7 $673 162% 34% ABT-450 Phase 3 Hepatitis-C
03/20/13 TTPH-US Tetraphase Pharmaceuticals, Inc $7.0 $199 $11.2 $290 61% (17%) Eravacycline Phase 2 complete Infections (cIAI and cUTI)
02/01/13 KBIO-US KaloBios Pharmaceuticals Inc $8.0 $88 $2.5 $82 (69%) (44%)KB001
KB003
Phase 2
Phase 2
Cystic fibrosis
Severe asthma
01/29/13 STML-US Stemline Therapeutics $10.0 $55 $19.0 $251 90% (3%)SL-401
SL-701 Phase1/2
Acute myeloid leukemia
Cancer stem cells and tumor bulk of brain
cancer
01/25/13 LPDX-US LipoScience $9.0 $39 $3.1 $48 (65%) (26%) NMR LipoProfile Test NA Cardovascular and metabolic diseases
$294 $518 54% 8%2013 IPO Summary (Average)
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
Exhibit 31: Class of 2013/2014 Biotech IPO's, S&P 500, S&P500 Biotech Performance
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
01-Jan-13 01-Mar-13 01-May-13 01-Jul-13 01-Sep-13 01-Nov-13 01-Jan-14 01-Mar-14
Class of 2013 Index S&P 500 S&P 500 Biotech Class of 2013 Index (rebased to 2014)
S&P500 (rebased to 2014) S&P 500 Biotech (rebased to 2014) Class of 2014 Index
S&P 500 Biotech
Class of 2013
Class of 2014S&P 500
S&P 500 (rebased)
Class of 2013 (rebased)
S&P 500 Biotech (rebased)
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
1
1 A
pril 2
01
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Glo
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(5) Additional Information/Appendix
Exhibit 32: Top Healthcare Companies Ordered By Revenues from 2003 to 2015E
No.
1 Pfizer 45 Pfizer 53 Pfizer 47
Johnson &
Johnson 53
Johnson &
Johnson 53
Johnson &
Johnson 64
Johnson &
Johnson 64 Pfizer 67 Pfizer 65
Johnson &
Johnson 65
Johnson &
Johnson 71
Johnson &
Johnson 74
Johnson &
Johnson 77
2
Johnson &
Johnson 42
Johnson &
Johnson 42
Johnson &
Johnson 47 Pfizer 48 Pfizer 48 Pfizer 48 Pfizer 50
Johnson &
Johnson 62
Johnson &
Johnson 62 Novartis 57 Novartis 58 Novartis 59 Novartis 61
3 Bayer 39
Glaxo-
smithkline 37
Glaxo-
smithkline 39
Glaxo-
smithkline 43
Glaxo-
smithkline 45 Bayer 48 Roche 45 Novartis 51 Novartis 59 Pfizer 55 Bayer 53 Bayer 55 Bayer 57
4
Glaxo-
smithkline 35 Bayer 32 Sanofi 34 Bayer 37 Bayer 44
Glaxo-
smithkline 45
Glaxo-
smithkline 44 Bayer 46 Bayer 51 Bayer 51 Pfizer 52 Roche 54 Roche 56
5 Novartis 25 Novartis 28 Novartis 31 Sanofi 36 Roche 38 Roche 42 Novartis 44 Merck 46 Roche 48 Roche 49 Roche 51 Pfizer 50 Pfizer 50
6 Merck 22 Roche 24 Bayer 31 Novartis 34 Sanofi 38 Novartis 41 Bayer 43 Roche 46 Merck 48 Merck 47 Merck 44 Sanofi 47 Sanofi 49
7
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 21 Merck 23 Roche 29 Roche 34 Novartis 38 Sanofi 41 Sanofi 41
Glaxo-
smithkline 44 Sanofi 46 Sanofi 45 Sanofi 44 Merck 43
Glaxo-
smithkline 44
8 Roche 20 Astrazeneca 21 Astrazeneca 24 Astrazeneca 26 Astrazeneca 30 Astrazeneca 32 Astrazeneca 33 Sanofi 43
Glaxo-
smithkline 44
Glaxo-
smithkline 42
Glaxo-
smithkline 41
Glaxo-
smithkline 42 Merck 43
9 Aventis 20 Aventis 20 Abbott 22 Merck 23 Abbott 26 Abbott 30 Abbott 31 Abbott 35 Abbott 39 Astrazeneca 28 Astrazeneca 26 Sinopharm 32 Sinopharm 38
10 Abbott 20 Abbott 20 Merck 22 Abbott 22 Merck 24 Merck 24 Merck 27 Astrazeneca 33 Astrazeneca 34 Eli Lilly 23 Eli Lilly 23 Astrazeneca 25 Astrazeneca 25
11 Astrazeneca 19
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 19
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 19 Wyeth 20 Wyeth 22 Wyeth 23 Eli Lilly 22 Eli Lilly 23 Eli Lilly 24 Sinopharm 22 Abbott 22 Abbott 23 Abbott 24
12 Wyeth 16 Sanofi 19 Wyeth 19
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 17 Eli Lilly 19 Eli Lilly 20
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 19
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 19
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 21 Abbott 21 Sinopharm 22 Teva 20 Gilead 21
13 Eli Lilly 13 Wyeth 17 Eli Lilly 15 Eli Lilly 16
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 18
