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Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
The Use of Biomarkers and Target ValidationHumanising Drug Discovery
Dr Harsukh ParmarExecutive Director, Global Discovery Medicine,Respiratory & Inflammation Therapeutic Area
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
R & D Productivity• What’s Increasing?
! R&D Cycle times at all phases
! Regulatory hurdles! Approval times! Number of clinical
trials/NDA! Clinical trial size (# of
patients)! R&D inflation (> 12 %)! Drug development costs! R&D spending! Investors’ expectation for
growth! Product liability! Industry risk
• What’s Increasing?! R&D Cycle times at all
phases! Regulatory hurdles! Approval times! Number of clinical
trials/NDA! Clinical trial size (# of
patients)! R&D inflation (> 12 %)! Drug development costs! R&D spending! Investors’ expectation for
growth! Product liability! Industry risk
• What’s Decreasing?! Success rates at all phases! Product Exclusivity
• What’s Decreasing?! Success rates at all phases! Product Exclusivity
The Result:– R & D productivity is down
across the industry!
The Result:– R & D productivity is down
across the industry!
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Main Reasons for Termination of Development for “Opportunity Cost” is LACK OF EFFICACY!
Toxicology19.4%
Other6.2%
Various10%
Clinical Efficacy22.5%
PortfolioConsiderations
21.7%
Clinical Safety20.2% Clinical
Pharmacokinetics/Bioavailability
3.1%
Preclinical efficacy3.1%
PreclinicalPharmacokinetcs/
Bioavailability1.6%
Formulation0.8%
Patent or CommercialLegal0.8%
Regulatory0.8%
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
U.S. Drug Industry R&D Expenditures and Drug Approvals, 1963-2000
U.S. Drug Industry R&D Expenditures and Drug Approvals, 1963-2000
0
20
40
60
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
NC
E A
ppro
vals
0
9
18
27
R&
D Expenditures
(Billions of 2000$)
Source: Tufts CSDD Approved NCE Database, PhRMAR&D expenditures adjusted for inflation
R&D Expenditures
NCE Approvals
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Readouts from the Human Genome Project
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
High-throughput technologies are being applied and needed to identify and validate molecular targets from the human genome. We have and need better:•Target Discovery & Disease Linkage•Biomarkers, Surrogates & Human Target Validation•Diagnostics-Pharmacogenetics-Personalised MedicineBut we also need more Powerful•Bioinformatics-Computational Biology•Multiple Databases to Interrogate & Knowledge Mx
What are the Post Genomic Challenges ?
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
How can we use HT technologies to address productivity around Pharma R & D?
• Addressing traditional bottlenecks in drug discovery » Making new chemical compounds » Screening the right mechanism, polymorphism etc» Identifying better targets, disease linkage & biomarkers
• Changing the paradigm for drug discovery » High Content Biology allows Richer Human Integration-
”Humanizing Drug Discovery”» Greater throughput and more efficiency » More parallel, rather than linear drug discovery/development » Greater emphasis on molecular-mechanism-based targets
(“treat the cause and not just the symptom”)» Reliance on Bioinformatics & Informatics as a partner
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
!In these comparative genomic charts, it is easy to see why meaningfulcomparisons between humans and other species is difficult.
!The pink areas represent regions of high conservation!The blue areas represent the positions of protein-coding regions and!The purple areas represent the non-protein coding parts of a gene.
Human, Mouse & Primate Genomic Chart
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
The comparison between Targets in the years 2001 and 2005.Shows the influence of Genomics on drug discovery.
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Drug Targets in the Genome
Human genome
~30,000
Assumption: wider phenotypic screening will identify a greater number of therapeutically-relevant genes?
Small Mol Drug targets
~1200
Therapeutically relevant genes
~6000 + 20% overlap
Predicted + assumed
druggable targets
~3000 +~3000
= ~6000
6000 Targets for Large Molecule Therapeutics
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Why do we need to make better decisions faster in R&D?
!Numerous targets!Limited target
validation!Cost of development
expensive!Regulatory Hurdles!Increasing
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Human TV
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
It would not be possible to overstate the value of in-vivo human validation. Most of what
passes for target validation today is largely conjectural in relation to the disease in question.