Schering
Plough 19 Takeda 15 Teva 16 Teva 18 Teva 20 Teva 20 Eli Lilly 20 Abbvie 21
14 Sanofi 9 Eli Lilly 14 Amgen 12 Amgen 14 Amgen 15
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 18 Amgen 15 Takeda 16 Abbvie 17 Takeda 19 Takeda 19 Amgen 20 Eli Lilly 20
15 Takeda 9 Amgen 11 Takeda 10 Takeda 11
Schering
Plough 13 Amgen 15 Abbvie 14 Abbvie 16 Takeda 16 Abbvie 18 Abbvie 19 Abbvie 19 Teva 20
16 Amgen 8 Takeda 10
Schering
Plough 10
Schering
Plough 11 Genentech 12 Genentech 13 Teva 14 Amgen 15 Sinopharm 16
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 18 Amgen 19 Novo Nordisk 17 Amgen 20
17
Schering
Plough 8
Schering
Plough 8 Merck Kgaa 7 Genentech 9 Takeda 11 Takeda 12 Merck Kgaa 10 Merck Kgaa 12 Amgen 16 Amgen 17
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 16 Takeda 16 Novo Nordisk 18
18 Merck Kgaa 6 Merck Kgaa 7 Genentech 7 Teva 8 Teva 9 Teva 11 Astellas 10 Otsuka 12 Merck Kgaa 14 Otsuka 15 Novo Nordisk 15 Gilead 16 Takeda 17
19 Schering AG 5 Schering AG 6 Schering AG 7
Daiichi
Sankyo 8 Merck Kgaa 9 Merck Kgaa 11 Novo Nordisk 10 Novo Nordisk 11 Otsuka 13 Merck Kgaa 14 Otsuka 15
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 16 Merck Kgaa 16
20 Astellas 4 Novo Nordisk 5 Novo Nordisk 6 Schering AG 7
Daiichi
Sankyo 8 Novo Nordisk 9 Otsuka 10 Astellas 11 Novo Nordisk 12 Novo Nordisk 13 Merck Kgaa 14 Merck Kgaa 15
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 15
21 Novo Nordisk 4 Teva 5 Teva 5 Novo Nordisk 7 Astellas 8 Otsuka 9
Daiichi
Sankyo 8
Daiichi
Sankyo 10
Daiichi
Sankyo 11 Astellas 12 Astellas 12 Otsuka 14 Actavis 15
22 Eisai 4 Genentech 5 Astellas 5 Merck Kgaa 6 Novo Nordisk 8
Daiichi
Sankyo 8 Eisai 8 Sinopharm 10 Astellas 11
Daiichi
Sankyo 12
Daiichi
Sankyo 12 Actavis 12 Otsuka 12
23 UCB 3 Astellas 5 Eisai 4 Eisai 5 Eisai 6 Eisai 8 Sinopharm 8 Eisai 9 Eisai 9 Gilead 10 Gilead 11 Astellas 11 Astellas 12
24 Teva 3 Eisai 4
Kowa Hakko
Kirin 3 Genzyme 3 Schering AG 5 Sinopharm 6 Gilead 7 Gilead 8 Gilead 8 Eisai 8 Actavis 9
Daiichi
Sankyo 11
Daiichi
Sankyo 11
25 Genentech 3
Kowa Hakko
Kirin 3 Forest Labs 3
Kowa Hakko
Kirin 3 UCB 4 Gilead 5 Mylan 5 Mylan 5 Mylan 6 Mylan 7 Eisai 7 Biogen Idec 9 Biogen Idec 10
'03 '14E '15E'09 '11 '12 '13'08 '10'07'06'05'04
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Bloomberg
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Exhibit 33: Top 25 Healthcare Companies Ordered By Net Income from 2003 to 2015E
No.
1 Glaxo-smithkline 7.3 Pfizer 11.4 Glaxo-smithkline 8.5 Pfizer 19.3 Novartis 12.0
Johnson &
Johnson 13.0
Johnson &
Johnson 13.0
Johnson &
Johnson 12.3
Johnson &
Johnson 13.3 Pfizer 14.6 Pfizer 22.0
Johnson &
Johnson 16.7
Johnson &
Johnson 18.0
2
Johnson &
Johnson 7.2
Johnson &
Johnson 7.2
Johnson &
Johnson 8.5
Johnson &
Johnson 11.1
Johnson &
Johnson 11.1 Glaxo-smithkline 8.5 Merck 12.9 Novartis 9.8 Roche 10.6 Roche 10.1
Johnson &
Johnson 13.8 Roche 14.6 Roche 15.7
3 Merck 6.8 Glaxo-smithkline 7.2 Pfizer 8.1 Glaxo-smithkline 9.9 Glaxo-smithkline 10.4 Roche 8.3
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 10.6 Roche 8.3 Pfizer 10.0
Johnson &
Johnson 9.7 Roche 12.1 Pfizer 14.5 Pfizer 14.7
4 Novartis 5.0 Merck 5.8 Novartis 6.1 Novartis 7.2 Pfizer 8.1 Novartis 8.2 Glaxo-smithkline 8.7 Pfizer 8.3 Astrazeneca 10.0 Novartis 9.3 Novartis 9.2 Novartis 13.0 Novartis 13.6
5 Pfizer 3.9 Novartis 5.4 Roche 4.8 Roche 6.3 Roche 8.1 Pfizer 8.1 Pfizer 8.6 Astrazeneca 8.1 Novartis 9.1 Glaxo-smithkline 7.1 Glaxo-smithkline 8.5 Merck 10.1 Merck 10.7
6
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 3.1 Roche 5.3 Astrazeneca 4.7 Astrazeneca 6.0 Sanofi 7.2 Merck 7.8 Novartis 8.4 Sanofi 7.3 Glaxo-smithkline 8.4 Sanofi 6.4 Bayer 6.4 Sanofi 9.5 Sanofi 10.4
7 Astrazeneca 3.0 Astrazeneca 3.7 Merck 4.6 Sanofi 5.0 Astrazeneca 5.6 Astrazeneca 6.1 Astrazeneca 7.5 Eli Lilly 5.1 Sanofi 7.9 Astrazeneca 6.3 Amgen 5.1 Glaxo-smithkline 8.7 Glaxo-smithkline 9.5
8 Abbott 2.8 Abbott 3.2 Amgen 3.7 Merck 4.4 Merck Kgaa 4.8 Sanofi 5.7 Sanofi 7.3 Bayer 4.7 Merck 6.3 Merck 6.2 Sanofi 4.9 Bayer 6.6 Gilead 9.3
9 Eli Lilly 2.6 Takeda 2.5 Wyeth 3.7 Wyeth 4.2 Wyeth 4.6
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 5.3 Roche 7.2 Amgen 4.6 Bayer 5.6 Bayer 5.7 Eli Lilly 4.7 Amgen 6.3 Bayer 7.5
10 Sanofi 2.4 Sanofi 2.5 Abbott 3.4 Bayer 3.5 Bayer 4.4 Bayer 5.1 Abbott 5.8 Abbott 4.6 Abbott 4.7 Abbvie 5.3 Novo Nordisk 4.5 Gilead 6.1 Amgen 6.7
11 Roche 2.3
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 2.4
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 3.0 Schering AG 3.0 Abbott 3.6 Abbott 4.9 Abbvie 4.6 Abbvie 4.2 Eli Lilly 4.4 Amgen 4.3 Merck 4.4 Astrazeneca 5.4 Abbvie 5.9
12 Amgen 2.3 Amgen 2.4 Sanofi 2.8 Amgen 3.0 Merck 3.3 Wyeth 4.4 Amgen 4.6 Teva 3.3
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 3.7 Eli Lilly 4.1 Abbvie 4.1 Abbvie 5.0 Novo Nordisk 5.6
13 Aventis 2.2 Aventis 2.2 Takeda 2.6 Takeda 2.8 Amgen 3.2 Amgen 4.1 Eli Lilly 4.3 Takeda 3.2 Amgen 3.7 Novo Nordisk 3.7 Gilead 3.1 Novo Nordisk 5.0 Astrazeneca 5.3
14 Wyeth 2.1 Eli Lilly 1.8 Bayer 2.6 Eli Lilly 2.7 Eli Lilly 3.0 Genentech 3.4 Bayer 4.1
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 3.1 Abbvie 3.4 Gilead 2.6 Abbott 2.6 Teva 4.0 Celgene 4.0
15 Bayer 1.9 Wyeth 1.2 Eli Lilly 2.0 Genentech 2.1 Takeda 2.9 Takeda 3.1 Genentech 3.4 Gilead 2.9 Novo Nordisk 3.2 Teva 2.0
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 2.6 Abbott 3.4 Teva 4.0
16 Novo Nordisk 0.7 Novo Nordisk 0.8 Genentech 1.3 Abbott 1.7 Genentech 2.8 Gilead 2.0 Gilead 2.6 Novo Nordisk 2.6 Takeda 2.9
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 2.0 Astrazeneca 2.6 Celgene 3.1 Actavis 3.9
17 Forest Labs 0.6 Merck Kgaa 0.8 Teva 1.1
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 1.6
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 2.2 Schering Plough 1.9 Takeda 2.3 Glaxo-smithkline 2.5 Gilead 2.8 Takeda 1.6 Biogen Idec 1.9 Eli Lilly 3.0 Abbott 3.8
18 Genentech 0.6 Genentech 0.8 Novo Nordisk 1.0 Merck Kgaa 1.2 Teva 2.0 Novo Nordisk 1.9 Novo Nordisk 2.0 Astellas 1.3 Teva 2.8 Celgene 1.5 Merck Kgaa 1.6 Valeant Pharma 3.0 Valeant Pharma 3.6
19 Merck Serono 0.5 Forest Labs 0.7 UCB 0.9 Schering Plough 1.1 Schering AG 1.9 Astellas 1.6 Teva 2.0 Biogen Idec 1.0 Celgene 1.3 Biogen Idec 1.4 Takeda 1.6
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 3.0 Eli Lilly 3.4
20 Schering AG 0.5 Schering AG 0.6 Forest Labs 0.8 Novo Nordisk 1.1 Gilead 1.6 Forest Labs 1.0 Astellas 1.7 Celgene 0.9 Biogen Idec 1.2 Otsuka 1.2 Otsuka 1.5 Actavis 2.8 Biogen Idec 3.3
21 UCB 0.4 Astellas 0.5 Merck Kgaa 0.8 Astellas 0.9 Novo Nordisk 1.6 Daiichi 0.9 Biogen Idec 1.0 Merck 0.9 Forest Labs 1.1 Allergan 1.1 Celgene 1.4 Merck Kgaa 2.7 Merck Kgaa 2.9
22 Shire 0.3 Merck Serono 0.5 Gilead 0.8 Daiichi Sankyo 0.8
Schwarz
Pharma 1.2 Biogen Idec 0.8 Celgene 0.8 Merck Kgaa 0.8 Otsuka 1.0 Astellas 1.0 Teva 1.3 Biogen Idec 2.7
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 2.8
23 Mylan 0.3 Gilead 0.4 Schering AG 0.8 Merck Serono 0.7 Astellas 1.1 Teva 0.6 Forest Labs 0.8 Otsuka 0.7 Allergan 0.9 Forest Labs 1.0 Astellas 1.0 Shire 1.9 Shire 2.0
24 Hospira 0.3 Eisai 0.4 Alk-Abello 0.7 Forest Labs 0.7 Daiichi Sankyo 0.7 Allergan 0.6 UCB 0.7 Forest Labs 0.7 Shire 0.9 Regenereon 0.8 Allergan 1.0 Allergan 1.7 Allergan 1.9
25 Merck Kgaa 0.2 UCB 0.4 Eisai 0.5 Eisai 0.6 Biogen Idec 0.6 Otsuka 0.5 Allergan 0.6 Shire 0.6 Merck Kgaa 0.8 Shire 0.7 Daiichi Sankyo 0.8 Otsuka 1.5 Mylan 1.5
'15E'09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14E'08'03 '04 '05 '06 '07
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Bloomberg
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Exhibit 34: Top 25 Healthcare Companies Ordered By Market Cap from 2003 to 2014 (Current)
No.