Diabetes Professor & ResearcherHarvard Medical School
A Revolution in R & D-The Impact of GeneticsThe Boston Consulting Group
Target Validation/PoP/PoC
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
“Proof of Concept”(PoC)
Mechanism will treat the disease and alter clinically recognised
and relevant endpoints
Clinical Endpointe.g. ACR20,50,70, FEV1, symptom
scores, tumour size, time to progression
“Proof of Principle”(PoP)
Mechanism related to disease process and
alters some key disease related parameters
Disease relevante.g. CRP, cartilage
breakdown products, tumour blood flow
“Proof of Mechanism”(PoM)
Pharmacology exists in man, dose-exposure-effect relationship on the target mechanism
Pharmacologye.g. receptor, enzyme
inhibition
Some terminology around biomarkers
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Benefit-Risk of Biomarkers in R & DBenefits Risks
1. For NMEs with a novel mechanism of action, biomarkers are key to understanding PoM and establishing PoP/PoC.
2. Biomarkers should help contain the cost of drug development by allowing early termination or rapid progression to Launch.
3. Biomarkers may help pre-select patient populations that are most likely to benefit.
4. Biomarkers that predict the course of disease may serve as a useful tool for clinicians, health care systems.
5. Diagnostic kits could be developed where appropriate patient segmentation may reduce the size of trials required
1. Biomarkers that are nonspecific and do not correlate with clinical outcome may lead to incorrect conclusions.
2. Biomarkers associated with only a portion of the clinical outcome, may not identify all of the relevant effects of the therapy, including adverse effects.
3. Biomarker analysis can be expensive and time-consuming.
4. Biomarker-based decisions could become biased unless a priori criteria are set up for decision-making in addition to biomarker data.
5. Patient pre-selection using biomarkers may reduce the potential market size.
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Median Log DR30 (range) following oral administration of Novel NME
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2Log DR30
Placebo100 mg300 mg400 mg1000 mg
1 h post dose
42/50 h post dose
4/5 h post dose
•Similar level of inhibition of CD11b for all doses•Evidence of complete reversibility
•PK/PD mismatch. Getting a better PD profile than predicted by PK
PoM: Chemokine Targetex vivo CD11b upregulation
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca09/08/2005 15
Discovery MedicineUtilize and Integrate Human
Pathophysiology and Disease Models
Platforms•Genetics•Genomics•Proteomics•Metabonomics•Imaging•Epidemiology•Physiology
Deliverables•Validated targets•Pathophysiologicalunderstanding
•Biological Mechanism•Disease stratification•Biomarkers•PoP/PoC Methods•Patient segmentation
100
75
50
25
025 50 75
Smokedregularly andsusceptible toits effects
Never smokedor notsusceptibleto smoke
Stoppedat 45
Stopped at 65
Disability
Death
AGE (YEARS)
FEV
(% o
f val
ue a
t age
25)
1
† †
Median Log DR30 (range) following oral administration AZD8309
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Log DR30
Placebo100 mg300 mg400 mg1000 mg
1 h post dose
42/50 h post dose
4/5 h post dose
Clinical DataExperimental data
Bioinformatics and Informatics
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
PRESENT Pharmacologic Effect Physiologic Effect Biochemical Assays Enzymatic Assays In Vivo Challenge Tests Imaging
From….. Single VariableTo….. Multiple Variables
FUTURE Genomics Proteomics Metabonomics In Vivo ImagingHigh Content Biology
Pharmacodynamic Biomarkers
INCREASINGFUTURE FOCUSFOR BIOMARKERDISCOVERY
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Whole CellProteinMessenger
RNADNA
Genes
The Cellomics Concept
Image Processing
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
High Content Screening & Biomarkers
“High Content Screening integrates fluorescence-based assays and novel image processing algorithms for automated analysis of sub-cellular events” Cellomics TM
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Kinase Cascades
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Pathway Analysis
Compound
pJun (Cellomics)HeLa/TNF
pP38 (Cellomics)HeLa/TNF
NFκκκκB (Cellomics)HeLa/TNF
pMAPK (Cellomics)HeLa/TNF
V A A A AW A A N/A N/AX A N/A N/A N/AY N/A N/A N/A AZ N/A N/A A N/A
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Disease Process Modelling
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