1 Pfizer 270 Pfizer 203
Johnson &
Johnson 179
Johnson &
Johnson 191
Johnson &
Johnson 191
Johnson &
Johnson 166
Johnson &
Johnson 178
Johnson &
Johnson 170
Johnson &
Johnson 179
Johnson &
Johnson 194
Johnson &
Johnson 258
Johnson &
Johnson 280
2
Johnson &
Johnson 153
Johnson &
Johnson 188 Pfizer 172 Pfizer 187 Pfizer 155 Roche 132 Roche 147 Novartis 155 Pfizer 166 Pfizer 185 Roche 242 Roche 247
3 Glaxo-smithkline 136 Novartis 140 Glaxo-smithkline 147 Roche 158 Roche 151 Novartis 130 Pfizer 147 Pfizer 140 Novartis 157 Roche 174 Novartis 217 Novartis 228
4 Novartis 112 Glaxo-smithkline 137 Novartis 144 Novartis 157 Novartis 149 Pfizer 119 Novartis 144 Roche 128 Roche 148 Novartis 170 Pfizer 199 Pfizer 200
5 Roche 91 Sanofi 111 Roche 132 Glaxo-smithkline 151 Glaxo-smithkline 140 Glaxo-smithkline 97 Merck 112 Merck 111 Glaxo-smithkline 115 Sanofi 125 Merck 146 Merck 168
6 Astrazeneca 82 Roche 102 Sanofi 123 Sanofi 125 Sanofi 125 Genentech 87 Glaxo-smithkline 111 Glaxo-smithkline 100 Merck 115 Merck 124 Sanofi 141 Sanofi 138
7 Amgen 80 Amgen 81 Genentech 98 Genentech 86 Abbott 87 Sanofi 83 Sanofi 104 Sanofi 84 Sanofi 99 Glaxo-smithkline 106 Glaxo-smithkline 130 Glaxo-smithkline 129
8 Eli Lilly 79 Aventis 75 Amgen 97 Astrazeneca 82 Genentech 71 Abbott 83 Abbott 84 Abbott 74 Abbott 88 Abbott 104 Bayer 117 Gilead 109
9 Wyeth 57 Eli Lilly 64 Astrazeneca 77 Amgen 80 Bayer 70 Amgen 61 Astrazeneca 68 Novo Nordisk 68 Novo Nordisk 67 Novo Nordisk 91 Gilead 115 Bayer 108
10
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 55 Astrazeneca 60 Eli Lilly 64 Abbott 75 Astrazeneca 63 Astrazeneca 59 Bayer 66 Astrazeneca 64
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 60 Bayer 79 Novo Nordisk 101 Novo Nordisk 97
11 Sanofi 55 Genentech 57 Wyeth 62 Wyeth 69 Eli Lilly 61 Wyeth 50 Amgen 57 Bayer 60 Astrazeneca 60 Amgen 66
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 88 Amgen 91
12 Aventis 53 Wyeth 57
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 45 Eli Lilly 59 Wyeth 59 Gilead 47 Teva 50 Amgen 52 Amgen 56 Astrazeneca 59 Amgen 86 Bristol-Myer Sqb 84
13 Genentech 49 Bristol-Myer Sqb 50 Takeda 42
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 52 Takeda 56
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 46
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 43 Teva 47 Bayer 53 Eli Lilly 57 Abbvie 84 Astrazeneca 81
14 Takeda 35 Takeda 49 Schering Plough 31 Takeda 51 Bristol-Myer Sqb 52 Eli Lilly 46 Eli Lilly 41
Bristol-Myer
Sqb 45 Eli Lilly 48 Gilead 56 Astrazeneca 74 Abbvie 81
15 Schering Plough 26 Schering Plough 31 Bayer 30 Bayer 41 Amgen 51 Bayer 45 Novo Nordisk 40 Eli Lilly 40 Takeda 37 Bristol-Myer Sqb 54 Celgene 70 Biogen Idec 71
16 Forest Labs 23 Bayer 25 Teva 27 Schering Plough 35 Schering Plough 43 Takeda 42 Gilead 39 Takeda 35 Teva 36 Takeda 35
Biogen
Idec 66 Eli Lilly 68
17 Bayer 21 Biogen Idec 22 Gilead 24 Gilead 30 Gilead 43 Teva 36 Takeda 27 Gilead 29 Gilead 31 Biogen Idec 35 Abbott 59 Celgene 60
18 Teva 16 Novo Nordisk 19
Novo
Nordisk 20 Novo Nordisk 28 Novo Nordisk 42 Novo Nordisk 32 Celgene 26 Celgene 28 Celgene 30 Celgene 33 Eli Lilly 57 Abbott 58
19 Novo Nordisk 14 Teva 19 Genzyme 18 Schering AG 26 Teva 34 Schering Plough 28 Allergan 19 Allergan 21 Allergan 27 Teva 32 Takeda 42 Teva 50
20 Biogen Idec 12 Forest Labs 17 Biogen Idec 15 Teva 23 Schering AG 30 Celgene 25
Biogen
Idec 15 Genzyme 18 Biogen Idec 27 Merck Kgaa 29 Merck Kgaa 39 Valeant 43
21 Gilead 12 Gilead 15 Allergan 14 Celgene 21 Daiichi Sankyo 22 Daiichi Sankyo 21 Astellas 14 Astellas 17 Shire 20 Allergan 28 Valeant Pharma 39 Allergan 36
22 Merck Serono 11 Schering AG 14
Forest
Labs 14 Astellas 21 Astellas 22 Astellas 19 Genzyme 13
Biogen
Idec 16 Astellas 17 Astellas 18 Teva 34 Actavis 35
23 Astellas 11 Genzyme 14
Bayer
Schering 13 Allergan 18 Genzyme 20 Genzyme 18 Daiichi Sankyo 12 Shire 14 Valeant Pharma 14 Alexion 18 Allergan 33 Merck Kgaa 35
24 Genzyme 11 Astellas 11 Chugai 12 Daiichi Sankyo 17 Allergan 20
Biogen
Idec 14 Shire 11 Daiichi Sankyo 13 Otsuka 14 Valeant Pharma 18 Actavis 29 Takeda 35
25 Allergan 10 Allergan 11
Merck
Serono 12
Biogen
Idec 17 Celgene 18 Forest 12 Chugai 10 Eisai 10 Daiichi Sankyo 14 Shire 17 Shire 28 Alexion 31
'14/Current'13'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Bloomberg
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Exhibit 35: ETF Inflows on a YTD and Weekly Basis (April 3 – April 9) (as a % of AUM at the beginning of 2014)
13%
12%13%
7%
8%
2%
-3%
4%
-9%
-3%
-9%
-19%
0%
-2%
3%
2%
3%
0%0%
-1%
1%
2%
5%
2%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Biotech Pharma Utilities Telecom Energy IT Materials Financials Industrials S&P 500 ConsumerStaples
ConsumerDiscretionary
Infl
ow
s/O
utf
low
s a
s a
% o
f A
UM
at
Be
gin
nin
g o
f 2
01
4
Net Flows YTD (as a % of AUM at Beginning of 2014) Net Flows Weekly (as a % of AUM at Beginning of 2014)
Source: Credit Suisse Research
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 35
Exhibit 36: Breakthrough Drug Designation Tracker
Name Company Indication Date
announced
US Approval/
CS expected
approval
Kalydeco and VX-809 Vertex Kalydeco combination with VX-809 in patients with two
copies of the F508del mutation Jan 6, 2013 CS est: 2015
Kalydeco Vertex Monotherapy for other CFTR mutaions Jan 6, 2013 Feb 21, 2014
Ibrutinib Pharmacyclics and Janssen
(JNJ)
Relapsed or refractory Waldenstrom’s
Macroglobulinemia Apr 8, 2013 CS est: 2015
Ibrutinib Pharmacyclics and Janssen
(JNJ) Relapsed or refractory Mantle Cell Lymphoma Apr 8, 2013 Nov 11, 2013
Ibrutinib Pharmacyclics and Janssen
(JNJ) Relapsed or refractory Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Apr 8, 2013 Feb 12, 2014
LDK378 Novartis ALK+ Non-small cell Lung Cancer Mar 15, 2013 CS est: 2015
Palbociclib Pfizer treatment of post-menopausal patients with ER+,
HER2- locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer Apr 10, 2013 CS est: 2016
Lambrolizumab Merck inoperable and metastatic melanoma Apr 24, 2013 CS est: 2015
Triple direct-acting antiviral
(DAA) treatment regimens
of daclatisvir, asunaprevir,
and BMS-791325
Bristol-Myers Squibb Hepatitis C Virus Apr 25, 2013 CS est: 2016
SD-101 Scioderm Epidermolysis Bullosa Apr 29, 2013 NA
Daratamumab Genmab/Janssen Multiple Myeloma May 1, 2013 NA
DAA Combination of ABT-
450/r + ABT-267 + ABT-
333 with and without
ribavirin
AbbVie Hepatitis C Virus May 6, 2013 CS est: 2015
Gazyva (obinutuzumab) Genentech Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia May 15, 2013 Nov 11, 2013
Sebelipase Alfa Synageva BioPharma Early-Onset Lysosomal Acid Lipase Deficiency May 20, 2013 NA
Asfotase Alfa Alexion Perinatal-, Infantile- and Juvenile-Onset
Hypophosphatasia May 28, 2013 CS est: 2014
Serelaxin (RLX030) Novartis Acute Heart Failure Jun 21, 2013 CS est: 2014
Drisapersen
(GSK2402968/PRO051) GlaxoSmithKline Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Jun 27, 2013 NA
bimagrumab (BYM388) Novartis Sporadic inclusion body myositis (sIBM) Aug 20, 2013 CS est: 2017
Sofosbuvir/ledipasvir
combination Gilead Hepatitis C Virus Jul 25, 2013 Dec 6, 2013
Firdapse Catalyst Pharmaceutical Lambert-Eaton Myasthenic Syndrome (LEMS) Aug 27, 2013 CS est: 2017
Entinostat Syndax Pharmaceuticals In combination with exemestane for metastatic ER-
positive breast cancer Sep 11, 2013 NA
Arzerra Genmab/GlaxoSmithKline In combination with chlorambucil for Chronic
Lymphocytic Leukemia Sep 13, 2013 NA
Volasertib Boehringer Ingelheim Treatment naïve acute myeloid leukemia in patients 65
and older Sep 17, 2013 CS est: 2016
Alectinib Roche Non-small Lung Cancer Sep 23, 2013 CS est: 2017
MK-5172/MK-8742 Merck Hepatitis C Virus Oct 22, 2013 CS est: 2016
cPMP Alexion Molybdenum cofactor deficiency (MoCD) type A Oct 24, 2013 NA
Tafenoquine GlaxoSmithKline Plasmodium vivax malaria Dec 20, 2013 CS est: 2017
PRT4445 (andexanet alfa) Portola Pharmaceuticals Factor Xa inhibitor antidote Nov 25, 2013 CS est: 2016
Idealisib Gilead Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Nov 18, 2013 CS est: 2014
Tafinlar (dabrafenib) GlaxoSmithKline BRAF V600E mutation positive NSCLC Jan 13, 2014 NA
Kalydeco and VX-661 Vertex CF patients homozygous for F508del mutation Jan 29, 2014 CS est: 2017
Promacta/Revolade
(eltrombopag) GlaxoSmithKline Severe aplastic anemia Feb 3, 2014 NA
Daclatasvir/asunaprevir
combination Bristol-Myers Squibb Genotype 1b hepatitis C Feb 24, 2014
Bivalent rLP2086 Pfizer
Prevention of invasive meningococcal disease due
to Neisseria meningitidis serogroup B in persons 10 –
25 years of age
Mar 20, 2014 CS est: 2016
LDK378 Novartis Non-small Lung Cancer Mar 26, 2014 CS est: 2015
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 36
Bexsero Novartis prevention of invasive meningococcal disease caused by Neisseria meningitidis serogroup B
Apr 7, 2014 NA
Mydicar Celladon reducing hospitalizations for heart failure in NYHA class III or IV chronic heart failure patients who are NAb negative
Apr 10, 2014 NA
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 37
Top 3 Most Read Notes From Monthly Nutshells:
March, 2014 #1: Global Biotechnology - Has The Biotech Bubble Burst? - What History Tells us – March 25 – Given the two significant trading session drops on Friday 3/21 and Monday 3/24, in this note we ask whether the “Biotech Bubble” has burst? We note that the biotech bull markets of 1999/2000 and 2013/2014 are notably different (now driven by an appetite for EPS growth vs. genomics/tech then, now valuation is arguably not stretched relative to other sectors), although we also acknowledge that there are some red flags/similarities with the previous bubble including pre-clinical public companies. (LINK) #2: Global Biotechnology - Biotechnology Information Toolkit - The BIT– March 14 – This was the first edition of our Biotechnology Information Toolkit - “The BIT”. We have created the BIT with the aim of saving clients time (really!) by serving as a one-stop shop for all things data driven. (LINK). The latest version of “The BIT” (March 28th) can be accessed via LINK.
#3: Global Biotechnology and Pharmaceuticals - EASL - HCV - Cor Blimey A 2014 Meeting Planner– March 21 – In this note, we highlight that the EASL 2014 meeting, which takes place in London, UK on April Wednesday 9 to Sunday 13, will deliver granularity on the pivotal data for ABBV's/ENTA's and GILD's all-oral, interferon-free regimens and serve as an important forum for gauging physicians' views ahead of the launch of these first-gen all-oral combinations in H2'14. (LINK)
February, 2014 #1: Global Biotechnology - Cannot Ignore Valuation - Large Cap Biotech 2.0 is Actually Less Expensive Than S&P500 – Feb 05 – Within this note, we emphasized our continued bullish view on the biotech sector based on our standing “generalist GARPy inflows” thesis. We highlighted that the biggest pushback we get to our thesis is the perceived high valuation of the Biotech sector, which we argue fundamentally misses the point that Biotech has changed and is now in “2.0” mode with unprecedented earnings growth placing it at a discount to the S&P500 on 2017 numbers! (LINK) #2: GILD: Raising HCV Sales Forecasts On Survey – Feb 10 – In this note, we raise our GILD HCV franchise sales on the back of our propriety physician survey which shows that despite a higher patient share for ABBV/ENTA’s combination, the significant warehousing and concomitant patient tracking indicate a market-wide faster and larger patient treatment ramp upon the launch of GILD’s all-oral interferon-free regimens in H2’14. Additionally, we believe that ca$100k/treatment course gross price as obtainable in the US for the initial all-oral, interferon free regimens and we raise our peak 2018 HCV franchise sales to $11.6B. (LINK) #3: GILD: HCV - How Big Is Big – Feb 05 – In this post-Q4 earnings note we highlight that Sovaldi was off to a strong start in Dec’13. However, GILD refrained from providing FY’14 guidance for Sovaldi. (LINK).