•Maps for a variety of individual biochemical, signaling and gene regulatory pathways
•A few examples of disease process models predicting likely targets and biomarkers
What We Don’t Have:•Good understanding of relationships between individual targets, biomarkers and disease processes
•General framework linking genomics, proteomics, and disease process evolution from biomarker changes to clinical outcomes
What We Have:
Focus on Biopathways
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Discovery PreClinical Clinical Outcomes
Molecular Structure Activity
Subcellular
Whole Body (animals/humans)
Clinical Trials
Clinical Programs
Drug Portfolios
Cellular
Tissues/Organs
Medical Care Systems
Not currently addressed
Under DevelopmentProducts Available
Not appropriate
SOURCE: Price Waterhouse Coopers
Simulation & Prediction - rapidly emerging technologies
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Modelling of Human Disease
From molecules, From molecules, pathways, cells, organs pathways, cells, organs to integrated physiologyto integrated physiologyin health & diseasein health & disease
Disease in Whole Human BeingDisease in Whole Human BeingCell
Chromosome
DNA
Protein
Nucleus
mRNAamino acids
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Human Tissue in Target ValidationCross-functional Inputs
• Tissue acquisition - human tissue sources
• Tissue banking - repository, logging and distribution
• Histopathology - sectioning, staining and morphometry;
diagnostic confirmation
• Immunocytochemistry- bio markers (tagged antibodies, oligos
enzyme markers etc)
• Bio-analysis - mediators, enzymes, cytokines etc
• Molecular biology - gene chip technology (Affymetrix, Taqman etc)
• Bio-informatics - interrogation of integrated data bases
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
1.Monoclonal antibodies & Nanobodies
2.Antisense & siRNA
3.Viral Vectors
4.Gene therapy & Nucline Gene Silencing
5.Ribozymes & Aptamers
6.Recombinant proteins
7.Zinc Finger Proteins
8.Currently available drugs with multiple mechanisms
9.Lead Compounds in LO phase etc
Tools for Human Target ValidationAlso Potential Fast Track Therapeutics
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Target Validation Experiments Already Established in Man
1. HIV (Ribozymes, Antibodies, rHu P)
2. Cancer (A/B’s, Antisense, GeneRx etc)
3. IHD & GI (AntiTNF,GeneRx, Viral Vectors)
4. RA (A/B’s, Cytokines etc)
5. Asthma (Anti IgE A/B, Anti IL-5)
6. Transplantation & Asthma (Zenapax)
7. Multiple Sclerosis (Anti-VLA4, Tysabri)
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Target & concept
validation
Year
Lead discovery Lead
optimization
CD prenomination
Attrition rate (%):•chemical•biological•selection of target•efficacy•safety & interactions•failure to meet target profile
Hit
50% 50% 40% 15% 20%
1 2 4.54 5.5
preCD CD
LC
IND
100
40
20
No Targetsinitiated
annually
10
No
Target
Small molecule
Antibody(2-3 years)
(6-8 years)
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
First human dose to market First patient dose to market First pivotal dose to market Submission to market
Succ
ess
rate
NCEsBiotech/Gene therapy
Current cumulative success rates to market by product type
CONFIDENTIAL
Source: CMR International
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Number of Clinical Studies for Approved Biopharmaceuticals and NMEs
Number of Clinical Studies for Approved Biopharmaceuticals and NMEs
5.1
21
5.2 6
1.3
1011.8
37
0
40
MEA
N N
UM
BER
Phase I Phase II Phase III Total
Biopharmaceuticals (1994-2000, n=12)NMEs (1995-2000, n=23)
Source: Reichert, Drug Inf J 2001;35:337-346
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
107441 307
696 598
3350
1014
4478
0
4800
MEA
N N
UM
BER
Phase I Phase II Phase III Total
Biopharmaceuticals (1994-2000, n=12)NMEs (1995-2000, n=23)
Source: Reichert, Drug Inf J 2001;35:337-346
Number of Subjects for Approved Biopharmaceuticals and NMEs
Number of Subjects for Approved Biopharmaceuticals and NMEs
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Recombinant Proteins
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor - 2 (VEGF-2)
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Photos showing comparison between clinical condition pre- and post-Rituximab. ( N of 1 Trial)
Cooper, H. L., Healy, E., Theaker, J. M. & Friedmann, P. S.Treatment of resistant pemphigus vulgaris with an anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody (Rituximab).
Clinical & Experimental Dermatology 28 (4), 366-368.