January, 2014 #1: Global Biotechnology: Outlook for 2014 - Investor Feedback on "More Evolution within the Revolution: 10 Key Themes" – Jan 07 – Within this note we provided investor feedback to our 2014 sector outlook note published in December 2013 in which we emphasized out intact bullish view on the biotech sector based on
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 38
our standing “generalist GARPy inflows” thesis. The key areas of outlook note were push back on valuation (mainly from specialists), and a focus on pipelines and agency cost. We also raised the concept that “domain domination” would be a new central
theme for 2014? (LINK)
#2: Global Biotechnology – Stock and Catalyst Outlook for 2014– Jan 10 – In this note, we provided 2014 investment summaries and flag key catalysts for each of the 49 companies currently under coverage. (LINK) #3: New Antibiotics Expected to Drive Greater Outpatient Use - Diverse Set of Forces Likely to Increase Size of Outpatient Market – Jan 07 – In this industry overview note, we highlight that that two forces are likely to converge in 2014 resulting in the increased use of new antibiotics: (1) increased cost management and hospital avoidance for patients with skin infections, and (2) the launch of three new antibiotics with similar marketing messages (LINK). Also note that in connection with this note we published a separate proprietary survey (LINK).
11 April 2014
Global Biotechnology 39
Exhibit 37: List of Companies Used to Prepare Exhibit 2
Large Caps Pacira DBV Technologies Neurocrine
Amgen PDL BioPharma Dendreon NewLink
Biogen Portola Dicerna Nupathe
Celgene Puma Durata OncoMed
Gilead Synageva Dyax Onconova
Thrombogenics Dynavax Oncothyreon
Mid Caps Eagle Orexigen
Actelion Micro Caps Egalet Osiris
Alexion Ablynx Eleven Biotherapeutics Peregrine
Alnylam AcelRx Emergent Progenics
BioMarin Achillion Enanta Prosensa
BTG Active Biotech Endocyte Prothena
Cubist Advanced Cell Enzo PTC Therapeutics
Incyte Aerie Epizyme Raptor
Isis Agenus Esperion Receptos
Medivation Agios Evoke Regado
NPS Alcobra Evolva Holdings Regulus
Pharmacyclics Alimera Evotec Relypsa
Regeneron Ambit Bio Fate Revance
Seattle Genetics Anacor Fibrocell Science Sangamo
United Therapeutics Anthera Five Prime Sarepta
Vertex Aratana Flexion SIGA
Argos Foundation Medicine Spectrum
Small Caps ArQule Galapagos Stemline
ABCAM Array Galena Sucampo
Acadia Auspex Genocea Bio Sunesis
Acceleron Aveo Geron Supernus
Acorda Bavarian Nordic GlycoMimetics Synergy
Aegerion Bind GTX Tesaro
Algeta BioCryst Harvard Biosciences Tetralogic
Arena BioGaia Heat Biologics Tetraphase
Ariad Biospecifics Horizon Threshold
Basilea Biota Hyperion Titan
Celldex Biotie Therapies Idenix TNI BioTech
Clovis BioTime ImmunoCellular Transgene
Exelixis Bluebird Immunomedics Trevena
Genmab Cancer Genetics Infinity Ultragenyx
Halozyme Cara Inovio uniqure BV
Immunogen Cell Insmed Veloxis
Intercept Celladon KaloBios Verastem
InterMune Cellular Dynamics Karyopharm Vical
Intrexon Cempra Kythera Vitrolife
Ironwood ChemoCentryx Lexicon Vivus
Keryx Chimerix LipoScience Xencor
Ligand Conatus MacroGenics Xenoport
Mannkind Concert Medivir Xoma
Medicines Co Corcept Merrimack Zealand
Morphosys Coronado Mologen Ziopharm
Nektar Curis Nanostring Zogenix
Novavax Cytokinetics NeoStem
Ophthotech Cytori NephroGenex
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
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Exhibit 38: 49 Companies Under Coverage List
Company Name
RAVE
Ticker Ticker
Market Cap
($M) CS Rating
CS
Target Price Last Price Coverage Company Name Ticker
Market Cap
($M) CS Rating
CS
Target Price Last Price Coverage
Large Cap Hospital Antibiotics
Amgen Inc AMGN AMGN $90,778 NEUTRAL $125.00 $120.00 RM/LK Achaogen Inc AKAO $225 OUTPERFORM $22.00 $12.75 JK/JS
Biogen Idec Inc BIIB BIIB $71,079 OUTPERFORM $400.00 $300.68 RM/LK Cubist Pharmaceuticals Inc CBST $5,228 OUTPERFORM $77.00 $69.89 JK/JS
Celgene Corp CELG CELG $59,815 OUTPERFORM $210.00 $147.32 RM/LK Durata Therapeutics Inc DRTX $351 OUTPERFORM $22.00 $13.18 JK/JS
Gilead Sciences Inc GILD GILD $108,649 OUTPERFORM $110.00 $70.65 RM/LK Medicines Co MDCO $1,695 NEUTRAL $28.00 $26.21 JK/JS
SMID Cap Obesity
Antibody Arena Pharmaceuticals Inc ARNA $1,438 UNDERPERFORM $4.00 $6.56 LK/RM
Immunogen Inc IMGN IMGN $1,263 NEUTRAL $14.00 $14.74 JK/JS Orexigen Therapeutics Inc OREX $667 OUTPERFORM $10.00 $5.98 LK/RM
PDL BioPharma Inc PDLI PDLI $1,321 UNDERPERFORM $6.00 $8.24 JK/JS Vivus Inc VVUS $517 NEUTRAL $7.00 $5.00 LK/RM
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc REGN REGN $29,985 OUTPERFORM $340.00 $306.26 JK/JS Oncology SMID
Seattle Genetics Inc SGEN SGEN $5,204 OUTPERFORM $51.00 $42.27 JK/JS ARIAD Pharmaceuticals Inc ARIA $1,414 NEUTRAL $8.00 $7.59 JK/JS
XOMA Corp XOMA XOMA $505 NEUTRAL $7.00 $4.74 JK/JS BIND Therapeutics Inc BIND $177 OUTPERFORM $21.00 $10.78 RM/KC
Prothena Corporation PLC PRTA PRTA $743 OUTPERFORM $53.00 $33.90 JK/JS Clovis Oncology Inc CLVS $2,262 OUTPERFORM $100.00 $66.73 RM/LK
Xencor Inc XNCR XNCR $323 OUTPERFORM $14.00 $10.29 JK/JS Endocyte Inc ECYT $941 OUTPERFORM $44.00 $22.77 JK/JS
Commercial-Stage SMID Infinity Pharmaceuticals Inc INFI $532 NEUTRAL $20.00 $11.01 JK/JS
Actelion Ltd ATLN.VX ATLN-VX $11,595 OUTPERFORM CHF 90.00 CHF 86.15 RM/LK Pharmacyclics Inc PCYC $7,739 OUTPERFORM $121.00 $103.15 JK/JS
Corcept Therapeutics Inc CORT CORT $429 NEUTRAL $2.00 $4.26 RM/KC Sunesis Pharmaceuticals Inc SNSS $385 NEUTRAL $6.00 $6.40 JK/JS
InterMune Inc ITMN ITMN $3,018 NEUTRAL $33.00 $31.08 RM/KC Spectrum Pharmaceuticals Inc SPPI $503 UNDERPERFORM $7.00 $7.71 JK/JS
United Therapeutics Corp UTHR UTHR $4,951 NEUTRAL $75.00 $98.08 RM/KC Orphan Drugs
Xenoport Inc XNPT XNPT $300 OUTPERFORM $7.00 $4.86 RM/KC Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc ALXN $30,834 NEUTRAL $171.00 $155.86 LK/RM
Constipation / IBS-C BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc BMRN $9,450 NEUTRAL $73.00 $65.80 LK/RM
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc IRWD IRWD $1,298 OUTPERFORM $18.00 $10.91 RM/KC PTC Therapeutics Inc PTCT $706 OUTPERFORM $35.00 $23.48 JK/JS
Sucampo Pharmaceuticals Inc SCMP SCMP $319 NEUTRAL $8.00 $7.25 RM/KC Prostate Cancer
Synergy Pharmaceuticals Inc SGYP SGYP $458 OUTPERFORM $9.17 $4.89 RM/KC Dendreon Corp DNDN $461 NEUTRAL $3.00 $2.90 LK/RM
Development-Stage SMID Exelixis Inc EXEL $740 NEUTRAL $5.00 $3.80 LK/RM
Esperion Therapeutics Inc ESPR ESPR $235 OUTPERFORM $26.00 $15.24 JK/JS Medivation Inc MDVN $4,771 OUTPERFORM $95.00 $62.50 LK/RM
Portola Pharmaceuticals Inc PTLA PTLA $1,001 OUTPERFORM $32.00 $24.40 JK/JS * Last Price as of April 9th, 2014
Receptos Inc RCPT RCPT $943 OUTPERFORM $58.00 $42.53 RM/KC
Vical Inc VICL VICL $112 NEUTRAL $1.50 $1.29 LK/RM
HCV
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc ACHN ACHN $308 NEUTRAL $4.00 $3.18 RM/KC
Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc ENTA ENTA $673 OUTPERFORM $43.00 $36.66 RM/KC
Idenix Pharmaceuticals Inc IDIX IDIX $915 NEUTRAL $4.00 $6.07 RM/KC
Medivir AB MVIRB MVIR'B-SK $3,351 OUTPERFORM SEK 115.00 SEK 109.50 RM/KC
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc VRTX VRTX $16,516 NEUTRAL $78.00 $69.95 RM/KC
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Thompson One
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Companies Mentioned (Price as of 09-Apr-2014)
AbbVie Inc. (ABBV.N, $50.63) Abbott Laboratories (ABT.N, $37.63) Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ALXN.OQ, $155.86) Allergan Inc. (AGN.N, $120.91) Amgen Inc. (AMGN.OQ, $120.0) AstraZeneca (AZN.L, 3811.5p) Bayer (BAYGn.DE, €95.52) Biogen Idec (BIIB.OQ, $300.68) Bristol Myers Squibb Co. (BMY.N, $50.57) Celgene Corp. (CELG.OQ, $147.32) Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY.N, $60.43) Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD.OQ, $70.65) GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK.L, 1581.5p) Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N, $98.95) Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK.N, $57.1) Novartis (NOVN.VX, SFr73.5) Novo Nordisk A/S (NOVOb.CO, Dkr238.3) Pfizer (PFE.N, $31.23) Quintiles Transnational Holdings, Inc. (Q.N, $51.34) Regeneron Pharmaceutical (REGN.OQ, $306.26) Roche (ROG.VX, SFr255.6) Sanofi (SASY.PA, €76.45) Shire Pharmaceuticals (SHP.L, 2906.0p) UCB (UCB.BR, €56.63)
Disclosure Appendix
Important Global Disclosures
Ravi Mehrotra PhD, Lee Kalowski and Jason Kantor, PhD each certify, with respect to the companies or securities that the individual analyzes, that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about all of the subject companies and securities and (2) no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received Compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's total revenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities
As of December 10, 2012 Analysts’ stock rating are defined as follows:
Outperform (O) : The stock’s total return is expected to outperform the relevant benchmark*over the next 12 months.
Neutral (N) : The stock’s total return is expected to be in line with the relevant benchmark* over the next 12 months.
Underperform (U) : The stock’s total return is expected to underperform the relevant benchmark* over the next 12 months.
*Relevant benchmark by region: As of 10th December 2012, Japanese ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage universe which consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector, with Outperforms representing the most attractiv e, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities. As of 2nd October 2012, U.S. and Canadian as well as European ra tings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage universe which consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector, with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities. For Latin Ame rican and non-Japan Asia stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the average total return of the relevant country or regional benchmark; Austr alia, New Zealand are, and prior to 2nd October 2012 U.S. and Canadian ratings were based on (1) a stock’s absolute total return potential to its current share price and (2) the relative attractiveness of a stock’s total return potential within an analyst’s coverage universe. For Australian and New Zealand stocks, 12 -month rolling yield is incorporated in the absolute tota l return calculation and a 15% and a 7.5% threshold replace the 10-15% level in the Outperform and Underperform stock rating definitions, respectively. The 15% and 7.5% thresholds replace the +10-15% and -10-15% levels in the Neutral stock rating definition, respectively. Prior to 10th December 2012, Japanese ratings were based on a stock’s total return relative to the average total return of the relevant country or regional benchmark.
Restricted (R) : In certain circumstances, Credit Suisse policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain types of communications, including an investment recommendation, during the course of Credit Suisse's engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain other circumstances.
Volatility Indicator [V] : A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24 months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward.