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Human SkinAs a Tool to Study Inflammation
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Urate Crystal Skin Inflammation• Need safe and malleable in
vivo inflammation models for early PoP for novel inflammation targets
• Skin is visible and safely accessible
• Monosodium urate crystals are a potent inflammatory stimulus (gout)
Biopsies
• Histology
• ICC
Skin Chamber fluid
• Cell counts
• Cell characterisation
• Soluble mediators
Clinical• Laser doppler• Systemic inflammatory
markers (blood)• Subjects assessment of
discomfort• Investigators assessment of
inflammation• Safety
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Urate crystals in skin chambers• Chamber applied to de-roofed vacuum blister• GMP crystals applied 2 hours• Fluid for cells and mediators (20-plex Luminex)• Neutrophils, IL-8 and other chemokines
Control
UAX 1.25mg
UAX 2.5mg
2 4 6 80
250
500
750
time (hr)
Tota
l cel
l cou
nt (1
03)
Neutrophil exudate, #7 Luminex (IL-8), #7
0
100
200
300
2hr 4hr 6hr 8hr
IL-8
pg/
ml
Control 1.25mg 2.5mg
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Intradermal urate crystals• Graded doses 0- 2.5mg injected• Quantitate inflammation with laser doppler• Biopsy shows neutrophil, then macrophage infiltrate• Safe, well tolerated, and with no lab changes• Some inter-patient subject variability (timecourse,
intensity)
0 mg
0.63
1.25Same model has been created in animals for full R & D Integration
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Psoriasis for assessing therapeutic effects• Cyclosporin A , anti-CD2, CTLA4-Ig and anti-TNFs are
all clinically validated in psoriasis• Accessibility of skin
– Easily monitored clinical response– Sample collection to investigate mechanistic effects easy
Infliximab CTLA4-Ig
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Early concept testing in man-P2Y2• Experimental data suggested P2Y2 a good target for
Psoriasis
• Effect on Keratinocytes & Neutrophils demonstrated
• Progress in identifying good compounds (10nM) for the CDTP, however DMPK was still a problem
• A fast track PoP/PoC was negotiated• Only 75 gms of GMP material for Tox, PARD, DMPK and
Clinical PoP was produced.• A very limited Toxicology program agreed with MHRA• Ethics & Regulatory Approval CTX (IND) obtained• 26 patients with Psoriasis treated• Clear outcome, highly significant result• Steroid >>Calcipitrol>>P2Y2=Placebo
1. Human Stop/Go PoP data generated 3-5 years before traditional process
2. Limited cost < £200,000 for all PRD, Safety, DMPK, Clinical etc
3. Introduced the concept of Investigational Tracks to AZ
4. Process repeatable with new eIND and EU guidelines
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Development of Concept testing for Inflammation Projects in Humans
Inflammation models in humans• Quantification of inflammatory reactions• Investigation of inflammatory cell recruitment• Mediator analysis and the development of microdosing
approaches to investigate Candidate Drug activity.
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Dermal Microdialysis & Microdosing
•Single Dose and/or •Mutiple Dose including Dose Ranging Possible
In the same subject
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Asthma & COPD
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Whole Blood PoM Markers• The robustness of the CD11b and shape change responses on eosinophils to eotaxin-
2 was assessed in non-atopics• Shape more stable than CD11b in non-atopics
300
325
350
375
400
425
450
475
500
525
550
-12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6
300
325
350
375
400
425
450
475
500
525
550
-12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -63
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
-11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
-11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5
Shape CD11b
Donor 3
Donor 5
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Biomarkers for iNOS inhibition: exhaled NO(SA Kharitonov, 2001)
NO
pp b
10
15
20
25
30
35
NORMALNORMAL
05
0 2 4 6 8 12 24 48 72
PLACEBO
SD36510
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Hours
ASTHMAASTHMA
0 2 4 6 8 12 24 48 72
PLACEBO
SD3651 (L-NILTA)
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
COPDControl
COPD PoP: Biomarker DiscoveryIn Vitro
Urine
Exhaled breathcondensate
Blood
Sputum
Elastin breakdownspecific peptides
Pept
ide
Inde
x
Control COPD
010
020
030
040
050
0
Fraction 38, Mass 1286
Inte
nsity
Control COPD
Differential ComparisonLung destructionElastin degradation products
In Vivo
Size of peptide
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Novel Markers-Proteomic analysis of plasmaStable and Acute Exacerbation, COPD
Protein 1
0
20
40
60
80
100
Control Stable COPD AE
Protein 2
0
20
40
60
80
100
Control Stable COPD AE
Protein 4
0
20
40
60
80
100
Control Stable COPD AE
Protein 3
0
20
40
60
80
100
Control Stable COPD AE
% re
lativ
e ex
pres
sion
of t
otal
poo
led
sam
ple
Proteins identified by 2D Gel analysis – work on-going to validate and identify proteins
Dr H ParmarDiscovery Medicine, Astrazeneca
Core Problem:The migration of raw data into useable knowledge
Integrated and Contextualized Data:
Sequence Data from multiple Databases DNA Array data derived throughout disease progression Integration of Orthogonal data types
DataDataData
InformationInformationInformation
KnowledgeKnowledgeKnowledge
Raw Data: • DNA Array • Sequence Data • Toxicity Data
User-Integrated Information • Predictive Modeling:
– Disease progression models – Toxicity Models–Efficacy Models
Current State of Current State of BioPharmaBioPharma IndustryIndustry