Analysts’ sector weightings are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings and are based on the analyst’s expectations for the fundamentals and/or valuation of the sector* relative to the group’s historic fundamentals and/or valuation:
Overweight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is favorable over the next 12 months.
Market Weight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is neutral over the next 12 months.
Underweight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is cautious over the next 12 months.
*An analyst’s coverage sector consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. An analyst may cov er multiple sectors.
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Credit Suisse's distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is:
Global Ratings Distribution
Rating Versus universe (%) Of which banking clients (%)
Outperform/Buy* 43% (53% banking clients)
Neutral/Hold* 40% (50% banking clients)
Underperform/Sell* 14% (46% banking clients)
Restricted 2%
*For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and Underperform most closely correspond to Buy, Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock ratings are determined on a relative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investor's decision to buy or sell a security should be based on investment objectives, current holdin gs, and other individual factors.
Credit Suisse’s policy is to update research reports as it deems appropriate, based on developments with the subject company, the sector or the market that may have a material impact on the research views or opinions stated herein.
Credit Suisse's policy is only to publish investment research that is impartial, independent, clear, fair and not misleading. For more detail please refer to Credit Suisse's Policies for Managing Conflicts of Interest in connection with Investment Research: http://www.csfb.com/research and analytics/disclaimer/managing_conflicts_disclaimer.html
Credit Suisse does not provide any tax advice. Any statement herein regarding any US federal tax is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, by any taxpayer for the purposes of avoiding any penalties.
See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names
The subject company (JNJ.N, BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, AZN.L, ROG.VX, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, ABBV.N, GILD.OQ, BMY.N, UCB.BR, AGN.N, SHP.L, Q.N, REGN.OQ, CELG.OQ, NOVOb.CO, BAYGn.DE) currently is, or was during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of this report, a client of Credit Suisse.
Credit Suisse provided investment banking services to the subject company (BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, BMY.N, SHP.L, CELG.OQ, BAYGn.DE) within the past 12 months.
Credit Suisse provided non-investment banking services to the subject company (BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, AZN.L, ROG.VX, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, GILD.OQ, BMY.N, UCB.BR, SHP.L, REGN.OQ, CELG.OQ, BAYGn.DE) within the past 12 months
Credit Suisse has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for the subject company (NOVN.VX, PFE.N, MRK.N, BMY.N, BAYGn.DE) within the past 12 months.
Credit Suisse has received investment banking related compensation from the subject company (BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, BMY.N, SHP.L, CELG.OQ, BAYGn.DE) within the past 12 months
Credit Suisse expects to receive or intends to seek investment banking related compensation from the subject company (JNJ.N, BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, ABT.N, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, AZN.L, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, ABBV.N, GILD.OQ, BMY.N, UCB.BR, AGN.N, SHP.L, ALXN.OQ, REGN.OQ, CELG.OQ, BAYGn.DE) within the next 3 months.
Credit Suisse has received compensation for products and services other than investment banking services from the subject company (BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, AZN.L, ROG.VX, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, GILD.OQ, BMY.N, UCB.BR, SHP.L, REGN.OQ, CELG.OQ, BAYGn.DE) within the past 12 months
As of the date of this report, Credit Suisse makes a market in the following subject companies (JNJ.N, BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, ABT.N, PFE.N, LLY.N, MRK.N, ABBV.N, GILD.OQ, BMY.N, AGN.N, Q.N, ALXN.OQ, REGN.OQ, CELG.OQ).
As of the end of the preceding month, Credit Suisse beneficially own 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of (NOVN.VX, SHP.L).
Credit Suisse has a material conflict of interest with the subject company (GILD.OQ) . A Credit Suisse analyst involved in the preparation of this report has a long position in the common stock of GILD.
Credit Suisse has a material conflict of interest with the subject company (SHP.L) . Susan Kilsby, an employee of Credit-Suisse, is a member of the Board of Directors of Shire PLC.
As of the date of this report, an analyst involved in the preparation of this report has the following material conflict of interest with the subject company (PFE.N). As of the date of this report, an analyst involved in the preparation of this report, Vamil Divan, has following material conflicts of interest with the subject company. The analyst or a member of the analyst's household has a long position in the common stock Pfizer (PFE.N). A member of the analyst's household is an employee of Pfizer (PFE.N).
As of the date of this report, an analyst involved in the preparation of this report has the following material conflict of interest with the subject company (PFE.N). As of the date of this report, an analyst involved in the preparation of this report, Ronak Shah, has the following material conflict of interest with the subject company. The analyst has a long position in the common stock Pfizer (PFE.N).
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For other important disclosures concerning companies featured in this report, including price charts, please visit the website at https://rave.credit-suisse.com/disclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683.
Important Regional Disclosures
Singapore recipients should contact Credit Suisse AG, Singapore Branch for any matters arising from this research report.
The analyst(s) involved in the preparation of this report have not visited the material operations of the subject company (JNJ.N, BIIB.OQ, AMGN.OQ, ABT.N, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, PFE.N, PFE.N, AZN.L, ROG.VX, LLY.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, ABBV.N, GILD.OQ, BMY.N, SASY.PA, UCB.BR, AGN.N, SHP.L, Q.N, ALXN.OQ, REGN.OQ, CELG.OQ, NOVOb.CO, BAYGn.DE) within the past 12 months
Restrictions on certain Canadian securities are indicated by the following abbreviations: NVS--Non-Voting shares; RVS--Restricted Voting Shares; SVS--Subordinate Voting Shares.
Individuals receiving this report from a Canadian investment dealer that is not affiliated with Credit Suisse should be advised that this report may not contain regulatory disclosures the non-affiliated Canadian investment dealer would be required to make if this were its own report.
For Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc.'s policies and procedures regarding the dissemination of equity research, please visit http://www.csfb.com/legal_terms/canada_research_policy.shtml.
The following disclosed European company/ies have estimates that comply with IFRS: (AZN.L, BMY.N, SASY.PA, UCB.BR).
Credit Suisse has acted as lead manager or syndicate member in a public offering of securities for the subject company (AMGN.OQ, NOVN.VX, PFE.N, GSK.L, MRK.N, BMY.N, BAYGn.DE) within the past 3 years.
As of the date of this report, Credit Suisse acts as a market maker or liquidity provider in the equities securities that are the subject of this report.
Principal is not guaranteed in the case of equities because equity prices are variable.
Commission is the commission rate or the amount agreed with a customer when setting up an account or at any time after that.
For Credit Suisse disclosure information on other companies mentioned in this report, please visit the website at https://rave.credit-suisse.com/disclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683.
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